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Friday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/27

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  • Friday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/27

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, October 27

    Good Luck on day #299 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    — Happy birthday to Pat Sajak, the youngest-looking 71-year old in America.

    — Aaron Rodgers has 13 screws in his clavicle after surgery this week.

    — Eastern Michigan has used five different punters this season.

    — Ravens 40, Dolphins 0– Joe Flacco got KO’d with a concussion; Ravens have ten days before their next game, then a bye.

    — Stanford 15, Oregon State 14– Cardinal tore OSU’s hearts out, scoring a TD with 0:20 left. Beavers are having a terrible season.

    — Joe Girardi was fired by New York Thursday; the guy was 910-710 but got the boot.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I’m looking for this weekend

    13) Penn State-Ohio State is a game with national title implications; Buckeyes won five games in row since loss to Oklahoma, all by 31+ points; they’re 6-12 vs spread in last 18 games as a home favorite, 1-3 this year. OSU had last week off, Penn State whacked Michigan. Nittany Lions lost 38-10/63-14 in their last two visits to Columbus.

    12) Only 11 NFL games Sunday, only three divisional games this weekend as they defer to the World Series, keeping more marquee matchups until the second half of the season. Putting the Browns on TV from London at 9:30am isn’t going to help TV ratings any.

    11) Washington State embarrassed Arizona 69-7 last year, now they visit Tucson to play an invigorated Wildcat squad that is running the ball like crazy behind sophomore QB Tate. Big contrast is styles, interesting game— too bad it is on the Pac-12 Network.

    10) Bears visit the Superdome Sunday; Saints won their last four games, allowing 6 TD’s on 38 drives, while scoring three TD’s of their own. Now rookie QB Trubisky comes calling against a hot defense. Chicago’s only two TD’s last week were scored by their defense.

    9) Florida beat Georgia the last three years, by 14-24-18 points, but the Dawgs are unbeaten this year with a win at Notre Dame. Florida has played lot of close games this year; they’re getting two TD’s in this game. Favorites are 4-1-1 vs spread in last six series games.

    8) Raiders make the long trip last to play a Buffalo team that is B4-2 with a +10 turnover ratio; Bills are 3-0 at home, with wins by 9-10-3 points- they’re 22-42 on 3rd down in their last three games.

    7) Tennessee is 31-1 in its last 32 games with Kentucky; this is only 2nd time in last 21 years they’ve been an underdog to the Wildcats, but Butch Jones is on his way out in Knoxville— if Kentucky doesn’t beat the Vols this week, not sure when they will.

    6) Indianapolis is 0-3 on road, losing by 35-28-14 points (0-3 vs spread); four of their five losses are by 14+ points- they’ve been outscored 134-44 in second half of games this year, have one TD on 19 drives in last two games. Other than that, things are going great for the Colts.

    5) North Carolina was a double-digit favorite in two of its first three games, but they split those games and are 1-7, losing last four games by a combined score of 145-41 (36-10 average). Tar Heels host unbeaten Miami this week, coming off a 59-7 loss at Virginia Tech.

    4) Houston scored 33+ points in its last four games, led by surprising rookie QB Watson; now they visit a stout Seahawk defense that has allowed only two TD’s on 22 drives in two home wins, and held the Giants to seven points last week.

    3) Road team won last four Michigan State-Northwestern games; Wildcats won 54-40 in East Lansing LY, holding State to 51 YR. Spartans won their last five visits to Evanston.

    2) Redskins/Eagles both got banged up on Monday night; Washington hosts arch-rival Dallas here, as both teams try to keep pace with the first-place Eagles. Cowboys-Redskins is most always a fun game.

    1) USC s 0-6 against the spread in its last six games, losing their last two road games, at Notre Dame, Washington State. Trojans are tied for first in Pac-12 South, making this a bigger game than usual. ASU won three of its last four games, covering all four.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-27-2017, 06:34 PM.

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    • #3
      MLB
      Long Sheet

      Friday, October 27


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      LA DODGERS (112 - 60) at HOUSTON (109 - 66) - 8:05 PM
      YU DARVISH (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
      Top Trends for this game.
      LA DODGERS are 20-32 (-13.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
      LA DODGERS are 91-81 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      LA DODGERS are 28-37 (-23.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
      LA DODGERS are 105-123 (-34.4 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
      LA DODGERS are 148-106 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
      LA DODGERS are 97-94 (-34.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
      LA DODGERS are 32-26 (-15.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
      DARVISH is 16-17 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
      HOUSTON is 109-66 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      HOUSTON is 43-19 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
      HOUSTON is 84-40 (+26.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
      HOUSTON is 40-26 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      MORTON is 30-12 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
      HOUSTON is 63-55 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      HOUSTON is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
      1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

      YU DARVISH vs. HOUSTON since 1997
      DARVISH is 5-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.067.
      His team's record is 8-6 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-5. (+1.1 units)

      CHARLIE MORTON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
      MORTON is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.55 and a WHIP of 1.909.
      His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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      MLB
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Friday, October 27


      Los Angeles @ Houston
      Astros are 6-0 at home in playoffs, outscoring opponents 31-7. Dodgers are 8-2 in the playoffs, 3-1 on the road.

      Darvish is 4-0, 1.17 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1); Dodgers are 5-2 in his road starts. Darvish is 1-1, 3.00 vs Houston this year; he allowed one hit in seven IP in his only start here this year, on June 12. He is 2-2, 3.52 in four playoff starts.

      McCullers is 0-1, 5.21 in his last four starts; he threw four scoreless innings in relief in AL clincher vs New York. Over is 7-2 in his last nine starts. Astros are 6-3 in his home starts. McCullers is 0-0, 2.33 in four career playoff games (2 starts).




      MLB

      Friday, October 27


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
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      LA DODGERS @ HOUSTON
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games on the road
      Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers


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      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-27-2017, 06:36 PM.

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      • #4
        MLB
        Dunkel

        Friday, October 27



        LA Dodgers @ Houston

        Game 905-906
        October 27, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        LA Dodgers
        (Darvish) 16.994
        Houston
        (McCllers) 18.225
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Houston
        by 1
        7
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Houston
        -130
        8 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Houston
        (-130); Under
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-27-2017, 06:37 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          World Series Game 3 betting preview and odds: Dodgers at Astros

          Los Angeles Dodgers at Houston Astros (-115, 8.5)

          Series tied 1-1

          The Houston Astros emerged victorious in an epic Game 2 and now look to take a 2-1 lead when they host the Los Angeles Dodgers for Game 3 of the World Series on Friday. The teams combined for a World Series-record eight home runs on Wednesday, with George Springer's two-run blast in the 11th inning being the biggest in the Astros' come-from-behind 7-6 road win.

          Houston carries the momentum home after the comeback triumph and has made the decision to close the roof on Minute Maid Park for Friday's game, assuring that crowd noise will play a role in the festivities. "It's quite an environment when we play under the roof," Astros manager A.J. Hinch said during his press conference on Thursday. "It was one of the loudest stadiums the last series; I expect it to be the same. We're coming off one of the most epic baseball games in any of our careers, so that feels good. It will feel good right up to first pitch, and then it will be a new game." The 4-hour, 19-minute Game 2 classic featured six homers in the final three innings as Los Angeles saw a chance for a 2-0 series advantage evaporate. "I think all year long we've done a nice job of recovering, turning the page, whether it's a big win or tough loss," Dodgers manager Dave Roberts told reporters. "It's a tough loss - just refocusing on the day at hand."

          TV:
          8:09 p.m. ET, FOX

          LINE HISTORY:
          The Astros opened Game 3 as -125 favorites, but have been bet down to the current number of -115. Oddsmakers set the total at 8.5.

          PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (2-0, 1.59 ERA) vs. Astros RH Lance McCullers Jr. (0-0, 2.08)

          Darvish has fanned 14 batters in 11 1/3 innings this postseason to improve to 2-2 with a 3.52 ERA in four career playoff starts. The 31-year-old from Japan fared well at Minute Maid Park during his tenure with Texas, going 4-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 0.74 WHIP in six career outings. "I feel like it doesn't really matter," Darvish said of his past success through his translator at his press conference on Thursday. "It's better to know that I've pitched here before. But (Friday's) game, it could be totally different from my previous outings here."

          McCullers, who has posted a 2.33 ERA in four playoff appearances (two starts), is making his second start this postseason and has recorded 13 strikeouts in as many innings. The 24-year-old took a shutout into the seventh frame of Game 4 of the American League Championship Series before allowing a homer by New York Yankees rookie slugger Aaron Judge but has been mesmerizing hitters with a steady diet of curveballs. "I don't view it as an off-speed pitch," McCullers said at his press conference on Thursday. "I just view it as another one of my weapons that I can use to get people out."

          UMPIRE REPORT: Gerry Davis


          When it comes to home and away splits, Davis was pretty even, with the home team having a slight edge in games he officiated, going 16-14. Davis is the thrid straight Under umpire to call balls and strikes in this series, with the Under going 18-10 in his games this season. Davis has seen an average of 7.8 runs per game anad has a strike rate of 63.63 percent.

          TRENDS:


          * Dodgers are 21-5 in their last 26 games following an off day.
          * Astros are 6-0 in their last six playoff home games.
          * Under is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last eight road games.
          * Under is 8-1 in Astros last nine home games vs. a right-handed starter.

          CONSENSUS:
          Bettors like the Astros at home in Game 3, with 56 percent of wagers on Houston. When it comes to the total, bettors are on the Over after the offensive outburst in Game 2 with 58 percent of wagers on it.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-27-2017, 06:39 PM.

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