The Bum's Sports Page For Thursday July 30th Best Bets-Trends-News !

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 30

National League
Padres @ Mets
Cashner is 2-1, 2.27 in his last five starts (under 2-0-1 in last three).

Niese is 1-1, 4.67 in his last three starts; five of his last seven stayed under.

Padres won five of last seven games with New York; four of last five series games went over total. San Diego is 8-4 in last 12 games; five of their last six stayed under the total. Mets won three of their last four games.

Nationals @ Marlins
Scherzer is 1-2, 4.81 in his last four starts; seven of his last nine went under the total.

Haren is 1-1, 4.25 in his last five starts; six of his last nine stayed under.

Washington lost five of last eight games with Miami; five of last seven in series went over total. Nationals lost seven of last 11 games; over is 6-2-1 in the last nine . Marlins won seven of their last nine at home.

Braves @ Phillies
Miller is 0-5, 4.04 in his last seven starts; his last four all stayed under.

Harang is 0-8, 7.33 in his last eight starts; five of his last six went over.

Braves/Phillies both dumped starting pitchers last night. Atlanta won four of last five series games; over is 4-2-1 in last seven. Braves lost six of last seven games overalll (under 6-1). Phillies won eight of their last ten games.

Pirates @ Reds
Burnett is 1-1, 7.00 in his last three starts; five of his last six went over.

Holmberg is making first '15 start; he is 7-6, 4.40 in 17 AAA starts this year, and is 2-2, 5.08 in six MLB starts over the last 2+ years.

Cincinnati lost four of last seven games; four of its last five stayed under. Pittsburgh won five of last six games, scoring 18 runs in last two; five of their last six went over the total. Reds won eight of last ten series games; last four went over.

Rockies @ Cardinals
Rusin is 0-2, 6.14 in his last five starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Martinez is 4-0, 1.29 in his last five starts; his last four stayed under.

Colorado lost five of last seven games with St Louis; three of last four stayed under total. Rockies are 3-5 in last eight games; three of their last four went over total. Cardinals lost Holliday (quad) last night; they lost three of last four games, got blanked last two games- under is 7-0-1 in their last eight.

Cubs @ Brewers
Arrieta is 4-1, 1.72 in his last five starts; his last three stayed under.

Nelson is 5-1, 3.46 in his last six starts.

Cubs lost four of last five games with Milwaukee; six of last eight in seris stayed under total. Chicago lost four of last six games; three of rheir last four went over. Brewers lost six of last eight games; under is 5-0-1 in last six.

American League
Tigers @ Orioles
Simon is 2-3, 9.17 in his last seven starts, five of which went over.
Gonzalez is 3-1, 3.80 in his last four starts; five of his last six went over.
Detroit lost 11 of its last 16 games; five of its last seven games stayed under total. Tigers lost five of last six games with Baltimore; over is 5-2 last seven series games. Orioles won five in a row, allowing seven runs (under is 4-1-1 in their last six games).

White Sox @ Red Sox
Sale is 3-1, 2.41 in his last five starts (under is 3-1-1 in last five).

Wright is 0-3, 7.29 in his last four starts; four of his last five went over.

White Sox won their last seven games; they won last three games with Red Sox, which lost 11 of last 13 games overall-- over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Five of last six series games went over the total.

Royals @ Blue Jays
Duffy is 2-0, 1.37 in his last four starts; his last five stayed under.

Escobar is 2-3, 4.50 in his last five starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Royals won eight of last 12 games overall (under 6-2-1 last nine); KC is 6-4 in its last ten games with Toronto. Blue Jays are 3-4 in last seven games; four of their last five games went over.

Bronx @ Rangers
Pineda is 0-2, 6.94 in his last two starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Gallardo is 0-3, 6.52 in his last four starts; six of his last eight stayed under.

Bronx won ten of last 13 games (five of last seven went over); they lost five of last seven games with Texas, allowing 45 runs (under 9-4 in last 13). Rangers lost three of last four games, outscored 42-19 (over 7-4 in last eleven).

Angels @ Astros
Shoemaker is 1-1, 2.08 in his last three starts; under is 3-0-1 in his last four.

Kazmir tossed seven shutout innings in his Houston debut; he is 2-0, 0.68 in his last four starts-- five of his last six stayed under.

Halos lost five of last six games overall; nine of their last eleven away games went over total. Astros won seven of last nine games; four of their last seven stayed under total. Angels split last six games with Houston; seven of last 11 series games stayed under. Trout missed the last two nights (wrist).

Mariners @ Twins
Happ is 0-0, 7.11 in his last three starts; five of his last seven went over.

Hughes is 5-0, 2.44 in his last seven starts (over 4-2-1).

Seattle lost five of last six game with Minnesota; five of last seven in series stayed under total. Mariners lost last three games, allowing 20 runs; over is 4-1-1 in their last six. Twins lost last four games,, allowing 33 runs; their last five games all went over the total.

Indians @ A's
Carrasco is 0-2, 6.00 in his last four starts; his last six went over.

Bassitt is 0-3, 2.74 in his four starts (under 3-1); Oakland scored eight runs in the four games. .

Indians lost last six games, outscored 37-10; seven of their last ten games went over. Tribe lost five of last six games with Oakland; five of last six in series went over total. Oakland lost five of last six games (three of last four stayed under).

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Wsh-Mia-- Scherzer 11-9; Haren 10-10
SD-NY-- Cashner 7-12; Niese 7-12
Atl-Phil-- Miller 9-11; Harang 5-12
Pitt-Cin-- Burnett 12-8; Holmberg 0-0
Colo-StL-- Rusin 2-7; Martinez 15-3
Chi-Mil-- Arrieta 12-8; Nelson 9-11

KC-Tor-- Duffy 9-5; Estrada 7-8
Det-Balt-- Simon 11-8; Gonzalez 11-7
Chi-Bos-- Sale 12-7; Wright 1-5
NY-Tex-- Pineda 11-8; Gallardo 10-11
LA-Hst-- Shoemaker 9-8; Kazmir 9-10 (1-0 Hst)
Sea-Minn-- Happ 7-12; Hughes 11-9
Clev-A's-- Carrasco 11-9; Bassitt 1-3

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Wsh-Mia-- Scherzer 3-20; Haren 2-20
SD-NY-- Cashner 4-20; Niese 7-19
Atl-Phil-- Miller 3-20; Harang 6-17
Pitt-Cin-- Burnett 4-20; Holmberg 0-0
Colo-StL-- Rusin 3-9; Martinez 2-18
Chi-Mil-- Arrieta 4-20; Nelson 7-20

KC-Tor-- Duffy 2-14; Estrada 2-15
Det-Balt-- Simon 3-19; Gonzalez 3-18
Chi-Bos-- Sale 6-19; Wright 2-6
NY-Tex-- Pineda 7-19; Gallardo 7-21
LA-Hst-- Shoemaker 4-17; Kazmir 3-19
Sea-Minn-- Happ 7-19; Hughes 5-20
Clev-A's-- Carrasco 10-20; Bassitt 0-4

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Thursday, July 30

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Trend Report
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12:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Washington

12:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. NY METS
San Diego is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing San Diego
NY Mets are 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego

7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Detroit's last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

7:07 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

7:15 PM
COLORADO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Colorado's last 18 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado

8:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing on the road against Texas
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
Texas is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Texas's last 15 games when playing NY Yankees

8:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. MINNESOTA
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. MILWAUKEE
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. HOUSTON
LA Angels are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Houston is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels

10:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games
Cleveland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Oakland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Thursday, July 30

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Why baseball bettors should pay attention to heat and humidity
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Pitching matchups, home field advantage, current form. These are the types of angles that even the most novice of baseball bettors consider before walking to the window to plunk down a chunk of cash with the hopes of a profitable return.

However, as the gambler’s level of sophistication increases, so too does his or her attention to detail when it comes to handicapping the matchup in question. Ballpark factors are integral in evaluating totals, while lefty/righty splits, line movements and situational analysis serve as important tools in gaining an edge when working to identify a potential winning wager.

You’ll sometimes encounter the phrase, “Paralysis by over analysis,” which simply implies that one can suffer adverse consequences from too much research. But one important key for all bettors, no matter the sport, should be to invest as much time in studying the game as much as possible, as long as that time is dedicated to sifting through the information that truly matters. The color of the road team’s jerseys means nothing.

Additionally, a piece of information such as, “The Chicago Bears are 0-7 ATS on Monday night football over the last 20 years,” could, on its face, appear to serve as a valuable slice of intel…right up until you realize that the Bears haven’t played on Monday night in 15 years. What does Chicago’s roster from 2002 have to do with Chicago’s roster in 2015?

That’s preciously where we come into play.

Today’s lesson/science experiment (gasp!) focuses on the influence weather, specifically heat and humidity, has on a baseball. We all know that centerfield gusts at Wrigley Field will lead to a longer ball flight, just as the higher elevation in Denver will also aid in carrying a baseball further through the air.

But what about heat and humidity and how these two weather factors affect a ball’s flight and trajectory?

The answer is relatively simple to regurgitate from any seventh grade science book: As air warms, it expands, which in turn lowers the air’s density while paving the way for a baseball to travel longer distances. The same can be said as it relates to humidity, as air with a higher dew point is less dense, meaning baseballs will travel further in higher humidity if all other factors are considered equal.

Simply put, the higher the temperature and/or humidity, the farther a baseball will travel. The good news here is that you don’t need to invest in meteorology lessons in order to improve your skills as a baseball bettor, as websites like Weather.com, AccuWeather.com and Baseball-Weather.com, among others, have all the information you need at just the few clicks of a mouse.

As we transition from rudimentary science back to gambling (hoorah!), the first element to consider is the fact that of the 30 ballparks that comprise Major League Baseball locales, one (Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida) is a fixed roof dome stadium while six others (Chase Field in Phoenix, Marlins Park in Miami, Miller Park in Milwaukee, Minute Maid Park in Houston, Rogers Centre in Toronto and Safeco Field in Seattle) feature retractable roofs. That means when the temperatures and humidity get too high in any of these seven cities, the likelihood is great that the game will be played indoors and away from the elements, which leaves us with 23 stadiums left to evaluate.

The next item on our checklist is to create an adequate sample size, but one that attempts to eliminate the “Steroid era” in Major League Baseball, as run production was at an all-time high during this period of time, which was vastly different than what we watch on television today. So with that in mind, we’ll use 2010 through the end of last week as our sample size.

Using the above parameters, here’s what we discovered:

WHEN TEMPERAUTRES RANGE FROM 95-99 DEGREES

Home teams: 86-63 (.577)
Total runs scored per game: 9.9

WHEN TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM 100-104 DEGREES

Home teams: 36-23 (.610)
Total runs scored per game: 10.2

WHEN TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM 105 DEGREES AND UP

Home teams: 5-3 (.625)
Total runs scored per game: 11.5

A cursory first glance at this data would likely indicate that home teams tend to fair better and produce more profitable results when playing in hotter weather. However, when you factor in the juice that is associated with most of these home favorites, the profit margins quickly decrease. So employing the simple strategy of backing home teams in hot weather is not something that we would advise.

However, it is absolutely worth noting the total number of runs produced in games with hotter temperatures. Compare what you see above to the average number of runs scored per game during this time frame:

2010: 8.76 runs/game
2011: 8.56 runs/game
2012: 8.65 runs/game
2013: 8.33 runs/game
2014: 8.13 runs/game

Combine those five years and you get an average of just 8.48 runs per game, which is a full three runs shy of the average runs scored in games with temperatures of 105 degrees or higher during the same time span. Additionally, you’ll note that games in the range of 95-99 degrees produce an average of 1.5 more runs per game while matchups in the range of 100-104 degrees produce an average of 1.74 more runs per outing.

As Stephen Hawking once famously said, “Science is not only a disciple of reason, but also one of romance and passion.”

In this instance it appears as if we are able to take our romance and passion surrounding baseball wagering and, combined with a science lesson in weather, determine yet another significant angle to consider when attempting to defeat the sports books.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 30

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WASHINGTON (53 - 46) at MIAMI (42 - 59) - 12:10 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. DAN HAREN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 8-14 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 50-39 (+17.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 364-414 (+44.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SCHERZER is 32-9 (+18.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 23-6 (+16.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 42-59 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 42-56 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 32-46 (-13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 21-37 (-14.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HAREN is 186-184 (-40.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 65-82 (-40.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 173-177 (-46.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-3 (+3.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.2 Units)



MAX SCHERZER vs. MIAMI since 1997
SCHERZER is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.54 and a WHIP of 1.385.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)



DAN HAREN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HAREN is 4-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.14 and a WHIP of 0.907.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.5 units)




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SAN DIEGO (48 - 53) at NY METS (52 - 49) - 12:10 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. JON NIESE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 17-38 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 131-132 (+5.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 35-17 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 42-33 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 24-9 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 35-17 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 30-13 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 21-8 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY METS are 30-14 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NIESE is 11-2 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)



ANDREW CASHNER vs. NY METS since 1997
CASHNER is 0-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 7.59 and a WHIP of 1.968.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.5 units)



JON NIESE vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
NIESE is 3-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.04 and a WHIP of 0.934.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)




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ATLANTA (46 - 55) at PHILADELPHIA (38 - 64) - 7:05 PM
SHELBY MILLER (R) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-4 (+0.3 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)



SHELBY MILLER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
MILLER is 3-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 0.975.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.2 units)



AARON HARANG vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HARANG is 3-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.344.
His team's record is 7-6 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.5 units)




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PITTSBURGH (59 - 41) at CINCINNATI (45 - 54) - 7:10 PM
JEFF LOCKE (L) vs. DAVID HOLMBERG (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 7-2 (+7.2 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.3 Units)



JEFF LOCKE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LOCKE is 2-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.404.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.4 units)



DAVID HOLMBERG vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.




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COLORADO (43 - 56) at ST LOUIS (64 - 37) - 7:15 PM
CHRIS RUSIN (L) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 109-152 (-37.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 40-89 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 211-285 (-81.6 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 109-152 (-37.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 65-106 (-38.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 28-67 (-32.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 23-58 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 14-42 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 3-20 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 64-37 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 37-15 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 64-37 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 44-26 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 118-67 (+38.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
MARTINEZ is 15-3 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
MARTINEZ is 15-3 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-1 (+1.4 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)



CHRIS RUSIN vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
RUSIN is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)



CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
MARTINEZ is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)




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CHICAGO CUBS (53 - 47) at MILWAUKEE (44 - 58) - 8:10 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. JIMMY NELSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1440-1600 (-283.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1383-1513 (-258.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1056-1192 (-220.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 78-115 (-35.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-25 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 13-5 (+9.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 35-25 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 44-58 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-29 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 68-88 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 44-58 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-49 (-17.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 61-75 (-20.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-2 (+3.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)



JAKE ARRIETA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ARRIETA is 2-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.22 and a WHIP of 0.991.
His team's record is 2-4 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+3.8 units)



JIMMY NELSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
NELSON is 0-3 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.63 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)




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KANSAS CITY (61 - 39) at TORONTO (51 - 51) - 7:05 PM
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 36-17 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 61-39 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 27-17 (+12.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 27-21 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 40-27 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 43-22 (+19.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 23-13 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TORONTO is 21-29 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)



DANNY DUFFY vs. TORONTO since 1997
DUFFY is 1-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.52 and a WHIP of 1.977.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)



MARCO ESTRADA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
ESTRADA is 0-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.499.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DETROIT (49 - 52) at BALTIMORE (51 - 49) - 7:05 PM
ALFREDO SIMON (R) vs. MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 139-127 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 229-194 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 24-35 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 34-43 (-11.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 151-119 (+35.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 32-19 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 32-18 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 31-18 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 103-73 (+32.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 112-89 (+26.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 14-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 83-66 (+17.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 25-14 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BALTIMORE is 27-11 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GONZALEZ is 16-6 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 42-30 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SIMON is 31-21 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SIMON is 31-21 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SIMON is 18-5 (+15.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 21-32 (-15.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)



ALFREDO SIMON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.



MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
GONZALEZ is 1-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 7.65 and a WHIP of 1.950.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHI WHITE SOX (49 - 50) at BOSTON (44 - 58) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. STEVEN WRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-8 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-25 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 542-572 (+39.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 378-375 (+40.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 113-91 (+34.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 15-9 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 7-0 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 44-58 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 20-30 (-16.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BOSTON is 24-27 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 31-36 (-15.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 8-15 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
BOSTON is 37-52 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 29-39 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 9-17 (-10.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 32-41 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-17 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 46-55 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 3-0 (+3.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)



CHRIS SALE vs. BOSTON since 1997
SALE is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.23 and a WHIP of 0.545.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)



STEVEN WRIGHT vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NY YANKEES (57 - 43) at TEXAS (48 - 52) - 8:05 PM
MICHAEL PINEDA (R) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 48-52 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 45-48 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 37-35 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 32-29 (+11.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 27-18 (+19.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY YANKEES are 57-43 (+4.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 21-8 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 52-38 (+5.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 36-64 (-27.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 15-31 (-14.0 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 17-28 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TEXAS is 24-53 (-30.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 14-34 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 16-34 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GALLARDO is 7-17 (-11.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 4-2 (+4.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)



MICHAEL PINEDA vs. TEXAS since 1997
PINEDA is 0-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.04 and a WHIP of 1.160.
His team's record is 0-4 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)



YOVANI GALLARDO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GALLARDO is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.114.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LA ANGELS (55 - 45) at HOUSTON (57 - 45) - 8:10 PM
MATT SHOEMAKER (R) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 5-24 (-17.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 57-45 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 35-17 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 26-17 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 57-39 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 39-28 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 36-24 (+12.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 33-23 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 15-6 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KAZMIR is 25-4 (+18.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 153-112 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 773-752 (+69.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 144-107 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 44-30 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SHOEMAKER is 25-13 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHOEMAKER is 15-2 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHOEMAKER is 6-0 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SHOEMAKER is 23-10 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-5 (+2.1 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)



MATT SHOEMAKER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SHOEMAKER is 1-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 8.00 and a WHIP of 1.889.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)



SCOTT KAZMIR vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
KAZMIR is 3-5 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.42 and a WHIP of 1.574.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.5 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEATTLE (46 - 56) at MINNESOTA (52 - 48) - 8:10 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. PHIL HUGHES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 46-56 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 147-186 (-53.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 41-55 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 32-37 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 35-40 (-10.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 20-27 (-9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 52-48 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 32-20 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 52-48 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 27-25 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 26-21 (+10.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 21-14 (+11.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 31-19 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HUGHES is 31-21 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUGHES is 30-21 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUGHES is 17-11 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUGHES is 14-3 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 70-60 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 85-105 (-38.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 (+1.8 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)



J.A. HAPP vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
HAPP is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.820.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)



PHIL HUGHES vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HUGHES is 5-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.255.
His team's record is 6-4 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.2 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CLEVELAND (46 - 54) at OAKLAND (45 - 57) - 10:05 PM
CARLOS CARRASCO (R) vs. CHRIS BASSITT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 46-54 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 42-54 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 28-34 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 18-27 (-16.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 18-23 (-13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CLEVELAND is 66-31 (+25.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 45-57 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 35-48 (-24.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 21-29 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 24-26 (-13.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 43-55 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 86-81 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 15-19 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 17-25 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OAKLAND is 21-21 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-1 (+1.7 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)



CARLOS CARRASCO vs. OAKLAND since 1997
CARRASCO is 0-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)



CHRIS BASSITT vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BASSITT is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.264.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Thursday, July 30


Wind out to centerfield at Citi Field Thursday

According to weather forecasts, wind will blow out directly to centerfield at around 13 miles per hour when the New York Mets host the San Diego Padres at Citi Field Thursday afternoon.

Furthermore, there is a small chance of thunderstorms taking place in the later stages of the ball game.

Andrew Cashner is scheduled to start for the Friars (+108) with Jon Niese expected to pitch for the Mets (-117). Books have a total of 7 on the board.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 6


BC Lions@Winnipeg

Game 321-322
July 30, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
113.827
Winnipeg
118.409

Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 4 1/2
45

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 5
49 1/2

Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+5); Under


Saskatchewan@Edmonton

Game 323-324
July 31, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
114.778
Edmonton
113.427

Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 1 1/2
46

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 10
49 1/2

Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(+10);
Under


Montreal@Calgary

Game 325-326
August 1, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
113.367
Calgary
114.805

Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
54

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 4 1/2
47 1/2

Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+4 1/2); Over


Toronto@Hamilton

Game 327-328
August 3, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
110.784
Hamilton
112.684

Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 2
59

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 4 1/2
55

Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+4 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 2) at WINNIPEG (2 - 3) - 7/30/2015, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, July 31

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SASKATCHEWAN (0 - 5) at EDMONTON (3 - 1) - 7/31/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 115-81 ATS (+25.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in July games since 1996.
EDMONTON is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 6-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-4 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL

Week 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, July 30

8:30 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games
British Columbia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing British Columbia
Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

Friday, July 31

9:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. EDMONTON
Saskatchewan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 gamesSaskatchewan is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home

Saturday, August 1

7:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. CALGARY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Calgary is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Montreal

Monday, August 3

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Hamilton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

CFL

Thursday, July 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the day: Lions at Blue Bombers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

B.C. Lions at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+4.5, 49.5)

The BC Lions look to shake off a disappointing Week 5 loss when they travel to Winnipeg to face the Blue Bombers on Thursday. The Lions let a 21-point lead slip away against the Toronto Argonauts before eventually falling 30-27, and missed an opportunity to grab a share of the West Division lead along with the Edmonton Eskimos.

On the bright side for BC, running back Andrew Harris is back to his pre-injury best after scoring three touchdowns against the Argos and hopes to lead the Lions to their fourth straight win over the Blue Bombers. Winnipeg is left to pick up the pieces after falling apart in the 32-3 loss to the Eskimos on Saturday. The Blue Bombers were outscored 28-0 in the second half, and to make matters worse, star quarterback Drew Willy was forced out of the game midway through the third quarter with a knee injury and his status for Thursday is unknown. Winnipeg has dropped three consecutive home games to BC, including a 28-23 loss last year, and hasn't beaten the Lions at Investors Group Field since July 28, 2011.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN2

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Lions as 5-point road faves but that has since moved to -4.5. The total opened at 50 and is down to 49.5.

INJURY REPORT: Lions - G Cody Husband (Questionable, undisclosed), DB Ryan Phillips (Questionable, hamstring), LB Jason Arakgi (Questionable, hamstring). Blue Bombers - QB Drew Willy (Probable, knee), DT Bryant Turner, Jr. (Questionable, hand).

ABOUT THE LIONS (2-2 SU, 0-2-1 ATS, 2-1 O/U): Travis Lulay started off 13-of-17 with one touchdown pass in the first half before slowing down considerably in the last two quarters to finish 18-for-32 for 165 yards and an interception while Harris accumulated 129 total yards against the Argonauts. "We let that one get away from us," Harris told reporters. "It just seemed like we stopped making plays." BC defensive back Ronnie Yell suffered a suspected MCL sprain in the fourth quarter and will miss Thursday's game.

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U): Willy was 7-of-17 for 81 yards before he was knocked out of the game and backup Brian Brohm fared no better by going 9-of-19 for 71 yards and two interceptions. "I have to make it my mission to play better," Brohm told reporters. "I need to go in, watch the film and get better and be ready to go." Wide receiver Nic Moore suffered a lower-body injury just before halftime while offensive lineman Devin Tyler and specials teams ace Graig Newman also exited the game with injuries and face a race against the clock to recover in time for Thursday.

TRENDS:

* Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings.
* Lions are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Winnipeg.
* Lions are 0-5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Under is 5-2 in Blue Bombers last seven games in July.

CONSENSUS: This is split down the middle with 50 percent on each side.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL

Thursday, July 30


Underdogs still crushing it north of the border

Another week of Canadian Football league action is in the books and we hope you've been paying attention, because underdogs have been crushing it for their backers this season.

In Week 5 underdogs went a solid 3-1 against the spread to put their overall record at a ridiculous 15-3-1 ATS for the season. That's good for an insanely high cash rate of 83.33 percent.

Additionally, not only have underdogs been cashing, they have been doing so with ease. In the 15 games dogs have covered they have done so be an average of 9.57 points per game.

An interesting tidbit is that the Edmonton Eskimos are the only team to cover as a favorite this season, going 3-0 ATS in the last three weeks, laying points in each.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 6

July 27, 2015

Betting Recap Week 5

Week 6 In a CFL season that has been filled with upsets through the first five weeks of action, Ottawa may have pulled-off the biggest one of the year so far with last Friday’s thrilling 29-26 overtime victory at home against Calgary as a four-point underdog.

Saturday’s games started off with Toronto knocking-off British Columbia 30-27 as a 1 ½-point road underdog followed by Edmonton’s 32-3 rout of Winnipeg as a 5 ½-point favorite at home. Hamilton closed things out by beating Saskatchewan 31-21 as a two-point road underdog.

Odds provided by 5Dimes.eu

Thursday, July 30

British Columbia Lions (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2-3 SU, 2-2-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -5
Total: 50

Game Overview

The Lions two-game winning streak both straight-up and against the spread may have come to an end, but the bigger concern could be the fact that they blew a 21-point lead in that last minute loss to Toronto. BC came into last Saturday’s game ranked last in the CFL on defense in total yards allowed and it gave-up 340 passing yards alone against the Argonauts.

Winnipeg has not only lost its last two games SU, it may have lost its starting quarterback for the foreseeable future after Drew Willy left last week’s game following a hard hit in the third quarter. He is currently listed as questionable for Thursday with a leg injury. Brian Brohm took his place against Edmonton and he went 9-for-19 for just 71 yards while getting picked off twice.

Betting Trends

BC is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five road games against Winnipeg and the total has stayed UNDER in 16 of the last 21 meetings overall.

Friday, July 31

Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-5 SU, 0-5 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview

The Roughriders are still looking for their first win of the new season both SU and ATS and they could be hard-pressed to get off the schneid this week with a defense that has allowed a CFL-high 165 points through their first five games. Offensively they are putting up an average of 28.6 points a game, but that production could take a hit if quarterback Kevin Glenn is unable to go this Friday.

Edmonton has taken the early lead in the West Division behind a stout defense that has only allowed an average of 14.5 points through its first four contests. James Franklin took over for Matt Nichols at quarterback in the third quarter of last week’s lopsided victory against Winnipeg. He only completed five of his eight attempts, but three of them were for touchdowns.

Betting Trends

The Eskimos have won four of the last five meetings SU and they have a 8-2 edge ATS in the last 10 games. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six games between these two West Division rivals.

Saturday, Aug. 1

Montreal Alouettes (2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (3-2 SU, 0-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -4 ½
Total: 49 ½

Game Overview

Montreal closed as an underdog in both of its SU victories this season including a 29-11 win against Calgary in Week 2 as a 9 ½-point underdog at home. The total has stayed UNDER in all four of its games this year. Quarterback Rakeem Cato has come off the bench to throw for 822 yards and four touchdowns while completing 72.2 percent of his 90 attempts.

The Stampeders were stunned by Ottawa in overtime despite a solid effort from quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell. He ended that game with 318 yards passing while completing six passes to wide receiver Eric Rogers for 124 yards and a score. Calgary running back Jon Cornish left that game with a thumb injury and he is expected to be out of the lineup until early September.

Betting Trends

Montreal has now won the last two meetings both SU and ATS after going 1-6 SU (0-7 ATS) in the previous seven games of this inter-division clash.

Monday, Aug. 3

Toronto Argonauts (3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -3 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

Toronto has been one of the bigger surprises this season after missing the playoffs last year. It has averaged 29.5 points a game while holding opponents to 25.8 points on the other side of the ball. Trevor Harris continues to play well at quarterback for an injured Ricky Ray. In last week’s win against BC, he completed 30-of-40 attempts for 340 yards and two scores. He was also picked-off twice.

The Tiger-Cats got a big day from their quarterback Zach Collaros in last Sunday’s 10-point win. He threw for 284 yards and a score while adding another 32 yards on three runs. Collaros spread the ball around to six different receivers in his 19 completions. Hamilton has also been solid on defense; allowing an average of just 22 points through its first four games.

Betting Trends

The home team has won seven of the last nine meetings SU in the East Division tilt, but Hamilton has a 5-1 edge ATS in the last six games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings.

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WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, July 30

Phoenix @ Tulsa

Game 651-652
July 30, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
113.230
Tulsa
114.697
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulsa
by 1 1/2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 2
152 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulsa
(+2); Over




WNBA

Thursday, July 30

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. TULSA
Phoenix is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tulsa
Phoenix is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games
Tulsa is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix

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WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 30

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PHOENIX (10 - 7) at TULSA (10 - 8) - 7/30/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
TULSA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Thursday, July 30


Over bets score big in Wednesday's action

The Over went a perfect 4-0 in four games on the board in the WNBA Wednesday evening.

Three of the games soared past the closing number by double digits, including the Atlanta Dream and San Antonio Stars combining for 187 points, easily eclipsing the closing 152.5 by 34.5 points.

The season-to-date Over/Under record in the WNBA sits at 51-52 heading into Thursday's schedule.

The Phoenix Mercury visit the Tulsa Shock with oddsmakers posting a total of 152.5.

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Standings

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Team Win Loss Percent GB Home Away Conf. Last 10 Streak

New York Liberty 12 6 0.667 0 6-2 6-4 6-5 8-2 L-1

Washington Mystics 10 6 0.625 1 6-3 4-3 7-5 6-4 W-4

Chicago Sky 11 7 0.611 1 7-1 4-6 8-4 6-4 L-1

Indiana Fever 10 8 0.556 2 6-4 4-4 6-6 7-3 W-2

Connecticut Sun 8 8 0.500 3 3-5 5-3 3-7 3-7 L-1

Atlanta Dream 7 11 0.389 5 5-4 2-7 4-7 4-6 L-3


WESTERN CONFERENCE

Team Win Loss Percent GB Home Away Conf. Last 10 Streak

Minnesota Lynx 13 4 0.765 0 7-2 6-2 10-2 8-2 W-1

Phoenix Mercury 10 7 0.588 3 7-2 3-5 8-3 7-3 W-1

Tulsa Shock 10 8 0.556 3 6-2 4-6 6-6 3-7 L-4

San Antonio Stars 6 12 0.333 7 6-3 0-9 4-7 4-6 W-2

Seattle Storm 5 14 0.263 9 4-5 1-9 4-9 3-7 L-2

Los Angeles Sparks 3 14 0.176 10 3-6 0-8 3-8 3-7 L-2

Updated Thu Jul 30 10:36 AM EDT

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2015 Regular Season Standings

West Division

GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV STREAK

Edmonton 4 3 1 0 6 112 58 2 - 0 - 0 1 - 1 - 0 1 - 0 - 0 W3

Calgary 5 3 2 0 6 112 126 3 - 0 - 0 0 - 2 - 0 1 - 0 - 0 L1

BC 4 2 2 0 4 105 113 1 - 1 - 0 1 - 1 - 0 2 - 0 - 0 L1

Winnipeg 5 2 3 0 4 109 159 1 - 1 - 0 1 - 2 - 0 1 - 2 - 0 L2

Saskatchewan 5 0 5 0 0 143 165 0 - 4 - 0 0 - 1 - 0 0 - 3 - 0 L5

East Division

GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV STREAK

Toronto 4 3 1 0 6 118 103 1 - 0 - 0 2 - 1 - 0 0 - 0 - 0 W1

Ottawa 5 3 2 0 6 105 127 2 - 1 - 0 1 - 1 - 0 1 - 0 - 0 W1

Montreal 4 2 2 0 4 85 69 2 - 1 - 0 0 - 1 - 0 1 - 1 - 0 W1

Hamilton 4 2 2 0 4 119 88 0 - 0 - 0 2 - 2 - 0 0 - 1 - 0 W1