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Wednesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 11/2

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  • Wednesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 11/2

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, November 2

    Good Luck on day #307 of 2016!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    — Cubs 9, Indians 3– Game 7 is tonight in Cleveland.

    — November 21 Texans-Raiders Monday night game is being played in Mexico City.

    — Raiders don’t play another true road game until December 8 in KC; they finish with three road games in last four weeks, all division games.

    — Patriots got a 3rd-round draft pick from Cleveland for LB Jaime Collins.

    — Chicago Bulls are 3-0 for the first time in 20 years.

    — Oklahoma City Thunder gave Victor Oladipo $84M for four years.

    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) Steelers-Ravens play in Baltimore Sunday, with both teams off a bye week; wouldn’t it have made sense for this to be the Thursday night game this week? Football wasn’t meant to be played on three days’ rest.

    12) Chicago Bears are the only NFL team that does not have a defensive player who has ever played in a Pro Bowl.

    11) Bears’ offensive coordinator Dowell Loggains went to college at Arkansas, where he held for kicks for four years and learned football from coach Houston Nutt.

    Loggains could’ve gone to a smaller school and played QB, but he thought he wanted to be a coach and chose to learn from Nutt, who was a very good coach before going on TV.

    10) ESPN fantasy sports guru Matthew Berry was once a writer for the TV show Married with Children.

    9) Dolphins are favored over the Jets this week; this is only 2nd time in last 12 years that Miami is favored in its post-bye game. Overall, Dolphins are 6-12 in their last 18 post-bye games.

    8) There is a TV show on the History Channel called American Pickers, where two guys drive around in a van and try to buy collectible stuff from older people who live in mostly rural areas.

    Why older people? Because they want to find people who are just looking to get rid of stuff, preferably for less money. Sometimes you get mad at the two guys, especially Frank, who thinks he is smarter than everyone else, but that is part of the business of making money, I guess.

    The guys own two shops where they re-sell the stuff for a profit. It is oddly entertaining and worth watching.

    7) In three of last five seasons, Dwight Howard has made less than half his foul shots; he is off to an 11-24 start this year, after his 8-20 game against the Kings Monday.

    Howard makes $23M a year, has already banked $167M in salary in his career. How can I be a better free throw shooter than he is?

    6) Clippers TV announcer Ralph Lawler is joy to listen to; always watch as many Clipper games as I can. Clippers were so bad for so long and now they’re good, so you’re happy for him. Lawler is enthusiastic and you can tell he is a real basketball fan.

    5) Oklahoma City traded Ersan Ilyasova to Philly Tuesday, after he played only 62 minutes in three games for the Thunder- they acquired him as part of the Serge Ibaka deal.

    This means when he plays for the Sixers, it’ll be the 5th team Ilyasova has played for in his last 79 games, going from the Bucks to Detroit to Orlando to the Thunder to Philadelphia.

    On one hand, teams want you enough to trade for you; on the other hand, once they have you, then don’t mind getting rid of you.

    4) Good news for NC State’s basketball team; freshman 7-footer Omer Yurtseven will be able to play for the Wolfpack this year— he becomes eligible December 15, enough time to get in a few games before ACC play starts.

    Yurtseven is a 5-star level recruit, a huge get for Mark Gottfried.

    3) There is a story going around that Nick Saban was interested in the Giants’ coaching job last January, and that the team almost hired him. Somehow, comedian Tom Arnold is involved with spreading this story, which makes it a little weirder.

    You get the feeling Saban has one more coaching stop in him and it will be an NFL job— he has nothing left to prove in college.

    2) Mets closer Jeurys Familia got arrested in New Jersey on domestic violence charges, which is bad news for Mets, seeing as Jose Reyes got suspended 52 games LY for a similar offense.

    Aroldis Chapman got a 30-game suspension this year and he was never arrested for his offense.

    1— Obscure Fact of the Day: Eddie Johnson played 17 years in the NBA, scored 19,202 points; he holds the record for most points scored in the NBA, without ever making an All-Star team.

    Jamal Crawford has a good chance to break that record; he has scored 17,117 points; he is 36, looks like he would have to play two more years at his current pace to set the new record.

    Comment


    • #3
      MLB
      Dunkel

      Wednesday, November 2


      Chicago Cubs @ Cleveland

      Game 901-902
      November 2, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Chicago Cubs
      (Hendrcks) 15.166
      Cleveland
      (Kluber) 18.249
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Cleveland
      by 3
      5
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Chicago Cubs
      -120
      7
      Dunkel Pick:
      Cleveland
      (+100); Under





      MLB
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Wednesday, November 2


      Cubs @ Indians
      Hendricks is 4-2, 1.92 in his last nine starts, 1-1, 2.45 in six postseason starts. Cubs won his last five road starts; this is his first road start this postseason.

      Kluber is 7-1, 1.98 in his last nine starts, 4-1, 0.89 in five postseason starts; he has allowed one run in 12 IP in two starts in this series. Indians are 13-1 in his last 14 home starts.

      Cubs are 10-6 in playoffs this year, 5-3 on road; Chicago is 10-2 in playoffs if they score a run. Obviously Chicago hasn’t been in World Series since 1945, Indians since 1997. Cleveland is 10-4 in playoffs, 5-2 at home- they’ve tossed five shutouts in postseason.

      Maddon is 27-28 as a playoff manager, 14-11 with Cubs. he lost 2008 World Series with Rays. Francona won World Series with Boston in 2004, 2007; he is 38-22 as a postseason manager, 11-2 in World Series games.

      Maddon-Francona faced each other as managers in Game 7 of ’08 ALCS; Rays won, with Jon Lester starting on the mound for the Red Sox.




      MLB

      Wednesday, November 2


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
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      8:00 PM
      CHI CUBS vs. CLEVELAND
      Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
      Cleveland is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home


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      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Long Sheet

        Wednesday, November 2


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CHICAGO CUBS (113 - 64) at CLEVELAND (104 - 71) - 8:05 PM
        KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)
        Top Trends for this game.
        CHICAGO CUBS are 1601-1687 (-259.2 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
        CHICAGO CUBS are 1544-1600 (-234.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
        CHICAGO CUBS are 1178-1252 (-195.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
        CHICAGO CUBS are 24-23 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
        CLEVELAND is 104-71 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
        CLEVELAND is 58-30 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
        CLEVELAND is 98-67 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
        CLEVELAND is 74-42 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
        CLEVELAND is 10-4 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in playoff games this season.
        CLEVELAND is 57-39 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        CLEVELAND is 33-21 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
        CHICAGO CUBS are 28-12 (+14.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
        CHICAGO CUBS are 129-76 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
        KLUBER is 35-34 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
        KLUBER is 14-17 (-10.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CLEVELAND is 3-3 (+1.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
        4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

        KYLE HENDRICKS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
        HENDRICKS is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.848.
        His team's record is 0-1 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

        COREY KLUBER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
        KLUBER is 2-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.92 and a WHIP of 0.712.
        His team's record is 2-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB

          Wednesday, November 2



          American League teams have won 4 of the last 5 WorldSeries Game 7's at home.
          Indians -112



          Home teams have won 9 of the last 10 WorldSeries Game 7's.
          Indians -112



          Moneyline has jumped the fence already after early action on the Cubs.
          Chicago Cubs -116
          Cleveland Indians +107

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB

            Wednesday, November 2


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            World Series Game 7 betting preview: Cubs at Indians
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            The Chicago Cubs recovered from a 3-1 deficit to win the last two games but has yet to solve Cleveland Indians' ace Corey Kluber.

            Chicago Cubs at Cleveland Indians (+100, 7)

            Series tied 3-3

            A longstanding drought will end for either the Chicago Cubs or Cleveland Indians on Wednesday night while the other team will be flooded with heartbreak. The visiting Cubs forced a decisive Game 7 with Tuesday’s 9-3 victory and are aiming to win their first World Series title since 1908 while the Indians are trying to break a rut that dates back to 1948.

            Chicago recovered from a 3-1 deficit to win the last two games but has yet to solve Cleveland ace Corey Kluber, who is looking to become the first starting pitcher since Detroit’s Mickey Lolich in 1968 to record three victories in a single World Series. Chicago shortstop Addison Russell (age 22) is coming off his own sterling performance as he became the second youngest player to hit a grand slam (behind New York Yankees legend Mickey Mantle) and matched the Series record of six RBIs – tying Yankees Bobby Richardson (1960), Hideki Matsui (2009) and former St. Louis Cardinals slugger Albert Pujols (2011). “We’ve been doing this all year, putting new history in history books and you wouldn’t be able to tell that,” Russell told reporters afterward. The one-sided affair allows the Indians to have stellar left-hander Andrew Miller (0.53 ERA, 29 strikeouts in 17 postseason innings in 2016) and right-handed closer Cody Allen (22 strikeouts in 11 2/3 scoreless innings in 2016) rested for Game 7 while Cubs left-handed closer Aroldis Chapman pitched 1 1/3 innings on Tuesday despite the margin.

            TV:
            8:08 p.m. ET, FOX

            WEATHER REPORT:
            The forecast for Game 7 in Cleveland is calling for mostly cloudy skies with unseasonably warm temperatures in the low-70's. There is a growing chance of rain later in the game and the wind will be blowing straight out to center at 6-8 mph.

            PITCHING MATCHUP:
            Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (1-1, 1.31 ERA) vs. Indians RH Corey Kluber (4-1, 0.89)

            Hendricks, who won 16 regular-season games, took a no-decision in Game 3 of the World Series when he allowed six hits and two walks in 4 1/3 scoreless innings. The 26-year-old is ecstatic to have the opportunity to help the Cubs end their 108-year title drought. “Exactly, this is the ultimate dream. You dream of getting to the World Series, winning the World Series,” Hendricks told reporters at a press conference. “When you’re out in your backyard as a kid, playing Little League at the field with your friends, this is the moment you dream about. … It’s always Game 7 of the World Series.”

            Kluber has struck out 15 in 12 innings during the World Series while allowing just one run in his two victories. He has repeatedly had his best stuff during the postseason despite regularly pitching on short rest and manager Terry Francona has been impressed that the 2014 American League Cy Young Award winner has remained sharp. “I wouldn’t want to do this all year, in fairness to him,” Francona told reporters at a press conference. “But I think for a couple starts, I think he can handle it just fine.”

            TRENDS:


            * Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 playoff road games.
            * Cubs are 5-0 in Hendricks' last 5 road starts.
            * Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
            * Indians are 7-1 in Kluber's last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
            * Under is 5-0 in Hendricks' last 5 interleague starts.
            * Under is 11-2 in Indians' last 13 playoff games.
            * Under is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 home starts.
            * Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Holbrook behind home plate.

            CONSENSUS:
            The public is favoring the home underdog Indians in Game 7 at a rate of 56 percent. Under is picking up 57 percent of the wagers on the total.


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB
              Short Sheet

              Wednesday, November 2


              Chicago at Cleveland, 8:05 PM ET
              Hendricks: CHICAGO CUBS are 9-14 SU in road games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors
              Kluber: CLEVELAND is 20-7 SU after 2 or more consecutive losses

              Comment

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