Announcement

**Udog** · 10-10-2016, 08:32 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Happy Thanksgiving to all our Canadian friends!!!!

Six most popular picks this week in Westgate Super Contest:

1) Cincinnati Bengals -1 (841)- L

2) Philadelphia Eagles -3 (568)- L

3) Minnesota Vikings -6.5 (508)- W

4) Pittsburgh Steelers -7 (494)- W

5) New Jersey Giants +7.5 (476)- W

6) Detroit Lions +3 (443)- W

Season record for top 6 picks: 10-20 vs spread

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

Vikings 31, Texans 13— Minnesota is on an improbable 18-2 spread run, 5-0 this year; they’ve scored four TDs on special teams/defense, are 15-30 on 3rd down last two weeks. Only one of their five wins is by less than nine points. Houston was 1-13 on 3rd down in this game, averaged 3.4 yards/pass attempt- home team won/covered all five of their games this year.

Tennessee 30, Miami 17— Dolphins are now a horrendous 13-34 vs spread in their last 47 games as a home favorite- that goes back 10.5 years. How many coaches have to get fired before Miami realizes Ryan Tannehill isn’t good? Titans gave up a punt return TD for second week in a row, but had a 14-yard edge in field position, were +2 in turnovers.

Stat of Day: Over last four weeks, from Weeks 2-5, NFL teams that were +2 or better in turnovers are 27-1 SU- they’re 28-4 for the season.

Patriots 33, Browns 13— Brady threw for 406 yards, three TDs in his return from suspension. Cleveland got two more QB’s KO’d, wound up using Terrelle Pryor at QB, meaning that thru five games this year (0-5), they’ve already used five QB’s and probably have to sign (at least) one more for next week. If they use Pryor at QB, then they lose their best WR.

Steelers 31, Jets 13— Pittsburgh had 30 first downs; on three drives, they had 6+ first downs- Steelers averaged 7.8 yards/pass attempt, were 5-10 on 3rd down. Jets lost field position by 11 yards, after losing it by 13 yards last week. Over last three games, Jets have been outscored 37-7 in second half. Cleveland is desperate for a QB; Jets have four on their roster- shouldn’t these teams make a trade?

Redskins 16, Ravens 10— Baltimore drove 75 yards on nine plays for a TD on their first drive; rest of the game? 60 plays for 231 yards, with one FG on 11 drives. Redskins were one of four teams this week to score a TD on defense/special teams- those teams went 3-1 in their game, are 12-7 for the season, with two other games where both teams had one. All five Baltimore games have been decided by 6 or less points.

Lions 24, Eagles 23— Philly had 14 penalties for 111 yards, Detroit two for 18. Wentz rallied team back from 21-10 deficit, but Lions kicked winning FG with 1:28 left. There were 113 plays from scrimmage in this game, 111 in the Miami game; the Texas-Oklahoma game had 168 plays, the Colorado-USC game 153. You get more bang for your entertainment buck watching college games.

Colts 29, Bears 23— Chicago led 23-19 with 4:00 left, but Indy scored 10 points in last 3:49 for their second win. Surprised that Buck/Aikman had this game- weak card of games on FOX this week. Bears had six plays of 20+ yards, as Hoyer threw for 397 yards; only one of Indy’s eight plays of 20+ yards came on first down. High scoring games, but teams combined to go just 5-21 on third down. Hoyer had big game, but missed Jeffrey in end zone on Chicago’s last drive to try and win the game.

Falcons 23, Broncos 16— Atlanta gave up 31 pts/game in their 3-1 start; they held Denver to 267 TY, 4.5 yards/pass attempt in leading this game wire/wire. Falcons started LY 5-0, wound up 8-8; you get the idea this 4-1 start is based on more solid footing. Rookie QB Lynch was 23-35/223 yards in his first NFL start, was sacked six times. NFC teams are 14-8 vs AFC clubs this season- they were 4-2 this week.

After the game, Denver coach Kubiak was taken to the hospital with “flu-like symptoms”. When he was coach in Houston, Kubiak had a mini-strike at halftime of a game. We hope he is healthy. Denver plays on Thursday night this week, by the way.

Bills 30, Rams 19— Buffalo punter Schmidt was star of game, with four of his six punts pinning LA inside its own 20-yard line. Rams drove 86 yards on one drive but had to kick a FG. Buffalo was +3 in turnovers and in essence got a 4th turnover on a roughing/punter penalty. Taylor is a lot like Doug Flutie was; mobile but not a big runner, little scatter-armed, a good leader. Bills have won three games in row after an 0-2 start.

Raiders 34, Chargers 31— 4-1 start for Oakland, with three wins by 3 or less points. You have to feel for San Diego; another brutal loss, with their punter muffing the hold on chip-shot game-tying FG just before 2:00 warning. Chargers turned ball over four times (-3)30.4 pts/game and are 1-4- they had 150 rushing yards in Week 2, have combined for 149 rushing yards in three games since.

Cowboys 28, Bengals 14— To me the most surprising score of week; this game wasn’t close to being this close- it was 28-0 in 4th quarter. Dallas ran ball for 180 yards; only eight of 54 plays they ran came on third down. You have to wonder about NFL scouting when Prescott plays so well as a rookie QB but wasn’t that highly touted- I don’t think the DUI he supposedly got in March hurt his draft position. No one was taking him higher than Dallas did, no matter what.

Baseball update:
Washington 5, Dodgers 2— Unlikely hero? Backup catcher Jose Lobaton, playing only because Wilson Ramos hurt his knee at the end of the regular season. Lobaton hit a 3-run homer in the bottom of the 4th when LA led 2-0. Nationals’ bullpen got the last 14 outs without allowing a run, so series heads to Tinseltown tied 1-1. TV executives breathe a sigh of relief, with first series guaranteed to have a Game 4.

Blue Jays 7, Rangers 6— Josh Donaldson scored from second on a force play to end the game as Toronto sweeps the Rangers and moves on to the ALCS. I’m an A’s fan; Donaldson is awesome and Oakland didn’t get nearly enough for him when the was traded (for financial reasons). But hey, those guys advising Billy Beane went to college in the Ivy League, so they must be smart, right?

Packers 23, Giants 16– Not a great night for either QB, but for third time in last four games, Giants scored zero or one offensive TD. For the week, favorites are 5-7-1, home teams 5-7-1, over 7-6.

**Udog** · 10-10-2016, 08:45 AM

MLB

Monday, October 10

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Monday's MLB Division Series Betting Preview and Odds
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Bumgarner baffled the Mets with a four-hitter, striking out six and walking a pair, to improve his career postseason numbers to 8-3 with a 1.94 ERA and 0.86 WHIP.

With the Toronto Blue Jays' walk-off sweep over the Texas Rangers Sunday night there are only three spots remaining in the League Championship Series'. The pursuit continues Monday with three crucial matchups.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals (-150, 7.5)

Series tied 1-1

Daniel Murphy is picking up right where he left off last postseason and hopes to stay hot when his Washington Nationals visit the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday afternoon for Game 3 of their National League Division Series. Murphy has recorded four hits in the first two games, including three in Sunday’s 5-2 victory, after batting .328 with seven home runs and 11 RBIs in 14 contests for the New York Mets during last year’s playoffs.

Murphy knocked in a pair of runs and Jose Lobaton, a .226 lifetime hitter, belted a three-run homer as the Nationals evened the best-of-five series, which resumes clear across the country less than 24 hours after Mark Melancon retired the final Dodgers batter on Sunday. Gio Gonzalez brings a 3-1 lifetime record and 1.69 ERA against Los Angeles into his fourth career playoff start while Kenta Maeda makes his postseason debut for the Dodgers. Los Angeles stranded 12 baserunners in Sunday’s loss and needs others to step up outside of Corey Seager and Justin Turner. Seager has homered in each contest of the series and Turner is 4-for-6 with a blast, extending his playoff hitting streak to seven games.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, MLB Network

WEATHER REPORT: Umm, it's Los Angeles - of course it's going to be sunny with temperatures in the 80's and virtually no wind. There is a 5 percent chance of rain but don't count on that long shot coming through.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (11-11, 4.57 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (16-11, 3.48)

Gonzalez struggled in September, going 1-2 with a 7.43 ERA and completing more than five innings just once in five starts. The 31-year-old Floridian went 4-6 on the road during the regular season but did win six of his nine decisions after the All-Star break and beat the Dodgers on July 20. Gonzalez has had solid success against Adrian Gonzalez (2-for-17), Yasiel Puig (1-for-11) and Turner (2-for-19).

Maeda made 32 starts in his first season in the majors and performed well overall, but he completed seven innings just twice and was pounded in his last two outings. The 28-year-old native of Japan gave up eight runs in 6 2/3 frames over the last two turns and owns a 4.25 ERA since the All-Star break after posting a 2.95 beforehand. Maeda, who will be facing Washington for the first time, is 7-5 with a 3.22 ERA at home.

TRENDS:

* Nationals are 1-6 in Gonzalez' last 7 road starts.
* Dodgers are 6-0 in Maeda's last 6 home starts.
* Under is 21-5 in Nationals last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.

CONSENSUS: The public is leaning toward the home favorite Dodgers with 66 percent of the picks and Over 7.5 is grabbing a surprising 82 percent of the totals wagers.

Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox (-145, 9.5)

Indians lead series 2-0

Cleveland Indians manager Terry Francona is pushing all the right buttons with his pitching staff in the American League Division Series and has a chance to clinch in a place that holds some special memories. Francona, who guided the Red Sox to two World Series championships as manager, tries to advance the Indians to the AL Championship Series when they visit Boston for Game 3 in the best-of-five set Sunday.

Francona used Andrew Miller and Cody Allen each for a season-high 40 pitches in a 5-4 Game 1 victory and rode ace Corey Kluber, who missed time at the end of the season with a quad injury, for seven innings in Game 2's 6-0 triumph. "I think everybody is just playing baseball," Francona told reporters. "I think that's what we know how to do. I think when you start thinking about other things that maybe we're not so good at, we try to stay away from that and just play the game, and play the game as well as we can and see what happens." The Red Sox led the league in runs scored and batting average during the regular season but struck out 22 times in the first two games and watched stars Dustin Pedroia, Mookie Betts, David Ortiz, Xander Bogaerts and Jackie Bradley Jr. go a combined 4-for-36. "We're getting our (butts) beat," Ortiz told reporters. "Nothing to celebrate. It's part of the game, man, but I know we're better than that."

TV: 4:08 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER REPORT: After Sunday's rain out the weather should be much improved Monday evening with clear skies and temperatures in the low-60's. Wind will likely be a factor with a 10-15 mph wind blowing in from left-center field.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Indians RH Josh Tomlin (13-9, 4.40 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Clay Buchholz (8-10, 4.78)

Tomlin was an unlikely candidate to start a postseason game for Cleveland when he was struggling to get outs in August and was briefly demoted to the bullpen, but a strong finish and injuries to Carlos Carrasco and Danny Salazar pushed him up to Game 3 status. The 31-year-old Texan posted a 1.75 ERA in his final four appearances during the regular season, capped by a win at Kansas City that helped guarantee the Indians homefield advantage in the ALDS. Tomlin is 2-3 with a 5.49 ERA in seven career games (six starts) against Boston, including a tough-luck loss Aug. 15 when he allowed three runs in 7 2/3 innings.

Buchholz is another unlikely Game 3 starter after being pushed back to the bullpen because of ineffectiveness earlier in the season but - like Tomlin - a strong closing stretch convinced the team to push him up. Buchholz surrendered three runs and 11 hits in 19 innings over his final three regular-season starts. The 32-year-old Texan is 2-2 with a 4.85 ERA in seven career starts against Cleveland but struggled in two chances this season, allowing a combined nine runs (eight earned) and seven walks in 10 innings.

TRENDS:

* Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Red Sox are 5-1 in Buchholz' last 6 starts.
* Under is 5-0-1 in Tomlin's last 6 starts overall.
* Under is 12-3-1 in Red Sox last 16 overall.

CONSENSUS: The public is favoring the home favorite Red Sox at a rate of 68 percent and Over 9.5 is grabbing the majority of the totals picks with 57 percent.

San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs (-130, 6)

Cubs lead series 2-0

Madison Bumgarner looks to continue his impressive postseason success and keep the San Francisco Giants alive when they host the Chicago Cubs on Monday in Game 3 of their National League Division Series. The left-hander is 5-1 with a save and a 0.88 ERA in eight playoff contests over his past two postseasons (2014 and 16) after shutting out the New York Mets 3-0 in the Wild-Card Game last Wednesday.

“We’ve got a lot of confidence with him on the mound,” San Francisco catcher Buster Posey told reporters of his battery mate, who won both starts against the Cubs in 2016. “We’ll try to go out and win that one and go from there.” The Giants, who face elimination after winning 11 straight postseason series, scored just two runs in the first two games and Chicago’s pitchers have knocked in three at the plate. Infielder Javier Baez is 3-for-6 with a homer in the series and the Cubs received a run-scoring single in the first inning of a 5-2 win Saturday from Ben Zobrist, who is 6-for-12 lifetime against Bumgarner. Chicago turns to right-hander Jake Arrieta, who is 11-3 on the road this season and split a pair of 2016 starts against San Francisco with a 2.08 ERA.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

WEATHER REPORT: Game-time conditions will be partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the mid-60's. As usual at AT&T Park in San Francisco the temps will fall steadily as evening turns into night and there will be a still 10-15 mph wind blowing out toward McCovey Cove in right field.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (18-8, 3.10 ERA) vs. Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (2016 playoffs: 1-0, 0.00)

Arrieta started the season 12-2 with a 2.10 ERA through June and split 12 decisions since after going 2-3 with a 4.60 ERA in September. The 30-year-old TCU product, who boasts 40 wins and a 2015 Cy Young Award in his past two seasons, owns a 4-2 mark with a 1.82 ERA in six career starts against the Cubs. Arrieta has held Posey, Brandon Crawford and Brandon Belt to a combined 2-for-38, but Angel Pagan is 5-for-11 against him.

Bumgarner baffled the Mets with a four-hitter, striking out six and walking a pair, to improve his career postseason numbers to 8-3 with a 1.94 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. The 27-year-old cooled off in the second half of the regular season as well, going 5-5 with a 3.80 ERA after posting a 10-4 record and 1.94 mark before the All-Star break. Bumgarner is 9-4 with a 2.14 ERA at home this season and has fared well against the Cubs in his career (8-2, 2.25).

TRENDS:

* Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff games.
* Giants are 14-3 in Bumgarner's last 17 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 11-2 in Cubs last 13 games following an off day.
* Giants are 4-0 in Bumgarner's last 4 starts vs. Cubs.

CONSENSUS: Early consensus returns are showing the public favoring the juggernaut Chicago Cubs as road dogs at a rate of 55 percent. Under 6 is picking up 59 percent of the totals wagers.

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**Udog** · 10-10-2016, 08:45 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, October 10

Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco

Game 903-904
October 10, 2016 @ 9:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 17.854
San Francisco
(Bmgrner) 16.400
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-130
6
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(+110); Under

Washington @ LA Dodgers

Game 901-902
October 10, 2016 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Gnzalez) 12.887
LA Dodgers
(Maeda) 15.375
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-150
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-150); Over

Cleveland @ Boston

Game 905-906
October 10, 2016 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Tomlin) 17.940
Boston
(Buchholz) 15.500
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-135
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+115); Over

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, October 10

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CLEVELAND (96 - 67) at BOSTON (93 - 71) - 6:05 PM
JOSH TOMLIN (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 14-23 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 (-10.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 96-67 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TOMLIN is 19-10 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 14-6 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 26-12 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 242-247 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-30 (-9.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BOSTON is 124-120 (-31.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-17 (-9.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BOSTON is 149-139 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 89-91 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 4-12 (-10.6 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-63 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-41 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 27-39 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 28-39 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 8-13 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 13-21 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 5-13 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-4 (-0.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. BOSTON since 1997
TOMLIN is 2-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.08 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 3-3 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.2 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 2-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.195.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.9 units)

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WASHINGTON (95 - 68) at LA DODGERS (92 - 71) - 4:05 PM
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. KENTA MAEDA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 6-1 (+5.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 3-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.69 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

KENTA MAEDA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHICAGO CUBS (105 - 58) at SAN FRANCISCO (88 - 77) - 9:35 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1593-1681 (-260.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 176-203 (-50.8 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1536-1594 (-234.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 769-824 (-186.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 63-45 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in October games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-32 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in playoff games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 28-9 (+17.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 121-70 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARRIETA is 28-7 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 16-3 (+11.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 28-7 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 60-40 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 16-3 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 88-77 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-31 (-20.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 85-77 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-55 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 58-54 (-17.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 6-3 (+2.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
ARRIETA is 4-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.81 and a WHIP of 0.907.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.7 units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BUMGARNER is 8-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.025.
His team's record is 9-3 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-3. (+3.6 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 10

Dodgers @ Nationals

Gonzalez is 0-2, 8.31 in his last three starts; he is 0-0, 3.21 in three postseason starts. Nationals are 2-9 in his last 11 road starts. Gonzalez beat LA 8-1 on July 20, allowing one run in six IP. Over is 5-2-1 in his last eight starts.

Madea is in his first MLB season; he is 2-3, 5.56 in his last five starts. Over is 9-5 in his last 14 starts. Dodgers won his last six home starts.- he hasn’t faced Washington.

Dodgers are in playoffs for 4th year in a row- their last World Series title was in 1988. LA is 6-2 vs Washington this season; they’re 11-1 in last 12 home games. Nationals won three of last four road games; they’re in playoffs for third time in last five years.

Roberts is a rookie manager. Baker is 20-27 as postseason manager; he won NL pennant is 2002 with the Giants.

Giants @ Cubs

Arrieta is 2-3, 5.22 in his last five starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine starts. He is 2-1, 3.66 in three postseason starts. Chicago is 11-4 in his road starts. He is 1-1, 2.77 against the Giants this year.

Bumgarner is 2-0, 2.45 in his last four starts, he is 2-0, 1.32 against the Cubs this season, 8-3, 1.94 in 15 postseason games (13 starts). Under is 3-1 in his last four starts. Giants are 10-6 in his home starts.

Giants are 3-6 against the Cubs this year; they’ve won five of last seven games overall (five of last six at home), after a dreadful second half of season. Chicago won 11 of its last 14 games, five of its last seven on foreign soil.

Bochy won three World Series in last six years; he is 43-32 as a postseason manager. Madden got Rays to ’08 World Series; he is 19-22 as a postseason manager.

Cleveland @ Boston

Tomlin is 2-1, 2.10 in his last four starts; his last five starts stayed under. Indians are 10-5 in his road starts. He allowed three runs in 7.2 IP in his only start vs Boston this year. This is his first postseason appearance.

Buchholz is 0-0, 4.21 in five postseason starts, which suggests a bullpen game here. He is 4-0, 2.41 in his last six starts overall; under is 8-3 in his last 11 starts. Boston is 4-7 in his home starts.

Red Sox are in playoffs for just second time in last seven years; they’re 4-4 vs Cleveland this year; they lost seven of last eight games overall, which followed their 11-game win streak. Indians are in playoffs for just third time since 2001; they’re 10-4 in last 14 games overall.

Obvious subplot here is that Francona is manager who ended Boston’s championship drought when he won 2004 World Series, then won again with Sox in ‘07. Francona has a 29-18 career record in playoff games. Farrell is 11-6 as a postseason manager, with a World Series title in 2013.

MLB

Monday, October 10

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Trend Report
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4:08 PM
WASHINGTON vs. LA DODGERS
Washington is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games when playing LA Dodgers
Washington is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games at home

6:08 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

9:38 PM
CHI CUBS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs

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Announcement

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/10

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/10

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