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**Udog** · 10-18-2015, 10:30 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)
six most popular picks in Week 1 season record: 15-10

6) Giants +4.5 (384)-- Lost 11 of last 14 games against the Eagles.

5) Lions -3 (417)-- Lot of people have faith in this winless favorite.

4) Bills +3.5 (470)-- Only QBs to beat Buffalo both won multiple Super Bowls.

3) Vikings -4 (547)-- Minnesota lost its last five post-bye games.

2) Cardinals -3 (768)-- Bruce Arians against his former employer.

1) Patriots -7.5 (849)-- NE scored 47 ppg in last four games vs Colts.

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Michigan State 27, Michigan 23-- Worst loss in a college football game since the Stanford band play 33 years ago. Wolvernes' special teams dominated the game until the punter dropped a snap with 0:10 left then coughed the ball up when hit and State ran the ball in as the gun sounded for the incredible, Pisarcik-like outcome.

Jalen Watts-Jackson scored the winning TD; sadly, his teammates piled on him in the end zone and he suffered a dislocated hip in the celebration. We wish him well.

By the way, this was an excellent, intense game; Sean McDonough's call of the bizarre final play was really good- he is an underrated play-by-play guy.

12) Memphis 37, Ole Miss 24-- Good news and bad news for the 6-0 Tigers; they beat a regional rival from the SEC, which should really help their recruiting, they're 6-0 and headed to a great bowl, but there is no way on God's green earth that coach Fuente will be in Memphis next year. The big money schools are watching and they're going to throw a lot of cash at him in December.

11) If you wagered on games Saturday just by reading the week's headlines, here is now you did:
-- South Carolina (-1)-- Their coach quit Monday; they still beat Vandy 19-10.
-- USC (+4.5)-- Fired its coach Sunday; they lost 41-31; AD Pat Haden collapsed before the game, but flew back to LA. He's about as good an AD as he was an NFL quarterback, as in, not very good.
-- Florida (+6.5)-- QB was suspended for a year; they lost 35-28 at LSU.

10) Clemson 34, Boston College 17-- BC scored total of 41 points in its last five games; when I watch the Recruiting Day stuff in February, BC better have signed at least two QBs and 15 offensive players in all; their offense is pathetic.

9) Utah 34, Arizona State 18-- Are Utes the best team in the Pac-12? Yes.

8) North Carolina 50, Wake Forest 14-- Apparently a Wake assistant mocked UNC on social media in the offseason for its academic scandal; the Tar Heels remembered yesterday as they hammered the Demon Deacons.

7) LSU 35, Florida 28-- Les Miles is one of our favorites; his kicker scored winning TD on a fake FG with 10:40 left. Who else does stuff like that? LSU is 6-0 and seems to be getting better; this was the Gators' first loss.

6) Royals 6, Blue Jays 3-- Toronto is down 2-0 in another series; David Price had retired 18 hitters in a row, but imploded in the 7th and became first pitcher ever to lose his first seven postseason starts.

5) Georgia 9, Missouri 6-- Dawgs snap two-game skid; loss here would've made the natives VERY restless. Tigers' season has been uudone by its QB getting suspended for off-field activities. Not often a team gives up nine points and still losses.

4) Mets 4, Cubs 2-- Chicago had won nine games in row against the Mets, but that doesn't matter. Daniel Murphy is making hmself very rich this month.

3) Rutgers 55, Indiana 52-- Hoosiers led 52-27 in third quarter; losses like this can implode programs and get coaches fired. This was 5th Rutgers game in last 2.5 years where the losing team scored 38+ points.

2) Baylor 62, West Virginia 38-- If you took West Virginia +21, and watched them score 38 points but not cover the spread, well why are you betting against Baylor?

1) Florida Sate 41, Louisville 21-- Jimbo Fisher is hell of a coach; he lost a QB who went 27-1 as a starter as well as four starters on OL and he still has the Seminoles unbeaten. Golson passed for 372 yards and three TDs; FSU trailed 7-6 at the half.

**Udog** · 10-18-2015, 10:39 AM

MLB
Dunkel

LCS

Chicago Cubs @ NY Mets

Game 957-958
October 18, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 14.278
NY Mets
(Syndergrd) 16.236
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-175
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(+155); Over

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 18

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CHICAGO CUBS (101 - 67) at NY METS (94 - 74) - 8:05 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 94-74 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 19-8 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
NY METS are 93-70 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 57-36 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 101-67 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-26 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 50-35 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-11 (+13.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 101-67 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 61-37 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 80-53 (+13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 81-73 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 47-32 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-13 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ARRIETA is 27-8 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 19-4 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 17-2 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 13-1 (+12.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 27-8 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 18-3 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 21-7 (+13.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 14-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 9-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 183-227 (-58.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 7-1 (+6.1 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. NY METS since 1997
ARRIETA is 2-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.82 and a WHIP of 0.894.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

NOAH SYNDERGAARD vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
SYNDERGAARD is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of 1.876.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 18

National League
Cubs vs Mets
Arrieta is 9-0, 0.95 in his last ten starts (under 7-1-1 last nine).

Syndergaard is 1-1, 2.57 in his last three starts (over 7-2 last nine); he threw a scoreless inning of relief since his last start.

Chicago won nine of last ten games against the Mets (under 6-2-2); Cubs won nine of last eleven games overall (over 3-0-1 last four).

New York won five of last seven games (under 7-2-1 in last ten).

MLB

Sunday, October 18

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Trend Report
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8:07 PM
CHI CUBS vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
NY Mets are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games when playing Chi Cubs

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**Udog** · 10-18-2015, 10:42 AM

MLB

Sunday, October 18

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NLCS Game 2 betting preview: Cubs at Mets
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Jake Arrieta struck out nine in 5 2/3 innings against St. Louis in his last start, but he also allowed four runs and five hits.

Chicago Cubs at New York Mets (+152, 5.5)

Mets lead series 1-0.

The Chicago Cubs send ace Jake Arrieta to the mound against the host New York Mets on Sunday in hopes of evening the National League Championship Series at one win apiece. New York limited Chicago to five hits in the opener and received solo homers from the red-hot Daniel Murphy and Travis d'Arnaud en route to a 4-2 victory.

Arrieta has won 13 consecutive decisions dating back to late July - which includes two postseason wins - in a dynamic turnaround of his career. "I think that our players gain a lot of confidence when he pitches," Cubs manager Joe Maddon said in a press conference. "I think that's a normal part of that, but I think for the most part, it's just a matter of us being ourselves, trusting ourselves, sticking to our own methods." Murphy has homered in three straight postseason games - something he never has done in the regular season - to match the franchise mark set by Donn Clendenon in 1969, when the first baseman was named World Series MVP. "Saving the homers," Murphy joked after Game 1. "If I knew what I was doing, I would have hit more homers during the regular season."

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, TBS

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Mets at +160 and the total at 5.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures are expected to be in the mid-40s with wind blowing in from left field at around 9 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (2-0, 2.45 ERA) vs. Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (0-1, 3.68)

Arrieta struck out nine in 5 2/3 innings against St. Louis in his last start, but he also allowed four runs and five hits. He said he noticed a difference during the postseason starts in terms of the pressure and expectations being ratcheted up a notch. "The physical toll really hasn't bothered me at all, but I think that the mental side of it and all the energy you burn leading up to the game does have a little bit of effect," Arrieta said at his press conference. "But having a couple of these under my belt now, I'm pretty confident going in that I'll be able to handle that pretty well."

The 23-year-old Syndergaard made one start and one relief appearance in the NL Division Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers and said the experience taught him not to change his approach. "I think the anticipation before was thinking that the game was going to be completely different, but in reality it's still the same game," Syndergaard said in his press conference. "You're still 60 feet, 6 inches away. The only thing that's really different is the crowd's a little bit louder." Manager Terry Collins said the rookie also will start Game 6 if the series goes that far.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings.
* Cubs are 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.
* Cubs are 8-1 in Arrieta's last nine starts vs. National League East.
* Under is 4-1-1 in Mets last six home games.

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**Udog** · 10-18-2015, 11:41 AM

MLB
Short Sheet

Sunday, October 18

Chicago Cubs at NY Mets, 8:05 PM EDT
Chicago: 21-5 SU as a road favorite of -125 or more
New York: 13-33 SU as an underdog of +100 to +150

Announcement

Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/18

Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/18

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