Saturday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/8

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Saturday, July 8

Good Luck on day #188 of 2016!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

— Minnesota Twins are 45-41; last year, on August 7, they were 45-66.

— Contending Twins signed free agent pitcher Bartolo Colon, who shunned the Mets.

— Phillies have lost 22 games by one run this season; they could be good soon.

— Milwaukee 9, New York 4— Jesus Aguilar had seven RBI for the Brewers.

— Clippers beat the Lakers in OT in the Las Vegas Summer League; Lonzo Ball was 2-15 in his first professional game.

— Terry Francona underwent a cardiac ablation Thursday, will not manage the All-Star Game. The procedure corrects an irregular heartbeat by burning a targeted piece of heart tissue.


**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random Lists of 3……..

When this site started in 2001, I did a few of these lists, then got away from it. Anyway, here are random lists of 3 that I put together…….

— Favorite baseball movies: a) Moneyball, b) For Love of the Game c) Major League

— Favorite pro sports teams: NFL- Rams, MLB- A’s, NHL- Bruins

— Favorite football movies: 1) Any Given Sunday 2) Friday Night Lights 3) Brian’s Song (the original)

— Favorite restaurants in Las Vegas: a) Battista’s (on Flamingo) b) Fellini’s (in Stratosphere) c) Planet Dailies (in Planet Hollywood)

— Favorite non-sports movies: 1) Begin Again 2) Rounders 3) The Bodyguard

— Underrated things/places:
a) Watching hockey in person. Way better than on TV.
b) People watching on the Las Vegas Strip: free entertainment
c) Philadelphia— The whole city. Ton of history. Lot to do; people are lot nicer than the national media makes us think.

— Favorite actresses: 1) Gina Gershon 2) Sela Ward 3) Diane Lane

— Favorite actors: 1) Al Pacino 2) Kevin Costner 3) Jack Warden

— Favorite basketball movies: 1) Blue Chips 2) Fast Break 3) One on One

— Favorite network TV series: a) CSI b) Magnum PI c) Odd Couple

— Favorite mini-series on cable recently: 1) Billions (Showtime), 2) Suits (USA Network) 3) Roadies (Showtime)

— Favorite musicians: 1) Bob Seger 2) Billy Joel 3) Christina Perri

— Favorite sports: a) college basketball b) major league baseball 3) NFL

— Three dinner guests I would choose: 1) Bill Murray 2) Bob Uecker 3) My dad

[Udog]

MLB

Saturday, July 8

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Trend Report
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1:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 14 games at home
NY Yankees are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home

1:07 PM
HOUSTON vs. TORONTO
Houston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games

2:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Baltimore is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. PHILADELPHIA
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

4:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games at home

4:10 PM
NY METS vs. ST. LOUIS
NY Mets are 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of NY Mets's last 23 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

4:10 PM
BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games at home

7:15 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Cleveland's last 23 games when playing at home against Detroit

7:15 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Kansas City's last 17 games on the road
Kansas City is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games at home
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home

7:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CHI CUBS
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chi Cubs's last 20 games

9:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TEXAS
LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
LA Angels are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games at home

9:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. COLORADO
Chi White Sox are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

10:05 PM
MIAMI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home

10:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. ARIZONA
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
Arizona is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Arizona is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home

10:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. SEATTLE
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Oakland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Seattle is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home


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[Udog]

MLB betting at the break: Best and worst wagers so far this season

The All-Star break is nearly upon us and that means it’s time to take stock of the good, the bad and the ugly MLB bettors have witnessed during the season’s first half.

Let’s review the best and worst bets of the first three months of the 2017 season.

Best runline team

Houston Astros: 51-35

The runline, for novice baseball bettors, is just like a puckline in hockey. It’s a way to bet baseball games with a spread rather than a moneyline. The runline is always + or -1.5 runs.

It should come as no surprise that the best team in baseball is also the best runline bet. The Astros own the best road record in the majors, which plays a big part in their 51-35 runline record. The few games the ‘Stros are not favored normally happen away from Minute Maid Park.

It helps too when Houston’s starters at the backend of the rotation are winning at a handsome clip.

Worst runline team

Chicago Cubs: 32-53

A .500 record in baseball isn’t anything to get too worried or too excited about. It’s a lot like favored rice crackers in the snack tree. It’s fine.

The problem with the Cubbies is that they’re coming off a coming off a 103-win season. A .500 record for this team would be like Ryan Gosling dating a 7. OK, she’s not ugly but you’re Ryan effing Gosling! What the hell are you doing with a 7?

Oddsmakers favor the team frequently because of the high expectations and the talent on the roster. The Cubs are still among the top favorites to win the World Series at 10/1 despite their mediocre first half.

Best Over team

New York Mets: 48-25-10

The Tampa Rays have cashed more Over tickets (51) but the high number of pushes keeps the Mets as the most profitable Over bet.

New York’s whole identity from 2016 has flip-flopped a year later. Last season the Mets allowed the third fewest runs and only four teams touched home plate less often than the Mets.

This season, the Mets own the third worst team ERA at 4.92 and their offense is middle of the pack. Oddsmakers have adjusted but if you were betting the Over with the Mets in the first two months of the season, you were winning at a 73.8 percent rate.

Best Under team

Cleveland Indians: 30-49-5

You’d think the Indians would be a good Over team in 2017 with the addition of professional ball-blaster Edwin Encarnacion and a healthy Michael Brantley in the lineup.

The club’s offense is on par with last year’s run produced per game, but that’s just not good enough to stay in elite company with 2017’s jacked home run rate.

Last season, the average MLB team scored 4.5 runs per game. This year, that number has climbed to 4.7.

Best money team

Houston Astros: $1960

Moneyline, as we all know, helps us measure how profitable a given team is based on $100 wagers on each of the club’s games. So, if you bet $100 on the ‘Stros in each of their games you be up $1960 or 19.6 units.

Same reasoning here for the Astros as there was for their runline record. They own the best record in the majors, they win games with their fourth and fifth starters and they’re winning 76 percent of their road games.

Worst money team

San Francisco Giants: -$2179

It doesn’t help playing in a division with three teams playing .570 or better. It also doesn’t help when you’re most effective starting pitcher is Johnny Cueto.

The Giants blog McCovey Chronicles asked an excellent question: Who would be the Giants All-Star selection this year if Buster Posey wasn’t on the team?
Search me. This team stinks.

Best money starting pitcher

Clayton Kershaw: $1160

Just a reminder: Clayton Kershaw is really fricken’ good. The Dodgers are 16-2 in games he’s taken the hill including that gem on Tuesday when threw seven shutout innings with 11 strikeouts against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

If Kershaw is too expensive for your taste, consider Jason Vargas. He might be the pitching story of the first half of the season for bettors.

The journeyman hurler is putting together his finest season in his 14th year in the bigs. The Kansas City Royals are 13-4 in his 17 starts and up 10.8 units.

Worst money starting pitcher

Jerad Eickhoff: -$1053

It could have been any Philadelphia Phillies starter, really. Eickhoff just has the… honor(?) of being the Phils ace of the rotation. He’s come back down to earth after a breakout year in 2016. He carries a 4.93 ERA and the Phillies are just 2-12 in his 14 starts this season.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, July 8


Chicago White Sox @ Colorado

Game 979-980
July 8, 2017 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Quntana) 14.860
Colorado
(Hoffman) 11.962
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-145
11
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+125); Under

Kansas City @ LA Dodgers

Game 977-978
July 8, 2017 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Kennedy) 18.151
LA Dodgers
(McCrthy) 15.514
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-180
9
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+160); Over

Milwaukee @ NY Yankees

Game 975-976
July 8, 2017 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Suter) 14.786
NY Yankees
(Severino) 16.235
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-220
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-220); Under

Oakland @ Seattle

Game 973-974
July 8, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Smith) 16.263
Seattle
(Moore) 13.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-160
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+140); Over

LA Angels @ Texas

Game 971-972
July 8, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Chavez) 14.009
Texas
(Ross) 16.886
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-150
11
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-150); Under

Detroit @ Cleveland

Game 969-970
July 8, 2017 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Verlnder) 16.458
Cleveland
(Clevnger) 15.074
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-160
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+140); Over

Boston @ Tampa Bay

Game 967-968
July 8, 2017 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Porcello) 14.877
Tampa Bay
(Cobb) 16.483
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-115); Under

Baltimore @ Minnesota

Game 965-966
July 8, 2017 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Miley) 14.900
Minnesota
(Mejia) 13.083
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
N/A

Houston @ Toronto

Game 963-964
July 8, 2017 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Fiers) 15.230
Toronto
(Stroman) 16.434
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-110
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-110); Over

Cincinnati @ Arizona

Game 961-962
July 8, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 15.998
Arizona
(Walker) 13.348
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-180
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+160); Under

Miami @ San Francisco

Game 959-960
July 8, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(O'Grdy) 13.920
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 15.935
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
N/A

Pittsburgh @ Chicago Cubs

Game 957-958
July 8, 2017 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Nova) 16.444
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 12.899
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-180
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+160); N/A

NY Mets @ St. Louis

Game 955-956
July 8, 2017 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Wheeler) 14.717
St. Louis
(Wnwrght) 15.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-140); Over

San Diego @ Philadelphia

Game 953-954
July 8, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Chacin) 12.798
Philadelphia
(Nola) 16.339
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-145
8
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-145); Over

Atlanta @ Washington

Game 951-952
July 8, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Teheran) 16.639
Washington
(Strasburg) 13.835
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-220
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+190); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, July 8

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ATLANTA (41 - 44) at WASHINGTON (51 - 35) - 4:05 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
STRASBURG is 32-9 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 109-137 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 51-51 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 58-65 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 53-60 (+12.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 87-102 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 48-64 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-20 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
WASHINGTON is 38-37 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-6 (+2.7 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
TEHERAN is 4-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.484.
His team's record is 7-9 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-6. (+2.3 units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. ATLANTA since 1997
STRASBURG is 10-8 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.273.
His team's record is 13-13 (-6.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-13. (-2.2 units)

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SAN DIEGO (37 - 49) at PHILADELPHIA (28 - 57) - 4:05 PM
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 43-81 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 16-38 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-57 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-43 (-21.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-42 (-21.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
CHACIN is 2-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.43 and a WHIP of 1.020.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

AARON NOLA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
NOLA is 1-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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NY METS (39 - 45) at ST LOUIS (41 - 45) - 4:10 PM
ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 39-45 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 30-35 (-12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WAINWRIGHT is 179-104 (+38.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 88-44 (+29.5 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 272-263 (+43.5 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
NY METS are 16-6 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY METS are 32-13 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WHEELER is 10-1 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 41-45 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 24-32 (-23.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 62-67 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 30-36 (-12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ZACK WHEELER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. NY METS since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 3-5 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.298.
His team's record is 4-5 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-6. (-3.7 units)

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PITTSBURGH (40 - 47) at CHICAGO CUBS (43 - 43) - 7:15 PM
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 79-103 (-37.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 89-109 (-31.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 10-3 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 43-43 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 355-295 (-77.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 880-805 (-155.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-22 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 410-371 (-81.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-37 (-24.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-23 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 798-760 (-161.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 236-195 (-46.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-5 (+2.6 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

IVAN NOVA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
NOVA is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 0.973.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ARRIETA is 10-4 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 0.934.
His team's record is 13-5 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-9. (-1.3 units)

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MIAMI (39 - 46) at SAN FRANCISCO (34 - 54) - 10:05 PM
CHRIS O'GRADY (L) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CHRIS O'GRADY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. MIAMI since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 4-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.425.
His team's record is 6-2 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+2.0 units)

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CINCINNATI (37 - 49) at ARIZONA (53 - 34) - 10:10 PM
LUIS CASTILLO (R) vs. TAIJUAN WALKER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 53-34 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 21-8 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 33-13 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 17-6 (+10.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 38-22 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 43-23 (+18.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 34-18 (+14.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 33-16 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
WALKER is 10-3 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
WALKER is 8-1 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

LUIS CASTILLO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

TAIJUAN WALKER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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HOUSTON (59 - 28) at TORONTO (40 - 46) - 1:05 PM
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 102-168 (-61.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
HOUSTON is 59-28 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 19-5 (+14.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
HOUSTON is 32-10 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 27-13 (+11.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 45-17 (+22.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 39-20 (+12.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 18-5 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 40-46 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 12-18 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 70-60 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-7 (-8.7 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more this season.
STROMAN is 25-26 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STROMAN is 10-16 (-14.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

MICHAEL FIERS vs. TORONTO since 1997
FIERS is 1-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.07 and a WHIP of 0.962.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

MARCUS STROMAN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
STROMAN is 1-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.041.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

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BALTIMORE (40 - 46) at MINNESOTA (45 - 41) - 2:10 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. ADALBERTO MEJIA (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-0 (+5.7 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MILEY is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 11.25 and a WHIP of 2.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

ADALBERTO MEJIA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

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BOSTON (50 - 37) at TAMPA BAY (45 - 43) - 4:10 PM
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. ALEX COBB (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 671-604 (-81.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
PORCELLO is 0-7 (-8.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 3-9 (-9.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 34-25 (+8.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 113-136 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-5 (+0.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.6 Units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
PORCELLO is 10-6 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.206.
His team's record is 12-7 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-11. (-3.6 units)

ALEX COBB vs. BOSTON since 1997
COBB is 4-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.361.
His team's record is 5-7 (-3.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-7. (-3.1 units)

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DETROIT (38 - 47) at CLEVELAND (46 - 39) - 7:15 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. MIKE CLEVINGER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 38-47 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 13-22 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 20-32 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 26-37 (-12.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
VERLANDER is 60-73 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 46-39 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 32-35 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 20-23 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 19-23 (-17.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 7-12 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 26-28 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-11 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-21 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-5 (+1.9 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
VERLANDER is 20-23 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.311.
His team's record is 23-28 (-12.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 20-29. (-13.8 units)

MIKE CLEVINGER vs. DETROIT since 1997
CLEVINGER is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

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LA ANGELS (44 - 46) at TEXAS (42 - 44) - 9:05 PM
JESSE CHAVEZ (R) vs. TYSON ROSS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 7-17 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEXAS is 137-114 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 77-49 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 25-14 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 63-48 (+16.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 98-80 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 105-85 (+23.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 78-58 (+21.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 529-504 (+44.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 36-32 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 25-20 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ROSS is 11-22 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 4-3 (+1.3 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JESSE CHAVEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
CHAVEZ is 2-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.271.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.8 units)

TYSON ROSS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
ROSS is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.20 and a WHIP of 1.116.
His team's record is 3-2 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.0 units)

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OAKLAND (38 - 49) at SEATTLE (42 - 46) - 10:10 PM
CHRIS SMITH (R) vs. ANDREW MOORE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 175-236 (-54.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 14-26 (-10.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
OAKLAND is 18-31 (-14.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 72-98 (-29.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 44-48 (-24.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 125-143 (-55.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 617-567 (-95.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 95-107 (-26.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 795-717 (-106.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SEATTLE is 375-343 (-75.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 5-4 (+1.6 Units) against SEATTLE this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.6 Units)

CHRIS SMITH vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

ANDREW MOORE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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MILWAUKEE (49 - 40) at NY YANKEES (44 - 40) - 1:05 PM
BRENT SUTER (L) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 69-58 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 49-40 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-15 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 23-17 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 19-12 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-31 (+11.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 26-21 (+9.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SEVERINO is 9-18 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 1-0 (+2.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

BRENT SUTER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

LUIS SEVERINO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

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KANSAS CITY (44 - 41) at LA DODGERS (59 - 29) - 7:15 PM
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. BRANDON MCCARTHY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 37-11 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 27-7 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 44-41 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 20-10 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 71-52 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 32-29 (+7.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 26-18 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA DODGERS are 93-121 (-43.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
KENNEDY is 5-9 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.273.
His team's record is 9-11 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-7. (+3.7 units)

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
MCCARTHY is 2-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.356.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (37 - 48) at COLORADO (51 - 38) - 9:10 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. JEFF HOFFMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 51-38 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 16-11 (+8.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 29-21 (+9.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
QUINTANA is 32-23 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 230-303 (-79.4 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. COLORADO since 1997
QUINTANA is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

JEFF HOFFMAN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

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[StarDust Bum]

Saturday’s games
National League

Pirates @ Cubs
Nova is 1-2, 5.00 in his last three starts; his last five starts stayed under. Pirates are 3-5 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 10-6-1

Arrieta is 2-1, 3.50 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Cubs won his last four home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-7-2

Pirates won three of their last four games; under is 6-0-1 in their last seven. Cubs are 5-7 in last 12 home games; three of last four Chicago games went over total.

Padres @ Phillies
Chacin is 3-2, 2.25 in his last five starts, last four of which stayed under. Padres are 3-5 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-10-2

Nola is 3-0, 1.27 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his home starts. Phillies are 3-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-3-4

San Diego won four of its last five games; under is 5-1 in their last six games. Philly lost its last four games; under is 5-0-1 in their last six home games. Phillies have 22 losses by one run this season.

Mets @ Cardinals
Wheeler is 0-3, 8.71 in his last five starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Mets are 3-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-6-1

Wainwright is 3-2, 9.42 in his last six starts (over 4-2); Cardinals are 6-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-5-3

Mets lost three of last four games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine games. St Louis lost three of last four games; over is 18-6-1 in their last 25 games.

Braves @ Nationals
Teheran is 0-2, 7.02 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Atlanta is 5-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-6-2

Strasburg is 2-0, 3.70 in his last four starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Washington is 7-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-7-1

Braves are 9-4 in last 13 road games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Washington won five of last seven home games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

Reds @ Diamondbacks
Castillo is 0-1, 4.41 in his first three MLB starts (under 2-1). Reds’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-1

Walker is 3-0, 3.26 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four home starts. Arizona is 5-1 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-4-2

Cincinnati is 6-5 in its last 11 games; under is 7-0-1 in their last eight games. Arizona lost three of its last four games; under is 6-3-3 in their last 12.

Marlins @ Giants
O’Grady is making his MLB debut; he was 3-5, 3.29 in 12 AAA games (9 starts) this season.

Samardzija is 2-0, 3.26 in his last three starts; under is 11-5 in his last 16 starts. Giants are 3-5 in his home starts-; their 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-10-5

Marlins won three of last four games; under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games. Giants won seven of last ten games; under is 7-1 in their last eight games.

——————————–

American League
Astros @ Blue Jays
Fiers is 4-2, 2.81 in his last eight starts; over is 4-3-1 in his road outings. Astros are 6-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-6-3

Stroman is 1-3, 4.56 in his last four starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. Toronto is 5-4 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-7-1

Houston is 10-2 in its last 11 road games; over is 12-2 in their last 13 games. Toronto won three of its last four games; over is 4-1 in their last five home games.

Tigers @ Indians
Verlander is 1-1, 6.00 in his last six starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Detroit lost his last five road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-7-3

Clevinger is 2-1, 3.60 in his last five starts; under is 7-3 in his lstarts. Cleveland is 0-4 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-3-2

Detroit is 6-5 in its last 11 games; under is 4-2 in their last six games. Cleveland is 5-6 in its last 11 home games; under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Red Sox @ Rays
Porcello is 1-2, 6.75 in his last five starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Boston is 4-4 in his road starts— their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-13-1

Cobb is 2-1, 3.44 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Rays are 3-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 10-5-2

Boston won seven of its last nine games; over is 7-3 in their last ten road games. Rays are 9-5 in last 14 home games; over is 12-1 in their last 13 home games.

Angels @ Rangers
Chavez is 0-3, 6.12 in his last five starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Angels are 4-5 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-9-2

Ross is 1-1, 6.41 in four starts this year (under 3-1). Rangers’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-1-1

Angels lost four of last five games, under is 6-1-1 in their last eight road games. Texas lost six of last nine games; over is 16-3-2 in their last 21 home games.

Orioles @ Twins
Miley is 0-3, 11.57 in his last three starts (under 3-0). Orioles are 0-4 in his last four road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-9-1

Mejia is 3-0, 1.53 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Minnesota is 3-4 in his home starts- 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-3-3

Baltimore lost seven of last eight games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Minnesota won five of last seven games; under is 8-5 in their last 13 home games.

A’s @ Mariners
Smith is making his first MLB start after 63 relief stints; he was 4-3, 3.16 in 12 AAA starts this year, is making his 2017 debut in the majors.

Moore is 1-1, 3.60 in his first two MLB starts (over 1-1). Seattle’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-1

Oakland won three of its last four games; over is 10-3-1 in their last 14 road games. Seattle lost eight of its last 11 games; over is 9-2-1 in their last 12 home games.

__________________________

Interleague

Milwaukee @ New York
Suter is 1-1, 3.38 in two starts this year (under 2-0). Brewers’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-1

Severino is 0-2, 6.29 in his last four starts; over is 9-3 in his last 12. New York is 4-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-5-2

Milwaukee won seven of last eight games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 games. New York lost five of last six games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

White Sox @ Rockies
Quintana is 2-0, 2.59 in his last four starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. Chicago is 5-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-10-1

Hoffman is 2-1, 6.86 in four home starts (3-0, 1.67 on road). Over is 5-3 in his starts. Colorado is 3-1 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-2

White Sox lost six of last eight road games; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven games. Colorado is 4-12 in its last 16 games; under is 8-1-1 in last ten Colorado games.

Royals @ Dodgers
Kennedy is 3-0, 2.96 in his last four starts; over is 9-2 in his last 11. Royals are 5-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-9-2

McCarthy is 1-0, 3.77 in his last three starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Dodgers are 7-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-5-1

Kansas City won six of last eight games; over is 12-4-1 in their last 17 road games. Los Angeles is 16-1 in last 17 home games; under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Pitt-Chi: Nova 9-8; Arrieta 9-8
SD-Phil: Chacin 8-9; Nola 6-6
Atl-Wsh: Teheran 8-9; Strasburg 13-4
NY-StL: Wheeler 6-8; Wainwright 10-7
Cin-Az: Castillo 1-2; Walker 10-3
Mia-SF: O’Grady 0-0; Samardzija 7-10

American League
Hst-Tor: Fiers 6-4; Stroman 10-7
Det-Clev: Verlander 8-9; Clevinger 5-5
Bos-TB: Porcello 8-10; Cobb 8-9
LA-Tex: Chavez 8-9; Ross 2-2
Balt-Min: Miley 8-9; Mejia 6-6
A’s-Sea: Smith 0-0; Moore 1-1

Interleague
Mil-NY; Suter 1-1; Severino 7-9
Chi-Colo: Quintana 9-8; Hoffman 6-2
KC-LA: Kennedy 7-8; McCarthy 9-4

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Pitt-Chi: Nova 5-17; Arrieta 6-17
SD-Phil: Chacin 7-17; Nola 3-12
Atl-Wsh: Teheran 6-17; Strasburg 3-17
NY-StL: Wheeler 6-14; Wainwright 4-17
Cin-Az: Castillo 1-3; Walker 4-13
Mia-SF: O’Grady 0-0; Samardzija 2-10-5

American League
Hst-Tor: Fiers 5-3-2; Stroman 9-7-1
Det-Clev: Verlander 6-17; Clevinger 5-3-2
Bos-TB: Porcello 7-18; Cobb 3-17
LA-Tex: Chavez 6-9-2; Ross 2-1-1
Balt-Min: Miley 7-17; Mejia 6-3-3
A’s-Sea: Smith 0-0; Moore 1-1

Interleague
Mil-NY; Suter 1-1; Severino 9-5-2
Chi-Colo: Quintana 6-10-1; Hoffman 6-2
KC-LA: Kennedy 3-15; McCarthy 2-13

_________________________

Umpires
National League
Pitt-Chi: Over is 8-4-1 in last 13 Morales games.
SD-Phil: Five of last six Winters games stayed under.
Atl-Wsh: Last six Baker games went over the total.
NY-StL: Under is 6-3 in last nine Diaz games.
Cin-Az: Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Emmel games.
Mia-SF: Home team is 9-2 in last 11 Ripperger games.

American League
Hst-Tor: Under is 9-5 in Nauert games this season.
Det-Clev: Last three Hudson games stayed under total.
Bos-TB: Under is 10-4 in last 14 Kulpa games.
LA-Tex: Over is 9-4-1 in last 14 Porter games.
Balt-Min: Over is 2-0 in Barber games this season.
A’s-Sea: Under is 3-1-1 in last five Bucknor games.

Interleague
Mil-NY: Over is 9-2 in last eleven Estabrook games.
Chi-Colo: Underdogs are 6-5 in last 11 Holbrook games.
KC-LA: Favorites won five of last six Miller games.

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 44-32 AL, favorites -$1,193
AL @ NL– 46-43 NL, favorites -$352
Total: 88-77 AL, favorites -$1,545

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 44-35-2
AL @ NL: Over 48-36-2
Total: Over 92-71-4

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/7/17
Ariz 14-17-10……27-13–6……….40-30
Atl 19-18-6……16-22-5………..35-40
Cubs 17-24-2……19-18-5………..36-42
Reds 13-27-3……18-22–2…………31-49
Colo 26-15-6…….22-18-2……….48-33
LA 18-17-5…….31-13-3……….49-30
Miami 18-23-2…….21-16-4……..39-39
Milw 20-14-6…….23-20-6………42-34
Mets 22-17-2……..18-22-3………40-39
Philly 11-26-8……12-20-6……….23-46
Pitt 21-20-3…..17-20-7………..38-40
St. Louis 16-17-3……26-15-7……….42-32
SD 12-25-5……..21-19–4………33-44
SF 10-32-7……..17-19-4……….30-51
Wash 29-12-2……20-16-7………..49-28

Orioles 13-27-5……..18-20-3………31-47
Boston 20-22-6………18-19-2…….38-41
White Sox 15-27-6……..17-18–2……..32-44
Cleveland 21-17-4……..19-20-4……..39-37
Detroit 16-21-5…….22-17-4……..38-38
Astros 22-12-8……..27-15-3……..49-27
KC 15-20-7………19-17-8…….34-37
Angels 17-24-7………18-16-7………35-40
Twins 23-12-4………19-21-6……..42-33
NYY 18-22-3……….25-13-2…..…43-35
A’s 13-23-5……..19-17-9……..32-40
Seattle 14-22-5……..22-18-7……..36-40
TB 21-14-8……..27-11-6……..48-25
Texas 23-12-7……..19-16-8………42-28
Toronto 15-24-3……..14-22-6……..29-46

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 7/7/17)
Ariz 12-41……..18-46………30
Atl 8-42……..11-43…………19
Cubs 13-44……..16-42……….29
Reds 17-43……..17-43……….34
Colo 10-48……..12-42..…….22
LA 11-40……..18-46..……..29
Miami 17-43……..14-42………31
Milw 16-40……20-49…..…..36
Mets 19-40……..15-42……….34
Philly 13-46……..11-39……….24
Pitt 11-44……..14-43……….25
StL 10-37……..13-48……….23
SD 18-42……..13-42…………31
SF 10-52……..11-38…………21
Wash 16-43……..19-44………35

Orioles 6-45……..15-42……….21
Boston 14-47……..10-38………24
White Sox 14-48……11-37……….25
Clev 9-43……..14-43……….23
Detroit 8-42…….18-43………..26
Astros 14-42……..19-45………33
KC 9-42……..7-42…………16
Angels 19-49…….10-42………29
Twins 9-40……..11-47……….20
NYY 11-43……..14-41………25
A’s 8-42……..13-46……….21
Seattle 15-41…….18-48………33
TB 13-44……..19-44………32
Texas 14-43……..20-43………34
Toronto 12-42……..9-44……….21

[Udog]

MLB Daily Line Drive: Saturday's picks, betting odds and analysis

Double-Play Picks

Oakland A’s at Seattle Mariners (-150, 9.5)

"I think you’ve got the wrong guy."

That’s A’s call-up starter Chris Smith after hearing he would get the start for the big club in Seattle Saturday. Doesn’t instill a great deal of confidence, does it?

Smith, who is a self-proclaimed 36-year-old stay-at-home dad, has been with the Triple-A Nashville affiliate and will be the oldest starting pitcher in franchise history when he toes the rubber tonight. The right hander pitched just under 25 innings of relief for the A’s in 2016 (2.92 ERA, 29 Ks) and should he get chased early into this start, he’d hand the ball over to Oakland’s awful bullpen, which ranks dead last the American League with a collective 5.08 ERA.

The Mariners lineup will be licking its chops at the plate. Seattle scored seven runs in Friday’s victory over the Athletics and is hitting .265 BA and averaging more than five runs per game inside Safeco Field – the third-best home field offense in the AL.

Seattle marches youngster Andrew Moore to the mound Saturday, who at 23 years old is just 10 years older than the combined age of Smith’s three daughters (talk about two different worlds). Moore has been solid in his first two starts of the season, allowing six earned runs through 15 total innings pitched.

There is just one warning light blinking with the righty: Moore leans on that four-seam fastball and isn’t looking to paint the corners or force hitters to chase his breaking stuff. He has yet to walk a batter but has already allowed three home runs in his limited efforts, which means he’s putting it over the plate.

Oakland doesn’t do much right on offense, but it can swing a big stick and ranks eighth in the majors in home runs (123). The A’s had scored 21 totals runs in the three games before Thursday’s loss, totaling seven dingers in that span. Anything Moore throws over the plate has a chance to leave the ballpark in a hurry against this lineup.

Pick: Over 9.5

New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals (-133, 9.5)

The New York Mets and St. Louis Cardinals will tangle in a late afternoon game at Busch Stadium, with the home team looking to even up the series at one game a piece.

Veteran right-hander Adam Wainwright will get the ball for the Cardinals. He has struggled this season as it appears father time has caught up the 35-year-old his 5.48 ERA is almost a full run higher than last year, which was the highest of his career. The good news for Cardinals backers is that he can still get the job done at home 6-1 on the season.

The Metropolitans will run Zack Wheeler out to the hill today and that normally means a lot of runs. The Over has cashed in 10 of his 12 starts this season. Narrow the sample size to his last three starts and Wheeler's ERA is 18.41, three overs and if you look simply at Wheeler on the road the over has hit in four of five starts.

It isn’t that Wheeler doesn’t have potential but a rash of injuries over the last two years have crippled his development and the 6th pick in the 2009 draft is struggling to catch up.

In the last five meetings between the Mets and Cardinals, the two teams have hit the over in all five averaging a combined 11.2 runs per game.

Pick: Over 9.5

Yesterday's Picks: 1-0-1

Season To Date: 85-73-8


Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers:

Streaking: Aaron Nola, Philadelphia Phillies (6-5, 3.73 ERA, $95)

There isn’t a lot to be excited about for Phillies fans in 2017. They were never going to be good and no one is surprised to see them with the worst record in baseball a few days before the All-Star break.

One bright spot so far has been 24-year old Aaron Nola, who has shown not only that he belongs in the big leagues but can be an ace. Over his last three starts, he is 3-0 with a 1.27 ERA, .94 WHIP, and has gone at least seven innings in each of those starts.

Nola and the Phillies are -147 home chalk against the Padres this afternoon.

Slumping: Wade Miley, Baltimore Orioles (3-7, 5.20, $-137)

When in doubt for a slumping pitcher look no further than the Baltimore Orioles.

It might not be fair to say Wade Miley is in a slump at this point he is what he is, but his last six starts have been god awful. An ERA of 11.69, 2.55 WHIP, and he hasn’t made it past the sixth inning in any of these appearances.

Miley is on the mound today as the Orioles are +124 underdogs today in Minnesota.

Saturday's Top Trends:

Braves are 1-8 in Julio Teheran’s last 9 starts vs. Nationals. +193 @ Washington

Red Sox are 0-7 in Rick Porcello’s last 7 starts vs. American League East. -107 @ Tampa Bay

White Sox are 2-11 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record. +123 @ Colorado

Under is 12-1 in Cubs last 13 vs. a team with a losing record. Pirates/Cubs Total: 8

Weather To Keep An Eye On:

The forecast is calling for a dry day across Major League Baseball today and no games should be delayed or postponed.

There are a few games that will feature decent hitter’s winds. The Yankees will entertain the Brewers with a 14 mile per hour wind blowing out to straight center field and a betting total of 9.5, the Phillies will host the Padres at Citizens Bank Park with a 13 mile per hour wind blowing out to right field and a total of 8, and the Giants will welcome the Marlins with a 15-17 mile per hour wind blowing out to left field and an Over/Under set at 8.5.

Ump Of The Day:

Paul Nauert gets the pads today at Rogers Centre where the Blue Jays are hosting the Houston Astros. Nauert has been one of baseball’s top homer umpires this season with the home team winning 11 of his 14 appearances (78.6 percent) behind the plate and when the home team is favoured by between -140 and -101 they are 5-0.

This is of course great news for Marcus Stroman and the Blue Jays. The Jays are currently -115 chalk against the best offense in baseball.