Announcement

**Udog** · 10-19-2017, 08:28 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

NFL trends with Week 7 upon us……..

— Chiefs covered 7 of last 9 games as a favorite.

— Colts covered 12 of last 14 tries as a home underdog.

— Cleveland is 3-13 vs spread in its last 16 games.

— Panthers are 1-6-1 in last 8 tries as a road favorite.

— Dallas is 9-3 vs spread in its last 12 post-bye games.

— Atlanta is 8-1 in its last 9 games as a road underdog.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Philadelphia Eagle fans are not happy with NFL referee Pete Morelli; the last four times Morelli worked an Eagle game, his crew called a total of 40 penalties for 396 yards on the Iggles, only 8 penalties for 74 yards on their opponents. Its enough to make a guy paranoid.

A petition was circulated; last I heard, over 60,000 people had signed it, requesting that Morelli not work any more Eagle games. Alrighty then.

12) Andrew Luck had a setback with his injured shoulder, and now there is talk he won’t play at all this season, which is bad news for everyone in Indianapolis except Jacoby Brissett.

11) 2018 NFL Draft will be at Jerry World in Dallas, the first time the draft will be in an actual NFL stadium.

10) General Electric shelled out a lot of money to put their patch on the Boston Celtics’ uniforms this season; less than six minutes into the Celtics’ season, newly-acquired star Gordon Hayward breaks his ankle, is lost for the season. So much for seeing those patches in June.

9) Celtics were the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference last year, but they’ve got 11 new players on their team this season. Am I the only person who finds this unusual?

8) Jacksonville told its kicker Jason Myers to take a hike, signed former Chargers’ kicker Josh Lambo, who in a perfect world, would kick for the Packers (Lambeau Field…..get it??)

7) BYU’s football team is 1-6, with only win 20-6 against I-AA Portland State; they’re off to their worst start since 1969. Cougars need to join a league- -maybe when the new dome gets built in Las Vegas, UNLV/BYU can join the Big X as a western tandem.

6) When I was a kid, I loved game shows, totally enjoyed them. One of the games was Jokers’ Wild, hosted by Jack Barry, where contestants played with a simulated slot machine to try and win their money/prizes. It wasn’t the best show, but it had an odd appeal.

Now it is coming back on WTBS and it is being hosted by Snoop Dawg. I have no opinion on this, other than I’ve got to watch it at least once. In the commercials I saw, Snoop Dawg appears to be wearing a velour smoking jacket. If gameshows make a comeback, that would be good.

5) Yu Darvish walked with the bases loaded Monday night; he is the first pitcher in 40 years to walk with the bases loaded in a playoff game. Larry Christensen of the Phillies was the last pitcher to draw a bases loaded walk in a playoff game, in 1977.

4) Nick Young scored 23 points for the Warriors Tuesday night, but Golden State was also -10 in the 29:00 he was on the floor in their 122-121 loss to Houston. Warriors were +9 in the 19:00 he was on the bench, -10 when he was on the floor. Thats more important than his point total.

3) There are rumors that the Big 14 is considering moving to 20 conference games next season, with the eventual goal of juicing up their teams’ power ratings so mid-majors get blocked out of at-large bids for the NCAA tournament. That would be sad, if that is the reason.

2) Baseball playoffs:
New York 5, Houston 0— Astros have scored 9 runs in five series games.

1) When you watch NBA/college games this season, consider this:

Several years ago, I was sitting at an AAU tournament talking to a college basketball coach who is very good at his job. I was asking him lot of questions, trying to pick his brain as far as what he looked for at these tournaments with mostly glorified pickup games being played.

“I look at what their college skill is” the coach said. “Some guys shoot it well, others pass it well, some rebound well. I’ll tell you this, getting loose balls is a skill, too”

So when there is a loose ball in an NBA game and the same couple guys are getting most of them, know that their toughness/quickness is what helped get them to the NBA in the first place. Its not an accident.

**Udog** · 10-19-2017, 08:47 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 19

Dodgers @ Cubs
Dodgers are 7-3 vs Chicago this season, 3-1 in this series; they shut Cubs out in 3 of the 7 wins. Home team won eight of ten series games (under 8-2).

Kershaw is 2-0, 3.86 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five outings. Dodgers are 11-2 in his last 13 road starts. He is 0-0, 5.79 in two starts against the Cubs this season, is 5-7, 4.17 in 20 career playoff games (16 starts).

Quintana is 0-0, 4.11 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five starts. Cubs are 7-0 in his last seven home starts. He is 0-0, 1.59 in three career playoff games (2 starts), he allowed two runs in five IP in his only ’17 start against the Dodgers.

MLB

Thursday, October 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS @ CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-19-2017, 03:11 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, October 19

LA Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

Game 911-912
October 19, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 16.934
Chicago Cubs
(Quntana) 15.184
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-155
7
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-155); Under

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (110 - 59) at CHICAGO CUBS (96 - 75) - 8:05 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 90-81 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 146-105 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 31-26 (-16.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 188-113 (+37.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
KERSHAW is 45-9 (+23.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 34-7 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 27-4 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 96-75 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 906-822 (-158.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-25 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in home games in October games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 51-44 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 35-37 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 7-3 (+4.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.1 Units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
KERSHAW is 6-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.76 and a WHIP of 1.120.
His team's record is 8-4 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-9. (-7.5 units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
QUINTANA is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 0.95 and a WHIP of 0.895.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-19-2017, 03:12 PM

Thursday's NLCS Playoff Betting Preview And Odds: Dodgers at Cubs

Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (LAD -160, CHC +150, O/U 7)

Dodgers lead series 3-1

The Chicago Cubs have won five straight games when their backs were against the wall dating to last year’s World Series, and they’ll try to make it six on Thursday. The Cubs will try to stave off elimination for a second consecutive night by defeating the Los Angeles Dodgers at home and sending the National League Championship Series back to California.

Javier Baez homered twice and Willson Contreras also went deep in support of Jake Arrieta as Chicago held on for a 3-2 win in Game 4 to extend the series, handing the Dodgers their first loss of the postseason. Los Angeles had not trailed after the fifth inning in any of its previous six playoff games this year. “We don’t expect anyone to lay down,” Dodgers manager Dave Roberts told reporters. “They’re the world champs, and you know they’re going to fight to the end.” If the Cubs are going to live another day, someone other than Wade Davis will have to close out Game 5, as the right-hander recorded six outs on Wednesday for his second multi-inning save of the postseason.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TBS

INJURY REPORT:

Dodgers - SS Corey Seager (Out Indefinitely, Back), 1B Adrian Gonzalez (Out For Season, Back), RP Adam Liberatore (Out For Season, Forearm), LF Franklin Gutierrez (Out For Season, Spine), SP Scott Kazmir (Out Indefinitely, Hip), RP Yimi Garcia (Out For Season, Elbow).

Cubs - RP Koji Uehara (Out Indefinitely, Knee).

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (1-0, 4.76 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jose Quintana (0-0, 1.59)

Kershaw is 5-7 with a 4.57 ERA in 20 career games (16 starts) in the postseason. He split two starts against the Cubs in last year’s NLCS and allowed two runs over five innings in a no-decision in Game 1 of this matchup. Surprisingly, the ace has started only one series-clincher, throwing six scoreless frames to beat Atlanta in the 2013 NL Division Series.

Quintana has been excellent in his first postseason, allowing three runs - two earned - over 11 1/3 innings in two starts and a relief appearance. He gave up two runs and two hits over five frames in Game 1 and left with the contest tied. Quintana went 5-0 with a 4.76 ERA in eight turns at Wrigley Field during the regular season.

TRENDS:

* Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 playoff games.
* Dodgers are 2-11 in their last 13 League Championship road games.
* Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 playoff elimination games.
* Under is 8-0-1 in Dodgers' last 9 vs. National League Central.
* Under is 5-0 in Cubs' last 5 home games.
* Dodgers are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
* Over is 39-19-3 in Welke's last 61 games behind home plate.

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/19

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/19

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment