Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 5/11

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, May 11

Good Luck on day #130 of 2016!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Celtics 123, Wizards 101—Home team is now 5-0 in this series.

— Penguins 2, Capitals 0—Pittsburgh-Ottawa is the Eastern Conference final.

— There will be 40 bowl games this fall; national title game is in Atlanta’s new stadium. Looks like the first bowls are slated for December 16.

— Dodgers’ OF Andrew Toles tore his ACL Tuesday, is out for the year.

— adidas sold its golf business for $425M; in 2016, their revenue was 30% of what it was five years ago.

— Rams, Browns aren’t favored right now in any of their games this coming season. New England is favored in all of its games.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Serious question; what does this guy James Comey do now? I mean, he gets fired as FBI Director, does he collect unemployment? Write a book? Drink himself silly? Consult with his lawyer to make sure he isn’t in trouble? Hang out at home and watch NBA playoff games? Coach his kid’s Little League team?

I’m guessing he could write a very interesting book; doubt he has done anything horrible enough that would make coaching Little League a suitable punishment.

Seriously, I was a Little League coach for four years. Never again.

12) To get a lot of RBI, it helps to have a lot of men on base when you bat. Here are the guys who’ve come to bat with the most men on base this season:

Daniel Murphy 115, Rizzo/Cano 113, Maikel Franco 109.

11) Here are the players who’ve driven in the highest %age of runners who were on base when they hit (minimum 100 PA): Charlie Blackmon 25.3%, Nomar Mazara 25.0%, Chris Owings 24.6%.

10) A fairly tall guy went to the A’s game in Oakland Wednesday afternoon dressed as an elf; no idea why, but he got himself a decent amount of TV time and he seemed to be enjoying himself on a sunny day in the Bay Area.

9) A’s 2, Angels 1—Andrew Triggs has five wins and a 2.21 ERA, 9th-best in the AL. Muy bueno!!! .

Yonder Alonso is batting .444 with runners in scoring position; rest of the A’s are hitting .175 with RISP.

8) Tampa Bay Rays are 17-19, but if games ended after the 5th inning, they’d be 23-8-5. Rays are 4-11 in games when winning run scores after the 6th inning- they’re 2-6 in one-run games.

7) Our fantasy league has 25-man rosters; you add a 26th guy if someone goes on the DL, then after the season, you cut a guy to get back to 25.

Last winter, it was an easy choice for me to get back to 25. Colorado signed Ian Desmond, had David Dahl and Manny Parra to play LF or 1B, so I sent Mark Reynolds packing, since it was unsure if he was even going to be on the 25-man roster. No bueno.

Dahl is hurt, Desmond was also hurt but is back now, while Reynolds is batting .333 and appears headed to the freakin’ All-Star Game. Wow. I can’t even call myself an idiot for this one; nobody saw it coming.

6) Cubs’ OF Kyle Schwarber played college baseball at Indiana; only two other colleges offered him a baseball scholarship: Miami OH and Cincinnati. Scouting really is an inexact science.

5) San Antonio Spurs drafted Manu Ginobili when James Harden was 10 years old.

4) Still wish they’d let kids jump right from high school to the NBA; if they don’t get drafted, then they can go to college, but for at least two years. Seems like a better idea.

3) Adam Wilk, who was an emergency starting pitcher for the Mets Sunday when Matt Harvey was suspended, was claimed off waivers by the Minnesota Twins, so he is still in the major leagues and is having a very good week.

2) Our thoughts/prayers to Chris Berman, who lost his wife in a car accident this week. From reading Twitter, it is obvious that Berman is very well-liked by co-workers, past and present. Cathy Berman was a school teacher; she is survived by her husband and two children. RIP, ma’am.

1) Over the last three years at PLAYERS Championship, Freddie Jacobson has the best score on par 5’s: -24. Chappell, McIlroy and Garcia are all next at -23.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, May 11


San Diego @ Texas

Game 971-972
May 11, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Richard) 14.568
Texas
(Perez) 13.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+120); Under

Baltimore @ Washington

Game 969-970
May 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Bundy) 15.835
Washington
(Cole) 17.711
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-110); Over

Boston @ Milwaukee

Game 967-968
May 11, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Rdriguez) 14.848
Milwaukee
(Nelson) 16.498
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-140
9
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+120); Over

Detroit @ LA Angels

Game 965-966
May 11, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Fulmer) 12.973
LA Angels
(Ramirez) 16.556
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-115
7
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-105); Over

Minnesota @ Chicago White Sox

Game 963-964
May 11, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Hughes) 13.387
Chicago White Sox
(Holland) 14.390
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-130); Over

Kansas City @ Tampa Bay

Game 961-962
May 11, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Vargas) 15.476
Tampa Bay
(Odorizzi) 13.929
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-130
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+110); Over

Seattle @ Toronto

Game 959-960
May 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(De Jong) 16.603
Toronto
(Estrada) 13.960
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 2 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-140
9
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+120); Over

Houston @ NY Yankees

Game 957-958
May 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Keuchel) 15.252
NY Yankees
(Pineda) 17.117
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-120); Over

Cincinnati @ San Francisco

Game 955-956
May 11, 2017 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Arroyo) 13.487
San Francisco
(Blach) 14.666
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-130
8
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-130); Over

Pittsburgh @ Arizona

Game 953-954
May 11, 2017 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Cole) 15.731
Arizona
(Greinke) 13.562
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-140
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+120); Under

LA Dodgers @ Colorado

Game 951-952
May 11, 2017 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Ryu) 16.580
Colorado
(Andrson) 15.152
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-115
11
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-105); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 11

National League
Dodgers @ Rockies
Ryu is 1-1, 1.59 in his last two starts (under 4-0-1).

Anderson is 1-3, 6.97 in his last six starts (over 5-2).

Dodgers won their last five games; they’re 1-4 in road series openers. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Colorado won six of its last eight games; they’re 8-3 in series openers, 4-2 at home. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

Pirates @ Diamondbacks
Cole is 1-2, 2.53 in his last five starts (under 6-1).

Greinke is 2-1, 2.33 in his last four starts (over 5-2).

Pirates lost their last four games, are 2-5 in road series openers. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Arizona lost three of last four games; they’re 7-4 in series openers, 4-2 at home. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

Reds @ Giants
Arroyo is 3-0, 5.31 in his last four starts (over 5-1). Reds scored 34 runs in those four games.

Blach allowed 10 runs in three IP in Cincinnati five days ago; he is 0-2, 7.20 in three starts (under 2-1).

Reds won six of its last seven games; they’re 5-6 in series openers, 2-2 on road. Cincy’s last six road games all went over. San Francisco lost five of last six games; they’re 3-1 in home series openers. Under is 10-2-2 in their home games.

——————————–

American League
Houston @ New York
Keuchel is 5-0, 2.22 in his last seven starts (over 4-2 in his last six).

Pineda is 3-0, 2.91 in his last five starts (over 4-1 in his last five).

Astros won eight of last ten games, are 4-1 in road series openers. Over is 9-5 in their road games. New York won six of last seven games; they’re 4-1 in home series openers. New York’s last seven home games went over total.

Mariners @ Blue Jays
DeJong is 0-1, 8.31 in two starts this year (over 2-0).

Estrada is 1-1, 2.25 in his last five starts (under 4-3).

Mariners won its last four games, scoring 33 runs; they’re 2-4 in road series openers. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Toronto won four of last five home games (under 4-1); they’re 1-4 in home series openers.

Royals @ Rays
Vargas is 4-1, 1.43 in six starts this year (under 5-1).

Odorizzi is 2-0, 2.37 in his last four starts (under 4-1).

Royals are 2-9 in their last 11 road games; over is 5-1 in their last six road games. Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last 11 home games. Over is 10-3 in Rays’ last 13 home games.

Twins @ White Sox
Hughes is 2-0, 3.44 in his last three starts (over 3-3).

Holland is 2-0, 2.37 in his last three starts (over 3-1 in last four).

Minnesota lost three of last five games; over is 9-1 in their last ten games. White Sox lost seven of last nine games; under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Tigers @ Angels
Fulmer is 2-0, 3.00 in his last three starts, all of which went over.

Ramirez is 1-3, 4.55 in his last five starts (over 3-3).

Detroit lost four of last six games; they’re 4-2 in road series openers. Over is 12-3-1 in their road games. Angels lost six of last eight games; Trout didn’t play in the Oakland series. Halos are 3-2 in home series openers. Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

__________________________

Interleague
Orioles @ Nationals
Bundy is 4-0, 1.95 in his last five starts (under 4-3).

Cole allowed one run in six IP (102 PT) in his only ’17 start, a 6-2 win in Philly.

Nationals lost three of their last four games, all of which went over total. Baltimore won six of its last seven games; over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Padres @ Rangers
Chacin is 2-1, 4.07 in his last four starts; his last three starts went over.

Perez is 0-4, 5.91 in his last four starts (under 5-2). -1

Rangers are 8-4 in last 12 home games; under is 10-2 in their last 13 home games. San Diego lost six of its last seven games; under is 4-1 in their last five road games.

Red Sox @ Brewers
Rodriguez is 1-0, 2.00 in his last three starts (under 5-0).

Nelson is 0-2, 7.71 in his last four starts (over 3-1 in his last four).

Red Sox are 6-9 on the road. Over is 5-1 in their last six games. Milwaukee won six of its last eight home games; over is 13-2 in last fifteen games at Miller Park.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
LA-Colo: Ryu 1-4; Anderson 4-3
Pitt-Az: Cole 3-4; Greinke 4-3
Cin-SF: Arroyo 4-2; Blach 0-3

American League
Hst-NY: Keuchel 6-1; Pineda 5-1
Sea-Tor: DeJong 1-1; Estrada 3-4
KC-TB: Vargas 4-2; Odorizzi 3-2
Min-CWS: Hughes 5-1; Holland 4-2
Det-LA: Fulmer 4-2; Ramirez 3-2

Interleague
Blt-Wsh: Bundy 6-1; Cole 1-0
Bos-Mil: Rodriguez Nelson 2-4
SD-Tex: Chacin 3-4; Perez 1-6

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
LA-Colo: Ryu 4-5; Anderson 1-7
Pitt-Az: Cole 1-7; Greinke 0-7
Cin-SF: Arroyo 2-6; Blach 1-3

American League
Hst-NY: Keuchel 1-7; Pineda 3-6
Sea-Tor: DeJong 1-2; Estrada 1-7
KC-TB: Vargas 0-6; Odorizzi 3-5
Min-CWS: Hughes 3-6; Holland 1-6
Det-LA: Fulmer 3-3; Ramirez 4-5

Interleague
Blt-Wsh: Bundy 0-7; Cole 0-1
Bos-Mil: Rodriguez Nelson 1-6
SD-Tex: Chacin 2-7; Perez 3-7

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 5/10/17

Ariz 5-8-3……….10-5-4……15-13-7
Atl 5-10-3………..5-7-1…..10-17-4
Cubs 8-10………….6-7-3……14-17-3
Reds 5-6-1……….10-8-2……15-14-3
Colo 10-5-1………10-7-2……20-12-3
LA 7-7-2………11-5-2…….18-12-4
Miami 6-11-3………7-4-3……13-15-6
Milw 9-2-4……….9-8-2……..18-10-6
Mets 6-6…………7-12-3…….13-18-3
Philly 7-5-3………..8-7-2…….15-12-5
Pitt 5-12-2……….7-7-1……12-19-3
St. Louis 7-7-2……….9-4-4……..16-11-6
SD 3-12-4………7-7-2……..10-19-6
SF 5-13-4………..5-6-2……10-19-6
Wash 13-5………….7-8-1……20-13-1

Orioles 9-6-2……….10-6………19-12-2
Boston 4-9-2………8-8-2………12-17-4
White Sox 6-9-4………6-5-1………12-14-5
Cleveland 8-11-2……4-7-1………12-18-3
Detroit 8-7-1………9-5-2………17-12-3
Astros 3-6-5………11-8-1……..14-14-6
KC 3-11-2………9-6-2……..13-16-4
Angels 5-10-5……….8-5-3……..13-16-7
Twins 6-4-2………8-6-4………14-10-6
NYY 7-8-1……….10-5……….17-13-1
A’s 4-9-2……….7-7-5………11-16-7
Seattle 5-10-4……..8-3-4……….13-13-8
TB 7-5-3……….16-3-2…….23-8-5
Texas 10-4-4……..8-5-4………18-9-8
Toronto 4-14-1……..4-7-4………8-21-5

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total-5/10/17)

Ariz 4-16……..7-19……….11
Atl 3-18……..4-14…………7
Cubs 4-18……..7-16………..11
Reds 2-11……10-21………..12
Colo 5-15……..6-19……….11
LA 5-15……..7-19..……..12
Miami 6-19……..6-15……….12
Milw 5-14……..9-19………..14
Mets 7-14……..10-20……….17
Philly 8-16……..4-16…………12
Pitt 4-19……..5-15…………9
StL 6-16……..7-19…………13
SD 7-18…….6-15………..13
SF 4-21……..3-14………..7
Wash 7-18……..6-16……….13

Orioles 1-17……..5-15………..6
Boston 3-15……..4-17………..7
White Sox 4-18…….5-12………..9
Clev 6-21……..6-11………..12
Detroit 3-15……..8-16………..11
Astros 3-14……..10-20………13
KC 2-16……..3-15………..5
Angels 6-19……..5-16………..11
Twins 1-12……..5-17……….6
NYY 4-15……..8-15……….12
A’s 2-15……..4-19……….6
Seattle 8-19……..6-14………14
TB 2-13……..10-22…..…12
Texas 8-17…….5-17………13
Toronto 5-19…….4-13………..9

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 15-6 AL, favorites -$131
AL @ NL– 14-14, favorites -$505
Total: 29-20 AL, favorites -$636
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL– Over 7-14
AL @ NL– Over 18-10
Total– Over 25-24

[Udog]

MLB

Thursday, May 11

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Trend Report
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1:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TAMPA BAY
Kansas City is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

1:10 PM
BOSTON vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 14 games when playing Milwaukee
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 21 games

7:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Houston is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of NY Yankees's last 23 games when playing Houston

7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Baltimore

7:07 PM
SEATTLE vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle

8:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games

8:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing Minnesota

8:40 PM
LA DODGERS vs. COLORADO
LA Dodgers are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

9:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ARIZONA
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

10:07 PM
DETROIT vs. LA ANGELS
Detroit is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit
LA Angels are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games

10:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Cincinnati is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Cincinnati's last 15 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Francisco's last 15 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati


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[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 11

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LA DODGERS (20 - 14) at COLORADO (22 - 13) - 8:40 PM
HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 116-91 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 9-22 (-13.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 48-54 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 22-28 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 81-70 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 29-34 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 60-54 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 4-15 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 36-47 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 22-13 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 16-8 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 50-53 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-2 (+2.7 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. COLORADO since 1997
RYU is 3-4 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.380.
His team's record is 3-4 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.7 units)

TYLER ANDERSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ANDERSON is 2-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.483.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (14 - 20) at ARIZONA (19 - 16) - 9:40 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 67-86 (-29.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 43-59 (-21.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLE is 11-17 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 93-67 (+21.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
GREINKE is 50-21 (+17.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 120-67 (+38.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 90-47 (+30.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 62-25 (+30.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 19-39 (-20.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 826-748 (-102.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 9-21 (-15.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 582-539 (-78.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 32-48 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GERRIT COLE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
COLE is 2-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.421.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.5 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GREINKE is 6-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.04 and a WHIP of 1.137.
His team's record is 7-3 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-2. (+5.9 units)

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CINCINNATI (18 - 15) at SAN FRANCISCO (12 - 23) - 10:15 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. TY BLACH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-23 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 415-379 (+54.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-23 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-36 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 65-71 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-14 (-13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-10 (-10.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
ARROYO is 8-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.230.
His team's record is 9-8 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.3 units)

TY BLACH vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BLACH is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 24.00 and a WHIP of 4.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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HOUSTON (23 - 11) at NY YANKEES (21 - 10) - 7:05 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. MICHAEL PINEDA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 4-16 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 105-88 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 44-26 (+16.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 60-36 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 40-19 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 14-3 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KEUCHEL is 9-2 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 140-124 (-65.9 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
KEUCHEL is 4-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.41 and a WHIP of 0.761.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

MICHAEL PINEDA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
PINEDA is 2-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.121.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

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SEATTLE (17 - 17) at TORONTO (13 - 21) - 7:05 PM
CHASE DE JONG (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 159-196 (-51.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 82-95 (-27.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 48-31 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 107-98 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 63-64 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHASE DE JONG vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

MARCO ESTRADA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
ESTRADA is 1-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

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KANSAS CITY (12 - 21) at TAMPA BAY (17 - 19) - 1:10 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 0-8 (-8.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 1-11 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 26-48 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 18-36 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 199-174 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VARGAS is 24-13 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 85-113 (-33.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-13 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-45 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+1.9 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
VARGAS is 4-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.238.
His team's record is 4-6 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-7. (-5.2 units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
ODORIZZI is 1-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.477.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

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MINNESOTA (16 - 14) at CHI WHITE SOX (15 - 16) - 8:10 PM
PHIL HUGHES (R) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 75-117 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-62 (-19.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOLLAND is 31-11 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOLLAND is 6-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 (+0.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.2 Units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HUGHES is 6-5 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 9-7 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-3.8 units)

DEREK HOLLAND vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
HOLLAND is 2-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.266.
His team's record is 4-5 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.5 units)

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DETROIT (16 - 16) at LA ANGELS (17 - 19) - 10:05 PM
MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. JC RAMIREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 319-403 (-88.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 208-159 (+41.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 102-91 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FULMER is 23-9 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FULMER is 13-6 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MICHAEL FULMER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
FULMER is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 0.789.
His team's record is 1-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

JC RAMIREZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

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BOSTON (17 - 16) at MILWAUKEE (18 - 16) - 1:10 PM
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. JIMMY NELSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 659-595 (-82.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 91-105 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-9 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 34-23 (+20.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-0 (+2.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

JIMMY NELSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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BALTIMORE (22 - 11) at WASHINGTON (22 - 12) - 7:05 PM
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. A.J. COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 22-11 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 14-3 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-7 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 14-5 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 59-51 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-29 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+1.4 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
BUNDY is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

A.J. COLE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
COLE is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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SAN DIEGO (13 - 22) at TEXAS (15 - 20) - 8:05 PM
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 12-34 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 110-90 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 52-31 (+22.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 62-38 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 37-20 (+14.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 40-28 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 81-61 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 63-46 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 63-74 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. TEXAS since 1997
RICHARD is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 11

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LA DODGERS (20 - 14) at COLORADO (22 - 13) - 8:40 PM
HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 116-91 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 9-22 (-13.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 48-54 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 22-28 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 81-70 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 29-34 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 60-54 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 4-15 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 36-47 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 22-13 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 16-8 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 50-53 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-2 (+2.7 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. COLORADO since 1997
RYU is 3-4 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.380.
His team's record is 3-4 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.7 units)

TYLER ANDERSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ANDERSON is 2-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.483.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (14 - 20) at ARIZONA (19 - 16) - 9:40 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 67-86 (-29.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 43-59 (-21.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLE is 11-17 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 93-67 (+21.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
GREINKE is 50-21 (+17.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 120-67 (+38.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 90-47 (+30.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 62-25 (+30.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 19-39 (-20.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 826-748 (-102.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 9-21 (-15.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 582-539 (-78.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 32-48 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GERRIT COLE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
COLE is 2-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.421.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.5 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GREINKE is 6-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.04 and a WHIP of 1.137.
His team's record is 7-3 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-2. (+5.9 units)

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CINCINNATI (18 - 15) at SAN FRANCISCO (12 - 23) - 10:15 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. TY BLACH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-23 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 415-379 (+54.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-23 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-36 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 65-71 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-14 (-13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-10 (-10.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
ARROYO is 8-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.230.
His team's record is 9-8 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.3 units)

TY BLACH vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BLACH is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 24.00 and a WHIP of 4.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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HOUSTON (23 - 11) at NY YANKEES (21 - 10) - 7:05 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. MICHAEL PINEDA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 4-16 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 105-88 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 44-26 (+16.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 60-36 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 40-19 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 14-3 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KEUCHEL is 9-2 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 140-124 (-65.9 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
KEUCHEL is 4-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.41 and a WHIP of 0.761.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

MICHAEL PINEDA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
PINEDA is 2-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.121.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

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SEATTLE (17 - 17) at TORONTO (13 - 21) - 7:05 PM
CHASE DE JONG (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 159-196 (-51.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 82-95 (-27.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 48-31 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 107-98 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 63-64 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHASE DE JONG vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

MARCO ESTRADA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
ESTRADA is 1-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

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KANSAS CITY (12 - 21) at TAMPA BAY (17 - 19) - 1:10 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 0-8 (-8.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 1-11 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 26-48 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 18-36 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 199-174 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VARGAS is 24-13 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 85-113 (-33.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-13 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-45 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+1.9 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
VARGAS is 4-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.238.
His team's record is 4-6 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-7. (-5.2 units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
ODORIZZI is 1-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.477.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

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MINNESOTA (16 - 14) at CHI WHITE SOX (15 - 16) - 8:10 PM
PHIL HUGHES (R) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 75-117 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-62 (-19.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOLLAND is 31-11 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOLLAND is 6-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 (+0.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.2 Units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HUGHES is 6-5 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 9-7 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-3.8 units)

DEREK HOLLAND vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
HOLLAND is 2-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.266.
His team's record is 4-5 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.5 units)

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DETROIT (16 - 16) at LA ANGELS (17 - 19) - 10:05 PM
MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. JC RAMIREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 319-403 (-88.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 208-159 (+41.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 102-91 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FULMER is 23-9 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FULMER is 13-6 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MICHAEL FULMER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
FULMER is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 0.789.
His team's record is 1-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

JC RAMIREZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

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BOSTON (17 - 16) at MILWAUKEE (18 - 16) - 1:10 PM
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. JIMMY NELSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 659-595 (-82.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 91-105 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-9 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 34-23 (+20.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-0 (+2.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

JIMMY NELSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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BALTIMORE (22 - 11) at WASHINGTON (22 - 12) - 7:05 PM
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. A.J. COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 22-11 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 14-3 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-7 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 14-5 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 59-51 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-29 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+1.4 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
BUNDY is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

A.J. COLE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
COLE is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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SAN DIEGO (13 - 22) at TEXAS (15 - 20) - 8:05 PM
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 12-34 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 110-90 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 52-31 (+22.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 62-38 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 37-20 (+14.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 40-28 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 81-61 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 63-46 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 63-74 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. TEXAS since 1997
RICHARD is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

[Udog]

MLB Daily Line Drive: Thursday's Picks, Betting Odds and Analysis

Double-Play Picks

Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals (-105, 8.5)

The home team has won the first three games of the home-and-home Beltway Series but that trend should end today with a road victory in Game 4.

The Orioles will send their best starting pitcher, Dylan Bundy, to the mound Thursday and the Nationals will counter with A.J. Cole.

The O's have won Bundy's last five starts and he remains one of MLB's top breakout pitchers in 2017 with a 6-1 Team Win/Loss record, 2.17 ERA, and 1.05 WHIP.

A.J. Cole, on the other hand, is considered a top prospect for the Nats but is struggling to put it all together. In his only other start this season, against the Philadelphia Phillies, Cole escaped with a 6-2 win after allowing four walks over six innings and hard contact throughout. His AAA numbers this season haven't been good either where he owns a 6.63 ERA over four starts and a somewhat alarming 4.7 BB/9 innings.

The Orioles aren't the Phillies and they will make Cole pay for his mistakes.

Pick: Orioles -115

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox (-115, 8.5)

Two solid starting pitchers go toe-to-toe on the South Side of Chicago tonight when Phil Hughes and the Twins take on Derek Holland and the White Sox.

Hughes comes into Thursday night with a 3.44 ERA over his last three starts (Team W/L 3-0) and Under is 5-1-1 in his last seven starts against the White Sox, including three of his last four at U.S. Cellular Field.

Holland has been even better for the Sox with a 1.89 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP over his last three starts (Team W/L 3-0).

This game has under-the-radar pitcher's duel written all over it and Under is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings between the two clubs.

Pick: Under 8.5

Yesterday's Picks 1-1
Season to date: 29-23-2


Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Michael Pineda, New York Yankees (3-1, 3.12 ERA, $394)

Even without gobs of pine tar on his neck, Michael Pineda seems to have put it together for the surprising Yankees. We all knew the Yanks were going to be fun to watch, but nobody expected them to pitch as well as they have to start the 2017 season.

The Yankees have won Pineda's last five starts and he owns a 2.32 ERA during that span. The key to his success has been reduced walks - his 2017 K:BB ratio is currently 43:5.

Pineda and the Yankees are -120 favorites at home against Dallas Keuchel and the Houston Astros.

Slumping: Ty Blach, San Francisco Giants (0-2, 5.66 ERA, $-330)

Is it Blach, or "blech!"? His name may be Ty Blach, but his performance as a starter this season has definitely been "blech!"

Blach has made three starts this season for the Giants and owns a Team Win/Loss record of 0-3 with an ERA as a starter of 6.00. His last start came against the Cincinnati Reds this past Saturday and he imploded for 10 runs allowed (8 earned) over three innings of work, with zero strikeouts and 11 hits allowed. Missing bats doesn't seem to be something he is capable of doing.

Blach starts at home tonight against the same Reds team that beat him up last week and the Giants are -120 favorites.

Thursday's Top Trends

* Under is 12-1 in Jason Vargas' last 13 starts overall. Total 7.5 @ Rays.
* Over is 12-2 in the Milwaukee Brewers' last 14 home games. Total 8.5 vs. Red Sox.
* Over is 10-1 in the Houston Astros' last 11 vs. American League East. Total 7.5 @ Yankees.
* The Pittsburgh Pirates are 14-3 in Gerrit Cole’s last 17 starts vs. National League West. +115 today @ Diamondbacks.
* The Detroit Tigers are 8-2 in Michael Fulmer’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record. +105 today @ Angels.
* Over is 13-3-1 in Bronson Arroyo’s last 17 starts overall. Total 8 @ Giants.

Weather to Keep an Eye On

Based on the current forecast, it looks like a great day for baseball in most of the country. The only red flag for rain is in Washington. The Baltimore Orioles are in town to play the Nationals and there is a 45 percent chance of rain for first pitch, increasing to over 60 percent as the evening progresses. The Nationals are -115 chalk to win with the total set at 8.5.

As for the wind, there will be a 13-15 mile per hour hitter's wind blowing out to center at At&T Park for the Cincinnati Reds and San Francisco Giants. The total is currently at 8.

Ump of the Day

Will Little: Little is behind the plate in Arlington tonight and that is fantastic news for Rangers fans. So far this season he has been printing money for home teams. When Little is wearing the pads in 2017, home teams are 4-0 and have already paid out $411. Additionally, the home team has won 10 of 12 in interleague games dating back to last season when Little has been calling balls and strikes. The Padres are in town tonight to play the Rangers in this interleague matchup and Texas is currently -135 home chalk.