Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/20

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, July 20

Good Luck on day #200 of 2017!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the World Series this year:

— Los Angeles Dodgers 3-1

— Houston Astros 9-2

— Washington Nationals, Boston Red Sox 6-1

— Cleveland Indians 7-1

— Chicago Cubs 8-1

— New York (A) 16-1


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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) A helicopter carrying WWE’s Shane McMahon made an emergency landing Wednesday in the Atlantic Ocean off Long Island; the helicopter took off from Westchester County Airport, made a stop at a heliport in Manhattan, then was flying east along the Long Island coast when the incident occurred.

The pilot issued a mayday call before going into the water; a commercial flight heading to Kennedy Airport heard it and relayed it to FAA controllers at a radar facility. McMahon and the pilot are both OK.

12) Quote of the Day, Part 2:
“My sense is the law will change in the next few years in the United States……..People want to bet throughout the game. It results in enormous additional engagement with the fans.”
NBA commissioner Adam Silver, on sports gambling becoming legal in the near future

11) You wonder why the other 29 NFL teams looked the other way when the Rams, Raiders and Chargers pulled up stakes and moved? There are relocation fees those teams have to pay to the league. EACH of the other 29 teams banked $55M in relocation fees this year. Must be nice.

10) Los Angeles Dodgers have been held to 1 or 2 runs in six of Clayton Kershaw’s 20 starts this year; they won five of those six games, thats how good Kershaw has been. LA won his last 14 starts- they’ve also won Alex Wood’s last 11 starts.

9) Dodgers are on a 30-4 roll; last major league team to go 30-4 in any stretch? The ’77 Royals.

8) Cubs’ 3B Kris Bryant left Wednesday’s game early with a sprained pinky he hurt while sliding head-first into third base……..Freddie Freeman left the same game early with an illness……… Stephen Souza Jr left the Rays’ game early with a hip injury suffered while sliding feet-first…. …….Charlie Blackmon left the Rockies’ game with a tweaked hamstring.

7) Rockies 18, Padres 4— In three games in Denver this week, San Diego starting pitchers allowed 24 runs in 10 IP. No bueno. Nolan Arenado had 3 HR’s, 7 RBI for Colorado.

6) Rockies’ catcher Ryan Hanigan is the son of an FBI agent. Has to be difficult to get away with childhood hijinx when your dad is a federal agent.

5) Todd Frazier is going to be the everyday 3B in the Bronx; Chase Headley gets the next shot at being the everyday 1B.

4) Chargers’ first-round draft pick, Clemson WR Mike Williams, might need season ending back surgery, not how the Bolts wanted their first year up north to start.

3) There have been 19 games where a team scored in every inning of a major league game; by way of contrast, there have been 21 perfect games in the big leagues.

2) In 1972, Robert Irsay bought the Rams for $19M, then traded them to Carroll Rosenbloom in exchange for the Baltimore Colts. Think something like that could ever happen today?

1) Wednesday was National Hot Dog Day; there is an ongoing question on the Interweb, as to whether a hot dog is indeed a sandwich. My opinion; a hot dog is a sandwich. Meat in between bread, that would qualify it as a sandwich. Others disagree, some vehemently. So be it.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, July 20


NY Yankees @ Seattle

Game 967-968
July 20, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Severino) 14.590
Seattle
(Hernandez) 15.995
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+100); Under

Detroit @ Kansas City

Game 965-966
July 20, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Fulmer) 14.644
Kansas City
(Duffy) 16.589
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-105); Under

Texas @ Baltimore

Game 963-964
July 20, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Hamels) 14.943
Baltimore
(Miley) 13.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-115
10
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-105); Over

Toronto @ Boston

Game 961-962
July 20, 2017 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Liriano) 15.706
Boston
(Fister) 13.287
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-125
10
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+105); Under

San Diego @ San Francisco

Game 959-960
July 20, 2017 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Chacin) 12.894
San Francisco
(Bmgrner) 13.799
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-200
7
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-200); Over

Atlanta @ LA Dodgers

Game 957-958
July 20, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Fltynwcz) 16.848
LA Dodgers
(McCrthy) 15.916
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-220
8
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+190); Over

Arizona @ Cincinnati

Game 955-956
July 20, 2017 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Walker) 12.055
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 14.582
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-110
10
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-110); Under

Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh

Game 953-954
July 20, 2017 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Nelson) 14.572
Pittsburgh
(Taillon) 16.029
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-125); Under

St. Louis @ NY Mets

Game 951-952
July 20, 2017 @ 12:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Lynn) 15.505
NY Mets
(Lugo) 14.412
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-115); Over

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 20

National League
Brewers @ Pirates
Nelson is 3-0, 2.81 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Brewers are 5-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-9-2

Taillon is 2-1, 2.42 in his last four starts; under is 5-0 in his last five. Pirates are 2-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-4-3

Milwaukee lost its last four games; under is 10-3 in their last 13 games. Pittsburgh won 10 of last 12 games; under is 15-2 in their last 17 home games.

Cardinals @ Mets
Lynn is 3-1, 2,59 in his last four starts; his last three stayed under. St Louis is 5-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-8-1

Lugo is 4-2, 5.11 in six starts this year )over 4-1-1). Mets are 1-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-2

Cardinals won three of their last five games; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. New York lost three of its last four games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight home games.

Diamondbacks @ Reds
Walker is 0-1, 5.18 in his last four starts; his last three stayed under. Arizona is 5-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-6-2

Castillo is 1-2, 3.41 in his first five MLB starts (under 3-2). Reds are 1-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-2

Arizona lost six of its last seven games; under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Cincinnati lost six of its last seven home games; under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Braves @ Dodgers
Foltynewicz is 3-0, 2.59 in his last four starts; Braves won his last seven starts- under is 4-1 in his last five. Atlanta is 4-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-6-4

McCarthy is 1-0, 4.32 in his last five starts (over 4-0-1). Dodgers are 8-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-6-1

Atlanta lost its last three games, is 10-2 in last 12 road series openers. Under is 4-2 in their last six games. Dodgers won their last 11 games; they’re 12-4 in home series openers. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five home games.

Padres @ Giants
Chacin is 2-0, 2.12 in his last three starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. San Diego is 4-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-11-2

Bumgarner is 0-3, 3.18 in five starts this year (under 3-2). Giants lost his only home start— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-4

San Diego lost its last four road games; over is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Padres are 4-11 in road series openers. Giants are 3-7 in last ten games, 5-9 in home openers. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.

——————————–

American League
Rangers @ Orioles
Hamels is 2-0, 0.82 in his last three starts (over 6-2-1). Texas is 2-3 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 7-0-2

Miley is 1-4, 8.17 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Orioles are 4-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-10-1

Rangers lost their last four games (under 7-2-1). Baltimore won last three games- over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Blue Jays @ Red Sox
Liriano is 1-2, 8.36 in his last three starts; over is 8-2 in his last ten. Toronto is 4-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-6-3

Fister is 0-2, 7.36 in his last three starts (under 2-1). Boston lost his only Fenway start— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-3

Blue Jays lost five of last seven games; over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. Boston won three of its last four games; under is 8-2-2 in their last 12 games.

New York @ Seattle
Severino is 0-2, 4.93 in his last six starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. New York is 4-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-7-2

Hernandez is 2-0, 2.45 in his last two starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Seattle is 4-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-5

New York lost eight of last 12 games; under is 8-0-1 in their last nine games. NY is 8-8 in road series openers. Mariners won six of their last seven games; under is 6-2 in their last eight. Seattle is 11-5 in home series openers, but lost last three.

Tigers @ Royals
Fulmer is 4-0, 2.93 in his last four starts; over is 8-5-2 in his last 15 starts. Detroit is 4-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-6-2

Duffy is 1-3, 5.04 in his last four starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. Royals are 3-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-7-3

Detroit won five of last seven games; over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 road games. Kansas City lost seven of its last nine games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.

__________________________

Interleague

None

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Mil-Pitt: Nelson 11-8; Taillon 6-6
StL-NY: Lynn 9-10; Lugo 4-2
Az-Cin: Walker 10-5; Castillo 2-3
Atl-LA: Foltynewicz 10-7 (7-0 last 7); McCarthy 11-4
SD-SF: Chacin 10-9; Bumgarner 0-5

American League
Tex-Balt: Hamels 5-4; Miley 9-10
Tor-Bos: Liriano 9-6; Fister 1-2
NY-Sea: Severino 9-9; Hernandez 5-5
Det-KC: Fulmer 11-7; Duffy 6-8

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Mil-Pitt: Nelson 3-19; Taillon 2-12
StL-NY: Lynn 6-19; Lugo 2-6
Az-Cin: Walker 6-15; Castillo 1-5
Atl-LA: Foltynewicz 3-17; McCarthy 2-15
SD-SF: Chacin 8-19; Bumgarner 1-5

American League
Tex-Balt: Hamels 4-9; Miley 7-19
Tor-Bos: Liriano 7-15; Fister 1-3
NY-Sea: Severino 4-18; Hernandez 6-10
Det-KC: Fulmer 5-18; Duffy 3-14

_________________________

Umpires
National League
Mil-Pitt: Under is 9-1-3 in Blakney starts this year.
StL-NY: Underdogs are 11-6 in last 17 West games.
Az-Cin: Four of last five Morales games stayed under.

American League
Tex-Balt: Four of last five HGibson games went over.
Tor-Bos: Four of last five Dreckman games went over.
Det-KC: Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Ripperger games.

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 46-38 AL, favorites -$820
AL @ NL– 49-45 NL, favorites -$628
Total: 91-87 AL, favorites -$1,448

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 47-40-2
AL @ NL: Over 49-39-3
Total: Over 96-79-5

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/19/17
Ariz 15-20-11……27-14–7……….41-34
Atl 20-19-6……19-25-4………..39-44
Cubs 23-24-3……20-19-5………..43-43
Reds 14-27-4……18-27–4…………32-54
Colo 27-17-6…….25-19-2……….52-36
LA 22-18-5…….33-13-4……….55-31
Miami 19-23-3…….23-19-6……..42-42
Milw 23-14-8…….25-20-7………47-34
Mets 22-19-2……..22-24-3………44-43
Philly 12-29-11……14-20-7……….26-49
Pitt 22-21-3…..18-22-9………..40-43
St. Louis 18-20-6……28-15-7……….46-35
SD 12-30-5……..24-19–4………36-49
SF 10-35-7……..17-22-5……….30-57
Wash 33-13-3……21-17-7………….54-30

Orioles 16-27-4……..20-24-3………36-51
Boston 20-24-6………21-23-2…….41-47
White Sox 16-28-6……..18-21–3……..34-48
Cleveland 23-19-6……..20-20-5……..42-39
Detroit 18-22-7…….23-19-4……..41-41
Astros 23-13-8……..31-17-4……..54-30
KC 15-22-7………21-19-9…….36-41
Angels 18-25-7………20-17-10………38-42
Twins 23-14-6………21-25-5……..44-38
NYY 21-26-3……….25-15-3…..…46-41
A’s 13-24-7……..23-18-10……..36-42
Seattle 17-25-6……..23-18-8……..40-43
TB 23-17-10……..29-11-6……..52-28
Texas 24-16-9……..20-17-8………44-33
Toronto 19-26-3……..15-23-8……..34-49

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 7/19/17)
Ariz 13-46……..18-48………..31
Atl 8-45……..13-48…………21
Cubs 14-50……..16-44……….30
Reds 18-45……..19-49……….37
Colo 12-50……..16-47..……..28
LA 14-45……..19-50..……..33
Miami 18-45……..17-48………35
Milw 19-45……20-52…..…..39
Mets 19-43……..17-49……….36
Philly 15-52……..11-41………..26
Pitt 12-46……..16-49……….28
StL 12-44……..14-50………..26
SD 19-47……..14-47…………33
SF 12-52……..12-44…………24
Wash 20-49……..20-45………40

Orioles 7-47……..17-48……….24
Boston 15-50……..10-46………25
White Sox 15-50……12-42……….27
Clev 9-48……..14-45……….23
Detroit 10-47…….20-46……..30
Astros 14-44……..21-51………35
KC 9-44……..9-49…………18
Angels 20-50…….12-47……….32
Twins 11-43……..12-51……….23
NYY 11-50……..14-43………25
A’s 8-44……..15-51……….23
Seattle 16-47…….18-49………34
TB 14-50……..20-46……..34
Texas 15-49……..21-45………36
Toronto 14-48……..9-46……….23

[Udog]

MLB

Thursday, July 20

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Trend Report
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12:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home

12:35 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

12:35 PM
ARIZONA vs. CINCINNATI
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games at home

1:35 PM
TORONTO vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto

7:05 PM
TEXAS vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing at home against Texas

8:15 PM
DETROIT vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit

10:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. SEATTLE
NY Yankees are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games
NY Yankees are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Seattle is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home

10:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. LA DODGERS
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
LA Dodgers are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Atlanta
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home

10:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games at home
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego


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[BettorsChat]

Walker will not start for the Diamondbacks on Thursday against the Reds due to a family emergency

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 20

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ST LOUIS (46 - 48) at NY METS (42 - 50) - 12:10 PM
LANCE LYNN (R) vs. SETH LUGO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 46-48 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 34-39 (-11.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LUGO is 11-3 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LUGO is 7-0 (+7.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LUGO is 7-0 (+7.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 68-57 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 437-394 (+51.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
NY METS are 42-50 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 22-27 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 9-17 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 33-40 (-15.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 10-16 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-2 (+1.8 Units) against NY METS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

LANCE LYNN vs. NY METS since 1997
LYNN is 3-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.37 and a WHIP of 1.079.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+4.1 units)

SETH LUGO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LUGO is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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MILWAUKEE (52 - 45) at PITTSBURGH (47 - 48) - 12:35 PM
JIMMY NELSON (R) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 41-24 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 408-417 (+38.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TAILLON is 13-3 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 52-45 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 24-21 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 7-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday this season.
MILWAUKEE is 40-36 (+9.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 65-68 (+8.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 86-104 (-29.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 94-110 (-26.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 7-3 (+4.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.8 Units)

JIMMY NELSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
NELSON is 5-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.49 and a WHIP of 1.230.
His team's record is 6-5 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+3.0 units)

JAMESON TAILLON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
TAILLON is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.095.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

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ARIZONA (54 - 40) at CINCINNATI (40 - 54) - 12:35 PM
TAIJUAN WALKER (R) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 11-26 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 54-40 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 44-28 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 120-83 (+28.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 397-426 (-98.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-2 (+2.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

TAIJUAN WALKER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WALKER is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

LUIS CASTILLO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
CASTILLO is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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ATLANTA (45 - 48) at LA DODGERS (66 - 29) - 10:10 PM
MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs. BRANDON MCCARTHY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 66-29 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 22-4 (+13.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 this season.
LA DODGERS are 39-11 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 28-5 (+21.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 29-7 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 30-9 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ATLANTA is 113-141 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 52-51 (+17.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 19-23 (+16.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 59-66 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-24 (+13.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 43-42 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 90-104 (+13.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 52-68 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FOLTYNEWICZ is 10-5 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MCCARTHY is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.580.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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SAN DIEGO (40 - 54) at SAN FRANCISCO (37 - 59) - 10:15 PM
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 153-59 (+37.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 80-94 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 23-20 (+12.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-59 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 81-91 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-41 (-20.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 60-65 (-20.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-27 (-19.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-28 (-19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUMGARNER is 0-5 (-7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BUMGARNER is 6-11 (-14.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUMGARNER is 19-21 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 6-3 (+4.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.6 Units)

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CHACIN is 7-6 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.173.
His team's record is 8-9 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-10. (-5.2 units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
BUMGARNER is 10-8 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.42 and a WHIP of 1.064.
His team's record is 16-13 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 16-13. (+1.6 units)

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TORONTO (43 - 51) at BOSTON (54 - 42) - 1:35 PM
FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 43-51 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 16-27 (-14.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 12-18 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 387-339 (-91.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
BOSTON is 25-27 (-9.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-2 (+5.8 Units) against TORONTO this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. BOSTON since 1997
LIRIANO is 3-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.44 and a WHIP of 1.558.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.2 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. TORONTO since 1997
FISTER is 2-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.099.
His team's record is 5-3 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.3 units)

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TEXAS (45 - 49) at BALTIMORE (45 - 49) - 7:05 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 5-16 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BALTIMORE is 133-123 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 67-49 (+16.1 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 28-19 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-12 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 74-59 (+16.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 58-28 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 140-119 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 109-106 (+34.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 25-16 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 101-83 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 69-60 (+20.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 23-13 (+13.6 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 100-93 (+17.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 25-16 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
HAMELS is 29-13 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 23-8 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 17-4 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

COLE HAMELS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HAMELS is 1-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.320.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

WADE MILEY vs. TEXAS since 1997
MILEY is 1-5 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.352.
His team's record is 2-5 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.5 units)

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DETROIT (43 - 50) at KANSAS CITY (46 - 47) - 8:15 PM
MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 14-24 (-11.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 327-416 (-93.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 46-47 (+4.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 75-52 (+22.3 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 73-57 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 34-31 (+7.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 69-59 (+14.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
FULMER is 30-14 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FULMER is 8-0 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FULMER is 16-7 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 273-392 (-110.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-3 (+2.4 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

MICHAEL FULMER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
FULMER is 2-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.29 and a WHIP of 1.104.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. DETROIT since 1997
DUFFY is 5-7 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.224.
His team's record is 7-9 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-8. (-1.6 units)

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NY YANKEES (48 - 45) at SEATTLE (48 - 48) - 10:10 PM
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 11-23 (-13.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
NY YANKEES are 6-16 (-11.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SEVERINO is 11-18 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEVERINO is 7-14 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 32-14 (+17.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 107-104 (-28.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 251-245 (-53.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
SEATTLE is 162-201 (-54.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 617-568 (-97.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 48-57 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LUIS SEVERINO vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SEVERINO is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.587.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 10-6 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.13 and a WHIP of 1.326.
His team's record is 11-9 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-12. (-5.9 units)

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[Udog]

Walker will not start for the Diamondbacks on Thursday against the Reds due to a family emergency

Thank you Monte!

[Udog]

MLB Daily Line Drive: Thursday's picks, betting odds and analysis

There are just nine games on the schedule Thursday, but today we are highlighting some teams that are already making moves before the July 31st trade deadline.

Double-Play Picks

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals (+100, 9)

The Tigers have already started selling off assets by trading away J.D. Martinez to the Diamondbacks, but funny enough they’ve won two of the first three games of the series with the division rival Royals.

Now it’s Kansas City who is probably questioning whether or not they will be buyers or sellers heading into the July 31st trade deadline. Either way these AL Central foes will close out a four-game set at Kauffman Stadium Thursday night in Kansas City.

Detroit sends young ace in the making, Michael Fulmer to the mound in an attempt to win the series, while the Royals will counter left-hander Danny Duffy.

Fulmer has been fantastic for the Tigers this season, resulting in an All-Star appearance. The right-hander is 10-6 with a 3.06 ERA a 1.07 WHIP and he has been just plain dominant in his last six starts, pitching to a 2.43 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP.

Fulmer faces a Royals offense, while better of late, still ranks 27th in runs per game, 21st in average and 26th in OPS.

Duffy meanwhile, has been a consistent starter for the Royals this year, going 5-6 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. But he loves pitching at Kauffman Stadium. At home the southpaw is just 2-3, but owns a very impressive 2.41 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP.

The Tigers are a good offensive team, but Martinez leaves a big hole in the lineup. Plus the Under is 6-0when Duffy starts at home this season.

Pick: Under 9

New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners (+100, 9)

The Yankees on the other hand, have decided they are going for it by acquiring third baseman Todd Frazier and reliever David Robertson from the White Sox this week. Frazier and Robertson will join their new team on the West coast as the Yanks start a series in Seattle against the Mariners Thursday night.

While the Yankees didn’t address their biggest need, starting pitching they added some much needed protection in the lineup for Aaron Judge as the Yankees offense has been struggling of late and especially on this latest road trip, as they are plating just 2.9 runs per game during the trip.

New York sends young right-hander Louis Severino to the mound for Game 1, while the Seattle asks Felix Hernandez to toe the rubber in the opener.

Severino has bounced back after a rocky 2016, going 5-4 with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. But what is more impressive is the strikeouts he is racking up, notching 130 to just 29 walks. On the road the numbers get better, where he is 2-1 with a 3.02 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP with 74 punch outs and 16 walks.

For Seattle, Hernandez has been less “Kingly” of late and more of a Jester not knowing what you will get from him. He is 5-3 this season with a 4.20 ERA, that’s the worst his ERA has been since 2006.

However, he has been much better in the pitcher friendly Safeco Field, where he is 4-1 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.

The Yanks’ offense obviously got better, but I think the fireworks hold of for a couple of days. Expect two strong starts Thursday night in Seattle, handed over to good and great bullpens. Plus, the Under is also 5-0 in Yankees last five games and is 6-1 in Mariners last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.

Pick: Under 8.5

Yesterday's Picks: 0-2
Season To Date: 93-81-8


Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Lance Lynn, St. Louis Cardinals (8-6 3.40 ERA, $-126)

The Cardinals are another team that has been involved in trade rumors, but they are looking for some help for guys like Lance Lynn, who has been killing it lately.

Lynn has given up zero runs in his last two starts, scatting 11 hits and one walk over 13.1 innings pitched. Over his lasst four starts he is 3-1 with a 1.82 ERA and a 0.933 WHIP. St. Louis is currently -105 this afternoon today in New York against the Mets.

Slumping: Doug Fister, Boston Red Sox (0-3, 6.75 ERA, $-168)

And finally another team involved in constant trade talks it seems, the Red Sox. They may need an upgrade in the rotation if Fister continues to pitche. Simply put, he has not been good since joining Boston.

His 6.75 ERA is glaring enough, but its 11 walks in just 17.1 innings and a WHIP of 1.79 that is really troublesome. The Red Sox are currently -122 home favorites as they wrap up a series with the Jays this afternoon.