The Bum's Sports Page For Wednesday September 16th Best Bets-Trends-News !

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Tigers (66-78) at Twins (75-69)
Game: 3
Venue: Target Field
Date: September 16, 2015 8:10 PM EDT

Ervin Santana was brought in to serve as a veteran presence in Minnesota's rotation, but a lengthy suspension made him more like a mid-season addition for the playoff race.

The right-hander now seems to be hitting his stride at just the right time for the Twins.

As Santana looks to win his fourth straight start, Minnesota hopes to bounce back by avoiding its first home series loss in seven weeks Wednesday night against the last-place Detroit Tigers.

Santana (5-4, 4.73 ERA) signed with the Twins on a four-year deal in December, but three days before the season opener MLB announced he would be suspended 80 games for a positive PED test.

Minnesota was in playoff contention once he returned in early July. Santana, however, struggled to find a rhythm and went 0-4 with a 9.20 ERA during a six-start stretch before turning things around.

The 33-year-old has allowed three runs while striking out 27 and walking four in winning his last three starts. He gave up two runs over seven innings in Friday's 6-2 road win over the Chicago White Sox.

'I just want to get one out at a time and one pitch at a time and it works,' Santana said.

The Twins (75-69) had won seven of nine home games before a 5-4 loss on Tuesday evened this series. They haven't dropped a set at Target Field since consecutive losses to Pittsburgh on July 28 and 29.

Santana hopes to help them cut into a 1 1/2-game wild-card deficit by avenging his last meeting with Detroit on July 10. He was 6-1 with a 2.08 ERA in his previous nine starts against the Tigers before yielding six runs and eight hits - three home runs - over four-plus innings in an 8-6 home win.

Victor Martinez and J.D. Martinez homered off Santana in that contest. Victor Martinez, who went 3 for 4 with two RBIs on Tuesday, is 10 for 25 with two home runs lifetime in the matchup.

Santana has done well versus Miguel Cabrera, limiting him to five hits - one home run - in 21 at-bats. Cabrera has gone 0 for 15 in his last four games, but still leads the AL with a .336 average.

Detroit's Daniel Norris (2-2, 4.43) is expected to be on a strict pitch count as he makes his first start in four weeks because of a strained oblique. He was originally scheduled to enter in relief of Anibal Sanchez, who was scratched due to shoulder discomfort.

Norris hasn't pitched since experiencing pain during an Aug. 19 start when he allowed three runs over 4 1-3 innings in a 15-8 win at Wrigley Field. The left-hander has gone 1-1 with a 5.06 ERA in four starts since being acquired from Toronto in the David Price trade on July 31.

"There's still some fight left in the dog," he told MLB's official website.

Norris will get his first look at a Minnesota lineup that has batted .342 and totaled 18 runs over its last three games and hit .337 while averaging 7.0 runs over its past five versus Detroit (66-78).

Joe Mauer has an opportunity to tie his career-best on-base streak at 35 games after hitting an RBI double in the ninth inning Tuesday.


SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Tigers at Twins
Mon, Sep 14 Final 1 to 7
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 2
Tigers at Twins
Tue, Sep 15 Final 5 to 4
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 3
Tigers at Twins
Wed, Sep 16 - 8:10PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Padres (68-78) at Diamondbacks (69-76)
Game: 3
Venue: Chase Field
Date: September 16, 2015 9:40 PM EDT

Although Andrew Cashner has the stuff of a top-of-the-rotation starter, the results have told a different story throughout a forgettable season for the San Diego Padres.

The right-hander will try to avoid taking over the major league lead in losses Wednesday night against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Cashner (5-15, 4.27 ERA) appears to have the repertoire to thrive at the big league level with an upper-90s fastball and a devastating sinker while mixing in a slider and change-up.

However, his lack of command of those pitches, along with some insufficient run support, have led to a disappointing fourth season in San Diego. He's walked nine in 10 2-3 innings over his last two starts and has received three runs or less from the offense in 20 of his last 25.

Cashner fell to 1-5 with a 5.04 ERA over his last nine outings on Friday after he allowed five runs, nine hits and five walks over 4 2-3 innings in a 9-1 loss at San Francisco.

"Cash was lights out in terms of the way the ball was coming out, 98 miles an hour," interim manager Pat Murphy told MLB's official website. "He had two quick outs a few times and nobody in scoring position, and then walked a guy."

Cashner hopes to avoid becoming the first 16-game loser in the majors and only the second San Diego pitcher to drop that many since 2001. Eric Stults went 8-17 last season.

After going 0-5 with a 2.83 ERA while getting six runs of support over a six-start stretch versus Arizona (69-76), the 29-year-old allowed two runs over seven innings of a 7-2 home win June 27. He's struck out 26 while walking only three in four meetings this season.

A.J. Pollock and Aaron Hill have homered off Cashner this season. Jake Lamb is 4 for 9 with a home run lifetime in the matchup, while Paul Goldschmidt is 7 for 20 with a homer.

Pollock is hitting .184 over his last 11 games but came through with a three-run homer in the seventh inning to key Tuesday's 6-4 win. Goldschmidt went hitless with three walks, leaving him with a .216 average over his past 28.

Robbie Ray (4-11, 3.54) also has struggled with his command, walking 29 over 51 2-3 innings in his last 10 starts. He ended a personal seven-game losing streak Friday when he gave up two hits over five scoreless in a 12-4 home win over the Los Angeles Dodgers.

"A weight is lifted off your shoulders," Ray said after getting a season-high run total.

After posting a 1.72 ERA over his last three starts, Ray will try to help Arizona wrap up a nine-game homestand with a winning record. He's 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA in two starts this season against the Padres (68-78).

Derek Norris has homered off the left-hander, but he did not play Tuesday after getting hit on the top of his right hand by a foul ball in the opener. X-rays were negative.

Justin Upton, who is 0 for 6 with four strikeouts versus Ray, went 3 for 4 with his 26th home run Tuesday. He's hitting .330 with eight homers in 27 career games versus Arizona.


SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Padres at Diamondbacks
Mon, Sep 14 Final 10 to 3
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 2
Padres at Diamondbacks
Tue, Sep 15 Final 4 to 6
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 3
Padres at Diamondbacks
Wed, Sep 16 - 9:40PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Angels (73-71) at Mariners (70-76)
Game: 3
Venue: Safeco Field
Date: September 16, 2015 10:10 PM EDT

After beating the Seattle Mariners' best arm Tuesday night, the Los Angeles Angels need to get past another troubling matchup to keep pace in the postseason race.

The Angels remain in both the AL West and wild-card pictures but could use a series win over the Mariners and Hisashi Iwakuma on Wednesday night to close the first stage of an important road trip.

Los Angeles (73-71) snapped a two-game skid with a 4-3 win over Felix Hernandez in the middle game of the series, moving 3 1/2 games back of Houston for the second wild card and four behind division-leading Texas. The club closes its 10-game trip with four against wild-card contender Minnesota and three versus the Astros.

The Angels have split the first two with Seattle (70-76) and will now try to best Iwakuma (7-4, 4.05 ERA), who is 7-2 with a 2.83 ERA in 11 career starts against them.

The right-hander has had two very different outings against Los Angeles this season. During a 5-3 loss April 8, Iwakuma was rocked for nine hits and five runs - four earned - in six innings, but he held the Angels to three hits over eight in a 5-0 win July 11.

The top five hitters in the Los Angeles lineup - Kole Calhoun, Mike Trout, Albert Pujols, David Murphy and C.J. Cron - hold a combined .220 batting average against Iwakuma. Pujols and Murphy each have three doubles and a home run off him.

Iwakuma is 7-3 with a 3.22 ERA in his last 12 starts but gave up a three-run homer in the seventh of a scoreless game Friday to take the loss in a 4-2 defeat against Colorado.

"I don't think he hit a wall, he elevated some pitches," Mariners manager Lloyd McClendon told MLB's official website. "He was throwing extremely well until then.'"

Meanwhile, Jered Weaver has gone hot and cold down the stretch for the Angels. The veteran bounced back from a hip injury with three solid starts in August before closing the month by surrendering 16 hits and 14 runs in 11 2-3 innings over two starts.

Weaver (7-10, 4.71) returned to form in his last two, limiting Texas to a run in six innings of a 2-1 loss Sept. 5 and holding Houston to two over six in a 3-2 win Friday.

His latest victory gave him 138 in his career, all with the Angels. That mark is tied with Nolan Ryan for second-most in franchise history, trailing only Chuck Finley's 165.

"I'm looking forward to getting some more wins and to us making a push here at the end of the year," Weaver told MLB's official website.

The right-hander has struggled against Seattle the last two years with a 1-3 record and 4.75 ERA in five starts. He hasn't faced the Mariners since his first outing of the season April 6, when they scored four runs against him over six innings. That 4-1 loss moved Weaver's career numbers against Seattle to 14-11 with a 3.45 ERA in 32 starts.

In a large sample size, Nelson Cruz - who hit his 42nd homer Tuesday - has struggled against Weaver with a .203 average and two home runs in 74 at-bats. In a small one, recently called-up Jesus Montero has crushed him with five hits in 10 at-bats, including four home runs. Robinson Cano adds a .372 average in 43 at-bats.


SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Angels at Mariners
Mon, Sep 14 Final 1 to 10
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 2
Angels at Mariners
Tue, Sep 15 Final 4 to 3
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 3
Angels at Mariners
Wed, Sep 16 - 10:10PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Rockies (61-84) at Dodgers (83-61)
Game: 3
Venue: Dodger Stadium
Date: September 16, 2015 10:10 PM EDT

The Los Angeles Dodgers are trying to move closer to an NL West title, while the only race the Colorado Rockies are involved in features Nolan Arenado's homers.

After showing off that power in the clutch, Arenado attempts to become the first member of the Rockies to hit 40 homers in 14 years Wednesday night against the Dodgers.

Los Angeles (83-61) leads the division by 7 1/2 games on second-place San Francisco with 18 left.

While the Dodgers were widely expected to reach a team-record third straight postseason, Colorado (61-84) is living down to its lowly expectations while sitting at the bottom of the West.

Arenado, however, is giving the Rockies hope for the future, batting .285 with a career-high 111 RBIs. The All-Star third baseman's 39 homers tie Bryce Harper for the NL lead and are the most for the club since Todd Helton hit 49 in 2001, tying Larry Walker's franchise record set in 1997.

Arenado is tied with the New York Mets' Yoenis Cespedes for the most homers this month with nine, adding a .358 average and 16 RBIs in 16 games.

His 16th-inning solo blast proved to be the difference in Tuesday's 5-4 win at Los Angeles. He's batting .244 with three homers and six RBIs in 22 games there.

Despite falling Tuesday, the Dodgers have won 15 of their last 19 home games and are looking for Alex Wood (10-10, 3.81 ERA) to get them back on track.

Wood, though, is 3-4 with a 4.53 ERA in eight starts since coming over from Atlanta on July 30. The left-hander is coming off his worst effort since the deal, as he surrendered eight runs and two homers before being lifted with two outs in the second of Friday's 12-4 loss at Arizona.

Manager Don Mattingly isn't concerned.

"He's been pitching pretty solidly for us, kept us in most of the games he's pitched," Mattingly told MLB's official website.

Wood was hammered at Colorado to the tune of seven runs and 10 hits in 5 2-3 innings of an 11-3 loss with the Braves on July 12, three days after a long rain delay ended his outing after two pitches.

Arenado is 2 for 4 with a homer off him.

The Rockies hand the ball to Jorge De La Rosa (9-6, 4.28), who is 4-0 with a 3.07 ERA over his last five starts against the Dodgers. The left-hander won his only visit to Chavez Ravine over that span, yielding two hits in 7 1-3 innings of a 7-1 victory May 16.

De Le Rosa wasn't very sharp Thursday, giving up three runs with six strikeouts and three walks in five innings while not figuring in the decision of a 4-3 win at San Diego. It was a departure from his two previous starts, which he won while allowing one run and fanning 14 in 13 innings.


SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Rockies at Dodgers
Mon, Sep 14 Final 1 to 4
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 2
Rockies at Dodgers
Tue, Sep 15 Final 5 to 4
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 3
Rockies at Dodgers
Wed, Sep 16 - 10:10PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Reds (61-83) at Giants (76-69)
Game: 3
Venue: AT&T Park
Date: September 16, 2015 10:15 PM EDT

Jake Peavy pitched San Francisco to six straight wins to close his 2014 regular season and helped the Giants secure the NL's final playoff spot.

Heading into Wednesday night's home start against the Cincinnati Reds, the veteran is again doing his job down the stretch, but the Giants have a long way to go in a short period of time to be considered playoff contenders.

Monday's 9-8 loss to Cincinnati in 10 innings didn't help the Giants' postseason cause. San Francisco (76-69) came from three runs down entering the eighth, only for Todd Frazier to hit his fourth homer in seven games in the 10th.

The Giants had won four straight overall and against the Reds (61-83), but they fell 7 1/2 games back of the Chicago Cubs in the wild-card race and 7 1/2 behind the West-leading Dodgers with 17 games remaining.

"Our season's pretty much on the line every time we go out there right now," ace Madison Bumgarner said.

The offense continued to do its part with 13 hits, and San Francisco is averaging 6.2 runs and hitting .303 over a 7-3 span. Batting title contender Buster Posey is hitting .455 in his last 16 games, and Matt Duffy is 7 for 13 in his last three.

Peavy (6-6, 4.15 ERA) is 3-0 with a 3.65 ERA in his last four starts, and Friday's 9-1 home win over San Diego might have been his best of the season. The right-hander gave up a run and two hits in seven innings to put himself in position to win three straight starts for the first time this year.

"It was just another game we had to have," Peavy told MLB's official website. "... Nobody in this locker room thought about giving up. We're ready to play this thing out."

His success at AT&T Park has been longer lasting, going 4-0 with a 3.19 ERA in five starts since the All-Star break. Since the start of 2013, his 2.52 ERA in 14 starts there is fourth-lowest among the 30 pitchers with at least three starts at the park in that time, bettering even Madison Bumgarner (2.69).

The 34-year-old is 6-0 with a 2.33 ERA in 11 starts against the Reds, but just one of those has come in the last six seasons. Brandon Phillips is 3 for 21 against him.

Peavy is up against Michael Lorenzen, who has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball since the All-Star break.

Lorenzen (4-8, 5.45 ERA) has gone all eight starts since the break without making it through six innings, posting a 1-4 record and 9.44 ERA with a .364 opponent batting average. In three road starts during that span, the right-hander has lasted a total of 8 1-3 innings while giving up 20 runs and 20 hits.

In Friday's 4-2 home win over St. Louis, the 23-year-old allowed two runs and a season-high 10 hits in five innings but didn't earn the decision.

With an all-rookie rotation, the Reds are less concerned with results than taking stock in what they have going forward after trading Johnny Cueto and Mike Leake.

"The main thing is they're gaining valuable experience and we're getting a chance to evaluate them in a very tough month against teams competing," general manager Walt Jocketty said.

Lorenzen gave up three runs in two innings of relief in his only appearance against the Giants on May 15.


SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Reds at Giants
Mon, Sep 14 Final 3 to 5
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 2
Reds at Giants
Tue, Sep 15 Final 9 to 8
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 3
Reds at Giants
Wed, Sep 16 - 10:15PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, September 16

National League
Nationals @ Phillies
Gonzalez is 1-0, 2.08 in his last three starts; seven of his last eight went over.

Morgan is 0-2, 7.94 in his last two starts; under is 5-3-1 in his last nine.

Washington lost five of last eight games, with four of last five going under, but they've won nine of last 12 games against Philly. Phillies lost ten of last 13 games; ten of their last 14 went over the total.

Cubs @ Pirates
Arrieta is 8-0, 0.77 in his last eight starts (under 3-0 last three).

Burnett is 0-2, 9.60 in his last three starts (over 5-0 last five).

Cubs are 6-4 in last ten games with Pittsburgh; four of last six in series stayed under total. Chicago is 3-4 in last seven games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten. Pirates won six of their last eight games (over 7-1).

Marlins @ Mets
Conley is 2-1, 3.98 in his last four starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Mets won last five Colon starts (4-0, 0.59 last four- over 6-3 in last nine).

Mets won eight of last nine games; over is 9-4 in their last 13. NY won six of last nine games with Miami- over is 7-5 in last 12 series games. Marlins won five of their last seven games (under 7-3 in last ten).

Cardinals @ Brewers
Garcia is 5-1, 2.98 in his last eight starts (over 3-1 last four).

Peralta is 1-0, 1.80 in his last three starts (over 4-1 last five).

St Louis won five of last six games with Milwaukee; three of five wins were by shutout. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Cardinals lost six of last nine games (over 5-3-1). Brewers lost six of last seven (over 9-2 in last eleven).

Padres @ Diamondbacks
Cashner is 0-3, 5.91 in his last four starts (over 5-2 last seven).

Ray is 1-1, 1.72 in his last three starts (under 5-2 last seven).

San Diego won three of last five games with Arizona; six of last seven series games went over. Padres lost five of last six games- six of their last seven went over the total. Arizona lost eight of last 12 games; four of their last five games went over the total.

Rockies @ Dodgers
de la Rosa is 2-0, 2.00 in his last three starts; his last five all stayed under.

Wood is 2-3, 4.85 in his last five starts (under 4-1).

Colorado are 4-7 in last 11 games with LA; over is 8-3 in last 11 series tilts. Rockies won three of last five games (under 4-2) overall. Dodgers won eight of last ten games; five of their last eight games went over the total.

Reds @ Giants
Lorenzen is 1-4, 9.82 in his last seven starts (over 3-1 last four).

Peavy is 3-0, 3.65 in his last four starts.

Reds lost four of last five games with the Giants; visitor won nine of last 11 games in series. Over is 7-1-1 in last nine series games. Cincy won six of last ten games (over 9-3 in last 12). SF won seven of their last ten games (last five games went over).

American League
Red Sox @ Orioles
Owens is 0-1, 7.50 in his last three starts (over 6-1 in his MLB starts).

Wright is 0-4, 9.78 in his last five starts (over 4-2 in last six).

Boston won seven of last 11 games (over 4-2 last six); they've lost nine of last ten with Baltimore (over 7-4 in last 11). Orioles won six of last seven games; six of their last nine games went over.

Royals @ Indians
Duffy is 0-1, 4.24 in his last three starts (under 5-1 last six).

Salazar is 1-2, 6.65 in his last four starts (under 6-3 in last nine).

Indians are 6-6 in last 12 games with KC (over 7-4-1). Royals lost eight of last 11 games- four of their last five went over. Cleveland won six of last nine games; six of last seven Indian games went over the total.

Bronx @ Rays
Severino is 3-1, 3.48 in his last four starts (under 4-3 in his MLB starts).

Archer is 1-2, 4.63 in his last four starts (over 7-1 in his last eight).

Rays lost eight of last 12 games; over is 5-3-1 in their last nine. Tampa Bay lost five of last eight games with Bronx; under is 7-3-1 in last 11 in series. NY lost six of last eight games; four of their last six went over the total.

Astros @ Rangers
Keuchel is 4-1, 2.14 in his last six starts (over 3-1 in last four).

Perez is 1-3, 5.64 in his last four starts (under 5-0 last five).

Rangers won nine of last 11 games with Houston; Texas is 9-5 in its last 14 games overall-- under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. Astros lost six of last eight games; under is 3-2-2 in their last seven. Astros go back into first place in AL West with win.

A's @ White Sox
Martin allowed five runs in three IP (56 PT) in his first '15 start.

Johnson is 1-0, 3.27 in two starts this year (over 1-0-1).

Oakland lost six of last seven games with Chicago; over is 8-4 in last 12 series games. A's lost four of last six games (over 8-4 in last 12). White Sox are 7-5 in last twelve games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

Tigers @ Twins
Norris is 0-1, 7.71 in his last three starts (over 2-0-1).

Santana is 3-0, 1.23 in his last three starts (over 4-2-1 last seven).

Twins won four of last five games with Detroit; they won five of last eight games overall; under is 5-3-2 in their last ten. Detroit lost four of last six games; in their last seven games, over is 5-1-1.

Angels @ Mariners
Weaver is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Iwakuma is 2-1, 2.95 in his last three starts (under 4-2 in his last six).

Angels won seven of last 11 games with Seattle; over is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Halos are 9-5 in last fourteen games overall; under is 4-1-1 in their last six. Mariners are 7-5 in last twelve games; five of their last seven stayed under.

Interleague
Blue Jays @ Braves
Price is 4-1, 2.73 in his last five starts (over 3-0 last three on road).

Miller is winless in his last 21 starts; he is 0-5, 5.93 in his last five, with three of his last four starts going over total.

Toronto lost four of last five games with Atlanta (over 6-3 in last nine). Blue Jays won three of last five games overall (over 6-3 in last nine). Braves lost four of last five games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Wsh-Phil-- Gonzalez 14-13 (1-5 last 6); Morgan 7-7
Chi-Pitt-- Arrieta 21-8 (13-1 last 14); Burnett 12-11 (0-3 last 3)
Mia-NY-- Conley 6-1; Colon 15-13 (5-0 last 5)
StL-Mil-- Garcia 10-6 (7-1 last 8); Peralta 9-9
SD-Az-- Cashner 10-18 (0-4 last 4); Ray 5-14 (1-7 last 8)
Col-LA-- de la Rosa 14-11; Wood 11-18/3-5
Cin-SF-- Lorenzen 9-11; Peavy 8-7

Bos-Balt-- Owens 3-4; Wright 3-5
KC-Cle--Duffy 13-10 (0-3 last 3); Salazar 16-10
NY-TB-- Severino 3-4; Archer 17-13
A's-Chi-- Martin 0-1; Johnson 1-1
Hst-Tex-- Keuchel 20-9 (5-1 last 6); Perez 5-5
Det-Min-- Norris 5-4/3-1; Santana 7-6 (4-0 last 4)
LAA-Sea-- Weaver 10-12; Iwakuma 9-7

Tor-Atl-- Price 21-8/6-2; Miller 10-19 (2-18 last 20)

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Wsh-Phil-- Gonzalez 2-27; Morgan 2-14
Chi-Pitt-- Arrieta 4-29; Burnett 6-22
Mia-NY-- Conley 0-7; Colon 8-28
StL-Mil-- Garcia 3-16; Peralta 6-18
SD-Az-- Cashner 13-29; Ray 3-19
Col-LA-- de la Rosa 8-25; Wood 10-29
Cin-SF-- Lorenzen 9-20; Peavy 4-15

Bos-Balt-- Owens 3-7; Wright 5-8 (4 of last 4)
KC-Cle--Duffy 6-23; Salazar 7-26
NY-TB-- Severino 3-7; Archer 7-30
A's-Chi-- Martin 0-1; Johnson 0-2
Hst-Tex-- Keuchel 4-29; Perez 2-10
Det-Min-- Norris 4-9; Santana 1-13
LAA-Sea-- Weaver 7-22; Iwakuma 4-16

Tor-Atl-- Price 6-29; Miller 5-29

Umpires
Wsh-Phil-- Underdogs won five of last seven Segal games.
Chi-Pitt-- Last three Joyce games stayed under the total.
Mia-NY-- Home side won 14 of last 17 Bucknor games.
StL-Mil-- Five of last seven Muchlinski games stayed under.
SD-Az-- Over is 10-5 in last fifteen Hallion games.
Col-LA-- Seven of last nine Tumpane games stayed under.
Cin-SF-- Four of last five Fagan games went over.

Bos-Balt-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Johnson games.
NY-TB-- Eight of last ten Vanover games went over.
KC-Clev-- Under is 11-5-1 in last 17 May games.
Hst-Tex-- 10 of last 13 Morales games went over total.
Det-Min-- Home side won seven of last nine Hamari games.
A's-Chi-- Under is 4-1-1 in Scheurwater's MLB games behind dish.
LAA-Sea-- Four of last five O'Nora games stayed under.

Tor-Atl-- Six of last eight Wolcott games went over total.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Wednesday, September 16

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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games

7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston's last 15 games on the road
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

7:10 PM
MIAMI vs. NY METS
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Miami is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games at home

7:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Cleveland's last 16 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing at home against Kansas City

7:10 PM
TORONTO vs. ATLANTA
Toronto is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
Toronto is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games at home
Atlanta is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Toronto

8:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. TEXAS
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
Detroit is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Oakland is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Oakland
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home

8:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. MILWAUKEE
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 14 games
Milwaukee is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against St. Louis

9:40 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing Arizona
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Arizona's last 13 games when playing at home against San Diego
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego

10:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing LA Angels

10:10 PM
COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
Colorado is 2-12-1 SU in their last 15 games ,when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Colorado is 4-13-1 SU in their last 18 games ,when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers9-1-1 SU in their last 11 games at home
LA Dodgers13-4-1 SU in their last 18 games when playing Colorado

10:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Cincinnati is 3-7-1 SU in its last 11 games ,on the road
Cincinnati9-1-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Wednesday, September 16


Arrieta has been a road warrior this season

Jake Arrieta is having himself a phenomenal season for the Chicago Cubs and a big reason for that is his ability to perform well pitching away from home.

The Cubbies have won 14 out of Arrieta's last 16 road starts. He's slated to get the ball Wednesday opposite A.J. Burnett and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park.

Chicago is currently in the -135 ballpark at sportsbooks.


D-Backs on an ugly skid behind Ray

When Robbie Ray has gotten the ball lately, bettors of the Arizona Diamondbacks have been suffering.

The D-Backs are a paltry 1-7 in Ray's last eight outings. He'll seek to buck that trend Wednesday at home versus Andrew Cashner's San Diego Padres.

As of this writing, Arizona was -115 on the moneyline. The total was off the board.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 16


NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay

Game 967-968
September 16, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Severino) 17.007
Tampa Bay
(Archer) 15.645
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
6 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-135
7
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(+115); Under

Kansas City @ Cleveland

Game 969-970
September 16, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Duffy) 17.171
Cleveland
(Salazar) 13.238
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 4
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-145
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+125); Under

Houston @ Texas

Game 971-972
September 16, 2015 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Keuchel) 17.241
Texas
(Perez) 15.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-145
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-145); Over

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 951-952
September 16, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Gonzalez) 15.444
Philadelphia
(Asher) 12.835
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-185
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-185); Under

Oakland @ Chicago White Sox

Game 973-974
September 16, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Martin) 13.748
Chicago White Sox
(Johnson) 15.675
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-120); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh

Game 953-954
September 16, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 15.933
Pittsburgh
(Burnett) 14.565
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-150
7
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-150); Under

Detroit @ Minnesota

Game 975-976
September 16, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Norris) 15.696
Minnesota
(Santana) 14.774
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-160
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+140); Over

Miami @ NY Mets

Game 955-956
September 16, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Conley) 16.409
NY Mets
(Colon) 14.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-225
8
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(+190); Over

LA Angels @ Seattle

Game 977-978
September 16, 2015 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Weaver) 17.690
Seattle
(Iwakuma) 14.036
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-145
7
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+125); Over

St. Louis @ Milwaukee

Game 957-958
September 16, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Garcia) 15.151
Milwaukee
(Peralta) 16.186
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+140); Over

Toronto @ Atlanta

Game 979-980
September 16, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Price) 16.512
Atlanta
(Miller) 14.007
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-270
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-270); Under

San Diego @ Arizona

Game 959-960
September 16, 2015 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Cashner) 13.711
Arizona
(Ray) 15.117
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-120); Over

Colorado @ LA Dodgers

Game 961-962
September 16, 2015 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(DeLaRosa) 14.171
LA Dodgers
(Wood) 16.395
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-185
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-185); Over

Cincinnati @ San Francisco

Game 963-964
September 16, 2015 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Lornzen) 14.872
San Francisco
(Peavy) 16.450
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-165
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-165); Over

Boston @ Baltimore

Game 965-966
September 16, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Owens) 14.360
Baltimore
(Wright) 18.425
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 4
10 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-125); Over

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Wednesday, September 16


Red Sox's Kelly exits with shoulder ailment

BALTIMORE -- Boston starter Joe Kelly left in the third inning of the Red Sox's Tuesday night game against the Baltimore Orioles due to what the team called right shoulder tightness and fatigue.

The Red Sox said that Kelly would be evaluated further. He gave up four runs on five hits in 2 1/3 innings.

Kelly started the contest with an eight-game winning streak, the longest in the American League this year and tied with the Chicago Cubs' Jake Arrieta (Aug. 4-present) for the best in the majors in 2015.

The right-hander struck out four in the first two innings but gave up four runs on five hits in the third inning before leaving after center fielder Adam Jones singled with one out. Left-hander Craig Breslow replaced him.


No timetable for Lucroy's return to Brewers

MILWAUKEE -- Jonathan Lucroy worked out with Milwaukee on Tuesday, but the Brewers' catcher still has no timetable for his return after sustaining a concussion last week in Miami.

"It's just a matter of letting that bruised brain heal up," Lucroy said Tuesday, before the Brewers opened a three-game series against the Cardinals at Miller Park. "It takes time and everybody heals different, so I'm waiting for my symptoms to go away fully so we can start attacking it a lot better."

Lucroy missed an entire week since he was stuck in the chin on a foul-tip by the Marlins' Macel Ozuna. While the team faced the Pirates in Pittsburgh, he was examined by noted concussion specialist Dr. Micky Collins of the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center.


A's Chavez out for season

CHICAGO -- The injury bug has bitten the Oakland Athletics again.

Manager Bob Melvin announced before Tuesday's game with the Chicago White Sox that right-handed starter Jesse Chavez is out for the season after suffering a non-displaced fracture in his ribs. Melvin said he wasn't sure when the injury occurred, but it's certainly another blow to a team that's been beaten up all season.


Hutchison moves to Blue Jays bullpen with Stroman's return

ATLANTA -- The return of Marcus Stroman to the Toronto rotation means a move to the bullpen for Drew Hutchison.

Hutchison was the Blue Jays' Opening Day starter and the right-hander has a 13-4 record in 27 starts.

The right-hander's ERA is 5.33, though, and he gave up 12 earned runs in 8 1/3 innings over his past two starts.

David Price, who is 6-1 with a 2.28 ERA in eight starts since being acquired from Detroit, will start against Atlanta on Wednesday, with Marco Estrada pitching the finale of the three-game interleague series Thursday.

Stroman will start Friday when the Blue Jays return to open their final homestand against Boston.

Stroman, who had knee surgery during spring training, made his return on Saturday against the Yankees in New York and got the win, working five innings.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, September 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (74 - 70) at PHILADELPHIA (56 - 90) - 7:05 PM
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. ALEC ASHER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 10-5 (+2.8 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-1.2 Units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
GONZALEZ is 7-5 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.02 and a WHIP of 1.182.
His team's record is 8-6 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.5 units)

ALEC ASHER vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (83 - 61) at PITTSBURGH (87 - 57) - 7:05 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1080-1201 (-208.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 689-781 (-193.3 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 87-57 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 38-22 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
PITTSBURGH is 50-23 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 27-9 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 87-57 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 126-86 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 70-43 (+19.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 59-30 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 41-27 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 23-10 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 83-61 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-9 (+10.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 83-61 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 50-33 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 37-27 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARRIETA is 36-18 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 15-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 14-2 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 10-1 (+9.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 14-2 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 10-1 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 22-12 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 29-36 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BURNETT is 217-216 (-39.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 177-183 (-37.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 144-155 (-35.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 8-6 (+1.9 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ARRIETA is 5-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.05 and a WHIP of 0.932.
His team's record is 6-1 (+5.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.0 units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BURNETT is 8-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.198.
His team's record is 8-7 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-6. (+1.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (62 - 83) at NY METS (83 - 62) - 7:10 PM
ADAM CONLEY (L) vs. BARTOLO COLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 62-83 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 48-66 (-13.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 83-62 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 46-25 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 45-21 (+19.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY METS are 82-58 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 52-32 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY METS are 27-10 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
COLON is 53-37 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 13-1 (+12.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
COLON is 53-35 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 20-9 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 372-428 (+43.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
NY METS are 111-130 (-49.9 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
COLON is 86-77 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 11-7 (+0.9 Units) against MIAMI this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

ADAM CONLEY vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

BARTOLO COLON vs. MIAMI since 1997
COLON is 7-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.78 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 7-3 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (+0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (91 - 53) at MILWAUKEE (62 - 82) - 8:10 PM
JAIME GARCIA (L) vs. WILY PERALTA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
GARCIA is 27-35 (-23.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 91-53 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 41-29 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ST LOUIS is 91-53 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 63-38 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 70-36 (+26.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 56-34 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MILWAUKEE is 62-82 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 33-40 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 62-82 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-49 (-17.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-18 (-10.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 9-4 (+3.6 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.2 Units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GARCIA is 7-5 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.202.
His team's record is 9-7 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.4 units)

WILY PERALTA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
PERALTA is 4-7 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.403.
His team's record is 5-7 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (+0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (68 - 78) at ARIZONA (69 - 76) - 9:40 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 68-78 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 62-93 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 24-45 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 68-78 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 41-25 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ARIZONA is 133-174 (-35.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 68-85 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 133-174 (-35.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-22 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
RAY is 6-19 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
RAY is 2-10 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
RAY is 6-19 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 8-7 (+0.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.0 Units)

ANDREW CASHNER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
CASHNER is 3-5 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.116.
His team's record is 6-6 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-9. (-7.4 units)

ROBBIE RAY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
RAY is 0-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.114.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (61 - 84) at LA DODGERS (83 - 61) - 10:10 PM
JORGE DE LA ROSA (L) vs. ALEX WOOD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 127-180 (-39.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 51-104 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 127-180 (-39.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 34-63 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 8-27 (-17.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
DE LA ROSA is 32-25 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 32-25 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 18-12 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 83-61 (-6.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 83-61 (-6.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 61-47 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WOOD is 21-31 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOOD is 21-30 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOOD is 12-19 (-12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 10-5 (+1.6 Units) against COLORADO this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.6 Units)

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 7-10 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.32 and a WHIP of 1.463.
His team's record is 7-13 (-5.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-10. (-2.4 units)

ALEX WOOD vs. COLORADO since 1997
WOOD is 1-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.10 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (60 - 84) at SAN FRANCISCO (76 - 69) - 10:15 PM
MICHAEL LORENZEN (R) vs. JAKE PEAVY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 60-84 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 60-92 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 60-84 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 87-117 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 45-62 (-15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 23-37 (-14.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 176-148 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 215-107 (+43.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-20 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 176-148 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1072-900 (+118.1 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 125-99 (+15.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-10 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 (+1.9 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.1 Units)

MICHAEL LORENZEN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

JAKE PEAVY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PEAVY is 6-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.060.
His team's record is 10-1 (+8.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.3 units)

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BOSTON (68 - 76) at BALTIMORE (71 - 73) - 7:05 PM
HENRY OWENS (L) vs. MIKE WRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 68-76 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 26-35 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BOSTON is 9-21 (-11.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
BOSTON is 254-243 (-50.0 Units) against the money line in September games since 1997.
BOSTON is 25-36 (-12.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 59-69 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 45-51 (-7.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 49-54 (-7.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 37-22 (+11.9 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 96-62 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 64-39 (+16.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 17-5 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 80-58 (+25.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 121-88 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 92-77 (+14.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 82-53 (+24.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 38-20 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 65-56 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 71-73 (-6.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 63-64 (-6.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 22-35 (-18.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 11-4 (+7.8 Units) against BOSTON this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

HENRY OWENS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

MIKE WRIGHT vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (79 - 65) at TAMPA BAY (70 - 74) - 7:10 PM
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. CHRIS ARCHER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 585-670 (+11.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 70-74 (-7.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 56-63 (-19.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 70-81 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 18-26 (-12.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
TAMPA BAY is 18-28 (-16.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 71-82 (-35.0 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 79-90 (-34.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 44-56 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 11-7 (+2.3 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SEVERINO is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.580.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

CHRIS ARCHER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ARCHER is 5-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.18 and a WHIP of 0.887.
His team's record is 7-2 (+5.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

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KANSAS CITY (85 - 59) at CLEVELAND (71 - 72) - 7:10 PM
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. DANNY SALAZAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 31-17 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 85-59 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 30-21 (+12.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 37-32 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 59-46 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 82-55 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 60-43 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 59-33 (+21.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 51-35 (+11.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 45-32 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
KANSAS CITY is 47-28 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 71-72 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 32-36 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 25-35 (-16.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 66-70 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 18-25 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 20-30 (-13.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 16-20 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 8-6 (+2.3 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.6 Units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
DUFFY is 2-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.486.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.9 units)

DANNY SALAZAR vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SALAZAR is 3-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.275.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-6. (-6.1 units)

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HOUSTON (77 - 68) at TEXAS (77 - 67) - 8:05 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 29-44 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 4-9 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
HOUSTON is 17-28 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 8-18 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 77-67 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 29-19 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TEXAS is 23-17 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 74-63 (+25.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 56-47 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 40-36 (+12.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TEXAS is 40-23 (+28.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 17-11 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 147-160 (+1.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 77-62 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 26-15 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KEUCHEL is 37-21 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KEUCHEL is 19-8 (+13.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KEUCHEL is 36-19 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KEUCHEL is 25-12 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KEUCHEL is 24-11 (+16.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KEUCHEL is 14-5 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 26-42 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 10-4 (+8.1 Units) against HOUSTON this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. TEXAS since 1997
KEUCHEL is 3-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.111.
His team's record is 6-6 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-2.1 units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
PEREZ is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.17 and a WHIP of 1.103.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (62 - 83) at CHI WHITE SOX (68 - 75) - 8:10 PM
CODY MARTIN (R) vs. ERIK JOHNSON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 4-1 (+3.7 Units) against OAKLAND this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

CODY MARTIN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

ERIK JOHNSON vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (66 - 78) at MINNESOTA (75 - 69) - 8:10 PM
DANIEL NORRIS (L) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 66-78 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 28-43 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
DETROIT is 152-145 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 37-53 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 46-63 (-15.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 75-69 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 40-37 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 43-27 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 14-9 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
MINNESOTA is 33-29 (+11.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 73-64 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 46-39 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 27-22 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 38-30 (+18.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 43-29 (+21.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 34-27 (+9.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
DETROIT is 44-34 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 9-6 (+2.8 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

DANIEL NORRIS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

ERVIN SANTANA vs. DETROIT since 1997
SANTANA is 8-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.114.
His team's record is 10-4 (+6.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-10. (-7.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (73 - 71) at SEATTLE (70 - 76) - 10:10 PM
JERED WEAVER (R) vs. HISASHI IWAKUMA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 20-39 (-20.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 1-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 this season.
LA ANGELS are 25-37 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 44-31 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 171-138 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 779-768 (+59.6 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 134-102 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 96-60 (+23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 50-26 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WEAVER is 94-48 (+33.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 70-76 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 22-31 (-20.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 33-41 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 16-22 (-12.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
SEATTLE is 12-23 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 65-75 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 48-50 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 22-27 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 9-6 (+3.6 Units) against SEATTLE this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

JERED WEAVER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
WEAVER is 14-11 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.237.
His team's record is 19-13 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 16-12. (+3.2 units)

HISASHI IWAKUMA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
IWAKUMA is 7-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 0.986.
His team's record is 8-3 (+7.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.3 units)

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TORONTO (82 - 62) at ATLANTA (57 - 88) - 7:10 PM
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 82-62 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PRICE is 69-38 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 19-5 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 57-88 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 10-29 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 55-85 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 6-24 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
MILLER is 4-11 (-8.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
MILLER is 9-19 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
MILLER is 5-17 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
MILLER is 11-20 (-10.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 (+3.5 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

DAVID PRICE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
PRICE is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

SHELBY MILLER vs. TORONTO since 1997
MILLER is 2-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 1.20 and a WHIP of 0.800.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Wednesday, September 16


Red Sox have lost seven straight in Baltimore

The Boston Red Sox haven't enjoyed their trips to Baltimore, dropping seven consecutive games to the Orioles there.

Boston has had trouble scoring at Oriole's Park, plating just 3.29 runs per game over those seven games.

The Red Sox will send lefty Henry Owens (5.25 ERA, 6-1 O/U) to try and end the skid against the Orioles right-hander Mike Wright (5.45 ERA, 4-4 O/U).

The Red Sox are currently +111 road dogs for Wednesday night's matchup.

[StarDust Bum]

At the Gate - Wednesday

September 16, 2015

We are just 42 days away from the Breeders’ Cup, and the $5 million Classic got a boost yesterday as the brilliant mare Beholder will take on the boys according to her connections.

Owned by Spendthrift Farm, the mare also will be kept in training for a campaign in 2016 where she will race at the age of six.

She has won 14 of her 19 career starts including the 2012 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1) and the 2013 Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1). She faced males for the first time last out in the Pacific Classic (G1) at Del Mar where she romped by 8 ¼ lengths.

She will prep for the Classic in the Zenyatta (G1) at Santa Anita on Sept. 26.

Currently Sportsbook.ag has her as the third choice for the Classic at 6-1, behind Triple Crown winner American Pharoah (8-5) and Met Mile (G1) and Whitney (G1) winner Honor Code (4-1).

Travers (G1) winner Keen Ice is the fourth choice in the early wagering at 8-1.

American Pharoah seems likely to just work up to the Classic, although it is possible we could see him in action in the Awesome Again (G1) at Santa Anita on Sept., 26. The Classic will be his last race and then he is off to the breeding shed.

An intriguing entry in to the Classic will be the European invader Gleneagles for the Aiden O’Brien barn. The colt has not raced since he won the St. James Palace Stakes (G1) on June 16 at Ascot.

The colt was scratched out of the Irish Champion Stakes (G1) at Leopardstown due to soft conditions on the turf course.

He has won seven of his nine career starts, all on turf including four Group 1 victories. His current future odds for the Classic are 14-1.

Breeders’ Cup Classic Betting Odds via Sportsbook.ag:
American Pharoah 8-5
Honor Code 4-1
Beholder 6-1
Keen Ice 8-1
Lea 10-1
Tonalist 10-1
Texas Red 12-1
Frosted 14-1
Gleneagles 14-1
Liams Map 16-1

Here is today’s opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:

BEL Race 1 Md $40,000 (12:55 ET)
4 Durkin 6-1
6 Bluegrass Prevails 3-1
2 Not So Quiet Man 8-1
5 King Dublin 5-1

Analysis: Durkin ships in from Delaware Park for the Ice barn. The colt did not show much in his debut where he checked in ninth and last and now drops in for a tag and in with state breds. He was a $4,000 purchase by Songandaprayer out of a Phone Trick mare that has dropped three other foals to race but just one winner. Castellano takes the call which is encouraging.

Bluegrass Prevails adds blinkers here for his third career start. He was outrun in his debut and showed some improvement last out in a fourth place finish against $50,000 state breds. He catches a weak group here and is in good hands with the Gullo barn.

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 2,4,5,6
TRI: 4,6 / 2,4,5,6 / 1,2,4,5,6

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:

BEL Race 8 OClm $40,000N2X (4:46 ET)
3 Changewilldoyagood 10-1
7 Ocala Jim 5-2
8 Make My Style 12-1
4 Ex Ex Ex 6-1

Analysis: Changewilldoyagoodis back on turf after checking in sixth last out on the main track going nine furlongs at the Spa off a two-month break. The winner Royal Posse came back to win the state bred Evan Shipman in his next outing on Sept. 4. He has a win and a third in four trips on turf, his maiden score coming on turf last October. Rosario sticks and the 10-1 morning line looks more than fair.

Ocala Jim stalked the early pace, came with a five wide bid and did not have enough punch left late in a fifth place finish last out in the state bred West Point. The gelding has won 4 of 10 over the turf here and beat open Alw-1 foes here last fall. Looks like a good spot as he drops back into the state bred allowance ranks.

Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 5-1 or better.
EX: 3,7 / 3,4,7,8
TRI: 3,7 / 3,4,7,8 / 3,4,7,8,9

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Belmont Park
R1: #2 Not So Quiet Man 8-1
R2: #1 Bird Prince 10-1
R6: #8 Laura’s Patriot 10-1
R8: #3 Changewilldoyagood 10-1
R8: #8 Make My Style 12-1
R9: #8 Bye Sheila 12-1

Good luck today!

[StarDust Bum]

Tech Trends - Week 3

September 16, 2015


NFL Trends

THURSDAY, SEPT. 17

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

CLEMSON at LOUISVILLE

Note that Dabo was 0-3 as road chalk LY. Tigers just 3-7 vs. line as visitor since 2013.

Slight to Louisville, based on Clemson road trends.


FRIDAY, SEPT. 18

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

FLORIDA STATE at BOSTON COLLEGE

Jimbo is 6-3 as visiting favorite since 2013, the one spread role that did not damage Noles too much in 2014. But Jimbo still just 4-13 last 17 on board. And BC has covered last two vs. FSU. Addazio 5-2 as dog last season.

BC, based on team and series trends.

NEW MEXICO at ARIZONA STATE

Lobos 8-3 as road dog since 2013, but were crushed at home by ASU LY. Todd Graham on 6-11 spread run since late 2014, 3-5 last 8 laying DD.

Slight to New Mexico, based on recent trends.

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, SEPT. 19

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

WAKE FOREST at ARMY
Likely first road chalk for Deacs since Grobe's last year of 2013. Note that Army has not had a winning spread record since 2008 and is 4-7 as single-digit dog since 2013.
Slight to Wake, based on team trends.

TEMPLE at UMASS
Mass was sharp 8-4 vs. line LY and is 4-1 vs. line last five as host (Gillette and McGuirk). But Owls were 3-1 as chalk LY and Temple is 9-4 vs. spread away since 2013.
Slight to Temple, based on recent trends.

UNLV at MICHIGAN
Rebs now 8-3 vs. spread as visitor since 2013. Under Hoke, Mich only 3-4 as DD chalk the past two seasons. Harbaugh on personal 7-12 spread skid wityh Niners and Wolves since late 2013.
Slight to UNLV, based on team trends.

BALL STATE at EASTERN MICHIGAN
EMU 2-0 vs. line TY but still just 6-11 vs. line last 17 at Rynearson. Creighton not-too-terrible 6-7-1 vs. line since taking over LY but Eagles still just 12-25-1 vs. spread since 2012. Ball had covered three straight in series before EMU slipped inside of DD number LY. Lembo 17-9 vs. spread as visitor since taking over Cards in 2011.
Ball State, based on team trends.

CHARLOTTE at MTSU
49ers 1-0 SU TY and 1-0 vs. line in history, the only unbeaten all-time spread team! Stockstill only 10-15-2 vs. line his last 27 against FBS foes, just 6-7 as chalk since 2013.
Slight to Charlotte, based on team trends.

KENT STATE at MINNESOTA
Kent State just 3-7 vs. line against non-MAC under Haynes since 2013. Golden Flashes no covers last 4 at Big Ten and no TDs in those games, either. Kill 9-3 as home chalk since 2012 and 15-7 vs. spread overall at TCF since 2012.
Minnesota, based on team trends.

BUFFALO at FAU
Bulls 2-6-1 vs. spread last 8 away from home. Also 9-14 as away dog since 2010. Owls 24-14 last 38 on board.
FAU, based on team trends.

TROY at WISCONSIN
Troy now 3-7 vs. line last ten vs. non-Belt foes after NCS blowout loss. Badgers were only 4-5 as DD chalk for Andersen LY and Chryst was just 7-9 as chalk the sicne 2013 with Pitt and Wiscy.
Slight to Wisconsin, based on Troy woes.

ILLINOIS at NORTH CAROLINA
Illini has been a bad road dog lately with 3-11 spread mark in role (counts bowl loss LY). But Illini 8-3 vs. number against non-Big 10 since 2013. Fedora 9-4 as home chalk his first two years with Heels before slip to 1-3 in role LY.
Slight to UNC, based on Illini extended road woes.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at OHIO STATE
At horseshoe Bucks only 4-4 vs. line since LY, and Urban now 11-11 as DD chalk since 2013. Note NIU 15-4 vs. line as visitor since 2012 but no covers last 3 as DD dog since 2011. Huskies have covered last four vs. Big Ten.
NIU, based on team trends.

NC STATE at ODU
ODU covered this game LY but note Monarchs just 1-7 vs. line at home since LY. Wolfpack had been poor on road prior to LY when covering 5 of 6 away from Raleigh. Pack now on 10-5 spread run since LY.
NCS, based on team trends.

TULSA at OKLAHOMA
Stoops has destroyed Tulsa in all four meetings with wins and covers in each since 2009 (52-7 LY) though Bob's overall spread numbers mostly middling past few years.
OU, based on recent series trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at SYRACUSE
Chips were 6-1 vs. line away from Mt. Pleasant LY, 4-1 as dog away from home. CMU on 14-7 spread run since mid 2013, though lost big to Cuse 40-3 LY.
Slight to CMU, based on team trends.

NORTHWESTERN at DUKE
Throwing out 2013 when 1-4 as dog, NU 11-4 vs. line getting points from 2012, '14-15. Cats also 9-5-1 last 15 vs. line against non-Big 10. Cutcliffe 20-7-1 vs. line since 2013.
Slight to Duke, based on recent trends.

NEVADA at TEXAS A&M
Ags only 5-8 as Kyle Field chalk the past two seasons. Pack 9-4 as DD dog since 2010.
Slight to Nevada, based on team trends.

GEORGIA STATE at OREGON
Note GSU is a solid 9-5 as road dog since 2012, covered at Washington LY. Panthers 14-7 last 21 as DD dog. Ducks 4-7 last 11 laying DD at Eugene, 1-4 last five laying 30 or more.
GSU, based on team trends.

RICE at NORTH TEXAS
Owls 4-0 as chalk away from home LY. Bailiff on 28-14-1 spread run since late 2011. UNT 4-9 vs. line since LY and just 1-7 last 8 as dog (though 1-0 as home dog).
Rice, based on team trends.

LA TECH at KANSAS STATE
Skip 12-4 vs. line since LY, 8-2 vs. spread last nine away from Ruston, and 6-1 last six as dog. Tech also 15-7 vs. spread last 22 vs. non-conference (back to the Sonny Dykes era). Bill Snyder only 9-9 vs. spread last 18 vs. non-Big 12.
La Tech, based on team trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at GEORGIA
Home team has won and covered last three in series and is 4-0-1 vs. line last five meetings. Spurrier is 8-3 as dog since 2012.
Slight to Georgia, based on series home trends.

EAST CAROLINA at NAVY
Mids 17-10 last 27 on board, 7-4 last 11 at Annapolis (6-4 last 10 as home chalk). AAC debut for Navy. Ruffin McNeill 6-9 vs. line last 15 away from Dowdy-Ficklen.
Navy, based on recent trends.

AUBURN at LSU
Auburn has covered 4 of last 5 vs. Les Miles but has not won SU at Baton Rouge since 1999. Malzahn, however, just 1-6 vs. spread last seven away from Jordan-Hare. Miles only 14-14 vs. spread at Baton Rouge since 2011.
Slight to Auburn, based on recent series trends.

OLE MISS at ALABAMA
Nick 3-2 vs. line last five in rare revenge role. Prior to LY, Tide had not lost to Ole Miss since Eli won 43-28 in 2003 over Mike Shula's first Bama team. Nick 32-19 laying DD since 2010 but is just 3-5 vs. line against Rebs since arriving at Bama in 2007. Hugh Freeze teams 36-16-1 vs. line since 2011, at Ole Miss he is also 10-5 as dog.
Slight to Ole Miss, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at PURDUE
Hazell just 6-9 vs. spread at Ross-Ade since arriving at Purdue in 2013. If Beamer lays points, however, note he is just 1-7 on road in role since 2012. VPI also on 19-35-1 spread run since late 2010.
Slight to Purdue, based on extended Beamer spread woes.

UTSA at OKLAHOMA STATE
Home team has covered past two years in series. Aside from 4-8 spread mark LY, Coker is 15-9 vs. spread since 2012 with UTSA. OSU is 15-5 last 20 as Stillwater chalk, however.
Slight to OSU, based on team trends.

NEBRASKA at MIAMI-FLA
Mike Riley on 3-11 spread run last 14 at OSU & Nebraska., also 1-5 as dog with Beavers LY but had done much better in role previously (25-12 preceding six years). Note that the Pelini Huskers were 6-1 last seven as dog away from Lincoln.
Slight to Nebraska, based on team trends.

GEORGIA TECH at NOTRE DAME
Check spreads, but if Irish favored, note 8-15 spread mark last 23 in role. Paul Johnson was 6-0 as dog last season and Jackets on 9-game spread win streak.
Georgia Tech, based on team trends.

UTAH STATE at WASHINGTON
USU just 4-5 as road dog the past two seasons and Matt Wells just 5-6 as dog after Andersen was 7-0 in role 2011-12. Petersen teams just 7-15 last 22 as home chalk.
Slight to USU, based on team trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at TEXAS STATE
If dog note Golden Eagles 4-2 on road in role LY. If Bobcats favored note Franchione just 2-5 as home chalk since 2013, though TSU is 10-4 last 14 on board.
Slight to USM, based on team trends.

CINCINNATI at MIAMI-OHIO
Old bitter nearby rivals, RedHawks have covered last two meetings after Cincy rolled in previous three. Miami hasn't beaten Bearcats SU since 2005. RedHawks 5-10-1 vs. spread last 16 at Yager Stadium. Tub 4-0 as visiting chalk LY.
Cincy, based on team trends.

IOWA STATE at TOLEDO
Rockets 1-5-1 vs. spread last seven at Glass Bowl. ISU has covered last four as non-Big 12 visitor.
Slight to ISU, based on team trends.

TEXAS TECH at ARKANSAS
Bielema 6-1 vs. line last seven vs. non-SEC, and Hogs 12-4 vs. spread run last 16 even after Toledo loss. Kingsbury on 7-12-1 spread run since mid 2013, 2-4 last six as visiting dog.
Arkansas, based on team trends.

MEMPHIS at BOWLING GREEN
Tigers on 10-4-1 spread run, also 6-1-1 vs. line away from Liberty Bowl since LY, and 9-1-1 against number last 11 vs. non-league. Falcs just 3-6 vs. spread last nine at Doyt Perry Stadium.
Memphis, based on team trends.

COLORADO vs. COLORADO STATE (at Denver)
Teams have split SU and vs. line last six meetings. Buffs just 3-8 vs. number last 11 away from Boulder. Rams on 23-9 spread run since late 2012.
CSU, based on team trends.

SOUTH FLORIDA at MARYLAND
Taggart 18-3 last 21 as visiting dog at WKU and USF. Edsall 4-6 last ten as chalk, 8-10 as Byrd Stadium chalk since arriving at Md in 2011.
USF, based on Taggart trends.

UCONN at MISSOURI
Pinkel only 8-8 last 16 as home chalk, though Mizzou is 20-`0 overall vs. number since 2013. Pinkel 1-5 last six laying DD after 6-1 mark the seven prior in role. Huskies just 4-12 as visiting dog the past four years, and Diaco only 3-11 vs. line since arriving LY.
Mizzou, based on extended trends.

FLORIDA at KENTUCKY
Gators haven't lost SU vs. UK since 1986. UF also had seven-game cover streak vs. Cats snapped LY in narrow OT win at Swamp. McElwain now on 22-9 spread run at CSU and UF. Stoops 1-5-1 as home dog since arriving at UK in 2013 (1-1-1 LY).
Florida, based on series trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at INDIANA
Brohm 6-7-1 vs. line since taking over WKU. IU on 8-13 spread run since mid 2013.
Slight to WKU, based on recent trends.

CAL at TEXAS
Texas 2-8 last ten vs. points against non-conf foes, and Charlie Strong no covers last four. If Bears getting points, note Sonny Dykes 6-2 as dog LY, and Sonny now 9-5 vs. line last 14 overall with Bears.
Cal, based on recent trends.

SAN JOSE STATE at OREGON STATE
Beavs only 2-12 vs. line since LY, they're also 2-7 as home chalk since 2013, 8-16 as Corvallis chalk since 2009. OSU also 2-7 vs. spread last 9 vs. non-Pac 12. Spartans however 0-9 as dog since LY, though were 9-3 as road dog previous three seasons.
Slight to SJSU, based on extended trends.

SMU at TCU
Frogs have smashed Metroplex rival past two years though SMU had covered previous four meetings. Morris era off to pair of covers with Ponies. Patterson 7-0 as home chalk LY after 4-9-1 mark in role previous three years, and Frogs 12-3 vs. points since LY.
TCU, based on recent trends.

UTEP at NEW MEXICO STATE
Kugler was 4-0-1 vs. line as chalk LY and Miners have won six straight vs. nearby NMSU, covering five of those. Ags 10-25-2 vs. line since 2012, 5-9-1 as Las Cruces dog that span.
UTEP, based on team and series trends.

RUTGERS at PENN STATE
Kyle Flood 11-5 as road dog last 16 getting points away from Piscataway. Back to 2011 and Schiano's last year, Scarlet Knights are 17-8 as dog. James Franklin on 3-8 spread skid since mid 2014.
Rutgers, based on team trends.

SOUTH ALABAMA at SAN DIEGO STATE
Jags were 0-3 as away dog LY en route to 1-5 dog mark. Rocky however just 8-15 vs. line at SDSU against non-MW foes, and 6-11 as DD chalk that span since 2011.
Slight to USA, based on extended SDSU trends.

STANFORD at SOUTHERN CAL
David Shaw has given games to SC the past two years after Tree had won 4 straight and 5 of 6 SU vs. Trojans. Tree still 7-3 last 10 vs. line against SC. Shaw 6-1-1 as dog with Tree.
Slight to Stanford, based on team trends.

PITT at IOWA
Ferentz was 6-12 as Nile Kinnick chalk the past three years before cover in opener vs. ISU Redbirds. Hawkeyes did beat Pitt 24-20 LY at Heinz. Narduzzi familiar with Ferentz but Pitt only 11-17 vs. line since 2013. Panthers 4-8 vs. line last 12 away from Heinz.
Slight to Iowa, based on team trends.

AIR FORCE at MICHIGAN STATE
Troy Calhoun rediscovering spread magic at Force, now 10-5 vs. line since LY and 4-2 as dog that span. Also 5-1 last six vs. non-MW. Spartans no covers first two TY.
AFA, based on team trends.

BYU at UCLA
Mora 2-4-1 vs. line last seven at Rose Bowl, but UCLA extended spread marks at home are good (43-25 since early in 2004). Bronco Mendenhall 2-5 last seven as dog away from Provo.
Slight to UCLA, based on extended home marks.

UTAH at FRESNO STATE
DeRuyter 1-9 vs. spread last ten vs. BCS-level non-MW foes (only W vs. Idaho). Fresno 3-6 as dog past two years. Kyle Whittingham 9-1 vs. line last ten vs. non-Pac 12 foes!
Utah, based on team trends.