Announcement

**Udog** · 07-05-2018, 01:06 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Texas OF Shin-Soo Choo has now reached base in 44 straight games; the record is 84.

— Astros 5, Rangers 4— Houston beats Texas for the 8th time in a row.

— Rockies 1, Giants 0— Chris Iannetta’s homer was the only run in this game.

— Brewers 3, Twins 2— Nate Orf’s first major league hit was a homer.

— Reds 7, White Sox 4— Cincinnati won 16 of its last 22 games.

— Mets are 13-23 (.361) this season when their pitcher has a quality start, which would be worst record by any such team since 1916.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Bad news on the rumor mill for the NBA’s Minnesota Timberwolves; star Jimmy Butler apparently has no intention of signing an extension with Minnesota- he is not very happy with “…..the nonchalant attitude of his younger teammates.” Uh-oh.

12) Tuesday night, Rays beat Miami 9-6 in 16 innings. Tampa Bay TV guy Dewayne Staats called it the strangest baseball game he’d ever seen. Here are some highlights:

— As they often do, Tampa Bay started a relief pitcher; he threw three innings, then eight other relievers plus their backup catcher pitched in the game.
— Leading 9-3 in the 16th, Rays put backup catcher Jesus Sucre in to pitch; he faced four batters, got one of them out, before Alvarado came in and got his third save when things almost dicey.
— Rays’ reliever Vidal Nuno had two hits and also got the win, but he pulled a hamstring in the 16th inning and went on the DL, which is why Sucre was put in to pitch. The two hits were his first since 2015.
— Wilson Ramos caught all 16 innings for Tampa Bay; he didn’t play in Wednesday’s game.
— Tampa Bay had 20 hits but hit into four double plays.
— Total of 510 pitches were thrown; game took 5:31 to play in front of an announced crowd of 6,259.

11) No idea how this was established, but the Phoenix Suns are 8-1 favorites to win the Las Vegas Summer League, which starts Friday at UNLV. Charlotte/Sacramento are both 10-1. Denver and Minnesota are the longshots, at 50-1.

10) Guy named Richard Henry Lee was the original draftee of the Declaration of Independence, but when his wife got sick, he stopped writing it and Thomas Jefferson took over.

Jefferson and John Adams both passed away on July 4, 1826, fifty years to the day after the Declaration was signed.

9) Houston Astros are little thin behind plate right now; Brian McCann is done for a while after he had knee surgery. Backup Max Stassi got hit on the wrist by a pitch, was out Wednesday but is expected back Thursday.

Astros brought Tim Federowicz up from AAA to catch; in a pinch, Evan Gattis could also catch- he’s appeared behind the plate in two games this season.

8) Some genius climbed onto the Statue of Liberty Wednesday; seven other protestors were arrested on Liberty Island. Not only could the person get killed/maimed, now they’re going to spend some time in jail. Go have some hot dogs and a few drinks. Whats the point?

7) Georgia Bulldogs’ QB Jake Fromm broke his left (non-throwing) hand in a lake accident, but is expected to be fine for the start of the Dawgs’ season.

6) Michigan QB Shea Patterson, who played the last couple years at Ole Miss, signed a 2019 contract to play baseball in the Texas Rangers organization after he exhausts his football eligibility at Michigan.

If Patterson plays real well for Michigan this fall, he’d have a shot at an NFL roster, which makes the baseball thing a curious decision, seeing how Texas drafted him in the 39th round.

5) Bronx Bombers put 2B Gleyber Torres (hip) on the DL.

4) Pretty big rule change in college football this fall: Players will be able to fair catch a kickoff inside the 25-yard line and have it result in a touchback, with the ball placed on the 25-yard line.

Last year, 47.2% of kickoffs weren’t returnable, meaning they were touchbacks, kicks out of bounds or onside kicks. Rules makers are trying to greatly reduce the number of kickoffs without totally taking it out of the game.

3) Last two years, Ivy League experimented with kicking off at the 40-yard line instead of the 35: in 2016, 44.1% of kickoffs were touchbacks, and in 2017, 36.1%. In 2015, before the rule was put in, only 12.4% of Ivy kickoffs were touchbacks.

2) Oakland A’s are the only team in major leagues that has not had a single international free agent signed and developed by that team appear in a major league game this season. They only had one (Renato Nunez) last year.

1) Joey Chestnut ate 74 hot dogs (and rolls) to win the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest on Coney Island in Brooklyn. 74 hot dogs in 10 minutes; I had three the other night and that was more than enough for a while, but I also had macaroni salad with it.

Hot dog contest was more fun when Kobiyashi was involved; he gave Joey Chestnut a run for his money. Competition makes all sports better, even competitive eating.

**StarDust Bum** · 07-05-2018, 03:24 AM

Thursday’s games

National League

Marlins (36-52) @ Nationals (42-43)
Lopez allowed two runs in six IP (97 PT) in his first MLB start. Team in his starts: 1-0 (under 1-0)
5-inning record: 0-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1

Hellickson is 1-1, 3.54 in his last five starts (under 8-2). Team in his starts: 6-4.
5-inning record: 5-3-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-10

Marlins won four of their last six games; they’re 8-1 in last nine series openers. Over is 6-1 in their last seven road games. Washington lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 7-7 in home series openers. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Braves (49-36) @ Brewers (51-35)
Fried is 1-0, 1.54 in his two starts (over 1-1). Team in his starts: 2-0.
5-inning record: 1-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2

Chacin is 0-2, 5.74 in his last three starts; under is 10-5 in his last 15. Team in his starts: 12-6.
5-inning record: 8-6-4. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-18

Braves won four of its last six games; they’re 9-7 in road series openers. Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 road games. Milwaukee won five of its last seven games; they’re 6-2 in last eight home series openers. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Padres (37-51) @ Diamondbacks (48-39)
Lauer is 3.97 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 3-10
5-inning record: 4-6-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-13

Miller ais 0-2, 11.42 in two starts this year (under 2-0). Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 0-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2

Padres are 3-12 in their last 15 games, 1-19 in last 20 series openers. Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 road games. Arizona lost five of its last six games; they’re 8-6 in home series openers. Under is 8-3-1 in their last dozen games.

Cardinals (44-41) @ Giants (45-43)
Weaver is 1-2, 7.84 in his last four starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 8-9
5-inning record: 8-8-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-17

Cueto is making his first start since April 28; he is 3-0, 0.84 in five starts this year (under 3-2). Team in his starts: 4-1
5-inning record: 3-0-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5

Cardinals lost five of their last seven games; they’re 6-7 in road series openers. Four of their last five games went over. Giants lost their last three games; under is 8-2 in their last ten games. SF is 9-4 in home series openers.

American League

Rangers (38-49) @ Tigers (38-50)
Gallardo is 2-0, 6.11 in three starts (over 3-0). Team in his starts: 3-0
5-inning record: 2-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-3

Boyd is 0-2, 8.00 in his last four starts; under is 8-4 in his last 12. Team in his starts: 8-8.
5-inning record: 4-9-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-16

Rangers lost its last three games; they’re 4-9 in road series openers. Under is 9-3 in their last dozen road games. Detroit lost 13 of its last 15 games; they’re 8-6 in home series openers. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

White Sox (30-56) @ Astros (57-31)
Rodon is 1-2, 5.03 in his last three starts (over 2-2-1). Team in his starts: 1-4
5-inning record: 1-3-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-5

Verlander is 0-2, 4.91 in his last three starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Team in his starts: 10-8
5-inning record: 11-3-4. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-18

White Sox lost five of their last seven games; they’re 3-12 in road series openers. Over is 6-1 in their last seven road games. Houston won four of its last five home games; they’re 7-7 in home series openers. Last six Astro games stayed under.

Orioles (24-61) @ Twins (35-48)
Cashner is 0-0, 2.25 in his last three starts; his last nine starts stayed under. Team in his starts: 4-12
5-inning record: 5-9-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-16

Slegers is making his first ’18 start; he is 0-1, 5.66 in five MLB games (3 starts). He is 5-6, 3.55 in 14 AAA starts this season. Team in his starts: 13-4.
5-inning record: 8-4-5. Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-17

Orioles lost nine of their last ten games; they’re 5-9 in road series openers. Five of their last six games stayed under. Minnesota is 2-11 in its last 13 games, 6-8 in home series openers. Four of their last six games went over.

Angels (44-43) @ Mariners (55-32)
Skaggs is 3-1, 1.69 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Team in his starts: 9-7
5-inning record: 8-6-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-16

Gonzales is 1-2, 5.06 in his last three starts; under is 8-1-1 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 11-6.
5-inning record: 10-6-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-17

Angels lost eight of their last 11 games; under is 4-2 in their last six games. Seattle won eight of its last nine games; under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/4
Ariz 22-15-5……20-16-8……..42-31
Atl 21-17-7…..18-14-8………39-31
Cubs 16-19-9……20-13-7…….36-32
Reds 11-25-4……18-24-4….…29-49
Colo 25-13-11……22-14-4……47-28
LA 16-16-5…….25-17-9……41-33
Miami 16-23-4…..17-19-…….33-42
Milw 18-16-8…..23-17-4…….41-33
Mets 19-23-2……16-16-9…..35-37
Philly 15-15-8…..24-14-7……39-29
Pitt 18-20-6……15-15-11……..33-35
StL 20-16-4……19-22-4………39-38
SD 15-22-9……16-21-4…….31-42
SF 21-19-10…..14-17-7………35-36
Wash 19-15-9..…17-19-6………36-34

Orioles 12-23-9…….13-24-5……25-47
Boston 24-16-9……21-13-5……..45-29
White Sox 13-27-4….12-24-7….25-51
Indians 20-17-8……27-9-5……47-26
Detroit 16-20-8……18-19-10.……34-39
Astros 22-14-11……20-13-9…….42-26
KC 12-23-8…….15-23-6…..27-46
Angels 23-18-5……16-17-8……39-35
Twins 16-21-8……16-19-6…..32-40
NYY 19-13-6……27-13-7…….46-25
A’s 15-19-8……14-21-10……29-40
Seattle 25-15-6……21-14-9……46-29
TB 19-17-10……20-14-6……39-30
Texas 15-20-5…..14-27-6…….29-47
Toronto 11-21-8……15-21-11……26-42

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 7/4)
Ariz 17-41…….15-43…..….32
Atl 13-44……15-41………28
Cubs 8-44……..17-42………25
Reds 9-39……..11-45………20
Colo 17-47…….19-40..…….36
LA 13-37……..19-48..…..32
Miami 11-43……..12-46…….23
Milw 14-43…..…14-43……..28
Mets 17-42……..12-39…….29
Philly 9-39……..15-46…..…24
Pitt 11-44……..11-42……..22
StL 14-39……..11-44…….25
SD 10-46……..8-42………18
SF 10-46………16-40…..26
Wash 17-45……..11-42……..28

Orioles 14-45……..14-42………28
Boston 13-49……16-40………28
White Sox 13-44……12-43…….25
Clev 13-47…….14-40….…27
Detroit 14-43……..14-46….…28
Astros 13-45…..…10-41………23
KC 11-43..…….12-43……..23
Angels 13-45…..….10-40…….23
Twins 12-45………9-46……..21
NYY 7-37……..18-46……….25
A’s 8-43…..…..11-44………19
Seattle 15-44………14-44……..29
TB 15-46..……13-40……..28
Texas 6-40…….…10-46……16
Toronto 8-42………11-46….…19

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 41-40 NL, favorites +$485
AL @ NL– 44-35 NL, favorites -$864
Total: 85-75 NL, favorites -$381

**Udog** · 07-05-2018, 09:01 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 5

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Trend Report
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Miami Marlins
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
Miami is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

Texas Rangers
Texas is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
Texas is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Texas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas's last 12 games on the road
Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 10 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
Detroit is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Texas
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Texas
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
Detroit is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing at home against Texas

Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Chi White Sox is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Chi White Sox is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games
Chi White Sox is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Chi White Sox is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Chi White Sox's last 20 games when playing Houston
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Astros
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Houston's last 20 games when playing Chi White Sox
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Atlanta's last 16 games on the road
Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 18 games when playing Milwaukee
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Atlanta is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Atlanta's last 20 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Milwaukee is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 18 games when playing Atlanta
Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Milwaukee is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Milwaukee's last 20 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
Baltimore is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Baltimore is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Baltimore
Minnesota is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Minnesota is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore

San Diego Padres
San Diego is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Diego's last 22 games
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Diego's last 17 games on the road
San Diego is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing Arizona
San Diego is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
San Diego is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 15 of San Diego's last 22 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Arizona is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing San Diego
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
Arizona is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Arizona's last 22 games when playing at home against San Diego

Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 games
LA Angels is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games
LA Angels is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
LA Angels is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games on the road
LA Angels is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
LA Angels is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing Seattle
LA Angels is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
LA Angels is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games
Seattle is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Seattle is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing LA Angels
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Angels

St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 10 of St. Louis's last 15 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Francisco's last 15 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

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**Udog** · 07-05-2018, 09:06 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, July 5

Miami @ Washington

Game 901-902
July 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Lopez) 13.500
Washington
(Hellckson) 15.986
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-170
9
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-170); Under

Atlanta @ Milwaukee

Game 903-904
July 5, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Fried) 16.467
Milwaukee
(Chacin) 14.511
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
N/A

San Diego @ Arizona

Game 905-906
July 5, 2018 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lauer) 15.453
Arizona
(Miller) 12.217
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-150); Over

St. Louis @ San Francisco

Game 907-908
July 5, 2018 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Weaver) 16.507
San Francisco
(Cueto) 14.802
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-135
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+115); Over

Texas @ Detroit

Game 909-910
July 5, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Gallardo) 15.535
Detroit
(Boyd) 13.939
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+100); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Houston

Game 911-912
July 5, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Rodon) 17.690
Houston
(Verlnder) 14.511
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-300
8
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+250); Under

Baltimore @ Minnesota

Game 913-914
July 5, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Cashner) 13.658
Minnesota
(Slegers) 14.814
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
N/A

LA Angels @ Seattle

Game 915-916
July 5, 2018 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Barria) 14.753
Seattle
(Gonzales) 15.980
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
N/A

**Udog** · 07-05-2018, 09:36 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 5

**Udog** · 07-05-2018, 11:07 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 5

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MIAMI (36 - 52) at WASHINGTON (42 - 43) - 7:05 PM
ELIESER HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 5-21 (-16.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
HELLICKSON is 9-2 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 42-43 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-23 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-23 (-11.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

ELIESER HERNANDEZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. MIAMI since 1997
HELLICKSON is 4-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.053.
His team's record is 9-3 (+7.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-10. (-10.2 units)

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ATLANTA (49 - 36) at MILWAUKEE (51 - 35) - 8:10 PM
MAX FRIED (L) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MAX FRIED vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CHACIN is 1-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.719.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

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SAN DIEGO (37 - 51) at ARIZONA (48 - 39) - 9:40 PM
ERIC LAUER (L) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 48-39 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 36-18 (+13.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 21-7 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 66-47 (+17.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 35-24 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 43-30 (+13.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 29-16 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 132-154 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 108-127 (+17.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 33-28 (+16.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 890-793 (-95.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 18-34 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
MILLER is 8-15 (-13.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILLER is 37-53 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ERIC LAUER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

SHELBY MILLER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MILLER is 2-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.190.
His team's record is 2-5 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-6. (-6.0 units)

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ST LOUIS (44 - 41) at SAN FRANCISCO (45 - 43) - 10:15 PM
LUKE WEAVER (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 127-120 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 97-93 (-14.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-43 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-14 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 28-25 (+6.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 839-853 (+35.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CUETO is 41-22 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 29-12 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 74-58 (+20.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 75-57 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 124-150 (-38.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LUKE WEAVER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
WEAVER is 1-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.86 and a WHIP of 1.344.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
CUETO is 7-8 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.223.
His team's record is 11-12 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-14. (-6.7 units)

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TEXAS (38 - 49) at DETROIT (38 - 50) - 7:10 PM
YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. MATT BOYD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 211-203 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 96-78 (+27.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 98-105 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 29-24 (+14.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 157-139 (+31.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 52-96 (-35.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 68-116 (-38.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 405-354 (-71.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. DETROIT since 1997
GALLARDO is 2-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.528.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)

MATT BOYD vs. TEXAS since 1997
BOYD is 1-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.53 and a WHIP of 1.446.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-0. (+5.1 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (30 - 56) at HOUSTON (57 - 31) - 8:10 PM
CARLOS RODON (L) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 82-70 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 7-10 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.
VERLANDER is 1-6 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 9-15 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

CARLOS RODON vs. HOUSTON since 1997
RODON is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 1.139.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
VERLANDER is 21-13 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.87 and a WHIP of 1.206.
His team's record is 26-17 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 20-21. (-2.6 units)

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BALTIMORE (24 - 61) at MINNESOTA (35 - 48) - 8:10 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. AARON SLEGERS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.1 Units)

ANDREW CASHNER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
CASHNER is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 2.111.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

AARON SLEGERS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA ANGELS (44 - 43) at SEATTLE (55 - 32) - 10:10 PM
JAIME BARRIA (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 15-23 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 6-15 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 9-21 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 55-32 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 27-18 (+6.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 17-7 (+10.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
SEATTLE is 29-15 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 39-16 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 39-20 (+20.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 20-10 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 569-543 (+44.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 170-211 (-57.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 5-3 (+2.1 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

JAIME BARRIA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BARRIA is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MARCO GONZALES vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GONZALES is 0-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.66 and a WHIP of 1.552.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)

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**Udog** · 07-05-2018, 11:19 AM

Thursday's Diamond Notes
Kevin Rogers

Hottest team: Brewers (6-3 last nine)

The hottest squad in the NL Central currently is the Cubs, who have won six consecutive games and sit one game out of first place. However, Chicago is off on Thursday as the top team in the division, Milwaukee, is fresh off a three-game home sweep of Minnesota. The Brewers own the second-most home victories in the National League with 27, while becoming the first team to reach the 50-win plateau in the NL (although four teams in the AL have won at least 55).

Milwaukee welcomes in Atlanta in a battle of first-place squads on Thursday as the Braves have dropped two straight. Jhoulys Chacin takes the mound in the series opener, as Milwaukee went through a stretch from late April through mid-June posting an impressive 10-1 mark when the right-hander took the mound. However, the Brewers have lost each of Chacin’s last three starts, in spite of him giving up one earned run in two of those outings.

Coldest team: Nationals (2-10 last 12)

Things are quickly unraveling for the defending NL East champions as Washington suffered a three-game home sweep at the hands of Boston. The offense is nowhere to be found as the Nationals have scored 15 runs in their last eight losses, while posting a 17-spot in a 10-run victory at Philadelphia last Friday. Not only has Washington slipped below the .500 mark, but the Nationals are currently seven games behind the Braves for first place in the division.

The Nationals hope to get on track as the Marlins visit D.C. for the weekend. Washington swept Miami in late May and has captured 11 straight matchups against its division rival since August 2017. Veteran Jeremy Hellickson heads to the hill tonight as the Nationals have put together an 8-1 mark to the UNDER in his last nine starts, while Washington is winless in his last two appearances.

Hottest pitcher: Yovani Gallardo, Rangers (2-0, 9.00 ERA)

From an ERA standpoint, this may not make a lot of sense why Gallardo is listed in this category. However, since joining Texas from Cincinnati in June, the Rangers have won all three of the right-hander’s starts since entering the rotation. The run support for Gallardo has been extremely helpful, as the Rangers 11 runs a game in this stretch, while the veteran is fresh off a seven-strikeout performance in a blowout win over the White Sox. Gallardo squares off with a struggling Tigers’ squad on Thursday, as Detroit has dropped 13 of its last 15 games.

Coldest pitcher: Justin Verlander, Astros (9-4, 2.12 ERA)

Justin Verlander, the former MVP and Cy Young winner owning a miniscule ERA is in this category? This is true as Verlander, who owned a 1.60 ERA after a 2-1 home defeat to the Rays on June 19, has been tagged for 16 hits and nine earned runs in his last two outings. Houston has failed to pick up a victory in Verlander’s last three trips to the mound, which has occurred twice this season. The good news is after his first three-start winless streak in May, Verlander turned in complete-game shutout over the Angels. Verlander is listed as a nearly -300 favorite in Thursday’s series opener against the White Sox, who Houston outscored, 27-2 in a three-game sweep in Chicago back in April.

Biggest OVER run: White Sox (12-3 last 15)

Chicago continues its 10-game road trip after dropping two of three at Cincinnati in spite of holding the lead in both losses. The Sox head down to Houston as their pitching staff has yielded at least five runs in each of the first six games of this trip. The offense has been terrific in the two road wins by scoring 10 and 12 runs, but has been limited to fewer than four runs in all four defeats. The task won’t be easy tonight against Houston’s Justin Verlander, while Sox starter Carlos Rodon has seen the OVER cash in each of his last three starts.

Biggest UNDER run: Tigers (7-1 last eight)

Detroit’s offense has disappeared of late by scoring three runs or less in seven of the past eight contests, while posting a total of five runs in a pair of losses in Chicago to the Cubs. The pitching hasn’t been terrible recently, as Detroit allowed a total of 11 runs in a four-game split at Toronto last weekend. But the lack of offense firepower has caught up with them since sitting at 36-37 on Father’s Day. The Tigers return to Comerica Park to host the Rangers for a four-game set, as Matthew Boyd heads to the mound in the opener. Boyd is winless in his last three outings, while giving up 14 runs in this stretch, as Detroit has hit the OVER in two of his past three home starts.

Matchup to watch: Cardinals vs. Giants

Two teams that have plenty of playoff experience this decade are seeking consistency as they hook up at AT&T Park this weekend. San Francisco swept Arizona last weekend, but its offense disappeared as it was swept by Colorado, while plating a total of three runs. The Cardinals dropped a three-game set at home to the Braves last weekend, but captured two of three at Arizona, including Wednesday’s 8-4 triumph.

Johnny Cueto makes his first start for the Giants since getting sidelined in April due to an elbow sprain. Cueto put together terrific numbers through his first five outings by posting a 3-0 record and 0.84 ERA, while tossing scoreless efforts against the Diamondbacks, Dodgers, and Angels. In last season’s lone start against the Cardinals, Cueto was staked to a 5-2 lead before St. Louis rallied for an 11-6 win as he scattered four hits and two runs in 5.1 innings of work.

Luke Weaver counters for the Cardinals, as the right-hander has actually been more productive on the road than at home. St. Louis has won six of Weaver’s eight away outings, compared to a 2-6 mark at Busch Stadium. Weaver was knocked around in his last start against Atlanta by giving up 10 hits and eight runs in 4.2 innings of an 11-4 loss. In Weaver’s past three away starts, the Cardinals’ offense has scored at least seven runs as St. Louis put together a 3-0 mark in those games.

Betcha didn’t know: This PSA can’t be put out enough regarding the Padres. San Diego has compiled a remarkable 5-23 record in series openers this season as the Padres travel to Arizona to face the Diamondbacks. The Padres have dropped eight straight Game 1’s of a series, but did capture the series opener at Chase Field back in April, for what it’s worth.

Biggest public favorite: Astros (-300) vs. White Sox

Biggest public underdog: Rangers (+105) at Tigers

Biggest line move: Diamondbacks (-139 to -148) vs. Padres

**Udog** · 07-05-2018, 11:38 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 5

STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTING PITCHERS

Streaking: Johnny Cueto, San Francisco Giants (3-0, 0.84 ERA, $353)

He's back! Okay, so Cueto might not fit the traditional paradigm of the streaking pitcher, but he was en fuego through his first five starts before suffering a right elbow sprain that has sidelined him since late April. Cueto ranks 36th in starter value despite making just a handful of starts, with the Giants winning four of those five outings.

We generally avoid starters in their first start following a lengthy injury, but getting him at -135 at home against a St. Louis team hitting just .237 on the road is too good to pass up. He's a highly recommended play Thursday.

Slumping: Matthew Boyd, Detroit Tigers (4-6, 4.18 ERA, $308)

Oh, Matt. You got off to such a good start! But alas, things have not gone so well of late, with Boyd having surrendered 14 runs in 13 innings over his previous three starts; not surprisingly, the Tigers lost all three. Boyd surrendered a home run in all three games and failed to reach the fifth inning in two of them; he remains in the black for the year, but he's fading fast.

On the flip side, all three of those losses came on the road, where Boyd is 1-5 with a 5.55 ERA. A return to Comerica Park – where Boyd is 3-1 with a 2.61 ERA – might be just what he needs. Consider a flier on Boyd at -111 against visiting Texas.

**Udog** · 07-05-2018, 01:45 PM

Diamond Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Nationals are 14-0 SU as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that is behind them in the standings and they are off a game as a dog.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Giants are 0-9 SU in the first game of a series with no rest after a one-run loss as a road dog.

Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Tigers are 0-10 SU off a road game in which Mikie Mahtook was hitless in at least three at bats.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Giants are 12-0 OU when Johnny Cueto starts at home and they won in his last start. San Francisco has gone over the total by an average of 3.58 rpg.

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/5

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/5

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