Announcement

**Udog** · 08-14-2017, 09:55 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Bryce Harper has a bad bone bruise but no ligament damage; he is on the DL.

—Notre Dame/Wisconsin will play at Lambeau Field in 2020, then Soldier Field in 2021.

— Rory McIlroy has a bad rib, may not play golf again the rest of this season.

— Florida Gators suspended 7 players, including their best WR, for their football opener with Michigan.

— Bears claimed kicker Roberto Aguayo on waivers from Tampa Bay.

— If baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL: Boston-Cleveland-Houston. Wild Card: New York/LA Angels
NL: Washington-Cubs-Los Angeles. Wild Card: Arizona/Colorado

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Notes on NFC teams…….

Random notes on NFC teams:

Arizona— Carson Palmer turns 38 on Dec 27; only 27 NFL QB’s have thrown 200+ passes at age 38 or older— 13 of those 17 are or will be in the Hall of Fame. Arizona had the oldest offense in the NFL last year; their time to win a Super Bowl is this year, or else. Over is 13-3 in Arizona road games the last two years; since 2014, under is 14-9-1 in Cardinal home games.

Atlanta— Blew a 28-3 lead in the Super Bowl, fired their DC, lost their OC, have a new stadium this year. Falcons scored 58 TD’s last year, punted 48 times with only 11 turnovers— they were only the third team since 1996 to score a TD on more than 33.3% of their drives. Now what? Underdogs are 13-3 vs spread in Falcon home games, since Quinn has been coach.

Carolina— How is Cam Newton’s shoulder? That is Question #1. Panthers were -2 in turnovers LY (6-10), after being +20/+3/+11 the three years before that (15-1/7-8-1/12-4). Over last four years, Carolina is 4-10-1 vs spread as a road favorite- their front office had in-fighting this winter— the GM got fired— will that affect the players?

Chicago— QB Mike Glennon played QB at NC State after Russell Wilson bolted for Wisconsin; then he went 5-13 over two years as a starter in Tampa Bay before they drafted Jameis Winston. He’s thrown 11 passes the last two years, is now renting the Bears’ #1 job until they decide that #1 pick Mitch Trubisky is ready to be the starter. Awkward situation.

Dallas— Dak Prescott makes $540K this year, $630K next year, which bails Dallas out of a lot of its salary cap quandries. Cowboys ran the ball 59.4% of time on 1st down LY, averaged 5.1 yds/rush on those runs, and averaged 8.9 yds/pass on play action passes. As a result, Cowboys faced 3rd-lowest number of 3rd downs in NFL. Will Prescott fight the sophomore jinx this year?

Detroit— As a Ram fan, I was frustrated by how bad OT Greg Robinson was for the Rams the last few years; now he is a Lion and is the LT, protecting Matthew Stafford’s blind side. Detroit’s backup QB’s are Jake Rudock/Brad Kaaya. Lions have lost nine playoff games in a row- their last playoff win was in 1991. If Detroit makes the playoffs this year, I’ll be very surprised.

Green Bay— Since 1992, Packers have had Favre/Rodgers at QB, two first-ballot Hall of Famers. They won Super Bowl in ’96 and ’10, lost in ’97- should they be winning more than they have? Pack made playoffs last 7 years and 14 of last 20 years, but are just 13-13 in playoff games since Favre won his Super Bowl. Last three years, Green Bay is 14-7-2 vs spread as a home favorite.

LA Rams— 31-year old Sean McVay was hired to develop Jared Goff as a QB, but before that, they have to put together an offensive line that can protect him. 35-year old Andrew Whitwroth was brought in from Cincinnati to play LT and fortify the line. Rams were 4-5 LY, led Miami 10-0 with 5:00 to go in Goff’s debut in Game #10— had they won that game, Jeff Fisher would likely still be the Rams’ coach.

Minnesota— Vikings went 8-8 with a +11 turnover ratio; no bueno; they had 54 third-and-1’s last year, converted 11-15 (73.3%) times when they threw the ball, 25-39 (64.1%) when they ran it. Sam Bradford is 32-45-1 as an NFL starter, 14-15 since leaving the Rams. Minnesota hasn’t won a playoff game since 2009; since ’05, they’re 1-4 in playoff games. Vikings have had eight #1 QB’s over the last 12 years. Bridgewater’s knee injury last summer was incredibly bad luck.

NJ Giants— Giants have had one #1 QB since 2005; Eli Manning has played all 192 games, and that is his greatest strength— he shows up to work every week. Giants won Super Bowl after 2007/2011 seasons, going 4-0 in playoffs both years; other than those two years, since 2001, Big Blue is 0-5 in playoff games. Have been in playoffs twice in last eight years, are 1-5 in Week 1 the last six years- they open vs Dallas this year for 5th time in last six years.

New Orleans— Does signing Adrian Peterson mean Saints will run ball more to protect a poor defense and a 38-year old QB? NO scored 400+ points the last six years, but made playoffs only once in last five years, going 7-9 in other four. Last three years, Saints are 5-13-1 vs spread as a home favorite, 5-0 as home dogs- they’re 3-8 in last 11 tries as a road favorite. Over is 16-8 in Superdome games the last three years; over is 13-11 in NO road games during that time.

Philadelphia— Eagles missed playoffs five of last six years; their last playoff win was in 2008, but they had to be happy with rookie QB Wentz LY. This will be first time since 2012 that Iggles had same #1 QB as year before (Michael Vick). Philly was 4-1 vs spread as a home underdog LY, after being 1-10 in that role from 2007-15. Eagles were favored in only two of their eight home games LY; the last five years, they’re 5-9-1 vs spread in home games vs divisional rivals.

San Francisco— Four head coaches in four years is never good; they’re 7-25 since Jim Harbaugh took his act to Ann Arbor. Over last five years, 49ers have averaged 3.96 starts per draft pick, which is poor, so John Lynch runs franchise now; smart guy, but he’s never done this before. As of June 3, 51 of 90 players on roster were acquired since Lynch took over- they let 27 of 31 free agents walk. Kyle Shanahan is the new coach, after helping Falcons win NFC title last season.

Seattle— Seahawks are 56-23-1 the last five years; they’ve won at least one playoff game in 8 of last 10 seasons, but throwing that INT on goal line at end of Super Bowl will haunt them until they win another Super Bowl. Russell Wilson is 8-4 in playoff games; he was a 3rd-round pick, just like Joe Montana, who was 16-7 in playoff games. Seattle is 6-10 vs spread as a road favorite the last three years; under Carroll, they’re 26-11 vs spread as a home favorite.

Tampa Bay— Bucs haven’t made playoffs since 2007; their last playoff win was the Super Bowl 15 years ago- they were 9-7 LY, their first winning season since ’10. Adding DeSean Jackson will give Jameis Winston another explosive option; listening to the first episode of Hard Knocks, this is a confident team that expects to make the playoffs, but they’ll need to play better at home. Last three years, Tampa Bay is 8-16 vs spread at home, 2-6 in divisional home games.

Washington— Sean McVay is in LA; they fired their DC, so two new coordinators this season for Jay Gruden, who goes back to calling plays. Skins were 17-14-1 the last two years; since 2006, they are 0-3 in playoff games. Last time Washington was a playoff game, Joe Gibbs was coach. Gruden is 4-8 vs spread as a home favorite; last two years, Washington is 9-4 vs spread coming off a loss. Last five years, over is 25-14-1 in Redskin road games.

**Udog** · 08-14-2017, 10:00 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, August 14

Cleveland @ Boston

Game 921-922
August 14, 2017 @ 6:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Bauer) 17.367
Boston
(Fister) 14.980
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-115
10
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-115); Under

Houston @ Arizona

Game 919-920
August 14, 2017 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(McHugh) 15.462
Arizona
(Greinke) 12.918
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-155
9
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+135); Under

NY Mets @ NY Yankees

Game 917-918
August 14, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Montero) 16.209
NY Yankees
(Cessa) 14.440
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 2
8 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
N/A

Baltimore @ Seattle

Game 915-916
August 14, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Gausman) 15.410
Seattle
(Gallardo) 14.464
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-115); Under

Kansas City @ Oakland

Game 913-914
August 14, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Junis) 13.919
Oakland
(Cotton) 16.843
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-115); Over

Detroit @ Texas

Game 911-912
August 14, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Fulmer) 15.898
Texas
(Perez) 14.353
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-115
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-105); Under

Tampa Bay @ Toronto

Game 909-910
August 14, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Odorizzi) 15.742
Toronto
(Tepesch) 13.711
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-110
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-110); Under

Philadelphia @ San Diego

Game 907-908
August 14, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Eickhoff) 11.785
San Diego
(Wood) 15.368
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-120); Over

Atlanta @ Colorado

Game 905-906
August 14, 2017 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Teheran) 13.910
Colorado
(Bettis) 16.545
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-150
12
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-150); Under

Cincinnati @ Chicago Cubs

Game 903-904
August 14, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Wjchwski) 15.910
Chicago Cubs
(Quntana) 14.319
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-200
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+170); N/A

San Francisco @ Miami

Game 901-90
August 14, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Blach) 15.880
Miami
(Conley) 14.517
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-135
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+115); Under

**Udog** · 08-14-2017, 10:04 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, August 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (47 - 72) at MIAMI (56 - 60) - 7:10 PM
TY BLACH (L) vs. ADAM CONLEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-72 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-55 (-20.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-19 (-9.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-40 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 30-46 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-33 (-23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 28-34 (-23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-0 (+3.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TY BLACH vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

ADAM CONLEY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CONLEY is 0-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.940.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (49 - 69) at CHICAGO CUBS (61 - 55) - 8:05 PM
ASHER WOJCIECHOWSKI (R) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 7-22 (-15.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
QUINTANA is 9-1 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 61-55 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-26 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 265-318 (-68.9 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 412-374 (-84.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-45 (-25.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-31 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 809-766 (-160.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 239-199 (-50.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
QUINTANA is 17-28 (-14.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 6-3 (+2.1 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

ASHER WOJCIECHOWSKI vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

JOSE QUINTANA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (52 - 63) at COLORADO (65 - 52) - 8:40 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. CHAD BETTIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEHERAN is 10-27 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 65-52 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 35-21 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BETTIS is 21-11 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BETTIS is 12-2 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BETTIS is 20-6 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 120-156 (+4.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 63-76 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 46-48 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 51-54 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 57-62 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 57-76 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 28-33 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. COLORADO since 1997
TEHERAN is 4-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.031.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (+0.1 units)

CHAD BETTIS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
BETTIS is 3-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.534.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (43 - 72) at SAN DIEGO (51 - 66) - 10:10 PM
JERAD EICKHOFF (R) vs. TRAVIS WOOD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-72 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-50 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-50 (-22.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN DIEGO is 119-160 (+0.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 68-69 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 38-30 (+15.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 37-41 (+6.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 72-87 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 31-28 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 393-349 (+50.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-53 (+18.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

JERAD EICKHOFF vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
EICKHOFF is 3-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

TRAVIS WOOD vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
WOOD is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.86 and a WHIP of 0.854.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (59 - 60) at TORONTO (56 - 61) - 7:05 PM
JAKE ODORIZZI (R) vs. NICK TEPESCH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 127-153 (-31.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-22 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 79-100 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 67-85 (-20.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 56-61 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 19-28 (-12.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 31-42 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 22-34 (-18.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 24-28 (-13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-6 (-0.6 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.9 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. TORONTO since 1997
ODORIZZI is 5-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.064.
His team's record is 6-8 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-7. (-1.6 units)

NICK TEPESCH vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
TEPESCH is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 1.88 and a WHIP of 0.768.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (53 - 64) at TEXAS (56 - 60) - 8:05 PM
MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 53-64 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 330-418 (-92.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 31-46 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 23-31 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEXAS is 151-130 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 41-28 (+13.8 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 83-57 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 42-25 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 110-91 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 116-97 (+20.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 106-98 (+18.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
FULMER is 30-17 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 2-11 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
PEREZ is 2-10 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

MICHAEL FULMER vs. TEXAS since 1997
FULMER is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.444.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
PEREZ is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.380.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (59 - 58) at OAKLAND (52 - 66) - 10:05 PM
JAKE JUNIS (R) vs. JHAREL COTTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 59-58 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 43-27 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 44-39 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 33-26 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 189-253 (-54.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 18-31 (-10.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 101-123 (-33.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 29-44 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JAKE JUNIS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

JHAREL COTTON vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
COTTON is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 0.71 and a WHIP of 1.026.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (58 - 60) at SEATTLE (59 - 60) - 10:10 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 57-82 (-25.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 12-27 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
GAUSMAN is 7-20 (-13.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 10-20 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 7-17 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 3-12 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 9-2 (+8.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
BALTIMORE is 146-134 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 112-113 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 620-574 (-102.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 805-721 (-101.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SEATTLE is 385-347 (-71.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GAUSMAN is 0-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.322.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GALLARDO is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (53 - 62) at NY YANKEES (61 - 55) - 7:05 PM
RAFAEL MONTERO (R) vs. LUIS CESSA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 53-62 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 41-48 (-15.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 10-28 (-19.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 32-14 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 61-55 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 23-26 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RAFAEL MONTERO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
MONTERO is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

LUIS CESSA vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (72 - 45) at ARIZONA (65 - 52) - 9:40 PM
COLLIN MCHUGH (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 3-9 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
ARIZONA is 65-52 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 27-15 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 38-22 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 20-9 (+10.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 9-1 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
ARIZONA is 47-34 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 52-38 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
GREINKE is 32-17 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 52-21 (+19.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 128-68 (+45.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 97-48 (+36.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 72-45 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 39-20 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 36-14 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 57-27 (+21.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 26-13 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

COLLIN MCHUGH vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MCHUGH is 3-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.179.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GREINKE is 5-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.66 and a WHIP of 1.182.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (63 - 52) at BOSTON (67 - 50) - 6:10 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 63-52 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 40-36 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 105-79 (+41.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.
BOSTON is 33-32 (-8.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 52-53 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 221-225 (-64.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-0 (+2.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.1 Units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. BOSTON since 1997
BAUER is 0-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 9.52 and a WHIP of 2.028.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
FISTER is 6-4 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.033.
His team's record is 8-9 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 08-14-2017, 10:07 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, August 14

National League
Giants @ Marlins
Blach is 2-0, 2.40 in his last two starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Giants are 3-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-8

Conley is 0-2, 7.84 in his last two starts (over 8-3). Miami is 2-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-4-3

Giants are 6-4 in last ten games; under is 6-0 in their last six games. SF is 8-11 in road series openers. Miami won its last five home games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Marlins are 9-10 in home series openers.

Reds @ Cubs
Wojciechowski is 2-0, 3.37 in his last two starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Reds are 0-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-4

Quintana is 0-2, 6.35 in his last three starts (under 3-2). Cubs split his two home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-3-1

Reds lost three of last four road games; their last eight games went over total. Cincy is 8-13 in road series openers. Cubs are 4-7 in last 11 games; over is 4-2 in their last six home games. Chicago is 7-12 in home series openers.

Braves @ Rockies
Teheran is 0-4, 7.33 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1). Atlanta is 7-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-9-4

Bettis is making his first ’17 start (testicular cancer); he is 23-19, 5.01 in 60 career starts. He is 0-3, 4.24 in five AAA rehab starts this summer.

Braves lost five of last six games; over is 14-2-1 in their last 17 road games. Atlanta is 11-5 in last 16 road series openers. Colorado lost five of last six games; under is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games. Rockies are 14-4 in home series openers.

Phillies @ Padres
Eickhoff is 2-0, 3.80 in his last four starts; over is 6-4 in his last ten. Phillies are 1-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-10-1

Wood is 1-1, 6.75 in three starts for San Diego (over 2-1). Home side won all three of those games; Padres’ first 5-inning record with him: 1-2

Phillies lost three of last four games; under is 6-2 in their last eight road games. Philly is 8-12 in road series openers. San Diego lost six of last eight games; five of their last six games went over. Padres are 12-7 in home series openers.

——————————–

American League
Indians @ Red Sox
Bauer is 3-0, 2.00 in his last four starts, last three of which stayed under. Cleveland is 4-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-8-3

Fister is 2-0, 3.21 in his last two starts (under 4-2). Boston is 2-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-4

Cleveland won its last three games; under is 9-1 in their last ten games. Indians are 8-11 in road series openers. Red Sox won 10 of their last 11 games; under is 6-2 in their last eight. Boston is 13-6 in home series openers.

Rays @ Blue Jays
Odorizzi is 2-2, 5.92 in his last five starts; over is 9-1 in his last ten. Tampa Bay is 3-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-7-4

Tepesch allowed five runs in 4.1 IP (81 PT) in his first Toronto start— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Rays lost seven of last nine games (shut out 5 times); under is 10-1 in their last 11 games. Rays are 12-7 in road series openers. Toronto won five of last seven home games; under is 5-1 in their last six games. Blue Jays are 7-12 in home series openers.

Tigers @ Rangers
Fulmer was 0-3, 8.10 in his last three starts before going on DL (over 3-1 in last four). Detroit is 4-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-9-2

Perez is 1-4, 7.20 in his last five starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Texas is 5-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-12-3

Detroit lost seven of last nine games; over is 4-0-1 in their last five. Tigers are 9-10 in road series openers. Rangers won three of last four games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine home games. Texas is 10-9 in home series openers.

Royals @ A’s
Junis is 2-2, 4.68 in his last five starts (over 5-1-1). Royals are 2-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-4

Cotton is 0-2, 8.69 in his last four starts; under is 5-3-1 in his home starts. A’s are 3-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-10-1

Royals lost seven of last ten games but won last two; six of their last nine games went over. KC is 8-11 in road series openers. Oakland lost 10 of last 15 home games (under 10-4-1). A’s are 8-12 in home series openers.

Orioles @ Mariners
Gausman is 3-1, 1.64 in his last five starts, last four of which stayed under. Orioles are 4-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-13

Gallardo is 1-0, 4.20 in his last three starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Seattle is 3-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-8-3

Baltimore won 10 of last 16 games; under is 9-4 in their last 13. Orioles are 7-12 in road series openers. Mariners lost their last four games; over is 5-3 in their last eight. Seattle is 1-6 in last seven home series openers.

__________________________

Interleague

Mets @ Bronx
Montero is 0-4, 6.61 in his last six starts (under 5-1). Mets are 2-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-7-1

Cessa is 0-3, 7.27 in four starts this year (under 4-0). Bronx lost his only home start — their first 5-inning record with him: 1-3

Mets won three of last four games; under is 6-3-1 in their last 10 games. Mets 10-8 in road series openers. Bronx lost three of last four games; under is 12-4 in their last 16 games. Bronx is 12-6 in home series openers.

Astros @ Diamondbacks
McHugh is 0-1, 5.73 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Houston is 1-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-2

Greinke is 4-1, 3.14 in his last seven starts; under is 5-2-2 in his last nine. Arizona is 9-0 in his last nine home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-4-4

Astros lost seven of last eight road games; over is 16-6 in their last 22 road games. Houston is 14-5 in road series openers. Arizona lost four of last five games; over is 5-2-2 in their last nine home games. Diamondbacks are 13-6 in home series openers.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
SF-Mia: Blach 9-10; Conley 5-6
Cin-Cubs: Wojciechowski 3-3; Quintana 2-3 (10-8)
Atl-Colo: Teheran 10-13; Bettis 0-0
Phil-SD: Eickhoff 6-14; Wood 1-2 (x-x)

American League
Clev-Bos: Bauer 11-11; Fister 3-3
TB-Tor: Odorizzi 7-12; Tepesch 0-1 (0-1)
Det-Tex: Fulmer 11-10; Perez 8-14
KC-A’s: Junis 5-2; Cotton 6-11
Balt-Sea: Gausman 12-13; Gallardo 7-11

Interleague
NY-NY Montero 3-6; Cessa 0-4
Hst-Az: McHugh 1-3; Greinke 16-7

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
SF-Mia: Blach 6-19; Conley 4-4-3
Cin-Cubs: Wojciechowski 2-6; Quintana 6-23
Atl-Colo: Teheran 8-23; Bettis 0-0
Phil-SD: Eickhoff 6-20; Wood 1-3

American League
Clev-Bos: Bauer 4-22; Fister 2-6
TB-Tor: Odorizzi 5-19; Tepesch 0-2
Det-Tex: Fulmer 7-21; Perez 9-22
KC-A’s: Junis 2-7; Cotton 7-17
Balt-Sea: Gausman 6-25; Gallardo 9-18

Interleague
NY-NY Montero 3-9; Cessa 2-4
Hst-Az: McHugh 0-4; Greinke 3-23

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 64-49 AL, favorites -$73
AL @ NL– 61-56 NL, favorites -$537
Total: 119-107 AL, favorites -$610

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 57-55-3
AL @ NL: Over 63-48-7
Total: Over 120-103-10

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/13/17
Ariz 21-22-15……30-20–11……..51-42
Atl 22-28-8……19-30-7………..41-58
Cubs 28-27-6……25-21-9………..53-48
Reds 20-33-5……..22-33–5……….42-66
Colo 31-24-6…….31-21-3………..62-45
LA 28-18-8…….40-17-6……….68-35
Miami 25-27-6…….29-22-7………54-49
Milw 29-20-8…….30-25-8………58-45
Mets 27-27-3……..24-30-4……..51-57
Philly 15-33-12……21-27-7……….36-60
Pitt 28-28-4…….23-26-9………51-54
St. Louis 23-25-8……33-20-9…………56-45
SD 19-36-6……..27-23–6……….46-59
SF 13-37-9……..22-28-9……….38-65
Wash 35-18-5……25-24-8………….60-43

Orioles 23-31-5……..26-27-5………49-58
Boston 25-27-8………27-27-2……..52-54
White Sox 19-32-8………21-32–3……..40-63
Cleveland 30-20-7……..28-21-7……..58-41
Detroit 22-29-9…….26-25-6……..48-54
Astros 29-22-8……..36-19-4……..65-41
KC 22-27-8………23-24-12…….45-51
Angels 22-29-8………26-22-12……..48-51
Twins 33-16-9………25-29-6……..58-44
NYY 23-33-5……….29-22-4…..…52-55
A’s 21-28-7……..25-28-10……..46-56
Seattle 20-29-8……..32-21-9……..52-50
TB 28-20-10……..33-18-8……..61-38
Texas 28-21-10……..26-23-8………54-44
Toronto 23-32-3……..22-28-8……..45-60

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 8/13/17)
Ariz 17-56……..21-60………..37
Atl 13-58……..16-56………..29
Cubs 15-61……..20-55……….35
Reds 23-58……..24-59……….47
Colo 16-61……..20-56..…….36
LA 17-54……..24-62..……..41
Miami 24-58……..19-58………43
Milw 20-57……25-63…..…..45
Mets 25-57……..19-58……….44
Philly 16-60……..16-56……….32
Pitt 18-60……..18-58……….36
StL 12-56……..19-61………..31
SD 23-61……..17-56…………40
SF 15-60……..17-59…………32
Wash 24-58……..23-58……….47

Orioles 10-60……..19-59………29
Boston 18-61……..13-56………..31
White Sox 16-59……13-56……….29
Clev 12-57……..19-58………31
Detroit 14-60…….24-58………38
Astros 17-59……..24-58……….41
KC 13-58……..10-59………..23
Angels 21-61…….15-60………..35
Twins 13-56……..13-59……….26
NYY 13-61……..16-55………29
A’s 13-56……..23-63………36
Seattle 19-56…….21-64………40
TB 18-58……..20-61……..38
Texas 22-59……..25-56………47
Toronto 19-58……..16-61………35

**Udog** · 08-14-2017, 10:10 AM

MLB

Monday, August 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

6:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Boston's last 16 games at home

7:07 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:08 PM
NY METS vs. NY YANKEES
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Mets
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games

7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. MIAMI
San Francisco is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco's last 12 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco

8:05 PM
DETROIT vs. TEXAS
Detroit is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games at home

8:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 13 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chi Cubs's last 13 games when playing Cincinnati

8:40 PM
ATLANTA vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Atlanta's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

9:40 PM
HOUSTON vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas City's last 16 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Oakland's last 16 games when playing at home against Kansas City

10:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing San Diego
Philadelphia is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games at home
San Diego is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Philadelphia

10:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. SEATTLE
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 11 games on the road
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/14

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/14

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment