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**Udog** · 11-01-2016, 08:17 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six of the more interesting football games this weekend:

— Colorado (-12) over UCLA Thursday. Buffs have come a long way to be a double digit favorite in a league game.

— Eagles scored five TDs during recent 1-3 stretch; interesting game with the Giants, who are coming off a bye.

— Pitt-Miami— Hurricanes are on a 4-game losing streak.

— Steelers-Ravens— Will Big Ben play for Pittsburgh?

— Alabama-LSU— Tide won last four series games by average score of 29-16.

—First place in AFC West is at stake in Denver-Oakland game Sunday night in the Coliseum.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Cam Newton was whining about late hits again Sunday, after Carolina beat the Cardinals. Guess he did it then so people could not call him a sore loser, since they had won.

Best part of this is that Carolina goes to LA this week to play the Rams, usually thought of as a dirty team. Refs might start throwing flags during warmups, just to get loosened up. Great.

12) Coco Crisp was going to get $13M from the A’s in 2017 if he played in 140 games this year, something like that. Since his skills are in decline, they were making sure he wasn’t going to reach 140 games, and he voiced his displeasure with that.

Note: It would’ve been incredibly stupid to pay him $13M next year. Fair or unfair, it was good business.

So to quiet the storm and I guess reward a player who had helped the A’s over the last few years, Oakland dealt him to the Indians on August 31 for an obscure lefty reliever named Colt Hynes. Weird circumstances can help a team win a championship.

11) Phoenix Suns have a young player named Alan Williams who was a good very player at Cal-Santa Barbara. If any of the Suns have trouble with the law, they can call Alan up— his mom just got named police chief for the city of Phoenix.

10) Jacksonville Jaguars just fired their OC in large part because the QB had regressed. Who did they replace the OC with? the QB coach, who is in charge of making sure the QB didn’t regress. Oy.

9) Now that the Cleveland Cavaliers are champs, ever wonder what their former coach David Blatt is doing? Guy got fired last year; you have to wonder what he is doing now. Is he coaching somewhere? Did he go back overseas?

Would be interesting if Blatt went on TV, to hear what he had to say. Former coaches are usually better than former players on TV.

8) Who was the first DH in MLB history? Ron Blomberg walked with the bases loaded against Luis Tiant in Fenway Park, in April of 1973, in the first big league AB by a designated hitter.

7) Russell Westbrook is the first NBA player since at least 1983 with 40+ field goal attempts, 20+ free throws and 10+ assists in the same game. He is also the first guy since Kareem Abdul-Jabbar in 1975 to get a triple double with 50+ points.

6) Former Bills’ coach Mark Levy is 91; he looks great. Coach Levy was at Wrigley Field Friday night and was also there for the 1945 World Series, the last time the Cubs played in the Series, before this year.

5) Texas Longhorns haven’t had an offensive player taken in the first round of the NFL Draft since QB Vince Young, in 2006.

4) CFL’s Saskatchewan Roughriders closed out Taylor Field this week; lot of history there. Toronto Blue Jays actually played exhibition games in Regina in 1989 and 1993.

3) If you’ve never experienced Halloween in Las Vegas, I highly recommend it; few years ago, think it was 2012, i spent a weekend at the South Point Casino, which is a really good place, has a bowling alley, movie theater and 24-hour coffee shop as well as an excellent sports book. South Point also has an equestrian arena, so when the pro rodeo is in town, the cowboys stay there.

I had no idea there was such a thing as pro rodeo, so the first night I am there, I walk down into the casino and 95% of the people there are dressed like the cast of Blazing Saddles.

I ask the security guard if it is cowboy Halloween party and he says “No, the pro rodeo is in town.” I tell him I never heard of the pro rodeo. He looks at me and says “Where are you from?”

OK, so we don’t have rodeo in New York…….

2) So couple nights later, the rodeo is out of town and it is Saturday night and I notice a red carpet with TV cameras near the entrance. Ask the same security guard whats up.

“Oh, the fetish and fantasy ball is tonight.” he says. I give him a knowing look, not wanting to be a fool again, since I know we have fetish and fantasy here in New York but I had no idea what I was about to see.

An astounding parade of people in all kinds of costumes that were, um……revealing to say the least. I’m leaning up against a slot machine watching this in total amazement.

1) So I watch the parade for a little while then go watch the late college football games; after that I’m going up to my room for something and I get on the elevator with this couple from the fetish and fantasy ball.

He is dressed as a prison guard, handcuffs, night stick and all; she is in shackles and a neck collar, with an outfit that is torn in very strategic places. She had to be a model or a porn star, totally gorgeous and it is just the three of us on the elevator. I have zero idea what to do or say.

So I say nothing until we get to my floor and I wish them a Happy Halloween as I get off the elevator. I’m guessing they did.

**Udog** · 11-01-2016, 08:21 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 1

Chicago Cubs @ Cleveland

Game 951-952
November 1, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 14.990
Cleveland
(Tomlin) 18.525
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-155
7
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+135); Under

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 1

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CHICAGO CUBS (112 - 64) at CLEVELAND (104 - 70) - 8:05 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. JOSH TOMLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1600-1687 (-260.2 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 222-268 (-77.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 177-206 (-53.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1543-1600 (-235.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1177-1252 (-196.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-23 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 104-70 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 58-29 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 14-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
CLEVELAND is 98-66 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 74-41 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-3 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in playoff games this season.
CLEVELAND is 57-38 (+16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 33-20 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TOMLIN is 22-10 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 21-10 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 15-6 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 18-5 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-9 (+17.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 128-76 (+26.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARRIETA is 29-9 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 29-9 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 (+2.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
ARRIETA is 2-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 7.10 and a WHIP of 1.697.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
TOMLIN is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.642.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, November 1

Cubs @ Indians
Arrieta is 3-4, 4.70 in eight starts since September 1, 3-2, 3.72 in six postseason starts. Cubs are 4-6 in his last ten road starts.

Tomlin is 4-1, 1.98 in his last seven starts, 2-0, 1.76 in three postseason starts. Indians are 3-4 in his last seven home starts.

Cubs are 9-6 in playoffs this year, 4-3 on road; they’ve been shut out in four of their last ten games. Chicago is 9-2 in playoffs if they score a run. Obviously Chicago hasn’t been in World Series since 1945, Indians since 1997. Cleveland is 10-3 in playoffs, 5-1 at home- they’ve tossed five shutouts in postseason.

Maddon is 26-28 as a playoff manager, 13-11 with Cubs. he lost 2008 World Series with Rays. Francona won World Series with Boston in 2004, 2007; he is 38-21 as a postseason manager, 11-2 in World Series games.

MLB

Tuesday, November 1

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Trend Report
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8:08 PM
CHI CUBS vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 11-01-2016, 12:29 PM

MLB

Tuesday, November 1

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World Series Game 6 betting preview: Cubs at Indians
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Cubs' Jake Arrieta took a no-hitter into the sixth inning in Game 2 at Cleveland and ended up with the win, his first of the postseason.

Chicago Cubs at Cleveland Indians (+130, 7)

Indians lead series 3-2

The World Series could be decided by the team that gets a lead early and turns things over to the bullpen. The Chicago Cubs finally became that team with the early lead and the dominant reliever in Game 5 and play another elimination game when they visit the Cleveland Indians for Game 6 on Tuesday.

The Cubs, who trail 3-2 in the series, asked Aroldis Chapman to record eight outs in a one-run game Sunday and were rewarded when he allowed one hit and struck out four. "That was our best opportunity," Cubs manager Joe Maddon told reporters of the decision to have Chapman work overtime. "I thought right now, based on the bullpen usage recently, he's actually kind of fresh. He hasn't been overused in the last part of this season nor throughout the playoffs." The Indians, who used left-hander Andrew Miller for multiple innings since the start of the postseason, are keeping things loose while following the lead of manager Terry Francona. "We have the good plane again, so we can fly around for a while," Francona told reporters of the trip back to Cleveland. "I don't care. Then we'll show up whatever day is the next day, and see if we can beat them."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER REPORT: The weather in Cleveland is expected to be perfect for playoff baseball (the forecast for Game 7 may be a different story, but Indians fans are hoping it doesn't come down to a wet Wednesday). Tuesday at Progressive Field it is expected to be partly cloudy with temperatures in the mid-60's. There is a 10 percent chance of showers and there will be a light 5 mph breeze blowing straight out to center field.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (1-1, 3.78 ERA) vs. Indians RH Josh Tomlin (2-0, 1.76)

Arrieta took a no-hitter into the sixth inning in Game 2 at Cleveland and ended up with the win, his first of the postseason. The reigning NL Cy Young Award winner had a little trouble controlling his arsenal with three walks, but struck out six. "I just want to execute with quality in and out of the strike zone, and try to get ahead in the count as early and as often as I can to open up some more options for myself," Arrieta told reporters of his approach to Game 6.

Tomlin surrendered two hits in 4 2/3 scoreless innings in Game 3 and was yanked by Francona at the first hint of trouble in a game the Indians went on to win 1-0. The 32-year-old Texan allowed two or fewer runs in each of his last eight appearances going back to the regular season and yielded one home run in that span. Tomlin is going on three days' rest in Game 6 but only threw 58 pitches in Game 3.

TRENDS:

* Cubs are 4-1 in Arrieta's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
* Indians are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
* Indians are 5-0 in Tomlin's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 6-1-1 in Cubs' last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
* Over is 12-3-3 in Arrieta's last 18 road starts.
* Under is 11-1 in Indians' last 12 playoff games.
* Under is 12-3-1 in Tomlin's last 16 starts overall.
* Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games with Joe West behind home plate.

CONSENSUS: The public is favoring the road favorite Cubs with their backs against the wall in Game 6 at a rate of 55 percent. Under is picking up 60 percent of the wagers on the total.

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Announcement

Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 11/1

Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 11/1

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