Announcement

**Udog** · 05-18-2017, 07:14 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for the Byron Nelson golf tournament this weekend in Texas

9-2 Dustin Johnson

10-1 Jordan Spieth

13-1 Sergio Garcia

16-1 Brooks Koepka, Jason Day

30-1 Louis Oosthuizen, Tony Finau

35-1 Hoffman Palmer Kuchar Reed

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud………

13) Today’s weird story: The king of the Netherlands has revealed he has been living a secret double life as a co-pilot for a commercial airline.

For 21 years, King Willem-Alexander has taken to the skies twice a month to ferry passengers around on short-haul services for the Dutch airline KLM.

Go figure.

12) They’re honoring the 1967 World Champion Cardinals in St Louis this week; they had Steve Carlton on TV for half an inning Tuesday night, mainly because Tim McCarver is one of the TV guys for the Cardinals now- he and Carlton are great friends.

Was interesting to hear Carlton, who doesn’t speak publicly much, if ever. He doesn’t own a TV now so he doesn’t follow baseball much these days, but he talked about how he and Bob Boone didn’t see pitch selection the same way when he was on the Phillies, which is how McCarver became his personal catcher at the end of each of their careers.

McCarver was great when he did Mets’ games on local TV in the 80’s and he is really good now, but why was he not as good on FOX national broadcasts? Seriously, he just sounded like a different person on national TV, less relaxed.

11) Chris Davis homered in the 12th AND 13th inning Tuesday night in Detroit; to the best of my researching ability, he is the 4th major leaguer ever to homer in consecutive extra innings:

a) August 12, 1966— Art Shamsky homered in the 10th/11th innings, but the Reds lost in the 13th inning to Pittsburgh

b) June 4, 2013— John Mayberry Jr homered twice against the Marlins- his walk-off grand slam gave the Phillies a 7-3 win.

c) September 17, 2016- Curtis Granderson homered in the 11th/12th inning of the Mets’ 3-2 win over the Twins.

10) Willie Mays (22) hit the most extra inning homers in baseball history. Pitcher Elroy Face (21) has given up the most extra inning taters- no one else gave up more than 14.

9) Conference USA will hold its basketball tournament the next few years at The Star in Frisco, TX, the 12,000-seat arena Jerry Jones owns that also is the home field for eight high school football teams in that city.

8) ESPN laid off 80 people a couple weeks ago, but is paying Mike Greenberg $6.5M a year to host a 3-hour morning show? What genius decided that was a good idea?

7) Division I basketball teams are poaching lot of transfers from low and mid-major teams, which is why we’ll see fewer first round upsets in NCAA tournament. Kid plays well at the lower level and it is almost like he expects a promotion to a higher-level program.

6) They have an actual payphone at Chase Field in Arizona; don’t see many of those anymore. Put a quarter in, make a phone call; they used to be everywhere, before cellphones.

5) Nov 16-17, Madison Square Garden has a college basketball tournament: Providence, Saint Louis, Virginia Tech and Washington (former Syracuse assistant Mike Hopkins is coach).

4) Dodgers 6, Giants 1— Clayton Kershaw has had nine starts against the Giants where he didn’t allow a run; seven of those nine starts were in San Francisco- he has a 1.31 ERA in 20 career starts at AT&T Park.

3) Before we anoint these one-inning closers the “greatest ever” keep in mind that in 1974, Mike Marshall of the Dodgers appeared in 106 games, and threw 208.1 innings- thats just about six outs per appearance. Marshall was 15-12 with 21 saves that year for the NL Champs. In the 70’s, great relievers got more than three outs to close out games.

2) Cavaliers 117, Celtics 104— Cleveland was up 22 at the half.

1— Arizona 5, NY Mets 4 (11)— Metropolitans finish their first 0-6 road trip since 1963. Backup catcher Chris Hermann hit a walk-off homer in the 11th.

Braves 8, Blue Jays 4— Atlanta scored six runs in this game before they made an out.

**Udog** · 05-18-2017, 07:18 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 18

National League
Nationals @ Pirates
Roark is 0-1, 5.40 in his last three starts (over 6-1-1).

Glasnow is 0-2, 11.42 in his last two starts (over 5-1-1).

Washington won four of its last six games; over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Pittsburgh lost seven of last ten games; under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Reds @ Cubs
Garrett is back from AAA; he is 3-2, 4.50 in six starts this year (over 3-3).

Lester is 1-2, 5.90 in his last five starts, all of which went over total.

Reds lost five games in row, nine of last 11 road games; over is 3-0 in their last three games. Cubs are 5-3 in last eight home games; over is 11-1 in last 12 games at Wrigley Field.

Brewers @ Padres
Davies is 4-0, 4.15 in his last five starts; Brewers scored 40 runs in the five games. Over is 7-1 in his starts this season.

Cosart is 0-1, 3.52 in two starts this year (over 1-1), last of which was April 18.

Brewers won eight of their last ten games- five of their last six games went over the total. San Diego lost seven of last nine games. Over is 10-3 in their last 13 home games.

Marlins @ Dodgers
Volquez is 0-4, 5.68 in his last four starts (under 5-1-1).

Ryu is 1-5, 6.46 in six starts this year, two of which were at Coors Field (1-1, 3.97 at home).

Miami lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 2-5 n road series openers. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Dodgers lost three of their last four games; they’re 4-2 in home series openers. Over is 4-2-2 in their last eight home games.

——————————–

American League
Orioles @ Tigers
Bundy is 4-0, 2.11 in his last six starts (under 5-3).

Zimmerman is 2-2, 7.44 in his last six starts (over 5-2).

Baltimore lost five of its last six games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Detroit won four of last six games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

Bronx @ Kansas City
Montgomery is 1-2, 4.56 in his last four starts (over 4-2).

Duffy is 0-3, 5.79 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six starts.

New York won eight of last nine road games; over is 12-5 in their last 17 games. Kansas City won six of its last nine games; under is 9-3 in their last dozen home games.

White Sox @ Mariners
Covey is 0-2, 9.00 in his last three starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five starts.

Gaviglio is making his first MLB start; he is 2-3, 3.31 in five AAA starts this season.

White Sox lost nine of their last eleven games; they’re 2-5 in road series openers. Over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Seattle lost five of its last seven games; they’re 4-2 in home series openers- over is 10-5-1 in their last 16 games.

Red Sox @ A’s
Velasquez is making his MLB debut here; he was 2-1,1.55 in five starts in AAA. He is 28 and has pitched a lot in the Mexican League.

Gray is 0-1, 5.40 in three starts this year (over 3-0).

Red Sox played 13 innings in St Louis last night; they’re 5-2 in last seven road games, 2-4 in road series openers. Oakland lost six of its last eight games; over is 13-5 in their last 18 games. A’s are 3-3 in home series openers.

__________________________

Interleague
Blue Jays @ Braves
Stroman is 2-0, 3.16 in his last five starts (over 3-1 in his last four).

Teheran is 2-3, 6.26 in his last five starts (over 3-1-1 in his last five).

Braves won five of last six games; over is 6-1-2 in their last nine home games. Toronto lost its last three games, allowing 27 runs; four of their last five games went over.

Phillies @ Rangers
Pivetta is 0-2, 6.14 in three starts this year (over 1-1-1).

Perez is 0-4, 5.20 in his last five starts (under 6-2).

Phillies lost seven of their last eight road games; over is 11-2-3 in their last 16 road games. Texas won its last eight games; over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Rockies @ Twins
Marquez is 1-1, 2.25 in his last three starts, all of which stayed under.

Chatwood 1-3, 6.65 in his last four starts (under 5-3).

Santana is 6-1, 1.50 in eight starts this year (over 2-1-2 at home). Berrios allowed one run in 7.2 IP in his first ’17 start, at Cleveland.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Wsh-Pitt: Roark 5-3; Glasnow 4-3
Cin-Chi: Garrett 4-2; Lester 3-5
Mil-SD: Davies 5-3 (5-0 last 5); Cosart 1-1
Mia-LA: Volquez 1-6; Ryu 1-5

American League
Blt-Det: Bundy 6-2; Zimmerman 3-4
NY-KC: Montgomery 3-3; Duffy 3-5
Bos-A’s: Velasquez 0-0; Gray 1-2
Chi-Sea: Covey 3-3; Gaviglio 0-0

Interleague
Tor-Atl: Stroman 4-4; Teheran 3-5
Phil-Tex: Pivetta 0-3; Perez 2-6
Colo-Minn: Marquez 5-2 Chatwood 3-5; Santana 6-2 Berrios 1-0

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Wsh-Pitt: Roark 3-8; Glasnow 3-7
Cin-Chi: Garrett 2-6; Lester 3-8
Mil-SD: Davies 1-8; Cosart 0-2
Mia-LA: Volquez 3-7; Ryu 5-6

American League
Blt-Det: Bundy 1-8; Zimmerman 3-7
NY-KC: Montgomery 2-6; Duffy 1-8
Bos-A’s: Velasquez 0-0; Gray 0-3
Chi-Sea: Covey 4-6; Gaviglio 0-0

Interleague
Tor-Atl: Stroman 1-8; Teheran 3-8
Phil-Tex: Pivetta 2-3; Perez 4-8
Colo-Minn: Marquez 5-2 Chatwood 0-8; Santana 6-2 Berrios 0-1

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 20-9 AL, favorites -$261
AL @ NL– 19-15 AL, favorites -$323
Total: 39-24 AL, favorites -$584

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 13-16-1
AL @ NL: Over 23-12
Total: Over 36-28-1

Teams’ records in first five innings:

Team (road-home-total)- thru 5/17/17
Ariz 5-8-3……14-8–4…….19-16–7
Atl 9-11-3……6-7-1……..15-18–4
Cubs 9-11………8-7-3……..17-18-3
Reds 4-11-2……11-8–2……..15-19-4
Colo 10-5-2…..11-10-2…….21-15–5
LA 9-11-2……12-5-2…….21-16-4
Miami 6-12-1…….8-9-3……..14-21-4
Milw 11-3-4…….11-10-2…….22-13-6
Mets 8-10-1……..7-11-2…….15-21-3
Philly 7-9-4………7-7-2…….14-16-6
Pitt 7-14-2…….7-8-2……..14-22-4
St. Louis 7-5-2……..12-6-4……..19-11-6
SD 5-14-4…….8-9–2……..13-23-6
SF 4-13-4……11-7-3………18-20-7
Wash 14-5-1……9-8-2………23-13-3

Orioles 10-9-2……….10-6………20-15-2
Boston 6-10-2………9-10-2……..15-20-4
White Sox 6-11-5……..8-7–1……..14-18-6
Cleveland 8-11-2……..6-11-1……..14-22-3
Detroit 9-9-2…….10-6-2…….19-15-4
Astros 8-8-5……..11-8-1……..19-16-6
KC 4-10-3……12-8-2……..16-18-5
Angels 5-10-5……12-6-5………17-16-10
Twins 9-5-2………8-6-5………17-11-7
NYY 9-8-1……….11-8…..…….20-16-1
A’s 7-11-3……..7-7-5……..14-18-8
Seattle 6-12-5……..10-4-4……..16-16-9
TB 11-7-3……..16-4-2……..27-11-5
Texas 10-4-4……..10-8-5…….20-12-9
Toronto 4-15-1……..6-9-5……..10-24-6

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 5/17/17)
Ariz 4-16……..9-26……….13
Atl 5-23……..5-14………..10
Cubs 4-21……..7-18………..11
Reds 4-17……..10-22………14
Colo 5-17……..8-23……….13
LA 7-22……..7-19..……..14
Miami 6-19……..7-20……….13
Milw 7-18……..11-23………18
Mets 8-19……..10-20……….18
Philly 8-21……..4-16…………12
Pitt 6-23……..6-17…………12
StL 6-16……..7-22………..13
SD 11-23……6-19………..17
SF 3-24……..6-21………..9
Wash 8-20……..7-19……….15

Orioles 1-22……..5-16………..6
Boston 5-18……..5-21………..10
White Sox 5-22…….8-16………..13
Clev 6-21……..8-18………..14
Detroit 5-20……..9-18………..14
Astros 7-21……..10-20……….17
KC 2-17……..4-22…………6
Angels 6-20…….5-23………..11
Twins 3-16……..5-19……….8
NYY 5-18……..9-19……….14
A’s 3-21……..4-19……….7
Seattle 9-23……..10-18………19
TB 6-21……..10-22………16
Texas 7-18……..8-23………15
Toronto 5-20……..4-21………..9

**Udog** · 05-18-2017, 07:21 AM

MLB

Thursday, May 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:35 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games
Washington is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. DETROIT
Baltimore is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Detroit
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

2:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. TEXAS
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 16 games on the road
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

2:20 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 12 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chi Cubs's last 12 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Chi Cubs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

3:40 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:10 PM
COLORADO vs. MINNESOTA
Colorado8-3-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Colorado is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,when playing Colorado
Minnesota is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games ,at home

7:35 PM
TORONTO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 16 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Toronto is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

8:15 PM
NY YANKEES vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees

10:05 PM
BOSTON vs. OAKLAND
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Boston
Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

10:10 PM
MIAMI vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Miami is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Miami

10:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. SEATTLE
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Seattle's last 16 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 05-18-2017, 09:04 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, May 18

Colorado @ Minnesota

Game 923-924
May 18, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Marquez) 14.377
Minnesota
(Santana) 15.951
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-140
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-140); Over

Philadelphia @ Texas

Game 921-922
May 18, 2017 @ 2:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Pivetta) 13.378
Texas
(Perez) 16.236
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-170
10
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-170); Under

Toronto @ Atlanta

Game 919-920
May 18, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Stroman) 14.318
Atlanta
(Teheran) 16.841
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+100); Over

Colorado @ Minnesota

Game 917-918
May 18, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Chtwood) 13.787
Minnesota
(Berrios) 16.541
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-125
8
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-125); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Seattle

Game 915-916
May 18, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Covey) 12.383
Seattle
(Gaviglio) 14.890
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-170
9
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-170); Over

Boston @ Oakland

Game 913-914
May 18, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Velazquez) 13.540
Oakland
(Gray) 16.041
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-110
9
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-110); Under

NY Yankees @ Kansas City

Game 911-912
May 18, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Mntgmry) 14.951
Kansas City
(Duffy) 16.867
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+100); Over

Baltimore @ Detroit

Game 909-910
May 18, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Bundy) 16.645
Detroit
(Zmmrmnn) 14.720
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-120); Under

Miami @ LA Dodgers

Game 907-908
May 18, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Volquez) 14.916
LA Dodgers
(Ryu) 14.114
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-185
8
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+165); Under

Milwaukee @ San Diego

Game 905-906
May 18, 2017 @ 3:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Davies) 15.736
San Diego
(Cosart) 12.816
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+110); Under

Cincinnati @ Chicago Cubs

Game 903-904
May 18, 2017 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Garrett) 13.955
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 16.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-200
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-200); N/A

Washington @ Pittsburgh

Game 901-902
May 18, 2017 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Roark) 13.526
Pittsburgh
(Glasnow) 17.205
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+115); Under

**Udog** · 05-18-2017, 09:10 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (25 - 14) at PITTSBURGH (17 - 23) - 12:35 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. TYLER GLASNOW (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 34-50 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 47-50 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 69-88 (-29.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 18-33 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.1 Units)

TANNER ROARK vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ROARK is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.98 and a WHIP of 0.951.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

TYLER GLASNOW vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
GLASNOW is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (19 - 20) at CHICAGO CUBS (20 - 19) - 2:20 PM
AMIR GARRETT (L) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LESTER is 49-12 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1619-1705 (-261.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 865-796 (-155.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 404-369 (-83.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 832-853 (-158.5 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 780-834 (-183.1 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 782-747 (-157.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 4-1 (+2.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.2 Units)

AMIR GARRETT vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

JON LESTER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LESTER is 3-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.025.
His team's record is 9-1 (+6.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-2. (+4.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (23 - 18) at SAN DIEGO (15 - 27) - 3:40 PM
ZACH DAVIES (R) vs. JARRED COSART (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 29-23 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-18 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 18-13 (+8.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-72 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ZACH DAVIES vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
DAVIES is 2-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.89 and a WHIP of 0.947.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

JARRED COSART vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
COSART is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 0.96 and a WHIP of 1.393.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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MIAMI (14 - 25) at LA DODGERS (23 - 18) - 10:10 PM
EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 14-25 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 39-54 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 3-13 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
MIAMI is 8-21 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 19-3 (+15.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-15 (+14.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 119-95 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 83-73 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 61-56 (-14.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 3-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.649.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+2.1 units)

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. MIAMI since 1997
RYU is 1-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.4 units)

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BALTIMORE (23 - 15) at DETROIT (19 - 19) - 1:10 PM
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 105-94 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 59-45 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 55-46 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 23-15 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 80-59 (+20.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 2-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.82 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.7 units)

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NY YANKEES (24 - 13) at KANSAS CITY (16 - 23) - 8:15 PM
JORDAN MONTGOMERY (L) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 203-176 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 63-45 (+17.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 116-76 (+27.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 28-14 (+14.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 62-41 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 108-91 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 16-6 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

JORDAN MONTGOMERY vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

DANNY DUFFY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
DUFFY is 1-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 8.05 and a WHIP of 1.789.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

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BOSTON (21 - 18) at OAKLAND (17 - 23) - 10:05 PM
HECTOR VELAZQUEZ (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 659-595 (-82.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 7-13 (-8.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 154-210 (-50.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 79-102 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 28-45 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 51-69 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 43-72 (-23.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
GRAY is 4-12 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 5-14 (-10.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

HECTOR VELAZQUEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

SONNY GRAY vs. BOSTON since 1997
GRAY is 0-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.260.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (17 - 21) at SEATTLE (19 - 22) - 10:10 PM
DYLAN COVEY (R) vs. SAM GAVIGLIO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 15-28 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 30-23 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 37-41 (-22.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 159-197 (-52.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 604-558 (-97.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 46-65 (-36.3 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
SEATTLE is 82-97 (-29.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 788-708 (-100.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DYLAN COVEY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

SAM GAVIGLIO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

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COLORADO (25 - 15) at MINNESOTA (19 - 16) - 7:10 PM
TYLER CHATWOOD (R) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 300-412 (-101.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 108-197 (-65.7 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
COLORADO is 432-682 (-132.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
COLORADO is 25-15 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 12-5 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 53-55 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHATWOOD is 11-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 78-119 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-39 (-16.6 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 38-62 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 90-121 (-50.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 4-13 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 50-89 (-33.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-35 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
CHATWOOD is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 8.67 and a WHIP of 2.248.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

JOSE BERRIOS vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

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TORONTO (17 - 24) at ATLANTA (16 - 21) - 7:35 PM
MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 111-101 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 65-66 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 38-39 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
STROMAN is 19-23 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STROMAN is 8-15 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STROMAN is 5-14 (-16.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 41-41 (+13.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-8 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 24-47 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEHERAN is 1-10 (-10.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEHERAN is 5-17 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEHERAN is 7-20 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-0 (+3.5 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.2 Units)

MARCUS STROMAN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. TORONTO since 1997
TEHERAN is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 6.60 and a WHIP of 1.533.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (14 - 23) at TEXAS (21 - 20) - 2:05 PM
NICK PIVETTA (R) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 116-90 (+26.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 68-38 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 27-17 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 23-14 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 90-66 (+23.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 69-46 (+22.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-42 (+16.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 802-838 (+19.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

NICK PIVETTA vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

MARTIN PEREZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
PEREZ is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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COLORADO (25 - 15) at MINNESOTA (19 - 16) - 1:10 PM
GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

GERMAN MARQUEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

ERVIN SANTANA vs. COLORADO since 1997
SANTANA is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.31 and a WHIP of 1.402.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

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**Udog** · 05-18-2017, 01:03 PM

MLB Daily Line Drive: Thursday's Picks, Betting Odds and Analysis

Double-Play Picks

Philadelphia Phillies at Texas Rangers (-145, 10)

If it ain't broke, don't fix it. We've been riding the Rangers all week and they've been punishing the Phillies in this interleague series. Today should be no different as the Phils will just be looking to get the heck out of Arlington on getaway day.

The Rangers have now won eight in a row and are looking to complete a very impressive sweep of their current eight-game home-stand (Padres, Athletics, Phillies). Texas will send Martin Perez to the mound. Perez hasn't been great, but he's coming off a nice 6.1 inning, 2 earned run performance against the Padres in his last start. If he puts up anything close to that today, it'll be another winning day for the Rangers.

The struggling Phillies have lost 14 of their last 17 games overall and are only 2-10 in their last 12 on the road. They will send youngster Nick Pivetta to the hill and the Phillies have never won a game started by the kid. Pivetta owns an 0-3 Team Win/Loss Record, a nice (for fading purposes) chubby ERA of 6.14, and an Opponent On Base Percentage of .414. Not good...obviously.

Pick: Rangers -145

Boston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics (-110, 9)

Tonight's game in Oakland between the A's and the Boston Red Sox will feature a dynamic young starter (possibly showcasing for a trade to a better situation) taking on a veteran arm making his Major League debut.

Sonny Gray is the first name on everyone's mind when the topic of trade deadline arms comes up. He will make his fourth start of the season, and the first three have not exactly been dominant. His ERA is mediocre at 3.78 and he simply isn't missing bats with only nine strikeouts in those three outings. The Over has cashed in all three of Gray's 2017 starts, Over is 7-0 in his last seven against American League East teams, and Over is 8-2 in his last 10 at home.

The Red Sox will send out Hector Velazquez for his big-league debut. Velazquez is a veteran of the Mexican League and has been terrific at AAA Pawtucket this season (1.55 ERA, 0.79 WHIP), but this isn't the Mexican League or AAA - this is the big-leagues and Velazquez should get a taste of what Major League hitters are capable of tonight in Oakland.

Over has cashed in six of Boston's last seven road games and six of the last seven meetings between the Red Sox and Athletics.

Pick: Over 9

Yesterday's Picks 2-0
Season to Date: 36-27-3

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Ervin Santana, Minnesota Twins (6-1, 1.50 ERA, $452)

Ervin Santana gets the ball for the Twins today at home in the first game of today's doubleheader between the Colorado Rockies and Minnesota Twins.

Santana has been dynamic this season (6-1, 1.50 ERA, 0.81 WHIP). He had his worst start of the season two outings ago against the Red Sox (six earned runs) and bounced back beautifully with seven innings of two-hit, shutout pitching against the Cleveland Indians.

Santana and the Twins are available this afternoon at -125.

Slumping: Tyler Glasnow, Pittsburgh Pirates (1-3, 7.98 ERA, $251)

Tyler Glasnow had a nice little four-game run at the start of the season where he got some Team Wins despite not pitching very well. That has caught up to him over his last two appearances in which the Pirates have lost both and he owns a lofty 10.38 ERA over 8.2 innings of work.

Glasnow and the Pirates are home underdogs today against the Nationals (+115).

Thursday's Top Trends

* The Minnesota Twins are 1-9 in Santana's last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. -120 today vs. Rockies.
* The Chicago Cubs are 9-1 in Jon Lester's last 10 starts vs. Reds. -200 today @ Wrigley Field.
* The New York Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 road games. -125 today @ Royals.
* The Boston Red Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings with the Oakland A's. Pick 'Em today in Oakland.

Weather to Keep an Eye On

The forecast is giving a 45 percent chance of rain with a chance of thunderstorms at Kauffman Stadium tonight at first pitch and things are expected to get worse as the night goes along in Kansas City. Yankees/Royals total: 8.5.

There are some big winds in the forecast today, but only one is going to be helping the hitters and that’s at Wrigley Field. 20 mph winds blowing Out to center field will greet the Cubbies and Reds this afternoon. Total: 10.5.

In Motor City, the Tigers are hosting the Orioles and the pitchers will be getting some help from Mother Nature. Winds will be gusting In from right field between 22-25 mph. Total: 10.5.

At Rangers Ballpark its more of the same, as winds will gust around 16-17 miles per hour blowing in from right field as Texas hosts the Phillies in interleague play. Total: 10.

Ump of the Day

Bill Welke: If the home plate umpire today in Pittsburgh is an indication the Over is the play. When Bill Welke is behind the plate runs are scored, 10.4 per game this season. The Over is 7-1 (87.5 percent) in the eight games Welke has been calling balls and strikes in 2017. Since 2015, the Over has cashed in 41 of 60 games behind the plate (68.3 percent). The Washington Nationals hitters in particular have had success with Welke, the Over has cashed the last five games he has had the gear on. The total is currently 9 for the Nats and Pirates in Pittsburgh.

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 5/18

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 5/18

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