Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/20

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, October 20

Good Luck on day #294 of 2016!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some football trends to consider for Week 7………

— Chicago is 7-17-1 vs spread in last 25 NFC North games.

— Falcons covered seven of their last nine games.

— Patriots are 5-13 vs spread in last 18 games as a road favorite.

— Houston is 10-4-1 vs spread in its last fifteen games.

— Oakland covered its last six road games.

— Seattle is 10-5 vs spread in last fifteen NFC West games.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: NFL’s top 10 and bottom 3……

32) Browns— Jimmy Haslam owns the Browns; apparently his brother Bill is the governor of Tennessee. Wonder if they bet on last week’s game with the Titans and if so, did the governor give his brother seven points?

31) 49ers— San Francisco has allowed 42 pts/game in losing all three road games- they’ve been outscored 54-17 in second half of their last two games.

30) Jets— Geno Smith gets the nod under center for Gang Green this week; not sure why they have four QB’s, two who have never played in the NFL, but they do. Short week this week for their game with the Ravens.

10) Steelers— Ready to drop them out of top 10 until Big Ben returns, but there isn’t anyone better to put ahead of them this week. Landry Jones has started two NFL games but didn’t last long in the one Steelers won.

9) Raiders— Why are they getting points in Jacksonville this week? They’re 3-0 on the road.

8) Bills— So much for trying to have balance on offense. Rex Ryan wanted them to run the ball more, so he fired the OC and told the new guy to run it more, which they have, and very well.

7) Redskins— Jay Gruden was a head coach for 162 games in the Arena League and UFL before he got his chance in the NFL— he’s a really good coach who paid his dues.

6) Broncos— Not sold on either of their QBs, but their defense is really good and they’re still the defending champs.

5) Seahawks— They’ve slipped some but with 14 rookies and a veteran core, expect them to play better as the season rolls along.

4) Cowboys— Why would you replace Dak Prescott? Dallas won their last five games, they won easily at Green Bay, Cowboys have it rolling. Don’t mess with a winning streak.

3) Falcons— Was just as impressed with them in their loss in Seattle as I was by their wins. Atlanta gained 269 yards IN THE THIRD QUARTER at Seattle last week.

2) Patriots— Wonder if Microsoft stock will take a hit now that Belichick has disowned the tablets teams use on the sideline.

1) Vikings— Sam Bradford went thru training camp with the Eagles, now he goes back to Philly in Week 7 as the starting QB of the hottest team in the league.

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 20

Cubs @ Dodgers
Lester is 6-1, 1.27 in his last eight starts; Cubs won five of his last seven road starts. He is 7-6, 2.57 in 16 postseason starts, and is 1-0, 0.86 in three starts against the Dodgers this year.

Maeda is 0-3, 9.88 in his last four starts, 0-1, 9.00 in two playoff starts. He allowed three runs in four IP in his only start against Chicago this year.

Cubs are 5-3 in playoffs this year, 3-2 on the road, 6-5 against Los Angeles this season.

Dodgers won four of their last six games; Roberts is a rookie manager who is 5-4 in the playoffs. Maddon got Tampa Bay to ’08 World Series; he is 22-25 as a manager in the postseason, 9-8 with Chicago.

[Udog]

MLB

Thursday, October 20

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Trend Report
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8:08 PM
CHI CUBS vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Chi Cubs's last 18 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games at home
LA Dodgers are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games at home


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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, October 20

Chicago Cubs @ LA Dodgers

Game 905-906
October 20, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 13.371
LA Dodgers
(Maeda) 17.842
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 4 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-155
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(+135); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 20

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CHICAGO CUBS (108 - 61) at LA DODGERS (96 - 75) - 8:05 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. KENTA MAEDA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 5-6 (+0.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

JON LESTER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LESTER is 2-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.82 and a WHIP of 0.965.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+3.9 units)

KENTA MAEDA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MAEDA is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.750.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, October 20


Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers, 8:05 PM ET
Lester: Chicago Cubs are 6-3 SU in last 9 games
Maeda: 13-3 SU in last 16 home games

[Udog]

MLB

Thursday, October 20

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Thursday's NLCS Game 5 Betting Preview: Cubs at Dodgers
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Dodgers' manager Dave Roberts reiterated after Game 4 that right-hander Kenta Maeda will start Thursday.

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (+140, 7)

Series tied 2-2

The Chicago Cubs went 21 innings without scoring before the offense broke out and now aim to regain the series lead when they visit the Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday in Game 5 of the National League Championship Series. First baseman Anthony Rizzo and shortstop Addison Russell each broke out of deep postseason slumps as Chicago racked up 13 hits in a 10-2 victory on Wednesday to even the series at two games apiece.

Rizzo (three RBIs) and Russell (two) were each 3-for-5 with a homer to end deep postseason funks that saw them enter Game 4 with a combined 3-for-50 showing -- 2-for-26 for Rizzo and 1-for-24 for Russell. "We just got to keep fighting, and we know that," Rizzo said afterward. "We know what we're capable of in any inning. ... We have to keep going and keep believing and keep pushing." Los Angeles played sloppily and committed four errors in Game 4 but that didn't sway the decision announced earlier in the day by manager Dave Roberts to not pitch ace left-hander Clayton Kershaw again until Game 6 in Chicago. Roberts reiterated after the contest that right-hander Kenta Maeda will pitch Thursday as Roberts cited Kershaw was heavily used (three starts, one relief appearance) over a 10-day span.

TV: 8:08 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

WEATHER REPORT: Los Angeles. Sunny, low-90's at beginning of the game falling all the way down to mid-80's when the sun goes down, no wind, 10 percent humidity. Can anyone spare a plane ticket to Los Angeles?

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs LH Jon Lester (1-0, 0.64 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (0-1, 9.00)

Lester received a no-decision in Game 1 when he allowed one run and four hits and wasn't thrilled when manager Joe Maddon pulled him after six innings. "I don't get paid to make decisions," Lester said at a press conference. "I pitch as long as he tells me to pitch. And as competitors in that particular moment, you're not happy with the decision. That doesn't mean that I'm going to go in there and yell at him or I don't trust him or I don't like him or anything like that. That's just being a competitor." Lester has a stellar 2.57 ERA in 18 postseason appearances (16 starts) but owns only a 7-6 record.

Maeda has pitched poorly in two postseason starts, including Game 1 when he gave up three runs and four hits in four innings. He has pitched five or fewer innings in six straight outings dating back to the regular season and admits his playoff performance has been shaky. "I'm not going to be too careful, even though I haven't been pitching well in the postseason," Maeda said during a press conference. "What I'm going to be really focused on is just pitching well (Thursday) and not worry too much about what I have done in the past."

TRENDS:

* Cubs are 2-9 in their last 11 League Championship games.
* Cubs are 6-0 in Lester's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
* Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Dodgers are 6-1 in Maeda's last 7 home starts.
* Over is 6-1 in Cubs' last 7 road games.
* Under is 10-2 in Lester's last 12 starts overall.
* Over is 6-0 in Maedas last 6 home starts.


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