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  • Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/21

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, July 21

    Good Luck on day #203 of 2016!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Favorites to win the college basketball national title next April:

    -- Duke 7-2-- Blue Devils were only 11-7 in ACC last year.

    -- Kentucky 7-1-- Wildcats are 71-17 in SEC games last five years.

    -- Villanova, Kansas 8-1-- Defending champs still highly regarded.

    -- Michigan State, North Carolina, Oregon-- 15-1

    -- Louisville, Virginia, Arizona-- 20-1

    -- Indiana, Xavier 25-1-- Musketeers starting to gain national recognition.

    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

    13) Mariners 6, White Sox 5 (11)-- Can't remember ever seeing a pitcher, umpire go at it over balls/strikes in first inning of a game. Plate ump Andy Fletcher blatantly missed a 3-2 pitch to Justin Morneau that put two on with two out in the first inning, and Hernandez let him have it, with Fletcher taking off his mask and yelling back.

    When Todd Frazier hit the next pitch for a 3-run homer, Felix' return from the DL was off to a very bad start.

    12) RIP Garry Marshall-- A TV genius in the 70s and also a movie maker, he passed away this week at age 81. Odd Couple, Happy Days, Laverne/Shirley, Runaway Bride, just some of Marshall's handiwork. RIP, sir.

    11) New Orleans Saints rookies are already in training camp at Greenbrier Resort in West Virginia- their first regular season game isn't until September 11th.

    10) James Loney got thrown out at the plate in top of 4th inning with Mets down 3-0 Wednesday, but replays showed he was safe, but the Mets never challenged the call. No bueno. Some teams have much better replay coaches than others.

    9) So I spent much of Wednesday and will spend all day today at the adidas Uprising basketball tournament in downtown Las Vegas; saw lot of good games last night, lot of good players. Seven games going on at once under one roof in the Cashman Center, a convention center next to the ballpark where the Mets' AAA team plays.

    8) Very well-run event; good officials, a main court where the game is shown on a big screen on the wall, comfortable place to watch kids play ball. Lot of the coaches you see on TV all winter were there to recruit- this is the last part of this recruiting season.

    Player of the Game is brought to a platform where he is interviewed on camera, which is a good prep for when he goes to college and meets the press.

    7) With seven games going on at once, how do you choose which game to watch? If you want to see elite players, you look at which big-name coaches are watching each game. If Tom Izzo and Lon Kruger are at one court, thats a good place to be.

    If you just want to be comfortable, then pick one spot, stay there and hope the games on that court turn out to be good ones. There are so many good players, the games I saw were mostly all hard-fought, competitive games.

    6) For kids playing this week, their goal is to get a college scholarship, or land one at as good a basketball program as possible.

    One way not to get a scholarship is this: Your team is up 3 with 0:57 left, shot clock is at 0:19-- ball is reversed to you and you quickly jack up a 3-pointer, when the play is to hold the ball, milk the clock-- you can get a 3-pointer anytime.

    Basketball IQ is a valuable asset to impress coaches with.

    5) Surprisingly, the 30-second shot clock came into play a few times; you'd think in AAU games, it would be very fast-paced, but couple teams put on 1-2-2 presses and that slowed their opponents down, so the shot clock did matter.

    I was talking to a high school coach from Georgia; his son had never played with a shot clock during his high school career, so this was all new to him.

    4) A team from Virginia subbed five guys at a time, which makes it tough when a close game comes down to the wire, because which five do you play, or do you mix/match and have kids play together who haven't played together the whole game? This team got beat at the end by a Minnesota team that probably wasn't the better team.

    3) One of my cab drivers is from Iraq; his English wasn't good, but I asked him what he thought about Donald Trump when he drove past the Trump Hotel, which is just off the Las Vegas Strip. He didn't want to answer, saying "my English isn't too good". He has only been in America three years-- he was a pleasant guy.

    2) Had chance to talk with North Carolina assistant coach Hubert Davis for a few minutes-- terrific guy. He enjoys coaching more than he did working on ESPN-- he did not like the travel too much that came with working on television.

    1) I'll have a lot more on this tomorrow, but championship game of this event will be Sunday at 6:00 ET on ESPNU.

    Comment


    • #3
      MLB

      Thursday, July 21



      BAL 0 NYY 5 UNDER now 8-0 in O's last 8, 7-0 in Yanks' last 7 @ home, 5-0 in last 5 meetings @ NY & 5-0 in Pineda's last 5 starts.


      MIA 1 PHI 4 Under now 8-0 in Phillies' last 8 home games.


      TOR 10 ARI 4 Patrick Corbin continues to be HORRIBLE at home. Now 0-7 (team 1-9).


      HOU 7 OAK 0 Houston is now 7-1 in Doug Fister's last 8 road games and, for some reason, the Astros have won their last 12 Wednesday games.


      NYM 2 CHC 6 The combo of umpire Jim Wolf and Bartolo Colon are now 8-0 hitting UNDER in their 8 career games together.

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Thursday, July 21


        National League
        Marlins @ Phillies

        Koehler is 0-2, 7.36 in his last five starts; Miami is 4-7 in his road starts. Four of his last five starts went over the total.

        Eickhoff is 2-1, 2.73 in his last four home starts; under is 9-2 in his last 11 starts. Phillies are 6-4 in his home starts.

        Marlins won seven of last nine games; under is 8-3 in their last ten games. Philly lost four of last six games, under is 12-2-1 in its last 15 at home.

        Brewers @ Pirates
        Garza is 0-3, 10.57 in his last three starts (over 2-2-2).

        Liriano is 1-6, 7.14 in his last nine starts; four of his last five went over. Pirates lost four of his last five home starts.
        Brewers lost five of their last seven games; under is 6-3-2 in their last 11 games. Pittsburgh won 11 of its last 16 games; six of last seven Pirate home games went over the total.

        Dodgers @ Nationals
        Urias is 1-0, 3.72 in his last four starts (over 4-4).

        Strasburg is 3-0, 0.94 in his last four starts; over is 13-2-1 in his last 16. Washington won all ten of his home starts.

        Dodgers are 7-10 in last 17 road games, seven of LA's last nine road games went over total. Washington won six of its last eight games; six of last eight National games stayed under. .

        Padres @ Cardinals
        Cashner is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. San Diego is 2-4 in his road starts.

        Wainwright is 3-0, 0.39 in his last three starts; his last eight stayed under. Cardinals are 7-3 in his home starts.

        Padres lost their last six road games; under is 5-2 in his last seven road games. St Louis won four of last five games; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten.

        Braves @ Rockies
        Foltynewicz is 1-0, 1.93 in his last two starts; his last three stayed under. Atlanta is 2-3 in his road starts.

        Bettis is 1-1, 5;92 in his last four starts; Colorado is 6-2 in his home starts. Five of his last six home starts went over.

        Braves lost four of last six games; they're 6-10 in road series openers. Under is 11-4-2 in their last 17 road games. Colorado lost three of last four games; over is 10-4 in their last 14 games at Coors Field. Rockies are 8-7 in home series openers.

        American League
        Orioles @ New York

        Tillman is 3-0, 1.29 in his last three starts; six of his last eight stayed under. Orioles won five of his eight road starts.

        Sabathia is 0-3, 8.58 in his last five starts (over 3-1-1). New York is 3-4 in his home starts. .

        Orioles are 4-10 in their last 14 road games, their last nine games stayed under. New York won seven of its last nne games, their last seven games stayed under.

        Twins @ Red Sox
        Duffey is 3-0, 3.08 in his last four starts; over is 8-2-1 in his last 11. Minnesota is 4-3 in his road starts.

        Wright is 3-0, 6.88 in his last three starts; Boston scored 21 runs in those games- three of his last four went over the total. Red Sox won his last five home starts.

        Twins won five of last seven road games; they're 5-10 in road series openers. Under is 5-0-1 in last six Minnesota games. Boston won 10 of last 12 home games; they're 9-7 in first game of a home series. Six of last seven Red Sox games stayed under the total.

        Tigers @ White Sox
        Pelfrey is 0-2, 7.04 in his last two starts; over is 8-5-1 in his last 14. Detroit lost seven of his nine road starts.

        Shields is 2-2, 1.91 in his last four starts (over 6-2). White Sox won three of their last four home starts.

        Tigers lost five of last seven road games; they're 5-11 in road series openers. Detroit's last four games stayed under. Chicago lost six of last seven games; they're 8-7 in home series openers. Five of their last seven games stayed under.

        Rays @ A's
        Moore is 0-2, 4.05 in his last four starts; seven of his last eight stayed under. Tampa Bay is 0-7 in his road starts.

        Gray is 1-1, 3.00 in his last two starts; Oakland is 3-5 in his home starts. Over is 4-1-1 in his home outings.

        Tampa Bay scored 21 runs in winning its last two games, after losing 11 in row on the road. Rays are 5-10 in road series openers. Oakland is 6-4 in its last 10 games; they've won 10 of last 11 series openers. Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten home games.

        Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
        Mia-Phil-- Koehler 7-12; Eickhoff 9-10
        Mil-Pitt-- Garza 1-5; Liriano 8-10
        LA-Wsh-- Urias 5-3; Strasburg 16-1
        Atl-Col-- Foltynewicz 4-6; Bettis 11-8
        SD-StL-- Cashner 7-7; Wainwright 13-6

        Balt-NY-- Tillman 17-3; Sabathia 8-8
        Min-Bos-- Duffey 7-8 (5-0 last 5); Wright 11-7
        Det-Chi-- Pelfrey 7-11; Shields 3-5/2-9
        TB-A's-- Moore 7-12; Gray 6-11

        Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
        Mia-Phil-- Koehler 6-19; Eickhoff 6-19
        Mil-Pitt-- Garza 2-6; Liriano 4-18
        LA-Wsh-- Urias 1-8; Strasburg 4-17
        Atl-Col-- Foltynewicz 3-10; Bettis 8-19
        SD-StL-- Cashner 4-13; Wainwright 6-19

        Balt-NY-- Tillman 7-20; Sabathia 2-16
        Min-Bos-- Duffey 4-15; Wright 5-18
        Det-Chi-- Pelfrey 9-18; Shields 8-19
        TB-A's-- Moore 3-19; Gray 3-17

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB

          Thursday, July 21


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          12:05 PM
          LA DODGERS vs. WASHINGTON
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
          Washington is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers

          1:05 PM
          BALTIMORE vs. NY YANKEES
          Baltimore is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
          NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

          7:05 PM
          MIAMI vs. PHILADELPHIA
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
          Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Miami
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

          7:05 PM
          MILWAUKEE vs. PITTSBURGH
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
          Milwaukee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
          Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee

          7:10 PM
          MINNESOTA vs. BOSTON
          Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
          Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

          7:15 PM
          SAN DIEGO vs. ST. LOUIS
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games
          San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 12 of St. Louis's last 18 games
          St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          8:10 PM
          DETROIT vs. CHI WHITE SOX
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing Detroit
          Chi White Sox are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Detroit

          8:40 PM
          ATLANTA vs. COLORADO
          Atlanta is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Colorado
          The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 17 games on the road
          Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
          Colorado is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games

          10:05 PM
          TAMPA BAY vs. OAKLAND
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
          Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
          Oakland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Dunkel

            Thursday, July 21



            Miami @ Philadelphia

            Game 953-954
            July 21, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Miami
            (Koehler) 16.798
            Philadelphia
            (Eickhff) 14.347
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Miami
            by 2 1/2
            7
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Philadelphia
            -115
            8 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Miami
            (-105); Under

            Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh


            Game 955-956
            July 21, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Milwaukee
            (Garza) 13.543
            Pittsburgh
            (Liriano) 15.847
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Pittsburgh
            by 2 1/2
            10
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Pittsburgh
            -180
            8 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Pittsburgh
            (-180); Over

            San Diego @ St. Louis


            Game 957-958
            July 21, 2016 @ 7:15 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            San Diego
            (Cashner) 15.104
            St. Louis
            (Wnwrght) 16.605
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            St. Louis
            by 1 1/2
            9
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            St. Louis
            -230
            8 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            St. Louis
            (-230); Over

            Atlanta @ Colorado


            Game 959-960
            July 21, 2016 @ 8:40 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Atlanta
            (Fltynwicz) 13.465
            Colorado
            (Bettis) 15.069
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Colorado
            by 1 1/2
            13
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Colorado
            -165
            12
            Dunkel Pick:
            Colorado
            (-165); Over

            Baltimore @ NY Yankees


            Game 961-962
            July 21, 2016 @ 1:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Baltimore
            (Tillman) 13.385
            NY Yankees
            (Sabthia) 15.925
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            NY Yankees
            by 2 1/2
            8
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Baltimore
            -120
            9
            Dunkel Pick:
            NY Yankees
            (+100); Under

            Minnesota @ Boston


            Game 963-964
            July 21, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Minnesota
            (Duffey) 16.143
            Boston
            (Wright) 14.177
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Minnesota
            by 2
            8
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Boston
            -215
            10
            Dunkel Pick:
            Minnesota
            (+180); Under

            Detroit @ Chicago White Sox


            Game 965-966
            July 21, 2016 @ 8:15 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Detroit
            (Pelfrey) 15.169
            Chicago White Sox
            (Shields) 16.594
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Chicago White Sox
            by 1 1/2
            13
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Chicago White Sox
            -130
            10 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Chicago White Sox
            (-130); Over

            Tampa Bay @ Oakland


            Game 967-968
            July 21, 2016 @ 10:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Tampa Bay
            (Moore) 15.465
            Oakland
            (Gray) 16.812
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oakland
            by 1 1/2
            9
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Oakland
            -135
            8
            Dunkel Pick:
            Oakland
            (-135); Over

            LA Dodgers @ Washington


            Game 951-952
            July 21, 2016 @ 12:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LA Dodgers
            (Urias) 16.848
            Washington
            (Strsburg) 14.852
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            LA Dodgers
            by 2
            6
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Washington
            -205
            8
            Dunkel Pick:
            LA Dodgers
            (+175); Under

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB
              Long Sheet

              Thursday, July 21


              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              LA DODGERS (53 - 43) at WASHINGTON (57 - 38) - 12:05 PM
              JULIO URIAS (L) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
              Top Trends for this game.
              LA DODGERS are 147-116 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              LA DODGERS are 61-70 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
              LA DODGERS are 12-21 (-13.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
              LA DODGERS are 50-41 (-4.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
              LA DODGERS are 45-54 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
              LA DODGERS are 24-33 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
              STRASBURG is 16-1 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
              STRASBURG is 16-1 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
              WASHINGTON is 140-117 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              WASHINGTON is 13-18 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
              WASHINGTON is 139-116 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              LA DODGERS is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
              3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

              JULIO URIAS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
              URIAS is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.400.
              His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

              STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
              STRASBURG is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 0.912.
              His team's record is 1-3 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              MIAMI (51 - 43) at PHILADELPHIA (44 - 52) - 7:05 PM
              TOM KOEHLER (R) vs. JERAD EICKHOFF (R)
              Top Trends for this game.
              PHILADELPHIA is 44-52 (+3.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
              PHILADELPHIA is 22-19 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
              PHILADELPHIA is 50-56 (+10.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
              PHILADELPHIA is 780-799 (+26.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
              PHILADELPHIA is 413-397 (+53.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
              MIAMI is 51-43 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
              MIAMI is 8-1 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
              MIAMI is 37-25 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 (+1.3 Units) against MIAMI this season
              6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)

              TOM KOEHLER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
              KOEHLER is 2-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.292.
              His team's record is 5-6 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-2.0 units)

              JERAD EICKHOFF vs. MIAMI since 1997
              EICKHOFF is 1-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.167.
              His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              MILWAUKEE (40 - 52) at PITTSBURGH (48 - 46) - 7:05 PM
              MATT GARZA (R) vs. FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L)
              Top Trends for this game.
              GARZA is 52-79 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
              GARZA is 3-14 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
              PITTSBURGH is 146-111 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              PITTSBURGH is 23-16 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
              PITTSBURGH is 10-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
              PITTSBURGH is 146-111 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
              PITTSBURGH is 35-28 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
              PITTSBURGH is 105-62 (+27.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
              PITTSBURGH is 119-70 (+28.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
              MILWAUKEE is 17-12 (+8.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
              PITTSBURGH is 52-63 (-19.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
              3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

              MATT GARZA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
              GARZA is 2-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.530.
              His team's record is 4-5 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.7 units)

              FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
              LIRIANO is 6-6 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.396.
              His team's record is 8-7 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (-0.1 units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              SAN DIEGO (41 - 54) at ST LOUIS (50 - 44) - 7:15 PM
              ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
              Top Trends for this game.
              ST LOUIS is 152-108 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              ST LOUIS is 113-74 (+23.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
              WAINWRIGHT is 40-18 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
              WAINWRIGHT is 49-22 (+19.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
              WAINWRIGHT is 159-91 (+35.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
              SAN DIEGO is 34-30 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
              SAN DIEGO is 11-7 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
              ST LOUIS is 23-28 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
              ST LOUIS is 23-28 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
              ST LOUIS is 12-18 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
              ST LOUIS is 9-15 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              ST LOUIS is 5-1 (+3.7 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
              3 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

              ANDREW CASHNER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
              CASHNER is 2-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.00 and a WHIP of 0.889.
              His team's record is 3-0 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

              ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
              WAINWRIGHT is 6-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.79 and a WHIP of 1.010.
              His team's record is 6-3 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.2 units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              ATLANTA (33 - 62) at COLORADO (43 - 51) - 8:40 PM
              MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs. CHAD BETTIS (R)
              Top Trends for this game.
              ATLANTA is 40-65 (-22.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
              ATLANTA is 6-21 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
              BETTIS is 23-16 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
              BETTIS is 23-16 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
              BETTIS is 16-5 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
              COLORADO is 217-297 (-88.4 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
              COLORADO is 65-103 (-30.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              COLORADO is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
              2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

              MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
              FOLTYNEWICZ is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.000.
              His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

              CHAD BETTIS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
              BETTIS is 2-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.676.
              His team's record is 3-1 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              BALTIMORE (53 - 40) at NY YANKEES (48 - 46) - 1:05 PM
              CHRIS TILLMAN (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
              Top Trends for this game.
              BALTIMORE is 52-75 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
              BALTIMORE is 202-327 (-101.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
              NY YANKEES are 33-14 (+18.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
              BALTIMORE is 53-40 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
              BALTIMORE is 24-17 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
              BALTIMORE is 49-34 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
              TILLMAN is 17-3 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
              TILLMAN is 24-15 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
              TILLMAN is 18-9 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
              TILLMAN is 9-0 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
              TILLMAN is 15-3 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
              TILLMAN is 6-0 (+7.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
              TILLMAN is 31-21 (+20.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
              SABATHIA is 17-23 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)

              Head-to-Head Series History
              NY YANKEES is 5-4 (+1.4 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
              7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.0 Units)

              CHRIS TILLMAN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
              TILLMAN is 7-6 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.87 and a WHIP of 1.602.
              His team's record is 12-6 (+9.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-8. (-0.4 units)

              C.C. SABATHIA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
              SABATHIA is 21-7 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.149.
              His team's record is 25-12 (+7.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 18-17. (-0.4 units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              MINNESOTA (35 - 59) at BOSTON (53 - 39) - 7:10 PM
              TYLER DUFFEY (R) vs. STEVEN WRIGHT (R)
              Top Trends for this game.
              MINNESOTA is 35-59 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
              MINNESOTA is 35-59 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
              MINNESOTA is 19-35 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
              MINNESOTA is 25-44 (-14.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
              MINNESOTA is 60-57 (+13.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
              BOSTON is 202-215 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
              BOSTON is 109-106 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
              BOSTON is 179-190 (-33.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
              BOSTON is 94-108 (-25.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              BOSTON is 2-1 (+0.3 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
              2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

              TYLER DUFFEY vs. BOSTON since 1997
              DUFFEY is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 10.13 and a WHIP of 1.876.
              His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

              STEVEN WRIGHT vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
              WRIGHT is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 1.125.
              His team's record is 1-1 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              DETROIT (49 - 46) at CHI WHITE SOX (46 - 48) - 8:10 PM
              MIKE PELFREY (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
              Top Trends for this game.
              DETROIT is 158-234 (-58.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
              DETROIT is 49-46 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
              DETROIT is 36-33 (+7.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
              CHI WHITE SOX are 46-63 (-23.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
              SHIELDS is 6-15 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

              Head-to-Head Series History
              DETROIT is 4-2 (+2.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
              4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

              MIKE PELFREY vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
              PELFREY is 1-5 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.81 and a WHIP of 1.747.
              His team's record is 4-6 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.8 units)

              JAMES SHIELDS vs. DETROIT since 1997
              SHIELDS is 7-6 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.331.
              His team's record is 12-8 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-11. (-3.4 units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              TAMPA BAY (37 - 57) at OAKLAND (42 - 53) - 10:05 PM
              MATT MOORE (L) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
              Top Trends for this game.
              TAMPA BAY is 37-57 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
              TAMPA BAY is 4-12 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
              TAMPA BAY is 15-27 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
              TAMPA BAY is 22-35 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
              TAMPA BAY is 25-45 (-25.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
              MOORE is 1-9 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
              TAMPA BAY is 39-28 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
              OAKLAND is 110-147 (-38.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              OAKLAND is 18-24 (-14.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
              OAKLAND is 21-28 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
              OAKLAND is 3-11 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
              OAKLAND is 21-28 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
              OAKLAND is 32-42 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
              OAKLAND is 26-46 (-23.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
              OAKLAND is 20-32 (-11.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
              OAKLAND is 45-66 (-23.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
              OAKLAND is 31-37 (-20.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
              GRAY is 4-11 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
              GRAY is 24-30 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

              Head-to-Head Series History
              OAKLAND is 2-1 (+1.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
              2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

              MATT MOORE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
              MOORE is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 8.44 and a WHIP of 1.625.
              His team's record is 0-3 (-5.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.5 units)

              SONNY GRAY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
              GRAY is 2-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.221.
              His team's record is 3-3 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-4.0 units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB

                Thursday, July 21



                TEX 4 LAA 7 Another win for the Angels and another loss for the slumping Rangers. Angels now 10-2 in last 12 and Rangers 4-14 in last 18.

                Comment


                • #9
                  MLB
                  Short Sheet

                  Thursday, July 21


                  LA Dodgers at Washington, 12:05 PM ET
                  Los Angeles: 12-21 SU on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5
                  Washington: STRASBURG 16-1 TSR in all games

                  Miami at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
                  Miami: 21-13 SU in road games after 2 or more consecutive road games
                  Philadelphia: 8-23 SU with on base % of .260 or worse over 3 games

                  Milwaukee at Pittsburgh, 7:05 PM ET
                  Milwaukee: 12-26 SU after a win by 4 runs or more
                  Pittsburgh: 23-16 SU when the total is 8 to 8.5

                  San Diego at St Louis, 7:15 PM ET
                  San Diego: 4-29 SU as a road underdog of +175 to +250
                  St Louis: 33-11 SU in home games after a one run win

                  Atlanta at Colorado, 8:40 PM ET
                  Atlanta: 66-40 SU in road games after 2 games where they stranded 5 or less
                  Colorado: 19-39 SU after allowing 8 runs or more

                  Baltimore at NY Yankees, 1:05 PM ET
                  Baltimore: 34-11 SU as a favorite of -110 or higher
                  New York: 23-31 SU after 5 or more consecutive home games

                  Minnesota at Boston, 7:10 PM ET
                  Minnesota: 26-18 SU after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games
                  Boston: 18-28 SU after scoring 9 runs or more

                  Detroit at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 PM ET
                  Detroit: 14-6 SU in road games after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games
                  Chicago: 11-23 SU after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6

                  Tampa Bay at Oakland, 10:05 PM ET
                  Tampa Bay: 22-35 SU in night games
                  Oakland: 13-9 SU as a favorite of -125 to -175

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    MLB

                    Thursday, July 21



                    Stephen Strasburg is the NLs most profitable starter at $1,417. He's -200 today vs Dodgers


                    Gorman is an OVER ump (doesn't call corners) & 11 of Straburg's last 14 have hit W/O combo.
                    LAD +170 WAS -200 T:7.5

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      MLB

                      Thursday, July 21


                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      Thursday's MLB Game of the Day: Tigers at White Sox
                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Shields was superb in his last outing when he gave up one run and two hits in eight innings but he suffered the loss in a 1-0 decision against the Los Angeles Angels.

                      Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox (A: +105, H: -125, Total: 10.5)

                      The Detroit Tigers are trying to remain in range of the American League Central-leading Cleveland Indians as they open a four-game series on Thursday against the host Chicago White Sox. Detroit is a distant 7 1/2 games behind the soaring Indians and the club's better option may be focusing on closing in on Toronto, Boston and Houston in the wild-card race.

                      Chicago has fallen 10 games behind the Indians after a 1-5 road trip that concluded with Wednesday's 6-5 loss in 11 innings to the Seattle Mariners, marking the second time in three games that the White Sox blew a late three-run lead. "It is tough, especially when you're leading both the ones that you lose late," White Sox manager Robin Ventura told reporters afterward. “Those are always tough to be able to bounce back." The Tigers will try to get their bats moving again after scoring just four total runs while losing two of three home games to the AL-worst Minnesota Twins. Detroit second baseman Ian Kinsler is 8-for-24 with three homers since the resumption of play after the All-Star break and hit his 36th career leadoff homer for the lone run in Wednesday's 4-1 loss to the Twins.

                      TV:
                      8:10 p.m. ET, MLB Network, FSN Detroit, CSN Chicago

                      INJURY REPORT:


                      Tigers - LF T. Collins (Questionable Thursday, neck), RF J. Martinez (15-Day DL, elbow).

                      White Sox - C A. Avila (15-Day DL, hamstring), RP Z. Putnam (15-Day DL, elbow), CF A. Jackson (15-Day DL, knee).

                      WEATHER REPORT:
                      There is a chance of thunderstorms to develop in Chicago on Thursday night with a 50 percent chance of rain. Temperatures will be in the upper-80's with humidity values hovering around an uncomfortable 70 percent. There will also be a 10 mph wind blowing out to left at U.S. Cellular Field tonight.

                      PITCHING MATCHUP:
                      Tigers RH Mike Pelfrey (2-9, 4.95 ERA) vs. White Sox RH James Shields (4-11, 5.10)

                      Pelfrey gave up two runs and five hits in six innings while beating the White Sox on June 4 - the lone time he has beaten Chicago in 10 career starts. He lost 11 days later when he gave up four runs and seven hits in six innings and is 1-5 with a 5.81 ERA lifetime against the White Sox. Pelfrey is 0-6 in nine road starts this season despite a respectable 3.53 ERA.

                      Shields was superb in his last outing when he gave up one run and two hits in eight innings but he suffered the loss in a 1-0 decision against the Los Angeles Angels. He has a 1.91 ERA over his last four starts - allowing two or fewer runs in each - after initially struggling upon being acquired from the San Diego Padres in early June. Shields is 7-6 with a 4.36 ERA in 20 career starts against the Tigers.

                      TRENDS:


                      * Tigers are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
                      * Tigers are 1-5 in Pelfrey's last 6 road starts.
                      * White Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
                      * Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
                      * Under is 5-0 in Pelfrey's last 5 road starts.
                      * Over is 4-0 in Shields' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

                      CONSENSUS:
                      The public is favoring the home favorite Detroit Tigers at a rate of 53 percent in this battle of struggling starting pitchers. In a less than surprising development, Over 10.5 is getting 60 percent of the total action.


                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        MLB

                        Thursday, July 21



                        Orioles are 18-3 in Tillman's last 21 starts including 11-1 in his last 12 starts vs AL East. BAL +105 NYY -125

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          MLB

                          Thursday, July 21



                          BAL 4 NYY 1 Orioles are now 19-3 in Tillman's last 22 starts (bananas that they were dogs today) & O's last 9 have gone UNDER, Yanks last 7.


                          Wainwright is 3-0 with a 0.39 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in last 3 starts & UNDER is 7-0 in his last 7 at home. SD/STL T:8.5


                          Sox are 8-2 in Wright's last 10 starts & Boston covered -1.5 in 7 of those 8 Ws.
                          MIN +175 BOS -210 RL: -1.5 (-105)


                          Since coming off DL on June 14, Garza has made 5 road starts and the Brewers have lost them all.
                          MIL +155 PIT -185


                          Last 5 meetings between Marlins & Phillies have gone UNDER & Phillies' last 8 home games have played UNDER. T:8.5

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            MLB

                            Thursday, July 21



                            Rays are 0-7 in Matt Moore's road starts in 2016 & have never won a start by Moore vs A's (0-3).
                            TB +100 OAK -120

                            Comment

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