The Bum's MLB Best Bets - Trends - News Thru the World Series !

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, September 27

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MIAMI (74 - 83) at COLORADO (85 - 73) - 3:10 PM
ADAM CONLEY (L) vs. JON GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 52-104 (-40.1 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
COLORADO is 85-73 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 34-22 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
COLORADO is 26-19 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 62-63 (+0.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 75-60 (-43.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997.
COLORADO is 76-78 (-20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 40-45 (-18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 (+3.6 Units) against COLORADO this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

ADAM CONLEY vs. COLORADO since 1997
CONLEY is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.90 and a WHIP of 1.593.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

JON GRAY vs. MIAMI since 1997
GRAY is 0-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 7.63 and a WHIP of 1.890.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (62 - 96) at ARIZONA (91 - 67) - 3:40 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. BRADEN SHIPLEY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 11-7 (+3.9 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.4 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 3-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.341.
His team's record is 4-7 (-3.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-7. (-3.8 units)

BRADEN SHIPLEY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

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WASHINGTON (95 - 62) at PHILADELPHIA (63 - 95) - 7:05 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. MARK LEITER JR. (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 25-33 (-18.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-36 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 437-436 (+50.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 50-30 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 83-73 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in road games in September games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 68-34 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 39-24 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 36-20 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-95 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-65 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-74 (-27.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 11-7 (+1.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.4 Units)

TANNER ROARK vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
ROARK is 5-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.119.
His team's record is 7-7 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.3 units)

MARK LEITER JR. vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LEITER JR. is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

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ATLANTA (71 - 86) at NY METS (68 - 90) - 7:10 PM
SEAN NEWCOMB (L) vs. ROBERT GSELLMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 139-179 (+3.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 42-36 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 71-85 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 28-23 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 34-36 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 50-55 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 56-62 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 40-49 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 68-90 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 36-44 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 129-146 (-58.3 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 15-21 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
NY METS are 28-36 (-14.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY METS are 40-44 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 11-7 (+2.6 Units) against ATLANTA this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

SEAN NEWCOMB vs. NY METS since 1997
NEWCOMB is 1-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.54 and a WHIP of 1.115.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

ROBERT GSELLMAN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GSELLMAN is 3-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

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CINCINNATI (66 - 91) at MILWAUKEE (83 - 74) - 8:10 PM
HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. BRANDON WOODRUFF (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 66-90 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 7-23 (-14.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 83-74 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 52-39 (+13.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-20 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-34 (+6.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 53-47 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 66-57 (+15.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 43-38 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CINCINNATI is 35-36 (+7.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 58-64 (+3.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 10-7 (+1.7 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
12 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.7 Units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BAILEY is 6-9 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.87 and a WHIP of 1.383.
His team's record is 12-13 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-12. (-0.1 units)

BRANDON WOODRUFF vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHICAGO CUBS (88 - 69) at ST LOUIS (82 - 75) - 8:15 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. MICHAEL WACHA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 12-5 (+6.6 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LACKEY is 3-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.064.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.7 units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WACHA is 4-7 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.25 and a WHIP of 1.533.
His team's record is 5-9 (-5.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-11. (-10.1 units)

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SAN DIEGO (70 - 88) at LA DODGERS (101 - 57) - 10:10 PM
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. RICH HILL (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 12-6 (-1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
12 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.7 Units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RICHARD is 7-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.504.
His team's record is 14-8 (+11.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-10. (+1.3 units)

RICH HILL vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HILL is 3-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.148.
His team's record is 3-4 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+3.9 units)

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HOUSTON (97 - 60) at TEXAS (76 - 81) - 2:05 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. NICK MARTINEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 24-23 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
VERLANDER is 4-10 (-7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 171-151 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 79-68 (+16.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 127-114 (+14.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 116-109 (+19.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 32-30 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 17-13 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 97-60 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 49-27 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 49-26 (+9.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 77-37 (+22.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 30-17 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 11-7 (+0.6 Units) against TEXAS this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.5 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. TEXAS since 1997
VERLANDER is 11-7 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.156.
His team's record is 12-9 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-10. (-1.3 units)

NICK MARTINEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MARTINEZ is 3-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.226.
His team's record is 4-3 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.3 units)

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SEATTLE (77 - 81) at OAKLAND (72 - 85) - 3:35 PM
ERASMO RAMIREZ (R) vs. KENDALL GRAVEMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 45-35 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 33-27 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SEATTLE is 23-12 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 88-77 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 42-34 (+7.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SEATTLE is 41-24 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-3 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
OAKLAND is 209-272 (-48.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 36-41 (-21.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 58-89 (-19.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 69-109 (-31.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 90-118 (-29.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 12-6 (+4.6 Units) against OAKLAND this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.2 Units)

ERASMO RAMIREZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
RAMIREZ is 0-6 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.33 and a WHIP of 1.511.
His team's record is 2-7 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-2.0 units)

KENDALL GRAVEMAN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GRAVEMAN is 1-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.99 and a WHIP of 1.639.
His team's record is 1-6 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)

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TAMPA BAY (76 - 81) at NY YANKEES (88 - 69) - 7:05 PM
MATT ANDRIESE (R) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 144-174 (-38.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 91-116 (-30.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 21-6 (+13.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 20-6 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 48-24 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 63-33 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 11-6 (+3.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.3 Units)

MATT ANDRIESE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ANDRIESE is 2-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.29 and a WHIP of 1.562.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SEVERINO is 3-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.446.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.6 units)

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MINNESOTA (83 - 74) at CLEVELAND (98 - 59) - 7:10 PM
ADALBERTO MEJIA (L) vs. DANNY SALAZAR (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-10 (+1.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.6 Units)

ADALBERTO MEJIA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MEJIA is 1-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.86 and a WHIP of 1.551.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

DANNY SALAZAR vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SALAZAR is 5-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.10 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 8-4 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.3 units)

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TORONTO (75 - 83) at BOSTON (91 - 66) - 7:10 PM
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 75-83 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 34-42 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 45-56 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 30-45 (-19.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 51-26 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 73-47 (+14.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ESTRADA is 53-39 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 687-617 (-82.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 37-36 (-16.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 370-293 (-48.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 17-20 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
PORCELLO is 6-11 (-9.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 7-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 4-12 (-11.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 5-9 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 12-6 (+4.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. BOSTON since 1997
ESTRADA is 3-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 4-7 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-3. (+4.9 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. TORONTO since 1997
PORCELLO is 8-8 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.84 and a WHIP of 1.249.
His team's record is 9-10 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-8. (+1.1 units)

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LA ANGELS (78 - 79) at CHI WHITE SOX (64 - 93) - 8:10 PM
GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-1 (+1.9 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
RICHARDS is 2-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 0.938.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

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DETROIT (62 - 95) at KANSAS CITY (77 - 80) - 8:15 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 62-95 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 4-21 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
DETROIT is 36-66 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 42-73 (-29.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 27-46 (-21.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 12-24 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
KANSAS CITY is 77-80 (+2.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 87-70 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 80-70 (+12.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 59-59 (+3.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 84-75 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 26-26 (-23.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997.
HAMMEL is 6-16 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
HAMMEL is 9-15 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 10-7 (+3.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.7 Units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 3-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.26 and a WHIP of 0.977.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. DETROIT since 1997
HAMMEL is 3-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.42 and a WHIP of 1.804.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+2.9 units)

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BALTIMORE (75 - 83) at PITTSBURGH (72 - 85) - 7:05 PM
GABRIEL YNOA (R) vs. CHAD KUHL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 60-86 (-26.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 28-48 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 62-97 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 48-60 (-13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 15-31 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 163-157 (+4.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 72-85 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 45-63 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 114-135 (-32.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 35-40 (-8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

GABRIEL YNOA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

CHAD KUHL vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
KUHL is 0-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

[StarDust Bum]

MLB Daily Line Drive: Wednesday's picks, betting odds and analysis

Double-Play Picks

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies (+145, 9)

The Nats and Phillies go to battle at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia for the final game of their three-game series Wednesday evening. The first two games (one win for each team) were tight, low scoring, pitchers duels - and we expect nothing different tonight.

Neither offense is really clicking right now with the Nationals averaging only 2.75 runs per game over their last four contests and the Phillies are averaging only 2.2 over their last five. All of those games (Nats' last four and Phils' last five) have cashed for Under bettors.

"Mr. Consistency" Tanner Roark gets the start for Washington tonight. While Roark doesn't blow you away with eye-popping stats or radar gun results, he has certainly been a dependable hurler who hasn't allowed more than three runs in a start in two months (nine straight starts allowing three runs or less). His ERA during this solid nine-game run is 3.32 and he is actually carrying a current Under trend of 10-1 in his last 11 starts.

On the mound for the Phillies will be rookie right-hander Mark Leiter. While Leiter's overall numbers aren't very impressive, like many young starting pitchers, his splits at home are overwhelmingly better than those on the road. At home in his career (five starts and six relief appearances) he owns an ERA of 2.36, a WHIP of only 1.03, and an opponent's on base percentage of .277. Leiter is also in the midst of an Under trend at 4-0-1 in his five career starts at Citizens Bank Park.

There is a slight breeze blowing in from right field (7-9 miles per hour), both teams are riding Under streaks, and both starters are riding Under streaks.

Pick: Under 9

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals (-175, 9)

It’s a matchup of American League Central teams who just a few seasons ago were battling for the division title, but this year it’s just pride on the line as the Tigers and Royals continue their three-game set Wednesday night in Kansas City.

The Royals took the opener 2-1, but there is a very good chance the bats wake up for Game 2, as the Tigers send Jordan Zimmermann to toe the rubber against the Royals' Jason Hammel.

Zimmermann’s first year with the Tigers has not gone as planned. The veteran right-hander is 8-13 with a 6.19 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP, both career worsts by a wide margin. Zimmermann’s last six starts have been particularly rough, where he has gone 1-4 with a whopping 10.41 ERA and a 2.13 WHIP.

The Tigers still owe Zimmermann around $88 million through 2020, yeesh.

Hammel meanwhile, has also not enjoyed his first season with his new team (luckily for KC at a much cheaper rate), struggling to an identical 8-13 record with a 5.32 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. Hammel has been roughed up in his last three starts, going 0-3 while pitching to a 12.79 ERA and a 2.53 WHIP.

Despite the offensive numbers for both teams not being the greatest, they can take advantage of bad pitching and this is a whopper of bad pitching matchup.

Plus, the O/U is 11-6 this season in this matchup with an average of 10.8 total runs scored per game. Tonight’s total is too tempting.

Pick: Over 9

Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
Season To Date: 157-143-15

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Justin Verlander, Houston Astros (14-8, 3.38 ERA, $400)

Maybe a change of scenery is all Justin Verlander needed, because pitching in a pennant race sure looks good on him. The Astros newest starter has been nothing short of fantastic since coming over from the Tigers.

Verlander is 4-0 with an unfathomable 0.64 ERA and a crazy good 0.57 WHIP, while striking out 32 and walking just five since and has the best strikeout per nine innings of his career since switching jerseys at the end of August.

Verlander has actually won six of his last seven starts with a 1.10 ERA and a 0.63 WHIP with 58 strikeouts and nine walks. Oh, and he has allowed just five hits in his last 22 innings pitched.

Verlander and the Astros are currently hefty -195 road favorites for their matchup with the Rangers.

Slumping: Adam Conley, Miami Marlins (7-7, 5.74, $-15)

Unfortunately for Marlins fans, the only positive thing to talk about for this team has been Giancarlo Stanton's home run chase (of not a record 61 home runs?) as Miami failed to take a step forward this season. The same can be said for Adam Conley.

The southpaw has had a disappointing season after pitching to a 3.80 ERA in his first season and a half in the Bigs. Conley is 7-7 with a 5.74 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in 2017 and his last three starts have not gone well. He is 1-0, but owns a big 10.50 ERA and a 2.17 WHIP in those starts.

Conley and the Marlins are big +175 road dogs for this afternoon's contest in Colorado.

Wednesday's Top Trends

* The Tampa Bay Rays are 7-22 in their last 29 games at Yankee Stadium. +235 today @ Yankees.
* The Baltimore Orioles are 0-7 in their last seven interleague games. +115 today @ Pirates.
* The Cincinnati Reds are 5-13 in Homer Bailey's last 18 starts vs. National League Central. +150 today at Brewers.
* Over is 14-3 in Jordan Zimmermann's last 17 starts vs. American League Central. Tigers/Royals Total: 9.

Weather To Keep An Eye On

There is a 50 percent chance of rain this afternoon in Denver where Stanton and the Marlins are scheduled to take on the Rockies at Coors Field. The Rockies are big -185 favorites today.

There will be a 9-11 mile per hour pitcher's wind blowing in from left field at Busch Stadium where the Cubs will be hoping to celebrate a National League Central division title on rival soil. The total for tonight is currently set at 9.

There will also be a pitcher's wind blowing in from left field in Cleveland (12 miles per hour) where the Indians will host the Twins. The total for that one is currently at 9.5.

Ump Of The Day

Mike Estabrook will be behind the plate tonight in The Bronx where the Yankees will entertain the Rays. Estabrook is the No. 5 Under umpire in Major League Baseball this season at 17-8 and over his last two seasons the Under is 32-18 (64 percent).

The total for tonight is currently set at 8.5

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Wednesday's Diamond Notes
September 27, 2017

Hottest team: Twins (5-0 last five) vs. Indians

Minnesota is on the doorstep of completing an incredible turnaround following a 59-103 campaign in 2016. The Twins’ magic number sits at one for clinching the final Wild Card spot in the American League after defeating the Indians on Tuesday, 8-6 as +165 road underdogs. Bartolo Colon exited the game following one inning of work, but Brian Dozier saved the Twins by drilling a three-run homer in the seventh inning to take a 7-6 advantage.

The Twins’ offense continues to hit the ball around the field as they have scored at least seven runs in each victory during this five-game winning streak. Adalberto Mejia takes the mound for Minnesota as the southpaw tossed 4.2 innings in his previous outing at Detroit, a 12-1 rout of the Tigers. The Twins have won four of Mejia’s six road outings this season, including a 5-0 victory at Progressive Field in late June.

Coldest team: Reds (0-7 last seven) vs. Brewers

Milwaukee is holding onto to dear life after edging Cincinnati on Tuesday, 7-6 to remain 1 ½ games behind Colorado for the second Wild Card spot in the National League. The Reds will look to play spoilers, but have dropped each of their past three meetings at Miller Park, while allowing at least five runs in each of their last seven losses. Cincinnati’s struggles on the road continue as the Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 games away from Great American Ballpark.

Homer Bailey tries to stop the bleeding for the Reds as Cincinnati owns a 2-5 record in his past seven outings. Bailey has pitched well recently against the Brewers as Cincinnati won his previous two outings in the underdog role by one run apiece, including an 11-10 triumph at Miller Park as a +160 underdog.

Hottest pitcher: Luis Severino, Yankees (13-6, 3.03 ERA)

New York may have found its ace for the future this season by winning 19 of Severino’s 30 starts. Severino lasted only three innings in his last start against the Twins, but the right-hander had tossed six consecutive quality outings prior to that short stint. Tonight will be the 10th time this season that Severino is listed as a favorite of -200 or higher as the Yankees have dominated in this role by going 8-1. Severino allowed three earned runs in two starts against the Rays this season, as New York is 1-1 in those outings.

Coldest pitcher: Jason Hammel, Royals (8-13, 5.32 ERA)

Kansas City faltered down the stretch, but the Royals picked up their eighth win over the Tigers in the last nine meetings on Tuesday, 2-1. Hammel has been knocked around in his last three starts by giving up 29 hits and 18 earned runs as the Royals are 0-3 in this stretch. The right-hander last won on September 6, which came at Detroit, 13-2 as -130 favorites, scattering nine hits and two earned runs in six innings. The Royals have won three of Hammel’s four starts against the Tigers this season, but the lone loss came at home in May.

Biggest OVER run: Orioles (10-2 last 12)

Amazingly, Baltimore is on this OVER run as its offense has been grounded recently. In the last 10 games, the O’s have produced three runs or fewer six times, while coming off Tuesday’s 10-1 drubbing at Pittsburgh. So it’s a pitching problem for Baltimore, as the Orioles have allowed at least eight runs six time in the past 10 contests, while compiling a dreadful 4-15 record the last 19 games overall. Gabriel Ynoa heads to the hill for the O’s in the series finale at PNC Park, as the right-hander is coming off his best career start by allowing one earned run in eight innings of a 3-1 victory over the Rays last Thursday.

Biggest UNDER run: Phillies (5-0 last five)

Philadelphia’s offense stepped up against Los Angeles last week by scoring a combined 13 runs in two of the victories. Recently, the Phillies have plated only 11 runs in the last five contests, including two runs in each of the three games at Atlanta this past weekend. Philadelphia knocked off Washington on Tuesday, 4-1 as the pitching staff has performed well of late by giving up only four runs in the last three games. Mark Leiter, Jr. takes the mound for Philadelphia as the Phillies are 4-0-1 to the UNDER in his five starts at Citizens Bank Park.

Matchup to watch: Cubs vs. Cardinals

Chicago was denied another NL Central title in last night’s 8-7 loss at Busch Stadium. The Cubs dug themselves an early 5-1 hole as Jake Arrieta lasted only three innings and rallied for four runs in the eighth inning, but couldn’t finish off the comeback. The Cardinals are still alive Wild Card race, sitting 2 ½ games behind Colorado for the final NL playoff spot, while the Cubs maintain a five-game edge over the Brewers in the NL Central with five games remaining.

The Cubs can clinch the division championship tonight as John Lackey heads to the hill. Chicago has won 11 of Lackey’s last 13 starts, including an 8-2 victory at Wrigley Field over St. Louis on September 15. The Cubs have cruised to a 5-1 record in his last six road starts, while winning in his only outing at Busch Stadium back in April, 6-4 as a -120 favorite.

The Cardinals defeated the Cubs for the first time in the last seven meetings last night as Michael Wacha looks to start a winning streak for St. Louis. Wacha has given up three earned runs or fewer in five consecutive starts, while the Cardinals are 4-1 in that span. The Redbirds have won six of Wacha’s last nine starts at Busch Stadium, but are 0-3 in his three starts against the Cubs this season, although all three losses came in Chicago.

Betcha didn’t know: Seattle will fall short of the postseason, but the Mariners have dominated the Athletics recently. The M’s are 8-0 in the past eight meetings with their AL West counterparts, while winning five straight matchups at the Coliseum. To make matters worse for Oakland, starting pitcher Kendall Graveman is winless in his last six starts against the Mariners since 2016.

Biggest public favorite: Yankees (-260) vs. Rays

Biggest public underdog: Mariners (+105) at Athletics

Biggest line move: Rockies (-180 to -185) vs. Marlins

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Wednesday
September 27, 2017

TOP SU TREND:

-- The Dodgers are 11-0 since Jun 25, 2017 after they had more than ten team-left-on-base last game

TOP OU TREND:

-- The Yankees are 10-0-1 OU (3.73 ppg) since Apr 12, 2017 at home past the first game of a series after they won by 5+ runs last game.

TOP STARTER TREND:

-- The Giants are 9-0 since Apr 28, 2017 when Jeff Samardzija starts after their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday.

TOP CHOICE TREND:

-- The Red Sox are 0-11 OU (-2.95 ppg) since Oct 04, 2015 when it is the last game of a three game series when they lost the first two games.

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Wild Card Standings

AMERICAN

Team Win Loss Percent GB

New York Yankees 88 69 0.561 +5

Minnesota Twins 83 74 0.529 0.0

Los Angeles Angels 78 79 0.497 5.0

Kansas City Royals 77 80 0.490 6.0

Seattle Mariners 77 81 0.487 6.5
Tampa Bay Rays 76 81 0.484 7.0
Texas Rangers 76 81 0.484 7.0
Baltimore Orioles 75 83 0.475 8.5
Toronto Blue Jays 75 83 0.475 8.5
Oakland Athletics 72 85 0.459 11.0
Chicago White Sox 64 93 0.408 19.0
Detroit Tigers 62 95 0.395 21.0


NATIONAL

Team Win Loss Percent GB

Arizona Diamondbacks 91 67 0.576 +6

Colorado Rockies 85 73 0.538 0.0

Milwaukee Brewers 83 74 0.529 1.5

St. Louis Cardinals 82 75 0.522 2.5

Miami Marlins 74 83 0.471 10.5
Pittsburgh Pirates 72 85 0.459 12.5
Atlanta Braves 71 86 0.452 13.5
San Diego Padres 70 88 0.443 15.0
New York Mets 68 90 0.430 17.0
Cincinnati Reds 66 91 0.420 18.5
Philadelphia Phillies 63 95 0.399 22.0
San Francisco Giants 62 96 0.392 23.0

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WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 27

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIA at COL 03:10 PM

O 11.5

SEA at OAK 03:35 PM

O 9.5

SF at ARI 03:40 PM

SF +125

WAS at PHI 07:05 PM

PHI +145

O 9.0

BAL at PIT 07:05 PM

O 9.0

TB at NYY 07:05 PM

U 8.5

CHC at STL 07:08 PM

U 8.5

MIN at CLE 07:10 PM

MIN +150

TOR at BOS 07:10 PM

O 9.5

ATL at NYM 07:10 PM

U 8.5

CIN at MIL 08:10 PM

U 9.5

LAA at CHW 08:10 PM

O 9.0

DET at KC 08:15 PM

U 9.0

SD at LAD 10:10 PM

SD +175

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Thursday’s six-pack

Blue Ribbon Yearbook’s top six college hoop teams (released before the FBI’s press conference on Tuesday)

6) Louisville— Wonder who the interim coach will be.

5) Kentucky— Will be very young again.

4) Kansas— Brought in several transfers this year.

3) Duke— You wonder how deep this whole recruiting mess will go.

2) Michigan State— Will wind up as the #1 preseason team.

1) Arizona— Already fired one of their assistant coaches.

*************************

Thursday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) I would suggest that one change basketball should make is letting kids go right from high school to the NBA; it used to be this way— Lebron James, Dwight Howard, Kobe Bryant didn’t go to college.

You’re never going to totally eliminate corruption in something that is so popular and is a huge moneymaker, but this would take the most lucrative layer of corruption away from the sport.

The NCAA tournament was still really popular when players could go straight from high school to college. I think this would help both the NBA and college ball.

12) Finally heard a good chunk of a game with Tony Romo as analyst; he is enthusiastic, and he does something I like that other hate— he chimes in during the play, if he sees something.

“He’s got him!!!” Romo might say as he sees a play develop. I like that; Jon Gruden does it a little bit sometimes, I wouldn’t mind more of that.

11) Brent Musburger came out Tuesday and said he didn’t like that at all, the chiming in during a play. Thats what makes the world interesting, that we can disagree and Brent was a play-by-play guy after all.

Bottom line is this: CBS made a good move making Romo a game analyst.

Some statistical knowledge from the first three weeks of the NFL:
10) Best red zone offense (based on pts/possession):
1) Chiefs 6.00 2) Rams 5.86 T3) Packers/Raiders 5.67

Worst red zone offenses:
32) Bengals 2.88 31) Cardinals T29) Dolphins/Giants 3.75

9) Best “black zone” offenses (drives that start 75+ yards from end zone)
1) Titans 3.54 2) Rams 3.40 3) Chiefs 2.95 T4) Vikings/Saints 2.94

Worst black zone offenses (teams lose points if you give up a pick-6):
32) Colts 0.42 31) Browns 0.77 30) Bengals 0.84 T28) Ravens/Bills 0.85

8) Teams with most plays of 20+ yards:
T1) Rams/Patriots 20 3) T3) Cardinals/Vikings 19 T5) Saints/Broncos 15

7) Teams that have allowed the most plays of 20+ yards:
32) Saints 22, 31) Colts 21, 30) Patriots 18, T28) Jets/Rams 16

6) Someone in Las Vegas bet $340K on the money line on the Steelers last week; all they had to do for the guy to win was beat the Bears, but they lost it overtime. Thats a bad day.

5) Arizona Cardinals’ kicker/punter are a combined 77 years old.

4) Saw a cool thing on Twitter this week: 79-year old Jerry West on the court, helping Sam Dekker with his jump shot at Clippers’ training camp out in Hawai’i.

Who better to help a player with skills than one of the greatest players/executives of all-time?

3) Auburn had sold out its basketball season tickets for this season, but now their program is in trouble, the school is offering refunds to season ticket holders. Bruce Pearl is expected to quit/be fired soon.

One of their best recruits for 2018 has already de-committed, a 6-10 forward from Georgia.

2) Rick Pitino was making $7.76M a year at Louisville; what does he do now? TV work? Would another NBA team take a chance on him (doubtful)? I’d enjoy hearing him on TV, but I’m guessing he is just going to disappear for a while, until this whole mess plays out.

1) Last question today about the college basketball issue: Do the players’ families who took the money from coaches get nailed by the IRS for tax evasion?

[StarDust Bum]

LEADING OFF: Red Sox try to clinch, Cubs-Cards get testy
September 27, 2017

A look at what's happening all around the majors Thursday:

RED SOX READY

Boston can clinch the AL East with a win over Houston at Fenway Park, plus a loss by the Yankees at home to Tampa Bay. Eduardo Rodriguez (6-6, 3.91 ERA) starts as the Red Sox try to wrap up the first set of back-to-back AL East titles in franchise history. Right fielder Mookie Betts (sore left wrist) and infielder Eduardo Nunez (right knee injury) have missed two straight games for Boston.

BAD BLOOD

Cubs star Anthony Rizzo was hit by a 99 mph fastball on the first pitch he saw from Michael Wacha with two outs and nobody on in the first inning Wednesday night. Rizzo was visibly upset after getting plunked, throwing his bat overhanded toward the Chicago dugout. Earlier in the day, Cardinals outfielder Tommy Pham told media that he believed he was hit by a pitch on purpose by the Cubs a day earlier. Both batters were nailed in the ribs. The newly crowned NL Central champion Cubs wrap up the series against their longtime rivals at Busch Stadium.

TRY AGAIN

White Sox rookie Dylan Covey aims once more for his first major league win. The 24-year-old righty is 0-7 with a 7.83 ERA since making his debut this year, allowing 19 home runs in 6 4 1/3 innings. Covey starts at home against the Los Angeles Angels.

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Big 12 Report - Week 5
September 27, 2017


2017 BIG 12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Baylor 0-4 0-1 1-3 2-2

Iowa State 2-1 0-0 3-0 2-1

Kansas 1-3 0-1 1-3 4-0

Kansas State 2-1 0-0 2-1 2-1

Oklahoma 4-0 1-0 3-1 3-1

Oklahoma State 3-1 0-1 3-1 3-1

Texas 1-2 0-0 2-1 1-2

Texas Christian 4-0 1-0 2-2 2-2

Texas Tech 3-0 0-0 3-0 1-2

West Virginia 3-1 1-0 2-2 3-0-1


Texas at Iowa State (Thu. - ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)
The Longhorns and Cyclones kick off the fifth weekend of college football in Ames in the standalone FBS game on Thursday night. Texas lost last time out at Southern California back on Sept. 16, but they still have to feel good about themselves after almost winning at the L.A. Coliseum against a Top 5 team. They ended up falling 27-24 in overtime, but it was a confidence builder. Iowa State hasn't been lacking in confidence, especially on offense. They're averageing 41.3 PPG through three games, scoring 42 in their opener with Northern Iowa, 41 in their rivalry game loss to Iowa and 41 in a win against Akron on Sept. 16. The defense has allowed 27.3 PPG, so there is room for improvement there.

The Cyclones have posted a perfect 3-0 ATS mark through three outings, with the 'over' cashing in their first two. The Longhorns have cashed each of their psat two outings with the 'under' hitting in each performance. Texas has been a bit hard to figure, as they were topped 51-41 against Maryland in their opener at home, they blasted San Jose State 56-0 in a game that wasn't much of a test, and then the aforementioned USC game. Which Longhorns team will show up? Iowa State is 7-1 ATS over their past eight home games, while Texas is 4-1 ATS in their past five against winning teams. The home team has cashed in four of the past five in this series.

Baylor at Kansas State (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
So close, but no cigar for Baylor last weekend against Oklahoma. The Bears couldn't avoid an 0-4 SU start, but they were able to finally pick up their first cover of the season in a near monumental upset. At the very least, if the Bears were lacking confidence after shocking losses to FCS Liberty and Texas-San Antonio, as well as a not as shocking loss at Duke, they certainly have a little mojo back after taking the Sooners to the brink. K-State is champing at the bit after a 14-7 loss two weeks ago at Vanderbilt, a stunning lack of offense after posting a pair of 55-point performances against FCS Central Arkansas and Charlotte. Of course, those teams do not have a nasty defense like Vandy.

The Bears roll into Manhattan with a 1-7 ATS mark over their past eight games, and they're 3-8 ATS in their past 11 overall. Baylor is also 2-5 ATS in the past seven inside the Big 12. The Wildcats have rattled off covers in four of their past five overall, and they're 6-2 ATS over their past eight after failing to cover in their last outing. They also own an impressive 45-22-1 ATS across their past 68 league games. The underdog has hit in six of the past seven meetings, with the home team 5-1 ATS across the past six in this series. Baylor is 0-4 ATS in their past four tries at K-State, while going 2-6 ATS in the past eight meetings overall.

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech (FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Oklahoma State looked like a potential playoff contender, and they still might be. But that's why rankings are meaningless in September, as they were housed by Texas Christian last week in Stillwater. OK State is looking to bounce back after a 44-31 setback, and it doesn't get easier on the road against a high-octane Texas Tech team. The Red Raiders have passed a couple of tests in a row, pushing aside Arizona State by a 52-45 score, and then they spoiled Houston's long home win streak with a 27-24 win on the road last week. The Red Raiders have opened the season with a 3-0 ATS mark. Oklahoma State is 6-1 ATS over their psat seven road games, 5-2 ATS in their past seven against winning teams and, perhaps more importantly, 4-0 ATS in their past four trips to Lubbock, and 9-3 ATS in the past 12 against TTU. The road team has cashed in four straight in the series, and the 'over' is 5-0 in the past five meetings.

Bye Weeks
Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas Christian, West Virginia

[StarDust Bum]

UCLA's defense tries to correct shocking struggles
September 27, 2017

LOS ANGELES (AP) UCLA is searching for equilibrium between its defense and offense.

The Bruins have an offense as good as any in college football, ranking in the top 10 in points per game, yards per game and yards per play. They have a defense that ranks in the bottom 10 in points per game, yards per game and yards per play.

The offensive production isn't a surprise, not with the presence of quarterback Josh Rosen, but the defensive breakdowns are an absolutely shock to a program that has prided itself on its play on that side of the ball under head coach Jim Mora.

''Did I see it? No, I didn't see it coming like that,'' defensive coordinator Tom Bradley said.

Mora made his reputation as a defensive coach in the NFL. Bradley oversaw some of the best defenses in college football history at Penn State. The defensive line and secondary were regarded as the strongest and deepest positions on the team. Five-star defensive end Jaelan Phillips and five-star cornerback Darnay Holmes were the centerpieces of another strong recruiting class.

Yet, UCLA is allowing 43.3 points and 524.8 yards per game. The run defense is the worst in the FBS, allowing 307.5 yards per game, and still has to face a daunting gauntlet of top Pac-12 running backs, including Phillip Lindsay of Colorado on Saturday.

Players settling into new roles and injuries have played a part, but Bradley has attributed the majority of the problems to poor fundamentals.

''I think we're just going through some growing pains. I know we're struggling a little bit, too, but I really think we're going to get better,'' Bradley said. ''I think it comes down to once again a lot of our big plays are we're not so much out of position as we are missing tackles and things of that nature. But anytime you go through this it's one thing here, one thing there. It's just time for everybody to get on the same page and play the same way.''

UCLA reinstated tackling drills in practice this week in hopes of addressing some of those struggles. The work, primarily during position drills but also after practice as a handful of players drove their shoulders into tackling sleds to push them up and down the field, has two goals.

The first is to address the breakdowns in the open field that have been evident since Texas A&M built a 44-10 lead in the third quarter of the season opener, only for Rosen to rally the team for a 45-44 win. UCLA has allowed 28 explosive runs, which Bradley defines as carries of 10 or more yards, and 17 explosive passes of at least 15 yards.

The second is to address the spate of targeting penalties against UCLA. Safety Adarius Pickett became the third UCLA defender ejected for targeting in as many games on a helmet-to-helmet hit to Stanford tight end Drew Schultz.

The other issues hindering UCLA seem to be more mental than physical.

Defensive lineman Boss Tagaloa said the defense's effort waned in the second half as the Cardinal scored touchdowns on all five possessions.

Bradley said players have frequently been out of position because of a lack of faith that teammates will be in the right position.

''Don't ad-lib because you think he's not going to be there,'' Bradley said.

Getting back to basics has been Bradley's rallying cry this week, and Tagaloa believes the defense will do just that to pick up their end of the bargain with the suddenly dominant offense.

''Coming back after a game like last week, the last two weeks, I feel like we're more motivated just to work harder,'' Tagaloa said. ''We know what we have to do and I think we're going to get it done.''

[StarDust Bum]

WILD-CARD RACE

AMERICAN LEAGUE

TEAM W L PCT GB

z-N.Y. Yankees 89 69 .563 +6
Minnesota 83 75 .525 -

Kansas City (E) 78 80 .494 5
L.A. Angels (E) 78 80 .494 5
Seattle (E) 77 82 .484 6½
Tampa Bay (E) 76 82 .481 7
Texas (E) 76 82 .481 7
Baltimore (E) 75 84 .472 8½
Toronto (E) 75 84 .472 8½
Oakland (E) 73 85 .462 10
Chi. White Sox (E) 65 93 .411 18
Detroit (E) 62 96 .392 21


NATIONAL LEAGUE

TEAM W L PCT GB

y-Arizona 92 67 .579 +6
Colorado 86 73 .541 -
Milwaukee (2) 83 75 .525 2½
St. Louis (1) 82 76 .519 3½

Miami (E) 74 84 .468 11½
Pittsburgh (E) 73 85 .462 12½
Atlanta (E) 71 87 .449 14½
San Diego (E) 70 88 .443 15½
N.Y. Mets (E) 69 90 .434 17
Cincinnati (E) 67 91 .424 18½
Philadelphia (E) 64 95 .403 22
San Francisco (E) 62 97 .390 24

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 28

National League
Reds @ Brewers
Romano is 1-2, 3.57 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Reds are 3-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-8-3

Brewers won last five Suter starts (1-0, 3.38), last three of which stayed under. Milwaukee is 6-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-3-2

Reds lost seven of their last eight games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Milwaukee lost four of last six games (under 4-1-1). Brewers are 2.5 games out in the Wild Card race.

Pirates @ Nationals
Nova is 0-4, 7.77 in his last five starts, last three of which stayed under. Pirates are 4-13 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-15-3

Strasburg is 4-0, 1.06 in his last five starts; under is 7-1-1 in his last nine. Washington is 9-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-10-4

Pirates won their last four games; under is 12-2 in their last 14 road games. Pittsburgh is 2-7 in last nine road series openers. Washington is 6-4 in its last ten games; under is 10-5-2 in their last 17 games. Nationals are 7-9 in last 16 home series openers.

Braves @ Marlins
Teheran is 4-1, 2.31 in his last six starts; under is 7-1-2 in his last ten. Braves are 9-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-12-5

Peters is 0-2, 6.31 in five starts this year (over 4-1). Miami lost both his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-2

Braves lost four of last five games; under is 6-1 in their last seven. Atlanta is 2-6 in last eight road series openers. Marlins lost three of last four games (under 3-1); they’re 11-6 in last 17 home series openers.

Cubs @ Cardinals
Hendricks is 3-1, 2.48 in his last six starts, last five of which stayed under total. Cubs are 4-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-6-5

Lynn is 1-1, 13.97 in his last three starts; under is 12-4 in his last 16. St Louis is 7-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-15-2

Cubs won 12 of last 15 games; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11. St Louis won six of last nine home games; under is 7-3 in their last ten.

——————————–

American League
Rays @ New York
Faria is making his first start since August 16; he is 0-3, 5.06 in his last four starts. Under is 6-1-1 in his last eight. Rays are 5-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-4-2

Gray is 2-2, 3.42 in his last four starts (under 8-2). New York is 2-2 in his home starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 4-5-1

Tampa Bay is 4-8 in its last 12 games; three of their last five games went over. New York won 11 of last 14 games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten.

Twins @ Indians
Twins clinched playoff berth last night; not sure how long Santana goes here. Santana is 1-1, 2.41 in his last three starts. Twins are 10-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-8-7

Carrasco is 5-0, 1.52 in his last six starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Indians are 10-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 22-7-2

Twins won five of their last six games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games- they clinched a playoff spot last night. Cleveland is 30-3 in its last 33 games; under is 11-4 in their last 15 home games.

Astros @ Red Sox
Peacock is 3-0, 2.35 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Astros are 8-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-4-2

Rodriguez is 2-1, 2.13 in his last four starts; under is 9-1 in his last ten. Boston is 8-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-12

Houston won 11 of its last 13 games; under is 6-4 in their last ten. Boston won 10 of last 13 games; over is 5-1 in their last six home games.

A’s @ Rangers
Manaea is 2-2, 5.49 in his last four starts (under 3-1). A’s are 6-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-13-5

Gonzalez is 1-2, 7.16 in four starts for Texas (over 2-2). Texas lost his only home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-2

A’s won 8 of last 10 games; over is 9-5 in their last 14 road games. Oakland is 2-6 in last eight road series openers. Texas lost its last six games; under is 7-4 in their last 11. Rangers are 6-1 in last seven home series openers.

Angels @ White Sox
Angels got eliminated last night; no idea who pitches here. Likely a bullpen game.

Covey is 0-4, 8.15 in his last four starts (over 5-4-3). Chicago is 2-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-8-1

Angels lost eight of their last ten games; seven of their last ten road games stayed under- they are now eliminated from playoff contention. Chicago won five of last seven games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten home games.

Tigers @ Royals
Norris is 0-4, 9.82 in his last four starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six. Tigers are 5-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-9-2

Duffy is 2-1, 3.18 in his last three starts; under is 7-4 in his last 11. Royals are 6-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-10-4

Detroit lost its last nine games; over is 9-3-1 in their last 13. Royals won three of last four home games; under is 9-6 in their last 15.

__________________________

Interleague


______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Cin-Mil: Romano 6-9; Suter 8-5
Pitt-Wsh: Nova 13-17; Strasburg 21-6
Atl-Mia: Teheran 15-16; Peters 1-4
Chi-StL: Hendricks 11-12; Lynn 14-18

American League
Min-Clev: Santana 19-13; Carrasco 23-8
TB-NY: Faria 8-5; Gray 4-6
Hst-Bos: Peacock 14-6; Rodriguez 13-10
A’s-Tex: Manaea 13-15; Gonzalez 2-2
LAA-Chi: unknown Covey 3-8
Det-KC: Norris 7-10; Duffy 11-12

Interleague

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Cin-Mil: Romano 6-15; Suter 1-13
Pitt-Wsh: Nova 11-30; Strasburg 4-27
Atl-Mia: Teheran 10-31; Peters 2-5
Chi-StL: Hendricks 8-23; Lynn 10-32

American League
Min-Clev: Santana 8-32; Carrasco 5-31
TB-NY: Faria 2-13; Gray 2-10
Hst-Bos: Peacock 2-20; Rodriguez 6-23
A’s-Tex: Manaea 9-28; Gonzalez 1-4
LAA-Chi: unknown Covey 7-11
Det-KC: Norris 3-17; Duffy 6-23

Interleague
_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 84-57 AL, favorites -$280
AL @ NL– 75-72 NL, favorites +$396
Total: 156-131 AL, favorites +$116

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 71-68-4
AL @ NL: Over 75-65-8
Total: Over 146-133-12

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/19/17
Ariz 28-26-20……43-25–12……..71-51
Atl 27-35-10……26-42-8………..53-77
Cubs 33-31-8…….39-25-14………..72-56
Reds 23-43-9……..30-37-9…………53-80
Colo 38-31-7………40-29-5………..78-60
LA 38-24-13…….41-25-9…………79-49
Miami 32-36-10…….36-26-11………68-62
Milw 37-27-10…….38-29-10……….74-56
Mets 33-39-5……..30-37-7………….63-76
Philly 19-43-16……30-36-9………..49-79
Pitt 31-37-9…….28-33-13………..60-70
St. Louis 32-34-9……..39-25-10………..71-59
SD 21-46-8……..38-29–9…………59-75
SF 16-49-9……..30-33-13……….46-81
Wash 43-23-7……34-33-10………….77-56

Orioles 29-39-5……..31-39-8………..60-78
Boston 31-35-11………34-37-3……….65-72
White Sox 25-40-11………29-42–4…….54-82
Cleveland 45-23-8……..39-24-10……..84-47
Detroit 27-38-10…….30-36-11……..57-74
Astros 37-28-11……..47-24-5………84-52
KC 26-35-13……..30-31-13…….56-66
Angels 26-39-8………31-31-14……..57-70
Twins 38-24-13………38-33-8……..76-57
NYY 34-38-7……….40-28-5…..…74-66
A’s 29-39-10……..32-32-12……..61-71
Seattle 29-39-9……..39-25-11………68-64
TB 36-29-11……..40-24-9……..76-53
Texas 35-27-12……..38-28-9……..73-55
Toronto 30-40-5……..30-33-12……..60-73

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/19/17)
Ariz 24-76……..27-74………..51
Atl 17-71……….19-79………36
Cubs 20-72……..26-78………..46
Reds 30-76……..27-76……….57
Colo 20-76……..25-74..……..45
LA 23-76……..26-74..…….49
Miami 32-78……..27-73……….59
Milw 24-74……29-78…..…..53
Mets 34-75……..26-75……….60
Philly 17-78……..24-74……….41
Pitt 22-77……..22-75……….44
StL 16-76……..23-73………..39
SD 23-75……….26-75……….49
SF 17-75……….22-77……….39
Wash 26-73……..30-77……….56

Orioles 17-76……..25-77……….42
Boston 21-77……..18-74……….39
White Sox 24-76……20-75……….44
Clev 22-77……..26-75………48
Detroit 18-74…….27-77………45
Astros 21-77……..29-74………50
KC 18-75……..16-76………..34
Angels 27-75……..22-77……….49
Twins 17-73……..20-77……….37
NYY 19-78……..21-73……….40
A’s 20-76……..27-76………47
Seattle 21-77…….25-77……….46
TB 22-74……..26-77………48
Texas 29-76……..30-74………59
Toronto 26-76……..21-78………47

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Thursday, September 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

4:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
Tampa Bay is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

7:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
Pittsburgh is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 17 games
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home

7:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Houston is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

7:15 PM
CHI CUBS vs. ST. LOUIS
Chi Cubs are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games
St. Louis is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs

8:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
Oakland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Texas's last 19 games when playing Oakland

8:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
LA Angels are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
LA Angels are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games

8:15 PM
DETROIT vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 28

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CINCINNATI (67 - 91) at MILWAUKEE (83 - 75) - 4:10 PM
SAL ROMANO (R) vs. BRENT SUTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 8-23 (-12.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-26 (-16.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 83-75 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 53-48 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 66-58 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 40-35 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 36-36 (+8.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 78-101 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 10-8 (+0.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.5 Units)

SAL ROMANO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ROMANO is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

BRENT SUTER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
SUTER is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (73 - 85) at WASHINGTON (95 - 63) - 7:05 PM
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 73-85 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 29-48 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 46-63 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 115-135 (-31.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 132-273 (-75.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
NOVA is 4-14 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 68-35 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 65-51 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-34 (-20.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 183-162 (-54.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 13-17 (-13.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
JACKSON is 56-76 (-28.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

IVAN NOVA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NOVA is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.371.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
JACKSON is 8-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.271.
His team's record is 8-7 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-7. (-0.8 units)

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ATLANTA (71 - 87) at MIAMI (74 - 84) - 7:10 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. DILLON PETERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEHERAN is 14-29 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 17-9 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 139-180 (+2.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 42-37 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 71-86 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 34-37 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 50-56 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 98-81 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
TEHERAN is 15-11 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEHERAN is 9-3 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 30-40 (-11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MIAMI is 63-84 (-28.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-59 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 10-5 (+4.9 Units) against MIAMI this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.2 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. MIAMI since 1997
TEHERAN is 6-4 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.244.
His team's record is 9-7 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-7. (+0.8 units)

DILLON PETERS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHICAGO CUBS (89 - 69) at ST LOUIS (82 - 76) - 7:15 PM
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 13-5 (+7.6 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HENDRICKS is 2-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.045.
His team's record is 6-4 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.8 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LYNN is 6-6 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.360.
His team's record is 7-10 (-5.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-7. (+1.1 units)

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MINNESOTA (83 - 75) at CLEVELAND (99 - 59) - 12:10 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-11 (+0.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
13 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.6 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SANTANA is 7-11 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.248.
His team's record is 9-15 (-6.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 17-7. (+9.4 units)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
CARRASCO is 4-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.451.
His team's record is 5-8 (-6.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-5. (+2.2 units)

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TAMPA BAY (76 - 82) at NY YANKEES (89 - 69) - 7:05 PM
JACOB FARIA (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 144-175 (-39.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 91-117 (-31.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 108-120 (-20.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 22-6 (+14.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 21-6 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 49-24 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 64-33 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
GRAY is 19-29 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 3-13 (-13.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 8-20 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 8-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 12-6 (+4.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.3 Units)

JACOB FARIA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
FARIA is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

SONNY GRAY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GRAY is 3-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.270.
His team's record is 4-6 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-7. (-6.2 units)

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HOUSTON (98 - 60) at BOSTON (92 - 66) - 7:10 PM
BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 11-22 (-18.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-23 (-13.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 52-26 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 74-47 (+15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 98-60 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 24-13 (+10.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
HOUSTON is 50-27 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 35-19 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 31-17 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 17-7 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 688-617 (-81.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 371-293 (-47.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 14-21 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 48-42 (-7.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 437-399 (-79.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BOSTON is 225-227 (-64.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

BRAD PEACOCK vs. BOSTON since 1997
PEACOCK is 0-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 12.39 and a WHIP of 2.879.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.5 units)

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 0-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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OAKLAND (73 - 85) at TEXAS (76 - 82) - 8:05 PM
SEAN MANAEA (L) vs. MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 210-272 (-47.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 364-461 (-98.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 27-50 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 9-25 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
OAKLAND is 39-58 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MANAEA is 2-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 171-152 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 29-19 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 79-69 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 127-105 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 80-68 (+25.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 116-110 (+18.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
GONZALEZ is 33-18 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 145-123 (+41.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 15-10 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
OAKLAND is 36-35 (+6.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TEXAS is 39-43 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEXAS is 18-24 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 9-6 (+3.3 Units) against TEXAS this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

SEAN MANAEA vs. TEXAS since 1997
MANAEA is 2-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.265.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.268.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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LA ANGELS (78 - 80) at CHI WHITE SOX (65 - 93) - 8:10 PM
BUD NORRIS (R) vs. DYLAN COVEY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-2 (+0.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

BUD NORRIS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
NORRIS is 1-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.212.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

DYLAN COVEY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (62 - 96) at KANSAS CITY (78 - 80) - 8:15 PM
DANIEL NORRIS (L) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 62-96 (-33.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 24-43 (-19.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 28-49 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 4-22 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
DETROIT is 36-67 (-29.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 27-47 (-22.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 12-25 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
KANSAS CITY is 78-80 (+3.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 88-70 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 81-70 (+13.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 85-75 (+13.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NORRIS is 8-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NORRIS is 16-7 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NORRIS is 9-2 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 27-26 (-22.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 282-398 (-108.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 11-7 (+4.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.7 Units)

DANIEL NORRIS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
NORRIS is 0-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-5. (-4.9 units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. DETROIT since 1997
DUFFY is 7-7 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.244.
His team's record is 9-9 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-9. (-1.8 units)

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 28


Cincinnati @ Milwaukee

Game 951-952
September 28, 2017 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Romano) 15.445
Milwaukee
(Suter) 13.856
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-155
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+135); Under

Pittsburgh @ Washington

Game 953-954
September 28, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Nova) 14.775
Washington
(Jackson) 15.661
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-140
9
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-140); Under

Atlanta @ Miami

Game 955-956
September 28, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Teheran) 14.538
Miami
(Peters) 11.585
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-105); Over

Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis

Game 957-958
September 28, 2017 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hendrcks) 16.793
St. Louis
(Lynn) 14.692
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-200
8
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(+170); Over

Minnesota @ Cleveland

Game 959-960
September 28, 2017 @ 12:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Santana) 16.305
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 17.415
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-280
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-280); Over

Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees

Game 961-962
September 28, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Faria) 15.589
NY Yankees
(Gray) 18.003
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-190
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-190); Over

Houston @ Boston

Game 963-964
September 28, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Peacock) 15.866
Boston
(Rodriguez) 18.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-115); Under

Oakland @ Texas

Game 965-966
September 28, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Manaea) 14.725
Texas
(Gonzalez) 15.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-115
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-105); Under

LA Angels @ Chicago White Sox

Game 967-968
September 28, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Norris) 14.627
Chicago White Sox
(Covey) 16.591
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-115
10
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-105); Over

Detroit @ Kansas City

Game 969-970
September 28, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Norris) 13.223
Kansas City
(Duffy) 15.358
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-200
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-200); Over