Announcement

**Udog** · 09-11-2017, 09:39 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top six picks in the Week 1 of the Westgate SuperContest in Las Vegas:

6) Pittsburgh Steelers -8.5 , 706- L
5) Arizona Cardinals -2, 742- L
4) Atlanta Falcons -6.5, 819- L
3) Tennessee Titans -2.5, 839- L
2) Houston Texans -5, 863- L
1) Cincinnati Bengals -2.5, 866- L

(Season record: 0-6)

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Chiefs 42, Patriots 27— Chiefs scored 28 second half points, ran up 537 yards, offsetting 139 penalty yards, as they made New England’s defense look slow. Only one of KC’s six TD drives was less than 75 yards- they had touchdown PLAYS of 75, 78 yards. Surprising result, but last three times New England lost in Week 1, they won the Super Bowl that year.

Bills 21, Jets 12— Buffalo sits alone atop AFC East, holding Jets to 38 rushing yards and 11 first downs. As far as team points over/unders go, my new hobby here, under is 18-7-1— only 7 of 26 teams exceeded their over/under points so far this week. Jets’ total was 15.5, 1.5 points lower than any other team this week.

Falcons 23, Bears 17— Chicago had ball on 10-yard line when game ended; two passes were either dropped/broken up inside 2-yard line in last three plays. Falcons coach Quinn was VERY happy when this game ended and he let it show— not sure happy is right word, maybe total relief after that Super Bowl and then an 0-4 preseason.

Jaguars 29, Texans 7— Upset of Day. Jacksonville ran ball for 155 yards, were +4 in turnovers, and held QB-challenged Houston to 203 yards. Savage was awful in first half; rookie QB Watson played second half, led one TD drive, but this was another very disappointing day in Houston.

Eagles 30, Redskins 17— Philly’s two TD drives were only 56-39 yards; each team scored a defensive TD, as Eagles snapped a 5-game skid against Washington. Iggles converted 8-14 on 3rd down, Redskins only 3-14, as Philly scored TD’s on two of first four drives, then kicked three FG’s on their last six drives.

Lions 35, Cardinals 23— On their first nine drives, Detroit had one TD, one FG, gaining total of 182 yards, but on their last three drives, Lions ran 17 plays for 149 yards and three TD’s. I have a question: is conditioning a factor early in the season? Teams haven’t played full games because coaches are scared of injuries, so when they have to play a full game in Week 1, are some teams in worse shape than others? Arizona’s defense looked very tired at the end.

Raiders 26, Titans 16— One of two games this week (Atl-Chi) with no turnovers. For the week so far, home teams are 7-6 vs spread; over is 3-10. Listening to TV Sunday, the consensus is that the defenses are ahead of offenses in the first couple weeks of the season. Offense takes more precision. Titans were 7-14 on 3rd down but scored only one TD, kicked three FG’s.

Ravens 20, Bengals 0— Baltimore led 3-0 at 2:00 warning of first half, then scored two TD’s in 0:24 span to break game open and lead 17-0 at half. Total yardage in lackluster game was 268-221 Baltimore; Ravens had 85 penalty yards, while Bengals turned ball over five times (-4). Flacco was 9-17/111 passing, after missing just about the whole summer with a bad back.

Steelers 21, Browns 18— Cleveland is now 1-18 in Week 1, with only win 13 years ago. Steelers blocked punt for TD on Browns’ first drive, then survived 144 penalty yards to win their opener. Pittsburgh ran 17 times for only 35 yards, which is not good; Big Ben targeted Brown 11 times, and he caught all 11 passes for 182 yards.

Rams 46, Colts 9— Indy has severe QB issues; if Andrew Luck can’t come back soon, and he hasn’t started practicing yet, they should sign Colin Kaepernick, who is way better than either Tolzien or Brissett. As for the Rams, this was a great day; Jared Goff looked like an NFL QB and the defense was dominant, even without Aaron Donald.

Packers 17, Seahawks 9— Game was scoreless until just before the half; this was 5th time in Seattle’s last nine road games that they scored 10 or less points. Rodgers was a magician on third down (9-16), as usual; Green Bay held Seahawks to 12 first downs as Seattle lost its 8th game in a row at Lambeau Field.

Panthers 23, 49ers 3— Hard to tell much about Carolina’s offense; their two TD drives were only 42-28 yards. Total yardage was 287-217; Panthers were 7-13 on third down- they didn’t score on any of their drives that started 75+ yards from the goal line, but scored two TD’s, kicked three FG’s on the other five drives that started less than 75 yards from the goal line.

Cowboys 19, Giants 3— Dallas outgained Giants 392-233; New York ran ball only 12 times for 35 yards, converted only 4-12 on third down- their average starting field position was their own 16 yard line. Under is now 8-1 in Giants’ last nine road games; they are 5-10-2 vs spread in last 17 games as a road underdog. Cowboys converted 8-15 on third down, had a 13-yard edge in average starting field position.

**Udog** · 09-11-2017, 09:44 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, September 11

Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City

Game 915-916
September 11, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Lopez) 15.952
Kansas City
(Hammel) 12.225
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-180
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+160); Under

Seattle @ Texas

Game 913-914
September 11, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Miranda) 15.420
Texas
(Hamels) 16.879
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-135
10
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-135); Under

Detroit @ Cleveland

Game 911-912
September 11, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Jaye) 12.776
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 19.314
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 6 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-340
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-340); Over

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay

Game 909-910
September 11, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Sabathia) 18.631
Tampa Bay
(Odorizzi) 14.695
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 4
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-125); Over

Baltimore @ Toronto

Game 907-908
September 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Jimenez) 15.516
Toronto
(Estrada) 14.726
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+100); Under

LA Dodgers @ San Francisco

Game 905-906
September 11, 2017 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Maeda) 11.319
San Francisco
(Stratton) 13.159
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-190
8
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+170); Under

Colorado @ Arizona

Game 903-904
September 11, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Freeland) 14.259
Arizona
(Greinke) 16.224
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-185
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-185); Over

Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee

Game 901-902
September 11, 2017 @ 7:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Brault) 16.166
Milwaukee
(Woodruff) 14.611
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+140); Over

**Udog** · 09-11-2017, 09:51 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, September 11

National League
Pirates @ Brewers
Brault allowed three runs in five IP (91 PT) in his first ’17 start, a 4-3 win over the Cubs. Pirates’ first 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Woodruff is 1-1, 1.52 in four starts this year (under 4-0). Brewers are 0-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-1-1

Pirates lost their last five games; under is 5-1 in their last six. Bucs are 1-6 in last seven road series openers. Milwaukee just swept Cubs three games; they’re 4-1 in last five home games. Under is 5-2-2 in their last nine games. Brewers are 7-3 in last ten home series openers.

Rockies @ Diamondbacks
Gray is 3-2, 2.73 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. He is 1-1, 4.09 vs Arizona this season. Colorado is 5-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-1

Greinke is 2-0, 2.29 in his last three starts; under is 5-0-1 in his last six starts. He is 2-1, 3.62 in four starts vs Colorado this year. Arizona is 16-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-6-5

Rockies won six of their last seven games; their last six games went over. Colorado is 4-11 in last 15 road series openers. Arizona is 14-2 in its last 16 games, 16-7 in home series openers. Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games.

Dodgers @ Giants
Maeda is 1-2, 5.85 in his last four starts (under 3-0-1). Dodgers are 6-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-6-3

Stratton is 2-1, 1.99 in his last four starts (under 4-2). Giants are 2-0 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-4-1

Dodgers lost 10 games in row, 15 of their last 16 games; over is 8-2 in their last ten games. LA is 12-3 in last 15 road series openers. Giants are 4-12 in last 16 games; over is 4-0-1 in their last five. SF is 3-13 in last 16 home series openers.

——————————–

American League
Orioles @ Blue Jays
Jimenez is 0-2, 10.39 in his last four starts; under is 4-2 in his last six road starts. Baltimore is 4-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-11-3

Estrada is 2-0, 4.50 in his last three starts; Jays scored 23 runs in the three games. Over is 4-1 in his last five starts. He is 2-0, 3.16 in four starts vs Baltimore this year. Jays are 6-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-15-3

Orioles lost their last four games; under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Baltimore is 9-13 in road series openers. Toronto lost six of last nine home games but won last two; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Blue Jays are 4-10 in last 14 home series openers.

Tigers @ Indians
Boyd is 0-4, 8.38 in his last six starts; over is 7-3-2 in his last 12 starts. He is 1-1, 2.41 in three starts vs Cleveland this season. Detroit is 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-10-6

Carrasco is 4-1, 1.90 in his last six starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten starts. He is 3-1, 2.14 in five starts vs Detroit this year. Indians are 8-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 19-7-2

Tigers lost 8 of last 10 games; under is 7-1-1 in their last nine road games. Detroit is 6-10 in last 16 road series openers. Cleveland won its last 18 games; under is 13-4 in their last 17 home games. Tribe won its last eight home series openers.

New York vs Tampa Bay (@ Citi Field in NYC- Rays are home team)
Sabathia is 2-0, 3.33 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six starts. He is 2-0, 3.77 in three starts vs Tampa Bay this season. NY is 8-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-10-1

Odorizzi is 2-0, 2.31 in his last two starts; over is 11-4 in his last 15 starts. Tampa Bay is 4-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-9-4

This series is in the Mets’ stadium because of the hurricane. New York won six of last eight games; eight of their last nine road games went over. Tampa Bay lost three of last four games; over is 4-2 in their last six games. Rays won five of last six series openers.

Mariners @ Rangers
Miranda is 1-0, 4.50 in his last four starts; over is 9-4 in his last 13 starts. Seattle is 10-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-10-3

Hamels is 0-2, 8.81 in his last three starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six starts. He is 0-0, 6.55 in two starts vs Seattle this season. Rangers are 6-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-2-2

Mariners lost their last five road games; their last six games overall stayed under. Seattle is 10-3 in last 13 road series openers. Texas lost three of last four games; over is 11-2-1 in their last 14 games. Rangers are 12-6 in last 18 home series openers.

White Sox @ Royals
Lopez is 0-3, 5.51 in his last three starts (under 3-1). Chicago lost his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-3

Hammel is 3-1, 4.68 in his last four starts; KC scored 27 runs in those four games. Over is 5-1 in his last six starts. Royals are 5-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-12-7

Chicago lost five of last seven games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. White Sox are 6-16 in road series openers. Royals are 5-3 in their last eight games; over is 7-3 in their last 10 games. Kansas City is 1-4 in last five home series openers.

__________________________

Interleague

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
Pitt-Mil: Brault 1-0; Woodruff 2-2
Colo-Az: Gray 10-6; Greinke 20-8
LA-SF: Maeda 15-8; Stratton 3-3

American League
Balt-Tor: Jimenez 11-11; Estrada 13-16
Det-Clev: Boyd 8-13; Carrasco 20-8
NY-TB: Sabathia 15-8; Odorizzi 10-14
Sea-Tex: Miranda 15-13; Hamels 11-8
Chi-KC: Lopez 1-3; Hammel 10-18

Interleague

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Pitt-Mil: Brault 1-1; Woodruff 0-4
Colo-Az: Gray 4-16; Greinke 3-28
LA-SF: Maeda 8-23; Stratton 1-6

American League
Balt-Tor: Jimenez 7-22; Estrada 10-29
Det-Clev: Boyd 5-21; Carrasco 5-28
NY-TB: Sabathia 6-23; Odorizzi 7-24
Sea-Tex: Miranda 12-28; Hamels 8-28
Chi-KC: Lopez 1-4; Hammel 5-28

Interleague

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 81-56 AL, favorites -$236
AL @ NL– 72-67 NL, favorites +$35
Total: 148-128 AL, favorites -$201

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 69-66-4
AL @ NL: Over 74-59-7
Total: Over 143-125-11

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/10/17
Ariz 28-26-19……39-22–11……..67-48
Atl 26-34-9……25-39-8………..51-73
Cubs 32-31-8…….34-24-14………..66-55
Reds 22-41-9……..29-36–7……….51-77
Colo 38-27-6…….37-29-5………..75-56
LA 31-24-13…….41-25-9……….72-49
Miami 30-33-9…….35-26-10………65-59
Milw 35-27-10…….35-27-9……….69-54
Mets 31-34-4……..30-37-7……….61-71
Philly 19-43-16……26-31-8………..45-74
Pitt 30-34-7…….28-31-13………59-65
St. Louis 30-32-9……37-24-10………..67-56
SD 21-41-8……..36-29–9…………57-70
SF 16-49-9……..28-30-12……….44-79
Wash 42-23-7……33-29-9………….75-52

Orioles 27-36-5……..30-37-7………57-73
Boston 30-32-10………33-36-2…….63-68
White Sox 21-37-10………29-42–4…….50-78
Cleveland 44-23-8……..34-24-8……….78-47
Detroit 27-35-10…….28-33-10……..55-68
Astros 35-27-11……..43-24-5……..78-51
KC 26-33-10……..29-29-13…….55-62
Angels 26-39-8………29-27-13……..55-66
Twins 38-23-12………32-32-8…….69-54
NYY 32-38-6……….36-27-4…..…68-65
A’s 25-36-7……..32-32-12……..57-68
Seattle 26-35-9……..39-25-10………65-60
TB 36-28-10……..38-21-9……..74-49
Texas 34-26-11……..37-25-8……..71-51
Toronto 29-37-5……..28-32-11……..57-69

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/10/17)
Ariz 22-71……..25-70………..47
Atl 16-68……….19-75……….35
Cubs 20-71……..25-72………..45
Reds 28-73……..26-72……….54
Colo 20-71……..25-71..……..45
LA 20-68……..26-74..…….46
Miami 31-72……..26-71………..57
Milw 24-72……27-72…..……51
Mets 31-69……..25-74……….56
Philly 17-78……..20-66……….37
Pitt 20-71……..22-73……….42
StL 15-72……..22-70………..37
SD 23-70……….24-73……….47
SF 17-75……….20-70……….37
Wash 26-72……..28-71……….54

Orioles 16-69……..24-75……….40
Boston 20-72……..17-71……….37
White Sox 21-68……20-75………..41
Clev 22-76……..23-68………45
Detroit 17-71…….26-71………43
Astros 21-74……..28-70………49
KC 18-70……..15-73………..33
Angels 27-75……..20-70……….47
Twins 17-71……..18-71……….35
NYY 18-75……..18-67……….36
A’s 16-68……..27-76………43
Seattle 21-70…….25-76……….46
TB 21-73……..24-71……….45
Texas 28-72……..29-70………57
Toronto 24-72……..21-74………45

**Udog** · 09-11-2017, 09:55 AM

MLB

Monday, September 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:07 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Baltimore's last 24 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore

7:10 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
Detroit is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Detroit is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Cleveland's last 25 games when playing at home against Detroit

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

7:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. MILWAUKEE
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

8:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Seattle's last 14 games when playing on the road against Texas
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Seattle
Texas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Seattle

8:15 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
Chi White Sox are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

9:40 PM
COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games at home
Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

10:15 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing San Francisco
LA Dodgers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 09-11-2017, 10:32 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, September 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (67 - 77) at MILWAUKEE (75 - 68) - 7:40 PM
STEVEN BRAULT (L) vs. BRANDON WOODRUFF (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 67-77 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 96-120 (-36.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 41-57 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 109-129 (-31.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 32-44 (-12.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 131-271 (-75.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 75-68 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 50-35 (+15.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 47-42 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 46-32 (+25.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 39-34 (+11.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 8-5 (+3.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
9 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.5 Units)

STEVEN BRAULT vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BRAULT is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.20 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

BRANDON WOODRUFF vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (78 - 65) at ARIZONA (83 - 60) - 9:40 PM
KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 444-704 (-137.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 83-60 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 46-25 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 38-25 (+13.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 59-40 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 21-14 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 51-31 (+18.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 33-27 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GREINKE is 20-8 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 44-10 (+24.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 14-2 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 99-48 (+38.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 68-26 (+35.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 78-65 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 37-34 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 4-0 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games in September games this season.
COLORADO is 35-25 (+14.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 19-15 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
COLORADO is 31-25 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 237-235 (-57.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 9-6 (+2.7 Units) against COLORADO this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.8 Units)

KYLE FREELAND vs. ARIZONA since 1997
FREELAND is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. COLORADO since 1997
GREINKE is 9-5 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.04 and a WHIP of 1.318.
His team's record is 14-9 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-13. (-4.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (92 - 51) at SAN FRANCISCO (56 - 89) - 10:15 PM
KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. CHRIS STRATTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 81-74 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 1-10 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
LA DODGERS are 32-32 (-23.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 133-97 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 90-87 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 4-9 (-12.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 116-67 (+31.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 51-18 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 56-89 (-37.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-62 (-27.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 32-38 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-38 (-19.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-57 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-64 (-32.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-51 (-14.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-7 (+1.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

KENTA MAEDA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MAEDA is 3-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.678.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

CHRIS STRATTON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

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BALTIMORE (71 - 72) at TORONTO (66 - 77) - 7:05 PM
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 59-84 (-25.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 15-30 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 13-27 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 212-339 (-105.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
JIMENEZ is 67-100 (-30.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
JIMENEZ is 31-60 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 159-146 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 32-26 (+8.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 66-77 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 161-179 (-53.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
TORONTO is 26-38 (-14.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 37-52 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 25-41 (-22.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 30-32 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ESTRADA is 6-12 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 11-5 (+7.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.9 Units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
JIMENEZ is 8-5 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.274.
His team's record is 11-6 (+8.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.4 units)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ESTRADA is 6-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 9-3 (+6.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-8. (-5.0 units)

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NY YANKEES (77 - 65) at TAMPA BAY (71 - 73) - 7:10 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 10-19 (-9.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 15-24 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 31-27 (+7.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SABATHIA is 15-8 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 11-3 (+10.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 23-12 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 73-35 (+28.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 139-166 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 72-78 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 11-23 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 87-110 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 8-5 (+2.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SABATHIA is 16-14 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.251.
His team's record is 24-20 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 20-22. (-4.6 units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ODORIZZI is 5-6 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.132.
His team's record is 5-7 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+1.1 units)

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DETROIT (60 - 82) at CLEVELAND (87 - 56) - 7:10 PM
MYLES JAYE (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 60-82 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 35-57 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 40-62 (-19.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 87-46 (+21.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 28-8 (+16.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-13 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
CARRASCO is 30-38 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CARRASCO is 13-20 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
CARRASCO is 13-19 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 10-6 (+0.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

MYLES JAYE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. DETROIT since 1997
CARRASCO is 8-7 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.476.
His team's record is 11-8 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-12. (-6.9 units)

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SEATTLE (71 - 72) at TEXAS (71 - 71) - 8:05 PM
ARIEL MIRANDA (L) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 71-71 (+3.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 91-62 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 74-58 (+19.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 123-96 (+31.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 78-66 (+24.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 25-15 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 36-34 (+7.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HAMELS is 35-17 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 30-11 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 25-11 (+14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 29-11 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 33-14 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 18-8 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
MIRANDA is 10-5 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
MIRANDA is 13-7 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 35-38 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 8-4 (+4.7 Units) against TEXAS this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

ARIEL MIRANDA vs. TEXAS since 1997
MIRANDA is 1-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.114.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

COLE HAMELS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HAMELS is 5-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.486.
His team's record is 7-5 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-7. (-4.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (56 - 86) at KANSAS CITY (71 - 71) - 8:15 PM
REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-42 (-18.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 71-71 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 85-68 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 76-63 (+16.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 55-51 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 38-33 (+8.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 405-412 (+35.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 280-397 (-108.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
HAMMEL is 17-23 (-14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 7-6 (-0.2 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
LOPEZ is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HAMMEL is 2-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.347.
His team's record is 4-1 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

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**Udog** · 09-11-2017, 01:07 PM

MLB Daily Line Drive: Monday's picks, betting odds and analysis

There are 8 games on the MLB schedule today, including the Bronx Bombers taking on their division rivals from Tampa Ray in the wake of Hurricane Irma.

Double-Play Picks

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays (+125, 8.5)

The Yankees and Rays have been relocated to Citi Field in Queens due to Hurricane Irma in Florida. This is a very weird situation for both teams as these will be home games for the Rays, however the crowd in attendance will be mostly Yankees' fans - perhaps not too weird considering the usual crowds at Tropicana Field.

CC Sabathia will get the ball for the Yankees in Game 1. Sabathia has been very good all season, but especially good on the road (7-3, 3.25 ERA). Since this may not have the true feel of a road game we'll just mention the fact that the Yankees have won his last eight starts against the Rays over the last three seasons, including 3-0 in 2017.

Jake Odorizzi has looked better recently (against three light-hitting clubs) but overall his season has been rough with a team win/loss of 10-14 and an ERA of 4.58. He's also been worse in games that are technically home games with a team win/loss of 4-9 and an ERA of 4.71.

We riding the hot hands in this one. The Yankees have won seven of the last 10 meetings with the Rays and two of the streakiest hitters in all of baseball (Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez) both had multi-homer games yesterday in New York's 16-7 victory over the Texas Rangers.

Pick: Yankees -135

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers (-135, 10.5)

The Mariners and Rangers open a four-game series at Globe Life Park in Arlington, Texas on Monday night.

This pick will strictly be related to the starting pitchers and their situational performance thus far in 2017.

Ariel Miranda gets the away start for the Mariners and he comes into Monday's games with an ERA of 6.16 on the road this season. Tonight will also be his second career start at Globe Life Park - earlier this season he allowed five runs in 5.2 innings of work against the Rangers in an eventual 5-1 loss.

Veteran lefty Cole Hamels gets the ball for the Rangers and he has been dynamite at home all season with a win/loss record of 6-0 (team win/loss of 7-2), an ERA of 3.39, and a WHIP of 1.13 in nine starts. He's been roughed up a bit recently, but three of his last four starts have been on the road and he'll be happy to be back on the bump in Arlington.

Both clubs have visions of catching the Twins for the second wildcard spot in the American League, and the Rangers will get the jump on turning those visions into reality this evening.

Pick: Rangers -135

Yesterday's Picks: 0-2
Season To Date: 137-132-14

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Carlos Carrasco, Cleveland Indians (14-6, 3.53 ERA, $662)

The Indians are on fire, having won 18 in a row, including sweeps over the Royals, Yankees, Tigers, White Sox, and Orioles. And while ‘Klubot’ is the ace of the staff, Carlos Carrasco has been dominating during this streak.

In Carrasco’s last three starts (all Indians wins), he has thrown 23 innings and allowed two earned runs (0.78 ERA) and 0.65 WHIP. If there is one point in the righty’s game that’s been on point, it would be his control. During this stretch, he has 25 total strike outs and hasn’t given up a free pass.

Carrasco and the Indians are -322 favorites at home today in Game 1 of a series with the Tigers.

Slumping: Ubaldo Jimenez, Baltimore Orioles (5-9, 6.80 ERA, $53)

For a few weeks there it really looked Ubaldo Jimenez had turned his season around, there was a stretch of four starts that he was dealing with 24 innings and only seven runs allowed (2.63 ERA). Now things are as bad ever at the worst possible time, with the Orioles 3-games back of a wildcard spot with 19 games remaining.

In his last three starts, Jimenez is 0-2 with an ERA of 12.75, WHIP of 2.17, and opponents batting average of .438.

Jimenez and the Orioles are in Toronto tonight and are available at +104.

Monday's Top Trends

* Indians are 10-1 in Carlos Carrasco’s last 11 starts vs. Tigers. -322 vs Tigers.

* Rays are 1-11 in Jake Odorizzi’s last 12 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. +126 vs. Yankees.

* Mariners are 10-1 in Ariel Miranda’s last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. +120 @ Rangers.

* Diamondbacks are 9-0 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. -188 vs Rockies.

Weather To Keep An Eye On

Lots of clouds in the forecast for today but nowhere is rain expected to affect any ballparks on the schedule.

The most notable wind today will be at Progressive Field in Cleveland where the forecast is calling for 13-10 mile per hour winds at first pitch blowing in from right field. The Tigers are in town to play the Indians and the total for this contest is 8.5.

Winds will also be breezy in San Francisco where the Giants host the Los Angeles Dodgers. The lineups will be treated to a 9-12 mile per hour wind at during the game. The total for tonight’s game is set at 8.

**Udog** · 09-11-2017, 01:09 PM

MLB

Monday, September 11

In case you haven't heard...

The Indians have won 18 in a row.
During streak they have covered -1.5 in 15 of the 18 wins.
DET+314 CLE-350

Announcement

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/11

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/11

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