Announcement

**Udog** · 10-16-2015, 08:16 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- Mets 3, Dodgers 2-- Mets-Cubs in NLCS, starting Saturday.

-- SS Addison Russell (hamstring) won't play for Cubs in NLCS.

-- Auburn 30, Kentucky 27-- First SEC win this year for the Tigers.

-- Stanford 56, UCLA 28-- Major tank job by wounded Bruins.

-- Stanford has had 19 players drafted in last four years, most in Pac-12.

-- Saints 31, Falcons 21-- First loss of season for Atlanta.

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for this weekend.......

13) Royals-Blue Jays, Cubs-Mets are baseball's Final Four. Makes me really happy that all four teams have a guy who played for the A's in the last 13 months.

12) Iowa is unbeaten this year, has covered its last seven tries as a road favorite, but Northwestern will be a tough out in Evanston. Interesting noon game on ESPN2.

11) Unbeaten Broncos and their dominant defense visit Lake Erie and the red-hot QB Josh McCown. Who would've thought McCown is playing better than Manning?

10) Nebraska is having gut-wrenching season, losing four games, all five or less points, in last minute. Cornhuskers play Minnesota Saturday; they lost to Gophers as double digit favorites last two years; they're 4-1-1 in last six games as road underdog.

9) I'm optimistic about the 3-2 Bills, then I read the mindless, selfish quotes by WR Sammy Watkins about not getting thrown to enough and I want to puke. Does anyone care about winning? Buffalo is improved, a contender; why would anyone complain?

8) Bill Snyder is 11-4 in last 15 games as home underdog; K-State has QB who did not start a HS game- they've scored 79 points in first two league games, losing 36-34, 52-45 to unbeaten teams. Bob Stoops played for Snyder in college at Iowa, and he has lost to K-State two of last three years. Snyder is a coaching genius.

7) If the Texans lose at Jacksonville, they should show Bill O'Brien the freakin' door; he butchered the whole QB situation, with two former Patriot backups battling to be the starter for a contending team, when neither is good enough. If Cleveland didn't want Brian Hoyer, why did the Texans want him?

6) Jim Harbaugh's Wolverines haven't allowed a point since Sept 19 vs UNLV; this guy has exceeded all expectations and is a TD favorite over Michigan State, which has beaten Michigan six of last seven times they met. This will be very interesting.

5) Bruce Arians got canned by the Steelers four years ago; now he returns to Steel City as one of the best coaches in the NFL with a really good team. Lot of subplots here, the main one being that Big Ben wanted Arians to stay as OC with Steelers.

4) Notre Dame catches a huge break this week, playing USC six days after Trojans fired their coach. USC seems to have a different coach every year; will be curious to see how their kids play after their coach got fired for being a drunk- thats insensitive but it is true. I'm guessing it has happened before, but the reason was hidden.

3) Unbeaten Carolina is a TD underdog at 2-3 Seattle; these teams have played lot of tight, low-scoring games, most always in Charlotte. I'm expecting Seattle to go on a run now- maybe they can let Jimmy Graham go out for a pass now and then.

2) Ole Miss and Memphis is actually a regional rivalry of sorts and Memphis is 5-0, despite having a sub-par defense. Rebels got spanked by Florida, resume SEC play next week; this is Memphis' Super Bowl. I'm looking forward to this game.

1) Giants-Eagles Monday night in Philly; important game, interesting game. Romo's injury has made these teams the two best in the NFC East.

**Udog** · 10-16-2015, 08:21 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 16

American League
Blue Jays vs Royals
Estrada is 2-0, 2.06 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1).

Volquez is 0-3, 4.40 in his last five starts (over 3-2).

Blue Jays won three of last four games with KC; home side won seven of last nine series games. Toronto scored 19 runs in winning last three games after being down 2-0 in series against Texas (over 4-1-1 last six).

Royals won eight of last ten games (over 3-1 last four).

MLB

Friday, October 16

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Trend Report
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8:07 PM
TORONTO vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
Kansas City is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto

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**Udog** · 10-16-2015, 10:09 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 16

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TORONTO (96 - 71) at KANSAS CITY (98 - 69) - 8:05 PM
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 98-69 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 53-31 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 17-6 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 29-13 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 95-65 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 67-52 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 66-41 (+19.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 57-42 (+9.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 89-67 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 44-30 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VOLQUEZ is 22-12 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 21-11 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 96-71 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 50-31 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TORONTO is 72-53 (+11.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 51-33 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 27-10 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ESTRADA is 22-13 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ESTRADA is 22-12 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 (+0.6 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
ESTRADA is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.053.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 0-4 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 6.46 and a WHIP of 1.696.
His team's record is 1-5 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

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**Udog** · 10-16-2015, 01:17 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, October 16

Toronto @ Kansas City

Game 951-952
October 16, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Estrada) 17.479
Kansas City
(Volquez) 15.452
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
9 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-125
8
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-125); Over

MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, October 16

Toronto at Kansas City, 8:05 PM EDT
Toronto: 20-26 SU after having won 3 of their last 4
Kansas City: 30-14 SU at home when the money line is +125 to -125

**Udog** · 10-16-2015, 01:28 PM

MLB

Friday, October 16

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ALCS Game 1 betting preview: Blue Jays at Royals
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The Blue Jays made it to their first American League Championship Series in 22 years.

Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals (+115, 8)

The Toronto Blue Jays had to battle back from an 0-2 deficit and overcome some controversy in Game 5, but in the end they made it to their first American League Championship Series in 22 years. The Kansas City Royals, who host the Blue Jays in Game 1 on Friday, were the long-suffering franchise crashing the postseason party last season but are the experienced veterans this time around.

The Blue Jays led the majors in runs scored and home runs during the regular season and finally got that power going in the final three games of the AL Division Series, highlighted by Jose Bautista’s dramatic three-run homer in the seventh inning of Game 5 on Wednesday. The Royals finished 14th in the AL in home runs but beat out Toronto by one game for homefield advantage throughout the playoffs and is ready to take a step up in competition. “We try to do the best we can against every team, and we all know Toronto is a better team than Houston,” Royals Game 1 starter Edinson Volquez told reporters. “They've got more veteran guys and more power hitters.” Kansas City had no trouble scoring runs with its season on the line and put up 14 runs in the final 11 innings of the ALDS against the Astros after totaling 11 in the previous 34 frames.

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, FOX

LINE HISTORY: Online shop TopBet.eu opened the Royals +105 before that moved the current +115. The total opened at 8.5 and has since dropped to 8.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the low-50s with wind blowing in from left field at around five miles per hour.

INJURY REPORT: Blue Jays - RP Aaron Loup (Probable, personal).

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Blue Jays debated between Marco Estrada or David Price for their Game 1 starter. The line would have been about 40-cents higher with Price on the mound. Both teams are coming off emotional Game 5 wins in the ALDS, but Kansas City has the advantage of remaining home, while Toronto must now travel on just one day's rest. The Blue Jays hold the offensive edge in this series, but the Royals have the better bullpen which has an incredible 18-3 W/L record at home this season with a 2.51 ERA and 1.10 WHIP."

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Arguably, the Blue Jays' best pitcher this season and series-saving win in the ALDS in Game 3 against Texas, Marco Estrada takes the mound versus the Royals and Volquez taking the mound for Kansas City. The Jays are getting just under 70 percent of the action on the ML while the Royals are getting over 75 percent of the action to cover the +1.5 run line with the 8.5 run Total getting over 80 percent of the action on the OVER."

PITCHING MATCHUP: Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (1-0, 1.42 ERA) vs. Royals RH Edinson Volquez (0-1, 4.76)

Estrada picked up right where he left off after a strong regular season and held Texas to one run on five hits over 6 1/3 innings to earn a win in Game 3 of the ALDS. The 32-year-old allowed three or fewer earned runs in 13 of his last 14 starts and did not walk a batter in either of his last two turns. Estrada lost his only start against the Royals this season, surrendering two runs and nine hits in 6 2/3 innings at Kansas City on July 10.

Volquez allowed three runs on five hits and four walks over 5 2/3 innings and lost Game 3 of the ALDS to the Astros on Sunday. The Dominican Republic native is 0-3 with an 8.76 ERA in three career postseason starts and has yet to complete six innings in the playoffs. Volquez has never beaten Toronto, posting an 0-4 record with a 6.76 ERA in six career starts.

TRENDS:

* Blue Jays are 2-5 in the last seven meetings in Kansas City.
* Blue Jays are 4-1 in Estrada's last five road starts.
* Royals are 8-2 in their last 10 overall.
* Under is 6-1 in Volquez's last seven home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

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Announcement

Friday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/16

Friday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/16

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