Announcement

**Udog** · 05-09-2016, 08:20 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Eight schools that might bolt if the Big X expands from 10 to 12 teams.........

-- Cincinnati-- By far the most logical choice to switch leagues.

-- Central Florida-- Remember, conference changes are most always football-related.

-- Houston-- Old SWC rivals with the Texas schools

-- BYU-- Mormons have seen the light; going independent was a mistake.

-- South Florida-- UCF is by far the better Florida (close to Disney) option.

-- Memphis-- If they switch, Tubby Smith will be familiar with new league.

-- UConn-- Storrs is 7.5 hours from Morgantown, which off the beaten path itself.

-- Boise State-- Out of the way in a different direction; highly doubtful.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend......

13) Lets see the analytics people quantify this with a number......

Packers' WR Randall Cobb graduated from Kentucky Sunday; one of the people who was there cheering him on was teammate Aaron Rodgers- how cool is that?

Rodgers did a Kentucky Derby/graduation weekend. One of the things the analytics people do not get is the value of friendship/camaraderie within a team. It just can't be quantified, but on Sundays in the fall, stuff like this matters.

12) Washington Nationals have a problem and if they don't fix it, Bryce Harper will walk 200 times this year.

Harper came to the plate seven times Sunday; he walked six times and got hit by a pitch the other time. The Cubs do not respect Ryan Zimmerman, so they won't pitch to Harper. Washington has to put Daniel Murphy or Anthony Rendon right behind Harper, which will encourage opponents to pitch to Harper.

11) You look at Bartolo Colon, thriving at age 42 with a body made for slow-pitch softball, and one thing becomes obvious: baseball players overtrain.

10) Raptors center Jonas Valanciunas is done for the Miami series with a sprained ankle, which is bad news for Toronto; they're +39 when he has been in the game, -37 when he has been off the floor.

9) Speaking of Miami-Toronto, why was Dwyane Wade taking jump shots during O, Canada before Game 3? Apparently he is a stickler for a shooting routine he has, and the timing of the anthems was going to interrupt that, only Wade kept shooting to maintain his routine. Thats his story and he's sticking to it.

8) Mets 4, Padres 3-- San Diego got hosed badly when pitcher Andrew Cashner was called out at the plate while trying to score the tying run in the sixth inning, then the replay people did not overturn the call, when Stevie Wonder could've seen the guy was safe. Even the Mets' TV guys said Cashner should've been called safe.

How San Diego had bases loaded and none out in 8th inning and couldn't score, so the carping about Cashner's play takes a back seat to that, but the play cast doubts on the replay system and if there are some umps who are reluctant to overturn calls.

7) Padres have now played in ten series and the lost the last game in all ten.

6) Golfer James Hahn won the Wells Fargo tournament yesterday; he had missed his previous eight cuts and last played on a Sunday on Super Bowl Sunday (Feb 7).

5) Chicago Cubs are first team since the '84 Tigers to start a season 24-6.

4) College basketball transfers:
-- Que Johnson goes from Washington State to Western Kentucky
-- Devin Watson goes from San Francisco to San Diego State.

3) Washington Huskies hired Michael Porter Sr as an assistant coach last week; it seemed a little odd, since Mr Porter was an assistant girls' coach in his last job, but to reinforce faith in life having no coincidences, we find out that Michael Porter Jr is the #3 ranked player in the class of 2017. Wonder where he will go to college?

2) Thunder 111, Spurs 97-- Series is tied 2-2. Now things get interesting.

1) Looks like Sacramento is going to hire the coach Memphis fired. Memphis wants to hire the coach Indiana fired; shouldn't Indiana hire the coach Sacramento fired?

**Udog** · 05-09-2016, 08:24 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, May 9

Baltimore @ Minnesota

Game 919-920
May 9, 2016 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Wilson) 15.678
Minnesota
(Berrios) 14.278
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-125); Over

Tampa Bay @ Seattle

Game 921-922
May 9, 2016 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Moore) 16.340
Seattle
(Hrnandez) 14.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-150
7
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+130); Over

Milwaukee @ Miami

Game 901-902
May 9, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Peralta) 13.110
Miami
(Frnandz) 15.743
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-245
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-245); Under

Detroit @ Washington

Game 923-924
May 9, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Sanchez) 15.743
Washington
(Strsburg) 14.869
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-205
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+175); Over

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati

Game 903-904
May 9, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Niese) 16.003
Cincinnati
(Straily) 14.571
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-130); Under

Toronto @ San Francisco

Game 925-926
May 9, 2016 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Sanchez) 16.398
San Francisco
(Peavy) 14.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-130
8
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-130); Under

San Diego @ Chicago Cubs

Game 905-906
May 9, 2016 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Vargas) 16.938
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 13.817
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 3
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-270
No Run Total
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+225); N/A

Arizona @ Colorado

Game 907-908
May 9, 2016 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Bradley) 16.510
Colorado
(Chtwood) 15.117
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
N/A

NY Mets @ LA Dodgers

Game 909-910
May 9, 2016 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Matz) 16.185
LA Dodgers
(Kazmir) 14.663
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-120
7
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-120); Over

Kansas City @ NY Yankees

Game 911-912
May 9, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Young) 14.369
NY Yankees
(Nova) 18.347
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 4
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-120); Over

Oakland @ Boston

Game 913-914
May 9, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Gray) 16.958
Boston
(Bchholz) 14.870
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+110); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Texas

Game 915-916
May 9, 2016 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Gnzalez) 16.685
Texas
(Lewis) 15.270
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-105); Under

Cleveland @ Houston

Game 917-918
May 9, 2016 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Kluber) 17.432
Houston
(Fiers) 15.343
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-130
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-130); Under

**Udog** · 05-09-2016, 08:27 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, May 9

National League games
Brewers @ Marlins
Peralta is 2-3, 8.10 in six starts this year (over 5-1).

Fernandez is 3-0, 3.18 in his last three home starts (over 3-3).

Milwaukee is 5-3 in its last eight games; over is 8-1-3 in their last 12. Marlins won 11 of last 14 games but lost last two-- over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games.

Pirates @ Reds
Niese is 1-1, 8.80 in his last three starts (over 5-1).

Straily is 1-1, 3.68 in four starts (over 2-2).

Pittsburgh won six of last seven road games; over is 11-3 in their last 14 road games. Reds are 5-12 in last 17 games; over is 9-2-1 in their last 11 home games.

Padres @ Cubs
Vargas is 0-2, 1.10 in three starts this year (under 2-1).

Lester is 3-1, 3.58 in six starts this year (over 3-3).

San Diego lost seven of last nine road games; under is 9-2 in their last 11 road games. Cubswon seven games in a row; over is 7-1 in their last eight games.

Diamondbacks @ Rockies
De la Rosa is 2-1, 2.41 in his last three starts; his last four starts stayed under.

Chatwood is 3-1, 1.07 in his last four starts (under 6-0). .

Arizona won its last three games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten. Rockies lost its last five home games; six of their last eight home games stayed under.

Mets @ Dodgers
Matz is 4-0, 0.67 in his last four starts; his last three starts stayed under.

Kazmir is 1-2, 5.82 in his last four starts (over 3-1-1 last five starts).

New York won eight of last 11 road games; over is 9-4 in their last 13 road games. Dodgers lost six of last seven at home; under is 9-3-1 in their home games.

American League games
Royals @ Bronx
Young is 1-4, 5.76 in six starts this year (over 3-3).

Nova is making his first '16 start; he is 47-34, 4.35 in 103 MLB starts; this year, he is 1-1, 5.14 in six relief stints (14 IP).

New York won won four of last six home games; eight of its last 10 games stayed under total. Royals lost nine of their last 11 road games; under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 road games.

A's @ Red Sox
Gray is 2-3, 6.04 in his last five starts, last four of which went over.

Buchholz is 0-2, 5.09 in three home starts; three of his last four starts stayed under.

Oakland lost 11 of its last 15 games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Boston won 12 of its last 16 games; seven of their last ten games stayed under total

White Sox @ Rangers
Gonzalez allowed five runs in 5.1 IP (113 PT) in his first '16 start. .

Lewis is 2-0, 3.00 in his last five starts; his last three starts stayed under.

Texas won eight of last ten home games; over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 home games. Chicago won 14 of last 19 games; six of their last seven road games went over.

Indians @ Astros
Kluber is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts (over 3-3).

Fiers is 2-0, 4.76 in his last four starts (over 3-0-1). .

Cleveland won five of its last six games; its last three road games stayed under total. Houston won four of its last six games; over is 9-5-1 in its last 15.

Orioles @ Twins
Wilson is 1-1, 4.60 in three starts this year (over 2-1).

Berrios is 1-1, 6.75 in two starts this year (over 1-0-1).

Baltimore is 7-4 in its last 11 games; five of its last six road games stayed under total. Minnesota lost nine of last ten games; five of its last seven home games went over.

Rays @ Mariners
Moore is 0-3, 7.00 in his last three starts (under 3-2-1).

Hernandez is 1-0, 0.00 (14.2 IP) in two home starts this year (under 5-1). .

Mariners won 13 of their last 18 games; five of their last seven home games stayed under total. Tampa Bay won its last four games; nine of its last 11 games went under the total.

Interleague
Tigers @ Nationals
Sanchez is 1-3, 8.10 in his last four starts (over 4-1-1).

Strasburg is 5-0, 2.36 in six starts (over 4-1-1).

Detroit lost its last six games; over is 11-4 in its last 15 games. Nationals got swept four in row at Wrigley this weekend; five of their last six games went over.

Blue Jays @ Giants
Sanchez is 2-0, 0.86 in three road starts (under 5-1)

Peavy is 1-3, 9.38 in his last five starts (over 6-0).

Toronto won four of last six games, but lost last two; their last 12 road games stayed under the total. Giants won seven of last ten home games; over is 13-4 in their last 17 games overall.

Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Mil-Mia-- Peralta 3-3; Fernandez 4-2
Pitt-Cin-- Niese 5-1; Straily 2-2
SD-Chi-- Vargas 1-2; Lester 5-1
Az-Colo-- De la Rosa 2-3; Chatwood 4-2
NY-LA-- Matz 4-1; Kazmir 2-4

KC-NY-- Young 2-4; Nova 0-0
A's-Bos--Gray 3-3; Buchholz 1-5
Chi-Tex-- Gonzalez 1-0; Lewis 3-3
Cle-Hst-- Kluber 2-4; Fiers 3-3
Balt-Min-- Wilson 2-3; Berrios 1-1
TB-Sea-- Moore 3-3; Hernandez 3-3

Det-Wsh-- Sanchez 3-3; Strasburg 6-0
Tor-SF-- Sanchez 3-3; Peavy 2-4

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Mil-Mia-- Peralta 2-6; Fernandez 3-3
Pitt-Cin-- Niese 0-6; Straily 0-4
SD-Chi-- Vargas 0-3; Lester 1-6
Az-Colo-- De la Rosa 0-5; Chatwood 1-6
NY-LA-- Matz 0-5; Kazmir 4-6

KC-NY-- Young 3-6; Nova 0-0
A's-Bos--Gray 1-6; Buchholz 2-6
Chi-Tex-- Gonzalez 1-1; Lewis 4-6
Cle-Hst-- Kluber 1-6; Fiers 2-6
Balt-Min-- Wilson 1-5; Berrios 0-2
TB-Sea-- Moore 0-6; Hernandez 0-6

Det-Wsh-- Sanchez 2-6; Strasburg 1-6
Tor-SF-- Sanchez 2-6; Peavy 2-6

**Udog** · 05-09-2016, 08:30 AM

MLB

Monday, May 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Detroit

7:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. NY YANKEES
Kansas City is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
NY Yankees are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games

7:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 11 games
Milwaukee is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

7:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. BOSTON
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Boston's last 25 games when playing at home against Oakland

8:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. CHI CUBS
San Diego is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Diego's last 11 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 10 games

8:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Chi White Sox are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games
Texas is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

8:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. MINNESOTA
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Baltimore
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

8:40 PM
ARIZONA vs. COLORADO
Arizona is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Arizona is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games at home

10:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
Seattle is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games

10:10 PM
NY METS vs. LA DODGERS
NY Mets are 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games at home

10:15 PM
TORONTO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 05-09-2016, 10:28 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, May 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (12 - 18) at MIAMI (16 - 13) - 7:10 PM
WILY PERALTA (R) vs. JOSE FERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 57-86 (-24.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FERNANDEZ is 34-19 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 25-4 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 34-17 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 27-12 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

WILY PERALTA vs. MIAMI since 1997
PERALTA is 4-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.407.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.7 units)

JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (16 - 14) at CINCINNATI (13 - 18) - 7:10 PM
JON NIESE (L) vs. DANIEL STRAILY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 43-51 (-18.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 114-79 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 114-79 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 144-100 (+26.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 91-61 (+19.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 72-41 (+22.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NIESE is 48-40 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NIESE is 48-38 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
NIESE is 23-11 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 76-117 (-36.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 76-117 (-36.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 95-142 (-42.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 37-69 (-24.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-3 (+0.6 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

JON NIESE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
NIESE is 2-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.308.
His team's record is 2-5 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.4 units)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
STRAILY is 1-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.054.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (13 - 18) at CHICAGO CUBS (23 - 6) - 8:05 PM
CESAR VARGAS (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-6 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-6 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-2 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 97-60 (+19.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-45 (+18.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LESTER is 46-12 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 805-763 (-159.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 738-719 (-150.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CESAR VARGAS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

JON LESTER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LESTER is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.217.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (14 - 18) at COLORADO (14 - 16) - 8:40 PM
ARCHIE BRADLEY (R) vs. TYLER CHATWOOD (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 5-1 (+6.1 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

ARCHIE BRADLEY vs. COLORADO since 1997
BRADLEY is 0-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.77 and a WHIP of 1.504.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. ARIZONA since 1997
CHATWOOD is 3-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 5-0 (+6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (18 - 11) at LA DODGERS (15 - 15) - 10:10 PM
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 19-3 (+17.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 109-88 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 53-43 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 107-86 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 78-69 (-25.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 107-98 (-26.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
KAZMIR is 15-23 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 14-22 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 6-15 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

STEVEN MATZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MATZ is 1-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. NY METS since 1997
KAZMIR is 2-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.1 units)

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KANSAS CITY (15 - 14) at NY YANKEES (11 - 17) - 7:05 PM
CHRIS YOUNG (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 121-86 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 39-28 (+15.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 106-86 (+23.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 117-80 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 157-116 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 84-56 (+23.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 51-33 (+15.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
YOUNG is 33-22 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 62-53 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 32-21 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 20-11 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 132-118 (-68.6 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHRIS YOUNG vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
YOUNG is 3-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.405.
His team's record is 3-4 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-4.0 units)

IVAN NOVA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
NOVA is 2-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.61 and a WHIP of 1.776.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (14 - 17) at BOSTON (17 - 13) - 7:10 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 82-111 (-32.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 12-29 (-15.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 12-24 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 79-104 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 52-68 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 44-66 (-22.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 166-189 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 69-84 (-24.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-37 (-23.9 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 85-93 (-30.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-22 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 145-168 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 62-68 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 74-94 (-25.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 20-32 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 8-16 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 7-20 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 5-11 (-10.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 7-14 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 12-25 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 5-17 (-15.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 5-15 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SONNY GRAY vs. BOSTON since 1997
GRAY is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 0.846.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 3-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 6.81 and a WHIP of 2.061.
His team's record is 5-3 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+3.9 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (21 - 10) at TEXAS (17 - 14) - 8:05 PM
MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R) vs. COLBY LEWIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 107-91 (+36.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 22-15 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 101-83 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 15-8 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 67-55 (+22.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 58-48 (+22.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 50-34 (+30.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LEWIS is 19-10 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 21-10 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 12-5 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 118-111 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 18-7 (+12.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 30-24 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 119-95 (+37.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.607.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
LEWIS is 7-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.336.
His team's record is 7-5 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.3 units)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (14 - 13) at HOUSTON (11 - 20) - 8:10 PM
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 88-90 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 44-51 (-17.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KLUBER is 13-25 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 5-14 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 12-24 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 8-16 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 3-9 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 94-70 (+40.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.
HOUSTON is 11-20 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 11-20 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 7-17 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 1-10 (-12.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

COREY KLUBER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
KLUBER is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 1.063.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

MICHAEL FIERS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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BALTIMORE (17 - 12) at MINNESOTA (8 - 22) - 8:10 PM
TYLER WILSON (R) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 22-38 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 23-41 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-12 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 198-163 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 176-143 (+32.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-22 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 5-15 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-22 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 7-18 (-11.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 4-17 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

TYLER WILSON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JOSE BERRIOS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

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TAMPA BAY (14 - 14) at SEATTLE (18 - 12) - 10:10 PM
MATT MOORE (L) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 115-130 (-31.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 41-52 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 3-10 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 89-97 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 29-38 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MATT MOORE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MOORE is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 1.063.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.3 units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 7-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 1.90 and a WHIP of 0.915.
His team's record is 12-3 (+8.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-5.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (14 - 15) at WASHINGTON (19 - 11) - 7:05 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 80-96 (-24.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 102-90 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 101-89 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 61-61 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 76-72 (-13.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 43-46 (-13.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
STRASBURG is 19-21 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
SANCHEZ is 9-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.98 and a WHIP of 1.139.
His team's record is 14-7 (+6.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-12. (-5.0 units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. DETROIT since 1997
STRASBURG is 0-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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TORONTO (16 - 16) at SAN FRANCISCO (17 - 15) - 10:15 PM
AARON SANCHEZ (R) vs. JAKE PEAVY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SANCHEZ is 0-7 (-7.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-11 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 190-136 (+45.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-5 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1087-914 (+116.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

AARON SANCHEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

JAKE PEAVY vs. TORONTO since 1997
PEAVY is 3-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.123.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 05-09-2016, 01:40 PM

MLB betting cheat sheet: Ray of Hope?

Even though they’ve been winning recently, the Rays are still tied for the third fewest runs scored in all of baseball.

Tampa Bay is a team that had a very good weekend as they swept the Angels, in LA no less. That’s got them above .500 for the first time this season, but I’m interested to see how this team performs in its next series as they stay out on the West Coast to take on a Seattle club more folks need to be talking about. The M’s own the American League’s second best run differential (+26) despite having had to settle for a split of four games with Houston over the weekend.

Even though they’ve been winning recently, the Rays are still tied for the third fewest runs scored in all of baseball. They’ll have to face Seattle’s top two pitchers in this series, beginning with Felix Hernandez on Monday.

These two teams played seven times last season and only once were more than five total runs scored!

Something’s Gotta Give

Two teams coming off awful weekends meet in D.C. as the Nationals host the Tigers starting Monday. Washington just got swept in Chicago - I suppose there’s no real shame there - but Detroit is the one really reeling as they’ve lost six straight games after being swept by both Cleveland and Texas. Actually, four of the Tigers’ last five series have ended in sweeps with them coming out on the wrong end three of those times.

Not having the DH for the next three games is a bad blow for a lineup that’s averaging less than three runs per game during its losing skid.

Don’t Forget About Those Bullpens

Bullpens either improving or regressing can have a large impact on a team’s overall won-loss record from year to year. So far, we’re seeing two examples of that in the American League.

The White Sox, who seemingly don’t give up any runs late in games, are now 21-0 when leading entering the 7th inning. A big reason for this is that their bullpen ERA (1.86) is the best in baseball by more than half a run. Consider that last season, they were just 15th in that category.

Then there’s Houston, who made a big jump last year in bullpen ERA (30th to 6th), but this season is heading back in the opposite direction (currently 23rd). This is a major reason why these two teams are in very different places in the standings. I don’t think 32 games is too small a sample size to make changes to my preseason playoff projections.

Right now, I’d certainly bet on the White Sox being “in” and the Astros being “out.”

Hitting Notes

* Here’s your obligatory Cubs’ mention of the column. A pitching staff that has posted a filthy 2.48 ERA (MLB’s best) has logically grabbed the headlines in the team’s record-setting 24-6 (+102 run differential!) start. But how about the fact the team also leads the league in runs scored? While it all starts with the leadoff man (Dexter Fowler), the Cubs now have another hitter with a better than 1.000 OPS and that’s Anthony Rizzo, who is 11 for 27 at the plate with 10 runs scored during the team’s seven game win streak. Things should be pretty easy on the Northside to start the week as San Diego pays a visit.

* Robinson Cano of Seattle is on a tear right now as he’s 17 for his last 31 at the plate with three home runs in the last two games. His May slash line is .500/.500/.731.

Pitching Notes

* Simply put, I have a sore spot for the Indians’ Corey Kluber. I feel he’s suffered from some bad luck both this season and last. In the case of 2016, he has an ERA of 3.35, but a WHIP of 0.953. His team start record is only 2-4, but the disparity in ERA/WHIP indicates to me that he’s due for some more positive results. Perhaps as soon as Monday when he’ll start against the struggling Astros.

* Four pitchers currently have team start records of 6-0 or better. Three of the names should come as no surprise: Arrieta, Sale and Strasburg. But how about a second White Sox pitcher making the list, that being Mat Latos? Pitching for three different teams last season, Latos posted a 4.95 ERA. This year, he’s all the way down to 2.62 and that’s only after allowing four runs in back to back starts. The next time Latos toes the rubber will be Wednesday, at home, against the Rangers.

Totals Trend

The Under is 10-3 in Dodgers’ home games so far this season. Starting Monday, they’ll welcome in a Mets team that led the NL in runs scored on the road last season.

Injury Notes

* Angels' shortstop Andrelton Simmons left Sunday's game with a sprained thumb and he is questionable for Tuesday's game vs. St. Louis.

* The Angels also suffered a major blow to their starting rotation when it was announced over the weekend that Garrett Richards would be lost for the 2016 season, and beyond, with a torn UCL that will require Tommy John surgery.

* Yankees second baseman Startin Castro left Sunday's game against the Red Sox after feeling a tweak in his back. It's been diagnosed as a rib cage injury and he is questionable to play Monday against the Royals. Don't be surprised to see him held out of action for a few days to ensure it doesn't turn into a lingering issue.

* Aroldis Chapman is eligible to return from his domestic violence suspension today and will provide a huge boost to the Yankees' bullpen.

* Seattle's Nelson Cruz missed Sunday's game with a bruised forearm and is questionable to return Monday against the Rays.

* Cubs' catcher Miguel Montero is eligible to return from the 15-day disabled list Tuesday and should provide some much needed help to a struggling Cubs lineup - just kidding, he'll just add a little bit extra to an already awesome roster.

Monday's Weather Report

* There is a 60 percent chance of rain showers in D.C. where Stephen Strasburg and the Nationals will host the Detroit Tigers Monday evening. The total for the game is currently 7.5.

* It will be clear and cool tonight at Fenway Park where the Sox will welcome the Oakland Athletics. The major weather-maker this evening will be a stiff breeze blowing out to right field. The total for this game is currently 8.5.

* There is a chance of some thunderstorms in Cincinnati for tonight's rivalry game between the Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates. The total is currently 9.0.

* There will be some thunderstorms in the Chicago area Monday night where the Cubs will welcome the San Diego Padres to town. There is a 65% chance of shower early in the game and that boosts up to a 100% chance of some wet stuff during the later innings. The total is currently OFF.

* Rounding out our weather report for Monday, there will also be a chance of thunderstorms in Denver for Monday's game between the Rockies and D-Backs. There will also be a breeze blowing in from left-center for most of the game. The total is currently set OFF.

Announcement

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 5/9

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 5/9

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