Announcement

**Udog** · 10-15-2017, 09:45 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks for Week 6 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Atlanta Falcons, -11.5 (644)

5) Los Angeles Rams, +2.5 (701)

4) Denver Broncos, -11.5 (716)

3) Detroit Lions, +5 (779)

2) Green Bay Packers, -3 (970)

1) Pittsburgh Steelers, +4.5 (993)

Season record of top 6 picks: 13-17

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Rough week for big favorites:
Syracuse (+24) 27, Clemson 24
Boston College (+21) 45, Louisville 42
Arizona State (+18) 13, Washington 7
South Alabama (+18) 19, Troy 8
California (+14) 37, Washington State 3
Tulsa (+13.5) 45, Houston 17
Florida International (+13.5) 23, Tulane 10
UConn (+9.5) 28, Temple 24
Boise State (+7) 31, San Diego State 14

12) Friday the 13th hijinx; If you put $10 on a Syracuse/Cal moneyline parlay Friday night, you cashed a ticket for $700.

11) Washington State alum Klay Thompson was on the sidelines at Berkeley for the second half of the Coogs’ loss at Cal Friday night. Wazzu turned the ball over seven times; everything they tried went wrong. Just a very bad night, after they had beaten USC/Oregon their last two games.

Warriors beat Sacramento at home earlier Friday night.

10) South Carolina 15, Tennessee 9— Vols started a freshman QB, Vols didn’t score in second half. Vols play Alabama next; good luck with that. Just for the record, Butch Jones’ buyout is over $8M. You know someone dislikes your performance if they pay you $8M to go away.

9) LSU 27, Auburn 23— Auburn led this game 20-0; LSU ran punt return back for a TD early in 4th quarter, then kicked two FG’s in last 2:36 for the upset win.

8) Air Force 34, UNLV 30— Rebels led this game 30-7 in the 3rd quarter.

7) South Florida 33, Cincinnati 3— Bulls have won their last ten games, the longest current win streak in college football.

6) Rained so hard at the Akron-Western Michigan game that they postponed it until Sunday; the stadium had some damage with the heavy rains, they weren’t 100% sure they could play Sunday.

5) Texas A&M 19, Florida 17— Not often you beat a good team on the road when your QB is 8-24 passing, but Aggies pulled this win out- they’re 5-2, after blowing a 44-10 lead in their opener, a hideous 45-44 loss at UCLA. At one point early in 2nd quarter, A&M had four true freshman playing in their secondary— you don’t see that very often.

4) Ohio State 56, Nebraska 14— In its last two games, Ohio State outgained opponents 390-35 in the 1st quarter. Maybe Mike Riley can go back to Oregon State when Nebraska fires him.

3) Oklahoma 29, Texas 24— Sooners blew a 20-0 lead, but pulled out a win; Longhorns covered the last four games in this rivalry. Two of Oklahoma’s three TD’s in this game came on plays of 50+ yards.

2) USC 28, Utah 27— Utes scored a TD with 0:42 left to make score 28-27 USC, then went for two points and the lead— they failed on the attempt. I’ve said this before in this spot, but I really dislike this play— it is the macho thing to do, but if you’re the underdog, keep the game going as long as possible, plus this— YOU’RE ON NATIONAL TV!!!! National TV exposure is PRICELESS.

1) Army 28, Eastern Michigan 27— Eagles did the same thing as Utah, except with 0:49 left; this is even more of a blunder against a service academy, since chances are you have a better kicker than they do, as far as overtime goes. Army didn’t complete one pass (0-5) in this game, so they weren’t gonna score in the last 0:49 of regulation.

**Udog** · 10-15-2017, 10:21 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, October 15

Chicago Cubs @ LA Dodgers

Game 907-908
October 15, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 15.118
LA Dodgers
(Hill) 17.001
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-150
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(+130); Under

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (95 - 73) at LA DODGERS (108 - 58) - 7:35 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. RICH HILL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 95-73 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 34-35 (-9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LESTER is 0-6 (-9.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 76-32 (+26.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 39-13 (+19.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 187-111 (+38.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
LESTER is 32-10 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 144-104 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 5-2 (+3.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

JON LESTER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LESTER is 3-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.043.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.9 units)

RICH HILL vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HILL is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 15

Cubs @ Dodgers
Dodgers are 5-2 vs Chicago this season; they shut Cubs out in 3 of the 5 wins. Home team won six of seven series games (under 6-1). Cubs scored 6 runs in four games in LA this season.

Lester threw 55 pitches in relief in Wednesday’s game; he is 2-0, 1.06 in his last three starts. His last eight starts went over the total. Cubs are 8-7 in his road starts this season. Lester is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts against the Dodgers this season; he is 9-7, 2.57 in 24 career playoff games (20 starts).

Hill is 3-0, 1.64 in his last four starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven starts. Dodgers are 9-6 in his home starts. Hill hasn’t pitched against the Cubs this season; he is 1-2, 4.50 in five career starts in the playoffs, the first of which was for the Cubs in 2007.

AL Wild Card
NYY 8-4 Minn -$255, O7.5

NL Wild Card
Ariz 11-8 Colo -$148, O8.5

Hous 8-2 Bos, -$120, O7
Hous 8-2 Bos, -$185, O8.5
Bos 10-3 Hst, +$117, O9.5
Hst 5-4 Bos, -$118, O8
Astros win series, 3-1

Clev 4-0 NYY -$130, U8.5
Clev 9-8 NYY (13), -$210, O7
NYY 1-0 Clev, -$109, U8.5
NYY 7-3 Clev, -$150, O7.5
NYY 5-2 Clev, +$165, N7
New York wins series, 3-2

Cubs 3-0 Wash +$135, U7.5
Wash 6-3 Cubs, -$117, O8.5
Cubs 2-1 Wash, +$105, U7.5
Wash 5-0 Cubs, -$109, U7
Cubs 9-8 Wash, -$115, O7.5
Cubs win series, 3-2

LA 9-4 Ariz -$270, O7.5
LA 8-5 Ariz, -$142, O8
LA 2-1 Ariz, -$115, U8
Dodgers win series, 3-0

League championship series
Hst 2-1 NYY, -$165, U8
Hst 2-1 NYY, -$118, U7.5

LA 5-2 Cubs, -$190, U7

MLB

Sunday, October 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:38 PM
CHI CUBS vs. LA DODGERS
Chi Cubs are 18-7 SU in their last 25 games
Chi Cubs are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-15-2017, 10:32 AM

Sunday's NLCS Playoff Betting Preview And Odds: Cubs at Dodgers

The Cubs registered four hits in Game 1, marking the third time in six games this postseason they have recorded fewer than five.

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD -150, 7.5)

Dodgers lead series 1-0

After going all-in to close out the National League Division Series and facing Clayton Kershaw in Game 1 of the NL Championship Series, the Chicago Cubs figured they might be in this position. The Los Angeles Dodgers can keep the defending World Series champions on the ropes with another victory at home on Sunday.

Albert Almora Jr. gave the Cubs a 2-0 lead in the opener with a two-run blast off Kershaw in the fourth inning, but he wound up being the team’s last baserunner. Kershaw retired the final six batters he faced and the Dodgers’ bullpen set down 12 straight to close out a 5-2 victory. Chicago's bats need to bounce back against veteran Rich Hill, who was drafted by the Cubs and went 18-17 with a 4.37 ERA over his first four major-league seasons with the club from 2005-08. The Dodgers have belted five home runs while winning their first four playoff games and will try to keep it going against Jon Lester, who is slated to start on three days’ rest after an extended relief outing in Game 4 of the NLDS against Washington.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TBS

INJURY REPORT:

Cubs - RP Koji Uehara (Out Indefinitely, Knee).

Dodgers - SS Corey Seager (Out Indefinitely, Back), 1B Adrian Gonzalez (Out For Season, Back), RP Adam Liberatore (Out For Season, Forearm), LF Franklin Gutierrez (Out For Season, Spine), SP Scott Kazmir (Out Indefinitely, Hip), RP Yimi Garcia (Out For Season, Elbow).

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs LH Jon Lester (13-8, 4.33 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Rich Hill (12-8, 3.32)

Lester was outstanding in one start and one relief appearance in the NLDS, allowing two runs and three hits over 9 2/3 innings. The 33-year-old is the active leader in postseason innings pitched with 143 1/3 and owns a 9-7 record and 2.57 ERA in 24 playoff appearances (20 starts). Lester is 2-3 with a 3.89 ERA in seven career regular-season starts against the Dodgers and went 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts in last year’s NLCS matchup.

Hill started Game 2 of the NLDS against Arizona, allowing two runs and three hits over four innings of a no-decision. The 37-year-old is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in five career postseason starts. Hill has made only one relief appearance against his former team in the regular season, but he limited the Cubs to two hits over six scoreless innings of a win in Game 3 of last year’s NLCS.

TRENDS:

* Cubs are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

* Dodgers are 8-0 in Hills last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

* Over is 10-1 in Lesters last 11 starts overall.

* Over is 6-0-1 in Dodgers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

* Cubs are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home chalk Dodgers at a rate of 54 percent and the Over is picking up 69 percent of the totals action.

Announcement

Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/15

Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/15

Comment

Comment

Comment