The Bum's Sports Page For Friday September 11th Best Bets-Trends-News !

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Shock (17-15) at Sky (20-12)

Date: September 11, 2015 8:30 PM EDT

The Chicago Sky have already locked up home-court advantage for the first round of the WNBA playoffs.

The Tulsa Shock are also bound for the postseason, though they will begin on the road.

Both these teams will want to get through Friday night's meaningless contest without any injuries, and it may be wise for the Sky to reduce any minutes for MVP candidate Elena Delle Donne in their final home game.

Chicago (20-12) will be the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference and face Indiana or Washington in the first round. The Sky are 12-4 at home to tie first-place New York for the East's best mark.

Tulsa (17-15) will be the West's No. 3 seed and face Phoenix in the first round. The Shock close the regular season Sunday with a home game against the Mercury.

With nothing at stake, it's not clear if these teams will rest anyone. Delle Donne could be a prime candidate after missing the last two games in August with a foot injury.

She has looked rusty in two games since returning, making 8 of 28 shots for 32 points. Delle Donne averages a league-high 23.3 points, ranks third in rebounding with 8.7 per game and is two 3-pointers shy of 100 for her career.

Delle Donne was spectacular with 40 points when these teams last met in a 101-93 loss at Tulsa on June 6. That marked the Shock's fourth straight win in the series.

Odyssey Sims scored 23 points to lead Tulsa while Skylar Diggins added 20, though Diggins is out for the season with a torn ACL.

The Sky also will look different from that contest since forward Erika de Souza was not with the team at that time.

De Souza will be called upon Friday to help contain Tulsa center Courtney Paris, the league's leading rebounder with 9.5 per game.

Chicago has not played since routing Seattle 93-65 on Sunday. Allie Quigley scored 17 points and Delle Donne chipped in with 13.

Sims had 27 points and seven rebounds in Tuesday's 74-64 win over San Antonio. The Shock have captured seven of their last eight.

Tulsa is the only West club with a winning record against the East at 7-4.


WNBA HEAD TO HEAD

Jun 6, 2015 Score ATS Results
CHI 93 Over: 194
TUL « 101 Cover: 6
Tools: Recaps

Jul 27, 2014 Score ATS Results
CHI 69 Under: 148
TUL « 79 Cover: 8
Tools: Recaps

Jun 22, 2014 Score ATS Results
TUL « 105 Cover: 8.5
CHI 99 Over: 204
Tools: Recaps

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Sparks (14-19) at Mercury (19-13)

Date: September 11, 2015 10:00 PM EDT

With virtually nothing left to play for in the regular season, the Phoenix Mercury could choose to limit players' minutes this weekend or sit at least a couple of them out.

The Los Angeles Sparks started resting up for the playoffs in their latest game, and it's unclear if Candace Parker will sit out again Friday night at Phoenix.

The Mercury (19-13) are guaranteed the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference for their title defense and home-court advantage in their first-round matchup with Tulsa. They'll close out their schedule Sunday on the road against the Shock.

Los Angeles is the No. 4 seed and will open the postseason at Minnesota next Friday.

The Sparks (14-19) secured their league-best 15th playoff berth in 17 seasons with a 92-73 victory over Tulsa on Sunday. Parker paced her team with a season-high 33 points and career-best five 3-pointers.

Los Angeles then kept Parker, Nneka Ogwumike and Alana Beard on the bench for a 90-60 loss in Atlanta three days later. The Sparks had won six of seven.

Parker had 26 points and 10 rebounds in her only matchup with Phoenix in her self-imposed abbreviated season, a 78-68 road win Aug. 21. The Sparks had lost in each of their previous three visits to US Airways Center, including last season's playoff opener.

Los Angeles has taken both meetings since falling 94-91 in overtime July 5 on Leilani Mitchell's 3-pointer with 3.9 seconds left.

The Mercury have won their two games this month by a combined 50 points, blowing out an eliminated San Antonio team 82-52 on the road Saturday. Brittney Griner led the way with 22 points and shot 8 of 9.

Griner had 20 points in the Aug. 21 matchup, but the star center hit 40.0 percent of her shots in the first two meetings, far lower than her league-best mark of 57.0.

Ogwumike sat out that game because of concussion-like symptoms. She totaled 43 points in the first two matchups, scoring 26 to go with a season-high 19 rebounds July 5.


WNBA HEAD TO HEAD

Aug 21, 2015 Score ATS Results
LOS « 78 Cover: 15
PHO 68 Over: 146
Tools: Recaps

Jul 21, 2015 Score ATS Results
PHO 65 Under: 134
LOS « 69 Cover: 8
Tools:

Jul 5, 2015 Score ATS Results
PHO « 94 Over: 185
LOS 91 Cover: 0.5
Tools: Recaps

Aug 26, 2014 Score ATS Results
LOS 0 Over: 0
PHO « 0 Cover: 0
Tools:

Aug 24, 2014 Score ATS Results
PHO « 93 Cover: 20
LOS 68 Over: 161
Tools: Recaps

Aug 22, 2014 Score ATS Results
LOS 72 Cover: 7.5
PHO « 75 Under: 147
Tools: Recaps

Aug 16, 2014 Score ATS Results
LOS 69 Cover: 1.5
PHO « 76 Under: 145
Tools:

Jul 29, 2014 Score ATS Results
LOS 69 Under: 159
PHO « 90 Cover: 9
Tools: Recaps

Jul 24, 2014 Score ATS Results
PHO « 93 Cover: 14.5
LOS 73 Over: 166
Tools: Recaps

Jul 6, 2014 Score ATS Results
PHO « 94 Cover: 3.5
LOS 89 Over: 183
Tools: Recaps

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Lynx (22-11) at Storm (9-23)

Date: September 11, 2015 10:00 PM EDT

With their postseason fate already determined and two All-Stars nursing injuries, the Minnesota Lynx likely see their regular-season finale as a chance to ease into the playoffs.

The Seattle Storm are just trying to salvage what they can from another disappointing campaign.

Minnesota seeks a seventh straight victory in the series and second in four days Friday night when it visits Seattle.

The Lynx (22-11) wrapped up the top seed in the Western Conference for the fourth time in five seasons with Tuesday's 73-67 home victory against the Storm. Minnesota has little tangible to play for in this one with New York having already clinched the league's best record, while the Lynx are locked into a first-round matchup with fourth-place Los Angeles.

The Sparks have won 11 of their last 16 while Minnesota has been inconsistent down the stretch, dropping five of nine. The Lynx won the season series, 3-1, and have to like their chances as one of the league's most battle-tested clubs. They reached three straight WNBA Finals before losing to Phoenix a round earlier in 2014.

"We know it's (Los Angeles) a really good team," coach Cheryl Reeve told the team's official website. "It's a team that has gone through their own challenges and they've hung together and earned themselves a playoff spot and we know that's going to be a heck of a first round matchup."

Tuesday's win came without All-Stars Seimone Augustus (foot) and Lindsay Whalen (Achilles), who missed their seventh and third consecutive games, respectively. With no pressing need for them to play, neither is expected to return until the playoffs.

Maya Moore scored a team-high 20 points and added seven rebounds and five assists in their absence Tuesday.

After missing the playoffs for the first time in 11 years last season, 2015 has been another letdown for Seattle (9-23). The Storm are assured of their worst finish since a 10-22 record in 2001.

They've dropped three straight heading into their final two games, concluding Sunday against visiting San Antonio.

Seattle owns the league's second-lowest scoring offense at 70.6 points per game, while Minnesota limits opponents to 71.5, the second-fewest in the league.

As bad as the Storm have been, they still have a shot to finish above .500 at home, currently sitting at 7-8. They had won three of four there prior to an 85-67 loss to Tulsa on Sept. 3.


WNBA HEAD TO HEAD

Sep 8, 2015 Score ATS Results
SEA 67 Cover: 6
MIN « 73 Under: 140
Tools: Recaps

Jul 3, 2015 Score ATS Results
SEA 57 Under: 139
MIN « 82 Cover: 12.5
Tools: Recaps

Jun 25, 2015 Score ATS Results
MIN « 76 Over: 149
SEA 73 Cover: 7.5
Tools: Recaps

Jun 11, 2015 Score ATS Results
SEA 70 Over: 164
MIN « 94 Cover: 10.5
Tools: Recaps

Jul 13, 2014 Score ATS Results
SEA 60 Under: 137
MIN « 77 Cover: 9
Tools: Recaps

Jun 29, 2014 Score ATS Results
SEA 69 Cover: 4
MIN « 74 Under: 143
Tools: Recaps

Jun 27, 2014 Score ATS Results
MIN 71 Over: 152
SEA « 81 Cover: 16.5
Tools: Recaps

Jun 6, 2014 Score ATS Results
MIN 62 Under: 127
SEA « 65 Cover: 9
Tools: Recaps

[StarDust Bum]

Standings

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Team W L PCT GB CONF HOME ROAD L-10 STREAK

New York Liberty - e
23 9 0.719 0 13-7 12-4 11-5 7-3 W 2

Chicago Sky - x
20 12 0.625 3 14-7 12-4 8-8 7-3 W 2

Indiana Fever - x
18 14 0.563 5 11-9 10-6 8-8 5-5 L 2

Washington Mystics - x
17 15 0.531 6 9-11 11-5 6-10 4-6 W 1

Atlanta Dream - o
14 18 0.438 9 9-11 9-7 5-11 6-4 W 2

Connecticut Sun - o
14 19 0.424 9.5 5-16 7-9 7-10 2-8 L 1


WESTERN CONFERENCE

Team W L PCT GB CONF HOME ROAD L-10 STREAK

Minnesota Lynx - w
22 11 0.667 0 16-5 13-4 9-7 5-5 W 1

Phoenix Mercury - x
19 13 0.594 2.5 14-6 12-4 7-9 5-5 W 2

Tulsa Shock - x
17 15 0.531 4.5 10-11 11-5 6-10 7-3 W 1

Los Angeles Sparks - x
14 19 0.424 8 10-11 9-8 5-11 7-3 L 1

Seattle Storm - o
9 23 0.281 12.5 7-13 7-8 2-15 4-6 L 3

San Antonio Stars - o
7 26 0.212 15 5-16 7-10 0-16 0-10 L 10


Legend

x: Clinched Playoffs Berth

e: Clinched Eastern Conference

w: Clinched Western Conference

o: Eliminated from Playoffs contention

[StarDust Bum]

WNBA

Friday, September 11

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
INDIANA vs. ATLANTA
Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NEW YORK
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games on the road
New York is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
TULSA vs. CHICAGO
Tulsa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Tulsa is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tulsa
Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tulsa

10:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. PHOENIX
Los Angeles is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

10:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SEATTLE
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 12 games when playing Minnesota

[StarDust Bum]

WNBA
Dunkel

Friday, September 11


Los Angeles @ Phoenix

Game 607-608
September 11, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
111.436
Phoenix
117.941
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 6 1/2
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 4 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-4 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Seattle

Game 609-610
September 11, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
111.764
Seattle
109.258
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5 1/2
147
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+5 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Atlanta

Game 601-602
September 11, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
114.873
Atlanta
113.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1
166
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 1
158 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+1); Over

Washington @ New York

Game 603-604
September 11, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
112.390
New York
111.208
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 3 1/2
142
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+3 1/2); Under

Tulsa @ Chicago

Game 605-606
September 11, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
111.391
Chicago
120.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 9
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 4 1/2
159 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-4 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 11

September 8, 2015

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 11
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 11
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 11
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 11
-- The 'under' went 3-1 in Week 11

Team Betting Notes

-- Saskatchewan (1-9) finally broke through for its first victory of the season at the expense of Winnipeg (3-7). The Roughriders have now covered in three of their past four games after starting out 0-5-1 ATS in the first six games. The 'over' has been equally consistent, going 3-1 in the past four outings.

-- For the Blue Bombers, they have dropped four in a row and they're 0-4 ATS during the span. The 'over' against Saskatchewan snapped a seven-game run of 'under' totals. The Bombers and Riders will complete a home-and-home set in Winnipeg Saturday.

-- Calgary (8-2) dropped Edmonton (6-4) in a clash of titans Monday, and the Stamps now hold a two-game lead in the West Division. The Stamps are also 3-1 ATS over the past four games after opening the season 0-6 ATS.

-- For the Eskimos, they have dropped two of the past three and they're 2-3 ATS over their past five games. They'll look for revenge against the Stamps Saturday night.

-- Hamilton (7-3) picked up an impressive 42-12 win over Toronto (6-4), and the TiCats have now scored 42 or more points in three of the past four games.

-- The Argonauts are struggling lately, getting blown out in Edmonton Aug. 28 and then slipping up hard down the QEW in Hamilton. Toronto is now a dismal 1-5 ATS over its past six games. The 'over' is the only thing consistent in Toronto, going 4-1 over the past five.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 12

September 8, 2015

The Labor Day Weekend marked the official start of the push towards this year’s CFL Grey Cup Playoffs and British Columbia got the ball rolling last Thursday with an unexpected 25-16 upset of Montreal as a five-point road underdog.

In the first game of three home-and-home series on the CFL’s Week 11 schedule, Saskatchewan finally snapped this season’s nine-game straight-up losing streak with a 37-19 victory against Winnipeg as a 4 ½-point home favorite on Sunday. To open Monday’s action, Hamilton jumped all over Toronto 42-12 as an 8 ½-point home favorite and Calgary grinded-out a 16-7 victory against Edmonton as a four-point home favorite to close things out.

Friday, Sept. 11

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (7-3 SU, 8-2 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -4
Total: 54

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats set the tone for this home-and-home series with first place in the East Division on the line by jumping out to a 27-1 lead at the half and they never took their foot off the gas. Zach Collaros was on fire with 400 yards passing and four touchdown throws while completing 26-of-38 attempts. Running back Ray Holley added another 84 yards on the ground as Hamilton completely dominated this game.

Toronto will have to quickly bounce back to avoid falling two games off the pace in the East. The Argonauts have now lost their last two games straight-up and they are 0-3 against the spread in their last three outings. Trevor Harris did complete 24-of-34 passes for 211 yards in the losing effort, but a costly interception and continued pressure by the Tiger-Cats’ defense kept Toronto’s offense in check the entire afternoon.

Betting Trends

Hamilton has now won the first two games of this season’s three-game series both SU and ATS with both contests staying UNDER the total. The Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games against Toronto.

Saturday, Sept. 12

Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-7 SU, 3-6-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -1
Total: 51 ½

Game Overview

The Roughriders drew first blood in this two-game series behind a solid performance by quarterback Brett Smith, who is filling in as a third-string replacement. He completed 19-of-25 passes for 211 yards and a score. He also added 59 yards on the ground on seven carries. This was the first time all season that Saskatchewan’s defense held a team to fewer than 27 points.

Winnipeg turned to Brian Brohm as its starting quarterback in Sunday’s loss for the injured Drew Willy. He actually looked sharp throwing the ball by completing 21-of 26 attempts for 184 yards, but the Bombers could not make their way into the end zone through the air. He did manage to score a touchdown on the ground as part of his 22 yards rushing.

Betting Trends

The Blue Bombers have lost four of the five meetings SU on their home field and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings overall.

Calgary Stampeders (8-2 SU, 3-7 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -2
Total: 47

Game Overview

The Stampeders’ win on Monday opened-up a two-game lead in the West Division with a chance to widen the gap even more this week. Not only do the defending champions now have the best SU record in the CFL through the first 10 games, Calgary is 3-1 ATS in its last four games after failing to cover in each of their first six contests this year.

Edmonton is still in solid shape for a spot in the CFL Playoffs, but this week is basically a must-win situation to stay in the West Division race. The Eskimos continue to boast the stoutest defense in the CFL with an average of just 18.1 points allowed, but there has to be some concern on offense after averaging just 20 points over their last four outings.

Betting Trends

Calgary has now covered ATS in the last five meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven games. Edmonton has lost its last five home games against the Stampeders both SU and ATS.

Sunday, Sept. 13

Ottawa RedBlacks (5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -3 ½
Total: 50 ½

Game Overview

The RedBlacks remain in the thick of the East Division race after winning just two games last season as a first-year expansion team. Coming off a bye week, veteran CFL quarterback Henry Burris has proven that he still has some gas in the tank with 2,504 passing yards and 10 touchdown throws while completing 68.1 percent of his 313 attempts. Defensive end Jamaal Westerman leads the team in sacks with eight, which is also tied for most in the league.

BC quarterback Travis Lulay left last Thursday’s game in the first quarter with a knee injury and John Beck made the most of the opportunity by tossing two scores as part of a 14-for 22 performance that helped pace the upset. The Lions’ defense intercepted Montreal quarterback Tanner Marsh five times to help seal the win. BC is still just 2-4 ATS over its last six games.

Betting Trends

Ottawa won the first game in this season’s series on July 4 with a 27-10 victory as a 2 ½-point home underdog. BC won both meetings last season SU and the total has now stayed UNDER in all three games.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Long Sheet

Friday, September 11

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HAMILTON (7 - 3) at TORONTO (6 - 4) - 9/11/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
HAMILTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
HAMILTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
HAMILTON is 95-69 ATS (+19.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
TORONTO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 7-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 6-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, September 12

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SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 9) at WINNIPEG (3 - 7) - 9/12/2015, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALGARY (8 - 2) at EDMONTON (6 - 4) - 9/12/2015, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 7-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 8-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 13

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OTTAWA (5 - 4) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (4 - 5) - 9/13/2015, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games since 1996.
OTTAWA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road lined games since 1996.
OTTAWA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 12

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, September 11

7:30 PM
HAMILTON vs. TORONTO
Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Hamilton's last 18 games on the road
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton


Saturday, September 12

6:30 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan

9:30 PM
CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 10 games
Edmonton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games at home


Sunday, September 13

4:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of British Columbia's last 24 games

[StarDust Bum]

CFL

Friday, September 11


Trends favor Ti-Cats ahead of Argos clash

If you like head-to-head trends and you like your football Canadian, you'll know that the Hamilton Tiger-Cats have slight edge over the Toronto Argonauts in recent meetings.

The Tabbies have gone 4-0 against the spread in the last four meetings overall and 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings at Rogers Centre.

The teams have met twice already this season (both in Hamilton) and the Ti-cats have won 34-19 (-3.5) and 42-12 (-7.5).

Books currently have the Tiger-Cats as 3.5-point road faves for this matchup.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, September 11

Hamilton (7-3) @ Toronto (6-4)-- TiCats beat Argos twice at home this year, 34-18 (-3.5) and 42-12 (-7.5) last week, when they outgained Toronto 508-263. Home side won last five series games, with Hamilton losing five of last seven visits here. Six of last eight series games stayed under total. TiCats won/covered six of last seven games; they're 3-2 on road, with losses by total of five points. Argos are 3-0 at home, scoring 28.7 ppg, but they lost last two weeks on road, giving up 38-42 points. Under is 6-2 in last eight Hamilton games.

Saskatchewan (1-9) @ Winnipeg (3-7)-- Roughriders got first win of year last week, outgaining Blue Bombers 372-244. Riders are 0-4 on road, 1-2-1 vs spread and they were dog in all four- they're 3-1 vs spread in last four games, after being 0-5-1 in first six. Saskatchewan is 15-2 in last 17 games with Winnipeg, winning four of last five played here- last three meetings went over. Bombers lost last four games (0-4 vs spread) with three of four by 18+ points- they're 2-3 SU at home. Seven of last eight Winnipeg games stayed under; three of last four Rider games went over.

Calgary (8-2) @ Edmonton (6-4)-- Stampeders (-5.5) beat Edmonton 16-7 last week, despite turnover ratio of -2; Calgary has now beaten its rival 12 times in a row, covering last seven. Five of last seven series games stayed under. Calgary won its last five games overall, covering three of last four- they are 7-0 when allowing less than 29 points and held three of last four opponents under 10. Eskimos won four of five at home, losing 49-20 at Hamilton; they're 5-2 as a favorite. Calgary is underdog for first time this season. Under is 7-3 in Stampeder games this year.

Ottawa (5-4) @ BC Lions (4-5)-- RedBlacks (+3) upset BC 27-16 back in Week 2, in season opener for Lions, who had Week 1 bye; Ottawa lost 41-3 in their visit here LY- under is 2-0-1 in series tilts. RedBlacks are 3-2 in last five games (4-1 vs spread); they lost last three road games by average score of 41-15, are 2-2 as road dogs this season. Lions lost four of last six games, are 2-2 at home, as three of four games were decided by 3 points each (underdogs 3-0-1 vs spread). Four of last five Ottawa games went over the total; over is 3-1 in BC's home games.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 12


Hamilton @ Toronto

Game 453-454
September 11, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
126.085
Toronto
109.153
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 17
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 3 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-3 1/2); Under


Saskatchewan @ Winnipeg

Game 455-456
September 12, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
105.980
Winnipeg
102.437
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 3 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 1
51
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(-1); Over

Calgary @ Edmonton

Game 457-458
September 12, 2015 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
119.755
Edmonton
118.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 1
47
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(+1); Under


Ottawa @ BC Lions

Game 459-460
September 13, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
112.658
BC Lions
113.728
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 1
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 4
50
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+4); Over

[StarDust Bum]

Friday's Tip Sheet

September 11, 2015


Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees | 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network)

On this week’s MLB Network Friday Night Showcase, arguably baseball’s best division race takes center stage when the Yankees and Blue Jays meet for the first time in a crucial four-game set. This series was actually supposed to commence last night, but poor weather changed those plans, and thus, last night’s enticing pitching matchup will now be featured, which is something MLB Network must appreciate for ratings purposes, considering it involves Blue Jays ace David Price (14-5, 2.43 ERA) taking the hill.

Now a handful of weeks into his tenure in Toronto, Price has proven to be everything the Jays hoped for when they acquired him from Detroit. In fact, the former AL Cy Young winner has made seven assignments for his new organization, and all seven registered as official quality starts, two of which coming in back-to-back outings versus the Yankees in the first half of August. In the process, Price has cashed the under in five of his seven Blue Jays starts. The linesmakers have set the over/under for this one at 7.5.

For the Yankees, it will be impressive rookie right-hander Luis Severino (3-2, 2.04 ERA) toeing the rubber, looking to stay unbeaten since first being called up just over a month ago. The 21-year-old highly-touted prospect has been reliably consistent thus far into his first taste of the big leagues, going six innings or more in all five starts since his five-inning debut on August 5. In the process, he surrendered three runs or less in all of them, and has three straight quality starts entering this evening. Overall, Severino has proven to be a bit better at home, if his splits are any true indication. In his three starts at Yankee Stadium, Severino is 2-1 with a 1.56 ERA while opponents are hitting just .188 off him in those assignments. The Yankees have won his last three starts but even so, they’ve been tagged as +145 home ’dogs opposite the masterful Price.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves | 7:35 p.m. ET

Are the Mets ever going to cool off? After starting yet another series with a victory last night in their game one win over the Braves, New York further added to their comfy first-place lead over the Nationals in the NL East, but aren’t ready to get content just yet. That especially applies to rookie southpaw Steven Matz (2-0, 1.89 ERA), who is still making a bid to have a significant role in the postseason.

This is just his second start back since returning from injury this past Sunday, when he was solid in 5 1/3 innings in Miami, limiting the Fish to two runs and striking out six. Overall, it’s just his fourth start of his freshman campaign, but Matz hasn’t allowed more than two runs in any outing, while registering a 20/7 K/BB ratio over 19 total innings pitched. Despite his inexperience, Matz is a heavy -185 favorite on the road.

The downtrodden Braves, who are simply trying to avoid the NL East basement, will trot out their own rookie this evening, Matt Wisler (5-6, 5.81 ERA). Interestingly, the 22-year-old right-hander -- who turns 23 tomorrow -- actually made his Major League debut nearly three months ago on a Friday evening at Turner Field against the Mets, and tonight he’ll be opposing them for the first time since.

Unfortunately for Wisler, his Major League debut would actually turn out to be his best performance, as he outdueled NL Cy Young hopeful Jacob deGrom with eight brilliant innings of one-run ball. Since then, it’s been all downhill for the former Padres prospect, as he enters tonight’s assignment having allowed five runs or more in four of his past seven starts, while the Braves have dropped his last five outings. As a result, the over/under is 8.

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim | 10:05 p.m. ET

Although Felix Hernandez just tied him yesterday for the most wins in the American League, there’s no question that Houston Astros ace Dallas Keuchel (17-6, 2.29 ERA) leads the way as far as the AL Cy Young discussion is concerned, with just a few weeks left in the campaign. Keuchel will have another opportunity to add to his remarkable body of work in 2015 when he squares off against the Angels for the third time this year, looking to notch an eighth consecutive quality start in Anaheim this evening.

One of the underrated aspects of Keuchel’s season involves his remarkable consistency, as the 27-year-old southpaw has gone six innings or more in all 28 of his starts, and the Astros have won six of his last seven starts entering this series opener. Even on the road, it’s no surprise to see Keuchel listed as a -135 favorite.

While the Astros are trying to hold onto first-place in the AL West division, the Angels are simply fighting for their playoff lives, making this more of a must-win series for the club if they have postseason aspirations. Former ace Jered Weaver (6-10, 4.78 ERA), who has struggled this season with decreased velocity, takes the ball first for LA, looking to build off his most successful outing in weeks.

That came last week when the longtime Halos right-hander limited the Rangers to one run in six innings pitched, continuing a trend that has been prevalent throughout his season. While Weaver’s overall numbers leave a lot to be desired, he’s actually been quite good at home this year, being 3-2 in nine starts at Angel Stadium of Anaheim with a 2.86 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. This matchup has drawn an over/under line of 7.

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants | 10:15 p.m. ET

Already considered a very unlikely longshot to catch the Cubs for the second Wild Card berth, the Giants now find themselves in a similar unfriendly scenario as it pertains to their chances of trying to catch up again with the first-place Dodgers in the NL West. Being 8.5 games back of the top spot in the division, it’s looking very much like the defending World Series Champions won’t even have the opportunity to advance into this year’s postseason for any sort of title defense, and must put together a run right away.

They’ll look for such to begin tonight, although it won’t be easy with veteran hurler Jake Peavy (5-6, 4.41 ERA) slated to take the mound opposite his former club. Peavy faced the Padres once this year -- in his first start of the campaign, actually -- and couldn’t pitch past the fourth inning, as he yielded four runs and seven baserunners. That’s been a theme to his year, as inconsistency has reigned supreme. In three of his past five starts, Peavy has allowed four runs or more, but he’s a -140 favorite nonetheless.

Those odds might have something to do with his counterpart tonight, that being the incredibly underwhelming Andrew Cashner (5-14, 4.11 ERA). The hard-throwing Texan was expected to play a big role in San Diego’s potential ascension this season, but that obviously hasn’t happened, as the Padres have been one of the league’s biggest underachievers in 2015, while Cashner has arguably been the NL’s most disappointing starter.

That’s especially been true on the road, where the right-hander -- who actually turns 29 years-old today, which could be a variable -- owns an ERA that is nearly a full run higher than his work at home at pitcher-friendly Petco Park. The linesmakers have labeled this game with an over/under of 7.

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Friday

September 11, 2015


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Braves are 0-11 since Jun 25, 2015 after a loss in which they allowed 5+ walks and it is not the first game of a series .

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Hisashi Iwakuma starts the Mariners are 10-0 SU on since Aug 13, 2014 after he had a WHIP of less than one his last start and they won.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Athletics are 11-0 OU since Sep 18, 2012 on the road after a game in which they hit multiple home runs at home.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Astros are 12-0 since Aug 30, 2004 as a favorite after a 5+ run road win and it is the first game of a series.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Pirates are 10-0 since Apr 27, 2011 after an extra inning loss at home.

[StarDust Bum]

Jays, Yankees meet in N.Y.

September 11, 2015


TORONTO BLUE JAYS (79-60) at NEW YORK YANKEES (77-61)

First pitch: Friday, 7:05 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Blue Jays -140, Total: 7.5

The Yankees look to make up ground in the division with a win over the Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium on Friday.

The Blue Jays and Yankees were supposed to start this series on Thursday, but the game was rained out and this is now the opener of a game with serious playoff implications. Toronto currently holds a 1.5-game lead over New York in the AL East and this four-game set can change that drastically.

The Blue Jays come into this game as winners of eight of their past 12 games.

The Yankees have won eight of their past 12 as well, but they did lose their final two games in a home series against an inferior Orioles team this week.

This game features some great pitching, as LHP David Price (14-5, 2.52 ERA, 196 K) of the Blue Jays will faceoff against RHP Luis Everino (3-2, 2.04 ERA, 34 K) of the Yankees.

Toronto has gotten the better of New York in this matchup this season, going 8-4 overall and 5-1 at Yankee Stadium. It’s also worth noting that nine of the 12 games played between the teams have gone Under the total this season.

On the year, the Blue Jays are 19-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. The Yankees, meanwhile, are 10-4 against the money line when facing a poor baserunning team that averages 0.5 or less stolen bases per game this season.

Toronto is relatively healthy entering this game, but New York will be without 1B Mark Teixeira (Shin) for another week or so.

The Blue Jays have been one of the best teams in baseball since acquiring Price. Since getting to Toronto, the ace is 5-1 with a 2.15 ERA and he was brilliant in his most recent start. Price went seven innings against the Orioles and allowed just one earned run on four hits, striking out eight batters in the process. The last time he faced the Yankees was Aug. 14 and he allowed three earned runs in 7.1 innings of work.

Price did, however, allow 11 hits in that game and will need to try to keep himself out of trouble on Friday. One guy that could be eager to bat against Luis Severino in this game is 1B Jose Bautista (.248, 33 HR, 96 RBI). “Joey Bats” went yard against the young New York starter in their last meeting and will need to remember that as he steps up to the plate on Friday.

He is 0-for-6 over the past two games and Toronto needs him to be productive with his bat this series. 3B Josh Donaldson (.307, 37 HR, 115 RBI) enters this game on a tear, finishing with three multi-hit games in his past four contests. He has 11 RBI in the past 10 games and is always a threat to put up monster numbers at the plate.

Another guy that can’t be taken lightly is DH Edwin Encarnacion (.269, 30 HR, 95 RBI). The slugger enters this game on a nine-game homerless streak, but he can hit one at any given at bat and his team will be counting on him to break out of this drought soon.

Luis Severino has been brilliant since the Yankees called him up this season. New York was desperate for a decent starting pitcher and Severino has been far more than that. The young flamethrower has allowed one or less earned runs in each of his past three starts, giving up a total of two earned runs in his past 18.1 innings of work.

The last time he faced Toronto, Severino struck out nine batters while allowing three earned runs in 6.0 innings. A homer by Jose Bautista was the lone mistake he made and he’ll need to do a better job of avoiding long balls in general, as he’s now allowed one in four of his six starts.

Offensively, the Yankees need to start hitting more consistently. They have scored a total of four runs over the past two games and that just won’t cut it for a team that relies on its bats. One player who has been hot as of late is OF Carlos Beltran (.279, 15 HR, 53 RBI). Beltran was 2-for-4 with a homer and three RBI in a loss to the Orioles last game and has now gotten a hit in eight of the past 10 games.

A few Yankees have had a lot of success against David Price in the past and the guys to really point out are OF Jacoby Ellsbury (.267, 7 HR, 30 RBI), C Brian McCann (.244, 25 HR, 86 RBI) and 3B Chase Headley (.271, 10 HR, 58 RBI). Ellsbury is 19-for-57 with a homer, four doubles and four RBI against Price in his career.

McCann is 10-for-23 with three homers and seven RBI against the pitcher and Headley has done damage as well, going 7-for-14 with two doubles and three RBI in the matchup. They’ll need these guys to continue to give the Jays ace trouble on Friday.