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**Udog** · 08-23-2018, 09:56 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

From Covers, least profitable starting pitchers this year, based on $100/start:

320. Homer Bailey (1-16) $-1,448

319. Justin Verlander (15-12) $-1,283

318. Clayton Kershaw (9-10) $-1,152

317. Kenta Maeda (8-12) $-1,117

316. Kyle Hendricks (12-14) $-1,106

315. Alex Cobb (5-18) $-1,06

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Quality TV from the Mets’ crew Tuesday night when roving reporter Steve Gelbs asked pitcher Zach Wheeler if it bugs him when he gives up a hit that wouldn’t be a hit if the team hadn’t shifted, and Wheeler quickly replied “100%”

There are people online who keep track of “runs saved” with the shift; I mean, lot of hard drives up the middle are now caught by infielders, so the shift is useful, too, but there is a plus/minus that exists, and you just know it drives some guys nuts when the shift fails.

12) Tampa Bay Rays were -$210 against the Royals Monday, which says a lot about how awful Kansas City is. Pretty interesting wagering quandary.

How can you lay $210 with a team, when you know the starting pitcher is going to get only four or five outs before he is removed, and you’re not totally sure who his replacement will be?

Rays won the game easily; the “opener” has changed baseball though, to a small degree.

11) 2019 baseball season starts on March 28, except A’s/Mariners, who play two games over in Japan March 20-21. MLB decided to schedule some 2-game interleague series on weekends, so there will be teams who have Fridays off, which is weird. A’s have two Fridays off in August.

When they expand to 32 teams, and they will soon, scheduling will become much easier.

10) Ever see American Restoration on the History Channel? Guy in Las Vegas who has a place that refurbishes old stuff (cars, Coke machines, wagons, motorcycles) and makes them look like new again. They do excellent work.

Saw an episode last night where they worked on one of Billy Joel’s motorcycles, then they delivered the finished bike to a shop Joel owns in Oyster Bay, Long Island. Pretty cool stuff.

9) Random musical opinions:

— Favorite Billy Joel song: Piano Man
— Favorite Bob Seger song: Turn the Page
— Favorite Van Morrison song: Into the Mystic

8) Buster Posey is likely going to have season-ending hip surgery, which will probably also end his career as a catcher. Does that mean the Giants will trade Brandon Belt this winter?

7) Nationals’ TV analyst FP Santangelo told a story on air Tuesday night about when he was playing and his best friend on the team got traded, and Santangelo went 0-20 right after that, as it became painfully obvious to him that baseball is indeed a business.

I’m trying to remember what old-time player told this next story, I want to say Al Kaline, but I’m not 100% sure. Anyway, when the young player first came up to the majors, one of the established stars of the team came up to him and said, “…..they cut our friend to bring you up” and then walked away from the young guy, and they weren’t nice to him until he established himself as a really good player. Nowadays, young players get treated a lot better.

6) Washington didn’t trade Bryce Harper to the Dodgers (who claimed him on waivers) because they know they can get a first-round draft pick if he bolts in free agency this winter.

5) There are some people on Twitter pushing for an 8-team college football playoff, which would involve getting rid of conference championship games, and playing the first round of the playoff tournament at campus sites. Not a bad idea.

4) Former Arizona Cardinals’ coach Bruce Arians will work for CBS on NFL games this fall, along with Greg Gumbel and Trent Green. Curious to hear Arians analyze games.

3) Major league All-Star Game was later than normal this year; it is earlier than normal (July 9) next summer, in Cleveland.

2) From Covers, most profitable starting pitchers this year, based on $100/start:

1. Mike Fiers (16-8) $1,467
2. Mike Leake (17-8) $1,256
3. Jhoulys Chacin (19-8) $1,164
4. Eduardo Rodriguez (16-3) $1,160
5. David Price (18-6) $1,094
6. Aaron Nola (18-7) $1,039
7. Yovani Gallardo (9-2) $951

1) Worlds colliding; You know I love college basketball and Seth Davis is a college basketball analyst for CBS and writes for The Athletic. It is just odd to me that Davis’ father is Lanny Davis, Michael Cohen’s lawyer, who is on national TV about every 90 seconds this week.

**Udog** · 08-23-2018, 09:59 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, August 23

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 901-902
August 23, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Nola) 13.548
Washington
(Scherzer) 14.987
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-165
7
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-165); Over

San Francisco @ NY Mets

Game 903-904
August 23, 2018 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Bmgrner) 13.834
NY Mets
(deGrom) 17.350
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-145
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-145); Over

San Diego @ Colorado

Game 905-906
August 23, 2018 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lucchesi) 16.743
Colorado
(Freeland) 13.766
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-165
10
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+145); Under

Atlanta @ Miami

Game 907-908
August 23, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Newcomb) 15.308
Miami
(Straily) 17.231
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-175
8
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+155); Under

Cincinnati @ Chicago Cubs

Game 909-910
August 23, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(DeSclfni) 14.870
Chicago Cubs
(Hamels) 16.247
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-230
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-230); N/A

Cleveland @ Boston

Game 911-912
August 23, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Plutko) 16.001
Boston
(Price) 17.919
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-185
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-185); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit

Game 913-914
August 23, 2018 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Shields) 15.120
Detroit
(Boyd) 13.738
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+105); Over

Kansas City @ Tampa Bay

Game 915-916
August 23, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Duffy) 15.946
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 14.241
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-185
7
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+165); Over

Oakland @ Minnesota

Game 917-918
August 23, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Cahill) 16.644
Minnesota
(Stewart) 14.490
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-160
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-160); Under

**Udog** · 08-23-2018, 10:02 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 23

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PHILADELPHIA (68 - 58) at WASHINGTON (64 - 63) - 1:05 PM
AARON NOLA (R) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 68-58 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-17 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 53-44 (+7.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-23 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-27 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 444-441 (+54.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 64-63 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 32-34 (-19.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 33-30 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-9 (-11.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 28-26 (-9.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 23-25 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
WASHINGTON is 33-32 (-14.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SCHERZER is 15-18 (-18.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-6 (+1.1 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.4 Units)

AARON NOLA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NOLA is 3-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 4-8 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-8. (-4.4 units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
SCHERZER is 9-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.24 and a WHIP of 0.954.
His team's record is 13-2 (+9.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-10. (-8.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (62 - 66) at NY METS (56 - 70) - 1:10 PM
MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 54-95 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-62 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-14 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-29 (-17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUMGARNER is 10-21 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUMGARNER is 3-9 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 62-66 (+3.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 25-18 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 55-70 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 26-38 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 32-55 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 4-14 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 52-70 (-23.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 51-57 (-34.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
DEGROM is 12-16 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. NY METS since 1997
BUMGARNER is 6-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.47 and a WHIP of 0.959.
His team's record is 6-1 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+3.5 units)

JACOB DEGROM vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
DEGROM is 4-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 0.992.
His team's record is 5-1 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (50 - 79) at COLORADO (69 - 57) - 3:10 PM
JOEY LUCCHESI (L) vs. KYLE FREELAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 50-79 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 69-57 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 55-40 (+20.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 42-26 (+20.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
FREELAND is 16-9 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FREELAND is 12-5 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 22-17 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
COLORADO is 42-46 (-17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 8-6 (-0.6 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.3 Units)

JOEY LUCCHESI vs. COLORADO since 1997
LUCCHESI is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.69 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.7 units)

KYLE FREELAND vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
FREELAND is 1-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (71 - 55) at MIAMI (51 - 77) - 7:10 PM
SEAN NEWCOMB (L) vs. ELIESER HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 71-54 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 92-87 (+25.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 37-27 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 46-43 (+20.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 40-18 (+25.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 46-37 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 53-35 (+21.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 52-55 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-11 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-12 (-12.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 12-3 (+7.8 Units) against MIAMI this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.7 Units)

SEAN NEWCOMB vs. MIAMI since 1997
NEWCOMB is 3-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.48 and a WHIP of 1.310.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

ELIESER HERNANDEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (56 - 71) at CHICAGO CUBS (72 - 53) - 8:05 PM
ANTHONY DESCLAFANI (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HAMELS is 23-15 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DESCLAFANI is 17-6 (+15.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1767-1815 (-268.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 944-846 (-157.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 288-331 (-67.4 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 436-388 (-82.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 126-102 (-20.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-34 (-10.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 859-793 (-156.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 7-5 (+4.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.3 Units)

ANTHONY DESCLAFANI vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DESCLAFANI is 3-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.59 and a WHIP of 1.196.
His team's record is 4-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.4 units)

COLE HAMELS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HAMELS is 11-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.78 and a WHIP of 0.961.
His team's record is 15-1 (+14.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-7. (+0.6 units)

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CLEVELAND (73 - 53) at BOSTON (89 - 39) - 1:05 PM
ADAM PLUTKO (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 73-53 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 20-20 (-12.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-28 (-17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 89-39 (+32.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 42-16 (+17.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BOSTON is 28-6 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
BOSTON is 72-27 (+31.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 62-26 (+22.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 31-17 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PRICE is 8-1 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 33-12 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-30 (-16.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 236-235 (-62.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

ADAM PLUTKO vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

DAVID PRICE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
PRICE is 10-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.202.
His team's record is 11-4 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-6. (+2.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (48 - 78) at DETROIT (52 - 75) - 1:10 PM
JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. MATT BOYD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-38 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
DETROIT is 33-31 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 29-31 (+6.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
DETROIT is 17-13 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 418-430 (+35.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
DETROIT is 116-173 (-37.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 79-134 (-41.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 412-359 (-69.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 9-3 (+6.6 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. DETROIT since 1997
SHIELDS is 9-10 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.389.
His team's record is 14-14 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-15. (-3.7 units)

MATT BOYD vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BOYD is 1-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.99 and a WHIP of 1.459.
His team's record is 2-7 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (38 - 89) at TAMPA BAY (66 - 61) - 7:10 PM
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. TYLER GLASNOW (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 38-89 (-35.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 15-34 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 23-57 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 24-62 (-29.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 10-30 (-15.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
KANSAS CITY is 12-47 (-23.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 66-61 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 37-24 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 40-24 (+19.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 15-9 (+8.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-0 (+6.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
DUFFY is 2-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.0 units)

TYLER GLASNOW vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (76 - 51) at MINNESOTA (60 - 66) - 8:10 PM
TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. KOHL STEWART (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 145-144 (+2.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 94-84 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-6 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 76-51 (+30.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 186-99 (+45.4 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 37-25 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 152-127 (+45.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 45-33 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 50-31 (+23.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 31-19 (+17.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 40-12 (+25.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OAKLAND is 15-1 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 102-127 (-44.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 69-90 (-32.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TREVOR CAHILL vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
CAHILL is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

KOHL STEWART vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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**Udog** · 08-23-2018, 10:04 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, August 23

National League
Phillies (68-58) @ Nationals (64-63)
Nola is 2-0, 1.33 in his last four starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 18-7, 5-7 away
5-inning record: 10-7-8 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-25

Scherzer is 6-0, 2.17 in his last eight starts (over 6-2). Team in his starts: 18-8, 8-4 home
5-inning record: 17-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-26

Phillies are 5-10 in their last 15 games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 road games. Washington won four of its last six games; eight of their last nine games went over.

Giants (62-66) @ Mets (56-70)
Bumgarner is 1-1, 3.38 in his last four starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 6-8, 2-5 away
5-inning record: 7-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-14

deGrom is 3-0, 1.66 in his last three starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 11-14, 4-8 home
5-inning record: 13-5-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-25

Giants lost six of their last seven games; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. Mets are 10-5 in their last 15 games; they’re 12-18 vs lefty starters- over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Padres (50-79) @ Rockies (69-57)
Lucchesi is 2-2, 5.33 in his last five starts; his last four went over. Team in his starts: 8-11, 3-3 away
5-inning record: 8-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-19

Freeland is 3-1, 1.72 in his last five starts; under is 10-3 in his last 13. Team in his starts: 16-9, 9-2 home
5-inning record: 11-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-25

Padres lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 13-25 vs lefty starters- over is 9-6 in their last 15 road games. Colorado won nine of its last 11 games; they’re 25-21 vs lefty starters- eight of their last nine games stayed under the total.

Braves (71-55) @ Marlins (51-77)
Newcomb is 0-1, 11.58 in his last two starts; over is 7-3 in his last 10 starts. Team in his starts: 13-11, 8-5 road
5-inning record: 12-10-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-24

Straily is 0-2, 8.24 in his last four starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 9-11, 5-4 home
5-inning record: 6-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-20

Braves won their last three games; they’re 7-2 in last nine road series openers- under is 6-0 in their last six games. Miami won three of their last four games; they’re 10-11 in home series openers, 12-19 vs lefty starters. Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten home games.

Reds (56-71) @ Cubs (72-53)
DeSclafani is 2-0, 0.83 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 8-5, 3-1 away
5-inning record: 8-3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-13

Hamels is 3-0, 1.08 in four starts for the Cubs (under 3-1). Team in his starts: 4-0, 1-0 home
5-inning record: 2-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4

Reds won four of their last six games; they’re 8-12 in road series openers, 17-15 vs lefty starters- under is 4-2 in their last six games. Chicago lost three of its last four games; they’re 10-11 in home series openers. Five of their last six games stayed under.

American League
Royals (38-89) @ Rays (66-61)
Duffy is 1-3, 7.54 in his last four starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 9-16, 7-8 away
5-inning record: 10-12-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-25

Glasnow is 0-1, 3.86 in four starts for the Rays (under 3-1). Team in his starts: 2-2, 2-0 home.
5-inning record: 2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-4

Royals are 4-16 in their last 20 games; over is 10-4 in their last 14 road games. Tampa Bay is 9-4 in its last 13 games; they’re 19-15 vs lefty starters- under is 10-2 in their last 12 games.

White Sox (48-78) @ Tigers (52-75)
Shields is 1-1, 4.50 in his last three starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 9-17, 2-8 away.
5-inning record: 8-16-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-26

Boyd is 2-2, 3.16 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 11-13, 8-3 home
5-inning record: 8-13-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-24

White Sox won six of their last eight games; they’re 6-15 in road series openers, 9-19 vs lefty starters- over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Detroit lost six of its last eight games; they’re 12-9 in home series openers. Over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

Indians (73-53) @ Red Sox (89-39)
Plutko is 1-3, 5.01 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Team in his starts: 4-3, 1-2 away
5-inning record: 5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-7

Price is 2-0, 1.67 in his last four starts; under is 4-0-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 18-6, 9-3 home.
5-inning record: 12-6-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-24

Indians won nine of their last 11 games; they’re 18-13 vs lefty starters- five of Tribe’s last seven games stayed under. Boston lost three of its last four games; under is 12-5-1 in their last 18 home games.

A’s (76-51) @ Twins (60-66)
Cahill is 4-0, 3.45 in his last five starts; over is 6-0-1 in his road starts. Team in his starts: 10-5, 4-3 away
5-inning record: 8-4-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-15

Stewart is 0-1, 7.71 in his two starts (over 1-1). Team in his starts: 0-2, 0-1 home.
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2

A’s are 15-5 in their last 20 games, 12-8 in road series openers; under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 home games. Minnesota won six of its last nine games; they’re 7-1 in last eight home series openers. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/22
Ariz 33-22-9……32-21-9……..65-43
Atl 29-27-8…..31-22-9………60-49
Cubs 25-26-13……28-26-8…….53-52
Reds 20-37-4……23-31-10….…43-68
Colo 32-22-14……32-21-7……63-44
LA 32-23-8…….28-25-14……61-48
Miami 22-32-9…..26-27-13…….48-59
Milw 26-31-9…..32-25-6…….58-56
Mets 30-29-4……25-26-13…..55-53
Philly 24-25-14…..32-20-10……56-45
Pitt 28-25-6……29-27-13……..57-52
StL 32-25-9……27-29-6………59-54
SD 20-35-10……20-34-9…….40-69
SF 28-30-12…..23-23-12……51-53
Wash 28-25-11..…29-25-9………57-50

Orioles 18-37-12……19-33-10……37-70
Boston 32-21-13……39-17-6……..71-38
W Sox 19-37-6…..…20-35-10……39-72
Indians 26-24-13……39-16-9……65-40
Det 21-33-9…..…28-28-11.……49-61
Astros 34-18-15……31-20-11…….65-37
KC 19-38-8…….23-31-10…..42-69
Angels 28-27-11……27-28-8……55-55
Twins 20-33-11……31-28-8…..51-61
NYY 30-21-10……40-19-7…….70-39
A’s 23-29-10……28-25-12…..51-54
Seattle 31-26-8……29-24-14…….60-48
TB 29-25-12……29-24-8……57-48
Texas 22-32-8…..25-35-7…….47-67
Toronto 18-34-11…22-28-15……40-62

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 8/22)
Ariz 28-63…….24-63…..…52
Atl 21-63……26-62………47
Cubs 12-64……..19-59……..31
Reds 14-62……..14-66……..28
Colo 21-67…….24-60.……..45
LA 22-63……..23-65..…..45
Miami 14-63……..19-65…….33
Milw 22-65…..…24-65…….46
Mets 25-62……..20-64……45
Philly 14-63……..21-63……35
Pitt 15-59……..19-70…….34
StL 22-66……..19-62…….41
SD 19-66……..17-64…….36
SF 13-68………18-61..…..31
Wash 24-64……..19-63……..43

Orioles 19-67……..18-61………37
Boston 19-65……25-63………44
White Sox 17-61……16-64…….33
Clev 18-62…….27-63……..45
Detroit 19-63……..19-65….…38
Astros 19-66…..…14-62………33
KC 15-65..…….19-62…….34
Angels 17-64…..….18-63…….35
Twins 15-62………15-64…….30
NYY 13-61……..28-65………41
A’s 17-64…..…..18-65…….35
Seattle 23-63………21-67…….44
TB 20-66..……19-60……..39
Texas 10-62……19-66…….…29
Toronto 16-63………14-64….….30

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 67-63 NL, favorites +$115
AL @ NL– 62-54 NL, favorites -$372
Total: 129-117 NL, favorites -$257

**Udog** · 08-23-2018, 10:09 AM

MLB

Thursday, August 23

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Trend Report
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Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Red Sox
Boston is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games
Boston is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
Boston is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Boston is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Philadelphia's last 23 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games on the road
Philadelphia is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Washington
Philadelphia is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games
Chi White Sox is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Chi White Sox is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Detroit
Chi White Sox is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Chi White Sox is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Chi White Sox's last 16 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
Detroit is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Detroit is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Chi White Sox
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Detroit is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Detroit's last 16 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing NY Mets
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
New York Mets
NY Mets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 9 games
NY Mets is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games at home
NY Mets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing San Francisco
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets's last 12 games when playing at home against San Francisco

San Diego Padres
San Diego is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
San Diego is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games
San Diego is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing Colorado
San Diego is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
San Diego is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing San Diego
Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
Colorado is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Atlanta's last 18 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami Marlins
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
Miami is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Miami's last 18 games when playing Atlanta
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas City's last 11 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games
Tampa Bay is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Cincinnati's last 14 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Chi Cubs is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Chi Cubs is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Chi Cubs is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Chi Cubs is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chi Cubs's last 14 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oakland's last 17 games
Oakland is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Oakland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Oakland is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

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**Udog** · 08-23-2018, 10:31 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, August 23

**Udog** · 08-23-2018, 12:57 PM

MLB

Thursday, August 23

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Max Scherzer, Washington Nationals (16-5, 2.11 ERA, $198)

The Nationals are clinging to the slimmest of playoff hopes and if there’s a guy who’s never going to give up on a season it’s "Mad Max".

The two-time defending CY Young Award winner is doing everything he can to keep the Nationals in the postseason race, pitching to a ridiculous 0.74 ERA and a 0.74 WHIP to match over his previous five starts. He has also racked up 45 punch outs compared to just six walks during that stretch.

Scherzer and the Nationals are -152 home favorites this afternoon against the visiting Phillies.

Slumping: Sean Newcomb, Atlanta Braves (10-6, 3.73 ERA, $274)

The Braves have been a great story in 2018, arriving on the playoff-contention scene a year earlier than most expected. However, lefty starter Sean Newcomb has been less than stellar over the last month and a half. Since the calendar turned to July, Newcomb owns an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.60 (and that includes a near no-hitter back on July 29!) and he's been abused in his last two outings with an ERA of 11.57 and a WHIP of 2.7857.

Newcomb and the Braves are big -180 favorites tonight in Miami against Elieser Hernandez and the Marlins.

Under Umpire

Gerry Davis has been calling Major League Baseball games since 1982, he's too old to be standing out there on the field for too long in the hot summer sun. David loves to call stikes and move the game along at a quick pace - which generally equates to more Unders.

The Under is 13-9 this season in games with Davis behind home plate and over the last three seasons the Under is 49-31 (61.25 percent).

Davis will be calling balls and strikes this afternoon at Fenway Park when the Red Sox host the Indians. He hasn't called a game at Fenway since 2014 (also an Under result), so it should be a fun afternoon for him - and for Under bettors.

Look for this game to go Under the full game total of 9.5 and perhaps mix in an Under 5.5 first five innings.

Pitcher's Wind For Great Pitching Matchup

The weather forecast is calling for a strong breeze (12-14 miles per hour) blowing in from left-center field this afternoon for the game between the Phillies and Nationals that features an elite pitching matchup of Aaron Nola versus Max Scherzer. These two team have brought the lumber to the yard in the first two games of this three-game series, but that trend will end today.

Both Nola and Scherzer come into this game in top form with ERAs of 1.42 and 0.45 respectively over their last three starts. Two dominant starters, weak offenses on both sides, and a stiff wind blowing in all adds up to plenty of Under options to consider.

Will there be a run in the first inning? Absolutely not at -135. First inning hits: Under 2 (+105). First five innings Under 3.5 (-120). First seven innings Under 5.5 (-135).

We don't trust these bullpens so we won't suggest Under 7 for the full game, but if there was a "Will there be a no-hitter" prop available anywhere we might sprinkle.

Cole The Cub

Lefty Cole Hamels makes his fifth start for the Chicago Cubs this evening, since being aquired from the Texas Rangers at the trade deadline. It seems that a change of scenery is always nice for a starting pitcher, and Hamels has been electric since arriving with a team win/loss record of 4-0, and ERA of 0.72, and a WHIP of 0.88 in 25 innings of work.

The Cubs' offense has been in a major funk for the last few weeks but they are a very streaky team and broke out with eight runs last night in Detroit against the Tigers. The addition of Daniel Murphy at the top of the lineup payed immediate dividends and could be the catalyst for a string of big offensive performances.

The Cubs return home tonight to face Anthony DeSclafani and the Cincinnati Reds. The Reds have played the Cubbies tough all season, but with the Wrigley Field debut of Murphy as a member of the home side, and with Hamels on the hill in the middle of a playoff race, tonight should be all Cubs.

The Cubs' moneyline is a big -220 so consider safely taking the -1.5 runline at -105. Also, take a look at the Cubs' team total Over 5.5 (+110) because this feels like a party in Wrigleyville.

**Udog** · 08-23-2018, 12:58 PM

Diamond Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Athletics are 18-0 SU as a 140+ favorite after a game in which they scored in at most two separate innings. Oakland is 17-0 SU in this spot THIS season.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Royals are 0-23 SU as a 170+ dog vs a team that has won at least their last three games, as long as they did not win their starter's last start by 8-plus runs. Kansas City is 0-13 SU in this spot THIS season.

Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Royals are 0-12 SU on the road off a road game in which Whit Merrifield struck out at least twice.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Red Sox are 15-0 SU with David Price as a home favorite when he went six-plus innings gave up three or fewer runs in his last start. Boston is 8-0 SU in this spot this season.

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/23

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/23

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