Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/18

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Monday, July 18

Good Luck on day #200 of 2016!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Mets 5, Phillies 0-- First time Jacob deGrom has ever thrown a pitch in 9th inning of a major league game. He threw a one-hitter here.

-- Astro players have been on DL total of only 122 days this year; next-lowest are the Nationals, who have had players on the DL for 248 days.

-- Michael Porter Jr declared to play at Washington; he is a top recruit, but since his dad just got hired as an assistant coach by the Huskies, this isn't a big surprise.

-- Edwin Jackson is first MLB pitcher since 2009 to throw 6+ innings in a game, while allowing only one hit, but 3+ runs.

-- Zach Greinke, who makes $30M+ a year, is not expected back for Arizona before the end of this month. 2016 has been a disaster for the Diamondbacks.

-- Minnesota-Chicago play for summer league title in Las Vegas tonight.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend.....

13) Justin Marks pitched a no-hitter this week for Durham Bulls, the Rays' AAA team, but he musn't be a big prospect, seeing as they let him throw 130 pitches in the game. Marks is 28; he is 3-10, 3.73 in the IL this year and has a 36-63, 4.61 career mark in minor leagues. He has pitched in one big league game (2 IP, 3 runs allowed).

12) Durham has another AAA starter, Jaime Schultz- they keep him on a pitch limitso he is viewed as a prospect, since they're limiting his usage. Schultz' problem is that he goes into a lot of deep counts and 75 pitches often doesn't get him too far. Nine of first 13 batters he faced Sunday either walked or struck out- he threw 87 pitches in Sunday's game and didn't finish the fourth inning. No bueno. .

11) Weird British Open; Stenson finished at -20, Mickelson was -17 and third place was -6. Not often you scoring disparity like that, but Stenson/Mickelson have played together 16 times in tournaments, so they're comfortable in same twosome.

10) Stenson had seven top-5's in majors before his win; last golfer to do that was his playing partner Sunday, Mickelson.

9) Bronx Bombers haven't scored a first inning run in their last 21 games.

8) Archie Bradley pitched well for Arizona Saturday night, allowing one run in six IP, throwing 106 pitches, but he only induced two misses on 41 swings, after he had induced 32 misses on 129 swings in his previous three starts. When lot of balls are put into play, it puts more pressure on your defense.

7) By contrast, in his last two starts, Justin Verlander has induced 39 misses on 103 swings and thats in DH games where pitchers don't bat.

6) Daniel Murphy (hamstring) hadn't played since the All-Star Game, but homered with two outs in 9th inning to tie game 1-1. Game wound up going another nine innings before Pittsburgh won 2-1 in the 18th on a Sterling Marte homer

5) Over last four years, over is 69-38 when Jerry Meals umps home plate, so it made no sense that Meals was behind the plate for the marathon on Washington.

4) Lot of low scoring games Sunday; three NL games were 0-0 after five innings. Under wound up 9-5-1 in Sunday's games.

3) Giancarlo Stanton went thru a long, dismal slump at the plate which now appears to be over, but he has played a stellar rightfield all season long. He made a diving catch going towards the RF corner with two men on Saturday that saved couple of runs.

2) First round matchups for the Puerto Rico Tip-Off hoop tourney in November:
-- Clemson-Davidson, Xavier-Missouri, Northern Iowa-Arizona State and Tulane-Oklahoma.....Xavier-Oklahoma would be the expected finals matchup????

1) If the playoffs started today.........
NL: Nationals-Cubs-Giants. Wild Card: Dodgers vs Miami or Mets
AL: Orioles-Indians-Rangers. Wild Card: Boston-Toronto

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, July 18

National League
Marlins @ Phillies
Fernandez is 0-2, 10.03 in his last two road starts; four of his last five road starts went over the total. Miami is 4-3 in his road starts.

Nola is 0-4, 15.00 in his last five starts; over is 7-1-1 in his last nine. Phillies are 2-6 when he starts at home.

Marlins won five of last six games; they're 9-6 in road series openers. Over is 17-5 in their last 22 true road games. Philly won 11 of last 16 games, under is 9-2-1 in its last 12 at home. Phillies are 4-11 in home series openers.

Braves @ Reds
Wisler is 1-1, 5.32 in his last four starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten. Atlanta split his six road starts this season.

Finnegan is 1-3, 9.47 in his last four starts; five of his last seven home starts went over total. Reds lost six of his last seven home starts.

Atlanta is 4-7 in its last 11 games; they're 6-9 in road series openers. Under is 11-3 in their last 14 road games. Cincinnati lost eight of last 11 home games, over is 14-7-1 in Reds' last 22 games. Reds are 7-8 in home series openers.

Mets @ Cubs
Matz is 0-4, 5.05 in his last eight starts; nine of his last 11 stayed under. Mets are 5-2 in his road starts.

Lester is 0-1, 7.58 in his last four starts; over is 9-4 in his last 13. Cubs are 6-2 when Lester starts at home.

Mets lost eight of last 12 road games; they're 8-6 in road series openers. Under is 14-4 in New York's last 18 road games. Chicago won three of last four games; they're 12-3 in home series openers. Last five games at Wrigley Field stayed under.

Padres @ Cardinals
Friedrich is 0-3, 8.40 in his last three starts; eight of his last ten went over. Padres lost four of his six road starts.

Leake is 1-3, 5.40 in his last four starts; his last three stayed under. Cardnals lost six of his eight home starts.

Padres won their last three games; three of their last four road games stayed under. San Diego is 10-4 in road series openers. St Louis lost five of last seven home games; they're 5-11 in home series openers. Under is 11-5-1 in their last 17 home games.

American League
Orioles @ New York
Gausman is 1-3, 5.74 in his last five start; eight of his last ten stayed under. Orioles lost five of his last six road starts.

Nova is 1-2, 7.30 in his last five starts; three of his last four went over. Bronx split his six home starts.

Orioles won six of last eight games, their last five games stayed under. Baltimore is 8-7 in road series openers. New York lost five of last eight home games, seven of last 11Bronx games went over the total- they're 7-7 in home series openers.

Twins @ Tigers
Nolasco is 1-3, 6.66 in his last four starts; over is 15-2 in his last 17 starts. Minnesota is 4-5 in his road starts.

Boyd is 0-3, 6.67 in six starts this year (over 3-2-1).

Minnesota won eight of last 12 games; they're 5-9 in road series openers. Twins' last six road games went over. Detroit won four of last five home games, nine of its last 12 games stayed under the total.

Indians @ Royals
Kluber is 3-1, 2.54 in his last four starts; five of his last six went over. Cleveland split his eight home starts, winning last three.

Volquez is 1-1, 3.38 in his last three starts; six of his last eight stayed under. Royals are 8-3 in his home starts.

Indians won 10 of last 13 road games; they're 10-6 in road series openers. Under is 5-2-1 in Tribe's last eight road games. Kansas City lost eight of last 11 games; they're 12-2 in home series openers. Six of last eight KC stayed under the total.

Astros @ A's
Fiers is 3-0, 3.08 in his last five starts; over is 8-4-1 in his last 13. Houston is 2-4 when he starts on foreign soil.

Graveman is 3-0, 2.89 in his last six starts (under 4-2). Oakland is 2-4 in his home starts.

Astros won nine of last 11 road games; they're 7-8 in road series openers. Three of their last four road games went over. Oakland is 9-1 in last ten series openers, but 14-23 in last 37 games overall, 5-11 in last 16 at home. Five of their last seven at home went over.

Rangers @ Angels
Lohse allowed six runs in five IP (109 PT) in his first '16 start.

Tropeano is 2-0, 2.43 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under. Angels are 2-3 in his home starts.

Texas lost 11 of last 15 games; they're 8-7 in road series openers- over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. Angels won seven of last nine games, four of their last five stayed under the total. Halos are 6-9 in home series openers.

White Sox @ Mariners
Sale is 5-2, 5.44 in his last seven starts; over is 10-4 in his last 14. White Sox are 7-1 when he starts on the road.

LeBlanc is 1-0, 4.11 in three starts this year (under 2-1).

White Sox lost their last four games, scoring one run; they're 1-6 in last seven road series openers. Three of their last four games stayed under. Seattle lost seven of last ten games; they're 8-7 in home series openers- four of their last five home games went over.

Interleague
Rays @ Rockies
Smyly is 0-3, 12.06 in his last three starts; over is 11-1 in his last 12. Tampa Bay lost five of his last six road starts. .

Anderson is 1-3, 3.68 in his last five starts (under 5-1).

Tampa Bay lost its last ten road games; they're 5-9 in road series openers. Rays' last five games stayed under total. Colorado is 9-6 in last 15 home games, 7-7 in home series openers. Eight of last 11 games at Coors Field went over the total.

Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Mia-Phil-- Fernandez 12-5; Nola 7-10 (0-5 last 5)
Atl-Cin-- Wisler 5-12; Finneran 5-13
NY-Chi-- Matz 9-7; Lester 12-6
SD-StL-- Friedrich 5-6 (1-5 last 6); Leake 8-10

Balt-NY-- Gausman 6-9; Nova 6-6
Min-Det-- Nolasco 7-11; Boyd 2-4
Cle-KC-- Kluber 9-9; Volquez 11-8
Hst-A's-- Fiers 10-6 (5-0 last 5); Graveman
Tex-LAA-- Lohse 0-1; Tropeano 5-7
Chi-Sea-- Sale 14-4 (5-1 last 6); Leblanc 2-1

TB-Colo-- Smyly 6-11; Anderson 2-4

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Mia-Phil-- Fernandez 4-17; Nola 8-17
Atl-Cin-- Wisler 9-17; Finneran 5-18
NY-Chi-- Matz 4-16; Lester 5-18
SD-StL-- Friedrich 4-11; Leake 7-18 (4 of last 5)

Balt-NY-- Gausman 6-15; Nova 3-12
Min-Det-- Nolasco 7-18; Boyd 0-6
Cle-KC-- Kluber 5-18; Volquez 5-19
Hst-A's-- Fiers 3-16; Graveman
Tex-LAA-- Lohse 0-1; Tropeano 2-12
Chi-Sea-- Sale 6-18; Leblanc 1-3

TB-Colo-- Smyly 4-17; Anderson 1-6

[Udog]

MLB

Monday, July 18

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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
NY METS vs. CHI CUBS
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
NY Mets are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games at home

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. PHILADELPHIA
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games

7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

8:15 PM
CLEVELAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Cleveland is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

8:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of St. Louis's last 17 games at home

8:40 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 14 games

10:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. OAKLAND
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Houston

10:05 PM
TEXAS vs. LA ANGELS
Texas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing at home against Texas

10:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Chi White Sox are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, July 18


Baltimore @ NY Yankees

Game 909-910
July 18, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Gausman) 13.976
NY Yankees
(Nova) 12.544
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-120); Under

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 911-912
July 18, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Nolasco) 10.735
Detroit
(Boyd) 17.238
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 6 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-145
10
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-145); Under

Cleveland @ Kansas City

Game 913-914
July 18, 2016 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Kluber) 14.086
Kansas City
(Volquez) 17.270
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-150
8
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+130); Over

Houston @ Oakland

Game 915-916
July 18, 2016 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Fiers) 15.386
Oakland
(Grveman) 17.822
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 2 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-140
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+120); Over

Texas @ LA Angels

Game 917-918
July 18, 2016 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Griffin) 11.858
LA Angels
(Trpeano) 15.915
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 4
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-120); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Seattle

Game 919-920
July 18, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Sale) 14.835
Seattle
(LeBlanc) 17.685
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-150
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+130); Over

Tampa Bay @ Colorado

Game 921-922
July 18, 2016 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Smyly) 17.175
Colorado
(Andrson) 12.644
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 4 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-145
11 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+125); Under

Miami @ Philadelphia

Game 901-902
July 18, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Frnandez) 13.583
Philadelphia
(Nola) 14.925
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-205
7
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+175); Over

Atlanta @ Cincinnati

Game 903-904
July 18, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Wisler) 12.593
Cincinnati
(Fnnegan) 13.915
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-135); Over

NY Mets @ Chicago Cubs

Game 905-906
July 18, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Matz) 13.535
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 17.175
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-165
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-165); Under

San Diego @ St. Louis

Game 907-908
July 18, 2016 @ 8:14 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Friedrch) 17.117
St. Louis
(Leake) 14.221
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-180
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+157); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, July 18

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MIAMI (49 - 42) at PHILADELPHIA (43 - 50) - 7:05 PM
JOSE FERNANDEZ (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-50 (+4.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-6 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-17 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 779-797 (+27.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 412-395 (+54.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
MIAMI is 49-42 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 35-24 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
FERNANDEZ is 42-22 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 33-15 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 41-20 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 5-19 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-2 (+2.3 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
FERNANDEZ is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.036.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

AARON NOLA vs. MIAMI since 1997
NOLA is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)

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ATLANTA (32 - 60) at CINCINNATI (34 - 58) - 7:10 PM
MATT WISLER (R) vs. BRANDON FINNEGAN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 39-63 (-22.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-29 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 97-157 (-46.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 53-74 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 97-157 (-46.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 17-41 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 76-115 (-27.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 36-61 (-22.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 379-351 (-90.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 25-40 (-19.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

MATT WISLER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WISLER is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.499.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

BRANDON FINNEGAN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
FINNEGAN is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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NY METS (49 - 42) at CHICAGO CUBS (55 - 36) - 7:05 PM
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 23-4 (+20.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 88-58 (+17.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1543-1659 (-272.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 823-775 (-166.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 4-9 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1486-1572 (-247.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 252-248 (-64.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
LESTER is 11-17 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 4-0 (+5.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

STEVEN MATZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MATZ is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

JON LESTER vs. NY METS since 1997
LESTER is 2-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.88 and a WHIP of 1.654.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

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SAN DIEGO (41 - 51) at ST LOUIS (47 - 44) - 8:15 PM
CHRISTIAN FRIEDRICH (L) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 28-56 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 34-28 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 20-28 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 20-28 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 10-18 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 4-10 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

CHRISTIAN FRIEDRICH vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
FRIEDRICH is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 12.47 and a WHIP of 1.848.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LEAKE is 1-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.289.
His team's record is 3-4 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)

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BALTIMORE (53 - 37) at NY YANKEES (45 - 46) - 7:05 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 53-37 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 24-14 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 49-31 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 38-25 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-26 (+11.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 109-73 (+28.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 28-33 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-2 (+1.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GAUSMAN is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 1.048.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.6 units)

IVAN NOVA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
NOVA is 7-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.34 and a WHIP of 1.357.
His team's record is 10-5 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-7. (+0.8 units)

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MINNESOTA (33 - 58) at DETROIT (48 - 44) - 7:10 PM
RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. MATT BOYD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 33-58 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 7-23 (-14.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 33-58 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 18-34 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 16-41 (-20.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 48-44 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 13-2 (+10.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
DETROIT is 35-32 (+7.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 27-20 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NOLASCO is 27-21 (+15.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 75-65 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 16-6 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 71-63 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 57-38 (+32.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 38-34 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 41-44 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-0 (+6.4 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. DETROIT since 1997
NOLASCO is 2-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.539.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.1 units)

MATT BOYD vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BOYD is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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CLEVELAND (54 - 37) at KANSAS CITY (46 - 45) - 8:15 PM
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KLUBER is 20-30 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 9-17 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 0-7 (-8.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 7-14 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 19-28 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 13-19 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 10-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 152-117 (+29.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 29-13 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 22-13 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
KANSAS CITY is 46-42 (+5.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 20-10 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 22-9 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 12-2 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 19-9 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KANSAS CITY is 19-6 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VOLQUEZ is 36-21 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 22-7 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 12-2 (+9.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 35-18 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 27-16 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 62-42 (+24.4 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 31-11 (+18.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 97-73 (+40.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 28-12 (+13.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 39-19 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-4 (+1.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

COREY KLUBER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
KLUBER is 6-6 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.083.
His team's record is 8-8 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-6. (+2.7 units)

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 3-6 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 6.94 and a WHIP of 1.875.
His team's record is 4-6 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+2.9 units)

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HOUSTON (50 - 42) at OAKLAND (40 - 52) - 10:05 PM
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. KENDALL GRAVEMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 57-73 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FIERS is 11-21 (-17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 5-13 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 34-17 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 108-146 (-40.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 19-27 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 23-35 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 37-49 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 68-88 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 35-48 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 19-32 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-4 (+1.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

MICHAEL FIERS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
FIERS is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 0-4 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

KENDALL GRAVEMAN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GRAVEMAN is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.24 and a WHIP of 1.388.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

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TEXAS (55 - 38) at LA ANGELS (40 - 52) - 10:05 PM
A.J. GRIFFIN (R) vs. NICK TROPEANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 20-43 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 55-38 (+23.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 54-36 (+28.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-4 (+9.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
TEXAS is 26-23 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 33-23 (+20.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 26-13 (+17.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TEXAS is 54-35 (+25.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 39-24 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 41-27 (+17.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 32-22 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TEXAS is 27-21 (+7.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
GRIFFIN is 39-19 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GRIFFIN is 6-0 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 40-52 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 5-12 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
LA ANGELS are 37-51 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 6-4 (+2.4 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.4 Units)

A.J. GRIFFIN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GRIFFIN is 3-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 0.947.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

NICK TROPEANO vs. TEXAS since 1997
TROPEANO is 1-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.034.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (45 - 46) at SEATTLE (46 - 46) - 10:10 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. WADE LEBLANC (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SALE is 4-14 (-15.5 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 20-12 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 29-18 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 122-132 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 59-67 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-19 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 116-129 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 82-89 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 34-51 (-21.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-12 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SEATTLE is 12-20 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHRIS SALE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SALE is 4-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.82 and a WHIP of 0.913.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.1 units)

WADE LEBLANC vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

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TAMPA BAY (35 - 56) at COLORADO (42 - 49) - 8:40 PM
DREW SMYLY (L) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 35-56 (-27.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 2-11 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 13-26 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TAMPA BAY is 21-34 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 37-27 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 216-295 (-87.2 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 64-102 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DREW SMYLY vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

TYLER ANDERSON vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

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[Udog]

MLB

Monday, July 18


Yanks 3-1 over Boston Sun. night. Under now 9-1 in Price's last 10 starts and Yankees now 8-1 in Tanaka's last 9 starts at home.


Ryan Blakney continues to be MLB's best road team umpire w/ Astros' 8-1 thrashing of Mariners on Sunday. Road teams 15-4 in his plate games


Post All-Star break in MLB, UNDER is 29-12 (70.73%). Either the rest has been good for pitching or bats are still in vacation-mode.

[Udog]

MLB

Monday, July 18


O's Gausman has allowed 1 ER in 14 IP vs Yanks in 2016 & 6 of his 7 career starts vs NYY finished UNDER. BAL/NYY T:9


Tigers have won last 6 vs Twins and have won 5 of Boyd's 7 career starts at home in Detroit.
MIN +128 DET -139

[Udog]

MLB betting cheat sheet: Cubbie Pride

Since taking all seven regular season meetings in 2015, the Cubs have lost eight in a row to the Mets - the revenge angle could be strong at Wrigley this week.

Power Sports breaks down the best MLB betting notes so you can handicap every series like a pro in the first full week since the All-Star break, including the Mets and Cubs at Wrigley Field.

Cubbie Pride

Since taking all seven regular season meetings in 2015, the Cubs have lost eight in a row to the Mets - that obviously includes getting swept in last year’s National League Championship Series. It also includes a sweep at Citi Field that took place earlier this month.

But the revenge angle could be strong here at Wrigley this week. In Friday’s column, I stated that I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised to see the NL Central leaders win their series against Texas (took 2 of 3) and I’m of the same mindset here. Not only is this series contested at the Friendly Confines, but the Cubs get to trot out Lester and Arrieta in the first two games.

The Mets offense (28th in runs scored) has fallen off dramatically this season.

First Time for Everything

In one of the real “stunners” of the weekend, San Diego swept San Francisco.

Believe it or not, but that was the first sweep for the Padres all season! It’s just their fourth three-game win streak of 2016 and so far they are 0-3 in this spot, having been shut out twice.

Their opponent starting Monday is St. Louis, who shockingly has the third worst home record in the entire National League (20-28). The Padres have actually played the Cardinals tough over the last three seasons, going 8-9 against them.

National Importance

Sticking with the National League, there’s a big series starting Tuesday as the Nationals host the Dodgers.

In my eyes, Washington has emerged as the second best team in all of baseball (Cubs) and they have the edge at home as Los Angeles has been a losing proposition (-5.7 units) on the road. It is still unknown as to when Clayton Kershaw will be making his return to the mound, but it doesn’t seem like it will be in the Nation’s Capital.

This is also a revenge situation for the Nats as they were swept at Dodger Stadium back in June.

Pitching Notes

* The White Sox desperately need a quality start from Chris Sale on Monday. Their left-handed ace was shockingly shelled by Atlanta in his last start before the All-Star Break (allowed eight runs!), not to mention the team has scored a grand total of one run its last four games. Sale still has a 14-4 TSR though (3.38 ERA, 1.04 WHIP) and will be facing a team (Seattle) that scored only two runs in its last two games.

* Tyler Anderson is a name to potentially keep an eye on. A rookie southpaw for Colorado, he’s obviously at a disadvantage having to regularly pitch at Coors Field. But the Rockies finally might have a pitcher who can consistently strike batters out (so key with that thin air). He has a 32-6 KW rate thus far (six starts) and has allowed three earned runs or less every time out.

Hitter Notes

* So much for sacrifice. A day after the Indians did a well-publicized “sacrifice” (google it, if interested) on catcher Yan Gomes (in the hopes of getting him out of a season-long slump), he injured his shoulder and now may possibly miss the remainder of the regular season. While catcher is a tough position to have an injury, what is Cleveland really going to be missing here? Gomes was hitting only .165 for the year, including a 0 for 27 stretch heading into Sunday.

* Cleveland will be facing Kansas City starting Monday. The Royals have a hitter of their own who has been in a season-long funk, that being Alex Gordon, who is hitting just .207 for the year with a .692 OPS. Gordon is just a .188 career hitter against Corey Kluber, whom KC will face in Monday’s opener.

Totals Trend

The Over has cashed in each of the last six starts made by Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola. He faces off against Jose Fernandez on Monday, at home.

Monday's Weather Report:

Thunderstorms are expected to be the theme of the week as a massive system is being forecast to stall and stretch from the Midwest all the way to the East coast. Let's get into it.

* There is a chance of thunderstorms in The Bronx where the first place Orioles will be in town to take on the Yankees. There is a 60 percent chance of rain to go along with hot and humid conditions this evening. The total is currently set at 9.0.

* Thunderstorms will also be an issue in Philadelphia where the Phillies will be hosting the Miami Marlins. There is also a 60 percent chance of rain for this one with hot, humid air conditions and a 10 mph wind blowing out to right field. The total is currently set at 7.0.

* There is a chance of thunderstorms in Cincinnati where the Reds will host the Atlanta Braves. There is a 50 percent chance of rain and hot, sticky air throughout the game. The total is set at 9.0.

* Busch Stadium in St. Louis will be another sight for a potential light show tonight. The San Diego Padres will be in town to take on the Cards and there is a 30 percent chance of rain, temperatures in the mid-90's, humidity levels at around 70 percent, and a 5 mph breeze blowing out to left field. The total is set at 8.5.

* Denver will have a 50 percent chance of rain and thunderstorms tonight with the Tampa Bay Rays coming to town to take on the Rockies in interleague action. There will be a 5-10 mph swirling wind throughout the evening. The total is currently 11.5.

[Udog]

MLB

Monday, July 18


Indians have lost Kluber's last 5 starts at Royals & have lost his last 8 Monday starts. CLE -165 KC (Volquez) +140