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**Udog** · 07-02-2015, 08:09 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- ESPN apparently isn't happy with their Monday Night Football schedule; they claim the NFL stiffed them because some ESPN pundits constantly rip into Roger Goodell. One of those pundits has already been let go.

-- Hyundai has a $200M, four-year advertising deal for NFL games, more than twice what the league was getting from Chevy.

-- Joey Gallo is an incredible 1 for 49 this year with two strikes on him.

-- Alabama's Kirby Smart makes $1.5M a year; he is an assistant football coach, the defensive cootdinator yet he makes $1.5M a year. Wow.

-- Bartolo Colon had his first no-decision in his last 28 starts last night.

-- Which two teams will MLB choose to play the first series in Cuba? You know it is coming soon; will the Marlins play? This will be a high profile event.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.........

13) Rough week for the Tampa Bay Rays; three games in a row (and 4th time in last seven games), they haven't had a batter reach base safely in the first five innings.

12) No NL West team had a winning record in June; Dodgers were 15-15.

11) Mark Buehrle is 207-156 in a fabulous 16-year career; he started 28 games when he was a rookie and has started 30+ every year since. Durable, reliable, pretty soon he is going to be a borderline Hall of Famer. In that entire 15.5 years, he has had only three starts (out of 476) when he struck out 10+ batters. Teams should take notice.

10) Adrian Gonzalez has played 156+ games the last nine years; he plays in the NL, which doesn't have the DH (he played most of one season in Boston, was DH twice). Much like Buehrle, he is reliable and dependable, a great player.

9) Nick Saban is 183-59-1 as a college coach, but only 8-8 in bowls, losing last two- I'm saying the Crimson Tide will win their bowl game this year. Early prediction.

8) Utah football coach Kyle Whittingham is 84-43 in ten years, 7-1 in bowl games, he is very successful, but the Utes will have their 8th different offensive coordinator in 11 years this season. That just seems weird, especially for a good team.

7) Floyd Mayweather had a better month of May then we did; he made $220M.

6) Bengals' WR Mohamed Sanu recently made a 60-yard FG during a workout at his alma mater, Rutgers. Some teams don't have kickers who can make a 40-yarder.

5) They were talking on the Padres' game about what a great hitter Edgar Martinez was; he used to take batting practice with a weighted donut on his bat.

4) San Diego wore its brown caps and throwback unis from the 80's yesterday; to me, their best uniforms were the ones Dave Winfield wore in the 70's, but as long as their color scheme went back to brown/gold, that would be a vast improvement.

3) Hope umpire Tom Hallion is feeling better; he took a direct hit to the mask on a foul tip and had to leave the Colorado-Oakland game after two batters Wednesday.

2) I don't care what anyone says; it is stupid to bat Jon Lester 8th. Lester has never gotten a hit, is arguably the worst hitter in MLB history. Lester has drawn one walk in his entire career-- against Guillermo Mota. He should always bat ninth.

1) Major League Baseball wants more scoring, faster games; hard to have both.

**Udog** · 07-02-2015, 08:15 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 2

MLB roundup: Indians' Carrasco nearly no-hits Rays

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. -- For the third night in a row, the Cleveland Indians took a perfect game into the sixth inning against the Tampa Bay Rays, and Carlos Carrasco lost his no-hitter with two outs in the ninth inning, settling for an 8-1 win Wednesday at Tropicana Field.

Carrasco, a 28-year-old right-hander from Venezuela, struck out 13 Rays batters and faced the minimum entering the ninth inning. He was one strike away from history when Joey Butler lined an RBI single to right field, just over the glove of leaping second baseman Jason Kipnis.

Carrasco's bid at a perfect game ended with one out in the seventh, when he walked Butler on a full count after retiring the first 19 batters in order.

Tampa Bay began the bottom of the ninth with a walk and a hit batter. A fielder's choice for the first out put runners at the corners. Carrasco struck out Kevin Kiermaier for the second out but couldn't get Butler to finish the gem.

Blue Jays 11, Red Sox 2

TORONTO -- Justin Smoak hit home runs from each side of the plate, and Mark Buehrle pitched seven strong innings as Toronto defeated Boston.

Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Bautista and Josh Donaldson also homered for the Blue Jays on Canada Day, snapping Boston's three-game winning streak. Encarnacion, Smoak and Bautista each drove in three runs and Jose Reyes had four singles.

Buehrle (9-4) held the Red Sox to four hits and one run. The left-hander struck out seven in winning his fourth straight decision over his past seven starts.

Reds 2, Twins 1

CINCINNATI -- Johnny Cueto posted his longest outing since missing his last two starts of May with a sore right elbow as Cincinnati squeezed out a win over Minnesota in the rubber match of the three-game series.

Cueto allowed four hits and one run with one walk and eight strikeouts over eight innings. He allowed just one runner past second base while throwing 111 pitches, 74 for strikes.

Aroldis Chapman pitched the ninth for his 16th save in 17 opportunities this season. Billy Hamilton clinched the win with a diving catch to his left of pinch hitter Torii Hunter's line drive.

A's 4, Rockies 1

OAKLAND, Calif. -- Jesse Hahn pitched six strong innings and Billy Butler and Billy Burns gave him all the offensive support he needed as Oakland topped Colorado.

Butler went 2-for-3 with his fifth career triple, drove in a run, scored once and walked. Burns went 2-for-4 with a triple and a double, scored two runs and walked once.

Colorado's Nolan Arenado went 0-for-4, snapping his 17-game hitting streak, which had been the longest active streak in the major leagues.

Mariners 7, Padres 0

SAN DIEGO -- Robinson Cano drove in three runs with a homer, a bases-loaded single and a double and Taijuan Walker picked up his fifth straight win as he and four relievers combined on a three-hit shutout.

Nelson Cruz drove in the Mariners' final two runs with a two-run homer to cap a four-run ninth inning.

Seattle swept the two-game interleague series by outscoring San Diego 12-0 -- blanking the Padres on four hits. Cano drove in the Mariners' first two runs and Seattle added five runs in the last two innings.

Orioles 4, Rangers 2

BALTIMORE -- J.J. Hardy hit a go-ahead two-run home run, Jimmy Paredes homered and drove in two runs, and Baltimore defeated Texas.

Orioles left-hander Wei-Yin Chen (4-4) allowed two runs on four hits over eight efficient innings, allowing the Orioles to overcome an early two-run deficit.

Shin-Soo Chu homered for the third consecutive game, and Ryan Rua also went deep, giving Texas 10 homers in the first three games of the four-game set.

Marlins 6, Giants 5

MIAMI -- Justin Bour hit a walk-off, three-run homer in the bottom of the ninth inning to lead Miami past San Francisco.

The Marlins overcame five double-play ground balls, which tied a Giants record for a nine-inning game. Miami also overcame three errors that led to two unearned runs.

San Francisco, which had 14 hits, got a tiebreaking home run from shortstop Brandon Crawford in the sixth inning. It was his 11th homer of the season. However, that big hit was wiped out when Bour pulled his shot to right field off Santiago Casilla (4-2) for his first-career walk-off home run and his eighth homer of the season.

Brewers 9, Phillies 5

PHILADELPHIA -- Milwaukee battered Philadelphia starter Aaron Harang and never let up, scoring eight runs on 14 hits off the right-hander as he exited before he could record an out in the Brewers' two-run sixth.

Harang (4-11) became the first Phillies pitcher to lose eight consecutive starts since Jim Nash in 1972. After posting a 1.93 ERA in his first 10 starts, the 37-year-old is 0-7 with a 7.53 ERA in the last seven.

Scooter Gennett went 3-for-5 with three RBIs and two runs, and Gerardo Parra added three hits for Milwaukee. The Brewers' Adam Lind, Ryan Braun and Aramis Ramirez drove in two runs apiece.

Pirates 9, Tigers 3

DETROIT -- A.J. Burnett pitched seven-hit ball for seven innings and Neil Walker hit two home runs to lead Pittsburgh over Detroit.

Detroit's Joba Chamberlain gave up three solo home runs in the eighth. Walker, who hit a two-run homer in the third, bounced his sixth home run of the season off the top of the left-field wall, left fielder Starling Marte hit his 11th and designated hitter Pedro Alvarez smashed his 11th.

Yankees 3, Angels 1

ANAHEIM, Calif. -- Nathan Eovaldi threw 5 1/3 scoreless innings and Chasen Shreve got two big outs to help New York avoid a three-game sweep.

Chase Headley (3-for-5) and Didi Gregorius (2-for-4) each had an RBI single and Garrett Jones hit a solo homer to account for the Yankees' scoring.

The Angels scored their run on a two-out homer by Mike Trout in the eighth, his 21st home run of the year, against Justin Wilson. Dellin Betances pitched the ninth for his seventh save.

Cubs 2, Mets 0 (11)

NEW YORK -- Starlin Castro's two-out infield single in the 11th inning snapped a scoreless tie and lifted Chicago over New York.

Castro beat out a roller to third. Miguel Montero added an RBI single two batters later.

The Cubs, who won Tuesday's series opener 1-0, have scored two runs or fewer in seven straight games. The Mets have scored two or fewer in 11 of their last 13 games.

Braves 4, Nationals 1

ATLANTA -- Matt Wisler allowed one hit through 5 1/3 scoreless innings, and A.J. Pierzynski and Juan Uribe hit consecutive home runs as Atlanta snapped a nine-game losing streak to Washington.

Wisler (2-1) walked five and struck out six and gave up just an infield single by Danny Espinosa before leaving after 84 pitches. He also drove in a run with his first major league hit to cap the Braves' four-run, fourth-inning rally.

Washington starter Doug Fister (3-4) surrendered four of the seven hits against him in the fourth. He struck out four and walked two, one intentionally, while throwing 98 pitches over six innings.

Astros 6, Royals 5

HOUSTON -- Jose Altuve scored the go-ahead run to cap a seventh-inning rally, and Houston beat Kansas City to complete a three-game sweep.

Without the benefit of a hit, the Astros pushed in front in the seventh, manufacturing a run after Altuve reached base to open the frame when he was hit on the right forearm by a pitch from Royals right-hander Kelvin Herrera (1-2). The second baseman stole second base, his 23rd steal on the season, and advanced to third on a ricochet groundout.

Chris Carter followed with a ground ball to third baseman Mike Moustakas that scored Altuve ahead of the tag from catcher Salvador Perez, but not without a four-plus-minute replay review after the Royals challenged the close, decisive play at the plate.

Dodgers 4, Diamondbacks 3

PHOENIX -- Enrique Hernandez had three hits, scored twice and drove in a run, and Brett Anderson won his third consecutive start as Los Angeles edged Arizona.

Hernandez tripled and scored in the first inning, then doubled home a run and scored in a three-run third inning to give Anderson (5-4) a 4-0 lead.

Anderson gave up seven hits and one run while striking out seven in seven innings. The left-hander has allowed five earned runs with 22 strikeouts in his past 28 innings over four starts.

White Sox 7, Cardinals 1

ST. LOUIS -- Melky Cabrera's solo homer in the top of the sixth inning snapped a tie as Chicago became the first visiting team to sweep a series in Busch Stadium this year, beating St. Louis in a thrice-delayed game.

Cabrera's third homer of the year helped make a winner of starter Jose Quintana (4-7), who gave up six hits and a run over six innings with no walks and eight strikeouts.

Tyler Flowers belted a two-run homer to key a five-run ninth, his second in as many nights. Jose Abreu added an RBI single, and Cabrera drove in another run with a groundout.

**Udog** · 07-02-2015, 08:17 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 2

National League
Brewers @ Phillies
Garza is 0-3, 9.38 in his last four starts, three of which went over.

Billingsley is 0-2, 7.31 in his three starts (over 2-1).

Milwaukee won last three games with the Phillies; road team won nine of last ten in series. Over is 8-2-1 in last 11 series games. Brewers won seven of last nine games overall- over is 7-1-1 in those nine. Phillies lost six of last seven games; over is 10-1-1 in their last twelve.

Giants @ Marlins
Cain is making first '15 start; his last start was July 9, 2014. He was 1-1, 1.86 in his last three starts before going on DL.

Fernandez is making first '15 start; his last start was May 9, 2014. He was 2-1, 2.89 in his last four starts, before going on DL.

Giants lost five of last seven games with Miami; three of last four went over total. SF is 4-5 in last nine games overall, with last six going over. Marlins won three of their last four games.

Nationals @ Braves
Scherzer is 3-0, 0.69 in his last three starts, with one walk, 33 K's; six of his last eight starts stayed under.

Banuelos is making first MLB start; he is 6-2, 2.29 in 15 AAA starts in '15.

Washington won nine of last ten games with Atlanta; four of last five stayed under the total. Nationals won nine of last 11 games (under 7-4). Braves lost six of their last eight games; seven of their last nine stayed under.

Cubs @ Mets
Arrieta is 3-1, 2.45 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1).

deGrom is 5-1, 1.38 in his last eight starts; four of his last six went over.

Cubs won their last eight games with the Mets (under 6-1-1). Chicago lost five of last seven games overall, scoring nine runs; under is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games. NY lost 1-0/2-0 last two nights; ten of their last twelve games stayed under the total.

Padres @ Cardinals
Ross is 2-0, 1.80 in his last two starts; over is 3-2 in his last five.

Cooley is making first MLB start; he allowed three runs in 2.1 IP in relief in majors. He is 6-4, 2.74 in 14 AAA starts this season.

San Diego lost four of last five games with St Louis; four of last six in series went over total. Padres lost five of last seven games, got shut out last couple days. Cardinals lost 2-1/7-1 last two fays after winning six in row; four of their last six games stayed under.

Rockies @ Diamondbacks
Rusin is 1-2, 8.72 in his last four starts; four of his last five went over.

Hellickson is 1-2, 6.86 in his last four starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Colorado lost five of last seven games with Arizona; seven of last nine series games went over. Rockies lost four of last five games; they scored total of seven runs in last four. D'backs lost five of last six games; seven of their last ten games went over.

American League
Red Sox @ Blue Jays
Miley is 2-1, 1.93 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Boyd lost 4-0 in MLB debut last week, allowing four runs (three HRs) in 6.2 IP (103 PT).

Boston lost six of last nine games with Toronto; Red Sox are 8-5 in last 13 games overall- four of their last six stayed under. Blue Jays lost three of last five games (under 5-2 in last seven).

Rangers @ Orioles
Gallardo is 4-0, 1.39 in his last seven starts; he hasn't allowed a run in his last three starts (20.1 IP). Seven of his last nine starts stayed under.

Gausman allowed two runs in five IP (91 PT) in his only '15 start.

Texas lost ten of last 13 games with Baltimore; over is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. . Rangers lost eight of last 11 games; over is 4-3-2 in their last nine. Orioles won eight of last 11 games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight.

Indians @ Rays
Kluber is 0-4, 3.97 in his last five starts, four of which stayed under; Indians are 3-13 in his starts this year.

Moore is making first start since April 7, 2014 (elbow); he was 0-2, 2.70 in his two starts LY, before going on DL.

Tampa Bay lost eight of last ten games; they haven't put a man on base in first five innings of their last three games. Cleveland is 7-3 in last ten games with Tampa Bay; five of last nine series games stayed under total. Indians won last three games; seven of their last nine went over the total.

Twins @ Royals
Gibson is 1-3, 4.56 in his last four starts; three of his last four road starts went under the total.

Young is 3-1, 2.38 in his last four starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Royals won five of last six games with Minnesota; three of last four in series stayed under total. KC lost last three games, scoring six runs. Minnesota lost three of its last four games.

Mariners @ A's
Elias is 2-4, 6.48 in his last six starts; under is 7-2-1 in his last ten, 0-2-1 in his last three.

Kazmir is 2-1, 2.30 in his last four starts; five of his last six stayed under.

Seattle won its last five games with Oakland; over is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Mariners are 4-3 in last seven games; under is 4-0-1 in last five. A's lost four of last six games after winning nine of previous 11; under is 3-1-1 in their last five.

Interleague
Pirates @ Tigers
Liriano is 3-2, 2.45 in his last seven starts; three of his last four went under.

Ryan is 0-1, 4.76 in his three starts (under 2-1).

Pirates are 6-4 in last ten games with Detroit; they won four of last five games overall- seven of their last nine went over. Tigers lost four of last six games- their last 12 games all went over.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Mil-Phil-- Garza 5-10; Billingsley 1-2
SF-Mia-- Cain 0-0; Fernandez 0-0
Wsh-Atl-- Scherzer 10-5; Banuelos 0-0
Chi-NY-- Arrieta 8-7; deGrom 9-6
SD-StL-- Ross 7-9; Cooley 0-0
Col-Az-- Rusin 2-4; Hellickson 6-9

Bos-Tor-- Miley 8-7; Boyd 0-1
Tex-Balt-- Gallardo 8-8; Gausman 1-0
Clev-TB-- Kluber 3-13; Moore 0-0
Minn-KC-- Gibson 7-8; Young 7-3
Sea-A's-- Elias 4-8; Kazmir 6-9

Pitt-Det-- Liriano 5-10; Ryan 1-2

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Mil-Phil-- Garza 6-15; Billingsley 1-3
SF-Mia-- Cain 0-0; Fernandez 0-0
Wsh-Atl-- Scherzer 1-15; Banuelos 0-0
Chi-NY-- Arrieta 4-15; deGrom 5-15
SD-StL-- Ross 4-16; Cooley 0-0
Col-Az-- Rusin 2-6; Hellickson 6-15

Bos-Tor-- Miley 4-15; Boyd 0-1
Tex-Balt-- Gallardo 6-16; Gausman 1-1
Clev-TB-- Kluber 8-16; Moore 0-0
Minn-KC-- Gibson 3-15; Young 1-10
Sea-A's-- Elias 5-12; Kazmir 2-15

Pitt-Det-- Liriano 2-15; Ryan 1-3

Umpires
Mil-Phil-- Four of last five HGibson games went over.
SF-Mia-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Barry games.
Wsh-Atl-- Five of last seven Iassogna games went over.
Chi-NY-- Five of last six Diaz games went over.

Bos-Tor-- Six of last eight Davis games stayed under.
Tex-Balt-- Underdogs won last five Hoye games.
Clev-TB-- Under is 7-4-1 in last dozen Miller games.

Pitt-Det-- Home side won six of last seven Holbrook games.

**Udog** · 07-02-2015, 08:21 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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12:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Francisco's last 17 games when playing Miami
San Francisco is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco

12:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

1:08 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

1:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games at home
NY Mets are 4-9 SU in its last 13 games

6:35 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Philadelphia's last 17 games at home

7:05 PM
TEXAS vs. BALTIMORE
Texas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Texas is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games

7:07 PM
BOSTON vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Toronto is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

7:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ST. LOUIS
San Diego is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego

8:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota

9:40 PM
COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado

10:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

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**Udog** · 07-02-2015, 09:30 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, July 2

San Francisco @ Miami

Game 951-952
July 2, 2015 @ 12:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Cain) 13.095
Miami
(Fernandez) 16.592
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 3 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-150
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-150); Under

Chicago Cubs @ NY Mets

Game 953-954
July 2, 2015 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 14.268
NY Mets
(deGrom) 15.760
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-125
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-125); Under

Milwaukee @ Philadelphia

Game 955-956
July 2, 2015 @ 6:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Garza) 15.738
Philadelphia
(Billingsley) 13.205
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-135); Over

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 957-958
July 2, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Scherzer) 16.620
Atlanta
(Banuelos) 14.934
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-220
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-220); Over

San Diego @ St. Louis

Game 959-960
July 2, 2015 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Ross) 14.754
St. Louis
(Cooney) 16.131
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
9 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
N/A

Colorado @ Arizona

Game 961-962
July 2, 2015 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Rusin) 14.405
Arizona
(Hellickson) 15.856
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-150); Over

Cleveland @ Tampa Bay

Game 963-964
July 2, 2015 @ 12:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Kluber) 15.109
Tampa Bay
(Moore) 16.271
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-140
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+120); Under

Boston @ Toronto

Game 965-966
July 2, 2015 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Miley) 17.178
Toronto
(Boyd) 16.001
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-145
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+125); Under

Texas @ Baltimore

Game 967-968
July 2, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Gallardo) 16.616
Baltimore
(Gausman) 15.468
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+110); Under

Minnesota @ Kansas City

Game 969-970
July 2, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Gibson) 15.947
Kansas City
(Young) 14.886
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-155
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+135); Under

Seattle @ Oakland

Game 971-972
July 2, 2015 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Elias) 11.904
Oakland
(Kazmir) 16.125
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 4
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-155
7
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-155); Over

Pittsburgh @ Detroit

Game 973-974
July 2, 2015 @ 1:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Liriano) 15.817
Detroit
(Ryan) 13.234
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-130
8
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-130); Over

**Udog** · 07-02-2015, 09:52 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 2

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SAN FRANCISCO (42 - 37) at MIAMI (33 - 46) - 12:10 PM
MATT CAIN (R) vs. JOSE FERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-32 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
CAIN is 16-29 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 10-20 (-15.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 3-12 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 16-29 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 4-15 (-17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 23-13 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 18-8 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 17-3 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 14-3 (+11.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 23-12 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 142-116 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 70-58 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 56-37 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 142-116 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 51-37 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 376-372 (+46.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
MIAMI is 33-46 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 24-37 (-14.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-2 (+2.8 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

MATT CAIN vs. MIAMI since 1997
CAIN is 6-4 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.097.
His team's record is 9-5 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-8. (-3.4 units)

JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHICAGO CUBS (41 - 35) at NY METS (40 - 39) - 1:10 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1428-1588 (-277.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 756-802 (-154.2 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1371-1501 (-252.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1050-1184 (-214.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 663-766 (-198.9 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
NY METS are 29-13 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 18-6 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 29-13 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 25-11 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 6-0 (+6.0 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. NY METS since 1997
ARRIETA is 1-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.02 and a WHIP of 0.975.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

JACOB DEGROM vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DEGROM is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.700.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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MILWAUKEE (32 - 48) at PHILADELPHIA (27 - 53) - 6:35 PM
MATT GARZA (R) vs. CHAD BILLINGSLEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 32-48 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-48 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-41 (-19.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 7-18 (-12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
GARZA is 68-79 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 27-53 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-53 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-44 (-16.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-36 (-15.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 76-104 (-37.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

MATT GARZA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
GARZA is 2-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.32 and a WHIP of 1.012.
His team's record is 3-5 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-2.0 units)

CHAD BILLINGSLEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BILLINGSLEY is 2-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.159.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-1. (+4.9 units)

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WASHINGTON (43 - 35) at ATLANTA (37 - 41) - 7:10 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. MANNY BANUELOS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 23-19 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
ATLANTA is 48-26 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SCHERZER is 60-24 (+26.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 32-8 (+20.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 57-23 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 6-16 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 114-123 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 92-101 (-16.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 9-2 (+6.4 Units) against ATLANTA this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SCHERZER is 1-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.87 and a WHIP of 1.672.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.5 units)

MANNY BANUELOS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN DIEGO (37 - 43) at ST LOUIS (51 - 26) - 7:15 PM
TYSON ROSS (R) vs. TIM COONEY (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TYSON ROSS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ROSS is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

TIM COONEY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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COLORADO (34 - 44) at ARIZONA (37 - 41) - 9:40 PM
CHRIS RUSIN (L) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 100-140 (-34.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 152-271 (-63.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
COLORADO is 38-82 (-33.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 202-273 (-78.7 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 100-140 (-34.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 60-96 (-33.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 26-62 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 21-54 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 80-101 (-30.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 101-139 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 763-674 (-88.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 101-139 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HELLICKSON is 3-13 (-10.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 5-3 (+1.6 Units) against COLORADO this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

CHRIS RUSIN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
RUSIN is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

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CLEVELAND (36 - 41) at TAMPA BAY (42 - 38) - 12:10 PM
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. MATT MOORE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 36-41 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 12-23 (-17.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 16-24 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KLUBER is 3-13 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 1-8 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 2-7 (-7.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 1-7 (-8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 38-12 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 119-123 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 40-49 (-19.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 56-69 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-17 (-14.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
TAMPA BAY is 16-26 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 57-70 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 64-76 (-32.7 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 84-90 (-20.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 28-38 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 8-17 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-2 (+0.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

COREY KLUBER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
KLUBER is 2-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 1.056.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

MATT MOORE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MOORE is 2-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.320.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

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BOSTON (36 - 44) at TORONTO (42 - 38) - 7:05 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. MATT BOYD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 36-44 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 604-546 (-81.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 15-25 (-12.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 23-28 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 54-75 (-24.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 55-34 (+17.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 58-46 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-5 (+1.7 Units) against BOSTON this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. TORONTO since 1997
MILEY is 0-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 10.56 and a WHIP of 2.477.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

MATT BOYD vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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TEXAS (40 - 39) at BALTIMORE (42 - 36) - 7:05 PM
YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 6-21 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
GALLARDO is 8-22 (-13.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 142-106 (+40.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 74-57 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 28-16 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 52-31 (+15.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 18-8 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 32-16 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 27-15 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 97-64 (+36.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 21-10 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 78-62 (+17.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 65-51 (+20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 40-39 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 25-20 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 11-7 (+9.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TEXAS is 37-35 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 30-25 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 26-23 (+10.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 21-17 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 22-10 (+21.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GALLARDO is 7-1 (+7.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+1.5 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GALLARDO is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.349.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

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MINNESOTA (41 - 37) at KANSAS CITY (44 - 31) - 8:10 PM
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. CHRIS YOUNG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 44-31 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 44-31 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 31-21 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 32-17 (+14.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 18-11 (+7.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 68-54 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
YOUNG is 24-15 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 24-14 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 15-7 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 14-7 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 41-37 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 41-37 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 21-15 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 6-3 (+2.2 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

KYLE GIBSON vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GIBSON is 4-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.68 and a WHIP of 1.216.
His team's record is 4-2 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

CHRIS YOUNG vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
YOUNG is 1-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.128.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.8 units)

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SEATTLE (36 - 42) at OAKLAND (36 - 45) - 10:05 PM
ROENIS ELIAS (L) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 36-42 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 0-7 (-7.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
SEATTLE is 31-41 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 14-21 (-10.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SEATTLE is 722-649 (-99.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
KAZMIR is 23-4 (+16.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 65-54 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 66-61 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 36-45 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 30-43 (-24.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 6-13 (-11.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
OAKLAND is 16-24 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 21-24 (-13.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 57-60 (-24.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 34-43 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 80-74 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-14 (-11.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 61-61 (-23.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 13-22 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 5-1 (+4.3 Units) against OAKLAND this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

ROENIS ELIAS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
ELIAS is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.147.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. SEATTLE since 1997
KAZMIR is 4-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.102.
His team's record is 7-6 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-7. (-1.4 units)

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PITTSBURGH (44 - 33) at DETROIT (39 - 38) - 1:05 PM
FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. KYLE RYAN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 15-31 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 254-490 (-106.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
LIRIANO is 5-10 (-7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
LIRIANO is 30-39 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
LIRIANO is 5-10 (-7.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 21-11 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 229-179 (+32.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 20-5 (+13.6 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 33-18 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 227-178 (+30.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-26 (-8.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
DETROIT is 65-58 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 65-58 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-22 (-9.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+0.5 Units) against DETROIT this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. DETROIT since 1997
LIRIANO is 5-10 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.79 and a WHIP of 1.336.
His team's record is 7-12 (-7.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-9. (-1.4 units)

KYLE RYAN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

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**Udog** · 07-02-2015, 09:56 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 2

Marlins RHP Fernandez to return to mound

MIAMI -- Nearly 14 months after Tommy John surgery, Marlins right-hander Jose Fernandez is set to return to the mound on Thursday against the Giants.

Fernandez, who hasn't pitched since May 9, 2014, said he can't wait for his time to shine.

"Hopefully I can throw a first-pitch strike," he said. "Just throwing and being healthy and giving my team a chance to win -- that's all I care about."

RHP Cain to make his return to Giants

MIAMI -- Call it Comeback Thursday.

Matt Cain, who hasn't pitched since July 9, 2014, will make his return on Thursday against the Marlins.

Scherzer set to face Braves for first time since '10

ATLANTA -- During their first three series against the Washington Nationals this season, the Atlanta Braves were able to avoid Max Scherzer.

They won't be so lucky Thursday night.

Scherzer, who is 9-5 with a 1.79 ERA, will make his first start at Turner Field since 2010 as he attempts to continue the roll that is making his seven-year, $210 million contract almost seem like a bargain for the Nationals.

The right-hander followed up a one-hit shutout that featured 16 strikeouts against the Milwaukee Brewers on June 14 with a no-hitter against the Pittsburgh Pirates on June 20. Then he went eight innings for a third straight victory Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Scherzer, who won the American League Cy Young Award with the Detroit Tigers in 2013, allowed five hits and two runs in the three outings, striking out 33 and walking none in 26 innings.

**Udog** · 07-02-2015, 10:29 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 2

deGrom excels during day games

New York Mets righty Jacob deGrom has put together an excellent season thus far, but his numbers during day starts have been eye-opening.

The 27-year-old is 4-0 in five starts and has a 0.74 WHIP and 0.74 ERA thanks to a stingy three earned runs allowed in 36 1/3 innings of work under the sun.

For comparisons sake, deGrom is 4-5 (10 starts) with a 2.95 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in night games. Pretty solid numbers in their own right.

deGrom's last start was an afternoon outing in Milwaukee. He went eight innings, surrendered just four hits and fanned seven Brewers en route to a 2-0 Mets' win.

The Mets host the Chicago Cubs at 1:10 pm ET Thursday. deGrom is probable to get the start for the Mets (-110) while the Cubs are expected to counter with Jake Arrieta.

Day Starts

06/25 (Mets 2 at Brewers 0): 8.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 7 SO

06/13 (Braves 5 vs Mets 3): 7.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 9 SO

06/07 (Mets 6 at Diamondbacks 3): 7.0 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 10 SO

05/21 (Mets 5 vs Cardinals 0): 8.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 11 SO

04/13 (Mets 2 vs Phillies 0): 6 1/3 IP, 7H, 0 ER, 3 SO

Indians continue to struggle with Kluber pitching

The Cleveland Indians have lost five-straight games in contests that Corey Kluber has started and have gone just 3-13 in his 16 starts in the 2015 season.

That drought has Kluber comfortably placed as the worst bet in our MLB Starter Money Standings, costing bettors $-1490 season-to-date. To put that in perspective, Francisco Liriano, the second-worst starter, is $-762. That's a difference $728.

The Indians have dropped those previous five games to the Kansas City Royals (-120), Seattle Mariners (-193), Detroit Tigers (-155), Tampa Bay Rays (-176) and Baltimore Orioles (-107).

Kluber and the Indians visit the Tampa Bay Rays Thursday. Oddsmakers have Cleveland -137 with a total of 6.5. Matt Moore is slated to get the start for the Rays.

**Udog** · 07-02-2015, 10:31 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 2

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Huge underdogs proving to cost more than they are worth
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On June 27 in South Florida against a woefully underperforming Marlins organization that had already parted ways with one manager so far this season, three-time Cy Young award winner and reigning National League MVP Clayton Kershaw and the Los Angeles Dodgers took the field as astronomical -280 favorites against little-known 29-year-old righty Tom Koehler, who currently owns a career Major League record of 21-25.

Two hours, 26 minutes and two costly errors later, Los Angeles exited the stadium with a 3-2 defeat on its resume that currently stands as one of the biggest upsets of the 2015 season despite the fact that Kershaw surrendered just one earned run in seven solid innings of work. Those who rolled the dice on Miami that evening enjoyed a significant financial windfall while those who laid the monstrous price on the N.L. West-leading favorites suffered a serious hit to their collective bankrolls.

Backing the long shot in a seemingly one-sided baseball game—or any sport for that matter—is not a novel concept, as some gamblers relish the notion of risking a little in order to win a lot. Look no further than the Kentucky Derby, The Masters and Floyd Mayweather fights for proof of this notion. Some bettors thrive on taking a small, insignificant risk for a shot at a jackpot-like score.

But the big question here as it specifically pertains to baseball betting is whether or not such a strategy can serve as a viable, long-term approach to profitable wagering.

The answer, as I’m sure many of you could imagine, is a resounding no.

I floated this theory by my good friend Paul Bessire of the website PredictionMachine.com for some feedback as to how the 2015 Major League baseball campaign has treated bettors who routinely find themselves on the long shot side of a matchup that features a heavy favorite with the simple mission of determining whether or not there were enough significant underdog victories to turn a profit after offsetting the losses sustained when the favorites came through.

Here are the results for the 2015 season through Tuesday night’s games:

MLB underdogs from +160 to +169 (based on a $100 bettor)

Overall: 35-67 (34.3% SU), -$850
Home: 6-11 (35.3% SU), -$150
Road: 29-56 (34.1% SU), -$700

MLB underdogs from +170 to +179 (based on a $100 bettor)

Overall: 18-49 (26.9% SU), -$1,700
Home: 5-8 (38.5% SU), +$100
Road: 13-41 (24.1% SU), -$1,800

MLB underdogs from +180 and upward (based on a $100 bettor)

Overall: 10-29 (25.6% SU), -$1,075
Home: 3-5 (37.5% SU), +$50
Road: 7-24 (22.6% SU), -$1,125

As you can tell from the above information, blindly backing MLB underdogs of +160 or higher has produced disastrous results for gamblers during the 2015 season. Essentially, for every time a relative unknown like Tom Koehler upsets a future Hall of Famer like Clayton Kershaw, there are 2.2 matchups where the heavy favorite seals the deal. This type of strategy isn’t just a losing proposition, but it’s a bankroll-decimating approach capable of busting bettors prior to the July All-Star break.

However, it’s imperative to note at this point that we aren’t advocating the opposite approach to this strategy, which involves blindly betting on heavy favorites who face an opponent lined at +160 or higher. Trust us when we say that if gambling were that easy, all the casinos in Las Vegas would cease to exist.

Look no further than the Los Angeles Dodgers for proof, as Kershaw has lost each of his last two starts (-280 and -180) while fellow ace Zack Grienke was defeated at Miami on June 28 as a -215 favorite.

The lesson, as always, is that gamblers have to put in the requisite amount of time and research while looking to isolate the most favorable of spots when it comes to the Major League Baseball calendar. Rarely does a tell-all trend emerge that provides an opportunity to sprint to the counter while blindly following the logic.

And even when such a trend does rear its profitable little head, you can surely bet the bookmakers will be hot on its tail.

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**Udog** · 07-02-2015, 11:46 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 2

This pitcher has dominated his next opponent

The Kansas City Royals will start Chris Young when they host the Twins Thursday, which does not spell good things for Minnesota. In two appearances against the Twins this year (one start), Young has posted a 2-0 record with a 1.59 ERA with Minny only hitting .083.

Since taking a place in the rotation Young has made nine starts and has allowed one or fewer runs five times.

Over wagers hot when this umpire is behind the dish

Over bets have gone 5-0 in the last five ball games that umpire Tripp Gibson has worked behind home plate. Gibson will be calling pitches in Philadelphia when the Phillies host the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday evening.

Furthermore, seven of the last 10 ball games that Gibson has worked behind home plate have resulted in scorelines eclipsing the total.

The recent run of Overs has Gibson's at just 8-7 Over/Under on the season.

Matt Garza is probable to get the ball for the Brew Crew with Chad Billingsley expected to start for the home team. Oddsmakers opened the total at 8.5, but that has since come down to 8.

Over streak continues in Tigers matchups

Over bets have cashed in 12 consecutive Detroit Tigers games heading into their meeting with the Pittsburgh Pirates Thursday afternoon.

The hot streak of scorelines going over the number has moved the Tigers up to sixth in the big leagues in the Over/Under standings. Detroit is now 41-34-2 season-to-date.

Oddsmakers have posted a total of 8 for Tuesday's clash with the Pirates. Kyle Ryan is probable to start for the Tigers, while Francisco Liriano is expected to get the start for the Buccos.

**Udog** · 07-02-2015, 02:03 PM

MLB

Thursday, July 2

Can this pitcher continue his under trend?

Scott Kazmir has been showing some good junk on the mound lately which has seen the under cash in five of his past seven starts. In those seven games, 1-5-1 over/under, Kazmir has allowed a mere 11 runs.

The lefties numbers get even better at home, with the under hitting in each of Kazmir's past four starts in Oakland. Kazmir has allowed a mere four runs in his past four home appearances while twice holding his opponent scoreless.

The total is currently set at 7 when the A's host the Mariners Thursday.

Red Sox are showing great bounce-back ability

The Boston Red Sox have won their past six games following a loss. The Bo-Sox offense has surged in those contests with an average scoring margin of +4.3 runs per game.

The Red Sox are coming off a loss to the Blue Jays Wednesday when their pitchers were bashed for five home runs.

The Sox are currently +143 when they face the Jays Thursday.

Gallardo has been out-of-his mind lately

Yovani Gallardo is coming off one of his best months as a pitcher, with the right-hander going 2-0 with a 0.54 ERA in five starts in June. Those five starts have seen Gallardo surrender a mere two runs.

The Texas Rangers have managed to mess up Gallardo's play, going just 3-2 in his past five starts with the bullpen surrendering eight runs.

The Rangers are currently +108 when they visit Camden Yards Thursday.

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Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/2

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/2

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