Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 5/7

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, May 7

Good Luck on day #126 of 2016!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Odds to win the Big 14 football title this coming fall:
9-5 Ohio State
12-5: Michigan
13-5: Wisconsin, Penn State
15-1: Northwestern Nebraska
7-1: West Virginia
16-1: Michigan State
20-1: Iowa
40-1: Minnesota
60-1: Indiana
125-1: Illinois, Maryland, Purdue
200-1: Rutgers

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Random stuff for a soggy Sunday……

13) Busy day today; finally had enough with the keyboard on my MacBook Pro, took it back to the Apple Store and it is in the shop for a week or so—we’ll make do with our backup laptop until then.

It is nice to be able to type the letter “t” without wanting to throw something.

12) Should go buy Apple stock; when are their stores not crowded? They make a ton of money and their products aren’t even that durable.

11) One of the guys who owns Always Dreaming, the horse who won the Kentucky Derby, also owns the NHL’s Florida Panthers.

10) Adrian Gonzalez has played in 1,833 major league games over 14 years; this is the first time he has gone on the disabled list.

9) Michael Ynoa threw six scoreless innings of relief for the Orioles Friday, the first pitcher to throw 100+ pitches in relief and not allow a run since Randy Johnson in 2001- the Big Unit struck 17 batters that day.

8) Way of the world now: 67 players will attend the NBA Draft Combine; only 18 of them are college seniors.

7) Matt Albers got a save for Washington Friday in his 461st major league game, the 103rd one he has finished- that was the 2nd most games finished without ever saving a game. Now he has one.

6) Quick Albers story: April 2011, I’m in Las Vegas and Albers is on the Red Sox. He comes into a game in Kansas City in relief of Daniel Bard, who Bobby Valentine was trying to make into a starter—I had added Bard on my fantasy team.

This was one of Bard’s best starts for Boston (he didn’t have many); I’m supposed to be across the street at Battista’s meeting friends for dinner, but I wait to see if Albers can get out of this inning- I needed Bard to become a decent starter.

Nope. Billy Butler hit a ball off Albers that might still be going; by the time it landed over the fountains, I was already halfway across the street, headed to dinner. Totally unsure how Albers is still in the big leagues, but there he is and on a good team.

5) Texas Rangers TV analyst Tom Grieve was saying this weekend that the quality of the wood in bats has to be much worse now than when he played in the 70’s. Couple of bats in the Texas-Seattle game Friday splintered into pieces, making Grieve laugh.

4) 30 Cuban players played in the major leagues last year; so far in five weeks this year, 20 Cubans have already appeared in the big leagues.

3) Miami Marlins’ pitching staff is in shambles; they’re starting a reliever Sunday- their spot starter Saturday, Odrisamer Despaigne, allowed six runs in the first inning and Miami never even had a reliever warming up.

2) I’m curious as to how many people have played the President of the United States in a movie; has to be a pretty high number.

1) A 5-star recruit named Kevin Knox chose Kentucky Saturday over a bunch of schools, including Florida State, his father’s alma mater. You can make the argument that John Calipari is the best recruiter………ever.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, May 7


NY Yankees @ Chicago Cubs

Game 979-980
May 7, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Severino) 15.064
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 17.063
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-130
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-130); N/A

Texas @ Seattle

Game 977-978
May 7, 2017 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Cashner) 16.843
Seattle
(Overton) 14.156
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
N/A

Detroit @ Oakland

Game 975-976
May 7, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Norris) 16.181
Oakland
(Gray) 13.690
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-105); Over

Houston @ LA Angels

Game 973-974
May 7, 2017 @ 3:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Fiers) 15.926
LA Angels
(Shmaker) 14.541
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+100); Over

Cleveland @ Kansas City

Game 971-972
May 7, 2017 @ 2:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Clevinger) 13.781
Kansas City
(Duffy) 16.247
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-110); Under

Boston @ Minnesota

Game 969-970
May 7, 2017 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Sale) 14.006
Minnesota
(Santana) 15.028
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-175
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+155); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore

Game 967-968
May 7, 2017 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Quntana) 14.873
Baltimore
(Tillman) 16.451
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-120); Over

Toronto @ Tampa Bay

Game 965-966
May 7, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Biagini) 14.031
Tampa Bay
(Cobb) 15.532
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-135); Over

LA Dodgers @ San Diego

Game 963-964
May 7, 2017 @ 4:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(McCrthy) 14.861
San Diego
(Cahill) 15.702
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-140
7
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+120); Over

San Francisco @ Cincinnati

Game 961-962
May 7, 2017 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Cueto) 15.946
Cincinnati
(Feldman) 14.726
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-115); Over

Arizona @ Colorado

Game 959-960
May 7, 2017 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Walker) 15.094
Colorado
(Chtwood) 16.676
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-120
11 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-120); Under

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 957-958
May 7, 2017 @ 2:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Roark) 15.209
Philadelphia
(Hllckson) 16.860
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+110); Under

Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh

Game 955-956
May 7, 2017 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Davies) 13.574
Pittsburgh
(Glasnow) 15.226
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-130); Under

St. Louis @ Atlanta

Game 953-954
May 7, 2017 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Wacha) 15.748
Atlanta
(Dickey) 12.470
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-120); Over

Miami @ NY Mets

Game 951-952
May 7, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Urena) 15.954
NY Mets
(Harvey) 14.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-135
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+115); Over

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, May 7

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MIAMI (12 - 17) at NY METS (14 - 15) - 1:10 PM
JOSE URENA (R) vs. MATT HARVEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 67-85 (-26.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 38-22 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 50-48 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 24-31 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 37-35 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 47-43 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HARVEY is 8-15 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HARVEY is 4-12 (-14.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997. (Team's Record)
HARVEY is 4-12 (-13.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 (+1.3 Units) against NY METS this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.8 Units)

JOSE URENA vs. NY METS since 1997
URENA is 1-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.176.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

MATT HARVEY vs. MIAMI since 1997
HARVEY is 2-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.203.
His team's record is 3-7 (-8.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.9 units)

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ST LOUIS (15 - 14) at ATLANTA (11 - 17) - 1:35 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. R.A. DICKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 43-40 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 54-39 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 41-27 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-0 (+2.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
WACHA is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

R.A. DICKEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
DICKEY is 3-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.327.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

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MILWAUKEE (15 - 16) at PITTSBURGH (14 - 16) - 1:35 PM
ZACH DAVIES (R) vs. TYLER GLASNOW (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 95-169 (-53.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 19-26 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 67-84 (-27.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ZACH DAVIES vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
DAVIES is 0-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 13.07 and a WHIP of 2.807.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.5 units)

TYLER GLASNOW vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

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WASHINGTON (21 - 9) at PHILADELPHIA (12 - 17) - 2:35 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 169-106 (+43.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
HELLICKSON is 22-16 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HELLICKSON is 13-8 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 12-2 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 41-18 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 (+1.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

TANNER ROARK vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
ROARK is 4-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.069.
His team's record is 5-6 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.5 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HELLICKSON is 2-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.147.
His team's record is 3-5 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.5 units)

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ARIZONA (18 - 14) at COLORADO (19 - 12) - 3:10 PM
TAIJUAN WALKER (R) vs. TYLER CHATWOOD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 19-12 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 15-8 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 65-54 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
CHATWOOD is 0-7 (-9.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 11 to 11.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-2 (+1.6 Units) against ARIZONA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.1 Units)

TAIJUAN WALKER vs. COLORADO since 1997
WALKER is 0-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. ARIZONA since 1997
CHATWOOD is 3-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.538.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+2.8 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (11 - 20) at CINCINNATI (16 - 14) - 4:10 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. SCOTT FELDMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-20 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-35 (-18.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-22 (-13.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 44-20 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
CUETO is 28-11 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 33-14 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 17-39 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 391-419 (-97.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 389-358 (-86.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
FELDMAN is 80-109 (-36.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 4-12 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 20-36 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
CUETO is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
FELDMAN is 1-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.339.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

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LA DODGERS (17 - 14) at SAN DIEGO (12 - 20) - 4:40 PM
BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 113-91 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 48-54 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 22-28 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 65-70 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 6-10 (-9.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 23-27 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 27-22 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 7-23 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 35-70 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 5-1 (+2.9 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MCCARTHY is 8-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.086.
His team's record is 9-1 (+8.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.2 units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CAHILL is 6-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.371.
His team's record is 8-7 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-9. (-4.3 units)

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TORONTO (10 - 20) at TAMPA BAY (16 - 16) - 1:10 PM
JOE BIAGINI (R) vs. ALEX COBB (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 10-20 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 5-15 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 84-110 (-30.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-4 (+0.7 Units) against TORONTO this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

JOE BIAGINI vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

ALEX COBB vs. TORONTO since 1997
COBB is 3-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.114.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (15 - 14) at BALTIMORE (19 - 10) - 1:35 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
QUINTANA is 6-21 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 19-10 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 12-3 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 60-34 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 28-11 (+15.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 61-46 (+14.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 56-50 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TILLMAN is 22-9 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 13-4 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 59-35 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 21-9 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 9-0 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 61-43 (+21.5 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 10-3 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 110-152 (-67.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.2 Units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
QUINTANA is 1-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.174.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-0. (+5.0 units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
TILLMAN is 3-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.440.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.5 units)

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BOSTON (16 - 14) at MINNESOTA (15 - 13) - 2:10 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SALE is 10-17 (-13.9 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
SALE is 19-4 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 74-116 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 38-60 (-23.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-28 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 51-74 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 40-75 (-27.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

CHRIS SALE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SALE is 8-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 9-7 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-5. (+5.0 units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. BOSTON since 1997
SANTANA is 4-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.11 and a WHIP of 1.274.
His team's record is 9-6 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-10. (-6.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (16 - 13) at KANSAS CITY (10 - 19) - 2:15 PM
MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 197-172 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 60-42 (+16.7 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 113-73 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 26-13 (+13.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 79-45 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 59-38 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 66-33 (+22.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 3-11 (-9.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
KANSAS CITY is 1-10 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

MIKE CLEVINGER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
CLEVINGER is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
DUFFY is 2-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.602.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+3.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (20 - 11) at LA ANGELS (16 - 16) - 3:35 PM
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. MATT SHOEMAKER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 208-158 (+42.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-2 (+1.4 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)

MICHAEL FIERS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
FIERS is 1-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.272.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

MATT SHOEMAKER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SHOEMAKER is 2-4 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.071.
His team's record is 2-6 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (15 - 14) at OAKLAND (13 - 17) - 4:05 PM
DANIEL NORRIS (L) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 318-401 (-87.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 101-89 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 22-12 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
NORRIS is 12-5 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 150-204 (-47.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 76-101 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 24-39 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 31-44 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 35-63 (-29.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

DANIEL NORRIS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

SONNY GRAY vs. DETROIT since 1997
GRAY is 1-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.172.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (13 - 18) at SEATTLE (14 - 17) - 4:10 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. DILLON OVERTON (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

ANDREW CASHNER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
CASHNER is 0-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.257.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.5 units)

DILLON OVERTON vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (19 - 9) at CHICAGO CUBS (16 - 14) - 8:05 PM
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEVERINO is 4-12 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 14-0 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 103-87 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 12-2 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1615-1700 (-259.2 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 348-290 (-77.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 863-795 (-155.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1188-1262 (-197.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-0 (+2.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

JON LESTER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
LESTER is 13-6 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.420.
His team's record is 16-13 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-15. (-3.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, May 7

National League
Nationals @ Phillies
Roark is 1-1, 4.01 in his last four starts (over 4-1-1).

Hellickson is 4-1, 3.18 in six starts this year (under 5-1).

Washington won five of its last six games; five of their last seven road games went over. Phillies lost their last five games. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.

Brewers @ Pirates
Davies is 2-0, 3.60 in his last three starts (over 6-0).

Glasnow is 1-1, 8.71 in five starts this year (over 4-0-1).

Milwaukee lost three of its last four games; under is 4-2 in their last six games. Pirates won their last three home games- their last three games overall stayed under.

Cardinals @ Braves
Wacha is 2-1, 3.52 in five starts this year (over 3-2).

Dickey is 3-1, 4.13 in his last four starts (over 3-2).

Cardinals won their last five road games; over is 11-2-1 in their last 14 games. Braves lost seven of last eight home games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten home games.

Marlins @ Mets
Urena is starting in what will be a bullpen game for a depleted Miami staff; this is his first ’17 start- he was 4-9, 6.13 in 28 MLB games LY (12 starts). This year, he’s thrown 15.1 innings in six relief stints (0-0, 2.35).

Harvey is 0-2, 6.75 in his last four starts (over 4-1-1).

Miami lost nine of last eleven games; over is 8-2 in their last ten road games. New York won six of last eight games overall but lost six of last eight at home- their last 11 games went over.

Giants @ Reds
Former Red Cueto is 1-1, 6.00 in his last three starts (over 5-0-1).

Feldman is 0-2, 6.00 in his last four starts (over 3-1 in his last four).

San Francisco lost seven of last nine on road; over is 12-5 in their road games. Reds won six of their last seven games; over is 12-2 in their last 14 games.

Diamondbacks @ Rockies
Walker is 2-0, 3.86 in his last four starts (over 3-3).

Chatwood is 1-2, 7.71 in his last three starts (last three went over).

Arizona lost five of its last seven road games; under is 8-2 in their last ten road games. Colorado lost four of its last five home games. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games at Coors.

Dodgers @ Padres
McCarthy is 3-0, 3.10 in his five starts this year (under 3-2).

Cahill is 2-0, 3.38 in his last three starts (over 4-1).

Dodgers won seven of last nine games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven road games. San Diego lost six of last seven at home; Over is 11-4 in their last 15 games.

——————————–

American League
White Sox @ Orioles
Quintana is 2-0, 1.29 in his last two starts- his last five starts stayed under.

Tillman is making his first ’17 start; he’s been hurt. Tillman was 16-6, 3.77 in 30 starts LY, is 72-48, 4.13 in 179 career MLB starts.

Chicago lost five of its last seven games; four of their last six games stayed under. Orioles are 10-3 at home; under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Blue Jays @ Rays
Biagini is making his first MLB start; he is 0-1, 3.38 in 14 games (18.2 IP) for Toronto this year—this is a bullpen game for the Blue Jays.

Cobb is 1-2, 4.91 in his last five starts (over 4-2).

Blue Jays lost five of last seven on road; seven of their last eight away games went over. Rays lost three of last five home games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games- over is 7-2 in their last nine home tilts.

Red Sox @ Twins
Sale is 2-2, 1.58 in his six starts this year (under 5-1).

Santana is 5-0, 0.66 in six starts this year (under 2-1-3).

Red Sox are 6-8 in last 14 games; six of their last seven road games stayed under the total. Minnesota won seven of its last ten games. Over is 9-2-2 in their last 13 games.

Indians @ Royals
Clevinger is making his first ’17 start; he was 3-3, 5.26 in 17 games (10 starts) for the Indians LY. He is 3-1, 1.50 in six AAA starts this year.

Duffy is 0-2, 11.17 in his last two starts (under 3-1 in his last four).

Indians lost four of last six road games; last eight Indian road games stayed under. Royals are 3-12 in last 15 games; under is 12-4 in their home games.

Tigers @ A’s
Norris is 1-2, 6.14 in his last three starts (over 3-1-1).

Gray allowed four runs in six IP (88 PT) in his first ’17 start, a loss in Minnesota.

Detroit won four of its last six games; over is 10-2-1 in their road games. Oakland lost nine of last 12 games; over is 7-1 in their last eight games.

Astros @ Angels
Fiers is 0-1, 6.04 in five starts this year (over 3-2).

Shoemaker is 1-1, 3.57 in his last four starts (over 4-2).

Astros won five of last seven games; over is 9-3 in their last 12 road games. Angels won five of their last six at home; under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Rangers @ Mariners
Cashner is 0-3, 3.80 in four starts this year (under 3-0-1). Texas scored 10 runs in the four games.

Overton is starting what should be a bullpen game for Seattle; he is 1-3, 10.23 in 11 MLB games (five starts). He’s pitched 7.1 innings in four big league relief stints this season.

Rangers lost six of last eight on road; over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Mariners are 8-3 in last 11 home games; five of last six Mariner games went over total.

__________________________

Interleague
Bronx @ Cubs
Severino is 1-2, 3.92 in his last three starts (under 3-2).

Lester is 1-1, 7.16 in his last three starts, all of which went over.

Bronx won eight of last ten games; they’re 7-6 on road. Seven of last eight New York games went over. Cubs are 4-6 in their last ten games; over is 15-3 in last 18 Chicago games.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Wsh-Phil: Roark 4-2; Hellickson 5-1
Mil-Pitt: Davies 3-3; Glasnow 4-1
StL-Atl: Wacha 2-3; Dickey 3-2
Mia-NY: Urena 0-0; Harvey 2-4
SF-Cin: Cueto 5-1; Feldman 1-5
Az-Colo: Walker 5-1; Chatwood 2-4
LA-SD: McCarthy 4-1; Cahill 3-2

American League
Chi-Balt: Quintana 2-4; Tillman 0-0
Tor-TB: Biagini 0-0; Cobb 2-4
Bos-Minn: Sale 4-2; Santana 5-1
Clev-KC: Clevinger 0-0 Duffy 2-4
Det-A’s: Norris 2-3; Gray 0-1
Hst-LAA: Fiers 3-2; Shoemaker 4-2
Tex-Sea: Cashner 1-3; Overton 0-0

Interleague
NYY-Cubs: Severino 2-3; Lester 3-3

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Wsh-Phil: Roark 3-6; Hellickson 1-6
Mil-Pitt: Davies 1-6; Glasnow 3-5
StL-Atl: Wacha 1-5; Dickey 1-5
Mia-NY: Urena 0-0; Harvey 3-6
SF-Cin: Cueto 1-6; Feldman 1-5
Az-Colo: Walker 3-6; Chatwood 0-6
LA-SD: McCarthy 1-5; Cahill 2-5

American League
Chi-Balt: Quintana 1-6; Tillman 0-0
Tor-TB: Biagini 0-0; Cobb 1-6
Bos-Minn: Sale 0-6; Santana 0-6
Clev-KC: Clevinger 0-0 Duffy 1-6
Det-A’s: Norris 1-5; Gray 0-1
Hst-LAA: Fiers 3-5; Shoemaker 5-6
Tex-Sea: Cashner 2-4; Overton 0-0

Interleague
NYY-Cubs: Severino 1-5; Lester 2-6

_________________________

Umpires
National League
StL-Atl: Under is 3-1 in Hamari games this year.
Mil-Pitt: Under is 6-2 in last eight LBarrett games.
Wsh-Phil: Home side won all six Holbrook games this year.
Mia-NY: Four of last five Everitt games went over.
SF-Cin: Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Guccione games.
Az-Col: Favorites won six of seven Wegner games this year.
LA-SD: Over is 7-4-1 in last dozen Estabrook games.

American League
Tor-TB: Three of four Vanover games went over total.
Bos-Min: Underdogs are 5-4 in last nine Iassogna games.
Cle-KC: Last three Drake games went over the total.
Chi-Balt: Under is 6-4-1 in last 11 Emmel games.
Det-A’s: Over is 3-1-1 in last five Johnson games.
Hst-LA: Three of last four Carlson games went over.
Tex-Sea: Favorites won six of last eight May games.

Interleague
NY-Chi: Road team won five of seven West games this year



Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 5/6/17

Ariz 5-7-3………..9-4-4…….14-11-7
Atl 5-8-3………..5-6-1…….10-14-4
Cubs 7-8………….6-7-2…….13-15-2
Reds 5-6-1……….8-7-2……..13-13-3
Colo 10-5-1………7-6-2……17-11-3
LA 7-7-2………..8-5-2…….15-12-4
Miami 5-11-3……….6-3-2……11-14-5
Milw 8-2-4……….7-8-2……..15-10-6
Mets 6-6…………5-11-2…….11-17-2
Philly 7-5-3………..7-6-1…….14-11-4
Pitt 5-9-2………..7-6-1……12-15-3
St. Louis 5-6-1……….9-4-4…….14-10-5
SD 3-12-3………6-6-2……..9-18-5
SF 5-10-3………..5-6-2……10-16-5
Wash 11-4………….7-7-1……17-11-1

Orioles 8-6-2……….8-5……….16-11-2
Boston 4-7-1………8-8-2………12-15-3
White Sox 6-8-4………6-4-1………12-12-5
Cleveland 6-10-1……4-7-1………10-17-2
Detroit 7-5-1………9-5-2………16-10-3
Astros 2-6-5………9-8-1……..11-14-6
KC 2-9-2………9-5-2………11-14-4
Angels 4-9-4……….8-4-3……..12-14-6
Twins 5-4-2………8-6-3………13-10-5
NYY 6-7…………..10-5……….16-12
A’s 4-9-2……….5-6-4………9-15-6
Seattle 5-9-3………..8-2-4……13-11-7
TB 7-5-3……….13-2-2…….20-7-5
Texas 8-3-4……….8-5-3………16-8-7
Toronto 4-13-1……..3-6-3………7-18-4

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total-5/6/17)

Ariz 4-15……..7-17……….11
Atl 3-16……..4-13…………7
Cubs 4-15……..6-15………..10
Reds 2-11……..8-18………..10
Colo 5-15……..6-15……….11
LA 5-15……..5-16..……..10
Miami 5-18……..5-12……….10
Milw 5-13……..7-17………..12
Mets 7-14……..7-16………..14
Philly 8-16……..3-13…………12
Pitt 4-16……..5-14…………9
StL 5-12……7-19…………12
SD 6-17…….6-13………..12
SF 3-17……..3-14………..6
Wash 6-15……..6-15……….12

Orioles 1-16……..3-12………..4
Boston 1-12……..4-17………..5
White Sox 4-17…….5-11………..9
Clev 5-17……..6-11………..11
Detroit 2-12……..8-16………..10
Astros 3-13……..9-18………..12
KC 2-13……..3-14………..5
Angels 3-16…….4-15………..7
Twins 1-11……..5-16……….6
NYY 2-12……..8-15……….10
A’s 2-15……..3-15……….5
Seattle 7-17……..6-13………13
TB 2-13……..7-18………..9
Texas 6-14……..4-16………10
Toronto 5-18…….3-11…………8

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 10-6 AL, favorites -$162
AL @ NL– 8-8, favorites -$494
Total: 18-14 AL, favorites -$656
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL– Over 4-12
AL @ NL– Over 9-7
Total– Over 13-19

[Udog]

MLB

Sunday, May 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:10 PM
TORONTO vs. TAMPA BAY
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games at home

1:10 PM
MIAMI vs. NY METS
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
NY Mets are 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games at home

1:35 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox

1:35 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

1:35 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. ATLANTA
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

2:10 PM
BOSTON vs. MINNESOTA
Boston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Boston

2:15 PM
CLEVELAND vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

2:35 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington

3:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 10 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Colorado's last 16 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games

3:37 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA ANGELS
Houston is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Houston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
LA Angels are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Houston

4:05 PM
DETROIT vs. OAKLAND
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

4:10 PM
TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
Texas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

4:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. CINCINNATI
San Francisco is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Cincinnati's last 14 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco

4:40 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN DIEGO
LA Dodgers are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

8:08 PM
NY YANKEES vs. CHI CUBS
NY Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet

Sunday, May 7

MLB Daily Line Drive: Sunday's picks, betting odds and analysis

Double-Play Picks

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates (-123, 8)

Two main factors will go into the pick for today's game between the Brewers and Pirates - two very hittable starting pitchers and a very favorable hitter's wind.

Zach Davies gets the start for the Brewers and he's been an Over machine, cashing above the closing total in 10 of his last 11 starts dating back to late in the 2016 season. He also brings a chubby 6.07 ERA into today's contest to go along with an opponent's on base percentage of .394.

The Pirates will counter with righty Tyler Glasnow. The Pirates have won his last four starts but Glasnow has been unable to go more than five innings is any of those outings, and Over has hit in each of the four. As if he is attempting to one-up Davies for poor 2017 numbers, Glasnow owns a 6.97 ERA and an opponent's on base percentage of .418.

Plenty of men on base means plenty of runs scored.

The hitters at PNC Park today will be aided by a 15-17 mile per hour wind blowing straight out toward the Roberto Clemente Bridge in center field.

Pick: Over 8

New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs (-130, 7.5)

The Yankees and Cubs will wrap up their three-game weekend series with an appearance on ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball.

Both of these teams love to score runs and the Over has been cashing at a very impressive pace for both clubs. The Yankees own an Over/Under record of 18-10 this season (7-1 in their last eight overall) and the Cubs counter with an even higher percentage at 19-10 (8-1 in their last nine home games).

The wind will not be a factor tonight as the Yanks and Cubbies finally get some relief from the strong Wrigley Field winds. Both teams possess a ton of power and will be looking to unleash on a national spotlight game.

In addition to all of this, Joe West will be calling balls and strikes and the Over is 13-3-1 in his last 17 interleague games behind the plate.

Pick: Over 7.5

Yesterday: 2-0
Season: 25-20-1


Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Ervin Santana, Minnesota Twins (5-0, 0.66 ERA, $418)

Ervin Santana has been (arguably) the best pitcher in baseball through the first month of the 2017 season and the "arguably" in this equation comes, in part, from his mound opponent on Sunday in Chris Sale.

Santana's numbers do all of the talking with a microscopic 0.66 ERA and an unblemished 5-0 win/loss record. Ervin will be a fairly substantial underdog today at home against the Red Sox at +150.

Slumping: Tyler Chatwood, Colorado Rockies (2-4, 5.40 ERA, $-282)

Tyler Chatwood was great last season for the Rockies, and they were certainly looking forward to having him as an anchor in their rotation with a much improved team in 2017. Well, that hasn't happened to this point.

In six starts this season Chatwood has only claimed one solid outing (a complete game two-hit shutout against the Giants on April 15). If you take that one outing off his game log his season ERA jumps all of the way up to 7.16.

Chatwood and his Rockies teammates are currently listed as -120 favorites at Coors Field against Taijuan Walker and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Sunday's Top Trends

* The Baltimore Orioles are 13-3 in their last 16 home games. -120 vs White Sox today.
* Under is 14-3-1 in the Cleveland Indians' last 18 overall. Total set at 8.5 @ Royals today.
* The Washington Nationals are 17-4 in the last 21 meetings in Philadelphia. -135 @ Phillies today.
* The Chicago Cubs are 11-0 in Jon Lester's last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. -130 tonight vs. Yankees.

Weather to Keep an Eye On

There is an 80-90 percent chance of rain all day today in San Diego where the Padres will entertain the Los Angeles Dodgers. Wait...rain in San Diego? Yes...rain in San Diego. This one could get washed out.

Four games on this afternoon's schedule will feature hitter's winds:

Marlins at Mets (12-15 MPH OUT to right-center)
Cardinals at Braves (10-12 MPH OUT to left-center)
Brewers at Pirates (15-17 MPH OUT to center)
Giants at Reds (13-15 MPH OUT to center)

Ump of the Day

Rob Drake: Mr. Drake does not like to call strikes. What does this mean for us? Overs, of course. More walks means more runners on base which means more runs scored. Also, forcing pitchers to throw the ball right down the middle is great news for hitters.

Over is 7-0-1 in Drake's last eight games behind the plate. Drake's games in 2017 have an average runs scored of 11.75 and are 3-0 to the Over. The last game umped by Rob Drake that played Under was August 16, 2016 (a 1-0 win by the Nationals over Madison Bumgarner and the Giants).

Drake will be wearing the pads today in Kansas City were the Royals will entertain the Cleveland Indians. The total is set at 8.5.