Announcement

**Udog** · 09-07-2017, 08:48 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Season win total over/unders for some NFL teams:
— Arizona Cardinals 8.5; over -$150, under +$120
— Atlanta Falcons 9.5; over -$125, under +$105
— Baltimore Ravens 8
— Buffalo Bills 6; over -$155, under +$125
— Kansas City Chiefs 9; over -$120, under -$110
— New England Patriots 12.5; 0ver -$135, under +$105

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Mets’ game Tuesday night was so terrible that their three TV guys spent the last half of the game going thru a bunch of 40-year old baseball cards they had in the booth. Seriously.

Names like John Wockenfuss, Frank Tanana, Paul Casanova came up and then Keith Hernandez or Ron Darling would tell a story about playing against them. It was oddly entertaining.

12) If I had to pick a random person I’d like to meet/talk to someday, it would be Bill James, the Sabermetrics guy. 35 years ago I found one of his books in a bookstore and was hooked; we share a love for statistics and his writing is terrific. It is amazing that a guy who was once a night watchman in a pork and beans factory has had so much influence on the sports world.

11) Baseball is cool because odd stuff happens; Boston reliever Carson Smith made his first appearance after missing 16 months (Tommy John surgery) Tuesday— he came in the game in the 18th inning. His first pitch was a close pitch to Josh Donaldson, called a strike.

Donaldson flips out on the umpire, gets tossed, so after Smith has thrown his first pitch in 16 months, he is facing his second hitter in the same at-bat. Unusual.

10) Cleveland Indians are on fire, winning 14 games in a row, which begs the question: Why did the Red Sox ever fire Terry Francona?

Francona managed the Red Sox for eight glorious years, all winning seasons, two of them world championship seasons— only once did his Sox win less than 89 games (86-76 in ’06). He ended the Curse of the Bambino, then won another title three years later.

He is 434-350 in Cleveland, with five winning seasons; he came within one inning of a world title with the Indians last season. A Hall of Fame manager, for sure.

9) Red Sox, by the way, are 12-3 in extra inning games this season.

8) Angels have gotten a save from six different pitchers in their last 24 games, which has to be some kind of a record.

7) Marlins Park in Miami is five years old; there was interesting stuff posted on the Interweb today about how with Hurricane Irma approaching, Marlins Park was designed to survive a hurricane, partially by leaving the roof open in three different areas, to allow air pressure to enter and then leave the stadium.

Hopefully the storm will lose a lot of its steam and everyone in the storm’s path will be safe.

6) NHL’s Florida Panthers are taking 90 players/employees and their families to Boston for the weekend to wait out Hurricane Irma.

5) Couple of Cincinnati Reds’-related notes:
a) Billy Hamiiton broke his hand Wednesday, is out for the year.
b) Rookie pitcher Luis Castillo beat the Brewers Wednesday, then was shut down for the season because in today’s baseball, prospects aren’t supposed to throw 20% more innings than they did the year before.

Castillo threw 131.2 innings last year, has 169.2 this year, a 28.9% increase, so he is done for this year with a 3-7, 3.12 mark in 15 major league starts that was way better than it looks.

4) Will Middlebrooks had a pinch-hit triple in both games of a twin bill for Texas Wednesday; he is the only person in the last 100 years to do that.

3) Dodgers have lost 11 of their last 12 games; from June 7-August 19, they were 51-9.

2) Detroit’s Ian Kinsler hit his 15th homer last night; all 15 have been solo HR’s. He is the first player since 1987 whose first 15 homers in a season all came with the bases empty.

1) Sign of the times: Middle Tennessee State got a commitment from a basketball prospect this week, but the young man just graduated 8th grade. Whats up with that? Kid won’t start college until four years from now.

**Udog** · 09-07-2017, 09:04 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 7

Minnesota @ Kansas City

Game 915-916
September 7, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Gibson) 16.058
Kansas City
(Gaviglio) 14.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-115); Under

Cleveland @ Chicago White Sox

Game 913-914
September 7, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Kluber) 19.608
Chicago White Sox
(Rodon) 15.339
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 4 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-260
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-260); Under

Colorado @ LA Dodgers

Game 911-912
September 7, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Gray) 12.453
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 13.125
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-300
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-300); Over

St. Louis @ San Diego

Game 909-910
September 7, 2017 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Lynn) 15.994
San Diego
(Richard) 14.350
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-125); Over

Miami @ Atlanta

Game 907-908
September 7, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Straily) 14.493
Atlanta
(Newcomb) 13.337
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-115); Over

Cincinnati @ NY Mets

Game 905-906
September 7, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Mahle) 15.855
NY Mets
(Harvey) 12.991
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-115); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh

Game 903-904
September 7, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 14.310
Pittsburgh
(Taillon) 15.781
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+115); Over

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 901-902
September 7, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Nola) 15.890
Washington
(Roark) 13.824
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-175
8
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+155); Over

NY Yankees @ Baltimore

Game 917-918
September 7, 2017 @ 3:35 am

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Gray) 14.627
Baltimore
(Gausman) 17.456
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-110
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-110); Under

**Udog** · 09-07-2017, 09:24 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 7

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PHILADELPHIA (53 - 86) at WASHINGTON (85 - 54) - 7:05 PM
AARON NOLA (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 53-86 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-59 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-67 (-25.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-55 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
WASHINGTON is 84-54 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 60-27 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 388-435 (+50.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 432-431 (+46.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 180-160 (-53.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 21-21 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-5 (-0.4 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

AARON NOLA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NOLA is 1-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.359.
His team's record is 2-6 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.0 units)

TANNER ROARK vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
ROARK is 4-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.103.
His team's record is 6-7 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-6. (-0.7 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (76 - 63) at PITTSBURGH (67 - 73) - 7:05 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 76-63 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-21 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 8-13 (-9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 55-51 (-23.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-36 (-16.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 824-774 (-161.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 414-423 (+40.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TAILLON is 17-3 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 53-24 (+16.9 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
LESTER is 29-8 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 96-39 (+34.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 96-116 (-32.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 41-54 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 68-87 (-25.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 9-9 (+5.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.2 Units)

JON LESTER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LESTER is 4-5 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.366.
His team's record is 4-7 (-6.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.5 units)

JAMESON TAILLON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
TAILLON is 2-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 2-2 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

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CINCINNATI (61 - 79) at NY METS (60 - 79) - 7:10 PM
TYLER MAHLE (R) vs. MATT HARVEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 6-21 (-13.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 53-53 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 424-398 (+46.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
NY METS are 60-79 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 30-40 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 123-142 (-60.1 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 52-54 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 48-59 (-19.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 24-33 (-15.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY METS are 17-21 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HARVEY is 11-20 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

TYLER MAHLE vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT HARVEY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HARVEY is 3-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.255.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.1 units)

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MIAMI (67 - 72) at ATLANTA (61 - 77) - 7:35 PM
DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 59-78 (-26.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-50 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 34-28 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 39-35 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-14 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
STRAILY is 34-25 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRAILY is 18-8 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRAILY is 20-13 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 42-68 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NEWCOMB is 1-8 (-7.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-4 (+2.9 Units) against MIAMI this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
STRAILY is 2-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.172.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

SEAN NEWCOMB vs. MIAMI since 1997
NEWCOMB is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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ST LOUIS (72 - 67) at SAN DIEGO (62 - 78) - 9:10 PM
LANCE LYNN (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 92-120 (-42.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 62-78 (+3.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 61-70 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 38-35 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 46-34 (+21.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 46-50 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 79-93 (+15.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-21 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
RICHARD is 6-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 83-69 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 38-26 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 27-21 (+5.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-2 (+0.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

LANCE LYNN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LYNN is 3-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
RICHARD is 3-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.290.
His team's record is 4-2 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

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COLORADO (74 - 65) at LA DODGERS (92 - 47) - 10:10 PM
JON GRAY (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 669-1026 (-183.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
COLORADO is 441-704 (-144.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
KERSHAW is 20-2 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 31-6 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 24-3 (+19.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 74-65 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 22-16 (+8.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 68-73 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 1-6 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
LA DODGERS are 32-28 (-13.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 202-151 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 7-5 (-0.4 Units) against COLORADO this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.5 Units)

JON GRAY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GRAY is 2-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.389.
His team's record is 4-3 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.3 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. COLORADO since 1997
KERSHAW is 21-6 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.113.
His team's record is 27-9 (+15.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 17-19. (-3.3 units)

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CLEVELAND (83 - 56) at CHI WHITE SOX (54 - 84) - 8:10 PM
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. CARLOS RODON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 23-7 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 36-15 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 52-20 (+28.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 10-5 (+0.4 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.9 Units)

COREY KLUBER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
KLUBER is 8-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.162.
His team's record is 10-7 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-11. (-5.6 units)

CARLOS RODON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
RODON is 4-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.12 and a WHIP of 1.163.
His team's record is 5-4 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.5 units)

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MINNESOTA (72 - 67) at KANSAS CITY (69 - 69) - 8:15 PM
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. SAM GAVIGLIO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 69-69 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 82-57 (+24.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 83-66 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 74-61 (+16.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 53-49 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 37-32 (+8.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 35-30 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 72-67 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 37-30 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-11 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 48-37 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 51-48 (+5.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 32-30 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
GIBSON is 8-3 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
GIBSON is 8-1 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GIBSON is 9-3 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 279-395 (-107.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 9-6 (+2.5 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
10 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.4 Units)

KYLE GIBSON vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GIBSON is 6-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 10-4 (+8.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+1.9 units)

SAM GAVIGLIO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
GAVIGLIO is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 0.938.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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NY YANKEES (74 - 64) at BALTIMORE (71 - 68) - 1:35 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 8-6 (+2.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
13 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+11.9 Units)

SONNY GRAY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GRAY is 1-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.57 and a WHIP of 1.476.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.7 units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GAUSMAN is 5-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.347.
His team's record is 10-5 (+5.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-6.0 units)

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**Udog** · 09-07-2017, 09:27 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 7

National League
Phillies @ Nationals
Nola is 1-3, 8.10 n his last four starts (over 3-1). He is 1-0, 3.27 n two starts vs Washington this season. Phils are 4-8 in his road startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 10-6-7

Roark is 2-1, 3.37 in his last three starts; under is 6-1 in their last seven. He is 0-0, 4.08 in three starts vs Philly this year. Washington is 5-6 in his home startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 13-10-2

Phillies are 8-7 in their last 15 games; over is 3-1 in their last four games. Philly is 9-15 in road series openers. Washington won four of its last five games; over is 5-1 in their last six home games. Nationals are 14-9 in home series openers.

Cubs @ Pirates
Lester is 1-1, 8.87 in his last five starts (over 4-1). Cubs are 6-5 in his road startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 11-10-6. Last time he faced the Pirates, they scored 10 runs in less than an inning against him (July 9).

Taillon is 2-0, 4.18 in his last six starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five home starts. He is 1-1, 3.75 vs Chicago this year. Pirates are 5-7 in his home startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 10-6-5

Cubs won seven of last ten games (under 7-3). Pittsburgh won four of their last five games; under is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Reds @ Mets
Mahle is 0-1, 2.45 in two starts this year (under 2-0)- Reds scored 2 runs in those games. Cincy lost his only road startâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 0-1-1

Harvey is 0-1, 9.56 in his last four starts; over is 7-2-1 in his last ten. Mets are 3-2 in his home startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 7-7

Reds won five of last seven games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Cincy is 4-1 in last five road series openers. Mets lost five of last seven games; over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. New York is 11-7 in last 18 home series openers.

Marlins @ Braves
Straily is 2-0, 4.76 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. He is 2-1, 2.65 vs Atlanta this season. Miami is 6-7 in his road startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 15-9-4

Newcomb is 1-1, 4.35 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five starts. Atlanta is 2-7 in his home startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 4-10

Marlins lost nine of last 10 games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight. Miami is 10-12 in road series openers. Atlanta played a DH yesterday; theyâ€™ve lost five of last seven games. Over is 4-1 in their last five games. Braves are 10-12 in home series openers.

Cardinals @ Padres
Lynn is 2-0, 3.00 in his last seven starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12. Cardinals are 6-8 in his road startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 14-12-2

Richard is 1-1, 3.90 in his last four starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven. San Diego is 6-8 in his home startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 12-14-2

Cardinals won six of last seven games; over is 7-5 in their last 12 games. San Diego lost its last three games; over is 4-2 in their last six games.

Rockies @ Dodgers
Gray is 2-2, 3.04 in his last four starts, last three of which stayed under. Colorado split his eight road startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 8-6-1

Kershaw is 9-0, 1.68 in his last 10 starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. He is 3-1, 2.42 against the Rockies this season. Dodgers are 10-1 in his home startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 17-2-3

Colorado lost seven of their last ten games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Rockies are 3-11 in last 14 road series openers. Dodgers lost 11 of their last 12 games; under is 5-1 in their last six home games- theyâ€™re 16-7 in home series openers.

â€”â€”â€”â€”â€”â€”â€”â€”â€”â€”â€“

American League
New York @ Baltimore
Gray is 2-4, 3.89 in six starts for NY (under 5-1). New York is 0-3 in his road startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 2-4

Gausman is 1-0, 0.00 (13.2 IP) in his last two starts; under is 7-1 in his last eight starts. He is 1-1, 8.84 in four starts vs NY this season. Orioles are 9-6 in his home startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 14-14-1

New York won four of last six games; over is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Baltimore won 10 of last 13 games; three of their last five games stayed under.

Indians @ White Sox
Kluber is 6-1, 1.86 in his last seven starts (under 5-2). He is 2-0, 2.95 in three starts against the White Sox this season. Cleveland is 8-3 in his road startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 12-10-2

Rodon is 1-1, 3.00 in his last seven starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. White Sox are 4-3 in his home startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 4-7-1

Indians won their last 14 games; under is 4-2 in his last six games. White Sox lost seven of last nine games; under is 10-2 in their last 12 home games.

Twins @ Royals
Gibson is 3-0, 1.37 in his last three starts; under is 8-5 in his last 13. He is 2-0, 3.31 in three starts vs KC this season. Twins are 8-3 in his road startsâ€” their first 5-inning record with him: 11-12-1

Gaviglio is making his first start for the Royals; he was 0-4, 6.65 in his last four starts for Seattle. Under is 5-1-1 in his last seven starts.

Twins lost four of last six games; under is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Minnesota is 13-9 in road series openers. Royals won four of last six games (over 5-1). KC is 11-11 in home series openers.

__________________________

Interleague

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
Phil-Wsh: Nola 11-12; Roark 15-10
Chi-Pitt: Lester 15-12; Taillon 11-10
Cin-NY: Mahle 0-2; Harvey 5-9
Mia-Atl: Straily 14-14; Newcomb 4-11
StL-SD: Lynn 13-15; Richard 11-17
Colo-LA: Gray 9-6; Kershaw 20-2

American League
NY-Balt: Gray 2-4 (8-8); Gausman 15-14
Clev-Chi: Kluber 16-8; Rodon 5-7
Minn-KC: Gibson 13-11; Gaviglio 0-0 (6-5)

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Phil-Wsh: Nola 6-23; Roark 10-25
Chi-Pitt: Lester 9-27; Taillon 5-21
Cin-NY: Mahle 0-2; Harvey 7-14
Mia-Atl: Straily 6-28; Newcomb 4-15
StL-SD: Lynn 7-28; Richard 9-28
Colo-LA: Gray 4-15; Kershaw 4-22

American League
NY-Balt: Gray 2-4 (8-8); Gausman 15-14
Clev-Chi: Kluber 4-24; Rodon 4-12
Minn-KC: Gibson 8-24; Gaviglio 4-11

_________________________

Umpires
National League
American League
Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ ALâ€“ 79-55 AL, favorites +$403
AL @ NLâ€“ 72-67 NL, favorites +$35
Total: 146-127 AL, favorites +$438

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 67-66-3
AL @ NL: Over 74-59-7
Total: Over 141-125-10

Teamsâ€™ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/6/17
Ariz 28-26-19â€¦â€¦37-21â€“11â€¦â€¦..65-47
Atl 26-34-9â€¦â€¦24-37-7â€¦â€¦â€¦..50-71
Cubs 31-31-8â€¦â€¦.34-22-13â€¦â€¦â€¦..65-53
Reds 22-38-8â€¦â€¦..29-36â€“7â€¦â€¦â€¦.51-74
Colo 34-27-6â€¦â€¦.37-29-5â€¦â€¦â€¦..71-56
LA 31-24-13â€¦â€¦.41-21-9â€¦â€¦â€¦.72-45
Miami 28-32-8â€¦â€¦.35-26-10â€¦â€¦â€¦63-58
Milw 33-27-9â€¦â€¦.35-27-9â€¦â€¦â€¦.67-54
Mets 31-34-4â€¦â€¦..27-37-6â€¦â€¦â€¦.58-71
Philly 17-42-15â€¦â€¦26-31-8â€¦â€¦â€¦â€¦43-73
Pitt 30-32-6â€¦â€¦.28-30-13â€¦â€¦â€¦59-62
St. Louis 30-31-9â€¦â€¦35-24-9â€¦â€¦â€¦â€¦65-55
SD 20-39-8â€¦â€¦..35-29â€“9â€¦â€¦â€¦.55-68
SF 15-47-9â€¦â€¦..28-30-12â€¦â€¦â€¦.43-77
Wash 42-23-7â€¦â€¦32-27-8â€¦â€¦â€¦â€¦.74-50

Orioles 27-33-5â€¦â€¦..30-36-7â€¦â€¦â€¦57-69
Boston 30-32-10â€¦â€¦â€¦31-35-2â€¦â€¦.61-67
White Sox 21-37-10â€¦â€¦â€¦26-40â€“4â€¦â€¦.47-76
Cleveland 43-23-8â€¦â€¦..31-24-8â€¦â€¦â€¦.74-47
Detroit 26-34-9â€¦â€¦.28-33-10â€¦â€¦..54-67
Astros 34-25-10â€¦â€¦..43-24-5â€¦â€¦..77-49
KC 26-33-10â€¦â€¦..27-28-12â€¦â€¦.53-61
Angels 26-36-8â€¦â€¦â€¦29-27-13â€¦â€¦..55-63
Twins 37-21-11â€¦â€¦â€¦32-32-8â€¦â€¦.68-52
NYY 30-36-6â€¦â€¦â€¦.36-27-4â€¦..â€¦66-63
Aâ€™s 25-36-7â€¦â€¦..30-31-11â€¦â€¦..55-67
Seattle 26-35-9â€¦â€¦..36-25-10â€¦â€¦â€¦62-60
TB 35-26-10â€¦â€¦..38-21-9â€¦â€¦..73-47
Texas 34-26-11â€¦â€¦..35-24-8â€¦â€¦..69-50
Toronto 29-37-5â€¦â€¦..27-31-10â€¦â€¦..56-68

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/6/17)
Ariz 22-71â€¦â€¦..25-67â€¦â€¦â€¦..47
Atl 16-68â€¦â€¦â€¦.19-70â€¦â€¦â€¦.35
Cubs 19-70â€¦â€¦..25-69â€¦â€¦â€¦..44
Reds 25-68â€¦â€¦..26-72â€¦â€¦â€¦â€¦51
Colo 17-67â€¦â€¦..25-71..â€¦â€¦..42
LA 20-68â€¦â€¦..25-70..â€¦â€¦..45
Miami 29-68â€¦â€¦..26-71â€¦â€¦â€¦55
Milw 23-69â€¦â€¦27-72â€¦..â€¦â€¦50
Mets 31-69â€¦â€¦..24-70â€¦â€¦â€¦.55
Philly 16-74â€¦â€¦..20-66â€¦â€¦â€¦.36
Pitt 20-68â€¦â€¦..22-72â€¦â€¦â€¦.42
StL 15-71â€¦â€¦..21-67â€¦â€¦â€¦..36
SD 23-67â€¦â€¦â€¦.23-72â€¦â€¦â€¦.46
SF 17-72â€¦â€¦â€¦.20-70â€¦â€¦â€¦.37
Wash 26-72â€¦â€¦..26-67â€¦â€¦â€¦.52

Orioles 15-66â€¦â€¦..24-74â€¦â€¦â€¦.39
Boston 20-72â€¦â€¦..15-68â€¦â€¦â€¦.35
White Sox 21-68â€¦â€¦18-70â€¦â€¦â€¦..39
Clev 21-75â€¦â€¦..21-65â€¦â€¦â€¦.42
Detroit 16-68â€¦â€¦.26-71â€¦â€¦â€¦42
Astros 20-70â€¦â€¦..28-70â€¦â€¦â€¦48
KC 18-70â€¦â€¦..13-69â€¦â€¦â€¦.31
Angels 25-72â€¦â€¦..20-70â€¦â€¦â€¦.45
Twins 16-67â€¦â€¦..18-71â€¦â€¦â€¦.34
NYY 16-71â€¦â€¦..18-67â€¦â€¦â€¦.34
Aâ€™s 16-68â€¦â€¦..27-72â€¦â€¦â€¦43
Seattle 21-70â€¦â€¦.24-73â€¦â€¦â€¦.45
TB 21-70â€¦â€¦..24-71â€¦â€¦â€¦.45
Texas 28-72â€¦â€¦..29-67â€¦â€¦â€¦57
Toronto 24-72â€¦â€¦..19-71â€¦â€¦â€¦43

**Udog** · 09-07-2017, 09:31 AM

MLB

Thursday, September 7

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Trend Report
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1:35 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
NY Yankees4-1-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Baltimore
NY Yankees are 7-17-1 SU in their last 25 games ,when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 1-4-1 SU in their last 6 games ,when playing NY Yankees
Baltimore17-7-1 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

7:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Washington
Washington is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games

7:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs15-7-1 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 7-15-1 SU in their last 23 games ,when playing at home against Chi Cubs

7:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games

7:35 PM
MIAMI vs. ATLANTA
Miami is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Chi White Sox are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games

8:15 PM
MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

9:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN DIEGO
St. Louis is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Diego
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 11 games when playing at home against St. Louis

10:10 PM
COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
Colorado is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 13 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

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**Udog** · 09-07-2017, 01:22 PM

MLB Daily Line Drive: Thursday's picks, betting odds and analysis

There are nine games on the MLB schedule today, including Clayton Kershaw taking the hill for the struggling Dodgers against Jon Gray and the Rockies. Get analysis on all of today's games as well as tips on weather, umpires, and other betting trends with our daily MLB Line Drive.

Double-Play Picks

Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets (+100, 9)

The Reds and Mets begin a four-game set Thursday night in Queens and they enter the series with very similar records. Which is not a good thing for the Metropolitans.

New York entered the year as a potential World Series contender, but injuries and inconsistencies, especially to the starting rotation, has derailed the Mets season as they sit at 60-79, one game worse than the visiting Reds.

One of the oft injured and inconsistent pitchers is Matt Harvey, who gets the call for tonightâ€™s opener.

Harvey has had two lengthy DL stints this season and when he has pitched, the right-hander has been a shell of his former self. Harvey is 4-4 in 14 starts in 2017, with a 5.97 ERA and a career worst 1.63 strikeout to walk ratio.

In his first start since returning from the DL he managed to get through just two innings, allowing seven earned runs on eight hits. In his last four starts overall, he is 0-1 with a 13.91 ERA and a 2.73 WHIP. Ouch.

Harvey faces a Reds lineup that is scoring 5.5 runs per game in their last three series (including one against the Mets) and ranks ninth in the MLB in OPS.

Additionally, Over is 6-0-1 in Harveyâ€™s last 7 home starts and is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings between these NL foes.

Oh, theyâ€™re also the two best Over teams in baseball.

Pick: Over 9

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers (-300, 6.5)

The Rockies and Dodgers open a four-game weekend series tonight in Los Angeles. The Rockies come to town off a series win against the lowly San Francisco Giants and the Dodgers are the talk of baseball...now losers of 11 of their last 12 games.

The Dodgers must be thrilled to be rid of the Diamondbacks for the rest of the regular season. Their schedule is easy down the stretch and they will be looking to start a streak in the other direction starting today with Clayton Kershaw on the mound.

The Dodgers have beaten the Rockies seven times this season and all seven of those victories were by two or more runs to cover the -1.5 runline - three of those runline victories were with Kershaw on the hill. In those last three starts against the Rockies, Kershaw owns an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.95.

Get ready for these numbers, they are insane!

In six of Clayton Kershaw's last seven starts he has allowed 0 earned runs. In those seven outings (44 innings) he has pitched to an ERA of 0.41 and a WHIP of 0.7045.

Nothing against Rockies' starter John Gray. He's been just O.K. on the road this season with a team win/loss of 4-5 and and ERA of 4.96. Gray will have to be much more than "O.K." tonight in order to hold down the sleeping Dodgers.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-130)

Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
Season To Date: 135-127-13

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians (14-4, 2.56 ERA, $2)

Corey Kluber is so good. What else is there to say about him?

In his last nine starts, he has a record of 7-1 (8-1 team win/loss), thrown 68 innings allowing only 16 runs (2.12 ERA), has 87 strikeouts, and only nine walks.

The Indians ace has been instrumental in Clevelandâ€™s domination of the American League Central. The Tribe has won 12 of Kluberâ€™s last 15 starts within the division.

Kluber and the Indians are massive -264 road chalk today against Carlos Rodon and the White Sox.

Slumping: Clayton Richard, San Diego Padres (6-13, 4.94 ERA, $-278)

There are a couple of pitchers getting their second starts after spending time on the DL that struggled mightily in their first games back, Matt Harvey and Jon Lester. But the slumping section isnâ€™t about a bad start because of injuries, itâ€™s about sustained stretches of failure at your profession.

Enter Clayton Richard.

The 33-year-old has struggled all season with a 6-13 record and 4.94 ERA in 28 starts. Thereâ€™s no reason to think things will improve either, he only has one win since June 13th. Thatâ€™s 14 starts and only one win for a major league pitcher. Gross.

Richard and the Padres are +114 home pups against the Cardinals and Lance Lynn tonight.

Thursday's Top Trends

* Over is 11-1 in Jeff Kelloggâ€™s last 12 games behind home plate vs. New York. NYY/BAL Total: 8.5.

* Cubs are 12-2 in Jon Lesterâ€™s last 14 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. -130 today @ PIT.

* Under is 10-2 in Lance Lynnâ€™s last 12 starts overall. STL/SD Total: 8.5.

* Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. +265 @ LAD.

Weather To Keep An Eye On

Weather is a primary talking point in the sports world with Hurricane Irma making its way to Florida. Stay tuned on that front.

As for today at the ballpark, itâ€™s the calm before the storm and looks to be a dry day across Major League Baseball.

There is an 11-13 mile per hour wind expected to be blowing out to right field this afternoon at Camden Yards in Baltimore where the Orioles will host the Yankees. The total is currently set at 8.5.

There is also a stiff breeze (12-15 miles per hour) blowing out to right field at Citi Field in Queens where the Mets will welcome the Reds to town. The total is at 9.

Ump Of The Day

Jeff Kellogg will be calling balls and strikes today in Baltimore for this afternoon's game between the Orioles and Yankees.

Kellogg is pretty down the middle as far as season numbers go, 12-13 home team W/L and 13-11 O/U. However, thereâ€™s something about the Bronx Bombers that causes his strike zone to shrink and runs to be scored. The Over has cashed in 11 of his last 12 games behind home plate involving the Yankees.

The total for the Yankees/Orioles this afternoon is set at 8.5.

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/7

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/7

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