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**Udog** · 10-08-2016, 07:10 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

2007 NFL Draft wasn’t a great one for quarterbacks:

JaMarcus Russell, 1st pick………Brady Quinn 22nd pick

Kevin Kolb 36th pick…………John Beck 40th pick

Drew Stanton 43rd pick…….Trent Edwards 92nd pick

Isaiah Stanback 103rd pick……..Jeff Rowe 151st pick

Troy Smith 174th pick………..Jordan Palmer 205th pick

Tyler Thigpen 217th pick

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random thoughts on a fall day……

13) Pretty cool that Tito Francona (Terry’s dad) threw out the first ball before Game 1 of the Indians-Red Sox series Thursday. Tito Francona was a .272 hitter in his 15-year career, six of which were played in Cleveland (he led the AL in doubles in 1960). Mr Francona is 82 now; was fun to see him throw out the first pitch Thursday.

12) If Indians-Rangers meet in ALCS, Jonathan Lucroy won’t get a warm greeting in Ohio; he vetoed a trade to the Indians this summer, before Milwaukee traded him to Texas. Ironic that Roberto Perez was a hitting star in Game 1; he’d be on the bench if the Indians had Lucroy.

11) Rangers skipper Jeff Banister is proving to be a really good manager, making the playoffs in his first two years in Arlington, but his playing career wasn’t quite as good. Banister made only one major league big plate appearance; July 23, 1991 for the Pirates— he singled in his only plate appearance, making him a career 1.000 hitter. Aren’t many of those.

10) Miami Marlins fired batting coach Barry Bonds and two other coaches; think about how badly Giancarlo Stanton struggled in May/June; that has to be a big reason why Bonds was told to take a hike. Not sure why the bullpen coach got fired, but he and the 3rd base coach also got canned. Firing Bonds just before a hurricane hits Miami is an interesting form of a news dump.

9) I think the one-game Wild Card format is great and don’t forget, my favorite team (the A’s) lost the Wild Card game in 12 innings two years ago. Despise that, I like it. You don’t like the one-game format? Then win your division and you bypass it.

8) Four playoff games on a baseball Friday; the 1:00 game tells you which TV markets MLB cares the least about. Toronto-Texas was the 1:00 game Friday.

7) Each team gets an extra instant replay challenge in playoff games; there were three replay reviews in the first 2.5 innings of the Toronto-Texas game Thursday.

6) Only three major leaguers have started a big league game at shortstop at age 18:
a) Robin Yount, a Hall of Famer
b) Alex Rodriguez, a future Hall of Famer
c) Tony LaRussa, who got 44 AB’s as an 18-year old for the ’63 A’s, then didn’t get back to the majors for five years. He wound up hurting his shoulder, but got 203 PA’s in 132 career games over six years, became a great manager and is in the Hall of Fame as a manager.

5) Philadelphia Eagles played at a very fast pace in three years under Chip Kelly, but in three games under Doug Pederson (and rookie QB Carson Wentz), Eagles are using 33.78 seconds between plays, the slowest pace in the NFL.

4) Oakland A’s won the 1989 World Series; since then, only one AL West team (’02 Angels) has won the World Series.

3) Not only are Waffle House restaurants tremendous, now I find out there is a Waffle House museum outside of Atlanta. Not sure what would be in a Waffle House museum, other than old menus and aprons, maybe some forks and plates, maybe a maple syrup dispenser, but eating at a Waffle House is an experience.

10-12 years ago, I was in Orlando in July with Harry the Handicapper as he recruited players for his basketball team. At the end of a day watching AAU basketball games, we stop in a Waffle House, which is very crowded, because 1) Waffle Houses are tremendous 2) Waffle Houses are small and 3) it was pretty late and not much else was open.

Just as we walk in, one of the two waitresses on duty gets in an argument with the manager; not good. The other waitress isn’t moving too quickly, the second one is yelling at the manager, and finally throws her apron at him and quits on the spot. Right out the door she goes.

We look at each other, look at the crowded Waffle House with one (slow moving) waitress and reluctantly we take off to find food elsewhere. It was sad, because New York doesn’t have Waffle Houses. Maybe the apron the waitress threw at the manager is in the Waffle House museum.

2) Why do news channels send reporters out in the middle of a hurricane? Isn’t that dangerous? Do those people get paid more? Does it help their careers?

I remember once we had a blizzard here in beautiful upstate New York and channel 13 sent a lady named Elaine Houston out to Albany Airport to report on the blizzard.

Now the airport is closed and Ms Houston looks like the coldest and most miserable person on the planet as she gives her report (outside). I couldn’t help but laugh; who is the genius that thought sending her to a deserted airport during a blizzard was a good idea?

1) What would happen if there was a hurricane on Election Day? There would be no voting in Florida and maybe Georgia and South Carolina; would they postpone the election?

**Udog** · 10-08-2016, 07:14 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, October 8

Dodgers @ Nationals

36-year old Hill is 3-2, 1.84 in six starts (under 4-2) for the Dodgers; his only postseason start in a 12-year career was in 2007- he allowed three runs in three IP for the Cubs against Arizona. Hill didn’t pitch against Washington this year.

Roark is 3-3, 2.16 in his last seven starts (under 5-1-1); this is his first postseason start- he allowed one run in 2.2 IP in two relief stints for the Nationals two years ago, against the Giants. Roark lost 3-2 to LA June 21, allowing three runs in 7.1 IP. Washington is 10-7 in his home starts.

Dodgers are in playoffs for 4th year in a row- their last World Series title was in 1988. LA is 6-1 vs Washington this season; they lost six of last eight road games, but most of those losses came after they clinched the division. Nationals won six of last ten games; they jogged to NL East title— they’re in playoffs for third time in last five years.

Roberts is a rookie manager. Baker is 19-27 as postseason manager; he won NL pennant is 2002 with the Giants.

Giants @ Cubs

Former Cub Samardzija is 1-1, 1.37 in his last three starts; under is 12-1 in his last 13 starts. He allowed three runs in four IP in his only start against the Cubs this year. Giants are 8-6 in his road starts this year. This is his first postseason start- he allowed one run in one inning in a relief stint in 2008 against the Dodgers.

Hendricks is 5-1, 2.05 in his last seven starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Cubs are 9-4 in his home starts. He is 0-0, 5.19 in two postseason starts, both LY.

Giants are 3-5 against the Cubs this year; they’ve won five of last six games overall, after a dreadful second half of season. Chicago won ten of its last 13 games.

Bochy won three World Series in last six years; he is 43-31 as a postseason manager. Madden got Rays to ’08 World Series; he is 18-22 as a postseason manager.

MLB

Saturday, October 8

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Trend Report
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4:08 PM
LA DODGERS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Washington is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers

8:08 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. CHI CUBS
San Francisco is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco

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**Udog** · 10-08-2016, 09:32 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, October 8

LA Dodgers @ Washington

Game 959-960
October 8, 2016 @ 4:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Hill) 14.016
Washington
(Roark) 15.865
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+100); Over

San Francisco @ Chicago Cubs

Game 961-962
October 8, 2016 @ 8:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 18.114
Chicago Cubs
(Hndricks) 14.511
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 3 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-185
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+165); N/A

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 8

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LA DODGERS (92 - 71) at WASHINGTON (95 - 68) - 4:05 PM
RICH HILL (L) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 92-71 (-5.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 39-43 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA DODGERS are 89-69 (-6.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 60-64 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 49-41 (-5.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 178-147 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 177-146 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 75-71 (-13.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 6-1 (+5.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

RICH HILL vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HILL is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.415.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

TANNER ROARK vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ROARK is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 0.955.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (88 - 76) at CHICAGO CUBS (104 - 58) - 8:00 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 88-76 (-8.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 85-76 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-54 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 58-53 (-16.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-28 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAMARDZIJA is 40-58 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 0-8 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 27-34 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 26-35 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 15-28 (-14.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-8 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 86-52 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
HENDRICKS is 16-5 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 63-44 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in October games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-19 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-31 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in playoff games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-33 (+27.5 Units) against the money line in road games after getting shut out since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 404-405 (+40.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1592-1681 (-261.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 853-784 (-154.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-19 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games in October games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-14 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1535-1594 (-235.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1172-1249 (-197.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 50-61 (-33.6 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 768-824 (-187.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 5-3 (+1.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 1.900.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HENDRICKS is 1-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.261.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

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Announcement

Saturday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/8

Saturday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/8

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