Announcement

**Udog** · 07-03-2017, 08:43 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Mookie Betts knocked in 8 runs Sunday, tied for most-ever in one game by a leadoff hitter.

— Houston Rockets will have three players making $20M+ next season.

— Kyle Schwarber at AAA Iowa: 10-26 with four homers. He’ll be back soon.

— Detroit 103, New York 78— Knicks are terrible, even in summer league.

— Vince Carter was a TV analyst yesterday on NBA TV; he had zero idea that Canyon Barry shoots his foul shots underhanded. Way to be prepared.

— Arizona State got a commitment from the best basketball-playing 9th grader in the country. Not sure why a kid would commit that early, but Kyree Walker did.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

13) Colorado Rockies lost eight games in a row recently and the bandwagon was quickly emptying. Baseball season is very long, though; here is what I mean…….

2012 Giants went 2-7 from June 29-July 8; they won the World Series
2013 Cardinals went 0-7 from July 26-31; they lost the World Series.
2014 Giants went 2-9 from June 23-July 4; they won the World Series.
2015 Mets went 0-7 from June 17-24; they lost the World Series.
2016 Cubs went 1-9 from June 30-July 9; they won the World Series.

Every team hits a rough patch during the season, even the really good ones.

12) Major league teams are 76-228 this season when they score two runs in a game; Cardinals are 7-2 at home when they score two runs.

11) Miami Marlins said Brewers’ PH Jonathan Villar had too much pine tar on his bat, so when Marcell Ozuna batted for the Marlins, Milwaukee returned the favor and had two of his bats taken out of play for the same reason. Ozuna then used one of Giancarlo Stanton’s bats and hit a homer to give the Marlins a 7-3 lead. Weird gamesmanship.

10) Odd Fact of the Day: In the last 40 years, only twice has a team broken a losing streak of 8+ games on its manager’s birthday. Both times, in 2008 and 2017, the manager was Bud Black.

9) Brewers’ pitcher Zach Davies got 30 called strikes from plate umpire Joe West Saturday, which is really unusual; only third time this season a pitcher got 30 called strikes in one game. Dallas Keuchel, Alex Cobb were the other two pitchers.

8) Odd to see the Michigan Wolverines’ football team ranked #127 out of 130 I-A team in terms of experience this season- they only have one starter back on defense.

7) Random All-Star Game fact: Rosters have been reduced from 34 to 32 players this year and every team has be represented.

6) Alex Rodriguez hit six home runs on his birthday, more than any major leaguer hit on their birthday.

5) Chris Paul talked free agent PJ Tucker into choosing Houston over Toronto; he took $32M for four years from the Rockets, turned down $33M for three years from Toronto.

You do the math. Tucker must like hanging around with Chris Paul..

4) Padres called up reliever Kevin Quackenbush from AAA Sunday, the 5th time they’ve called him up this season. Unfortunately, he’s also been sent out five times.

3) Mets-Nationals have an 11am game on the 4th of July (Tuesday). Lot of stuff going on in the nation’s capital, so they play the game earlier in the day.

2) NBA happenings:
— Andre Iguodala gets three years, $48M to stay with the Warriors
— Kyle Korner gets three years, $22M to keep shooting jumpers in Cleveland.
— Jodie Meeks gets $7M for two years from Washington
— Taj Gibson gets two years, $28M from Minnesota
— Serge Ibaka gets three years, $65M to stay in Toronto; Kyle Lowry gets three years, $100M to stay with the Raptors.
— Denver Nuggets sign Paul Millsap; three years, $90M. Good day for the Millsaps.

1) If you watch Ray Donovan on Showtime, the new season starts August 6, and Susan Sarandon is joining the cast, which is excellent news.

**Udog** · 07-03-2017, 08:48 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, July 3

National League
Mets @ Nationals
Matz is 2-1, 2.67 in four starts this year (over 3-1). Mets’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-2

Strasburg is 2-0, 5.19 in his last three starts; Washington scored 21 runs in those games. Over is 5-1 in his last six starts. Nationals are 6-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-7

New York won four of last five games; they’re 2-6 in last eight road series openers. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Washington lost three of last four games, is 9-5 in home series openers. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Pirates @ Phillies
Nova is 3-1, 3.24 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Pirates are 3-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 10-5-1

Nola is 2-0, 1.88 in his last two starts; under is 2-0-1 in his last three home starts. Phillies are 2-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-3-4

Pirates lost their last thee games, are 5-8 in road series openers. Under is 5-1 in their last six games. Phillies lost five of last six home games, are 2-10 in home series openers. Under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games.

Marlins @ Cardinals
Locke is 0-4, 5.83 in six starts for Miami (over 3-3). Miami’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-4

Wainwright is 1-0, 2.70 in his last two starts; over is 9-5 in his last 14 starts. St Louis is 5-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-5-3

Marlins lost four of last five games, are 5-8 in road series openers. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. St Louis won four of last five games; they’re 7-8 in home series openers. Over is 7-3 in their last ten home games.

Reds @ Rockies
Castillo is 0-0, 3.37 in two MLB starts (over 1-1); he struck out 14 guys in 10.2 IP. Reds’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-0

Hoffman is 1-1, 8.36 in three home starts (3-0, 1.67 on road). Over is 5-2 in his starts. Colorado is 2-1 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-2

Reds are 2-14 in last 16 road games, 6-8 in road series openers. Over is 13-4 in their last 17 road tilts. Colorado lost nine of last ten games, is 9-3 in home series openers. Over is 7-3 in their last ten home games.

——————————–

American League
Blue Jays @ New York
Stroman is 1-2, 4.82 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Toronto is 5-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-6-1

Tanaka is 1-0, 1.29 in his last two starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. New York is 4-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-6-2

Toronto lost eight of last ten games, is 7-6 in road series openers. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. New York is 4-7 in its last 11 games, 7-5 in home series openers. Over is 8-2 in their last ten home games.

Red Sox @ Rangers
Porcello is 1-3, 7.63 in his last five starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Boston is 3-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-13

Perez is 2-1, 6.89 in his last six starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Texas is 5-5 in his home starts; their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-7-2

Boston won its last four games, is 6-8 in road series openers. Over is 4-1 in their last five road games. Texas lost five of last seven games; they’re 7-6 in home series openers. Over is 14-2-1 in their last 17 home games.

Angels @ Twins
Meyer is 1-2, 2.53 in his last six starts (under 4-1-1). Angels are 1-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-6-1

Mejia is 2-0, 0.00 (10.2 IP) in his last two starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Twins are 2-4 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-3-3

Angels lost three of last four games; they’re 7-7 in road series openers. Angels’ last four road games stayed under. Minnesota lost six of last eight games; they’re 6-7 in home series openers. Under is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

White Sox @ A’s
Rodon allowed three runs in five IP (94 PT) in his first ’17 start. Chicago’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Cotton is 2-0, 2.38 in his last two starts but has been having blister issues; under is 3-1-2 in his last six starts. A’s are 2-4 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-7-1

White Sox won three of last four games, are 4-9 in road series openers. Four of their last five games went over. A’s lost their last seven home games; they’re 6-7 in home series openers. Under is 7-2 in his last seven home games.

Royals @ Mariners
Kennedy is 2-0, 3.57 in his last three starts; Royals won his last four road outings. Over is 9-1 in his last ten starts. Royals’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-9-2

Moore allowed three runs in seven IP (100 PT) in his only ’17 start. Seattle’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Royals are 15-6 in their last 21 games, 5-7 in road series openers. Over is 5-1 in their last six games. Seattle lost five of its last seven games, is 11-3 in home series openers. Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games.

__________________________

Interleague

Orioles @ Brewers
Miley is 0-2, 7.20 in his last two starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Baltimore is 4-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-8-1

Suter allowed three runs in 4.2 IP (87 PT) in his only ’17 start; Brewers’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Baltimore is 5-3 in last eight games, 4-9 in road series openers. Under is 5-1 in their last six games. Milwaukee won three of last four games; they’re 7-7 in home series openers. Three of their last four games went over.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
NY-Wash: Matz 2-2; Strasburg 12-4
Pitt-Phil: Nova 9-7; Nola 5-6
Mia-StL: Locke 0-6; Wainwright 9-7
Cin-Colo: Castillo 1-1; Hoffman 5-2

American League
Tor-NY: Stroman 10-6; Tanaka 8-8
Bos-Tex: Porcello 7-10; Perez 6-9
LA-Min: Meyer 4-7; Mejia 5-6
Chi-A’s: Rodon 0-1; Cotton 5-8
KC-Sea: Kennedy 6-8 (4-0 last 4); Moore 1-0

Interleague
Blt-Mil: Miley 8-8; Suter 0-1

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
NY-Wash: Matz 0-4; Strasburg 3-16
Pitt-Phil: Nova 5-16; Nola 3-11
Mia-StL: Locke 3-6; Wainwright 4-16
Cin-Colo: Castillo 1-2; Hoffman 0-7

American League
Tor-NY: Stroman 3-16; Tanaka 8-16
Bos-Tex: Porcello 6-17; Perez 6-15
LA-Min: Meyer 5-11; Mejia 3-11
Chi-A’s: Rodon 1-1; Cotton 5-13
KC-Sea: Kennedy 3-14; Moore 0-1

Interleague
Blt-Mil: Miley 6-16; Suter 0-1

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 41-28 AL, favorites -$607
AL @ NL– 40-40, favorites -$1,010
Total: 81-68 AL, favorites -$1,617

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 42-30-2
AL @ NL: Over 43-32-2
Total: Over 85-62-4

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/2/17
Ariz 14-15-9……26-13–6……….39-28
Atl 18-18-5……16-21-4………..34-39
Cubs 17-24-2……18-15-5………..35-39
Reds 11-24-3……18-22–2…………29-46
Colo 26-15-6…….19-16-2……….45-31
LA 18-17-5…….28-13-3……….46-30
Miami 16-20-2…….21-16-4……..37-36
Milw 19-13-6…….20-20-6………39-33
Mets 21-16-1……..18-22-3………39-38
Philly 11-26-8……11-17-6……….22-43
Pitt 18-18-3…..17-19-7………..35-37
St. Louis 16-17-3……23-13-7……….39-30
SD 9-24-5……..21-19–4………30-43
SF 9-30-7……..17-18-4……..29-48
Wash 29-12-2……19-15-4………..48-27

Orioles 13-22-5……..18-20-3………31-42
Boston 18-20-5………18-19-2…….36-39
White Sox 14-24-6……..17-18–2……..31-41
Cleveland 21-17-4……..17-18-4……..37-35
Detroit 16-20-5…….20-16-4……..36-36
Astros 20-11-7……..27-15-3……..47-26
KC 13-19-6………19-17-8…….32-36
Angels 16-21-7………18-16-7………34-37
Twins 23-12-4………15-20-6……..38-32
NYY 18-22-3……….22-12-2…..…40-34
A’s 12-22-5……..17-16-9……..29-38
Seattle 14-22-5……..21-15-6……..35-37
TB 19-14-8……..26-10-6……..45-24
Texas 23-12-7……..17-15-7………40-27
Toronto 14-22-3……..13-21-6……..27-43

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 7/2/17)
Ariz 12-38……..18-45………30
Atl 8-40……..11-41…………19
Cubs 13-44……..16-38……….29
Reds 14-38……..17-43……….31
Colo 10-48……..10-37..…….21
LA 11-40……..17-43..……..28
Miami 14-38……..14-42………28
Milw 15-38……19-46…..…..34
Mets 17-37……..15-42……….32
Philly 13-46……..9-34………..22
Pitt 11-39……..14-43……….25
StL 10-37……..12-43……….22
SD 17-38……..13-42…………30
SF 9-49……..11-37………….20
Wash 16-43……..19-39………35

Orioles 5-40……..15-42……….20
Boston 14-42……..10-38………24
White Sox 14-44……11-37……….25
Clev 9-43……..13-39……….22
Detroit 8-41…….17-40………..25
Astros 12-38……..19-45………31
KC 6-38……..7-42…………13
Angels 18-45…….10-42………28
Twins 9-40……..11-42……….20
NYY 11-43……..13-37……….24
A’s 7-40……..12-43……….19
Seattle 15-41…….15-43………30
TB 12-42……..19-42………31
Texas 14-43……..18-39………32
Toronto 11-39……..9-42……….20

**Udog** · 07-03-2017, 08:51 AM

MLB

Monday, July 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. MILWAUKEE
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games

6:05 PM
NY METS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Washington
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Mets

7:05 PM
TORONTO vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games

7:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:15 PM
MIAMI vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home

8:05 PM
BOSTON vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston

8:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
Colorado is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati

8:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. MINNESOTA
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Minnesota's last 20 games

9:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing Oakland
Chi White Sox are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

10:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 07-03-2017, 09:08 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, July 3

Baltimore @ Milwaukee

Game 919-920
July 3, 2017 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Miley) 15.408
Milwaukee
(Suter) 14.085
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-110
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-110); Under

Kansas City @ Seattle

Game 917-918
July 3, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Kennedy) 14.320
Seattle
(Moore) 15.840
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-135); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Oakland

Game 915-916
July 3, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Rodon) 13.926
Oakland
(Cotton) 15.569
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-125); Under

LA Angels @ Minnesota

Game 913-914
July 3, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Meyer) 15.310
Minnesota
(Mejia) 14.567
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-125
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+105); Over

Boston @ Texas

Game 911-912
July 3, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Porcello) 15.410
Texas
(Perez) 16.311
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-125
11
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+105); Over

Toronto @ NY Yankees

Game 909-910
July 3, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Stroman) 15.216
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 13.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+110); Under

Cincinnati @ Colorado

Game 907-908
July 3, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 14.665
Colorado
(Hoffman) 13.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-175
12
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+155); Over

Miami @ St. Louis

Game 905-906
July 3, 2017 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Locke) 14.980
St. Louis
(Wnwrght) 15.772
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-145
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-145); Under

Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia

Game 903-904
July 3, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Nova) 15.339
Philadelphia
(Nola) 14.348
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-110); Under

NY Mets @ Washington

Game 901-902
July 3, 2017 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Matz) 14.911
Washington
(Strasburg) 16.423
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-175
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-175); Over

**Udog** · 07-03-2017, 10:47 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, July 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (38 - 43) at WASHINGTON (48 - 34) - 6:05 PM
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 38-43 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 29-33 (-12.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 7-20 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 34-14 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
STRASBURG is 31-9 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 18-3 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 27-15 (+13.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 31-12 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 35-22 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 423-435 (+36.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 172-152 (-50.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 9-12 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-3 (+2.8 Units) against NY METS this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.9 Units)

STEVEN MATZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MATZ is 1-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.86 and a WHIP of 1.045.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. NY METS since 1997
STRASBURG is 8-4 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.058.
His team's record is 10-4 (+5.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-4. (+5.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (37 - 45) at PHILADELPHIA (27 - 53) - 7:05 PM
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 22-33 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 86-107 (-32.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-53 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-16 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-34 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-40 (-19.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

IVAN NOVA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
NOVA is 2-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.1 units)

AARON NOLA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
NOLA is 0-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.273.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (36 - 44) at ST LOUIS (39 - 42) - 7:15 PM
JEFF LOCKE (L) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 86-105 (-26.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 178-104 (+37.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 87-44 (+28.5 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 125-118 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 23-30 (-21.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 60-64 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 12-17 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JEFF LOCKE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LOCKE is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.509.
His team's record is 5-5 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+1.0 units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. MIAMI since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 5-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.48 and a WHIP of 1.133.
His team's record is 7-2 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (35 - 46) at COLORADO (48 - 36) - 8:10 PM
LUIS CASTILLO (R) vs. JEFF HOFFMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 48-36 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 33-25 (+6.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 227-301 (-79.5 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

LUIS CASTILLO vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

JEFF HOFFMAN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (37 - 44) at NY YANKEES (43 - 37) - 7:05 PM
MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. MASAHIRO TANAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 37-44 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 10-16 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 13-24 (-15.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 21-30 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 4-11 (-11.9 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
STROMAN is 10-15 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 47-30 (+14.5 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 36-17 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TANAKA is 31-16 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TANAKA is 16-2 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 4-3 (+0.8 Units) against TORONTO this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

MARCUS STROMAN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
STROMAN is 5-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.074.
His team's record is 7-3 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.8 units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. TORONTO since 1997
TANAKA is 7-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.65 and a WHIP of 1.074.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-9. (-7.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (47 - 35) at TEXAS (40 - 42) - 8:05 PM
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. YU DARVISH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 22-24 (-8.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PORCELLO is 4-9 (-7.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 2-9 (-10.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 135-112 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 37-21 (+16.8 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 75-47 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 96-78 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 103-84 (+22.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 98-88 (+20.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 54-44 (+20.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PORCELLO is 77-41 (+24.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
DARVISH is 4-11 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. TEXAS since 1997
PORCELLO is 6-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.49 and a WHIP of 1.684.
His team's record is 6-5 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.8 units)

YU DARVISH vs. BOSTON since 1997
DARVISH is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.119.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (43 - 43) at MINNESOTA (41 - 40) - 8:10 PM
ALEX MEYER (R) vs. ADALBERTO MEJIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 26-18 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 528-501 (+46.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 35-30 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 24-18 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 100-143 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-48 (-21.1 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-25 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-20 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 53-90 (-28.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 (+2.1 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

ALEX MEYER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MEYER is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ADALBERTO MEJIA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MEJIA is 0-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (36 - 45) at OAKLAND (35 - 47) - 9:05 PM
CARLOS RODON (L) vs. JHAREL COTTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 404-407 (+38.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
OAKLAND is 172-234 (-55.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 31-40 (-25.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 90-114 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 41-66 (-25.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 17-30 (-13.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 69-96 (-30.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CARLOS RODON vs. OAKLAND since 1997
RODON is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.727.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

JHAREL COTTON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
COTTON is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (41 - 40) at SEATTLE (41 - 42) - 10:10 PM
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. ANDREW MOORE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 41-40 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 161-131 (+28.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 66-57 (+13.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 616-564 (-92.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 48-55 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

IAN KENNEDY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
KENNEDY is 1-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

ANDREW MOORE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (40 - 41) at MILWAUKEE (44 - 40) - 2:10 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. BRENT SUTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 49-75 (-26.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 44-40 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 41-29 (+14.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 38-28 (+19.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 63-65 (+9.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 128-115 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 71-57 (+15.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

WADE MILEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MILEY is 3-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.340.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

BRENT SUTER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 07-03-2017, 01:57 PM

MLB Daily Line Drive: Monday's picks, betting odds and analysis

Double-Play Picks

Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals (-145, 9.5)

The Miami Marlins touch down in St. Louis today for the opening game of their four-game series against the scrappy Cardinals.

The Marlins will send horribly unlucky left-hander Jeff Locke to the mound this evening. Miami is averaging only 2.17 runs per game during Locke's six starts this season and, not surprisingly, the Marlins have lost all six of those ball games. Locke has struggled away from home with an ERA of 5.79 and a WHIP of 1.64 in three previous road starts.

Miami's offensive struggles when Locke takes the hill will likely continue today with the Cardinals running Adam Wainwright out to the mound. "Waino" is 5-1 at Busch Stadium this season with a stellar 2.64 ERA and a WHIP of 1.30.

The Cards swept a three-game series in Miami earlier in 2017, so they have a good feel for what it takes to hook the fish. The Cardinals are also 7-2 in Wainwright's nine career starts against the Marlins (4-1 at home).

St. Louis has won 14 of their last 16 games versus National League East opponents, and after getting dominated by Max Scherzer on Sunday Night Baseball last night (a winning pick for us) facing Jeff Locke will feel like a relaxing vacation.

Pick: Cardinals -145

Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins (-120, 10)

The Minnesota Twins return home today following their largely unsuccessful 11-game road trip and will welcome the Los Angeles Angels to town for a three-game series.

This game features a pair of struggling offenses and a pair of starting pitchers who have shown really good form as of late...hmmm.

The Angels come in having cashed four straight road Unders and over their last six games they are averaging only 2.00 runs per contest. The Twins are also struggling to score runs having only plated an average of 4.125 runs per game over their last eight, and that number is inflated due to a 10-run outburst Saturday in Kansas City - take that game out of the equation and they are only averaging 2.71 runs per game during that span.

On the mound, the Angels are going with Alex Meyer this evening and he has been very good over his last three starts with an ERA of 2.93, WHIP of 1.04, and an opponent's on base percentage of a minuscule .258.

Abalberto Meija will get the ball for the Twins and he has put up two straight shutout performances, going 5.2 shutout innings against the Boston Red Sox and 5.0 shutout innings against the Cleveland Indians. Mejia also started earlier this season against the Angels in Anaheim and put in a stellar six innings of work in an eventual 4-2 win by the Twins.

The Twins bullpen (27th in MLB) will always worry us on an Under pick, but the Angels' lack of offensive production (25th in MLB) should nullify the bullpen factor.

Pick: Under 10

Yesterday's Picks: 2-0
Season To Date: 81-69-7

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Aaron Nola, Philadelphia Phillies (5-5, 4.13 ERA, $-5)

When the Phillies finally get this rebuild turned around, Aaron Nola will be looked upon to be a central figure in their starting rotation. He has certainly looked the part during his last two outings.

He has won his last two starts, in Seattle against the Mariners and at home against the Cardinals, and he owns a 1.88 ERA in those 14.1 innings of work with only 9 hits allowed.

If you think he can keep this momentum rolling he and the Phillies are available as a pick 'em at home against Ivan Nova and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Slumping: Wade Miley, Baltimore Orioles (3-6, 4.54 ERA, $-35)

It's a Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher. In theory, we could simply slot the O's daily starter in as our Slumping Starting Pitcher every day that Dylan Bundy isn't scheduled to be on the mound.

Wade Miley has been horrible for a long time, but especially so over his last five starts. His ERA in his last five outings is 9.58, his WHIP is 2.32, and he has allowed 14 walks during that span. Not good.

Miley gets the start this afternoon in Milwaukee against the Brewers and this game is currently a pick 'em.

Monday's Top Trends

* Over is 8-1 in the Baltimore Orioles' last nine interleague games. O's/Brewers Total: 10.
* Under is 8-0 in the Pittsburgh Pirates' last eight games following a loss. Bucs/Phillies Total: 8.5.
* The Cincinnati Reds are 5-21 in their last 26 road games. +155 today @ Rockies.
* The St. Louis Cardinals are 14-2 in their last 16 vs. National League East. -145 today vs. Marlins.

Weather To Keep An Eye On

There is a chance of some thunderstorms developing late this afternoon in New York but they should clear away in time for first pitch this evening for the game between the Yankees and Blue Jays.

There is a rare pitcher's wind in the MLB forecast this evening. The Red Sox and Rangers will be facing a 10-12 mile per hour wind blowing in from right-center field tonight in Arlington. The total is currently set at 11.

The A's and White Sox will enjoy a 15 mile per hour wind blowing out to right field tonight at Oakland Coliseum and the total for that game is set at 8.5.

Announcement

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/3

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/3

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment