The Bum's Best Bets For Sunday June 14th - MLB - NBA -NHL !

[StarDust Bum]

Gray has been spectacular during day games

Oakland A's ace Sonny Gray has been spectacular no matter what the time of day is, but he's been sensational during day games. In four starts under the sun, Gray is 2-1 with a 0.69 ERA. He's allowed just two earned runs over 26 innings of work in those four starts.

Gray will get the ball Sunday afternoon in Los Angeles as the A's tangle with the Angels. The A's are 5-2 in Gray's last seven starts versus the Halos, including wins in both of Gray's starts versus their AL West rivals this season.

[StarDust Bum]

Home team cashing bets with this umpire working

The home team has won the last six ball games when umpire Andy Fletcher is working home plate heading into Sunday's action. Fletcher will be at Camden Yards in Baltimore working home plate as the Orioles host the New York Yankees Sunday afternoon.

Fletcher ranks as the ninth-best homer umpire according to our MLB umpire stats this season. The home team has gone 9-3 in his 12 games with the home team averaging 5.42 runs per game and the visitors averaging 4.25.

Sportsbooks operated by Boyd Gaming have opened the Orioles at -115.

[StarDust Bum]

Kluber, Indians struggling against AL Central rivals

The Cleveland Indians have posted an abysmal record of 0-7 in seven ball games this season against rivals from the American League Central with ace Corey Kluber starting.

Kluber will give it another shot when he takes the mound against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park Sunday afternoon. He has one start under his belt against the Tigers this season. The righty tossed 6 1/3 innings allowing two earned runs, but the Indians lost 9-6.

The Indians are presently -128 road favorites against the Tigers, who are expected to give the ball to Alfredo Simon.

[StarDust Bum]

Indians place DH Swisher on DL

Jun 14, 2015

The Cleveland Indians placed designated hitter/outfielder Nick Swisher on the 15-day disabled list Sunday with knee inflammation.

Swisher underwent bilateral knee surgery last August and began his season on May 3. In 30 games in 2015, he has batted .198 with four doubles, two home runs and eight RBIs in 30 games.

The club also called up infielder Francisco Lindor from Triple-A Columbus.

Lindor, 21, has spent the entire season with the Clippers where he has hit .281 with 11 doubles, five triples, two home runs and 22 RBIs in 58 games. He was selected by Cleveland in the first round (eighth overall) of the 2011 draft.

[StarDust Bum]

Total dropping in Royals-Cardinals matchup

Books have lowered the total in the Kansas City Royals-St. Louis Cardinals matchup to 7 from the opening 7.5 as of Sunday morning.

The two clubs finish up a three-game series at Busch Stadium Sunday afternoon. The first two games both resulted in cashed Under wagers with the Cards prevailing 4-0 and 3-2 in the first two games respectively.

Chris Young is the probable starter for the Royals while John Lackey is expected to start for the Cardinals.

[StarDust Bum]

Report: Indians' top prospect Lindor to make debut Sunday

Jun 13, 2015

The Cleveland Indians are expected to promote their top prospect in time to play Sunday against the Detorit Tigers.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor is rated by Baseball Prospectus as the fourth-best prospect in all of baseball.

Multiple reports Saturday night said Lindor indeed had been called up and would make his major-league debut Sunday.

The 21-year-old Lindor was hitting .279 at Triple-A Columbus with two home runs, 22 RBIs and eight stolen bases.

[StarDust Bum]

Twins call up OF Buxton

Jun 13, 2015

Byron Buxton, considered the top prospect in the Minnesota Twins' organization, will make his major league debut on Sunday against the Texas Rangers.

The outfielder, who was the No. 2 overall pick in the 2012 draft, was batting .283 with six home runs, 37 RBIs and 20 stolen bases in 22 attempts in 59 games for Double-A Chattanooga this season. His 12 triples lead the Southern League

Buxton, who was hitting .370 in 46 at-bats this month at Chattanooga, said the call to the big leagues was out of the blue.

"I had none at all," Buxton said. "Definitely unexpected. Really caught me by surprise. I was shocked. When I heard my name, a lot of joy and happiness went through me. Just blessed and thankful that I got the opportunity to get called up to The Show."

The 21-year-old Buxton experienced an injury-filled 2014 season. In August, he suffered a concussion during a crash in the outfield playing in the minor leagues and then dislocated a finger while diving for a ball during the Arizona Fall League in October.

The Twins, currently in second place in the American League Central, will make a move before Sunday's game to clear roster space for Buxton.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB roundup: Blue Jays win 10th straight

Jun 14, 2015

BOSTON -- The Toronto Blue Jays blew a four-run lead but pulled out their 10th straight victory when Russell Martin hit a leadoff home run in the 11th inning to give his team a 5-4 victory over the staggering Boston Red Sox on Saturday at Fenway Park.

Martin hit a 2-0 pitch from right-hander Matt Barnes (2-2) for his 10th home run of the season as the Jays won 10 in a row for the first time since an 11-game streak two years ago.

Martin's home run made a winner of left-hander Aaron Loup (2-3), with left-hander Brett Cecil pitching the bottom of the 11th for his fourth save.

The Red Sox, in last place in the American League East, lost their fifth straight game and fell a season-worst nine games under .500.

Mariners 8, Astros 1

HOUSTON -- Left-hander Mike Montgomery delivered another quality start for an injury-ravaged rotation as Seattle used a five-run first inning to end a seven-game losing streak at Minute Maid Park.

Montgomery (1-1) gave up one run, six hits and three walks in six innings, his third consecutive start of at least six innings with two or fewer earned runs.

Logan Morrison hit a three-run homer in the first and a two-run homer in the third. It was his third career multi-homer game, and his five RBIs matched his career best.

Rays 5, White Sox 4

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. -- Tampa Bay got two runs on three singles and a key reversal with two out in the bottom of the eighth to beat Chicago.

Jake Elmore hit an infield single deep to shortstop, and Alexei Ramirez's flip to second missed wide, allowing Steven Souza to score the go-ahead run.

Souza had been called out trying to steal second to seemingly end the inning, but the call was reversed on replay. He had tied the game with an RBI single to bring in David DeJesus.

Marlins 4, Rockies 1

MIAMI -- Giancarlo Stanton drove in all four runs and Mat Latos tied a season high with 11 strikeouts, leading Miami past Colorado.

Stanton leads the major leagues with 23 homers and 59 RBIs. In the bottom of the first inning, he hit a towering two-run double to left field that bounced high off the wall and eluded left fielder Corey Dickerson.

The Marlins' bats were silent until Stanton electrified the crowd with a long two-run home run to left in the sixth inning. It was his 10th home run in the past 14 games.

Nationals 7, Brewers 2

MILWAUKEE -- Bryce Harper drove in two runs and had three hits, Yunel Escobar and Wilson Ramos homered and Joe Ross secured his first major-league victory as Washington defeated Milwaukee.

Harper's two-out walk in the fourth inning allowed Washington to break the game open against Brewers right-hander Jimmy Nelson, who followed the walk by giving up a two-run homer to Ramos that made it 5-2.

Harper reached base five times but left the game after taking a pitch on the left knee in the ninth inning.

Pirates 4, Phillies 3

PITTSBURGH -- Right-hander Gerrit Cole gave up two runs in six innings to get his major-league-best 10th victory as Pittsburgh beat Philadelphia.

Cole (10-2) yielded two runs (one earned) on five hits in six innings. He struck out seven and walked none.

Philadelphia (22-41) owns the worst road record in baseball at 7-25 and has lost 18 of its last 23 games.

Cardinals 3, Royals 2

ST. LOUIS -- Tyler Lyons earned his first victory in more than two years by allowing only three hits over five innings as St. Louis defeated Kansas City.

It was Lyons' first win since May 28, 2013, when he beat Kansas City 4-1 in his second career start. Since that game, Lyons had gone 0-8 in 13 starts across three seasons.

Lyons, recalled from Triple-A Memphis on Friday when Lance Lynn was placed on the disabled list, struck out six and walked one in helping the Cardinals move 20 games over .500 at 41-21.

Braves 5, Mets 3 (11)

NEW YORK -- Center fielder Cameron Maybin's two-run single in the top of the 11th inning capped a comeback by Atlanta, which won for just the fifth time in 12 games this month.

New York had a two-game winning streak snapped.

The Braves trailed 3-1 in the ninth but tied the score with four singles off right-hander Hansel Robles and left-hander Alex Torres, including back-to-back two-out RBI hits by Maybin and first baseman Freddie Freeman.

Indians 5, Tigers 4

DETROIT -- Yan Gomes hit a tiebreaking sacrifice fly with one out in the sixth inning and added an RBI double in the eighth as Cleveland spoiled the season debut of Tigers right-hander Justin Verlander.

Right-hander Cody Allen got the last four outs for his 14th save.

Verlander (0-1) gave up only three hits in five innings, with two walks and two strikeouts. He threw 87 pitches and was strong through the first four, spotting a fastball that reached 94 mph and mixing it with changeups, curves and sliders. Verlander had been out because of a sore right triceps.

Rangers 11, Twins 7

ARLINGTON, Texas -- Mitch Moreland drove in four runs ans Shin-Soo Choo knocked in three as Texas moved 1 1/2 games behind Houston in the American League West.

The Rangers broke open a 3-3 game with six runs in the fourth, including a three-run homer by Moreland and a solo shot by Joey Gallo.

Eddie Rosario drove in two runs for the Twins.

Diamondbacks 4, Giants 2

SAN FRANCISCO -- Right-hander Allen Webster allowed two runs and two hits in 5 2/3 innings in his Arizona debut as the Diamondbacks improved to 5-1 at AT&T Park this season.

Giants right-hander Ryan Vogelsong lasted just 3 2/3 innings, his second shortest start of the season, and lost his third straight game. He allowed four runs and six hits, walked five and struck out just one.

Arizona's Paul Goldschmidt and David Peralta each went 2-for-4 with an RBI and a run.

Orioles 9, Yankees 4

BALTIMORE -- Nolam Reimold and Manny Machado each hit two-run homers and Machado tied a career high with four RBIs as Baltimore extended its winning streak to six.

Matt Wieters and Ryan Flaherty each had two hits and scored twice for the Orioles, who have won eight of their last nine and made it over .500 for the first time since May 4.

New York's Chase Headley went 3-for-5 with two runs and Alex Rodriguez hit a two-run homer.

Angels 1, Athletics 0

ANAHEIM, Calif. -- Albert Pujols hit his 10th home run in 15 games and C.J. Wilson allowed two hits in seven innings to lead Los Angeles over Oakland.

Wilson (4-5) matched his season high with eight strikeouts, induced eight groundouts and did not concede a run for the first time since April 7.

Pujols gave the Angels a 1-0 lead in the first with his 18th home run of the season and the 538th of his career. The drive gave Pujols 1,636 career RBIs, tying him with Hall of Famer Ernie Banks for 29th place all time.

Padres 2, Dodgers 1

SAN DIEGO -- Justin Upton snapped a 1-1 tie with a two-out homer in the eighth inning that lifted San Diego over Los Angeles and ace Zack Greinke.

Upton's 13th home run of the season carried 406 feet to the entrance to the Padres bullpen. It halted the Dodgers' four-game winning streak and gave the Padres only their fourth win in 11 games against the Dodgers this season.

The win was the Padres' first against Greinke, who entered with a 5-0 record against them with a 1.53 ERA in 10 starts. He allowed two runs and eight hits in eight innings.

Cubs 4, Reds 3

CHICAGO -- Starlin Castro singled home Kris Bryant in the bottom of the ninth inning to send Chicago past Cincinnati.

Castro lined a 1-0 pitch to center for the winner to end a long night that included a two-hour, 48-minute rain delay. Bryant doubled to center off Tony Cingrani (0-3) to lead off the ninth and Miguel Montero was hit by a pitch before Castro came through with the big hit.

Jason Mott (3-1) pitched a scoreless ninth for the Cubs. Montero hit a two-run homer in the in the second that gave Chicago a 2-0 lead.

[StarDust Bum]

LeBron says Cavs will stay course, not panic

Jun 13, 2015

The Cleveland Cavaliers aren't panicking after losing Game 4 in the NBA Finals at home. They plan to stay the course as the series shifts to Golden State on Sunday night.

The Warriors surprised the Cavs on Thursday night by going with a smaller lineup, starting Andre Iguodala in place of Andrew Bogut, and came away with a win that evened the best-of-seven series at two games each.

Cavs forward LeBron James said Saturday that the Cavaliers won't do anything drastic for Game 5 at Oracle Arena.

"We're going to play our game," James said. "We've gotten to this point by playing the way we play, and we're not going to change. We'll make adjustments throughout the game, but we won't change our starting lineup."

The Cavs have been forced to alter their lineup throughout the playoffs because of injuries to Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving and when J.R. Smith was suspended. Tristan Thompson replaced Love, Matthew Dellavedova took over for Irving and Iman Shumpert subbed for Smith.

"Well, I think that we've made more than our share of adjustments throughout the course of the entire playoffs, not only in this series," Cavaliers coach David Blatt said. "Every game brings out new things and certainly presents new challenges.

"If you look at the one game, it makes you think, 'OK, we've got to change this, that and the other thing.' If you look at the four games, in three out of four of those games we were pretty good doing the things that we did. So I think you'll see a combination of both of those possibilities. We've got to continue to do certain things really well. What we need to change, we will."

The Cavs have used primarily a seven-man rotation, but that could expand as the series progresses. Blatt possibly could turn to veterans Shawn Marion or Mike Miller.

"We've got a lot of experienced players on our roster and a lot of guys have been through these battles before," Blatt said. "Some of the guys have not played a whole lot. Our results have been pretty good as we've been playing, but, again, I believe in those guys and their ability to step in, if necessary, and do what needs to be done."

Warriors coach Steve Kerr wasn't tipping his hand about his lineup, saying he lied about it Thursday "so however I answer right now, you shouldn't believe me anyway."

James expects the Cavs to be ready for the Warriors' smaller lineup.

"You've got a guy that's primarily on the perimeter (Iguodala) in Game 4 versus guarding a guy that's always in the paint (Bogut), for the most part, unless he's initiating offense," James said. "So it's definitely a different change for us. But I think we'll be much more prepared for it [Sunday] night if they go with the same lineup."

[StarDust Bum]

Game of the day: Cavaliers at Warriors

Jun 13, 2015

Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors (-8.5,195.5)

Series tied 2-2

The injury-riddled Cleveland Cavaliers may have to dig into their bench for reinforcements when they face the host Golden State Warriors in Sunday's Game 5 of the NBA Finals. The losses of forward Kevin Love (shoulder) and point guard Kyrie Irving (knee) have left Cleveland short-handed but the series is tied at two games apiece after Golden State emerged victorious with a 103-82 rout in Game 4.

Cavaliers coach David Blatt has been reluctant to play more than seven or eight players but star forward LeBron James not-so-subtly hinted that veterans such as Mike Miller (14 minutes in the series) and Shawn Marion (no action) need to see playing time so the starters can get more rest. "That's the coach's decision if he decides he wants to go deeper in the bench," James said at a press conference. "We haven't played many guys throughout this playoff run. I think it would help some of the guys that are playing some high minutes for sure -- just give guys a couple minutes here, a couple minutes there." One of the more valuable players in the series is Golden State guard Andre Iguodala, who started for the first time all season in Game 4 and had 22 points while holding James to a series-low 20. "You understand how hard it really is just to win a game, and you take it one game at a time," Iguodala told reporters. "The flow has changed. You make so many adjustments, your mind's just always locked in on a task and you learn how mentally strong you have to be in order to just win a game and not just a series."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: Online books opened the lines at GS -8.5, 195.5 after Game 4, which has yet to move.

INJURY REPORT: Cavaliers - F LeBron James (Prob-Head), G Kyrie Irving (Out-Knee) Warriors - N/A

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "As expected, the bettors love LeBron in this situation. And can you blame them? Just as Game 4 was a must-win scenario for Golden State, the table has turned and now Cleveland is in the same situation. The chess game will go back and forth between the coaching staffs, but this is really going to come down to how much King James has left in the tank." John Lester, BookMaker.eu

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS: James is averaging 35.8 points in the series despite a miserable 7-for-22 shooting effort in Game 4 that drops his series percentage to 38.8. Guards Matthew Dellavedova (3-of-14), J.R. Smith (2-of-12) and Iman Shumpert (2-of-9) all had dismal shooting performances in Game 4 with Smith missing all eight 3-point attempts as Cleveland was 4-of-27 from behind the arc. "We don't have many options as far as lineups we can to go, but we can make adjustments," James said. "That's what you do throughout a series."

ABOUT THE WARRIORS: Iguodala's surprise start moved center Andrew Bogut to the bench and Bogut played just three minutes while forward David Lee remained part of the rotation after providing a spark in Game 3. But outside of Iguodala's contributions, the best sight for Golden State was seeing point guard Stephen Curry shoot 4-of-7 from 3-point range and the league MVP has scored 39 points over the last five quarters. "Obviously, you never lose your confidence," Curry said at his press conference. "You understand there is a lot of series left, and a lot of opportunity to turn it around."

TRENDS:

*Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
*Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.
*Under is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
*Under is 13-3 in Warriors last 16 overall.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 61.82 percent of the consensus is on the Cavs +8.5 with 59.4 percent on the over.

[StarDust Bum]

Warriors expect better play at home

June 14, 2015

OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) - When the NBA returned to a 2-2-1-1-1 format for the NBA Finals, it swung the advantage in Game 5 back to the higher-seeded team.

Under the system that was used for about three decades, the middle three games were hosted by the team with the worse record. Had that not been changed before the 2013-14 season, Sunday's game would have been in Cleveland.

Critics of the 2-3-2 format argued that Game 5, often a pivotal game when the series is tied, should be a home game for the team with the better record.

Now the Golden State Warriors have it, and know they need to capitalize on it.

After going 39-2 at home in the regular season, they have lost twice at Oracle Arena in the postseason, including Game 2 of this series. They didn't play well in Game 1, either.

''But I think we're going to be really composed, really aggressive,'' Warriors guard Stephen Curry said. ''We're going to feed off our crowd's energy tomorrow, which we're going to need because that's why you play so hard during the regular season, to have home-court advantage, to be able to capitalize off of that in situations like these.''

The team that won Game 5 of the finals when the series was tied 2-2 won the title 20 of 28 times.

''I think it's going to be a big momentum swing, whoever wins Game 5. That is pretty obvious with the series being 2-2,'' Warriors forward David Lee said. ''But we're not really worried about the result as much as we've got to come out and play the way we played in Game 4, and that is play Warriors basketball.''

Here are some things to watch Sunday:

STAYING SMALL?: Steve Kerr wouldn't reveal whether he would stick with the lineup he used for Game 4, with Andre Iguodala in and center Andrew Bogut going to the bench.

The smaller lineup helped speed up the tempo and the Warriors had their best performance of the series in their 103-82 victory. Yet, they also won 67 games in the regular season with a conventional lineup, so either option could work.

''Obviously we won Game 1 with our normal lineup. We've had a great season with our normal lineup,'' forward Harrison Barnes said. ''So it's something we went through last (game) to get our offense going. So whether we stick with it or go back to the old one, we'll see.''

LOOKING TO LEBRON: Held to 20 points in Game 4 after averaging more than 40 for the first three, LeBron James won't go out searching for a certain number of shots or points, and coach David Blatt said the Cavaliers don't want him feeling he has to.

''For me, from the perception, it's a lose-lose when it comes to, `OK, well, in the first three games I score 40, but I shoot a lot of shots. Last game I scored 20, I don't shoot as many shots, and we lose.' So it's like, what do you want?'' James said.

''So for me, that's not my thought process. I don't really care about it. All I care about is how I can produce for our team.''

FEELING GREAT, MATE: The extra day of rest between Games 4 and 5 benefited all the players, but was perhaps most important for Matthew Dellavedova. The Australian point guard needed treatment for dehydration after his brilliant Game 3 performance and didn't look recovered Thursday, struggling to 10 points on 3-of-14 shooting.

''I'm feeling great,'' he said Saturday. ''I'm feeling a lot better and really ready to go for Game 5.''

NOWHERE TO GO BUT UP: J.R. Smith missed all eight 3-pointers in a 2-for-12 performance in Game 4. At least he knows things can only improve.

''It's one game, so the best part about it, I can't play no worse,'' he said.

He certainly has to play better. The former Sixth Man of the Year is shooting just 29.8 percent from the field in the finals.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, June 14


Cleveland @ Golden State

Game 709-710
June 14, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
123.518
Golden State
141.519
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 18
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 8
195
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-8); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, June 14

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CLEVELAND (67 - 33) at GOLDEN STATE (81 - 20) - 6/14/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 132-178 ATS (-63.8 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 55-42 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 50-36 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 67-98 ATS (-40.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, June 14


NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series Tied- 2-2

Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers, 9:00 ET
Golden State: 13-3 UNDER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days,
Golden State: 67-98 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders

Cleveland: 33-19 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more,
Cleveland: 15-2 ATS after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, June 14


Making shots; it is that simple; Warriors are 22-57 from arc in their two series wins, s 20-69 in two lossess. Golden State was 19-27 from line in last game, after going just 7-12 in Game 3. Cleveland attacks hoop more with Irving gone; they are 65-92 on foul line in last three games (13-19 in Game 1). Warriors played well once they started playing with sense of desperation; can they play that way at home? Cleveland was 4-27 from arc in last game- they were 27-89 in first three games.

Golden State won nine of its last 13 games with Cleveland; ten of the 13 games were decided by 8+ points. Cavaliers are 14-4 so far in playoffs, Warriors are 14-5. 11 of last 14 Golden State games stayed under the total, including last three. Six of last seven series games stayed under the total. Golden State needs a faster-paced game to succeed in this series.

2015 playoffs
Cleveland vs Golden State
GSt 108-100 OT, -6, O203.5
Clev 95-93, OT, +7.5, U199
Clev 96-91, +2, U194.5
GSt 103-82, -4, U195




NBA

Sunday, June 14

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. GOLDEN STATE
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Golden State's last 16 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Sunday, June 14

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Game 5 of the NBA Finals is a turning point for totals betting
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After three straight Under finishes (and a Game 1 that would have stayed below the betting total if not for overtime) between the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers, logic says play the Under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals Sunday. History says something different.

Over the past nine NBA Finals, Game 5 has been a turning point in totals betting with a 5-3 Over/Under record since 2006.

The first four games of the championship series have produced a combined 12-25-3 Over/Under (67.5 percent Under) mark - including a 1-3 O/U count this postseason – in that span, with a collective 20-32-3 Over/Under (61.5 percent Under) in the finals overall. And Game 4 has been a consistent Under winner, playing below the total in eight of the past 10 years when including Thursday’s result.

Oddsmakers have set the total for Game 5 in Oracle Arena at 195.5 points - a half point higher than the Game 4 number closed. Books opened Thursday’s total as low as 192.5 before one-sided money on the Over pushed that total upwards.

Game 5 NBA Finals situations have had an average betting total of 191.31 points over the last nine seasons, with the teams combining for an average of 202 points, trumping the Over/Under by 10.69 points in that span.

That scoring surge in Game 5's is a massive jump in production when compared to the scoring in the first four games of the NBA Finals, with teams averaging 185.75 points against an average total of 191.2 from 2006 to 2014.

For the entire playoffs (Round 1 to NBA Finals), Game 5 situations have produced a 63-59 Over/Under count (51.6 percent Over) since 2006, including a 5-3 O/U record in the 2015 NBA Playoffs.

If you’re sizing up the Over for Game 5 Thursday, you may want to pull the trigger sooner than later. Sportsbooks online and in Nevada have all reported one-sided action on the Over in all four games of the NBA Finals, and expect that lean to be even more with the high-scoring Warriors returning home.

Golden State is 1-8-1 Over/Under at home in the playoffs, averaging 100.6 points per game in Oakland – compared to 113.3 points per home game in the regular season. Cleveland is 2-7 O/U on the road in the postseason, scoring 96.2 points per road game after averaging 102.8 points away from Quicken Loans Arena in the regular season.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Sunday, June 14


Under bets hot with NBA Finals heading to Game 5

The Under has gone 3-0 in the past three games in the NBA Finals heading into Game 5 and has a record of 3-1 overall in the series between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors.

The series opened with a total of 203.5 in Game 1 and it took overtime for the teams to eclipse the closing number. The number has come down in each game since with Game 2 at 199 and games 3 and 4 at 194.5.

Oddsmakers opened the total for Game 5 at 195.5 and it has yet to budge as of Sunday morning. Through four games, the two teams are averaging a combined 192 points scored per game.

[StarDust Bum]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, June 14

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CHICAGO (1 - 2) at INDIANA (1 - 3) - 6/14/2015, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 10-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 9-6 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (3 - 0) at PHOENIX (1 - 2) - 6/14/2015, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 8-6 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 9-5 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (2 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 1) - 6/14/2015, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in June games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1997.
ATLANTA is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
ATLANTA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 7-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 5-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (2 - 1) at SAN ANTONIO (0 - 2) - 6/14/2015, 4:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in June games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 6-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (1 - 2) at LOS ANGELES (0 - 1) - 6/14/2015, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 64-92 ATS (-37.2 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
SEATTLE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (2 - 1) at NEW YORK (3 - 1) - 6/14/2015, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 260-319 ATS (-90.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 163-206 ATS (-63.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 164-210 ATS (-67.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-41 ATS (-26.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons