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Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/17

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  • Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/17

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, October 17

    Good Luck on day #289 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    NBA over/under win totals for the coming season:

    Golden State Warriors 67.5

    Boston Celtics 56.5

    Houston Rockets 55.5

    San Antonio Spurs 54.5

    Cleveland Cavaliers 53.5

    Oklahoma City Thunder 51.5


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..

    13) You hear a lot of cruddy things about people these days; here’s something nice about someone, Joey Votto of the Cincinnati Reds.

    Votto is the Reds’ biggest star; when a 6-year old boy in Cincinnati had cancer this past summer, Votto visited the kid, without wanting publicity, and tried to make the kid feel as good as possible as this horrible disease took its toll. He helped in a fundraising event for the boy’s family that the Reds sponsored- he contributed $10,000 of his own money.

    The little boy passed away 10 days ago; Votto was at the memorial service, again not wanting publicity, but in this age of negativity, how can you can not talk about such a nice person?

    12) Detroit Lions’ QB Matthew Stafford is on pace to get sacked 61 times this season; the last NFL QB to get sacked 60+ times in a season? Jon Kitna, also of Detroit, back in 2006.

    11) Maryland fired its athletic director, in part because the guy tried to get the AD job out at California, and Maryland’s school president wasn’t happy about that.

    10) Rams play Arizona in London Sunday, but they’re staying in Jacksonville until Thursday, to get solid practices in, as opposed to doing tourist-type stuff in England. Different teams have taken different approaches to the London games; we’ll see how this works out.

    9) New York-Houston playoff game Friday was the first time ever that the two cleanup hitters in a playoff game were the starting shortstops.

    8) Cubs’ pitching coach Chris Bosio takes a while to the walk to the mound, but with good reason; he has a broken ankle, and is wearing a boot on his foot.

    7) 37-year old Damien Wilkins has been out of the NBA since 2013, but he made the Indiana Pacers’ roster this season— good for him.

    6) Nebraska hired Washington State AD Bill Moos as its new athletic director, which may be bad news for both football coach Mike Riley and basketball coach Tim Miles, both of whom have been struggling to win as much as the wealthy boosters would like.

    5) Ike Iroegbu played an exhibition game for the Clippers last week with no name on the back of his uniform; he had arrived in LA just a few hours before the game. Clippers cut him over the weekend; he is probably headed to the G-League.

    4) Golden State Warriors may have found itself a steal in Oregon alum Jordan Bell; the 38th pick in the draft scored 29 points in 49 minutes in the preseason.

    3) When Cavaliers’ JR Smith drinks coffee, he puts in 8 creams and 8 sugars in each one. Not a lot of room left for the coffee.

    2) 49ers released LB NaVorro Bowman last week, a once-great player who is still good enough to play in the NFL. He signed with Oakland Monday.

    1) Chiefs were at the last NFL team to lose this season; last time the “last team to lose” won the Super Bowl that year? The 2006 Indianapolis Colts
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-17-2017, 01:24 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      MLB
      Dunkel

      Tuesday, October 17



      LA Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

      Game 963-964
      October 17, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      LA Dodgers
      (Darvish) 17.112
      Chicago Cubs
      (Hendrcks) 15.006
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      LA Dodgers
      by 2
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Chicago Cubs
      -120
      No Total
      Dunkel Pick:
      LA Dodgers
      (+100); N/A

      Houston @ NY Yankees


      Game 965-966
      October 17, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Houston
      (McCllers) 19.023
      NY Yankees
      (Gray) 16.791
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Houston
      by 2
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Houston
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Houston
      N/A





      MLB
      Long Sheet

      Tuesday, October 17


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LA DODGERS (109 - 58) at CHICAGO CUBS (95 - 74) - 9:05 PM
      YU DARVISH (R) vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (R)
      Top Trends for this game.
      LA DODGERS are 19-31 (-13.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
      LA DODGERS are 89-80 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      LA DODGERS are 145-104 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
      LA DODGERS are 96-93 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
      DARVISH is 15-17 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
      CHICAGO CUBS are 187-112 (+37.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
      LA DODGERS are 77-32 (+27.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
      LA DODGERS are 40-13 (+20.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
      CHICAGO CUBS are 95-74 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      CHICAGO CUBS are 905-821 (-157.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
      CHICAGO CUBS are 17-24 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in home games in October games since 1997.
      CHICAGO CUBS are 240-276 (-69.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
      CHICAGO CUBS are 73-57 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
      CHICAGO CUBS are 34-36 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      LA DODGERS is 6-2 (+4.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
      6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.0 Units)

      YU DARVISH vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
      DARVISH is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.386.
      His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

      KYLE HENDRICKS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
      HENDRICKS is 3-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.20 and a WHIP of 0.704.
      His team's record is 3-2 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.0 units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      HOUSTON (106 - 62) at NY YANKEES (95 - 75) - 5:05 PM
      BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      HOUSTON is 7-2 (+4.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
      5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

      BRAD PEACOCK vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
      No recent starts.

      SONNY GRAY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
      GRAY is 4-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.286.
      His team's record is 4-5 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.4 units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      MLB
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Tuesday, October 17


      New York @ Houston
      Astros are 7-3 against New York this season, winning 3 of 5 in the Bronx. Houston scored total of five runs in first three games in this series.

      McCullers is 0-2, 7.50 in his last four starts; his last win was June 24. Over is 6-2 in his last eight starts. Houston is 1-4 in his last five road starts. He is 1-0, 2.38 in two starts vs NY this season, is 0-0, 3.86 in two career playoff games (one start).

      Gray is 1-3, 6.75 in his last four starts; under is 8-4-1 in his last 13 starts. NY is 2-3 in his home starts. Gray allowed five runs in five IP in his one start vs Houston this year- he is 0-2, 3.31 in three career playoff starts.

      Cubs @ Dodgers
      Dodgers are 5-2 vs Chicago this season; they shut Cubs out in 3 of the 5 wins. Home team won six of seven series games (under 6-1).

      Darvish is 3-0, 1.11 in his last four starts; over is 5-3-1 in his last nine starts. Dodgers are 4-2 in his road starts. He is 1-2, 4.32 in three career playoff starts- he hasn’t pitched the Cubs this year.

      Hendricks is 2-0, 1.82 in his last five starts; under is 6-1 in his last seven starts. Cubs are 7-6 in his home starts. Hendricks is 2-1, 2.60 in nine career playoff starts; he hasn’t pitched against the Dodgers this season.




      MLB

      Tuesday, October 17


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      5:08 PM
      HOUSTON vs. NY YANKEES
      Houston is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
      NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Houston
      NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home

      9:01 PM
      LA DODGERS vs. CHI CUBS
      LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
      LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
      Chi Cubs are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-17-2017, 01:25 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        Tuesday's MLB League Championship Series Betting Preview and Odds

        It should be a tremendous day of baseball Tuesday with a pair of crucial games hitting the field. The Yankees will host the Astros for Game 4 of the ALCS, followed by the Dodgers and Cubs at Wrigley Field in Chicago for Game 3 of the NLCS.

        Houston Astros at New York Yankees (HOU +115, NYY -125, Total: 9)

        Astros lead series 2-1

        The New York Yankees woke up offensively just in time on their home field and hope to build on a big night when the Houston Astros visit for Game 4 of the American League Championship Series on Tuesday. The Yankees managed only two runs while losing the first two games but exploded for eight runs in the first four innings on Monday before going on to post a critical 8-1 triumph.

        Aaron Judge, who was 4-for-31 with 19 strikeouts in the playoffs coming into Monday's contest, and Todd Frazier (2-for-15 in the previous five games) each belted a three-run homer to break out of postseason slumbers as New York avoided playing another elimination game. Sonny Gray will try to help the Yankees even the series and keep Jose Altuve under control as the AL batting champion is 11-for-30 lifetime against him and hitting .481 with three homers in the postseason. Houston will counter with Lance McCullers Jr., who struck out 132 batters over 118 2/3 innings during the regular season but is looking for his first victory since June 24. The Astros, who led the majors in several offensive categories this campaign and averaged six runs along with 12.3 hits in the AL Division Series, have managed five runs and 15 hits over the first three games against the Yankees.

        TV:
        5:08 p.m. ET, FS1

        PITCHING MATCHUP:
        Astros RH Lance McCullers Jr. (0-0, 6.00 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Sonny Gray (0-1, 8.10)

        McCullers makes his second career playoff start and first this postseason after giving up two runs and three hits over three innings of relief against Boston on Oct. 8. The 24-year-old Tampa native, who gave up two runs over 6 1/3 frames in his other playoff start in 2015, went 7-4 with a 4.25 ERA during the regular season but was winless in his last eight turns. Didi Gregorius is 5-for-8 against McCullers, who went 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA in two starts versus the Yankees during an eight-game stretch this year in which he went 5-0.

        Gray has had plenty of rest since permitting three runs on three hits and four walks over 3 1/3 innings against Cleveland in the ALDS for his eighth loss in 12 decisions since joining the Yankees. The 27-year-old Vanderbilt product is 2-3 with a 5.65 ERA in five starts at Yankee Stadium this year and gave up five runs over five innings in a loss to Houston on June 20 while with Oakland. Gray is winless in three career postseason outings, but he pitched well for the Athletics during the 2013 playoffs (2.08 ERA in two starts).

        TRENDS:


        * Astros are 40-18 in their last 58 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
        * Astros are 1-7 in McCullers Jr.'s last 8 starts.
        * Yankees are 20-7 in their last 27 home games.
        * Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 League Championship games.
        * Over is 7-1 in McCullers Jr.'s last 8 starts overall.
        * Home team is 19-9 in Guccione's last 28 games behind home plate.



        Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (LAD +102, CHC -110, Total: 8.5)

        Dodgers lead series 2-0

        The Los Angeles Dodgers have yet to lose in the postseason and are two wins from reaching their first World Series since 1988. The defending World Series champion Chicago Cubs have three straight home games beginning Tuesday to try to prevent them from getting any closer.

        The Cubs have had the Dodgers’ number at Wrigley Field recently, winning two of three there during last year’s NLCS and taking two of three when the Dodgers visited in April. Los Angeles’ pitchers have dominated this series, though, allowing only three runs through two games as the bullpen has combined for eight scoreless frames and allowed one baserunner and no hits. “I think up to this point we've done everything we can to put ourselves in a good position, but there is a long way to go,” Dodgers manager Dave Roberts told reporters. “It’s definitely noted how resilient that club is over there. They're going to do everything they can to win a game, and we're going to do the same.” To get back into the series, the Cubs will have to get the big bats in the middle of their lineup going as Chicago is hitting .117 in the series and stars Kris Bryant and Anthony Rizzo are a combined 1-for-14 with six strikeouts.

        TV:
        9 p.m. ET, TBS

        PITCHING MATCHUP:
        Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (1-0, 1.80 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (1-0, 3.27)

        Darvish won his only start in the NLDS, allowing one run and two hits while striking out seven over five innings to beat Arizona for his first win in three postseason starts. The 31-year-old went 4-3 with a 3.44 ERA in nine regular-season starts after the Dodgers acquired him from Texas, and has allowed only two earned runs over his last four starts dating to the regular season. Darvish faced the Cubs last season while with the Rangers and allowed two runs over 4 1/3 innings in a loss at Wrigley Field.

        Hendricks is 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA in nine postseason starts, but wasn’t at his best in Game 5 of the NLDS against Washington, allowing four runs --and two homers -- over four innings. The 27-year-old helped the Cubs clinch last year’s NLCS by throwing 7 1/3 scoreless innings against the Dodgers a year ago. Hendricks is 2-1 with a 3.15 ERA in three regular-season meetings against Los Angeles.

        TRENDS:


        * Dodgers are 1-10 in their last 11 League Championship road games.
        * Cubs are 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
        * Under is 6-0-1 in Dodgers' last 7 vs. National League Central.
        * Under is 6-1 in Cubs' last 7 playoff home games.
        * Under is 24-6-1 in Hendricks' last 31 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
        * Under is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings in Chicago.

        CONSENSUS:
        The public is leaning toward the home chalk Cubs with 60 percent of the picks.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-17-2017, 01:26 PM.

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