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**Udog** · 10-14-2017, 08:31 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

More NFL trends for Week 6 games this weekend:

— Minnesota is 14-5 vs spread in its last 19 home games.

— Saints are 6-1-1 vs spread in their last eight post-bye games.

— Redskins are 2-7 vs spread in their last nine post-bye games.

— Patriots are 2-7 in last nine games as a divisional road favorite.

— Buccaneers are 6-2 in last eight games as a road un

— Chargers are 13-3-4 vs spread as a divisional road underdog.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

13) Back in the late 60’s/early 70’s, the great basketball coach Jerry Tarkanian said this:

“The NCAA is so mad at Kentucky, that they’re going to put Western Kentucky on probation”

Well, North Carolina got off with a slap on the wrist from the NCAA Friday, after wide-spread academic fraud was uncovered at UNC:

“While student-athletes likely benefited from the so-called ‘paper courses’ offered by North Carolina, the information available in the record did not establish that the courses were solely created, offered and maintained as an orchestrated effort to benefit student-athletes.”
Greg Sankey, the panel’s chief hearing officer.

That means one thing: Western Carolina, Coastal Carolina, East Carolina? They best be careful, because the NCAA is mad again, but they’re not gonna punish one of their fat cat teams.

12) Syracuse (+24) 27, Clemson 24– Clemson’s QB got hurt, didn’t play the second half; they missed two FG’s- their regular kicker got hurt in practice couple weeks ago. Tigers never led in this game. Big win for Dino Babers and the Orangemen.

11) Ezekiel Elliott’s 6-game suspension was upheld; Cowboys have their bye this week— will the suspension start in Week 7?

10) Brooklyn Nets’ coach Kenny Atkinson has seven brothers; imagine growing up in a house with eight boys in it? You couldn’t help but be a tough kid.

9) If you don’t think poaching is rampant in college basketball, consider this: There are 18 Division I college basketball transfers who are eligible this season, who scored 15+ points/game in their last stop. Kids who score 15+ a game aren’t transferring because they’re unhappy with their playing time.

8) Turns out that Roger Goodell’s wife had a secret Twitter account where she defended her husband against some of his detractors, which is pretty cool. Jane Skinner Goodell used to be an anchor on Fox News Channel; she has been married to Goodell for 20 years.

7) Random trivia: Bill Sharman played for the Boston Celtics in the 50’s; he was backcourt-mate with the great Bob Cousy. Sharman’s career free-throw %age: 88.3%; that is 13th on the all-time NBA list for FT %age.

Sharman also coached for 10 years in the NBA/ABA, going 466-353 in a 10-year career; in fact, he won the 1971 ABA title with the Utah Stars (Zelmo Beaty, Willie Wise, Ron Boone), then got the Lakers’ job the next year and won the 1972 NBA title (Wilt Chamberlain, Jerry West).

Sharman also played minor league baseball, he played OF/3B, hitting .292 in 133 minor league games from 1950-55. He was called up to the Brooklyn Dodgers in 1951, but never got into a game.

6) 76ers’ coach Brett Brown has a 75-253 record in four years in Philly, but expectations are a lot higher this season, with the Sixers having so many good young players acquired thru the draft. Philly’s over/under win total in Las Vegas this season: 42.5. In other words, the 76ers are expected to make the playoffs this season.

Some umpiring facts to stash away for next season:
5) Over last three years, underdogs are 50-45 in Ted Barrett games; thats a strong trend.

4) Last four years, home underdogs are 7-24 when Conroy is behind the plate.

3) Last two years, under is 40-18 when Barksdale is umping the plate.

2) Thursday night, the Cubs had four baserunners in a row reach base with this sequence: Intentional walk, strikeout/passed ball, catcher’s interference and a hit-by-pitch.

Big rally, huh?

Well, in the HISTORY OF BASEBALL, this was only the 6th time ever a team had all four of those things happen in the same game, the FIRST TIME EVER in the same inning.

1) What is going on with guys managing in the baseball playoffs? Starting pitchers come in the game at any time now, everyone manages like they’re guessing. Cubs left Wade Davis in the game Thursday until he had thrown 44 pitches, 10 more than he had thrown in any game this season. Like Joe Maddon looked around and realized he didn’t have anyone else left.

**Udog** · 10-14-2017, 08:40 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, October 14

New York @ Houston
Astros are 6-2 against New York this season, winning 3 of 4 at home.

Severino is 4-0, 3.38 in his last seven starts; over is 4-1 in his last five starts. New York won his last six road starts, but his last road start was Sept 9. Severino is 0-1, 10.56 in two starts against the Astros this season. He is 1-0, 7.37 in two playoff starts.

Verlander is 6-0, 1.35 in six starts for the Astros, last three of which went over; he also got the win in relief in Game of the NLDS Monday (2.2 IP). Houston is 3-0 in his home starts. Verlander hasn’t pitched against NY this season; he is 9-5, 3.36 in 18 career playoff games (17 starts).

Cubs @ Dodgers
Dodgers are 4-2 vs Chicago this season; they shut Cubs out in 3 of the 4 wins. Home team won five of six series games (under 5-1). Cubs scored 4 runs in three games in LA this season.

Quintana is 2-0, 2.37 in his last six starts; he threw 12 pitches in relief Thursday. Under is 4-2 in his last six starts. Cubs are 3-3 in his road starts- he didn’t pitch against the Dodgers this year. He allowed one unearned run in 5.2 IP in his only playoff start.

Kershaw is 2-1, 4.44 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Dodgers are 13-2 in his home starts this season. He allowed 4 runs in 4.2 IP against the Cubs May 28. Kershaw is 5-7, 4.63 in 19 career playoff games (15 starts).

AL Wild Card
NYY 8-4 Minn -$255, O7.5

NL Wild Card
Ariz 11-8 Colo -$148, O8.5

Hous 8-2 Bos, -$120, O7
Hous 8-2 Bos, -$185, O8.5
Bos 10-3 Hst, +$117, O9.5
Hst 5-4 Bos, -$118, O8
Astros win series, 3-1

Clev 4-0 NYY -$130, U8.5
Clev 9-8 NYY (13), -$210, O7
NYY 1-0 Clev, -$109, U8.5
NYY 7-3 Clev, -$150, O7.5
NYY 5-2 Clev, +$165, N7
New York wins series, 3-2

Cubs 3-0 Wash +$135, U7.5
Wash 6-3 Cubs, -$117, O8.5
Cubs 2-1 Wash, +$105, U7.5
Wash 5-0 Cubs, -$109, U7
Cubs 9-8 Wash, -$115, O7.5
Cubs win series, 3-2

LA 9-4 Ariz -$270, O7.5
LA 8-5 Ariz, -$142, O8
LA 2-1 Ariz, -$115, U8
Dodgers win series, 3-0

League championship series
Hst 2-1 NYY, -$165, U8

MLB

Saturday, October 14

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Trend Report
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4:08 PM
NY YANKEES vs. HOUSTON
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Houston is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

8:08 PM
CHI CUBS vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Chi Cubs are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games

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**Udog** · 10-14-2017, 11:02 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 14

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CHICAGO CUBS (95 - 72) at LA DODGERS (107 - 58) - 4:05 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-2 (+2.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LACKEY is 7-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.20 and a WHIP of 1.020.
His team's record is 9-6 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-13. (-11.6 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
KERSHAW is 6-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.129.
His team's record is 7-4 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-2. (+6.9 units)

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NY YANKEES (95 - 74) at HOUSTON (105 - 62) - 3:05 PM
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 19-31 (-12.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
HOUSTON is 105-62 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 82-38 (+26.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 36-22 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VERLANDER is 13-2 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 32-19 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 24-14 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
NY YANKEES are 50-34 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEVERINO is 14-3 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 253-303 (-77.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-2 (+3.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SEVERINO is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 10.57 and a WHIP of 2.480.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
VERLANDER is 8-7 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.340.
His team's record is 10-12 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-12. (-5.4 units)

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**Udog** · 10-14-2017, 11:05 AM

When or if Dunkel remembers there's a National League contest today, I'll add it....

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, October 14

NY Yankees @ Houston

Game 905-906
October 14, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Severino) 17.997
Houston
(Verlnder) 16.817
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-135
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(+115); Over

Announcement

Saturday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/14

Saturday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/14

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