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**Udog** · 08-13-2015, 08:22 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some lines for interesting NFL games this season........

Week 3-- Broncos (even) @ Lions

Week 4-- Packers (-4) @ 49ers

Week 5-- Steelers @ Chargers (-2)

Week 6-- Chargers @ Packers (-7)

Week 7-- Bills (-5) vs Jaguars in London

Week 7-- Ravens @ Cardinals (-1.5)

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) Major leagues went to 30 teams in 1998; since then, Tuesday was first night ever with a 15-game schedule where the home team won all fifteen games.

12) Can't be fun pitching for the Red Sox; fat guy playing third, and when they play in NL parks, another fat guy playing first. Marlins scored ten runs in sixth inning with a mind-numbing succession of ground balls that went thru the Boston infield like fans go thru a turnstile on their way into an arena.

Don't change pitchers, put better athletes in the field!!!!

This is why I don't think DHs should get in the Hall of Fame; they're incapable of playing the field. Have the feeling David Ortiz will get in someday, though.

11) Marlins/Padres are only big league teams who have never had a player hit for the cycle. Padres have been around 1969 and had Dave Winfield/Tony Gwynn; you would think at some point, one of those guys would've gotten a cycle.

10) Wisconsin basketball coach Bo Ryan is hedging on his retirement after this coming season; either he really doesn't want to retire, or he knows the guy he wants to replace him isn't going to get the job, so he'll retire at a time where they almost have to give the guy the job, like right before the season.

9) Hisashi Iwakuma pitched fourth no-hitter this season, blanking Baltimore 3-0; it was the first AL no-hitter since Felix Hernandez' perfect game in 2012.

8) Diamondbacks haven't been over .500 since they were 8-7 back in April; they lost to the Phillies Wednesday in their latest attempt to get over .500. Arizona is an improved team, but they're chasing the Dodgers/Giants and getting over .500 has been an issue for them.

7) NBA schedule came out yesterday; mercifully, Knciks aren't playing on Christmas Day this year. Five games spread out all day; Cavs-Warriors might be best game.

6) No team has more than 20 sets of back/back games: Pistons-Warriors-Rockets and the Clippers all have 20. They reduced the back/backs, like Commissioner Silver said they would do.

5) I don't think Little League games should be on national TV. Kids are too young; some little tyke makes an error to cost his town a national title and he has to live there for at least the next 6-7 years; he might wind up like Dennis Hopper in Hoosiers, in a strait jacket in a psych ward listening to his son's hoop games on the radio.

4) Bobby Hurley got out of Buffalo just in time; Justin Moss, Bulls' best returning player, is in trouble with the school (not the law) with regards to a burglary and might not play this season. Without Moss, the Bulls are screwed- he is very good..

3) 2016 is a leap year, which means February will have 29 days, not 28. Was looking up which famous people were born February 29-- Anthony Robbins was the most famous person I could find-- he is 55, but has had only 14 actual birthdays.

2) Big 14 football teams have been underdogs in 43 of their last 50 bowl games; they are 3-3-1 vs spread in the seven games they were favored to win. In both '12 and '14, all Big 14 teams were underdogs in their bowl games. An overrated league.

1) I do not advise wagering on NFL exhibition games; coaches really don't care who wins, they're more interested in looking at certain players in game situations.

**Udog** · 08-13-2015, 08:22 AM

Betting 101: Best ways to safely handicap the NFL preseason

So you want to bet NFL preseason football, do you?

Steering bettors away from the NFL’s unpredictable exhibition schedule is like trying to convince high school kids to wait until marriage, if you know what we mean. You aren’t going to convince them otherwise so you might as well preach about safe sex - or in this case safe betting habits.

We break down the best ways to handicap the NFL preseason slate and hope you don’t lose your shirt – and pants – by the time Week 1 rolls around:

Read everything

The great thing about the NFL preseason is that books and bettors are on the same level. Coaches don’t reveal their plans until usually the day before a game, and by that time odds have been up for a while. If you catch an online presser or read a quote from a coach spilling the beans on his starters’ playing time, you can quickly get down before the lines adjust.

Research is everything for preseason capping. Find out how many snaps the first teamers will get, what the focal point of the offseason is – offense or defense – and wager accordingly. Also, keep an eye on camp injuries or how veteran players are treating the tune-up games. Some star players go through the motions in August and ones limited by injuries won't risk going all out before the real games start.

A team that is trying to establish some momentum on the ground will likely run the ball a lot – therefore keeping the clock ticking and the final score Under the total. If a team is trying to fill roster spots in the secondary and is plugging in rookies and inexperienced player in its pass defense, than perhaps look at the other team to air it out and exploit those weaknesses.

QB depth

Much the way starting pitchers make up 90 percent of baseball handicapping, quarterbacks hold a similar value when betting on the preseason. It’s the most important position on the field and can single handedly make or break your bets.

Finding a team with depth at quarterback is the key for success during the exhibition schedule. The No. 1 passer will likely only take a handful of snaps in the first two games of the preseason, turning the offense over to the backups.

Look for teams with an experienced backup under center. Many clubs have veterans and former starters on the roster, guys who won’t be freaked out by the NFL’s big stage like rookie QBs and wet-behind-the-ears free agents. These vets can keep the chains moving and often excel against an opponent’s second and third-tier defense.

New coaches and schemes

The preseason is summer school for many NFL teams transitioning their playbook, whether that be with a new head coach, coordinator or just an overall flip in the way they do things.

New head coaches aren’t necessarily a red flag. They can often feel a little pressured to win in the preseason in order to impress the front office and fan base, which can give some teams added betting value. New coordinators, on the other hand, are working in different plays and schemes, which usually come with a learning curve.

Read up on how teams are adjusting to new systems and offenses, especially if there is a dramatic shift in gears, like speeding up with no-huddle attacks or going from a 4-3 defense to a 3-4. When these teams take on established coaches, who have implemented their systems for a while, there can be value going against those new faces on the sideline.

Preseason lines

Come the regular season, the infamous 3-point spread is everywhere. And while a field-goal line is a key number in football betting, it loses some of its stature in the preseason.

Teams are more likely to go for a two-point conversion or try their luck on fourth-and-short in the preseason than play it safe. Not only do the games not matter, but a fourth down gamble or two-point attempt is an extra set for the offense as it works toward the regular season.

Depending on how those rolls of the dice play out, the final score can either be closer than three points or well over it. It’s rare to see a preseason spread of more than three points with most bouncing between 1-2.5 points.

Week to week

For those looking to bet the closest facsimile of Week 1 action during the preseason, you may want to pass on the first two weeks of exhibitions and save your marbles for Week 3. That’s when starting players tend to log the most time, working the majority of the first half and sometimes into the third quarter.

Week 1 and 2 often has first teams playing limited snaps – depending on the team’s situation – and Week 4 is pretty much a craps shoot. Coaches are making their final cuts, players are fighting to stay on the roster, and the coordinators are tightening the final nuts and bolts of their playbooks.

For those bettors who like a challenge, Week 4 of the preseason could be the trickiest week of the entire NFL schedule – preseason, regular season and playoffs – to wager on.

**Udog** · 08-13-2015, 08:23 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, August 13

National League
Rockies @ Mets
Butler is 1-4, 7.86 in his last five starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Syndergaard is 4-0, 1.13 in his last four home starts; under is 4-1 in his last five starts at Citi Field.

Colorado lost last seven games with the Mets (got shut out in four of last five); home side won 12 of last 13 in series, with last seven staying under. Rockies lost four of last five overall; four of those five stayed under total. Mets won 11 of last 13 games, with last thee staying under.

Brewers @ Cubs
Cravy is 0-3, 5.00 in his three starts (under 3-0); Brewers were shut out in two of those three games.

Lester is 3-0, 1.84 in his last four starts; under is 8-1-1 in his last ten.

Milwaukee lost last six games with the Cubs (under 5-1-1 in last seven); they lost four of last five games (over 4-3 in last seven). Chicago won 12 of its last 13 games; five of last seven went over the total.

Pirates @ Cardinals
Liriano is 2-0, 4.29 in his last four starts (over 4-0).

Lynn is 3-1, 2.32 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1).

Cards won six of last seven games; under is 7-1-1 in their last nine. Home side won seven of last eight series games. Pirates won five of last eight games with St Louis but lost last two; over is 5-3-1 in last nine in series. Pittsburgh won four of last six games (over 4-1-1).

Reds @ Dodgers
Sampson is 1-1, 327 in his two starts (under 1-1).

Former Red Latos is 0-2, 5.63 in his last three starts (under 5-3 in last eight).

Cincinnati is 6-4 in its last ten games with the Dodgers; four of last five went under the total. Reds lost six of last eight games; nine of last 11 stayed under total. Dodgers lost four of last six games; five of their last seven games went over.

Nationals @ Giants
Strasburg is 3-0, 1.19 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Vogelsong is 0-2, 5.49 in his last four starts (over 3-1).

Washington won four of last five games with the Giants; six of last seven in series stayed under total. Nationals lost three of last four games, and got shut out last two nights (Greinke/Kershaw); over is 7-3 in their last ten games. San Francisco lost five of last six games; their last three stayed under.

American League
A's @ Blue Jays
Gray is 2-0, 1.13 in his last four starts; under is 6-0-1 in his last seven.

Buehrle is 3-0, 3.48 in his last five starts; last four all went over.

Blue Jays won last ten games, outscoring foes 56-20; four of last five stayed under the total. Oakland lost last two nights 4-2/10-3; under is 9-2-1 in last 12 series games- home team won ten of the twelve.

Bronx @ Indians
Eovaldi is 3-0, 3.23 in his last five starts (under 5-3 in last eight).

Bauer is 1-1, 2.86 in his last three starts; six of his last eight stayed under.

Bronx lost five of last six games with Cleveland, five of last eight series tilts went over. New York lost six of last seven games, scoring nine runs (six of seven stayed under). Indians are 5-2 in last seven games; three of last five went over.

Angels @ Royals
Richards is 1-3, 4.55 in his last four starts; under is 6-4 in his last ten.

Guthrie is 1-2, 8.22 in his last four starts; four of his last five went over.

Royals won their last seven games with the Angels; three of last four went over the total. KC won five of its last six games overall; Halos lost four of last five overall (under 5-3 in last eight). Angels played 13 innings in Chicago late last night, couldn't have gotten much sleep last night.

Rangers @ Twins
Gonzalez is 0-3, 10.13 in his last three starts, last of which was July 3; five of his seven starts stayed under.

Santana is 0-3, 12.21 in his last three starts.

Texas lost last three games vs Minnesota; six of last eight stayed under the total. Rangers lost four of last five games. Twins are 3-2 in last five games; six of their last seven went over the total.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Col-NY-- Butler 6-9; Syndergaard 8-8
Mil-Chi-- Cravy 0-3; Lester 12-10
Pitt-StL-- Liriano 11-10; Lynn 13-8
Cin-LA-- Sampson 1-1; Latos 7-11, 1-1
Wsh-SF-- Strasburg 13-10; Vogelsong 9-8

A's-Tor--Gray 15-8; Buehrle 13-9
NY-Clev-- Eovaldi 14-8; Bauer 10-12
LA-KC-- Richards 12-9; Guthrie 13-8
Tex-Min-- Gonzalez 3-4; Santana 3-4

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Col-NY-- Butler 8-16; Syndergaard 5-16
Mil-Chi-- Cravy 0-3; Lester 7-23
Pitt-StL-- Liriano 3-22; Lynn 7-21
Cin-LA-- Sampson 1-2; Latos 7-18
Wsh-SF-- Strasburg 4-23; Vogelsong 4-17

A's-Tor--Gray 4-23; Buehrle 12-22
NY-Clev-- Eovaldi 8-22; Bauer 4-22
LA-KC-- Richards 3-21; Guthrie 4-21
Tex-Min-- Gonzalez 1-7; Santana 1-7

**Udog** · 08-13-2015, 08:23 AM

MLB

Thursday, August 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:10 PM
COLORADO vs. NY METS
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
NY Mets are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Colorado

12:37 PM
OAKLAND vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oakland's last 13 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

1:10 PM
TEXAS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas's last 14 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Texas

2:20 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHI CUBS
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

7:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

8:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. KANSAS CITY
LA Angels are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Kansas City
LA Angels are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 11 games at home
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

10:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. LA DODGERS
Cincinnati is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

10:15 PM
WASHINGTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 08-13-2015, 08:23 AM

MLB

Thursday, August 13

Lester has been a boon for under plays

Jon Lester has led the Chicago Cubs to a 3-12-1 over/under record in his past 16 starts. Through those 16 starts, Lester has only given up an average of 5.6 runs per game and 2.1 runs.

On the season as a whole, the Cubs are 6-14 O/U in Lester's starts. That is the third most number of unders this season out of all of the starting pitchers.

Lester and the Cubs will host the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday.

Day games have been where Sonny Gray shines

Sonny Gray can roll out of bed and pitch a marvel it seems, with the right-hander playing phenomenally during day games this season. In eight day starts, Gray has a 5-1 record with a 0.97 ERA while opponents are only hitting .178.

Through those eight games, two of which were complete games, Gray has surrendered six earned runs over 55.2 innings.

Gray takes to the mound for the A's when they visit the Jays Thursday.

Syndergaard has been unhittable during the day

Noah Syndergaard has been downright dominant when it comes to pitching in day games this season. Through three early starts this season, Syndegaard is 2-0 with a 0.98 ERA.

The rookie hurler has only surrendered 14 hits and two earned runs through 18.1 innings pitched during those day starts.

Syndergaard, who is coming off one of his worse outings of the season, will take to the mound for the Mets Thursday when they host the Colorado Rockies.

**Udog** · 08-13-2015, 09:34 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, August 13

Colorado @ NY Mets

Game 951-952
August 13, 2015 @ 12:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Butler) 14.830
NY Mets
(Syndrgrd) 16.453
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-270
7
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-270); Under

Milwaukee @ Chicago Cubs

Game 953-954
August 13, 2015 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Cravy) 14.866
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 16.368
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
9 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-230
No Run Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-230); N/A

Pittsburgh @ St. Louis

Game 955-956
August 13, 2015 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Liriano) 14.624
St. Louis
(Lynn) 17.070
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-115
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-115); Under

Cincinnati @ LA Dodgers

Game 957-958
August 13, 2015 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Sampson) 12.110
LA Dodgers
(Latos) 16.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 4
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-190
7
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-190); Over

Washington @ San Francisco

Game 959-960
August 13, 2015 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Strasburg) 13.258
San Francisco
(Vogelsong) 17.075
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 4
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-125
7
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+105); Under

Oakland @ Toronto

Game 961-962
August 13, 2015 @ 12:37 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Gray) 16.740
Toronto
(Buehrle) 15.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-155
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+135); Under

Texas @ Minnesota

Game 963-964
August 13, 2015 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Gonzalez) 15.519
Minnesota
(Santana) 14.487
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
10 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+115); Over

NY Yankees @ Cleveland

Game 965-966
August 13, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Eovaldi) 14.244
Cleveland
(Bauer) 18.068
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 4
9 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+100); Over

LA Angels @ Kansas City

Game 967-968
August 13, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Richards) 16.130
Kansas City
(Guthrie) 14.721
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-115); Over

**Udog** · 08-13-2015, 10:03 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (47 - 65) at NY METS (62 - 52) - 12:10 PM
EDDIE BUTLER (R) vs. NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 113-161 (-39.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 43-96 (-39.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 113-161 (-39.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 25-62 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 17-49 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 6-27 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 62-52 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 41-18 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 28-14 (+11.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
NY METS are 24-11 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 61-48 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 33-14 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 37-24 (+11.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY METS are 24-9 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY METS are 37-17 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 22-18 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
COLORADO is 42-45 (+3.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

EDDIE BUTLER vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

NOAH SYNDERGAARD vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (48 - 67) at CHICAGO CUBS (64 - 48) - 2:20 PM
TYLER CRAVY (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 48-67 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 61-88 (-32.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 48-67 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 26-40 (-14.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 64-48 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-15 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 64-48 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LESTER is 42-11 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 777-750 (-165.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 366-348 (-85.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 52-72 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1066-1192 (-210.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 677-775 (-197.6 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 82-86 (-31.7 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 711-708 (-159.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 212-183 (-46.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 8-4 (+2.6 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.6 Units)

TYLER CRAVY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

JON LESTER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LESTER is 1-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.02 and a WHIP of 0.985.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (65 - 46) at ST LOUIS (73 - 40) - 7:15 PM
FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 20-29 (-14.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 258-494 (-106.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 112-248 (-75.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 73-40 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 42-16 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 63-30 (+21.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 32-17 (+11.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 73-40 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 51-28 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 47-26 (+14.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 32-17 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 20-6 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 65-46 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 65-46 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 108-78 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 53-37 (+10.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 7-5 (+2.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LIRIANO is 4-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.47 and a WHIP of 1.004.
His team's record is 8-4 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.3 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LYNN is 5-5 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.08 and a WHIP of 1.472.
His team's record is 9-7 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-10. (-5.2 units)

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CINCINNATI (50 - 62) at LA DODGERS (64 - 50) - 10:10 PM
KEYVIUS SAMPSON (R) vs. MAT LATOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 50-62 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 55-85 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 50-62 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 103-113 (-28.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 516-586 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 64-50 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 32-29 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
LA DODGERS are 64-50 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 46-38 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 34-31 (-13.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KEYVIUS SAMPSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

MAT LATOS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LATOS is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.650.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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WASHINGTON (58 - 55) at SAN FRANCISCO (60 - 53) - 10:15 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
STRASBURG is 3-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.221.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+3.0 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
VOGELSONG is 1-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 6.12 and a WHIP of 1.639.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

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OAKLAND (51 - 64) at TORONTO (63 - 52) - 12:35 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. MARK BUEHRLE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 51-64 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 3-13 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 50-52 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 10-20 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 29-43 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 27-35 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 31-15 (+15.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
BUEHRLE is 34-20 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 166-86 (+53.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 33-16 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 20-10 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 19-7 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

SONNY GRAY vs. TORONTO since 1997
GRAY is 1-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
BUEHRLE is 9-14 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.295.
His team's record is 10-19 (-10.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 18-8. (+9.2 units)

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TEXAS (55 - 57) at MINNESOTA (57 - 56) - 1:10 PM
CHI CHI GONZALEZ (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

CHI CHI GONZALEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

ERVIN SANTANA vs. TEXAS since 1997
SANTANA is 13-11 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.60 and a WHIP of 1.398.
His team's record is 15-14 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 17-10. (+6.5 units)

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NY YANKEES (61 - 51) at CLEVELAND (53 - 59) - 7:10 PM
NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 67-68 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 22-9 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
EOVALDI is 12-3 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 53-59 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-33 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 49-59 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 34-37 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 23-29 (-13.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 26-31 (-9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
EOVALDI is 0-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BAUER is 1-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.441.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

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LA ANGELS (59 - 54) at KANSAS CITY (68 - 45) - 8:10 PM
GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 2-10 (-9.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 68-45 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 39-19 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 67-42 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 45-31 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 46-26 (+18.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 26-16 (+10.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 77-61 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 57-43 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GUTHRIE is 34-22 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 34-21 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 37-25 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 157-121 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 773-759 (+62.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 648-640 (+54.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 123-88 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-0 (+3.5 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
RICHARDS is 0-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GUTHRIE is 4-5 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.043.
His team's record is 6-7 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-9. (-5.5 units)

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**Udog** · 08-13-2015, 12:44 PM

MLB

Thursday, August 13

Pitcher change - A's Sonny Gray scratched

Toronto vs. Oakland on August 13 at 12:37 PM. New starter: Jesse Chavez, Oakland.

Sonny Gray reportedly is suffering from back spasms and will miss Thursday's start vs. the Blue Jays.

Eovaldi tasked with snapping Yankees' drought

Nathan Eovaldi (11-2, 13-9 O/U) will be on the bump as the New York Yankees look to snap a five-game losing skid when they visit the Cleveland Indians Thursday evening.

The Yankees have lost the first two games of the series with the Tribe after being swept in a three-game set against the now-AL East leading Toronto Blue Jays.

Eovaldi has meant wins for the Bronx Bombers recently, however, as the the club has gone 4-1 in his past five starts - the lone loss coming against the Jays in his last outing.

The Yankees led the division by seven games on July 28 but fell a half-game behind the Toronto Blue Jays following Wednesday's 2-1 loss.

Outbound wind at Wrigley, total hits the board

According to weather forecasts, wind looks like it will be blowing out to center field at around 13 miles per hour at Wrigley Field when the Chicago Cubs host the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday afternoon.

The total for this NL Central battle has hit the board with books offshore and in Las Vegas opening with an 8.5.

Jon Lester is expected to get the start for the Cubs (-220) while Tyler Cravy is slated to start for the Brewers (+201).

Home teams not perfect, but still have strong showing

A day after home teams went a perfect 15-0 for the first time in baseball history and while Wednesday wasn't perfect, they kept the trend hot going 11-4.

That makes home teams 26-4 in the past two days, good for a success rate of 86.67 percent. The Phillies, Reds, Astros and Tigers were the only four road teams to notch wins yesterday.

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/13

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/13

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