Announcement

**Udog** · 10-11-2016, 08:29 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Gary Kubiak (migraines) will not coach the Broncos’ game in San Diego Thursday night.

— Navy-East Carolina game scheduled for Thursday was moved to November 19 because of flooding in the Greenville area.

— Baltimore Ravens fired OC Marc Trestman, replaced him with Marty Mornhinweg. We live in an inpatient society.

— Sacramento, Philadelphia will be first NBA teams with ads on their game jerseys, starting next season.

— Indians 4, Red Sox 3– Francona’s Tribe sweeps his former employer.

— Wow, Michael Bloomberg is running ads on FS1 supporting a soda tax in California; he would be pretty steamed if he looked in my kitchen.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Titans-Dolphins game had total of only 111 plays Sunday; Eagles-Lions game had 113, Bills-Rams 116. By way of contrast, Texas-Oklahoma game had 168 plays, USC-Colorado 153.

You get lot more action, a lot more plays when you watch a college game.

12) Underdogs are 17-5 against the spread in NFL division games this season.

11) A high school kicker in Bluffton, SC made nine field goals in one game a couple weeks ago, and he even missed two other tries. Kid made 44-47 yard FGs; the other seven were all 36 or less yards. Quite a night for the young man.

10) Right now, there are 576 players in NBA training camps; by October 24, 126 of those guys will get released or sent to the D-League, thats 21.9% of them. Some will go to Europe, some will go get real jobs, most will go to the D-League. Thats part of why the summer league in Las Vegas is so interesting; making an NBA roster is really, really hard to do.

9) Giant-Packer game Sunday night was first NFL game in nine years where a team coming off a Monday night game played a team coming off a bye. Ironically, the Packers were the team off the short week in 2007- they beat the Chiefs in Arrowhead that night. Just an unusual scheduling quirk.

8) Major league umpire Joe West made his big league debut 40 years ago, when he was only 22 years old. He was on the field when Willie McCovey hit his 500th homer and he is still on the field, working the Toronto-Texas series this past week. Making the majors as an umpire at age 22 ain’t an easy thing to do.

7) Through five games, here are the Atlanta Falcons’ yards/pass attempt in each game:
7.7 vs Tampa Bay, 11.1 @ Oakland, 7.0 @ New Orleans, 12.0 vs Carolina, 8.3 @ Denver. Really strong numbers.

Atlanta OC Kyle Shanahan took a lot of grief the last few years, between the RGIII debacle in Washington in 2013 and the Falcons’ collapse last year. Haven’t heard his name mentioned much this season.

6) NFC East teams are 8-4 vs spread in non-divisional game, AFC West teams 9-6, best records of the eight divisions. NFC West teams are 3-6, so far the worst record of any division.

5) New York Knicks have finished last in the NBA in fast break points the last four years in a row. Wonder why that is? Because Carmelo Anthony doesn’t like to run; when the Knicks had a point guard who liked to push the ball (Jeremy Lin), he was sent packing- I wonder why?

Supposedly new Knicks’ coach Jeff Hornacek wants the Knicks to run; I hope the hell they do, would be a lot more fun to watch than Anthony jacking fadeaways at the end of the shot clock.

4) Only eight college hoop teams have made the NCAA tournament each of the last six years: in alphabetical order, Cincinnati, Duke, Gonzaga, Kansas, Michigan State, North Carolina, VCU and Wisconsin.

3) Love watching Kevin Pillar play CF for the Blue Jays; what a great fielder he is!!!!

2) Underrated football analyst who should be on network TV: former Arena League QB Sherdrick Bonner, who was a really good QB for the Arizona Rattlers. Bonner does Mountain West games on Root Sports and is very smart and pleasant. Seriously, he would be in the top five of NFL analysts right now.

1) We hear so much bad news on TV all the time these days; the media is fixated on negativity, everyone is complaining about something, the Presidential election has become such an avalanche of crap that a total jerk like Donald Trump still has a chance to win, just because he is really, really rich.

So it was excellent that a rare touching moment took place in a dugout interview last night during the Texas-Toronto game; Texas 3B coach Tony Beasley has been battling cancer- he has two chemo treatments and an operation on December 5 (his birthday) remaining— he sounds upbeat that he will emerge healthy again. We hope so.

What was touching was this: Beasley had to spend a lot of time at a hospital in Houston, getting treatments. Beasley told Turner’s reporter Matt Winer that the Texas Rangers players took up a collection to pay for Beasley’s hotel bills; his insurance covers the medical expenses, so while he gets treatment, he has no financial worries. As Beasley was telling the story, Elvis Andrus, one of Beasley’s infield pupils, hit a homer for the Rangers. Good stuff.

We can only hope that Beasley’s medical treatments are also a home run.

**Udog** · 10-11-2016, 08:32 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 11

Nationals @ Dodgers
Ross/Lopez would both be making their first postseason start. Ross was 0-1, 2.79 in three September starts after coming off the DL (under 2-0-1). Washington is 7-4 in his road starts. he allowed two runs in 6.1 IP in his one start against the Dodgers.

Lopez is 2-3, 6.44 in six MLB starts, first of which was against LA on July 19 (allowed six runs in 4.2 IP). Nationals are 1-3 in his road starts. Over is 3-3 when he starts.

Youngster Urias is making his first postseason start; he 0-0, 1.50 in three September starts (only 12 IP- they were trying to limit his innings). He is 0-0, 3.00 in two starts (nine IP) against the Nationals this year. Four of his last five starts stayed under. Dodgers are 7-1 in his home starts.

Dodgers are in playoffs for 4th year in a row- their last World Series title was in 1988. LA is 6-3 vs Washington this season; they’re 11-2 in last 13 home games, but need win here to keep their season alive. Nationals won four of last five road games; they’re in playoffs for third time in last five years.

Roberts is a rookie manager. Baker is 21-27 as postseason manager; he won NL pennant is 2002 with the Giants.

Cubs @ Giants
Lackey is 3-1, 2.62 in his last seven starts; he allowed two runs in five IP in his once starts against the Giants this year. His last three starts went over the total. Cubs are 7-6 in his road starts. Lackey is 8-5, 3.11 in 20 postseason starts.

Moore is 2-0, 1.15 in his last two starts; his last four went over. Giants won his last four home starts. He didn’t pitch against the Cubs this season. Moore is 1-1, 4.41 in four postseason games (2 starts).

Giants are 4-6 against the Cubs this year; they’ve won six of last eight games overall (six of last seven at home), after a dreadful second half of season. Chicago won 11 of its last 15 games, five of its last eight on foreign soil.

Bochy won three World Series in last six years; he is 44-32 as a postseason manager. Madden got Rays to ’08 World Series; he is 19-23 as a postseason manager. Bochy is now 10-0 in elimination games with the Giants.

**Udog** · 10-11-2016, 08:33 AM

MLB

Tuesday, October 11

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Trend Report
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5:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games at home
LA Dodgers are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games at home

8:40 PM
CHI CUBS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Chi Cubs are 1-4-1 SU in their last 6 games ,when playing on the road against San Francisco
Chi Cubs5-1-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco4-1-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
San Francisco is 1-5-1 SU in their last 7 games ,when playing Chi Cubs

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**Udog** · 10-11-2016, 09:38 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 11

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WASHINGTON (97 - 68) at LA DODGERS (92 - 73) - 5:05 PM
JOE ROSS (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 6-3 (+3.2 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JOE ROSS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ROSS is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.636.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
KERSHAW is 11-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 0.946.
His team's record is 12-2 (+8.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.1 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (105 - 59) at SAN FRANCISCO (89 - 77) - 8:35 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. MATT MOORE (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 6-4 (+1.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LACKEY is 2-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.2 units)

MATT MOORE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

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**Udog** · 10-11-2016, 12:16 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Tuesday, October 11

Washington at LA Dodgers, 5:05 PM ET
Ross: WASHINGTON is 12-18 SU with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games
Kershaw: LA DODGERS are 10-5 SU after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits

Chicago Cubs at San Francisco, 8:35 PM ET
Lackey: CHICAGO CUBS are 8-11 SU on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
Moore: SAN FRANCISCO is 16-6 SU with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games

**Udog** · 10-11-2016, 06:21 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 11

Washington @ LA Dodgers

Game 951-952
October 11, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Ross) 16.090
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 13.277
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-265
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+220); Over

Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco

Game 953-954
October 11, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lackey) 15.147
San Francisco
(Moore) 17.740
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-130
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+110); Under

Announcement

Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/11

Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/11

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