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**Udog** · 10-20-2017, 08:35 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

More NFL trends with Week 7 upon us……..

— Saints are 11-2 vs spread in last 13 games away from home.

— Minnesota is 15-5 vs spread in last 20 home games.

— 49ers covered six of their last eight games.

— Miami is 12-32-1 in last 45 games as a home favorite.

— Washington is 16-8 vs spread in its last 24 games.

— Buffalo is 8-4 vs spread coming off its last 12 byes.

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I’m looking for this weekend

13) How tired are the Falcons of hearing about last year’s Super Bowl? Now they get to visit Foxboro the week after blowing a 17-0 halftime lead to Miami. Matt Ryan went to Boston College, so a homecoming of sorts for him.

12) Michigan beat Penn State 49-10 last year; Wolverines are 5-1, but it is a shaky 5-1 and they are playing a backup QB- they needed OT to beat Indiana last week.

11) Brett Hundley gets his first NFL start at home against New Orleans; no pressure, replacing Aaron Rodgers �� Saints are actually a road favorite in this game.

10) Arizona Wildcats ran ball for 882 yards in their last two games; now they’re a road favorite at Cal— Golden Bears upset Washington State last week. Interesting game.

9) First round of rematches this weekend, three of them. Can the Jets sweep Miami? Eagles sweep Washington? Denver sweep the Chargers?

8) USC-Notre Dame is a stellar primetime game Saturday night. Trojans lost their last two visits to South Bend.

7) Cardinals-Rams in England is a big game in NFC West; Adrian Peterson added a running element to the Arizona offense last week. Both teams are a LONG way from home.

6) Think the boosters in Knoxville are happy that Tennessee is a 35-point underdog this week in Tuscaloosa? Hopefully Butch Jones has his resume updated, because he is going to need a job in a few weeks. His bank account will be healthy, though.

5) Giants got their first win last week, now Seattle visits Swamp Stadium coming off its bye. Giants’ young WR’s will have hard time getting open against a stingy Seahawk defense.

4) Texas is 3-3, losing to USC/Oklahoma by total of 8 points; now Oklahoma State comes calling, another tough game. State scored 48 ppg in winning its first three road games this year.

3) Jacksonville is +11 in turnovers in its wins, -1 in its losses; they have a very winnable game in Indy against a Colt team that might be without Andrew Luck for the whole season now. Jacoby Brissett hasn’t played badly, but Indy has been outscored 85-22 in the 4th quarter this year.

2) Louisville beat Florida State 63-20 LY, but Cardinals lost their last two games, allowing 84 points. Seminoles are struggling (2-3) with a true freshman QB who is skinny as hell- their only two wins are over Wake Forest/Duke.

1) Trap game for the Titans, a road game after a Monday night win. Winless Browns are going back to DeShone Kizer at QB; maybe they should’ve drafted Deshaun Watson. Ya think?

**Udog** · 10-20-2017, 09:46 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, October 20

NY Yankees @ Houston

Game 913-914
October 20, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Severino) 19.133
Houston
(Verlnder) 16.681
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-140
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(+120); Over

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 20

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NY YANKEES (98 - 75) at HOUSTON (106 - 65) - 8:05 PM
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 19-32 (-13.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
NY YANKEES are 11-17 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
NY YANKEES are 17-29 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
NY YANKEES are 8-18 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 106-65 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 83-40 (+25.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 18-6 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 53-35 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY YANKEES are 65-54 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 61-55 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-39 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-5 (+1.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.6 Units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SEVERINO is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 7.72 and a WHIP of 1.973.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
VERLANDER is 9-7 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.298.
His team's record is 11-12 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-12. (-4.4 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 20

New York @ Houston
Astros are 7-5 against New York this season, winning four of five at home. Houston scored total of nine runs in first five games in this series, all won by the home team.

Severino is 1-0, 5.56 in three playoff starts this season; he is 4-0, 3.27 in his last eight starts overall. Over is 5-3 in his last eight starts. New York is 9-7 in his road starts this season. He is 0-1, 7.71 in three starts vs Houston this season.

Verlander is 7-0, 1.29 in seven starts for Houston; he also won a game in relief. Under is 8-2 in his last ten starts. Astros are 4-0 in his home starts. Verlander is 1-0, 1.00 vs New York this season; he is 10-5, 3.19 in 19 career playoff games (18 starts).

MLB

Friday, October 20

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Trend Report
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NY YANKEES @ HOUSTON
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

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**Udog** · 10-20-2017, 09:52 AM

Friday's ALCS Playoff Betting Preview And Odds: Yankees at Astros

The Astros left home a few days ago feeling very good about their chances to win the American League pennant, but returned home with a very different feeling.

New York Yankees at Houston Astros (NYY +124, HOU -134, O/U 7.5)

Yankees lead series 3-2

The Houston Astros left home a few days ago feeling very good about their chances to win the American League pennant and advance to the second World Series in franchise history, but returned home with a very different feeling. The Astros will try to stay alive one more day and force a decisive Game 7 of the AL Championship Series when they host the New York Yankees in Game 6 on Friday.

Houston won the first two games at home but totaled only nine runs in the series after leading the majors in scoring with 896 runs during the regular season, and it is looking for more from George Springer (2-for-18 in the series) and Josh Reddick (0-for-17) at home in Game 6. "It will be great," Astros manager A.J. Hinch told reporters of getting back to Houston. "There weren't a lot rooting for us here. I think getting home will be good for us. We'll have an off day (Thursday), and then get to play in front of our home crowd. Every home team has won this series, if that trend continues, we'll be in pretty good shape." The Yankees finally found their offense at home while winning all three games, and are starting to get production from Aaron Judge (4-for-9, two homers, six RBIs in the last three games) and Gary Sanchez, who drove in five runs in the last two contests. "I give our guys a lot of credit for how resilient they are, and how they continue to fight and never give up and understand, take it one game at a time and don't panic," New York manager Joe Girardi told reporters. "And just continue to fight."

TV: 8:08 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

INJURY REPORT:

Yankees - SP L. Severino (Probable, Shoulder), SP L. Cessa (Out For Season, Ribs), SP M. Pineda (Out For Season, Elbow).

Astros - CF J. Marisnick (Out For Season, Thumb), SP D. Paulino (Out For Season, Suspension), RP J. Gustave (Out For Season, Elbow).

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees RH Luis Severino (1-0, 5.56 ERA) vs. Astros RH Justin Verlander (3-0, 2.04)

Severino is hoping to go deeper into Game 6 after being lifted from Game 2 following the fourth inning, when he struggled to get loose and was hit in the wrist by a comebacker. The 23-year-old Dominican was checked out by doctors and quickly cleared. Severino surrendered a solo home run to Carlos Correa in that outing and was strong in his lone AL Division Series appearance, yielding three runs and four hits in seven innings against Cleveland.

Verlander went up against Severino in Game 2 and earned the win while hurling a 124-pitch complete game. The former AL MVP yielded one run and five hits while striking out 13 and walking one to earn his third win in as many 2017 postseason appearances. Verlander is 8-0 with a 1.39 ERA in eight appearances since arriving in a trade from the Detroit Tigers on Aug. 31.

TRENDS:

* Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 playoff road games.
* Yankees are 15-3 in Severino's last 18 starts.
* Astros are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
* Astros are 7-0 in Verlander's 7 starts since joining Houston.
* Over is 12-3 in Severino's last 15 starts overall.
* Under is 8-0 in Astros' last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
* Over is 17-6-3 in Jim Reynolds' last 26 games behind home plate.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home chalk Astros at a rate of 74 percent and the Over is picking up 57 percent of the totals action.

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Friday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/20

Friday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/20

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