Announcement

**Udog** · 10-11-2017, 08:16 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

— Tom Brady has a sprained left shoulder, is expected to play against the Jets Sunday.

— Game 4 of Cubs-Nationals got rained out; they’ll try again Wednesday at 4:00.

— Texas Southern’s basketball team has 13 pre-conference games, all true road games.

— Mets bought a AAA farm team in Syracuse, so Las Vegas 51’s will have a new parent club next season.

— Bucs signed Patrick Murray as their new kicker; Fordham grad can also punt and once played Gaelic football in high school.

— Las Vegas 5, Arizona 2– NHL’s expansion Golden Knights are 3-0.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) San Francisco 49ers are 25th NFL team since 1997 to play overtime games on consecutive weekends; Niners lost both games, are now 0-5, with last four losses all by 2 or 3 points.

12) Of the previous 24 teams who played consecutive OT games, four had a bye the following week, so that takes us down to 20 teams- those 20 teams went 10-10 SU in the third week, but 12-7-1 against the spread.

11) A breakdown according to how the teams did in the OT games:
WW?— Teams that won both OT games went 2-2 vs spread in that third game.
WL?— Teams were 1-3 vs spread in the third game.
LL?— Teams were 4-2-1 vs spread; this is where the 49ers trend this week.
LW?— Teams were 5-0 vs spread in the third game.

10) For the record, Baltimore has played OT games on consecutive weekends four times in the last 21 years; no one else has done it more than twice.

9) Ironic that with lot of college basketball coaches in hot water over fraud allegations with the shoe companies, the 16-team PK80 tournament taking place in Oregon next month to honor Phil Knight’s 80th birthday will be a big deal.

16 teams, all Nike-affiliated, will play three games in this event; might make it easier for the FBI to serve their subpoenas, with so many teams in the same city all at once.

8) Thru 4.5 games this season, Chicago Bears didn’t have a pass play longer than 30 yards, the only NFL team without one. Finally Chicago scored on a 38-yard TD pass in the third quarter Monday night; problem is, it was a pass thrown by punter Pat O’Donnell on a fake punt. Oy.

7) Mitchell Trubisky is the 30th starting QB for the Bears in the last 25 years.

6) San Diego State is bowl-eligible already, which means coach Rocky Long gets a $50,000 bonus, and the athletic director, for some reason, gets a $12,500 bonus.

5) New Orleans Saints traded RB Adrian Peterson to the Cardinals Tuesday for a conditional draft pick. Why would a RB without great receiving skills have signed with a Payton/Brees team in the first place? Arizona’s skill players have lot of miles on them; we’ll see if this helps them.

4) Greg Bird hit a home run in a 1-0 playoff game the other day; the first player to ever hit a home run in a 1-0 postseason game was Casey Stengel in 1923, he of course went on to be a famous manager in New York City, but he was also a good player, hitting .284 in 14 MLB seasons.

3) Political trivia: when Secretary of State Rex Tillerson was in college, he was a drummer in the University of Texas marching band.

2) I’m glad the NFL lightened up and allows (most) celebrations after TDs now. They don’t hurt anyone and I think most people like them. Maybe most importantly. the media likes them and over time, that will help the public’s perception of the league, which could use some help.

1) RIP to the great QB YA Tittle, who played 17 years in the NFL with Colts-49ers-Giants; his W-L record was 78-50-5, but he never won a playoff game (0-4). Keep in mind it was a lot harder to make the playoffs back then. Mr Tittle passed away over the weekend at age 90.

Tittle was also one of the opposing coaches against Al Pacino’s Miami Sharks in the excellent football movie Any Given Sunday. RIP, sir.

**Udog** · 10-11-2017, 08:36 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 11

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WASHINGTON (98 - 67) at CHICAGO CUBS (94 - 71) - 5:35 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 26-30 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
WASHINGTON is 49-61 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 50-32 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 39-25 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 94-71 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 362-303 (-82.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 905-820 (-156.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 240-276 (-69.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-36 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 73-56 (-11.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 51-42 (-10.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-17 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-5 (+0.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.7 Units)

TANNER ROARK vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ROARK is 3-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
ARRIETA is 1-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 5.48 and a WHIP of 1.674.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.6 units)

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NY YANKEES (94 - 73) at CLEVELAND (104 - 62) - 8:05 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 49-44 (-7.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-5 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 100-68 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 26-12 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY YANKEES are 49-33 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SABATHIA is 19-9 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 25-13 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 19-24 (-18.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-4 (+3.2 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SABATHIA is 4-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.386.
His team's record is 5-7 (-6.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+1.5 units)

COREY KLUBER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
KLUBER is 5-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 0.911.
His team's record is 6-2 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 11

Washington @ Chicago
Nationals are 5-5 against the Cubs this season (over 6-4).

Roark is 0-2, 6.94 in his last two starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12 starts. Washington is 8-7 in his road starts. He is 1-0, 2.84 against the Cubs this season.

Arrieta is 0-2, 7.84 in his last three starts; under is 5-3-1 in his last nine. Chicago is 6-4 in his home starts. He is 0-1, 13.50 vs Washington this year.

Cubs won the World Series LY, their first title since 1908; this is their 3rd year in a row in the playoffs. Washington is in the playoffs for 4th time in six years- they lost in this round the previous three times. Nationals have never been in the World Series.

New York @ Cleveland
New York is 4-7 vs Cleveland this season; home teams won all four games in this series.

Former Indian Sabathia is 3-0, 3.52 in his last four starts; under is 8-3 in his last 11 starts. New York is 9-6 in his road starts. He allowed four runs in 5.1 IP in his only ’17 start vs Cleveland, last Friday.

Kluber gave up six runs in 2.2 IP last Friday against New York; he had been 5-0, 1.26 in his last six starts before that. Under is 4-1 in his last five starts. Cleveland is 6-2 in his last eight home starts.

New York is in the playoffs for second time in the last five years; they last made the ALCS in 2012- they beat Twins 7-4 in Wild Card game Tuesday, with bullpen getting 26 of the 27 outs. Indians lost Game 7 of the World Series last year; they haven’t won a World Series since 1948. They’re in playoffs for 3rd time in last five years.

AL Wild Card
NYY 8-4 Minn -$255, O7.5

NL Wild Card
Ariz 11-8 Colo -$148, O8.5

Hous 8-2 Bos, -$120, O7
Hous 8-2 Bos, -$185, O8.5
Bos 10-3 Hst, +$117, O9.5
Hst 5-4 Bos, -$118, O8
Astros win series, 3-1

Clev 4-0 NYY -$130, U8.5
Clev 9-8 NYY (13), -$210, O7
NYY 1-0 Clev, -$109, U8.5
NYY 7-3 Clev, -$150, O7.5

Cubs 3-0 Wash +$135, U7.5
Wash 6-3, -$117, O8.5
Cubs 2-1, +$105, U7,5

LA 9-4 Ariz -$270, O7.5
LA 8-5 Ariz, -$142, O8
LA 2-1 Ariz, -$115, U8
Dodgers win series, 3-0

MLB

Wednesday, October 11

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Trend Report
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4:08 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 17-5 SU in their last 22 games
Chi Cubs are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Washington

8:08 PM
NY YANKEES vs. CLEVELAND
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland's last 18 games at home
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Yankees

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**Udog** · 10-11-2017, 10:43 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 11

NY Yankees @ Cleveland

Game 915-916
October 11, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Sabathia) 15.960
Cleveland
(Kluber) 19.221
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-190
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-190); Under

Washington @ Chicago Cubs

Game 917-918
October 11, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Roark) 14.946
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 15.916
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-150); Over

**Udog** · 10-11-2017, 10:43 AM

Good day to be a pitcher.

WAS@CHC
15-17 MPH wind blowing in from center. T: 7.5

NYY@CLE
14-16 MPH blowing in from right-center. T: 7.5

**Udog** · 10-11-2017, 03:04 PM

Wednesday's MLB Division Series Betting Preview and Odds

The Yankees are playing their third must-win game already in the playoffs after winning the wild-card game and staring down a 2-0 deficit in the ALDS.

Another great day of playoff baseball will kick off with Game 4 between the Washington Nationals and Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field, and this evening we will be treated to a thrilling Game 5 between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field.

Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs (-125, 7)

Cubs lead series 2-1

After an unexpected day off, the Chicago Cubs will try to wrap up the National League Division Series when they host the Washington Nationals for Game 4 on Wednesday. The potential clincher was pushed back a day due to rain in Chicago on Tuesday, but the scheduled pitching matchup will remain the same with Chicago's Jake Arrieta squaring off against Tanner Roark.

The extra day could benefit Arrieta, who was slotted fourth in the Cubs’ postseason rotation to allow him more time to rest his tender hamstring before making his first start since Sept. 26. Arrieta, who said his nagging right hamstring injury is a “non-issue,” hopes to follow the rest of Chicago's starting rotation, which has allowed two runs - one earned - in 18 2/3 innings over the first three games of the series. The day off also gave the Nationals the option of skipping Roark and pitching Game 1 starter Stephen Strasburg on regular rest, but manager Dusty Baker said Strasburg was “under the weather” and would not have been able to follow his routine of throwing a bullpen session two days before his start if called upon Wednesday. "I just think the atmosphere around here is amazing," Roark, who grew up about an hour’s drive from Wrigley Field, told reporters. "To pitch here at Wrigley, and to hear the fans, I know they are going to be crazy. I'll just do what I do best and try to keep them quiet." *Update - Stephen Strasburg will now start Game 4 for the Nationals.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, TBS

PITCHING MATCHUP: Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (15-4, 2.52 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (14-10, 3.53)

Strasburg allowed only three hits and two unearned runs over seven innings of work in Game 1 of this series against the Cubs. He was pegged with the loss despite striking out 10 and only allowing one walk in the eventual 3-0 win by Chicago.

Arrieta is 4-2 with a 3.64 ERA in seven starts over the last two postseasons, including a pair of wins in last year’s World Series. The 31-year-old has been outstanding at home throughout his tenure with the Cubs, going 30-14 with a 2.31 ERA in 59 outings. He hasn’t fared as well against the Nationals, however, as he’s 1-2 with a 5.48 ERA in nine meetings.

TRENDS:

* Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff games.
* Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff home games.
* Under is 5-1 in Cubs' last 6 playoff home games.
* Under is 4-0 in Arrieta's last 4 starts vs. Nationals.

CONSENSUS: The public is leaning toward the home favorite Cubs with 64 percent of the picks and Over is grabbing 67 percent of the totals wagers.

New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians (-190, 7.5)

Series tied 2-2

The Cleveland Indians have not lost three games in a row since July 30-Aug. 1, though it had been almost seven weeks between back-to-back setbacks before they dropped Games 3 and 4 of the American League Division Series. The AL's top seed will try to avoid a first-round knockout when the Indians host the surging New York Yankees in a decisive Game 5 of the ALDS on Wednesday.

The Yankees, who will start veteran lefty CC Sabathia on Wednesday opposite Cleveland ace Corey Kluber, are playing their third must-win game already in the playoffs after winning the wild-card game and staring down a 2-0 deficit in the ALDS, and are confident in their ability to handle the pressure. "I've seen them step up a lot during the course of the season, but obviously, you know, when you're in the playoffs, I think it's important to learn how to win those games and I think you play -- you see players mature pretty quickly in these type of games," New York manager Joe Girardi told reporters. "So moving forward, I think it's important. Obviously, Wednesday's a really big game and let's see what happens." The Indians won 33 of their final 37 regular-season games but have arguably been the lesser team in this series - beginning with a Game 2 win that required the them to overcome a five-run deficit - and struggles at the top of the lineup from Francisco Lindor (1-for-14, five strikeouts) and Jose Ramirez (2-for-17, seven strikeouts) are part of the problem. "In one game, what we ultimately care about is when it's over, we're one run better than them, however we do it," Indians manager Terry Francona told reporters in reference to Lindor and Ramirez. "But it makes it easier when the guys up top are setting the tone for it."

TV: 8:08 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees LH CC Sabathia (0-0, 3.38 ERA) vs. Indians RH Corey Kluber (0-0, 20.25)

Girardi was heavily criticized for several decisions in Game 2's 13-inning loss, but the main gripe was his decision to yank Sabathia after 77 pitches and 5 1/3 innings. The 37-year-old retired 12 of the last 13 batters he faced and left with a five-run lead before watching the bullpen and Girardi let him down. Sabathia is 9-5 with a 4.47 ERA in 20 career postseason appearances and has had his struggles against Ramirez (4-for-8, two RBIs) and Lindor (5-for-9).

Kluber suffered through his worst start of the season in Game 2, serving up six runs on seven hits - two homers - in 2 2/3 innings but was let off the hook when Cleveland stormed back for the win. Kluber started Game 7 of the World Series for the Indians last October, and his team has plenty of confidence in the Cy Young candidate. "It's hard to imagine giving it to somebody better," Francona told reporters of starting Kluber. "We tried to set up for a five-game series with plans, contingency plans, and pretty much everything is -- there's been a lot of things happen, and we go to Game 5, we're at home, and we have Kluber. It will be -- we're looking forward to it."

TRENDS:

* Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 playoff road games.
* Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff home games.
* Indians are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Under is 9-3 in Sabathia's last 12 road starts.
* Under is 6-1 in Kluber's last 7 home starts.
* Indians are 6-0 in Kluber's last 6 starts vs. Yankees.

CONSENSUS: The public is leaning toward the home chalk Indians with 73 percent of the picks and Over is grabbing 65 percent of the totals wagers.

Announcement

Wednesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/11

Wednesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/11

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