Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/18

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Monday, April 18

Good Luck on day #109 of 2016!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Week 1 NFL pointspreads

Carolina @ Denver (-1)...........................Chicago @ Houston (-4.5)

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta (-3.5)..................Green Bay @ Jacksonville (+3.5)

Minnesota @ Tennessee (+3).................Miami @ Seattle (-7.5)

Cleveland @ Philadelphia (-7.5)..............NJ Giants @ Dallas (-5.5)

NJ Jets @ Cincinnati (even)....................Detroit @ Indianapolis (-5.5)

Oakland @ New Orleans (-1.5)...............New England @ Arizona (even)

San Diego @ Kansas City (-7.5).............Pittsburgh @ Washington (+3)

Buffalo @ Baltimore (-3).........................Los Angeles @ San Francisco (+2.5)

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend.........

13) So which QB do the Rams take with the first pick in the draft? Spent an hour this morning watching Jon Gruden's TV shows with Goff/Wentz, trying to learn about both guys, while seeing if Gruden preferred either guy. Hard to tell.

One thing: Goff is a huge SF Giants baseball fan; you wonder if he's a 49er fan too; if he is, kind of awkward to make him the cornerstone of the Rams' franchise.

12) 18 years ago, Colts/Chargers had #1, #2 picks in the draft; there was a standoff in the media which QB rpsopect was the better one, no one seemed to know. Turns out that Peyton Manning was the right choice and Ryan Leaf wasn't. But make no mistake about it, at the time a lot of smart people thought Leaf was the better choice.

11) Apparently, Tennessee is using the extra picks it got from the Rams to try and get back in the top 10 of the first round.

10) Since 1999 in the NBA playoffs, #7 seeds are 1-33 in first round series against the #2 seeds. I've long believed that best-of-7 series are too long in these first round series. It just gets boring watching the #1, #2 seeds pummel inferior teams.

9) In 1981, Mike Schmidt was baseball's highest paid player; he made $2,130,000.

8) Disney has six Star Wars movies planned, all the way thru 2020; its like having this out-of-control printing press in your cellar that just constantly churns out money.

7) On July 2, 2013, the Orioles traded Jake Arrieta, Pedro Strop and cash to the Cubs, for Scott Feldman, Steve Clevenger. Oy. Arrieta hasn't allowed a run at Wrigley Field since last July, thats six scoreless home starts in a row.

6) Couple years ago, Steve Kerr turned down the Knicks' coaching job and went to the Warriors; now his assistant Luke Walton is doing the same thing.

5) Brooklyn Nets hired Hawks' assistant Kenny Atkinson as their new coach; he is said to be a very strong player development coach.

4) On Opening Day, there were 82 Dominican-born major leaguers, an average of three per team. You wonder how the language barrier affects players who weren't born in this country. If I owned a big league team, all my coaches would have to know how to speak Spanish. Communication is very important.

3) Former Iona star AJ English was VP of the Portsmouth tournament this weekend; we'll see if that helps him get drafted in June.

2) Dodgers started Howie Kendrick at 3B this week, first time he's started there since 2006; they also started him in LF, first time he's started there since 2011.

1) Florida State has played in 34 consecutive bowls, the longest current streak in college football; Virginia Tech is next at 23, then Georgia at 19. Funny that all three schools have changed coaches in the last six years, Va Tech and Georgia this year.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, April 18

Arizona @ San Francisco

Game 959-960
April 18, 2016 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Bradley) 12.424
San Francisco
(Peavy) 16.828
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 4 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
N/A

Toronto @ Boston

Game 961-962
April 18, 2016 @ 11:05 am

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Happ) 15.752
Boston
(Buchholz) 17.261
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-110
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-110); Under

LA Angels @ Chicago White Sox

Game 963-964
April 18, 2016 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Santiago) 16.038
Chicago White Sox
(Rodon) 14.519
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+115); Over

Milwaukee @ Minnesota

Game 965-966
April 18, 2016 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Andersn) 13.800
Minnesota
(Hughes) 12.280
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+110); Over

NY Mets @ Philadelphia

Game 951-952
April 18, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Syndrgrd) 14.306
Philadelphia
(Eickhoff) 15.857
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-180
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+160); Under

Washington @ Miami

Game 953-954
April 18, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Roark) 15.753
Miami
(Frnandez) 14.741
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
N/A

Colorado @ Cincinnati

Game 955-956
April 18, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Lyles) 12.180
Cincinnati
(Straily) 13.771
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-120); Over

Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis

Game 957-958
April 18, 2016 @ 8:09 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lackey) 15.812
St. Louis
(Leake) 14.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-120); Over

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 18

National League games
Mets @ Phillies
Syndergaard is 3-0, 1.82 in his last four starts (under.3-1).

Eickhoff is 3-1, 1.35 in his last six starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight.

Mets won three of their last four games. Phillies won four of their last six games; under is 5-2 in their home games. Philly is 0-4 in series openers.

Nationals @ Marlins
Roark is 1-2, 2.28 in his last four starts (under 3-1).

Fernandez is 0-2, 4.32 in his last three starts; three of his last four at home went over.

Washington won seven of its last eight games; three of their last four games got over the total. Miami lost its last four games; they're 0-5 at home, with all five games going over the total.

Rockies @ Reds
Lyles is 0-5, 8.91 in his last eight starts; three of his last four went over.

Straily is making first start for Reds; he's 0-1, 6.46 in his last three starts. Straily is 13-13 in 45 career major league starts (27 of 45 were in 2013).

Colorado won four of its last five games; three of its last four road games stayed under total. Cincinnati is 1-5 on road; five of the six games went over the total. .

Cubs @ Cardinals
Ex-Cardinal Lackey is 3-0, 4.70 in his last four starts; his last three went over.

Leake is 1-3, 4.76 in his last five starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight starts.

Cubs won six of their last eight games; five of their last seven games went over total. St Louis won seven of its last nine games (over 7-2). .

Diamondbacks @ Giants
Bradley is making first '16 start (De la Rosa pitched in relief in 14th inning Saturday night in San Diego); Bradley is 1-3, 10.91 in his last four starts, last of which was back on June 1, 2015.

Peavy is 0-1, 10.00 in two starts this month; five of his last seven starts went over.

Arizona is 4-7 in its last 11 games; they're 0-4 in game following a win. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Giants lost four of their last five games (over 3-1-1).

American League games
Blue Jays @ Red Sox
Happ is 3-0, 1.84 in his last five starts; five of his last six stayed under.

Buchholz is 0-2, 9.49 in his last three starts; both his starts this month went over.

Toronto lost four of its its last five road games (under is 6-1 in their last seven games overall). Red Sox won three of their last four games, all of which stayed under.

Angels @ White Sox
Santiago is 0-0, 6.17 in his last four starts; over is 4-1 in his last five road starts.

Rodon is 4-1, 1.60 in his last five starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven.

Chicago won six of its last nine games (under 7-2-1 in last ten). Angels lost last three games; under is 7-4 in their last eleven games.

Interleague
Brewers @ Marlins
Anderson is 1-0, 2.01 in his last four starts; over is 3-2 in his last five road starts .

Hughes is 1-5, 5.90 in his last six starts (under 4-1-1).

Milwaukee lost three of its last four games; six of its last nine went over. Miami lost all five home games; all five went over he total.

[Udog]

MLB

Monday, April 18

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Trend Report
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11:05 AM
TORONTO vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 12 games at home

7:05 PM
NY METS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Mets are 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
NY Mets are 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets

7:10 PM
COLORADO vs. CINCINNATI
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Miami
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington

8:09 PM
CHI CUBS vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Chi Cubs's last 22 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Chi Cubs are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games

8:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games at home

8:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
LA Angels are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels

10:15 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona


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[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, April 18

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NY METS (5 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 7) - 7:05 PM
NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R) vs. JERAD EICKHOFF (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 16-3 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+2.7 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

NOAH SYNDERGAARD vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
SYNDERGAARD is 2-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.46 and a WHIP of 0.973.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)

JERAD EICKHOFF vs. NY METS since 1997
EICKHOFF is 1-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

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WASHINGTON (9 - 2) at MIAMI (3 - 7) - 7:10 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. JOSE FERNANDEZ (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

TANNER ROARK vs. MIAMI since 1997
ROARK is 2-4 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.325.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.4 units)

JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
FERNANDEZ is 3-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 0.98 and a WHIP of 0.873.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (+0.0 units)

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COLORADO (7 - 5) at CINCINNATI (6 - 6) - 7:10 PM
JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. DANIEL STRAILY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 3-17 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 185-269 (-60.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 604-948 (-180.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
COLORADO is 2-15 (-12.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 548-868 (-163.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
COLORADO is 41-73 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 69-105 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 69-105 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 91-131 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 53-76 (-20.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JORDAN LYLES vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LYLES is 3-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.03 and a WHIP of 1.369.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-1. (+3.8 units)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHICAGO CUBS (9 - 3) at ST LOUIS (7 - 5) - 8:05 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1103-1210 (-199.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
LACKEY is 61-82 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 109-69 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 84-68 (+22.4 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 114-60 (+29.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 109-69 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 76-44 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 83-48 (+23.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 47-31 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 110-73 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 34-16 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-10 (+10.3 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 55-37 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 91-78 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 53-31 (+17.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 110-73 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 68-41 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOHN LACKEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LACKEY is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.308.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LEAKE is 9-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 13-6 (+6.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-9. (-0.7 units)

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ARIZONA (5 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 6) - 10:15 PM
ARCHIE BRADLEY (R) vs. JAKE PEAVY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ARCHIE BRADLEY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
BRADLEY is 0-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
PEAVY is 17-13 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.49 and a WHIP of 1.272.
His team's record is 19-15 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-19. (-8.3 units)

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TORONTO (6 - 7) at BOSTON (6 - 5) - 11:05 AM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HAPP is 2-10 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 155-181 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 625-562 (-75.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 18-36 (-23.8 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 80-89 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-49 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 134-160 (-39.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 40-48 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 19-29 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 7-18 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 7-16 (-11.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 14-27 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 4-10 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 1-7 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-2 (+2.6 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. BOSTON since 1997
HAPP is 3-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.3 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 13-9 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.226.
His team's record is 15-12 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-10. (+4.1 units)

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LA ANGELS (5 - 7) at CHI WHITE SOX (8 - 4) - 8:10 PM
HECTOR SANTIAGO (L) vs. CARLOS RODON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
RODON is 16-9 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
RODON is 16-9 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 789-776 (+62.6 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 664-657 (+55.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

HECTOR SANTIAGO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SANTIAGO is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of 0.938.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

CARLOS RODON vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
RODON is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.20 and a WHIP of 0.800.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

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MILWAUKEE (5 - 7) at MINNESOTA (3 - 9) - 8:10 PM
CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. PHIL HUGHES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 86-88 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 49-38 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 84-83 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 52-51 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 48-33 (+22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHASE ANDERSON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

PHIL HUGHES vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

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