Announcement

**Udog** · 10-09-2016, 08:17 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks this week in Westgate Super Contest:

1) Cincinnati Bengals -1 (841)

2) Philadelphia Eagles -3 (568)

3) Minnesota Vikings -6.5 (508)

4) Pittsburgh Steelers -7 (494)

5) New Jersey Giants +7.5 (476)

6) Detroit Lions +3 (443)

Season record for top 6 picks: 6-18 vs spread

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Washington 70, Oregon 21— Huskies had lost 12 in row in this bitter rivalry, going 1-11 vs spread, but Ducks are lousy this year and U-Dub went out of their way to exact some revenge for those previous beatings. Starting QB Browning threw a 45-yard TD pass in the 4th quarter, when the score was 56-21. Oregon has lost four in a row; their coach has to be in very hot water.

12) Oklahoma 45, Texas 40— Sooners gained 672 yards, scoring 45 points in a game when they turned ball over four times (-2). Texas coach Strong called the defenses today, which helped in first half (14 -13 Sooners) but Longhorns reverted to normal form in second half. Have to think Texas will reach out to Houston coach Tom Herman in December.

11) Texas A&M 45, Tennessee 38 OT— I’ve never seen a team turn the ball over six times and win, but Tennessee got to OT with six TO’s; their 7th ended the game. With 8:00 left in third quarter, A&M led 28-7, but gritty Vols fought back and forced overtime, where they fell just short. Aggies are 6-0 for first time since 1994; they won their two I-A home games in OT.

10) Purdue 34, Illinois 31 OT— Good day for icing kickers; A&M’s kicker missed at the end of regulation when Tennessee coach Butch Jones iced him. In this game, Darrell Hazell used three timeouts in a row to ice the Illinois kicker on his game-winning try, and it worked as the Boilers prevailed later on in OT, winning a game where they allowed 315 rushing yards.

9) Navy 46, Houston 40— Middies ended Houston’s longshot hopes of a national title; with so many big-money programs struggling, Cougars coach Herman will likely bolt to one of those schools after this season, so curious to see how Houston does rest of way in a pretty good AAC.

8) Biggest Upset of Day (by pointspread); Tex-San Antonio 55, Southern Mississippi 32— Roadrunners won as a 17-point home underdog. UTSA ran ball for 339 yards.

7) Pitt 37, Georgia Tech 34— Most fun play of the day; Pitt’s QB rolls out to the right, throws a lateral/screen pass back to the left to #70 (an offensive lineman), who has an escort to the end zone for an easy TD. Football coaches work very long hours and drink a lot of Red Bull- that play had to be designed very late at night.

6) Oklahoma State 38, Iowa State 31— Cyclones have their hearts torn out for second week in row; they led 31-14 with 3:00 left in third quarter, but just like last week, they let it slip away late in a game where total yardage was 459-448. Iowa State is much-improved.

The field at Oklahoma State is so close to the bleachers in the corners of the field, really too close. Someone’s gonna get hurt, running OB at full speed with very little room to stop.

5) NC State 10, Notre Dame 3— In 1979, Tampa Bay beat the Chiefs 3-0 in a deluge on the last day of the season to win their division; this game reminded me of that, played in a quagmire with heavy rains. Total yardage was 198-113 NC State; the two FGs that were made in this game looked like me hitting a 5-iron— no bueno. Very tough weather conditions and Notre Dame is now 2-4.

4) TCU 24, Kansas 23— Jayhawks led 23-14 after third quarter; TCU kicked FG to win it with 1:21 left, avoiding a catastrophic loss. Kansas outgained them by 104 yards in a sloppy game where both teams had four turnovers. Huge sigh of relief from Fort Worth after this game.

3) Michigan 78, Rutgers 0— A long time ago, Florida State crushed some feeble opponent and coach Bobby Bowden said, “it is not my job to hold the score down, it is their job”, pointing to the other locker room. Total yardage in this game was 600-39. The Scarlet Knights have a lot of work to do, just to make their games competitive/watchable.

Hard to believe these teams are in the same league, right? Why did the Big 14 choose Rutgers over UConn? At least the Huskies are strong in basketball.

2) Florida State 20, Miami 19— Another great game is a series filled with them. Miami converted a 4th-down play to score TD in last 2:00, but PAT was blocked— that kicker had made 72 PATs in a row. Showtime is getting great theater for its Tuesday night reality show on the Seminoles. These two teams won’t be losing much the rest of the way.

1– Cubs 5, Giants 2— Chicago-Toronto-Cleveland all lead their best-of-5 series, 2-0.

Of the 72 previous teams to go up 2-0 in a best-of-5 series, 43 of them won the series 3-0. Only nine of the 72 teams wound up losing the series.

**Udog** · 10-09-2016, 08:27 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, October 9

Texas @ Toronto

Game 933-934
October 9, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Lewis) 16.759
Toronto
(Sanchez) 18.600
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-185
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-185); Under

Cleveland @ Boston

Game 931-932
October 9, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Tomlin) 17.940
Boston
(Buchholz) 15.500
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-135
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+115); Over

LA Dodgers @ Washington

Game 935-936
October 8, 2016 @ 4:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Hill) 14.016
Washington
(Roark) 15.865
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+100); Over

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 9

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LA DODGERS (92 - 71) at WASHINGTON (95 - 68) - 1:05 PM
RICH HILL (L) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 92-71 (-5.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 39-43 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA DODGERS are 89-69 (-6.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 60-64 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 49-41 (-5.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 178-147 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 177-146 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 75-71 (-13.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 6-1 (+5.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

RICH HILL vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HILL is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.415.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

TANNER ROARK vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ROARK is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 0.955.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

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CLEVELAND (96 - 67) at BOSTON (93 - 71) - 4:05 PM
JOSH TOMLIN (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 14-23 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 (-10.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 96-67 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TOMLIN is 19-10 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 14-6 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 26-12 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 242-247 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-30 (-9.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BOSTON is 124-120 (-31.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-17 (-9.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BOSTON is 149-139 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 89-91 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 4-12 (-10.6 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-63 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-41 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 27-39 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 28-39 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 8-13 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 13-21 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 5-13 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-4 (-0.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. BOSTON since 1997
TOMLIN is 2-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.08 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 3-3 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.2 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 2-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.195.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.9 units)

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TEXAS (95 - 69) at TORONTO (92 - 73) - 7:35 PM
COLBY LEWIS (R) vs. AARON SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LEWIS is 0-8 (-8.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 95-69 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 48-25 (+24.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 17-14 (+13.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 42-39 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 15-10 (+8.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 71-44 (+29.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 73-49 (+24.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 78-66 (+19.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 11-3 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 39-26 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 42-35 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LEWIS is 22-16 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEWIS is 24-13 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEWIS is 14-5 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEWIS is 15-7 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 92-73 (-6.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 54-47 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 (+1.6 Units) against TEXAS this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. TORONTO since 1997
LEWIS is 3-6 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 6.24 and a WHIP of 1.484.
His team's record is 5-7 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+1.8 units)

AARON SANCHEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
SANCHEZ is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.93 and a WHIP of 1.463.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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MLB
Short Sheet

Sunday, October 9

LA Dodgers at Washington, 1:05 PM ET
Hill: 7-0 TSR on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5
Roark: WASHINGTON is 15-19 SU against NL West opponents

Cleveland at Boston, 4:05 PM ET
Tomlin: CLEVELAND is 36-19 SU after 2 or more consecutive wins
Buchholz: BOSTON is 15-20 SU against AL Central opponents

Texas at Toronto, 7:35 PM ET
Lewis: TEXAS is 22-14 SU after 2 straight games with no home runs
Sanchez: TORONTO is 31-36 SU after 2 or more consecutive road games

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 9

Dodgers @ Nationals

36-year old Hill is 3-2, 1.84 in six starts (under 4-2) for the Dodgers; his only postseason start in a 12-year career was in 2007- he allowed three runs in three IP for the Cubs against Arizona. Hill didn’t pitch against Washington this year.

Roark is 3-3, 2.16 in his last seven starts (under 5-1-1); this is his first postseason start- he allowed one run in 2.2 IP in two relief stints for the Nationals two years ago, against the Giants. Roark lost 3-2 to LA June 21, allowing three runs in 7.1 IP. Washington is 10-7 in his home starts.

Dodgers are in playoffs for 4th year in a row- their last World Series title was in 1988. LA is 6-1 vs Washington this season; they lost six of last eight road games, but most of those losses came after they clinched the division. Nationals won six of last ten games; they jogged to NL East title— they’re in playoffs for third time in last five years.

Roberts is a rookie manager. Baker is 19-27 as postseason manager; he won NL pennant is 2002 with the Giants.

Texas @ Toronto

Lewis is 4-1, 2.60 in eight postseason starts; he is 0-5, 8.87 in his last five starts- under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Texas is 5-4 in his road starts. Lewis is 0-0, 3.21 in two starts against Toronto this season.

Sanchez has allowed one (unearned) run in 7.1 IP covering nine postseason relief stints; this is his first postseason start. He is 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts; under is 12-3-1 in his last 16 starts. Jays are 8-5 in his home starts. Sanchez is 0-0, 5.93 in two starts vs Texas this year.

Blue Jays are 6-3 against Texas this year- Toronto won its last five games, is 11-5 in its last 16. Rangers are 7-7 in last 14 games. Road team won six of last seven Toronto-Texas playoff games.

Jays are in playoffs for second year in row, only times they’ve made it since 1993. Texas is in for fifth time in last seven years- they’ve never won a World Series. Gibbons is 8-6 as a postseason manager. Banister is 2-5 as a postseason manager, with all six games against Toronto.

Cleveland @ Boston
Tomlin is 2-1, 2.10 in his last four starts; his last five starts stayed under. Indians are 10-5 in his road starts. He allowed three runs in 7.2 IP in his only start vs Boston this year. This is his first postseason appearance.

Buchholz is 0-0, 4.21 in five postseason starts, which suggests a bullpen game here. He is 4-0, 2.41 in his last six starts overall; under is 8-3 in his last 11 starts. Boston is 4-7 in his home starts.

Red Sox are in playoffs for just second time in last seven years; they’re 4-4 vs Cleveland this year; they lost seven of last eight games overall, which followed their 11-game win streak. Indians are in playoffs for just third time since 2001; they’re 10-4 in last 14 games overall.

Obvious subplot here is that Francona is manager who ended Boston’s championship drought when he won 2004 World Series, then won again with Sox in ‘07. Francona has a 29-18 career record in playoff games. Farrell is 11-6 as a postseason manager, with a World Series title in 2013.

MLB

Sunday, October 9

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Trend Report
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1:08 PM
LA DODGERS vs. WASHINGTON
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers

4:08 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BOSTON
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home

7:38 PM
TEXAS vs. TORONTO
Texas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Texas

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Announcement

Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/9

Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/9

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