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  • Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 6/12

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, June 12

    Good Luck on day #162 of 2016!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Well-known actors/actresses who were villains on Batman:

    — Julie Newmar, Eartha Kitt, Lee Meriwether- Catwoman

    — Vincent Price, Egghead

    — Roddy McDowall, Bookworm

    — Frank Gorshin, John Astin- Riddler

    — Milton Berle, Louie the Lilac

    — Joan Collins, Siren

    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

    13) The 2017 Golden State Warriors are competing against the 2017 Cavaliers, not the 1970 Knicks or the ’85 Lakers or Jordan’s Bulls or Russell’s Celtics. They’re trying to win this year’s championship, and thats it, no matter what bored people rant about on social media.

    They’re trying to win THIS YEAR’s CHAMPIONSHIP, thats it. Fans always think when their team wins it is the greatest thing ever, because for them, it was. For me, Super Bowl XXXIV is the greatest football game ever played. Most people would disagree with that, but thats the beauty of sports/discussion, we all have our opinions.

    12) The hotel in Oakland that the Warriors practice in is hosting the National Cannabis Business Summit & Expo, starting Monday. Insert your own joke here.

    11) On the Marlins game Saturday, they were discussing whether or not it is a good idea for every team to be represented at the All-Star Game.

    I rooted for the 1979 A’s, a truly dreadful (54-108) team that was just a bad team, other than a very young Rickey Henderson, Dwayne Murphy and a couple decent pitchers.

    One of the few highlights that season was when Jeff Newman was introduced before the All-Star Game in Seattle, as the A’s only representative. It was like, “Yeah, we suck but we have nice uniforms.”

    So I’m in favor of each team being represented.

    10) Saturday, 17 people (11 adults, six kids) were pelted with goose droppings at Disneyland in Anaheim. Actual geese did the damage from up above. Thats the definition of a crappy day.

    9) Texas Tech signed a 19-year old Italian guard as a recruit to join the Red Raiders this fall. Davide Moretti scored 14.8 pts/game for the Italian team in the U18 World Championships.

    Recruiting is so damn competitive now, teams look for players wherever you can find them. I’m guessing it is a very long journey from Italy to Lubbock, TX.

    8) 2020 Olympics will have 3-on-3 basketball, but sounds like it will be without NBA players.

    7) Damien Jefferson is transferring from New Mexico’s basketball program, the sixth Lobo to transfer since last season ended.

    6) Random update: Tim Tebow is hitting .223 in the Class A South Atlantic League.

    5) Georgia Tech’s punter is giving up his last year of college football in order to study at a seminary— he is going to become a priest.

    4) How small market teams try to do things (for better or worse, mostly worse):

    November 5, 2009, the A’s got Matt Holliday from Colorado for Carlos Gonzalez, Greg Smith and Huston Street. Smith was a lefty pitcher, Street is obviously still a (oft-injured) closer and CarGo is a fine player for the Rockies.

    Holliday played 93 games for Oakland, then on July 24, he was traded to St Louis, for Clayton Mortenson (P), Shane Peterson (OF) and Brett Wallace (DH-type). Not good.

    Holliday was a free agent after 2010, which is why the deals were made in the first place. He re-signed with the Cardinals.

    You can hire all the Ivy League geniuses you want in the front office, but that Ivy League degree looks a lot less glossy when you screw things up this badly. I’d go over the Cespedes and Josh Donaldson trades, but I don’t want to puke on my laptop.

    Oakland’s record since the Cespedes trade on July 31, 2014: 186-255. I’ll stop now.

    3) In the interest of fairness, A’s did same thing with Ben Zobrist, who was with Oakland for less than one season, before they dealt him to the Royals on July 28, for two minor league pitchers, one of which was Sean Manaea, who has great promise.

    So if you replenish your young pitching, it can be worth it; if you don’t, its a freaking disaster.

    2) Major league baseball amateur draft is Monday; think it is 40 rounds now over a couple days. Baseball is different than other sports in that these kids get drafted, then disappear into the minor leagues before some of them resurface in the majors a couple years from now

    1) It never gets old when a kid makes his major league debut, and they show his family in the stands; the mom is usually crying, the dad is trying to act cool and everyone else in the group is going crazy rooting for the kid. It is the culmination of many years of effort; what a feeling that must be.

    Minnesota Twins have the #1 pick; they’re in first place now. Last team to draft first while they were in first place? The 2001 Twins, when they drafted Joe Mauer.

    Comment


    • #3
      MLB
      Dunkel

      Monday, June 12



      Philadelphia @ Boston

      Game 967-968
      June 12, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Philadelphia
      (Eickhoff) 11.845
      Boston
      (Porcello) 14.711
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Boston
      by 3
      9
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Boston
      -210
      10 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Boston
      (-210); Under

      NY Yankees @ LA Angels


      Game 965-966
      June 12, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      NY Yankees
      (Tanaka) 19.804
      LA Angels
      (Meyer) 17.799
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      NY Yankees
      by 2
      12
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      NY Yankees
      -120
      8 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      NY Yankees
      (-120); Over

      Baltimore @ Chicago White Sox


      Game 963-964
      June 12, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Baltimore
      (Miley) 15.181
      Chicago White Sox
      (Pelfrey) 11.527
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Baltimore
      by 3 1/2
      9
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Baltimore
      -115
      10
      Dunkel Pick:
      Baltimore
      (-115); Under

      Seattle @ Minnesota


      Game 961-962
      June 12, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Seattle
      (Gallardo) 16.328
      Minnesota
      (Mejia) 14.728
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Seattle
      by 1 1/2
      7
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Minnesota
      -125
      10
      Dunkel Pick:
      Seattle
      (+105); Under

      Texas @ Houston


      Game 959-960
      June 12, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Texas
      (Darvish) 14.259
      Houston
      (Musgrve) 17.757
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Houston
      by 3 1/2
      11
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Houston
      -130
      9
      Dunkel Pick:
      Houston
      (-130); Over

      Cincinnati @ San Diego


      Game 957-958
      June 12, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Cincinnati
      (Arroyo) 14.738
      San Diego
      (Perdomo) 12.200
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Cincinnati
      by 2 1/2
      12
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Diego
      -120
      8 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Cincinnati
      (+100); Over

      Chicago Cubs @ NY Mets


      Game 955-956
      June 12, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Chicago Cubs
      (Lackey) 13.786
      NY Mets
      (deGrom) 17.344
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      NY Mets
      by 3 1/2
      7
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      NY Mets
      -130
      8 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      NY Mets
      (-130); Under

      Colorado @ Pittsburgh


      Game 953-954
      June 12, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Colorado
      (Freeland) 17.728
      Pittsburgh
      (Taillon) 14.796
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Colorado
      by 3
      11
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Pittsburgh
      -140
      8 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Colorado
      (+120); Over

      Atlanta @ Washington


      Game 951-952
      June 12, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Atlanta
      (Fltynwcz) 13.291
      Washington
      (Strasburg) 15.778
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Washington
      by 2 1/2
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Washington
      -240
      8
      Dunkel Pick:
      Washington
      (-240); Under
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-12-2017, 01:29 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Long Sheet

        Monday, June 12


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ATLANTA (27 - 35) at WASHINGTON (38 - 24) - 7:05 PM
        MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
        Top Trends for this game.
        WASHINGTON is 26-9 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
        STRASBURG is 28-8 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
        STRASBURG is 16-2 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
        ATLANTA is 47-48 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 51-61 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 25-25 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 39-38 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 42-42 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WASHINGTON is 4-2 (+0.3 Units) against ATLANTA this season
        4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

        MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
        FOLTYNEWICZ is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.285.
        His team's record is 1-2 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

        STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. ATLANTA since 1997
        STRASBURG is 10-8 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.261.
        His team's record is 13-12 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-12. (-0.9 units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        COLORADO (41 - 24) at PITTSBURGH (28 - 35) - 7:05 PM
        KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R)
        Top Trends for this game.
        COLORADO is 41-24 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
        COLORADO is 11-3 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
        COLORADO is 21-17 (+14.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
        COLORADO is 24-11 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
        COLORADO is 11-3 (+8.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
        COLORADO is 8-2 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
        COLORADO is 29-16 (+12.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
        COLORADO is 16-7 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
        FREELAND is 9-3 (+6.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
        FREELAND is 6-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
        PITTSBURGH is 54-57 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        PITTSBURGH is 13-27 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
        PITTSBURGH is 20-35 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        KYLE FREELAND vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
        No recent starts.

        JAMESON TAILLON vs. COLORADO since 1997
        No recent starts.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CHICAGO CUBS (31 - 31) at NY METS (28 - 33) - 7:10 PM
        JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R)
        Top Trends for this game.
        CHICAGO CUBS are 31-31 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
        CHICAGO CUBS are 11-16 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
        CHICAGO CUBS are 22-25 (-16.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
        CHICAGO CUBS are 787-838 (-182.7 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
        CHICAGO CUBS are 789-752 (-160.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
        NY METS are 30-11 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
        NY METS are 28-33 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
        NY METS are 14-19 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
        NY METS are 40-41 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
        NY METS are 23-28 (-12.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        JOHN LACKEY vs. NY METS since 1997
        LACKEY is 2-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.14 and a WHIP of 1.188.
        His team's record is 3-2 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.0 units)

        JACOB DEGROM vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
        DEGROM is 2-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.281.
        His team's record is 2-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CINCINNATI (29 - 33) at SAN DIEGO (24 - 40) - 10:10 PM
        BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. LUIS PERDOMO (R)
        Top Trends for this game.
        SAN DIEGO is 70-84 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
        CINCINNATI is 26-22 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
        CINCINNATI is 418-387 (+49.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        BRONSON ARROYO vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
        ARROYO is 8-7 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.279.
        His team's record is 9-8 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-6. (+1.7 units)

        LUIS PERDOMO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
        PERDOMO is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.667.
        His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TEXAS (30 - 32) at HOUSTON (44 - 20) - 8:10 PM
        YU DARVISH (R) vs. JOE MUSGROVE (R)
        Top Trends for this game.
        HOUSTON is 44-20 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
        HOUSTON is 31-14 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
        HOUSTON is 35-13 (+18.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
        TEXAS is 125-102 (+26.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        TEXAS is 62-38 (+27.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
        TEXAS is 101-95 (+34.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
        TEXAS is 20-14 (+13.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
        TEXAS is 24-12 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
        TEXAS is 58-46 (+13.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        TEXAS is 91-71 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
        TEXAS is 96-75 (+22.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
        TEXAS is 73-51 (+22.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
        TEXAS is 49-39 (+17.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        HOUSTON is 6-1 (+4.6 Units) against TEXAS this season
        4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

        YU DARVISH vs. HOUSTON since 1997
        DARVISH is 4-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.110.
        His team's record is 7-6 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.1 units)

        JOE MUSGROVE vs. TEXAS since 1997
        MUSGROVE is 1-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.385.
        His team's record is 1-3 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SEATTLE (31 - 33) at MINNESOTA (32 - 27) - 8:10 PM
        YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. ADALBERTO MEJIA (L)
        Top Trends for this game.
        SEATTLE is 55-75 (-25.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 32-27 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
        MINNESOTA is 20-10 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
        MINNESOTA is 27-44 (-17.9 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 42-69 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 3-11 (-9.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
        MINNESOTA is 62-99 (-30.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 51-76 (-29.3 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more since 1997.
        MINNESOTA is 47-82 (-27.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SEATTLE is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
        2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

        YOVANI GALLARDO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
        GALLARDO is 3-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.178.
        His team's record is 5-5 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.7 units)

        ADALBERTO MEJIA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
        MEJIA is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.000.
        His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BALTIMORE (31 - 30) at CHI WHITE SOX (26 - 35) - 8:10 PM
        WADE MILEY (L) vs. MIKE PELFREY (R)
        Top Trends for this game.
        BALTIMORE is 49-72 (-22.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
        BALTIMORE is 208-334 (-103.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
        CHI WHITE SOX are 19-9 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
        BALTIMORE is 120-104 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        BALTIMORE is 41-25 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
        BALTIMORE is 87-75 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
        BALTIMORE is 86-70 (+14.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BALTIMORE is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
        2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.2 Units)

        WADE MILEY vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
        MILEY is 1-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.81 and a WHIP of 1.632.
        His team's record is 2-3 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

        MIKE PELFREY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
        PELFREY is 2-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.699.
        His team's record is 3-2 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NY YANKEES (37 - 23) at LA ANGELS (33 - 33) - 10:05 PM
        MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. ALEX MEYER (R)
        Top Trends for this game.
        LA ANGELS are 213-164 (+40.8 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
        NY YANKEES are 121-101 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        TANAKA is 28-11 (+15.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
        TANAKA is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 1.048.
        His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

        ALEX MEYER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
        No recent starts.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PHILADELPHIA (21 - 40) at BOSTON (34 - 28) - 7:10 PM
        JERAD EICKHOFF (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHILADELPHIA is 21-40 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 9-26 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 10-26 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 14-32 (-16.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 11-29 (-15.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
        PORCELLO is 76-41 (+23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
        PHILADELPHIA is 385-426 (+54.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
        BOSTON is 15-21 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        JERAD EICKHOFF vs. BOSTON since 1997
        EICKHOFF is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 13.50 and a WHIP of 2.500.
        His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

        RICK PORCELLO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
        PORCELLO is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.417.
        His team's record is 1-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-12-2017, 01:30 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Monday, June 12


          National League
          Braves @ Nationals
          Foltynewicz is 4-1, 2.41 in his last six starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Braves are 1-5 in his road starts. Atlanta’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-4-2

          Strasburg is 4-1, 2.41 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Washington is 4-1 in his home starts. Nationals’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-6 (led last five).

          Atlanta lost its last three games, scoring 1-1-1 runs- they’re 6-2 in last eight road series openers. Under is 4-2 in their last six games. Washington lost its last three games; they’re 8-3 in home series openers. Under is 8-0 in their last eight home games.

          Rockies @ Pirates
          Freeland is 4-1, 3.90 in his last five starts (under 9-3). Colorado is 6-0 in his road starts, has an 8-3-1 1st 5-inning record with him.

          Taillon is pitching for first time in five weeks after treatment for testicular cancer; he is 2-1, 3.57 in six starts this year- his last three went over. 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-2-2.

          Colorado won seven of last eight games; they’re 6-5 in road series openers. Over is 10-5-1 in their last 16 road games. Pirates are 4-7 in last 11 games, but won last two. Seven of their last ten games went over. Bucs are 4-6 in home series openers.

          Cubs @ Mets
          Lackey is 0-3, 6.65 in his last four starts (over 8-4). Cubs are 3-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-9-1

          deGrom is 0-2, 16.88 in his last two starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight starts. Mets are 2-3 in his home starts. 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-5-1

          Chicago lost four of last five overall; they lost eight in a row on the road, are 3-6 in road series openers. Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 road games. Mets won four of last five games, are 5-1 in last six home series openers. Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

          Reds @ Padres
          Arroyo is 0-2, 6.84 in his last five starts (over 8-4). Reds are 2-3 in his road starts, their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-9.

          Perdomo is 0-3, 7.65 in his last four starts; over is 4-2 in his home starts. San Diego split his six home starts. 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-4-3

          Reds lost their last six road games; they’re 5-5 in road series openers. Over is 10-4 in their last 14 games. San Diego lost seven of last eight games; they’re 8-3 in home series openers. Over is 8-1 in their last nine games.

          ——————————–

          American League
          Rangers @ Astros
          Darvish is 0-2, 4.42 in his last three starts; his last seven starts stayed under. Texas split his six road starts. 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-3-4 (0-3 last 3).

          Musgrove is 3-1, 4.15 in his last four starts; Astros are 2-5 in his home starts (under 4-2-1). 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-7

          Rangers won their last four road games; their last five road tilts stayed under. Rangers are 4-6 in road openers. Houston lost four of last six games; they’re 7-3 in home series openers. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

          Mariners @ Twins
          Gallardo is 0-3, 10.89 in his last four starts; over is 5-1 in his last six. Seattle is 2-3 in his road starts. 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-7-2

          Mejia is 0-0, 3.18 in his last three starts (under 4-2-1). 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-1-3

          Seattle won six of last eight games, is 3-7 in road series openers. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven road games. Minnesota lost its last four home games (over 3-0-1), is 5-5 in home series openers.

          Orioles @ White Sox
          Miley is 1-2, 4.98 in his last four starts; over is 4-2 in his last six starts. Orioles are 4-2 in his road outings. 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-5-1

          Pelfrey is 2-1, 2.53 in his last four starts; White Sox are 1-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-4-2

          Orioles lost their last nine road games; over is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Baltimore is 3-7 in road series openers. White Sox are 2-9 in last 11 games, 3-5 in home series openers. Over is 9-4-2 in their last 15 home games.

          New York @ LA Angels
          Tanaka is 0-5, 10.72 in his last five starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. New York is 2-4 in his road starts; their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-5-1

          Meyer is 1-2, 2.82 in his last four starts (under 3-1) 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-4

          New York won its last five games, scoring 55 runs- their last four games went over. Bronx is 5-2 in last seven road series openers. Angels won four of last six games, are 2-5 in last seven home series openers. Three of their last four games went over.

          __________________________

          Interleague

          Phillies @ Red Sox

          Eickhoff is 0-4, 6.84 in his last five starts; Philly is 0-6 in his road outings. Over is 5-2 in his last seven starts. 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-7-1

          Porcello is 0-3, 5.21 in his last three starts (under 3-0). Boston is 1-5 in his last six home starts. 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-10

          Phillies lost their last five games, are 5-6 in road series openers. Under is 4-2 in their last six games. Boston won seven of last nine games, is 7-4 in home series openers. Three of their last four games went over.

          ______________________________

          Record with this pitcher starting:
          National League
          Col-Pitt: Freeland 8-4; Taillon 2-4
          Chi-NY: Lackey 6-6; deGrom 6-6
          Cin-SD: Arroyo 7-5; Perdomo 3-7

          American League
          Tex-Hst: Darvish 7-6; Musgrove 5-5
          Sea-Min: Gallardo 4-8; Mejia 3-4
          Balt-Chi: Miley 7-5; Pelfrey 3-6
          NY-LA: Tanaka 5-7; Meyer 2-5

          Interleague
          Phil-Bos: Eickhoff 2-10; Porcello 5-8

          Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
          National League
          Atl-Wsh: Foltynewicz 1-11; Strasburg 1-12
          Col-Pitt: Freeland 2-12; Taillon 1-6
          Chi-NY: Lackey 8-12; deGrom 5-12
          Cin-SD: Arroyo 5-12; Perdomo 4-10

          American League
          Tex-Hst: Darvish 2-13; Musgrove 2-10
          Sea-Min: Gallardo 5-12; Mejia 2-7
          Balt-Chi: Miley 4-11; Pelfrey 2-7
          NY-LA: Tanaka 6-12; Meyer 4-7

          Interleague
          Phil-Bos: Eickhoff 4-12; Porcello 3-13

          _________________________

          Umpires
          National League

          American League

          Interleague

          Interleague play
          NL @ AL– 33-16 AL, favorites -$49
          AL @ NL– 35-31 AL, favorites -$396
          Total: 66-46 AL, favorites -$445

          Totals in interleague games
          NL @ AL: Over 29-24-1
          AL @ NL: Over 37-25-1
          Total: Over 66-49-2

          Teams’ records in first five innings:
          Team (road-home-total)- thru 6/11/17
          Ariz 9-14-7……21-9–5…….30-23
          Atl 14-14-4……10-17-3……..24-31
          Cubs 9-16-1……16-14-5……..25-30
          Reds 7-18-3……14-17–2………21-35
          Colo 23-8-4…..15-13-2……….38-21
          LA 11-15-3……22-11-2……….33-26
          Miami 12-19-1…….16-10-4……..28-29
          Milw 15-8-5…….17-14-5…….32-22
          Mets 16-11-1……..15-16-2……31-27
          Philly 8-20-6………9-15-2……17-35
          Pitt 13-17-2…..11-14-6…….24-31
          St. Louis 13-12-2……..19-8-5……..32-20
          SD 7-21-4…….14-14–4………21-35
          SF 7-21-7……..13-13-4……..23-34
          Wash 22-9-2……15-11-3………..37-20

          Orioles 10-17-3……..15-14-2………25-31
          Boston 12-17-3………14-14-2…….26-31
          White Sox 10-22-6……..12-10–1……..22-32
          Cleveland 13-15-3……..14-13-2……..26-28
          Detroit 14-16-4…….15-11-2……..29-27
          Astros 15-10-6……..18-13-2……..33-23
          KC 7-16-6………16-13-5……..23-29
          Angels 12-18-6………15-9-5………27-27
          Twins 17-8-3………11-13-6……..28-21
          NYY 15-13-1……….20-9-1…..…35-22
          A’s 10-17-4……..14-11-6……..24-28
          Seattle 9-17-5……..17-12-4………26-29
          TB 14-10-6……..22-9-5……..36-19
          Texas 16-8-5……..12-13-7…….28-21
          Toronto 12-18-2……..10-13-6……..22-30

          %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 6/11/17)
          Ariz 9-30……..15-35……….24
          Atl 6-32……..7-30………..13
          Cubs 5-27……..15-35………..20
          Reds 10-28……..15-34………25
          Colo 9-35……..8-30..……….17
          LA 8-29……..14-34..…….22
          Miami 12-32……..12-30………24
          Milw 11-28……17-36…..…..28
          Mets 11-28……..14-32……….25
          Philly 11-35……..6-26……….17
          Pitt 9-32……..10-31…………19
          StL 8-28……..8-32………..16
          SD 15-32……..8-32…………23
          SF 7-38……..9-30………….16
          Wash 11-33……..12-29………23

          Orioles 3-30……..11-31……….14
          Boston 10-32……..7-30………..17
          White Sox 11-38…….8-23………..19
          Clev 7-31……..10-29……….17
          Detroit 7-34…….13-28………20
          Astros 9-31……..13-33……….22
          KC 5-29……..5-33…………9
          Angels 15-37…….5-30……….20
          Twins 6-29……..8-30……….14
          NYY 8-29……..12-31……….20
          A’s 4-32……..9-32……….13
          Seattle 10-31…….13-33………23
          TB 9-30……..18-36………27
          Texas 9-30……..14-32………22
          Toronto 10-32……..7-31………..17
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-12-2017, 01:32 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB

            Monday, June 12


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            7:05 PM
            ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
            Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
            The total has gone OVER in 15 of Washington's last 20 games when playing Atlanta
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games

            7:05 PM
            COLORADO vs. PITTSBURGH
            Colorado is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
            Pittsburgh is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Colorado
            Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

            7:10 PM
            PHILADELPHIA vs. BOSTON
            Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Boston
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games at home
            Boston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

            7:10 PM
            CHI CUBS vs. NY METS
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games on the road
            Chi Cubs are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
            NY Mets are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games when playing Chi Cubs
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games

            8:10 PM
            BALTIMORE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
            Baltimore is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 12 games when playing at home against Baltimore
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games

            8:10 PM
            TEXAS vs. HOUSTON
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
            Texas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Texas
            Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas

            8:10 PM
            SEATTLE vs. MINNESOTA
            Seattle is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
            Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
            Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle

            10:07 PM
            NY YANKEES vs. LA ANGELS
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 11 games when playing LA Angels
            LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 9 games at home

            10:10 PM
            CINCINNATI vs. SAN DIEGO
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
            Cincinnati is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing San Diego
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Diego's last 13 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-12-2017, 01:32 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              These quirky MLB ballparks could impact your baseball totals wagers

              It is a novice mistake to bet a Cubs home game before checking to see which way the winds are blowing at Wrigley Field.

              Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Chris Archer was in a sour mood following his team’s 4-2 loss to the Chicago White Sox last Tuesday.

              Archer was victim of a fly ball that turned into a home run after hitting the catwalk in Tropicana Field and he let reporters know he was not impressed.

              “I saw a routine fly ball that didn’t even get to the warning track,” Archer told the Tampa Bay Times. “Definitely the shortest home run probably in major-league history.”

              The catwalk in the Trop’s outfield is certainly an unfavorable quirk for pitchers, but the data tells us the Ray’s home park is a pitcher’s paradise.

              ESPN’s Park Factor grades baseball fields on six different hitting categories and ranks each stadium by season. The tracking statistic shows there have been fewer runs scored in Tampa Bay’s games at Tropicana Field compared to the club’s road games in each of the past 10 seasons. Batters have a lower home run rate and a higher strike out rate when hitting in MLB’s only permanent domed stadium.

              The Trop has been an Under park in nine of the last 10 seasons and the Under is a collective 432-347-38 (55.4 win rate) since 2008 – not including this season.

              Here are a couple of other ballpark betting notes to keep in mind for you seam-heads out there:

              Rogers Centre, Toronto Blue Jays

              The status of the retractable roof at Rogers Centre is something bettors often want to know before betting on a Jays home game. There is a bit of an urban legend that the wind scoops balls up and over the outfield wall when the roof is open.

              Baseball Prospectus did a great job in 2013 demonstrating that run production did not increase drastically when the roof was open compared to when it was closed.

              The Jays home field is still known as a favorable park for those standing in the batter’s box. The distance from the plate to the walls in left, center and right field all fall under the major-league averages.

              And while Toronto’s games are routinely higher scoring at home compared to the road, the Over is just 85-110-9 since the start of the 2015 campaign.
              Sizing up the Cy Young betting odds and baseball's best pitchers
              The arms race for the Cy Young Awards in the American and National League is off and running, with some of the baseball's elite aces topping the odds to take home the honors. Find out which starters oddsmakers love and which live Cy Young long shots could make you money on the mound.

              Wrigley Field, Chicago Cubs

              It’s not called the Windy City for nothing. It is a novice mistake to bet a Cubs home game before checking to see which way the winds are blowing. And while there was an advantage to betting the Over when the wind was blowing out, oddsmakers have eradicated any value with sharper lines over the past seven years.

              The Over went 108-64 (62.8 win rate) from 2005 to 2010 in games when the wind was blowing out at Wrigley Field according to BetLabs. Oddsmakers caught on to the trend and adjusted properly. In 2016, the average betting total in games when the winds were blowing in was 7.4 and 9.1 when the winds were blowing out.

              From 2011 to 2016 the Over is just 65-80 at Wrigley with the wind blowing out.

              Chase Field, Arizona Diamondbacks

              Pitchers could have legitimate beef with this ball park. Arizona is the warmest major market city in the United States with game-time temperatures routinely going over 100 F. The stadium altitude is second only to Coors Field and the ball certainly soars in the thin desert air.

              Only the Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati and Yankee Stadium in New York have surrendered more home runs than Chase Field since the start of the 2016 season.

              Chase Field has an average ranking of 6.14 in Park Factor since 2003 and it finished second in 2016 and 2014 behind only Coors Field in both years. This season Chase Field is first in Park Factor with teams scoring more runs, getting more hits, clubbing more big flies and walking at higher rates when playing on this diamond.

              Arizona is also one of the hottest home Over bets going right now in MLB betting. The Over is 110-75-11 at Chase Field since the start of the 2015 season.

              It is certainly worth noting that, much like Rogers Centre, the ball flies much better at Chase Field when the roof is open. Since the retractable roofed stadium opened in 1998, there is over one full run more scored under the Arizona sky than under the metal roof.

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB Daily Line Drive: Monday's picks, betting odds and analysis

                Double Play-Picks

                Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals (-225, 9)


                Yesterday was a tough day with our picks, but we can always rely on Stephen Strasburg to get us back on track.

                Strasburg takes the mound today at home in the opening game of a three-game series with the "we're not as bad a most people though we would be" Atlanta Braves.

                Strasburg is backed by the top offense in the National League (BA: .272, SLG: .463, OPS: .802) and the Nats have won eight of his last 10 trips to the hill.

                The Braves are coming off a rough weekend in Queens where they were battered and bruised by the New York Mets - getting outscored 16-3 in three consecutive losses. Not a good look leading up to a series with the division leaders.

                Strasburg should control the game today and the Nationals' bats will do what they have to do against Mike Foltynewicz.

                Pick: Nationals -1.5 (-120)

                New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels (+120, 8.5)


                The New York Yankees' offense has proven to be very streaky - and they are on a very impressive streak right now. Over their last five games they are averaging an insane 11 runs per contest. Aaron Judge is leading the American League in almost every offensive category and as a team they have scored the most runs in all of Major League Baseball with 353 (5.9 runs per game).

                Since no pitchers in baseball seem to be able to slow them down, we don't expect an overnight cross-country flight to be able to slow them down either.

                The Angels are also scoring some runs recently, averaging 8.25 runs per game over their last four contests, and will have the pleasure of facing the slumping Masahiro Tanaka tonight. The Yanks have dropped five Tanaka starts in a row and it has mostly been the veteran righty's fault - 22.2 innings, 10.72 ERA, 11 home runs allowed.

                Alex Meyer gets the ball for the Angels and he hasn't been great this season. Walks have been his biggest issue and the disciplined Yankees' approach at the plate will be a huge problem for him. Meyer has surrendered 24 walks this season in only seven starts and extra runners on base can quickly lead to extra runs on the scoreboard with the Bronx Bombers coming to town.

                Pick: Over 8.5

                Yesterday's Picks: 0-2
                Season To Date: 59-50-6


                Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

                Streaking:
                Mike Foltynewicz, Atlanta Braves (4-5, 3.48 ERA, $-288)

                Mike Foltynewicz got off to a rough start to the 2017 season, but he has turned it around in his last two starts against lower-tier opponents. In 14 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies and the Cincinnati Reds he has allowed zero runs and only six hits.

                Folty and the Braves are in tough against the Nationals tonight and can be purchased at +195 on the moneyline.

                Slumping:
                Jacob deGrom, New York Mets (4-3, 4.75 ERA, $-260)

                With all of the injury issues that the New York Mets have been dealing with in 2017, the pressure has really been on Jacob deGrom to carry the load in the starting rotation. Could all of that pressure be catching up to him?

                Overall, he had been having a really solid season...until his last two outings. A road game in Arlington against the Texas Rangers and a home game against the powerful Milwaukee Brewers added up to 15 earned runs allowed (16.88 ERA), 18 hits allowed, four home runs allowed, six walks allowed, and only eight strikeouts in eight innings of work.

                deGrom gets the Chicago Cubs today and is currently listed as a -125 favorite.

                Monday's Top Trends

                * The Chicago Cubs are 3-13 in their last 16 road games. +115 today @ Mets.
                * The Texas Rangers are 1-5 in Yu Darvish's last 6 starts vs. Houston. +100 today @ Astros.
                * The Baltimore Orioles are 3-13 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter. -120 today @ White Sox.
                * Over is 8-1 in Masahiro Tanaka's last 9 road starts. NYY/LAA Total: 8.5.

                Weather To Keep An Eye On

                Well, there's something you don't see everyday - Los Angeles and San Diego will be the MLB cities with the lowest temperatures on tonight's schedule. The high temperature for the game between the Padres and the visiting Cincinnati Reds is only expected to reach the upper 60's. The rest of the country is experiencing a June heat wave while Southern California suffers through cooler temps.

                There is a chance of some thunderstorms developing near Target Field where the Minnesota Twins are scheduled to host the Seattle Mariners tonight. There is about a 50 percent chance of precipitation so keep an eye on that one.

                There will be a 10-13 mile per hour hitter's wind blowing out to right at Citi Field where the Cubs will be in town to play the Mets. The total is currently at 8.5. There is also a hitter's wind (10-12 MPH out to right-center) in the forecast at Fenway Park for tonight's game between the Sox and Phillies. The total for that one is at 10.5.

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