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**Udog** · 08-08-2016, 08:39 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Jim Furyk shot a 58 at Hartford Sunday, jumping from 70th to 5th; he is first golfer to break 60 twice in tournament play.

— Manny Machado had three HRs in the first three innings in Chicago Sunday; he knocked in seven runs for the game.

— Sonny Gray is back on the DL and the A’s season is officially a dumpster fire. Brad Pitt won’t be calling anytime soon.

— Ichiro Suzuki got his 3,000th hit, a triple off the right field wall in Denver.

— Dodgers starting pitchers finished the sixth inning in only seven of their last 28 games.

— South Point Casino in Las Vegas had to refund roughly $40,000 in wagers when the Hall of Fame game was cancelled.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) NFL cancelled the Hall of Fame game last night because the field wasn’t safe; the Field Turf just wasn’t playable. It was best that the game was cancelled given the conditions, but what an embarrassment for the Hall of Fame and the NFL.

David Baker is President of the Hall of Fame; he used to be the commissioner of the Arena League, ruining the league by moving popular franchises in Des Moines and Albany to Long Island and Indianapolis, two areas that didn’t give a rat’s ass about Arena Football. Mr Baker is an over-educated nitwit.

12) Rough night for ESPN, which bagged Sunday Night Baseball for the week to show the football game, then had it cancelled, while the 7:00 Red Sox-Dodger game was a good one, shown on MLB Network.

11) Alex Rodriguez will retire after Friday night’s game, ending a great career. Bronx Bombers play in Boston during the week, kind of doubt the Red Sox will be giving him any going-away gifts.

10) An underreported thing is how many great athletes struggle with life after their playing days end; They find it hard to find something as stimulating as playing was for them. Will be curious to see if A-Rod winds up on TV.

9) I do not think any team owners should be inducted into Halls of Fame, just players, coaches, GMs.

8) I was looking back at old USFL stuff; the league lasted for three years in the mid-80’s. Jim Kelly, Reggie White, Steve Young played there. Jim Mora coached there. They played an 18-game schedule which is interesting; still think the NFL will wind up doing that- they’ll cut preseason to two games and play the Super Bowl President’s Day weekend.

7) One of weird things about Jared Goff learning to become an NFL QB is that he hasn’t done two of the most basic things in football: running a huddle and taking snaps from center, since Cal Bears don’t huddle and use shotgun snaps. Terminology is more complex; young man has a lot to learn in a short period of time, so hopefully they’ll let him ease his way into it.

6) There much be an incredible amount of money in hosting fantasy football leagues; I started getting ads to join leagues in late spring. Daily fantasy sports are legal again here in New York, by the way.

5) Listened to the replay of the Hall of Fame speeches late Saturday night; was surprised by how intense Brett Favre was, as he described how his dad, who was also his coach, would never offer him praise. Plus their team ran the wishbone, which didn’t exactly showcase Favre’s passing talent.

I mean, if Brett Favre is insecure as to whether he made his dad proud of him, you wonder how many kids are raised like that and don’t make the NFL or play in college, so they feel like total failures. In a way, it was kind of sad.

4) As far as Olympic basketball games go, how can you sit and watch a game where the pointspread is 50? The games not involving the American team should be interesting. China played the US team three times and 49 as a close as they came; not fun to watch.

3) Line moves on some first-week college football games: UTEP, from -3.5 to -7.5, Arkansas, from -20.5 to -24 and Washington, from -22 to -25.

2) San Diego pitcher Colin Rea, who was traded to Miami and then sent back to the Padres after he blew his arm out after only four innings with the Marlins, will have Tommy John surgery and is out for the entire 2017 season.

1) Marqueze Coleman was Nevada-Reno’s best basketball player last year; he hurt his ankle late in year, was told it was a sprain and tried to play thru it. Turns out he tore three ligaments in the ankle, now he needs surgery and will miss his first pro season overseas. Oy.

**Udog** · 08-08-2016, 08:44 AM

Going streaking: Is there a right time to pounce on an MLB winning streak?

If you’re anything like me, you watched the Indians during their 14-game run and kept thinking, “The second I jump on them, they’ll lose and I’ll be responsible for the mush.”

On Wednesday, June 15 of this year, former American League Cy Young winner Corey Kluber and the Cleveland Indians made their way to the visiting clubhouse at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City just moments after suffering a 9-4 loss to the defending World Series champion Royals that signified both the culmination of a three-game sweep as well as the evaporation of a three-game lead in the American League Central. The Tribe arrived in Kansas City just three days prior having won nine of their previous 12 contests to forge a 35-27 record and a lofty perch above each of their four divisional foes.

And less than 72 hours later, it was all gone.

For some, Cleveland’s three-game skid in Kansas City back in mid-June that resulted in a tie between the Indians and Royals atop the A.L. Central was a sign of troubling things to come. After all, Major League Baseball teams fall into disastrous slumps all the time. Just look at the current state of the San Francisco Giants for proof in regards to this theory, as the Orange & Black have dropped 13 of their 18 outings since entering the All-Star break with the best record in the business.

Unfortunately for the Royals, Tigers, White Sox and Twins, this iteration of the Cleveland Indians had other ideas.

16 days after getting swept by the Royals in Kansas City to force a tie atop their division, the Tribe found themselves with the second-best record in the American League at 49-30 along with a hefty seven-game lead over those same Royals thanks to an incendiary 14-game stretch of victories that broke a franchise-record 13-game winning streak established all the way back in 1942 and then duplicated in 1951.

While the baseball world marveled at Cleveland’s electrifying power surge, the gambling world began calculating the profits that could have been generated had anybody possessed the foresight necessary to jump on the Tribe’s train at the start of their devastating tear through the latter part of the June schedule.

Which brings us to an interesting question: From a sports betting perspective, when is the appropriate time to jump on a Major League Baseball winning streak? After all, if you’re anything like me, you watched the Indians during their 14-game run and kept thinking, “The second I jump on them, they’ll lose and I’ll be responsible for the mush.”

Here’s a breakdown of how MLB clubs have performed during winning streaks of various lengths both this year as well as over the past five seasons. The information below is laid out as follows: The first record listed after “3-game win streak” indicates how all MLB clubs have performed in their next outing, which essentially would be either a fourth consecutive win or the end of said winning streak. The second record indicates the same information, but over a five-year stretch spanning 2012 until present day.

WHEN TO JUMP ON A MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL WINNING STREAK

3-game win streak: 111-94 (.541), 759-701 (.520)
4-game win streak: 54-57 (.486), 378-379 (.499)
5-game win streak: 29-25 (.537), 185-191 (.492)
6-game win streak: 15-14 (.517), 96-88 (.522)
7-game win streak: 5-9 (.357), 55-40 (.579)
8-game win streak: 1-4 (.200), 29-26 (.527)
9-game win streak: 1-0 (1.000), 16-13 (.552)
10-game win streak: 1-0 (1.000), 7-9 (.438)

The first thing that jumps out from the above information is that teams on a three-game winning streak have won a fourth consecutive matchup a semi-respectable 52.0 percent of the time over the last five seasons, but are winning less than half the time since 2012 when attempting to win either a fifth (49.9 percent) or sixth (49.2 percent) consecutive game.

However, the six-game winning streak is where things start to get really interesting, as MLB clubs posting six consecutive victories are winning a seventh straight game 52.2 percent of the time and an eighth straight matchup 57.9 percent of the time over the last five years before those numbers begin to fall a bit once an eight-game winning streak has been achieved.

Granted, none of this should come as a total surprise as it’s fairly simple to understand that winning five games in a row is harder to achieve than winning four games in a row, just like winning four contests in a row more difficult to accomplish than winning three matchups in a row. But at the very least, the last five MLB seasons have shown us that if a good time does, in fact, exist as it pertains to jumping on a winning streak, game seven and game eight would be the time to do it.

I’ll leave you with this additional nugget to ponder as we head into this weekend’s slate of action: In 2016, teams riding a five-game winning streak have seen the UNDER hit in game six 62.3 percent of the time (33-20-1), while teams riding a six-game winning streak have seen the UNDER hit in game seven 70.4 percent of the time (19-8-2).

**Udog** · 08-08-2016, 09:07 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, August 8

San Francisco @ Miami

Game 951-952
August 8, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Cueto) 17.768
Miami
(Frnandez) 12.700
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 5
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-150
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+130); Under

Atlanta @ Milwaukee

Game 953-954
August 8, 2016 @ 7:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Whalen) 13.722
Milwaukee
(Davies) 12.809
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-170
9
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+150); Under

Cincinnati @ St. Louis

Game 955-956
August 8, 2016 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Reed) 12.896
St. Louis
(Wacha) 16.465
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-200
9
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-200); Over

Philadelphia @ LA Dodgers

Game 957-958
August 8, 2016 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Eflin) 14.359
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 17.434
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-205
8
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-205); Over

Tampa Bay @ Toronto

Game 959-960
August 8, 2016 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Odrizzi) 13.964
Toronto
(Dickey) 16.593
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-150); Over

Houston @ Minnesota

Game 961-962
August 8, 2016 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(McHugh) 18.267
Minnesota
(Duffey) 16.156
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-140
9
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-140); Over

Baltimore @ Oakland

Game 963-964
August 8, 2016 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Gausman) 15.256
Oakland
(Grveman) 16.156
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-155
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+135); Under

Detroit @ Seattle

Game 965-966
August 8, 2016 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Fulmer) 14.434
Seattle
(Iwkuma) 16.267
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-105); Under

Texas @ Colorado

Game 967-968
August 8, 2016 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Hamels) 17.552
Colorado
(Andrson) 16.133
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-130
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-130); Under

**Udog** · 08-08-2016, 09:07 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, August 8

National League
Giants @ Marlins
Cueto is 0-2, 4.56 in his last four starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine starts. Giants are 10-2 in his road starts.

Fernandez is 0-2, 6.55 in his last two starts; three of his last four home starts went over.
Miami is 9-3 in his home starts.

Giants lost 11 of last 14 road games; they’re 3-9 in last 12 road series openers. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Miami is 10-5 in its last 15 home games, 8-10 in home series openers. Last five Marlin home games went over the total.

Braves @ Brewers
Whalen allowed four runs in five IP (98 PT) in his MLB debut.

Davies is 4-0, 2.25 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Brewers won seven of his last eight home starts.

Braves won four of last five games, are 7-11 in last 18 road series openers. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Milwaukee lost three of last four games but won six of last seven home games; they’re 9-9 in home series openers. Under is 9-3-1 in last 13 games at Miller Park.

Reds @ Cardinals
Reed is 0-6, 9.07 in eight starts this year (over 6-0-2).

Wacha is 2-0, 3.71 in his last three starts; over is 12-3-1 in his last 16 starts. Cardinals are 6-5 in his home starts.

Cincinnati is 13-7 in its last 20 games, 6-4 in last 10 road series openers. Under is 6-1 in Reds’ last seven road games. Cardinals lost six of last eight games, are 8-11 in home series openers– over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

Phillies @ Dodgers
Eflin is 1-2, 5.76 in his last four starts (over 6-4). Phillies split his six road starts.

Urias is 1-1, 3.77 in his last six starts; his last three went over. Dodgers won all four of his home starts.

Philly is 6-4 in its last ten games, 5-1 in last six road series openers. Over is 10-5 in its last 15 games. Dodgers won three of last four games, are 5-2 in last seven home series openers. Under is 14-7 in their last 21 home games.

American League
Rays @ Blue Jays
Odorizzi is 3-0, 0.67 in his last four starts; he’s thrown 20 consecutive scoreless innings. Four of his last five starts stayed under. Rays lost his last three road starts.

Dickey is 1-3, 7.89 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Blue Jays are 2-10 in his home starts.

Rays lost four of last five road games, are 6-11 in road series openers. Tampa Bay’s last five road games stayed under. Toronto won five of last seven home games; they’re 7-11 in home series openers. Over is 4-0-1 in last five games at SkyDome.

Astros @ Twins
McHugh is 0-2, 12.91 in his last two starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five. Astros won three of his last four road starts.

Duffey is 1-2, 11.25 in his last four starts; over is 7-1-1 in his last nine outings. Minnesota won three of his last four home starts.

Astros lost 10 of last 13 games, are 7-10 in road series openers. Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Houston games. Minnesota won eight of last 11 games; they’re 7-11 in home series openers. Last nine Twins games went over the total.

Orioles @ A’s
Gausman is 2-2, 3.82 in his last four starts; six of his last eight stayed under. Baltimore lost seven of his last eight road starts.

Graveman is 0-1, 8.71 in his last two starts; four of his last six stayed under. Oakland won his last four home starts.

Orioles won five of last seven games, are 9-9 in road series openers. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Baltimore road games. Oakland lost eight of last nine games; they’re 9-9 in home series openers. Five of A’s last seven home games stayed under the total.

Tigers @ Mariners
Fulmer is 2-0, 2.90 in his last six starts; three of his last four stayed under. Detroit is 10-2 in his road starts.

Iwakuma is 6-1, 2.95 in his last seven starts; three of his last four home starts stayed under. Seattle won his last seven home starts.

Tigers won 11 of last 13 games, are 7-11 in road series openers. Under is 10-4-2 in Detroit’s last 16 road games. Seattle won five of last six games, is 10-8 in home series openers. Under is 5-2 in Seattle’s last seven home series openers.

Interleague
Rangers @ Rockies
Hamels is 3-1, 2.22 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Texas is 7-4 in his road starts.

Anderson is 4-0, 3.45 in his last five starts (under 7-3); Colorado won his last four home starts.

Rangers won seven of last ten games, but lost last six road series openers. Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Texas games. Colorado lost three of last four games, is 9-5 in last 14 home series openers. Under is 10-6 in Rockies’ last 16 home games.

Teams’ record when this pitcher starts
SF-Mia– Cueto 17-5 (1-3 last 4); Fernandez 14-7
Atl-Mil– Whalen 1-0; Davies 11-8
Cin-StL– Reed 0-8; Wacha 12-10
Phil-LA– Eflin 5-5; Urias 6-3
TB-Tor– Odorizzi 11-12; Dickey 8-15
Hst-Min– McHugh 13-9; Duffey 8-10
Balt-A’s– Gausman 8-11; Graveman 10-11
Det-Sea– Fulmer 15-2; Iwakuma 13-9
Tex-Colo– Hamels 16-6; Anderson 6-4 (5-0 last 5)
%age of time pitcher allows 1+ runs in first inning:
SF-Mia– Cueto 6-22; Fernandez 6-21
Atl-Mil– Whalen 1-1; Davies 4-19
Cin-StL– Reed 5-8; Wacha 6-22
Phil-LA– Eflin 3-10; Urias 2-9

TB-Tor– Odorizzi 4-23; Dickey 6-23
Hst-Min– McHugh 9-22; Duffey 6-18
Balt-A’s– Gausman 8-19; Graveman 4-21
Det-Sea– Fulmer 4-17; Iwakuma 3-22
Tex-Colo– Hamels 5-22; Anderson 3-10

**Udog** · 08-08-2016, 09:15 AM

MLB

Monday, August 8

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Trend Report
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7:07 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. MIAMI
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
San Francisco is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:20 PM
ATLANTA vs. MILWAUKEE
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games

8:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. MINNESOTA
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Houston's last 23 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

8:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Cincinnati is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Cincinnati

8:40 PM
TEXAS vs. COLORADO
Texas is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games
Colorado is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Colorado is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Texas

10:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Oakland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games

10:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. LA DODGERS
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

10:10 PM
DETROIT vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games on the road
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit

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**Udog** · 08-08-2016, 10:20 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, August 8

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SAN FRANCISCO (63 - 48) at MIAMI (59 - 52) - 7:10 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. JOSE FERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-19 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 59-52 (+4.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 42-32 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 380-441 (+39.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
FERNANDEZ is 12-0 (+12.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 32-6 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 26-6 (+16.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 32-6 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 24-5 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 18-3 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 193-141 (+42.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1113-941 (+107.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 591-578 (+51.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 53-31 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in road games after getting shut out since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 395-400 (+35.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 762-758 (+42.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CUETO is 26-11 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. MIAMI since 1997
CUETO is 4-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.416.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+4.3 units)

JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
FERNANDEZ is 1-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

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ATLANTA (41 - 70) at MILWAUKEE (49 - 60) - 7:20 PM
ROB WHALEN (R) vs. ZACH DAVIES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 44-71 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-25 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 30-25 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 30-25 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 30-29 (+6.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 76-120 (-37.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-49 (-25.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-0 (+3.3 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

ROB WHALEN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

ZACH DAVIES vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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CINCINNATI (45 - 65) at ST LOUIS (58 - 53) - 8:15 PM
CODY REED (L) vs. MICHAEL WACHA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 108-164 (-41.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 108-164 (-41.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 23-47 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 41-67 (-24.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 51-96 (-28.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 26-32 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-32 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 15-21 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 5-11 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-5 (+0.4 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

CODY REED vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
REED is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WACHA is 6-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.09 and a WHIP of 1.113.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (+0.0 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (52 - 61) at LA DODGERS (62 - 49) - 10:10 PM
ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. JULIO URIAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-61 (+5.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-60 (+4.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-35 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-32 (+14.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 45-57 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 417-403 (+55.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 156-122 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 59-47 (-3.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 42-40 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 86-71 (-14.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 33-28 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ZACH EFLIN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

JULIO URIAS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

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TAMPA BAY (45 - 65) at TORONTO (63 - 49) - 7:05 PM
JAKE ODORIZZI (R) vs. R.A. DICKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 45-65 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 1-11 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 27-41 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 28-34 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 33-51 (-24.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-42 (-23.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 16-35 (-22.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 610-700 (+7.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
DICKEY is 8-15 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DICKEY is 2-10 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
DICKEY is 7-18 (-12.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DICKEY is 3-10 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season. (Team's Record)
DICKEY is 0-6 (-7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-4 (+2.2 Units) against TORONTO this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. TORONTO since 1997
ODORIZZI is 3-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.093.
His team's record is 4-5 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.3 units)

R.A. DICKEY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
DICKEY is 8-9 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.183.
His team's record is 8-12 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-5. (+5.9 units)

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HOUSTON (57 - 54) at MINNESOTA (45 - 66) - 8:10 PM
COLLIN MCHUGH (R) vs. TYLER DUFFEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 57-54 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 14-21 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 58-78 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 56-52 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 36-38 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 9-18 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 128-145 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 65-62 (+16.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-7 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
MCHUGH is 35-19 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 43-65 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 30-51 (-15.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

COLLIN MCHUGH vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MCHUGH is 3-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.225.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

TYLER DUFFEY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
DUFFEY is 0-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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BALTIMORE (63 - 47) at OAKLAND (48 - 63) - 10:05 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. KENDALL GRAVEMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 56-79 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 20-40 (-17.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
GAUSMAN is 5-15 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 3-13 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 63-47 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 58-39 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 44-34 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 46-34 (+10.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-23 (+15.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 112-78 (+24.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 48-63 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 24-32 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 45-60 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 74-95 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 37-51 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 23-39 (-15.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GAUSMAN is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

KENDALL GRAVEMAN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GRAVEMAN is 0-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 11.57 and a WHIP of 2.057.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.4 units)

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DETROIT (61 - 50) at SEATTLE (57 - 53) - 10:10 PM
MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. HISASHI IWAKUMA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 161-235 (-55.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
SEATTLE is 41-29 (+8.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
IWAKUMA is 15-6 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
IWAKUMA is 12-3 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 61-50 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 56-47 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 37-31 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 44-35 (+15.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 35-27 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FULMER is 15-2 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FULMER is 10-2 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
FULMER is 14-2 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
FULMER is 7-1 (+7.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
FULMER is 8-1 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 133-139 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-25 (-15.0 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 66-70 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-13 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 125-135 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 47-51 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 56-75 (-30.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-0 (+4.3 Units) against SEATTLE this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

MICHAEL FULMER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
FULMER is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 0.924.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

HISASHI IWAKUMA vs. DETROIT since 1997
IWAKUMA is 1-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.0 units)

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TEXAS (65 - 47) at COLORADO (55 - 56) - 8:40 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HAMELS is 16-24 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 55-56 (+3.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 55-56 (+3.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 65-47 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 31-30 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 64-44 (+25.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 46-33 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 51-46 (+16.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 38-26 (+15.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TEXAS is 32-26 (+6.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HAMELS is 16-6 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 16-6 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 36-20 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 22-8 (+15.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 12-1 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 38-51 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

COLE HAMELS vs. COLORADO since 1997
HAMELS is 4-6 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.065.
His team's record is 6-6 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-3. (+4.9 units)

TYLER ANDERSON vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 08-08-2016, 02:13 PM

MLB betting cheat sheet and odds: Houston, we have a problem

Just as the Astros seemed to be finding their way in the American League playoff race, they’ve hit a major pothole.

Our MLB cheat sheet breaks down the best MLB betting notes so you can handicap every series like a pro this week, including a series between the pitching-weak Minnesota Twins and the struggling Houston Astros.

Houston, We Have a Problem

Just as the Astros seemed to be finding their way in the American League playoff race, they’ve hit a major pothole.

Houston has scored a paltry 17 runs over its last nine games, going 2-7 SU and 1-7-1 O/U over that span. The good news: an upcoming four-game set with the Twins could reverse both trends.

The Astros won two of three while going 2-0-1 O/U in its previous three-game set with the Twins, and while Minnesota has been scoring a ton of runs, it still has a 4.48 ERA since the break.

Sanchez’s Starter Swansong?

The Blue Jays have decided against shuffling ace starter Aaron Sanchez to the bullpen - at least for now. But the hard-throwing right-hander may be making his final start of the year Saturday afternoon against Houston.

Sanchez’s overall numbers look fantastic (11-2, 2.85 ERA, .289 opponent OBP), but he’s just a middle-of-the-pack starter in terms of units (-65).

Keep a close eye on Saturday’s total. While the Astros are having all sorts of trouble generating offense, Sanchez, despite going 6-16 O/U in 22 games season, has seen an average of 10.2 runs scored in six day starts this season - well up from a 7.75 runs-per-game total over his 16 night outings.

Thanks for Nothing

The National League Central is on pace to accomplish something that hasn’t been done in six years - and it isn’t good.

All five NL Central teams are at a negative unit return heading into the new week; the Pittsburgh Pirates lead the way at “only” 141 units lost, followed by the Chicago Cubs (-278), Milwaukee Brewers (-367), St. Louis Cardinals (-482) and Cincinnati Reds (-844).

If the numbers hold, the NL Central will be the first division to be without a positive money line since the American League West all finished with negative units won in 2010. It would be a surprising result for a division that, just last year, was considered among the strongest in baseball.

Hitting Notes

* The Minnesota Twins have been a red-hot over play (more on that below), and they have a few of their hitters to thank - Joe Mauer chief among them. Maker’s best days are clearly behind him, but he still racked up five straight multi-hit games this week, driving in nine runs in six outings.

* Baltimore third baseman Manny Machado put on an incredible show in Sunday’s 10-2 drubbing of the Chicago White Sox, swatting three home runs and driving in seven. The Orioles improved to 14-8 SU and 10-11-1 O/U in games where Machado goes deep.

Pitching Notes

*Marlins ace Jose Fernandez may be one of the top under options in the league (8-13), but low totals have predictably bucked this trend. Over has played in five of Fernandez’s seven starts with a total below 7. Fernandez and the Marlins are facing a total of 6 1/2 entering Monday’s tilt with visiting San Francisco.

*Colorado starter Tyler Chatwood has been victimized by a bizarre trend that has seen him go 2-9 O/U in 11 home starts. Despite being supported by high-octane offence, Chatwood’s 11 home starts have seen the home team score a paltry average of 3.36 runs per game. Chatwood goes Tuesday against visiting Texas.

Totals Trend

The Twins are the hottest totals play right now, racking up nine consecutive overs. They’re an impressive 6-3 SU over that span, and will look to add to that win total against the Astros this week.

Monday's Weather Report

* There is a chance of thunderstorms and warm, muggy temperatures in the mid-90's for first pitch tonight in Denver where the Rockies will host the Texas Rangers. The total for tonight's game is set at 10.5.

* Cool temperatures are expected in Oakland tonight for the game between the A's and the Baltimore Orioles. I can assure you that summer isn't over yet, but it's going to feel like it tonight in the Bay Area with evening temperatures dipping into the 50's! The total tonight is set at 8.5.

**Udog** · 08-08-2016, 05:58 PM

MLB

Monday, August 8

Marlins are 30-4 in Jose Fernandez' last 34 home starts. 2.11 ERA, 113 K's in 12 at home in 2016.
SF +135 MIA -160

Rays are 6-2 in last 8 meetings with TOR & Jays are 2-11 in Dickey's last 13 starts at home. TB +125 TOR -145

Announcement

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/8

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/8

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