The Bum's Best Bets For Thursday June 11th - MLB - NBA -NHL !

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Reds (26-31) at Cubs (30-26)
Game: 1
Venue: Wrigley Field
Date: June 11, 2015 8:05 PM EDT

After the Cincinnati Reds rode a hot offense while putting together a successful homestand, the primary concern is whether that momentum will follow them on the road.

The Reds seek a season-best fifth straight win Thursday night when they open a four-game series against the Chicago Cubs, who've gained some steam with a high-scoring win.

Cincinnati (27-31) completed a sweep of Philadelphia with a 5-2 victory Wednesday. The Reds put up double-digit hit totals in each win behind Joey Votto and Todd Frazier, who have combined to go 15 for 32 with 12 runs during the streak.

Zack Cozart has also been a key contributor with five RBIs in his last four, but he's likely headed to the disabled list after injuring his right knee in the series finale.

"It's heartbreaking is what it is, to see him carried off the field for the reasons that you mentioned. He's having a great season," manager Bryan Price told MLB's official website. "Certainly, we all want to see him continue to have a phenomenal year and be a big part of our team's success."

The Reds have not experienced the same success on the road, where they've lost nine of their last 10. They were limited to only four hits in a 5-0 loss to the Cubs on April 15 and have dropped five of their last six at Wrigley Field, which will have the entire outfield bleachers open to fans for the first time this season.

Looking to distance his team from those road woes will be Michael Lorenzen (1-1, 3.29 ERA). The right-hander has been solid in six starts this season with a 2.80 ERA and matched a season high with three runs allowed Saturday in a 9-7 loss to San Diego.

Cincinnati's bullpen shouldered the blame for that defeat, allowing six runs over the final three innings. That unit, however, has been dominant in four games since, surrendering only one run in 10 2-3 innings.

Tsuyoshi Wada (0-1, 4.19) will start for Chicago (31-26) on Thursday looking to build on an impressive team performance in Detroit. Following a shutout loss, the Cubs dismantled the Tigers 12-3 on Wednesday to split their brief two-game set.

Miguel Montero and Chris Coghlan each hit a three-run homer - their seventh and eighth of the season, respectively - and eight of Chicago's starters scored to cap a 5-4 trip.

"It was a good trip," manager Joe Maddon said. "We could have started it better, but we finished strongly and I'll take it."

Wada struggled Friday with five runs allowed in 3 2-3 innings against Washington, but had posted a 2.30 ERA in his three previous starts. The left-hander has a 1.97 ERA while not allowing more than two earned runs in any of his last nine outings at Wrigley.

Wada has faced Cincinnati once in his career when he allowed an unearned run in five innings of a 6-5 loss on July 8 in his MLB debut. Lorenzen has yet to face the Cubs.

Anthony Rizzo is hitting .356 with 10 home runs in 21 meetings with the Reds dating to the start of last season. He scored three runs during Chicago's first home series this year against Cincinnati, which dropped two of three in April 13-15.

Billy Hamilton has 14 stolen bases against Chicago - his second-most versus any opponent.


SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Reds at Cubs
Thu, Jun 11 - 8:05PM EDT

GAME 2
Reds at Cubs
Fri, Jun 12 - 4:05PM EDT

GAME 3
Reds at Cubs
Sat, Jun 13 - 7:15PM EDT

GAME 4
Reds at Cubs
Sun, Jun 14 - 8:05PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Nationals (30-28) at Brewers (22-37)
Game: 1
Venue: Miller Park
Date: June 11, 2015 8:10 PM EDT

Most everything has gone awry for the Milwaukee Brewers this season, and their play at Miller Park stands at the top of the list.

Following a winning road trip, the Brewers will look to change their home fortunes when they face the Washington Nationals on Thursday night.

Milwaukee (22-38) has lost seven of eight at Miller Park, getting outscored 45-27 during that stretch, and has the worst home record in baseball at 9-20. The only victory in that span came in a 17-inning marathon against Arizona on May 31, won in large part due to the relief effort of Matt Garza (4-7, 5.09 ERA), who got the decision after working five scoreless innings.

The right-hander followed that performance with another victory Saturday, pitching seven innings and allowing one run in a 4-2 win over Minnesota.

Prior to those two outings, Garza had posted an 11.66 ERA in losing three straight starts.

'I got away from me and the way I like to pitch, and it was getting harder and harder to not only look at myself but to sleep at night,' Garza said. 'You can't do this game without having fun.'

Saturday's win was one of five for the Brewers on their nine-game trip. Milwaukee posted a 1.47 ERA in going 3-2 in the last five contests, and the bullpen surrendered one run during the swing.

"We're in these games," manager Craig Counsell said. "Our pitching's giving us a chance so that's what you want. We'll take these. You've got to get us a chance and the pitching is giving us a chance, giving the offense a chance for sure."

Garza is 0-3 with a 7.33 ERA in six career starts against Washington and had the shortest start of his career in his last meeting, leaving after giving up five runs in one-third of an inning in an 8-3 road loss July 19.

The Nationals (31-28), though, have mostly struggled over the past two weeks, beating the New York Yankees 5-4 in 11 innings Wednesday to give them a 3-9 mark in their last 12.

Michael Taylor and Danny Espinosa homered and Denard Span drove in two runs, including the winner.

Span, who had missed the previous game with back tightness, went 3 for 6 with a double. He's gone 7 for 13 in his last three against Milwaukee.

"Denard is a hard worker and he gives everything he's got every day," Wednesday's starter Gio Gonzalez said. "You see it defensively, you see it on the basepaths, you see it in the way he grinds out at_bats. I don't expect anything less from him and I don't think he expects anything less from himself."

Tanner Roark (2-2, 3.16) suffered through a shaky performance in his third start of the year Friday, allowing four runs in 5 2-3 innings of a 7-5 win over the Chicago Cubs. Roark, who spent all of 2014 as a starter, has gone 2-0 with a 3.78 ERA since injuries forced him back into the rotation May 25.

The right-hander has a 5-0 record and 2.97 ERA in his last six starts against NL Central opponents. He pitched seven innings of one-run ball in his only appearance against the Brewers on July 19, striking out five.


SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Nationals at Brewers
Thu, Jun 11 - 8:10PM EDT

GAME 2
Nationals at Brewers
Fri, Jun 12 - 8:10PM EDT

GAME 3
Nationals at Brewers
Sat, Jun 13 - 4:10PM EDT

GAME 4
Nationals at Brewers
Sun, Jun 14 - 2:10PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Rangers (31-27) at Athletics (23-37)
Game: 3
Venue: O.co Coliseum
Date: June 11, 2015 3:35 PM EDT

Kevin Brown took a nondescript name and turned it into one with a reputation in Texas.

Chi Chi Gonzalez doesn't have to worry about his name being overlooked among a mundane roster, but he's also doing his best to tag it with early achievement.

The rookie has joined Brown as the last two Rangers pitchers to start their first two games in the majors and win both, and another victory Thursday in Oakland would make Gonzalez the first to do it in three.

Brown (1986-88) and Glen Cook (1985) were the only two to do it prior to Gonzalez (2-0, 0.00 ERA), though Brown's starts came in nonconsecutive seasons. The previous two also weren't quite as dominant with Cook allowing five total runs and Brown three, while Gonzalez is yet to surrender his first run.

Gonzalez threw a three-hitter in Friday's 4-0 win in Kansas City, and the right-hander has limited opponents to a .106 average, though he's walked seven in 14 2-3 innings. Only two came in the shutout.

"He was the poster boy for what we have been talking about with our pitchers," manager Jeff Banister told MLB's official website. "Three pitches or less, early contact and ground-ball outs."

He'll be starting for a club that can win a seventh straight series for the first time since June 8-July 1, 2012. The Rangers (31-28) would also be going for a three-game sweep if they hadn't allowed one to get away in Wednesday's 5-4 walk-off loss.

The teams have traded wins and losses all season with Oakland (24-37) holding a 5-4 advantage. The Athletics came from 4-2 down entering the bottom of the eighth Wednesday to end a four-game losing streak.

"We used to specialize in those here for quite a while," manager Bob Melvin said. "It was nice to be able to come back from 4-2 to tie it, then come back and score another run. It was a good feeling."

Josh Reddick drove in the winning run in the ninth, and the right fielder is batting .500 with 14 RBIs in an eight-game hitting streak against Texas.

Scott Kazmir (2-4, 3.14) starts for an A's team looking to win consecutive home games for just the second time this year. It would be the club's second straight home series victory after going without a win in the first seven.

Kazmir's season began with two victories like Gonzalez, but he's gone winless in his last nine starts despite a 3.78 ERA. He hasn't qualified for a win in his last two, with a missed start sandwiched between due to shoulder tightness.

The left-hander returned in Friday's 4-2 loss in Boston and allowed four runs - three earned - and nine hits in 4 2-3 innings.

"I look at the pitches I made, the hits I gave up," said Kazmir, who will try to help the bullpen by going deep into his start after the relievers pitched 5 1-3 innings Wednesday. "I've just got to be better out there. I will be next time."

He's been much better at home with a 1-1 record and 1.65 ERA in five starts, with the victory coming by a 10-0 score over Texas on April 8. Kazmir limited the Rangers to a hit with 10 strikeouts in seven innings.

He faced them in a 7-5 win in Texas on May 1 and didn't get the decision after allowing three runs in six innings. He's 4-1 with a 3.41 ERA in six starts in the series since joining the A's.

Prince Fielder (2 for 14) and Robinson Chirinos (1 for 11) have struggled against Kazmir.


SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Rangers at Athletics
Tue, Jun 9 Final 2 to 1
Boxscores • Recaps

GAME 2
Rangers at Athletics
Wed, Jun 10 - Final 4 to 5
Boxscores

GAME 3
Rangers at Athletics
Thu, Jun 11 - 3:35PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

Braves activate Kelly Johnson from DL

June 10, 2015

ATLANTA (AP) - The Braves have activated Kelly Johnson from the 15-day disabled list and optioned outfielder Joey Terdoslavich to Triple-A Gwinnett.

Johnson is starting in left field and hitting sixth in Wednesday night's game against the San Diego Padres. He has been out since May 14 with a right oblique strain and despite missing 24 games still ranks second on the team with six homers. He is hitting .259 with starts in left field, right field and third base.

Terdoslavich's demotion comes one day after his pinch-hit homer in the eighth inning gave Atlanta the lead in its 6-5 win over the Padres on Tuesday night. It was his first big league homer and it came in only his fourth at-bat of the season.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, June 11


National League
Padres @ Braves
Cashner is 1-1, 8.31 in his last three starts, all of which went over.

Teheran is 0-1, 7.65 in his last three starts; nine of his last ten went over.

Home side won eight of last nine Padre-Brave games; six of those nine games went over total. San Diego lost three of last four games; eight of their last 10 games went over. Braves won last two, after losing five of their previous six.

Rockies @ Marlins
Rusin is 1-0, 1.93 in his first two starts this season.

Phelps is 0-3, 8.71 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under.

Colorado lost three of last four games in Miami; over is 6-3-1 in last 10 series games overall. Rockies are 4-0 in games following their last four losses- three of last four games overall stayed under. Marlins lost four of last five; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games.

Giants @ Mets
Lincecum is 3-1, 4.84 in his last four starts; last three all went over.

Niese is 0-4, 9.00 in his last five starts (over 4-0-1).

Mets lost nine of last ten games with Giants; under is 4-2-1 in last seven series games played here. NY lost six of its last eight games. Giants won four of last five games (over 7-1-2).

Reds @ Cubs
Lorenzen is 0-0, 2.79 in his last three starts; four of his last six went over.

Wada is 0-1, 4.19 in his four starts, three of which stayed under.

Cincinnati lost seven of last eight games with the Cubs. Reds won last four games overall, scoring 26 runs; eight of their last 10 games went over. Cubs won three of their last four games.

Nationals @ Brewers
Roark is 2-0, 3.78 in his first three starts (over 2-1).

Garza is 2-0, 0.75 in his last two outings, after going 0-3, 11.66 in three starts before that. Five of his last seve starts went over.

Washington won seven of last ten games with Milwaukee; three of last four went over total. Nationals lost six of their last eight games. Brewers won four of last six games; their last five games all stayed under.

American League
Red Sox @ Orioles
Miley is 4-1, 3.00 in his last five starts; his last seven stayed under.

Tillman is 1-2, 4.71 in his last four starts.

Boston lost six of last eight games with Baltimore; four of last seven in series went over. Red Sox won five of their last nine games- eight of their last 11 stayed under. Orioles won five of last six games; six of their last seven went under the total.

Angels @ Rays
Richards is 2-2, 8.85 in his last four starts, all of which went over.

Colome is 1-1, 3.23 in his last four starts; four of his last six went over.

Angels are 6-4 in last ten games with Tampa Bay; over is 7-1-1 in last nine series games. Halos lost six of last seven games, allowing 40 runs; over is 5-2-1 in last eight games. Rays won six of last eight games; five of their last six games stayed under.

Mariners @ Indians
Happ is 0-0, 3.33 in his last five starts; five of his last seven went over.

Marcum is 2-1, 6.00 in his four starts, three of which stayed under.

Road team won six of last seven Seattle-Cleveland games; under is 8-4 in last 12 series games. Mariners lost eight of last 11 games, with six of last seven staying under total. Indians are 2-5 in last seven games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight.

Rangers @ A's
Gonzalez allowed nine baserunners, no runs in winning first two MLB starts (14.2 IP); both games stayed under.

Kazmir is 0-4, 6.07 in his last six starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight.

Texas is 4-6 in last ten games with Oakland; over is 5-1-1 in last seven. Texas won eight of last 11 games; five of last six stayed under. A's lost four of last five games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
SD-Atl-- Cashner 3-9; Teheran 8-4
Col-Mia-- Rusin 1-1; Phelps 3-7
SF-NY-- Lincecum 6-5; Niese 3-8
Cin-Chi-- Lorenzen 3-3; Wada 2-2
Wsh-Mil-- Roark 2-1; Garza 4-7

Sea-Clev-- Happ 6-5; Marcum 2-2
Tex-A's-- Gonzalez 2-0; Kazmir 3-8
Bos-Balt-- Miley 6-5; Tillman 4-7
LA-TB-- Richards 6-4; Colome 3-5

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
SD-Atl-- Cashner 5-12; Teheran 4-12
Col-Mia-- Rusin 0-2; Phelps 4-10
SF-NY-- Lincecum 3-11; Niese 4-11
Cin-Chi-- Lorenzen 0-6; Wada 1-4
Wsh-Mil-- Roark 1-3; Garza 4-11

Sea-Clev-- Happ 4-11; Marcum 1-4
Tex-A's-- Gonzalez 0-2; Kazmir 2-11
Bos-Balt-- Miley 3-11; Tillman 2-11
LA-TB-- Richards 1-10; Colome 2-8

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Thursday, June 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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12:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ATLANTA
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 10 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego

12:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. CLEVELAND
Seattle is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Cleveland's last 19 games when playing at home against Seattle
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

3:35 PM
TEXAS vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Oakland's last 25 games at home

7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. BALTIMORE
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games

7:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
LA Angels are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels

7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
San Francisco is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
COLORADO vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home

8:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chi Cubs's last 15 games

8:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Thursday, June 11


Yankees place closer Miller on DL

The New York Yankees placed closer Andrew Miller on the 15-day disabled list with a strained left forearm muscle on Wednesday.

An MRI revealed a strained flexor muscle, and the left-hander was placed on the DL after the Yankees' 5-4 loss to the Washington Nationals, manager Joe Girardi said. He will be re-evaluated in a couple of days.

Right-hander Dellin Betances will take over as closer in the interim.

Miller, who joined the Yankees on a four-year, $36 million deal last offseason, has 17 saves and a 1.03 ERA. Betances is 4-0 with two saves and a 0.28 ERA.


Niese's struggles have Mets losing, Overs cashing

New York Mets' P Jon Niese is struggling as of late, which has led the team to drop their last five games with the leftie starting.

Niese has worked 26 innings in his past five starts while allowing 23 runs and five home runs. It should not come as a shock then that the over/under records during those games are 4-0-1.

The Mets host the San Francisco Giants Thursday.


Red Sox struggling to score runs against Tillman

The Boston Red Sox have seen their fair share of Chris Tillman, but the Bo-Sox have only picked up one win in their past seven against the Baltimore Orioles pitcher.

Over 38.1 innings pitched, Tillman has only allowed 13 runs (1.9 per game) while tossing 33 strikes (4.7 per game).

However, Tillman has struggled at Camden Yards this season with an 0-4 record with a 7.50 ERA.


Braves going over with this pitcher on the mound

The Atlanta Braves are expected to send Julio Teheran to the mound Thursday, with the team carrying a 10-2 over/under record with the Colombian starting this season.

Teheran has not been the ace the Braves were hoping for this season with the young right-hander averaging 5.2 innings per outing while holding 4.87 ERA.


Over bettors sizing up Heston's next start after no-hitter

Chris Heston became the first rookie to toss a no-no since 2007 (Clay Buchholz), when the San Francisco Giants beat the New York Mets 5-0 on June 9.

Heston did not allow a single hit or walk, though he did hit three batters, while striking out 11 as the Giants were a +110 road dog Tuesday.

However, going back to 1999, and excluding three collective no-no's involving more than one pitcher (Houston 2003, Seattle 2012, Philadelphia 2014), starters making their first appearance since their no-hitter are 22-16-1 Over/Under – 56 percent Over.

Last season featured three no-hitters from LA's Clayton Kershaw, San Francisco's Tim Lincecum and Washington's Jordan Zimmerman. Last season saw those pitchers go 1-2 O/U in their next start with Lincecum and ZImmerman combining for 16.2 innings pitched and one run in their start following their no-no.

Heston is expected to be back on the mound Sunday versus the Arizona Diamonbacks - according to the Giants' current pitching rotation. He is 6-4 with a 3.77 ERA this season. San Fran has gone 6-3-1 O/U in Heston's past 10 starts.


Phillies' road record their worst since 1941

CINCINNATI -- Not since Joe DiMaggio was hitting safely in 56 straight games and Ted Williams batted .406 have the Philadelphia Phillies been this miserable on the road.

On Wednesday, manager Ryne Sandberg's club lost its seventh straight road game, dropping to 7-23 away from Citizens Bank Park with a 5-2 defeat at Cincinnati.

It's the Phillies' worst road mark through 30 games since 1941 when they started 6-24.

"It seems like the last couple of weeks, we've been trying to come from behind, playing catch-up in every game," Phillies manager Ryne Sandberg said.

Philadelphia hasn't won a road series since Sept. 5-7, 2014, at Washington.

The Reds homered eight times in the series, helping them complete the sweep at Great American Ball Park after the Phillies took two of three from them at home last week.

"We got out-homered 8-0 in the series," Sandberg said. "This has been going on for a few weeks now."

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, June 11


San Diego @ Atlanta

Game 901-902
June 11, 2015 @ 12:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Cashner) 16.903
Atlanta
(Teheran) 14.225
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-125
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+105); Over

Colorado @ Miami

Game 903-904
June 11, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Rusin) 15.564
Miami
(Phelps) 14.490
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+115); Over

San Francisco @ NY Mets

Game 905-906
June 11, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Lincecum) 16.232
NY Mets
(Niese) 14.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-115); Under

Cincinnati @ Chicago Cubs

Game 907-908
June 11, 2015 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Lorenzen) 14.400
Chicago Cubs
(Wada) 16.819
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 2 1/2
6 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-145
No Run Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-145); N/A

Washington @ Milwaukee

Game 909-910
June 11, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Roark) 15.652
Milwaukee
(Garza) 14.244
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-120); Over

Seattle @ Cleveland

Game 911-912
June 11, 2015 @ 12:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Happ) 16.481
Cleveland
(Marcum) 15.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-110); Over

Texas @ Oakland

Game 913-914
June 11, 2015 @ 3:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Gonzalez) 16.354
Oakland
(Kazmir) 15.521
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+140); Under

Boston @ Baltimore

Game 915-916
June 11, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Miley) 15.820
Baltimore
(Tillman) 16.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-110
8
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-110); Under

LA Angels @ Tampa Bay

Game 917-918
June 11, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Richards) 13.647
Tampa Bay
(Colome) 16.257
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-130
7
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+110); Under

[StarDust Bum]

Pro Baseball Trend Report

SAN DIEGO (30 - 31) at ATLANTA (29 - 30) - 12:10 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 9-19 (-12.7 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-12 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
ATLANTA is 106-112 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 85-92 (-15.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 55-65 (-23.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

ATLANTA is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)
ANDREW CASHNER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CASHNER is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 0.875.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
JULIO TEHERAN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
TEHERAN is 1-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 1.178.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

COLORADO (27 - 31) at MIAMI (24 - 36) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS RUSIN (L) vs. DAVID PHELPS (R)

Top Trends for this game.

COLORADO is 151-270 (-63.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
COLORADO is 35-73 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 35-73 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 57-89 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 23-55 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 19-48 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 74-94 (-29.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 402-393 (+40.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
MIAMI is 24-36 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 2-8 (-9.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
MIAMI is 4-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History

MIAMI is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
CHRIS RUSIN vs. MIAMI since 1997
RUSIN is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
DAVID PHELPS vs. COLORADO since 1997
PHELPS is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 10.24 and a WHIP of 1.551.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

SAN FRANCISCO (34 - 26) at NY METS (31 - 29) - 7:10 PM
TIM LINCECUM (R) vs. JON NIESE (L)
Top Trends for this game.

SAN FRANCISCO is 134-105 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 67-53 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-5 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 134-105 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-35 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 78-55 (+22.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 61-52 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LINCECUM is 23-12 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NIESE is 5-17 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History

SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 (+2.6 Units) against NY METS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
TIM LINCECUM vs. NY METS since 1997
LINCECUM is 6-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 7-4 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.3 units)
JON NIESE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
NIESE is 1-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.119.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-6. (-6.3 units)

CINCINNATI (27 - 31) at CHICAGO CUBS (31 - 26) - 8:05 PM
MICHAEL LORENZEN (R) vs. TSUYOSHI WADA (L)
Top Trends for this game.

CINCINNATI is 8-26 (-15.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 16-28 (-20.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 27-54 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 699-793 (+35.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 347-369 (+37.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1418-1579 (-278.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 759-737 (-164.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 359-345 (-88.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1361-1492 (-253.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 225-231 (-65.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1042-1175 (-212.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 657-762 (-201.2 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 692-695 (-158.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History

CHICAGO CUBS is 4-1 (+2.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)
MICHAEL LORENZEN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.
TSUYOSHI WADA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WADA is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

WASHINGTON (31 - 28) at MILWAUKEE (22 - 38) - 8:10 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.

WASHINGTON is 2-8 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-38 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 9-20 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 67-87 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 22-38 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 5-14 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 16-32 (-15.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 6-14 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
GARZA is 67-78 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TANNER ROARK vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ROARK is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
MATT GARZA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
GARZA is 0-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 7.33 and a WHIP of 1.778.
His team's record is 2-4 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.6 units)

SEATTLE (27 - 32) at CLEVELAND (27 - 31) - 12:10 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. SHAUN MARCUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.

SEATTLE is 27-32 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 145-183 (-52.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 22-31 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 720-648 (-100.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 112-66 (+30.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 60-48 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-3 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games in June games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-31 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-18 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 117-120 (-46.3 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 27-31 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MARCUM is 3-15 (-14.4 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARCUM is 14-22 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History

SEATTLE is 3-3 (+0.5 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
J.A. HAPP vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
HAPP is 2-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.00 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
SHAUN MARCUM vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MARCUM is 2-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.608.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+4.1 units)

TEXAS (31 - 28) at OAKLAND (24 - 37) - 3:35 PM
CHI CHI GONZALEZ (R) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.

OAKLAND is 157-81 (+61.7 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
KAZMIR is 22-4 (+15.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 31-28 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 9-3 (+11.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 this season.
TEXAS is 20-13 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 27-25 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 33-27 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 29-26 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 38-26 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 16-11 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 24-37 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 10-18 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 12-19 (-11.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
OAKLAND is 6-16 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
OAKLAND is 22-35 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 81-76 (-19.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 7-16 (-12.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History

TEXAS is 4-5 (+0.9 Units) against OAKLAND this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.2 Units)
CHI CHI GONZALEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.
SCOTT KAZMIR vs. TEXAS since 1997
KAZMIR is 10-5 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.188.
His team's record is 14-6 (+6.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-7. (+2.7 units)

BOSTON (27 - 33) at BALTIMORE (28 - 30) - 7:05 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.

BOSTON is 27-33 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 42-57 (-23.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 10-17 (-10.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 25-29 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 68-88 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 68-87 (-26.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 40-48 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 128-100 (+33.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 66-52 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 34-19 (+12.4 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 71-46 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 30-15 (+16.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 65-46 (+20.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 114-88 (+29.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 87-60 (+30.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 57-39 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TILLMAN is 30-18 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 27-15 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 38-20 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 15-5 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 16-28 (-16.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

BALTIMORE is 6-3 (+3.6 Units) against BOSTON this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)
WADE MILEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MILEY is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 9.65 and a WHIP of 1.608.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.5 units)
CHRIS TILLMAN vs. BOSTON since 1997
TILLMAN is 8-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.349.
His team's record is 11-6 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-10. (-3.2 units)

LA ANGELS (29 - 30) at TAMPA BAY (32 - 28) - 7:10 PM
GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. ALEX COLOME (R)
Top Trends for this game.

LA ANGELS are 12-28 (-17.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 763-745 (+65.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 137-115 (+34.7 Units) against the money line in road games in June games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 102-71 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 109-113 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-14 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
TAMPA BAY is 50-60 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-11 (-10.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
TAMPA BAY is 51-61 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 58-67 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-42 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 4-11 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History

TAMPA BAY is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)
GARRETT RICHARDS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
RICHARDS is 2-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.02 and a WHIP of 1.954.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

ALEX COLOME vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
COLOME is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 7.50 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, June 11


Golden State @ Cleveland

Game 707--708
June 11, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
136.445
Cleveland
128.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 8
188
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 2 1/2
193 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-2 1/2); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, June 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (80 - 20) at CLEVELAND (67 - 32) - 6/11/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 54-42 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, June 10


When a team goes 12-34 from arc and only 7-12 on line, its hard for them to win; Golden State is 20-69 from arc last two games- Cavaliers are kicking their butts with physical play, a stronger will. Cleveland attacks hoop more with Irving gone; they are 45-64 on foul line in lst two games (13-19 in Game 1). Warriors played well once they started playing with sense of desperation; can they play that way for 48:00? Dellavedova is a spunky guy who defends well; he played 42:00/38:31 last two games, was in hospital for dehydration after-- can he keep up his gritty play?

Golden State won eight of its last 12 games with Cleveland; nine of the 12 games were decided by 8+ points. Cavaliers are 14-3 so far in playoffs, Warriors are 13-5. Ten of last 13 Golden State games stayed under the total. Five of last six series games stayed under the total. Warriors won four of last six visits here, but Lebron was in Miami for the four wins. Golden State needs a faster-paced game to succeed in this series.

2015 playoffs
Cleveland vs Golden State
GSt 108-100 OT, -6, O203.5
Clev 95-93, OT, +7.5, U199
Clev 96-91, +2, U194.5




NBA

Thursday, June 11

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

9:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. CLEVELAND
Golden State is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Cleveland is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Golden State

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Thursday, June 11

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Game of the Day: Warriors at Cavaliers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers (+2.5, 193)

Cavaliers lead series 2-1

The Cleveland Cavaliers are controlling the pace and flow of the NBA Finals and look to take another step toward winning the best-of-seven series when they host the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Cleveland again frustrated the speedy Warriors while posting a 96-91 in Game 3 on Tuesday and can take a dominating 3-1 series lead with another strong effort in Game 4.

The Cavaliers have slowed the games to a tempo that has knocked high-scoring Golden State out of sync while LeBron James has been dynamic by averaging 41 points, 12 rebounds and 8.3 assists over the first three games. "Every time the media or anyone thinks that he can't accomplish something or do something remarkable, he always answers the call," forward Tristan Thompson told reporters. "He's playing great basketball for us, and we're just getting on his shoulders and just riding him the through the game." League MVP Stephen Curry is averaging 24 points in the series for the Warriors but was nonexistent for most of the first 30 minutes in Game 3 before a strong final quarter in which he made five 3-pointers and scored 17 points. "Whether I'm making shots or not, I've got to stay -- I'll use the word vibrant -- just kind of having fun out there," Curry said at a press conference. "Because the team definitely feeds off of my energy and the joy for the game."

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: The opening total (192.5) has jumped half-a-point. The spread opened at CLE +2.5 and has remained there.

INJURY REPORT: Warriors - F Draymond Green (Prob-Back) Cavaliers - G Matthew Dellavedova (Prob-Fatigue), G Iman Shumpert (Prob-Shoulder)

ABOUT THE WARRIORS: Golden State looks nothing like the squad that recorded 67 regular-season victories and forward Draymond Green criticized his team's effort and competitiveness on Wednesday's off-day. "They're playing like a team that's desperate and needs something," Green told reporters of the Cavaliers. "We're playing like a team that's not desperate and got something. ... This isn't the time to be quiet. Everybody should speak up. You be quiet now, you'll be home in a couple of days." Perhaps the biggest positive the Warriors could point to in Game 3 was the play of reserve forward David Lee, who came off the bench to score 11 points in 13 minutes in his first action of the series.

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS: Cleveland is already without point guard Kyrie Irving (knee) and power forward Kevin Love (shoulder) and sidestepped more misfortune when guards Iman Shumpert (shoulder) and Matthew Dellavedova (severe dehydration) had issues in Game 3. Shumpert collided with the screening Green and injured his left shoulder and an MRI exam performed Wednesday displayed the injury was only a bruise, while Dellavedova cramped up so badly after Tuesday's 20-point performance that he was taken to a hospital via ambulance and spent the night receiving IV treatments. "I felt like I pushed the limit a few times," Dellavedova told reporters Wednesday after returning to the team. "That's the most tired I've been. I'm feeling good now, though."

TRENDS:

*Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
*Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
*Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
*Under is 12-3 in Warriors last 15 overall.

CONSENSUS: 51.32 percent of the public is behind the Warriors -2.5 with 71.4 percent on the over.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Thursday, June 11

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Cavs-Warriors NBA Finals sees historic adjustment in Over/Under betting
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The 2015 NBA Finals has undergone the biggest adjustment in betting totals from Game 1 to Game 4 in any championship series over the last 24 years, with a 10.5-point difference between the opening game total and fourth installment of the series.

Going back to the 1991 NBA Finals (as far back as Covers’ NBA betting database allows), the most a total has jumped between Game 1 and Game 4 is 6.5 points. That adjustment occurred in the 1991 championship between Michael Jordan and the Chicago Bulls and Magic Johnson and the Los Angeles Lakers (Game 1: 201.5, Game 4: 195), and the 1998 finals featuring Chicago and the Utah Jazz (Game 1: 186, Game 4: 179.5).

Game 1 of the 2015 NBA Finals closed with a lofty total of 203.5 points, only playing Over due to an added overtime period that saw Golden State edge Cleveland 108-100 last Thursday. Game 2 closed with an Over/Under of 199 points, with the Cavaliers stealing a 95-93 OT win in Oracle Arena and playing Under despite the extra frame. That led to a 194.5-point closing total for Tuesday’s Game 3 in Cleveland, in which the home side won 96-91 for another easy Under winner.

That takes NBA bettors to the opening total for Thursday’s Game 4 of the NBA Finals, which sits at 193 points – a more than 10-point difference from the series opening number. With such a gap between the Over/Under for Game 1 and Game 4, were oddsmakers completely wrong when it came to this series?

Well, no. While scoring has been at a premium in this series, and all three games fell Under the total in regulation by a combined 40 points, sportsbooks make their adjustments based on two factors: 1. Game outcomes. 2. Betting patterns. And as far as the basketball betting public is concerned, every game should be going Over.

“We’d get Over money tomorrow if we set the total at 232,” Jimmy Vaccaro, veteran linesmaker for South Point Las Vegas, tells Covers.

According to books in Nevada and online, the Over has been the popular pick with the recreational bettors while the sharps have swooped in and taken the Under. That’s just fine by bookmakers, who have not only been big winners with those Under results the past two games but also with plenty of Over plays parlayed to the Warriors.

“You just make adjustments, that’s all,” John Avello, director of race and sports at the Wynn Las Vegas, tells Covers. “Golden State isn’t shooting the ball well. So just like their coach has to make adjustments, the books have to make adjustments.”

The NBA Finals have been a breeding ground for Under paydays in recent seasons. Since the 2006 NBA Finals, championship games have gone 19-29-3 Over/Under (60.4 percent Under) and Game 4 situations have produced a 2-7 O/U mark in that span – the most profitable situation for Under bettors in the best-of-seven format for the finals.

That’s not to say the totals won’t climb back towards 200-plus points for the remaining games of the series, especially with a Game 5 in Golden State on the schedule. Cleveland’s defense is getting the bulk of the praise for this downtick in offensive production but the Cavs’ clock-sucking offense and just plain poor shooting from the Warriors – specifically Stephen Curry – is having a big impact on how the totals trickle down.

“I think the Cavs are making it difficult but the Warriors are just missing wide-open shots,” says Avello, pointing to Golden State's 41.4 percent shooting in the finals. “They’re just missing. (Matthew) Dellavedova is OK, but they’re (the media) making him out to be the next great defensive stopper. But it’s more about Curry missing open shots, going 2 for 15. You have no chance to go Over the total when he’s shooting that way.”

Looking back over the past nine NBA Finals, Game 4 has seen an average closing total of 189.72 points against an average total of 185 points scored. However, Game 5 totals jump to an average of 191.31 with 202 points scored, producing a 5-3 O/U record.

Game 3 winners

Game 3 is a pivotal matchup for any playoff series, with one team taking a 2-1 edge or putting a 3-0 chokehold on their opponent. According to the Elias Sports Bureau, Game 3 winners - when the series is tied 1-1 - have gone on to win the NBA title in 31 of the past 37 situations. One of those six exceptions was LeBron James and the 2013 Miami Heat, who dropped Game 3 to San Antonio but rallied to win the series.

Looking back to the 1991 NBA Finals, the winner of Game 3 has gone on to a collective 13-11 SU and 13-10-1 ATS record in Game 4 of the series. As for LeBron, he’s 2-3 SU, ATS, and O/U in Game 4 of the NBA Finals for his career, averaging 24 points, 6.4 assists, and nine rebounds in those contests.

Finals home dogs

Cleveland was just the 18th finals home underdog since the 1991 NBA Finals, covering the spread as a 2-point pup in Game 3 Tuesday. In that span, home dogs have finished 6-12 SU, 8-10 ATS, and 11-9 Over/Under.

It was also just the fourth time all season the Cavaliers were getting the points at home, and the first time they’ve won and covered in that rare role. Cleveland is once against the underdog in Game 4, set at +3 Thursday.

LeBron MVP no matter what

Not since Jerry West in the 1969 NBA Finals has the Finals MVP award gone to a player on the losing team. In fact, that’s the only time it’s happened.

LeBron James is making a case for the now-labelled Bill Russell Award, averaging 41 points, 12 rebounds and more than eight assists in the 2015 finals, and entered the series priced at +180 to win Finals MVP. Despite pushing the Cavs to a 2-1 series lead, oddsmakers still have Golden State as a -115 favorite to win the NBA championship, with Cleveland coming back at -105.

Win or lose, James should get major MVP consideration, and has already won over one Las Vegas bookmaker (even though you can’t wager on MVP odds in Nevada - yet).

“If you take LeBron off the court and you take that group of guys they have right now (no Kevin Love, no Kyrie Irving), they wouldn’t win five games all year,” says Avello.

The Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas has set James’ Game 4 scoring total at 35.5 points (-110 either side). Curry has a conservative scoring total prop of 28.5 points (-110 either way).


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[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Thursday, June 11


Dellavedova, Shumpert expected to play in Game 4

Both Iman Shumpert and Matthew Dellavedova have injury concerns heading into Game 4 Thursday, but both are expected to suit up for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

"I'm all right, this isn't the regular season," Shumpert said after getting an MRI on his shoulder. "It would take a lot for me not to play, there would have to be structural damage."

Dellavedova, who was dealing with dehydration after Game 3, will have his minutes monitored Thursday according to coach David Blatt.

The Cavs are currently +2.5 when they host the Warriors.

[StarDust Bum]

WNBA

Thursday, June 11

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. CONNECTICUT
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio

7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. NEW YORK
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New York
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 10 games when playing Phoenix
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix

8:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. MINNESOTA
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Seattle
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle


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WNBA

Thursday, June 11


Liberty, Shock cover again, remain a hot wager

Yes, it is early days in the WNBA season, but the New York Liberty and Tulsa Shock each won and covered the spread Tuesday evening to remain perfect at the betting window.

The Liberty won 86-79 over the Indiana Fever, covering the spread as 4.5-point home faves while the Shock hammered the Seattle Storm 68-45 as 6-point home favorites. Both clubs improved to 3-0 against the spread to remain the best bets in the league.

Next up for the Liberty is a date with the Phoenix Mercury Thursday evening, while the Shock have a few days off before visiting the San Antonio Stars Sunday.

[StarDust Bum]

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, June 11


San Antonio @ Atlanta

Game 601-602
June 11, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
103.339
Atlanta
125.412
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 22
159
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 6
153 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-6); Over

Phoenix @ New York

Game 603-604
June 11, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
120.536
New York
114.271
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 6
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 3 1/2
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-3 1/2); Over

Chicago @ Connecticut

Game 605-606
June 11, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
108.997
Connecticut
114.115
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 5
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 5
155
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+5); Under

Seattle @ Minnesota

Game 607-608
June 11, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
107.465
Minnesota
116.302
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 9
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 13 1/2
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+13 1/2); Under