Announcement

**Udog** · 07-06-2017, 08:22 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds on various NFL teams to make the playoffs this fall:

— Cincinnati Bengals Yes +$140, No -$160

— Cleveland Browns Yes +$2,000, No -$10,000

— Jacksonville Jaguars Yes +$400, No -$500

— Kansas City Chiefs Yes -$150, No +$130

— Los Angeles Chargers Yes +$270, No -$350

— Oakland Raiders Yes -$160, No +$140

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Lets see the analytics guys try to quantify this, because you can’t:

In Tuesday’s Milwaukee Brewer game, 3B Travis Shaw threw a ball to first base that wound up going into foul territory, and the runner advanced. Scorer ruled: E5, which ended a 52-game errorless streak for Shaw.

After the game, Brewers’ 1B Eric Thames called the official scorer and told him the error should be his; it was a good throw and he missed it. The error was changed to E3 and Shaw’s errorless streak extended to 53.

Not everyone would do that, but a selfless guy on an overachieving team did it, and there is no way you can quantify that and factor it into his WAR. Too bad, because it matters.

12) Cincinnati Reds’ OF Scott Schebler is a pretty good big leaguer; he is a .259 hitter in 180 major league games. Coming out of high school in Iowa, he had zero baseball scholarship offers, but he did have a couple to play football. Things have turned out pretty well for him.

11) 70 hot dogs (and buns) in 10 minutes. Oy.

I almost get nauseous just thinking about what it must feel like to eat 70 hot dogs in ten minutes. How long before you eat again? Do you just find a restroom and puke your guts out?

10) Orlando Magic waived big guy Stephen Zimmerman, who will be 21 in September and could be heading into his junior year at UNLV, had he gotten/taken intelligent advice. He wasn’t even a first round pick— he was the 41st player taken in the 2016 draft.

Instead, Zimmerman scored 23 points in 108 minutes of garbage time spread out over 19 NBA games, a classic case of a kid turning pro before he is ready. Now he’ll have to climb back to the NBA the hard way— it can still be done, but it ain’t gonna be easy.

He scored 13.4 pts/game in 21 D-League games last year. Now he is either headed back there or over to Europe, when he could still be in college and improving his game and getting a college education, in case this NBA thing never works out for him.

Zimmerman scored 10.5 pts/game for a sub-par UNLV squad in 2015-16; their coach got fired during the season, thats how cruddy the team played. But Zimmerman and his family were convinced he was an NBA star-in-waiting, so he bolted to the draft despite having a game that needed more maturity to be NBA-ready. He shot 62% from the line, both at UNLV and in the D-League last year- -shooting is one part of his game he needs to sharpen up.

9) Pretty cool to see Stan Van Gundy watching games at the Orlando Summer League while sitting next to his dad Bill, a coaching lifer who was a small college coach for years.

Flash back to November 1980, I’m a student manager at Albany- we’re in a tip-off tournament at Brockport State near Rochester, NY. Host Brockport plays Upsala in the first round; Brockport’s coach has a neck brace on from a car accident- Bill Van Gundy. Upsala is the #1 preseason team in the country, according to Sports Illustrated.

We sneak by RIT in the first game, Upsala beats Brockport, then we beat Upsala in the title game, beating the #1 team in the country. Basketball without a shot clock; our team ran its offense until Upsala got sick of defending it. It wasn’t pretty, but it damn sure worked.

Who knew that the guy with neck brace would wind up with two famous sons?

8) They had 15,664 fans in Albuquerque Tuesday night for baseball/fireworks, but the game lasted only 2:03, so the fans had to wait a while for the fireworks- the sun hadn’t set yet when the ballgame ended.

7) I’ve never understood why people like fireworks; seriously. They have a free fireworks show in downtown Albany every July 4, and it draws 50,000 people. I know its free, but I just don’t see what the big deal is. Thats what makes the world interesting; different people like different stuff.

6) RIP Gene Conley 86, who played on a World Series champ with the Milwaukee Braves and three NBA championship teams with the Celtics. Not many humans pitched to Willie Mays and also guarded Wilt Chamberlain. RIP, sir.

5) NBA doings:
— You may have heard; Boston gave Gordon Hayward $128M for four years.
— Golden State signed Omar Casspi for one year, $2.1M
— Sacramento signed Zach Randolph for two years, $24M
— Sacramento signed George Hill for three years, $57M.
— Mike Scott gets one year, $1.17M from Washington
— Clippers acquired Danilo Gallinari and gave him three years, $65M.
— Nick Young somehow gets $5.2M for one year from the Warriors.
— Andre Roberson gets $30M for three years from Oklahoma City.

4) Celtics have to trade at least one of these three players: Marcus Smart, Jae Crowder and Avery Bradley, to clear cap room for Hayward. Crowder might be the most marketable of the three, because his contract is very team-friendly.

3) Handicapping baseball is difficult; Cincinnati’s Homer Bailey allowed 14 runs in 4.2 IP in his first two starts this year- with start #3 at Coors Field, it didn’t look good for Bailey breaking his cold spell, but he did. Colorado won 8-1; Bailey put only eight men on base on six innings.

Go figure.

2) Former Louisville guard Russ Smith scored 61 pts/game in his first five games in a Chinese pro league- he had 81 in one game. Smith also owns the G-League scoring record: 65 points.

He has played in 27 NBA games for the Pelicans/Grizzlies, scoring 2.0 pts/game.

1) Marlins 9, Cardinals 6— Giancarlo Stanton homered in innings 1-2, his 22nd multi-homer game. Stanton is incredibly streaky, but when he gets hot, he is great fun to watch.

**Udog** · 07-06-2017, 08:29 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, July 6

Milwaukee @ Chicago Cubs

Game 973-974
July 6, 2017 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Davies) 13.588
Chicago Cubs
(Mntgmry) 17.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-160
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-160); N/A

San Diego @ Cleveland

Game 971-972
July 6, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lamet) 16.074
Cleveland
(Tomlin) 14.923
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-185
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+165); Under

San Francisco @ Detroit

Game 969-970
July 6, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Cueto) 15.931
Detroit
(Sanchez) 14.690
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-115
10
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-105); Under

Oakland @ Seattle

Game 967-968
July 6, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Blackburn) 14.480
Seattle
(Gaviglio) 15.803
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-145
9
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-145); Over

Baltimore @ Minnesota

Game 965-966
July 6, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Bundy) 13.005
Minnesota
(Berrios) 14.978
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-150); Under

Boston @ Tampa Bay

Game 963-964
July 6, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Sale) 17.550
Tampa Bay
(Faria) 14.010
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-165
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-165); Over

Houston @ Toronto

Game 961-962
July 6, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(McCllers) 15.257
Toronto
(Liriano) 16.407
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+140); Under

Arizona @ LA Dodgers

Game 959-960
July 6, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Ray) 16.975
LA Dodgers
(Hill) 15.476
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+140); Over

Atlanta @ Washington

Game 957-958
July 6, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Fltynwcz) 13.548
Washington
(Gnzalez) 16.926
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-165
9
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-165); Under

Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia

Game 955-956
July 6, 2017 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Kuhl( 15.964
Philadelphia
(Hllckson) 14.723
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-135); Over

Cincinnati @ Colorado

Game 953-954
July 6, 2017 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Romano) 11.989
Colorado
(Chtwood) 14.922
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-170
12 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-170); Under

Miami @ St. Louis

Game 951-952
July 6, 2017 @ 1:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Koehler) 16.713
St. Louis
(Wacha) 14.239
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-155
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+135); Over

**Udog** · 07-06-2017, 08:31 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 6

National League

Marlins @ Cardinals
Koehler is 0-2, 11.84 in his last five starts; his last six starts went over. Miami is 2-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-5

Wacha is 2-0, 0.75 in his last two starts; over is 10-2 in his last 12 starts. St Louis is 5-5 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-6-2

Marlins won three of last four games; over is 4-1 in their last five games. St Louis lost three of last four games; over is 9-4 in their last 13 home games.

Reds @ Rockies
Romano allowed three runs in three IP (82 PT) in his only ’17 start, April 16. Reds’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Chatwood is 0-2, 5.32 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Colorado is 3-4 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-9-1

Reds are 3-16 in last 19 road games; over is 13-7 in their last 20 road games. Colorado lost 10 of last 13 games; under is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

Pirates @ Phillies
Kuhl is 1-1, 3.77 in his last six starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Pirates are 1-6 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-7-2

Hellickson is 0-0, 2.79 in his last three starts (under 9-5-3). Phillies are 5-3 in his home starts-their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-9-2

Pirates lost four of their last six games; under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Phillies lost seven of last nine home games; under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games.

Braves @ Nationals
Foltynewicz is is 3-0, 2.97 in his last six starts; his last three starts stayed under. Braves are 3-5 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-5-3

Gonzalez is 3-2, 2.31 in his last six starts, four of which stayed under. Washington lost his last four home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 11-4-2

Braves are 4-5 in last nine games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Braves are 9-2 in last 11 road series openers. Washington won four of last five home games; under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Nationals are 10-5 in home series openers.

Diamondbacks @ Dodgers
Ray is 1-1, 5.19 in his last three starts; over is 3-0-2 in his last five. Arizona is 6-1 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-4-5

Hill is 2-1, 1.89 in his last three starts (under 7-4). Dodgers are 3-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-6

Arizona won seven of last ten road games; under is 6-2-2 in their last ten games. Los Angeles is 14-1 in last 15 home games; under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games.

Brewers @ Cubs
Davies is 2-0, 2.77 in his last two starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Milwaukee is 6-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-6-3

Montgomery is 0-2, 4.97 in his last two starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Cubs’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-2-1

Milwaukee won six of last seven games; they’re 6-6 in road series openers. Under is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Chicago lost five of last eight games; under is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Cubs are 5-8 in home series openers.

——————————–

American League

Astros @ Blue Jays
McCullers is 1-0, 2.60 in his last three starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. Houston is 6-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-4-3

Liriano is 1-2, 6.48 in his last three starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Toronto is 5-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-6-3

Houston is 9-1 in its last ten road games; they’re 11-2 in road series openers. Over is 10-2 in their last 12 games. Toronto lost nine of last 13 games; under is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games. Jays are 4-10 in home series openers.

Red Sox @ Rays
Sale is 5-1, 2.32 in his last six starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Boston is 6-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-2-6

Faria is 3-0, 2.51 in six starts this year; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Rays are 1-1 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-0-1

Boston won six of its last seven games; over is 6-2 in their last eight road games. Rays are 8-4 in last 12 home games, 5-8 in home series openers; over is 11-0 in their last 11 home games.

Orioles @ Twins
Bundy is 1-2, 8.22 in his last three starts; his last five starts all went over. Orioles are 4-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-7-2

Berrios is 0-1, 7.15 in his last two starts; under is 8-1-1 in his last ten. Minnesota is 3-1 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-3-1

Baltimore lost five of last six games; under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Orioles are 4-10 in road series openers. Minnesota won three of last five games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 home games. Twins are 7-7 in home series openers.

A’s @ Mariners
Blackburn allowed one run in six IP (96 PT) in his first ’17 start, vs Atlanta. A’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-0-1

Gaviglio is 0-2, 3.64 in his last three starts; under is 4-0-1 in his last five. Seattle is 4- 1in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-4-1

Oakland lost six of last eight games but won last two; they’re 4-9 in road series openers. Over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 road games. Seattle lost eight of its last ten games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten home games.

__________________________

Interleague

Giants @ Tigers
Cueto is 1-1, 2.84 in his last three starts; under is 6-4-1 in his last 11. Giants are 5-5 in his road starts their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-7-3

Sanchez is 0-0, 3.63 in three starts this year (over 2-1). Detroit’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-0-1

Giants won seven of their last eight games; six of their last seven games stayed under. Detroit is 5-12 in its last 17 games; under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Padres @ Indians
Lamet is 1-0, 2.84 in his last three starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. San Diego is 2-1 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-4

Tomlin is 1-3, 7.20 in his last six starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Indians are 3-6 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-10-2

Padres won their last three games; under is 11-4 in their last 15 games. Indians are 2-3 in last five games; under is 8-1 in their last nine home games.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Mia-StL: Koehler 3-6; Wacha 7-8
Cin-Colo: Romano 0-1; Chatwood 7-10
Pitt-Phil: Kuhl 4-12; Hellickson 9-8 (1-7 last 8)
Atl-Wsh: Foltynewicz 8-7 (5-0 last 5); Gonzalez (9-8)
Az-LA: Ray 12-5; Hill 6-5
Mil-Chi: Davies 11-6; Montgomery 1-4

American League
Hst-Tor: McCullers 12-3; Liriano 8-5
Bos-TB: Sale 13-4; Faria 4-1
Balt-Min: Bundy 9-8; Berrios 7-3
A’s-Sea: Blackburn 0-1; Gaviglio 6-3

Interleague
SF-Det: Cueto 9-8; Sanchez 7-7-3
SD-Clev: Lamet 5-2; Tomlin 5-11

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Mia-StL: Koehler 4-5; Wacha 7-8
Cin-Colo: Romano 0-1; Chatwood 7-9-1
Pitt-Phil: Kuhl 7-7-2; Hellickson 6-9-2
Atl-Wsh: Foltynewicz 7-5-3; Gonzalez 11-4-2
Az-LA: Ray 7-4-5; Hill 5-6
Mil-Chi: Davies 8-6-3; Montgomery 2-2-1

American League
Hst-Tor: McCullers 3-15; Liriano 4-6-3
Bos-TB: Sale 9-2-6; Faria 4-0-1
Balt-Min: Bundy 8-7-2; Berrios 6-3-1
A’s-Sea: Blackburn 0-0-1; Gaviglio 4-4-1

Interleague
SF-Det: Cueto 7-7-3; Sanchez 2-0-1
SD-Clev: Lamet 3-4; Tomlin 4-10-2

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 42-31 AL, favorites -$1,193
AL @ NL– 44-43 NL, favorites -$552
Total: 86-74 AL, favorites -$1,745

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 42-34-2
AL @ NL: Over 47-35-2
Total: Over 89-69-4

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/5/17
Ariz 14-17-9……26-13–6……….39-30
Atl 18-18-5……16-22-5………..34-40
Cubs 17-24-2……18-17-5………..35-41
Reds 12-26-3……18-22–2…………30-48
Colo 26-15-6…….21-17-2……….47-32
LA 18-17-5…….30-13-3……….48-30
Miami 17-22-2…….21-16-4……..38-38
Milw 19-13-6…….23-20-6………42-33
Mets 21-17-2……..18-22-3………39-39
Philly 11-26-8……12-18-6……….23-44
Pitt 20-19-3…..17-20-7………..37-39
St. Louis 16-17-3……25-14-7……….41-31
SD 11-24-5……..21-19–4………32-43
SF 10-31-7……..17-18-4……….30-49
Wash 29-12-2……20-15-5………..49-27

Orioles 13-25-5……..18-20-3………31-45
Boston 19-21-6………18-19-2…….37-40
White Sox 15-26-6……..17-18–2……..32-43
Cleveland 21-17-4……..17-20-4……..37-37
Detroit 16-20-5…….21-17-4……..37-37
Astros 21-11-8……..27-15-3……..48-26
KC 15-19-7………19-17-8…….34-36
Angels 17-23-7………18-16-7………35-39
Twins 23-12-4………17-21-6……..40-33
NYY 18-22-3……….24-13-2…..…42-35
A’s 12-22-5……..19-17-9……..31-39
Seattle 14-22-5……..21-17-7……..35-39
TB 21-14-8……..26-10-6……..47-24
Texas 23-12-7……..18-16-8………41-28
Toronto 15-24-3……..13-21-6……..28-45

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 7/5/17)
Ariz 12-40……..18-45………30
Atl 8-40……..11-43…………19
Cubs 13-44……..16-40……….29
Reds 16-41……..17-43……….33
Colo 10-48……..11-40..…….22
LA 11-40……..18-45..……..29
Miami 15-41……..14-42………29
Milw 15-38……20-49…..…..35
Mets 18-39……..15-42……….33
Philly 13-46……..11-37……….24
Pitt 11-42……..14-43……….25
StL 10-37……..13-46……….23
SD 17-40……..13-42…………30
SF 10-51……..11-37…………21
Wash 16-43……..19-41………35

Orioles 5-43……..15-42……….20
Boston 14-45……..10-38………24
White Sox 14-47……11-37……….25
Clev 9-43……..13-41……….22
Detroit 8-41…….17-42………..25
Astros 13-40……..19-45………32
KC 9-41……..7-42…………16
Angels 19-48…….10-42………29
Twins 9-40……..11-45……….20
NYY 11-43……..14-40………25
A’s 7-40……..13-46……….20
Seattle 15-41…….17-46………32
TB 13-44……..19-42………32
Texas 14-43……..19-42………33
Toronto 12-42……..9-42……….21

**Udog** · 07-06-2017, 08:34 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. DETROIT
San Francisco is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco

1:45 PM
MIAMI vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 12 games
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami

2:20 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Chi Cubs are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

3:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. COLORADO
Cincinnati is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home

6:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
Washington4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta

7:07 PM
HOUSTON vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

7:10 PM
BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home

7:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 9 games
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. LA DODGERS
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Arizona is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
LA Dodgers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

10:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. SEATTLE
Oakland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Oakland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oakland
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 07-06-2017, 09:41 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 6

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MIAMI (38 - 45) at ST LOUIS (40 - 44) - 1:45 PM
TOM KOEHLER (R) vs. MICHAEL WACHA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 48-99 (-40.1 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
MIAMI is 88-106 (-25.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 40-44 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 24-32 (-23.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 61-66 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 29-35 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 19-24 (-8.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-2 (+1.4 Units) against MIAMI this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

TOM KOEHLER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
KOEHLER is 1-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.62 and a WHIP of 1.654.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. MIAMI since 1997
WACHA is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

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CINCINNATI (36 - 48) at COLORADO (50 - 37) - 3:10 PM
SAL ROMANO (R) vs. TYLER CHATWOOD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 50-37 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 22-12 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
COLORADO is 35-26 (+7.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 29-20 (+10.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
COLORADO is 229-302 (-78.9 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 4-2 (+1.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

SAL ROMANO vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
CHATWOOD is 0-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.971.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

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PITTSBURGH (39 - 46) at PHILADELPHIA (28 - 55) - 6:05 PM
CHAD KUHL (R) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 23-34 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 88-108 (-31.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HELLICKSON is 26-23 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 60-44 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-55 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-21 (-17.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-35 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-42 (-20.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-40 (-19.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 (+1.9 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

CHAD KUHL vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
KUHL is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 0.636.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HELLICKSON is 3-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.42 and a WHIP of 0.985.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.4 units)

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ATLANTA (40 - 43) at WASHINGTON (50 - 34) - 7:05 PM
MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 35-14 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 108-136 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 21-12 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 57-64 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 27-26 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 42-41 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 24-29 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-17 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 38-36 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 34-37 (-18.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
GONZALEZ is 17-24 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-5 (+2.2 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
FOLTYNEWICZ is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 6.14 and a WHIP of 1.682.
His team's record is 2-2 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GONZALEZ is 4-9 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.13 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 6-12 (-9.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-11. (-5.5 units)

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ARIZONA (52 - 33) at LA DODGERS (57 - 29) - 10:10 PM
ROBBIE RAY (L) vs. RICH HILL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
RAY is 13-28 (-16.9 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 61-24 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 52-33 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 37-21 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 176-137 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-5 (+0.6 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

ROBBIE RAY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RAY is 4-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.30 and a WHIP of 1.217.
His team's record is 6-4 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (+0.0 units)

RICH HILL vs. ARIZONA since 1997
HILL is 1-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.09 and a WHIP of 1.472.
His team's record is 1-6 (-9.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-0. (+5.0 units)

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HOUSTON (58 - 27) at TORONTO (39 - 45) - 7:05 PM
LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 58-27 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 31-9 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 11-2 (+8.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
HOUSTON is 41-21 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 39-19 (+13.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 13-4 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
HOUSTON is 17-4 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 39-45 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 11-17 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 69-59 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 21-31 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 66-67 (-20.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LIRIANO is 5-12 (-9.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LANCE MCCULLERS JR. vs. TORONTO since 1997
MCCULLERS JR. is 0-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.85 and a WHIP of 1.713.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LIRIANO is 1-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.170.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

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BOSTON (49 - 36) at TAMPA BAY (44 - 42) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. JACOB FARIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 12-17 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 112-135 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 69-87 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-4 (+0.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.7 Units)

CHRIS SALE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SALE is 6-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 0.975.
His team's record is 6-4 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.5 units)

JACOB FARIA vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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BALTIMORE (40 - 44) at MINNESOTA (43 - 41) - 8:10 PM
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 209-336 (-105.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 43-41 (+5.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 27-19 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 128-118 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 276-356 (+43.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 93-81 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-26 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 1-9 (-9.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 92-123 (-50.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 12-21 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 54-90 (-27.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-0 (+3.6 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BUNDY is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JOSE BERRIOS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BERRIOS is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.77 and a WHIP of 1.324.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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OAKLAND (37 - 48) at SEATTLE (41 - 45) - 10:10 PM
PAUL BLACKBURN (R) vs. SAM GAVIGLIO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 174-235 (-54.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 13-25 (-11.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
OAKLAND is 71-97 (-30.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 43-47 (-24.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 162-200 (-52.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 616-566 (-95.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 794-716 (-105.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SEATTLE is 374-342 (-75.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-3 (+1.1 Units) against SEATTLE this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

PAUL BLACKBURN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

SAM GAVIGLIO vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN FRANCISCO (34 - 52) at DETROIT (37 - 46) - 1:10 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-52 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-17 (-9.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-31 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-21 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-35 (-17.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 59-63 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-21 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 217-195 (+36.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
DETROIT is 37-46 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 13-21 (-9.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 43-61 (-20.9 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-36 (-12.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 16-23 (-9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SANCHEZ is 2-14 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 (+0.7 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. DETROIT since 1997
CUETO is 1-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 0.990.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
SANCHEZ is 3-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

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SAN DIEGO (36 - 48) at CLEVELAND (44 - 39) - 7:10 PM
DINELSON LAMET (R) vs. JOSH TOMLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 18-5 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 78-90 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 22-23 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 44-39 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 30-35 (-19.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-7 (-12.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 this season.
CLEVELAND is 18-23 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 17-23 (-19.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-28 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 19-21 (-17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TOMLIN is 5-11 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 1-8 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 (+4.9 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

DINELSON LAMET vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

JOSH TOMLIN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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MILWAUKEE (47 - 40) at CHICAGO CUBS (42 - 42) - 2:20 PM
ZACH DAVIES (R) vs. MIKE MONTGOMERY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 47-40 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 21-17 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 6-0 (+7.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday this season.
MILWAUKEE is 40-28 (+21.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIES is 26-19 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIES is 14-8 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIES is 14-6 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-42 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 354-294 (-77.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 879-804 (-154.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 409-370 (-80.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-20 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 28-36 (-23.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-22 (-11.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MONTGOMERY is 3-14 (-13.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 5-3 (-0.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.2 Units)

ZACH DAVIES vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DAVIES is 3-3 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 3-3 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

MIKE MONTGOMERY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MONTGOMERY is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 0.818.
His team's record is 0-2 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/6

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/6

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