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**Udog** · 04-14-2016, 08:54 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Six of the longer shots to win the Super Bowl this coming season........

200-1-- Cleveland-- Cut seven starters; who replaces them?

100-1-- San Francisco-- Will they trade Kaepernick, or not?

80-1--- San Diego-- Will Chargers get a new stadium where they belong?

60-1-- Jacksonville-- Will Jaguars be the team that moves to London?

60-1-- Tennessee-- Will Titans draft number one pick in the draft?

50-1-- Miami-- When was last time the Dolphins were a contender?

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......

13) Damn, the NFL schedule is coming out tonight, not next week; if I knew that, would've flown home a different day. I'll be on the plane when the 2016 NFL schedule comes out, but I'll get the WiFi on the plane and try to have some coherent thoughts about the schedule for this space tomorrow.

12) Quite a scene in Westgate Sportsbook last night, with Warriors winning their 73rd game and Kobe Bryant playing his last game. ESPN sent its #1 announce team to Oakland, but the sportsbook gave the Lakers a slight preference, as far as where the games were shown on TVs.

11) In my humble opinion, the NBA promotes its stars too much and its teams not enough, and thats why I like college ball better. The Lakers stink, but it seemed like a playoff game last night, just because Bryant was playing his last game.

10) Nobody in Oakland should hint that the Warriors are the best team ever unless they win the championship this season; thats a measure of greatmess, not your regular season record.

9) Minnesota/Sacramento fired their coach; Washington is also expected to fire those. 16 teams make the playoffs; the other 14 coaches are on the hot seat.

8) When the Bulls went 72-10 in 1995-96, Michael Jordan played in all 82 games. No resting or taking nights off for bogus reasons- he played in every game.

7) Rumors have Memphis State going after Tubby Smith, which would create an opening at Texas Tech. UNLV's newly-hired coach Chris Beard spent ten years as an assistant in Lubbock; would they be interested in hiring him?

6) Speaking of Beard, the coach has three daughters but unfortunately also has only three players who are on scholarship at UNLV right now-- everyone else jumped ship, which probably helps explain why they weren't any good the last two years.

5) Ole Miss lands transfer PG Cullen Neal, son of the New Mexico coach. Things got ugly in Albuquerque LY, so the son, a good player, transferred. Good get for Rebels' coach Andy Kennedy, who had been mentioned for the Memphis job.

4) USC is weird; they hired Lynn Swann as their new AD. Their last three ADs are all former football players; Mike Garrett, Pat Haden and now Swann. Guess they don't like outsiders too much; sounds more like Texas than California, but so be it.

3) Dee Gordon had an epic 16-pitch at-bat against the Mets Tuesday, the longest single at-bat in Marlins' history- he reached on a single. It was the longest AB in any big league game since a 16-pitch walk to Justin Turner two years ago.

2) Longest playoff drought of any baseball team? Mariners, last in playoffs in 2001.

1) Does the exhibition season matter? The results do not, but the Mets won once in their last 15 spring training games, and are struggling out of the gate in real games, so there could be something to it, at least as far as the quality of play goes.

**Udog** · 04-14-2016, 08:59 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, April 14

Atlanta @ Washington

Game 957-958
April 14, 2016 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Teheran) 13.219
Washington
(Strasburg) 14.604
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
N/A

Cincinnati @ Chicago Cubs

Game 959-960
April 14, 2016 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Iglesias) 15.831
Chicago Cubs
(Hammel) 14.355
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-170
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+150); N/A

Arizona @ LA Dodgers

Game 961-962
April 14, 2016 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Ray) 16.001
LA Dodgers
(Strplng) 14.551
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-150
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+130); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota

Game 963-964
April 14, 2016 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Latos) 15.226
Minnesota
(Santana) 16.797
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-120); Over

Cleveland @ Tampa Bay

Game 965-966
April 14, 2016 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Salazar) 14.936
Tampa Bay
(Archer) 16.478
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-120
7
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-120); Over

NY Yankees @ Toronto

Game 967-968
April 14, 2016 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Eovaldi) 16.778
Toronto
(Stroman) 15.359
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-155
8
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(+135); Over

Baltimore @ Texas

Game 969-970
April 14, 2016 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Tillman) 15.436
Texas
(Hamels) 12.294
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 3
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-135
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+115); Over

Kansas City @ Houston

Game 971-972
April 14, 2016 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Kennedy) 16.381
Houston
(Fister) 18.163
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-115); Under

San Diego @ Philadelphia

Game 951-952
April 14, 2016 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Pomrnz) 15.882
Philadelphia
(Velsquez) 14.258
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-135
7
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+115); Under

Detroit @ Pittsburgh

Game 973-974
April 14, 2016 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Zmmrmnn) 12.526
Pittsburgh
(Cole) 17.042
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 4 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-145
7
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-145); Under

Milwaukee @ St. Louis

Game 953-954
April 14, 2016 @ 1:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Peralta) 15.273
St. Louis
(Garcia) 13.839
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-200
8
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+170); Under

San Francisco @ Colorado

Game 955-956
April 14, 2016 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Cain) 15.721
Colorado
(De La Rosa) 14.239
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-130
11 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-130); Over

**Udog** · 04-14-2016, 09:03 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 14

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SAN DIEGO (3 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 5) - 1:05 PM
DREW POMERANZ (L) vs. VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-43 (+15.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 152-176 (-50.7 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 110-113 (-33.7 Units) against the money line in home games in April games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

DREW POMERANZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
POMERANZ is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.071.
His team's record is 0-3 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

VINCENT VELASQUEZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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MILWAUKEE (4 - 4) at ST LOUIS (4 - 4) - 1:45 PM
WILY PERALTA (R) vs. JAIME GARCIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 106-68 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 111-59 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 106-68 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 80-48 (+20.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

WILY PERALTA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
PERALTA is 4-8 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.74 and a WHIP of 1.434.
His team's record is 5-8 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-6. (+1.1 units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GARCIA is 9-5 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.02 and a WHIP of 1.191.
His team's record is 11-7 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-10. (-2.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 3) at COLORADO (4 - 4) - 3:10 PM
MATT CAIN (R) vs. JORGE DE LA ROSA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CAIN is 16-29 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in April games since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 31-25 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
DE LA ROSA is 119-100 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 71-38 (+28.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 42-25 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 119-95 (+32.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 36-18 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 384-389 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-1 (-0.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

MATT CAIN vs. COLORADO since 1997
CAIN is 17-8 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.168.
His team's record is 22-13 (+7.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-21. (-8.6 units)

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 10-6 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.67 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 15-8 (+6.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-14. (-5.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (0 - 8) at WASHINGTON (6 - 1) - 4:05 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
TEHERAN is 3-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.59 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 6-6 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.8 units)

TANNER ROARK vs. ATLANTA since 1997
ROARK is 4-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.84 and a WHIP of 1.061.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-7. (-6.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (5 - 3) at CHICAGO CUBS (7 - 1) - 8:05 PM
RAISEL IGLESIAS (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 68-102 (-30.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 68-102 (-30.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 91-129 (-33.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 108-71 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 108-71 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 67-41 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 66-40 (+17.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 719-828 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 524-597 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 797-760 (-160.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 377-354 (-83.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1101-1208 (-196.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

RAISEL IGLESIAS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
IGLESIAS is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.2 units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HAMMEL is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.280.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-6. (-5.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (3 - 6) at LA DODGERS (5 - 4) - 10:10 PM
ROBBIE RAY (L) vs. ROSS STRIPLING (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 56-103 (-36.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 48-42 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 99-77 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 99-77 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 72-58 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 102-93 (-24.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ROBBIE RAY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RAY is 2-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 1.141.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

ROSS STRIPLING vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (6 - 2) at MINNESOTA (0 - 8) - 1:10 PM
MAT LATOS (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 47-72 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 552-586 (+36.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 386-384 (+39.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 114-93 (+33.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 0-8 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 0-8 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
MINNESOTA is 86-109 (-42.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 0-8 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

MAT LATOS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

ERVIN SANTANA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SANTANA is 6-7 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.219.
His team's record is 9-9 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-11. (-6.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (3 - 3) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 5) - 1:10 PM
DANNY SALAZAR (R) vs. CHRIS ARCHER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 20-34 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 38-45 (-15.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 160-172 (-34.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 80-88 (-31.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 39-51 (-25.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-31 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 81-89 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 89-100 (-33.9 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 109-124 (-31.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

DANNY SALAZAR vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SALAZAR is 1-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)

CHRIS ARCHER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
ARCHER is 0-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.620.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (4 - 3) at TORONTO (4 - 5) - 7:05 PM
NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 51-26 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 26-10 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
EOVALDI is 14-4 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 112-126 (-45.5 Units) against the money line in home games in April games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. TORONTO since 1997
EOVALDI is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.106.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MARCUS STROMAN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
STROMAN is 4-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.43 and a WHIP of 1.045.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (7 - 1) at TEXAS (5 - 5) - 8:05 PM
CHRIS TILLMAN (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 95-82 (+31.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 40-25 (+23.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 90-77 (+28.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 69-53 (+29.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 58-49 (+18.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 43-37 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 47-30 (+31.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HAMELS is 23-13 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 188-152 (+39.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 167-134 (+33.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 131-94 (+39.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
TILLMAN is 43-27 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 19-12 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 10-2 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games in April games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 38-22 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 65-46 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 9-15 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games in April games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. TEXAS since 1997
TILLMAN is 3-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.413.
His team's record is 4-2 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

COLE HAMELS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HAMELS is 1-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (6 - 2) at HOUSTON (3 - 6) - 8:10 PM
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 112-74 (+30.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 36-25 (+15.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 102-78 (+28.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 21-9 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 108-68 (+32.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 78-55 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 76-46 (+26.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 65-47 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 114-125 (-40.9 Units) against the money line in home games in April games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
KENNEDY is 2-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 0.71 and a WHIP of 1.579.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
FISTER is 2-6 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.87 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 5-7 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-5. (+1.3 units)

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DETROIT (5 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (5 - 4) - 12:35 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 103-69 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 107-61 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 20-3 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 103-69 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 83-53 (+21.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 381-382 (+52.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DETROIT is 17-9 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 47-35 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 (+0.6 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 0-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

GERRIT COLE vs. DETROIT since 1997
COLE is 1-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

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**Udog** · 04-14-2016, 09:07 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 14

National League games
Diamondbacks @ Dodgers
Ray is 1-0, 2.82 in his last four starts; four of his last five starts stayed under.

Stripling was removed from his first MLB start with a no-hitter in 8th inning, not a bad way to start your career.

Arizona lost five of its last seven games. Dodgers lost four of last six games. LA won 14 of its last 21games gainst the Diamondbacks.

Padres @ Phillies
Pomeranz allowed two runs in five IP at Coors Field, in his first Padre start.

Velasquez shut Mets out for six innings in Queens in his first '16 start.

Phillies won four of their last five games. San Diego lost three of last four games, scoring one run in last two. Padres lost seven of last nine games against the Phillies.

Braves @ Nationals
Teheran is 2-2, 2.57 in his last eight starts (under 4-2-2).

Strasburg is 4-0, 1.03 in his last five stats (under 4-1)- he was scratched yesterday with an illness.

Atlanta is 0-8 so far, outscored 49-22- four of their last six games went over total. Washington won six of its first seven games. Nationals won 19 of their last 24 games against the Braves.

Brewers @ Cardinals
Peralta is 0-4, 11.65 in his last four starts; his last six starts went over.

Garcia is 0-2, 8.25 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four at home.

St Louis won four of its last five games, scoring 45 runs- six of its last seven games went over the total. Brewers are 19-40 in their last 59 games against the Redbirds. Milwaukee won four of its last six games overall.

Reds @ Cubs
Iglesias is 1-0, 2.70 in his last three starts; four of his last five starts went over.

Hammel is 0-1, 6.97 inhis last three starts; seven of his last nine starts went over.

Cubs won seven of their first eight games, Cincy five of first eight. Cubs are 15-6 in their last 21 games against the Reds.

Giants @ Rockies
Cain is 0-0, 1.64 in his last two starts; over is 5-1-1 in his last seven starts.

de la Rosa is 0-2, 7.06 in his last four starts; six of his last nine starts went over.

Giants won six of their first nine games. Colorado is 3-4 in its last seven games- they . are 12-9 in their last 21 games against the Giants.

American League games
Bronx @ Blue Jays
Eovaldi is 1-1, 7.63 in his last three starts.

Stroman is 6-0, 3.47 in his last nine starts; his last six starts went over.

Bronx won four of its last six games; five of its last seven went over. Toronto lost five of its last seven games. Blue Jays are 14-7 in their last 21 games against New York.

Indians @ Rays
Salazar is 2-1, 2.25 in his last three starts; under is 6-1-1 in his last eight.

Archer is 0-4, 6.67 in his last six starts; over is 7-2-1 in his last ten starts.

Cleveland lost five of its last eight games (under 5-0-1 in last six). Tampa Bay won six of its last nine games (over 3-2-1 in last six). Tribe won six of their last nine games against Tampa Bay.

Orioles @ Rangers
Tillman is 3-0, 2.81 in his last five starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six starts.

Hamels is 6-1, 3.64 in his last eight starts; over is 7-2-1 in his last ten starts.

Baltimore won seven of its first eight games. Texas won four of its last six games. O's lost six of last seven games with Texas LY.

Royals @ Astros
Kennedy is 2-0, 2.55 in his last three starts; over is 6-2-1 in his last nine.

Fister allowed three runs in five IP at Milwaukee, in his first '16 start.

Royals won six of their first eight games (under 7-1). Astros lost six of their last eight games (over 5-3 last eight). Astros-Royals split their last 14 games.

White Sox @ Twins
Latos is 1-0, 3.68 in his last three starts; four of his last six starts went over.

Santana is 5-1, 1.71 in his last nine starts; under is 6-1-1 in his last eight. .

White Sox won six of first eight games. Minnesota is 0-8 for first time in franchise history- they scored 13 runs in eight games (under 8-0). Chicago is 8-13 in its last 21 games against the Twins.

Interleague
Tigers @ Pirates
Zimmerman is 2-2, 4.29 in his last six starts; three of his last four starts stayed under.

Cole is 0-2, 6.52 in his last two starts; four of his last five starts stayed under. .

Pirates lost four of their last five games. Detroit won five of its first seven games.

Umpires
-- SD-Phil-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Little games.
-- Mil-StL-- Favorites won last six Miller games.
-- SF-Colo-- Five of last six Torres games stayed under.
-- Atl-Wsh-- Last five LBarrett games stayed under total.
-- Cin-Chi-- Six of last seven O'Nora games stayed under.
-- Az-LA-- Underdogs are 5-4 in last nine Carlson games.

-- Chi-Min-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Ripperger games.
-- Clev-TB-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Winters games.
-- NY-Tor-- Seven of last eight Joyce games stayed under.
-- Balt-Bos-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Gonzalez games.
-- KC-Hst-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Wolf games.

-- Pitt-Det-- Four of last five Meals games went over the total.

**Udog** · 04-14-2016, 09:10 AM

MLB

Thursday, April 14

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Trend Report
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12:35 PM
DETROIT vs. PITTSBURGH
Detroit is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home

1:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Diego's last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Diego
Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Diego

1:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Minnesota is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

1:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Cleveland's last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland

1:45 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
St. Louis is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Milwaukee

3:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 9 games

4:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home

7:07 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TORONTO
NY Yankees are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Toronto is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

8:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games at home
Chi Cubs are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games at home

8:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games at home
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. HOUSTON
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games
Houston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. LA DODGERS
Arizona is 5-14 SU in their last 19 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home

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**StarDust Bum** · 04-14-2016, 11:30 AM

Thursday's Diamond Notes
April 14, 2016

Hottest team: Cubs (7-1)
Coming into the season, Chicago had high expectations following last season’s run to the National League Championship Series. The Cubs are living up to the lofty hopes early by winning seven of the first eight games, including a pair of home victories over the Reds. Chicago scored five runs in the first inning of Wednesday’s 9-2 blowout of Cincinnati, as Joe Maddon’s squad has plated at least five runs in six of eight games this season.

Things are setting up nicely for Chicago the remainder of April, as the Cubs host the Rockies this weekend, followed by a seven-game road trip at St. Louis and Cincinnati, then home for six games against Milwaukee and Atlanta. The amazing part of Chicago’s early success is the Cubs have overcome slow starts by two of its young stars with third baseman Kris Bryant (.212) and first baseman Anthony Rizzo (.207) each struggling at the plate.

Coldest team: Twins (0-8)
Minnesota is one two winless teams remaining in baseball along with Atlanta, as the Twins were shut out at home by the White Sox on Wednesday, 3-0. The Twins haven’t hit an ‘over’ yet this season in eight games, while plating only one run through the first 18 innings of their series against Chicago.

The pitching hasn’t been terrible for Minnesota, as the Twins have allowed more than four runs in a game just once this season. Ervin Santana is making his third start of the season as his first outing at Baltimore was cut short due to a rain delay. The veteran right-hander scattered six hits and yielded two earned runs in six innings of work in his last outing at Kansas City, a 4-3 defeat last Friday.

Hottest pitcher: Cole Hamels, Rangers (2-0, 2.08 ERA)
Texas returns home from a 4-3 road trip against Baltimore, who suffered its first loss following a 7-0 start. The Rangers send out their ace to the mound in tonight’s opener as Hamels has been solid in two victories against the Mariners and Angels. Hamels allowed a pair of solo homers in his first outing against Seattle, but the Rangers’ southpaw settled down and gave up just four hits in a 3-2 victory. The former Phillies’ ace silenced the Angels by yielding four hits in six innings of a 4-1 triumph as a short underdog against the Rangers as Texas improved to 13-1 in his past 14 starts since last August.

Coldest pitcher: Chris Archer, Rays (0-2, 7.20 ERA)
It’s been a rough start for Tampa Bay’s standout right-hander, as Archer has failed to pitch past the fifth inning in losses to the Blue Jays and Orioles. In his last outing at Baltimore, Archer was lit up for six earned runs in five innings of work, while getting touched up for four home runs in a 6-1 defeat as a -125 road favorite. Archer didn’t face the Indians last season, but lost twice to Cleveland in the 2014 campaign, including a 6-5 home defeat as a -130 home favorite.

Biggest OVER run: Cardinals (5-0 last five)
After starting the season at 2-1 to the ‘under,’ St. Louis has run off five consecutive ‘overs,’ including a pair against Milwaukee. The Cardinals woke up after getting swept at Pittsburgh in the opening series by scoring at least seven runs during each contest of a four-game winning streak. St. Louis was limited to four runs in last night’s 6-4 defeat to Milwaukee, as the Cards plated three runs in the first inning before scoring only once in the final eight frames. The Cardinals beat Wily Peralta four times last season, as the Brewers’ right-hander has allowed 11 runs through two starts this season.

Biggest UNDER run: Padres (4-0 last four)
The Twins own the longest ‘under’ run at eight, but today’s spotlight will shine on San Diego. The Padres were blanked in their first three games against the Dodgers prior to busting out at Colorado with 32 runs. Heading to Philadelphia was definitely a buzz-kill following their successful weekend at Coors Field as the Padres have scored five runs in the first three games against the Phillies. In the past two defeats, San Diego has crossed home plate just once, but the Padres have held the inept Phillies’ offense to eight runs in three games.

Matchup to watch: Royals vs. Astros
Kansas City goes for the series victory after winning each of the two nights at Minute Maid Park. The Astros drilled the Royals in Monday’s opener, 8-2 in the first meeting since Kansas City eliminated Houston in last season’s ALDS. The Royals rebounded with a pair of low-scoring wins, while limiting the Astros to two runs in each of those victories. Ian Kennedy is coming off a strong Kansas City debut by tossing 6.2 scoreless innings in a 7-0 triumph over Minnesota last Saturday, as the right-hander takes the ball tonight. Dating back to last season (including playoffs), the Royals have won 11 of their last 16 road contests.

Betcha didn’t know: After losing each of his first two starts to the Dodgers last season, Arizona southpaw Robbie Ray didn’t allow a run in his final two outings against Los Angeles, both Diamondbacks victories. Since last September, the D-backs own a 5-1 record when Ray takes the mound, including handing the Cubs their only loss this season in a 3-2 win last Saturday.

Biggest public favorite: Cardinals (-190) vs. Brewers

Biggest public underdog: White Sox (+105) at Twins

Biggest line move: Padres (+130 to +120) at Phillies

**Udog** · 04-14-2016, 12:05 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, April 14

San Diego at Philadelphia, 1:05 PM ET
San Diego: 25-45 SU after 5 or more consecutive road games
Philadelphia: 15-11 SU after having won 3 of their last 4

Milwaukee at St Louis, 1:45 PM ET
Milwaukee: 35-55 SU after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span
St Louis: 28-7 SU as a home favorite of -150 to -200

San Francisco at Colorado, 3:10 PM ET
San Francisco: 6-15 SU after 2 games where they stranded 5 or less runners
Colorado: 31-25 SU in day games

Atlanta at Washington, 4:05 PM ET
Atlanta: 42-76 SU on the road when the total is 7.5 or less
Washington: 93-38 SU as a favorite of -150 or more

Cincinnati at Chicago, 8:05 PM ET
Cincinnati: 57-52 SU on road after a game where the BP threw 6 or more innings
Chicago: 56-64 SU in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games

Arizona at LA Dodgers, 10:10 PM ET
Arizona: 19-11 SU after scoring 1 run or less
LA Dodgers: 39-36 SU after 3 straight games without a stolen base

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota, 1:10 PM ET
Chicago: 9-2 SU after allowing 1 run or less 2 straight games
Minnesota: 0-8 SU in games played on a grass field

Cleveland at Tampa Bay, 1:10 PM ET
Cleveland: 7-2 SU in games played in a dome
Tampa Bay: 17-30 SU after 3 or more consecutive unders

NY Yankees at Toronto, 7:05 PM ET
New York: 29-16 SU after 4 or more consecutive road games
Toronto: 112-126 SU in home games in April games

Baltimore at Texas, 8:05 PM ET
Baltimore: 4-16 SU in road games after having won 4 of their last 5
Texas: 25-14 SU against AL East opponents

Kansas City at Houston, 8:10 PM ET
Kansas City: 31-23 SU on the road when the total is 7.5 or less
Houston: 5-20 SU after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less

Detroit at Pittsburgh, 12:35 PM ET
Detroit: 23-26 SU after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games
Pittsburgh: 83-43 SU as a favorite of -110 or higher

**Udog** · 04-14-2016, 12:08 PM

MLB

Thursday, April 14

The L/U combo has hit on every Twins game this season and their last 11 overall going back to 2015.

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/14

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/14

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