The Bum's Best Bets For Wednesday April 29th - MLB - NBA -NHL !

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, April 29


Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning

Game 31-32
April 29, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit Red Wings
13.175
Tampa Bay Lightni
10.187
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit Red Wings
by 3
4 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay Lightni
-190
5
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit Red Wings
(+165); Under




NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, April 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (46-27-0-15, 107 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (53-27-0-8, 114 pts.) - 4/29/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-23 ATS (-17.2 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 178-191 ATS (+453.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 6-13 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 15-17 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 10-5 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 10-5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, April 29

Tampa Bay won 32 home games during regular season, most in NHL; they're 10-5 in last 15 games vs Detroit, but home side is just 2-4 in this series, losing last three games. Lightning last played a Game 7 four years ago; their last one at home was in '04. Red Wings split pair of Game 7's two years ago. Tampa is 2-26 on power play in series, Detroit 5-32 (1-7 last game); 43-goal scorer Stamkos doesn't have a goal in this series. Detroit D Kronwall (suspension) is out here. Under is 8-5-2 in last 15 series games, 2-2-2 in this series.

2015 NHL playoffs
Montreal vs Ottawa
Mtl 4-3, -$140, O5
Mtl 3-2 OT, -$140, N5
Mtl 2-1 OT, +$110, U5
Ott 1-0, -$106, U5
Ott 5-1, _$139, O5
Mtl 2-0, +$105, U5
Canadiens win series, 4-2

Tampa Bay vs Detroit
Det 3-2, +$155, U5.5
TB 5-1, -$200, U5.5
Det 3-0, -$105, U5.5
TB 3-2 OT, -$107, N5
Det 4-0, +$173, U5
TB 5-2, +$107, O5

NY Rangers vs Pittsburgh
NYR 2-1, -$180, U5
Pitt 4-3, +$175, O5
NYR 2-1, even U5
NYR 2-1 OT, -$119, U5
NYR 2-1 OT, -$178, U5
Rangers win series 4-1

Washington vs NY Islanders
NYI 4-1, +125, N5
Wash 4-3, -$135, O5.5
NYI 2-1 OT, -$140, U5.5
Wash 2-1 OT, +$125, U5.5
Wash 5-1, -$130, O5
NYI 3-1, -$130, U5
Wash 2-1, -$150, U5
Capitals win series, 4-3

St Louis vs Minnesota
Minn 4-2, +$125, O5
StL 4-1, -$140, N5
Minn 3-0, -$135, U5
StL 6-1, +$128, O5
Minn 4-1, +$128, N5
Minn 4-1, -$135, N5
Wild wins series, 4-2

Nashville vs Chicago
Chi 4-3 2OT, +$105, O5
Nash 6-2, -$120, O5
Chi 4-2, -$160, O5
Chi 3-2 3OT, -$160, U5.5
Nash 5-2, -$119, O5
Chi 4-3, -$147, O5
Blackhawks win series, 4-2

Anaheim vs Winnipeg
Ana 4-2, -$150, O5
Ana 2-1, -$150, U5
Ana 5-4 OT, +$120, O5
Ana 5-2, +$106, O5.5
Ducks win series, 4-0

Vancouver vs Calgary
Cal 2-1, +$135, U5
Van 4-1, -$155, N5
Cal 4-2, -$115, O5
Cal 3-1, -$120, U5
Van 2-1, -$147, U5
Cal 7-4, -$125, O5
Flames win series, 4-2 1




NHL

Wednesday, April 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. TAMPA BAY
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Tampa Bay is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Detroit

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Red Wings (43-25) at Lightning (50-24)

Date: April 29, 2015 7:30 PM EDT

One more game in the first round of the NHL playoffs. One last chance to catch a memorable duel between Tampa Bay forward Tyler Johnson and Detroit goaltender Petr Mrazek.

Johnson and the Lightning host Mrazek and the Red Wings in Game 7 of their seesaw series on Wednesday night. The winner then travels to Montreal for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals on Friday night.

'This is Game 7. We worked extremely hard to get ourselves in this position,' Tampa Bay star Steven Stamkos said Tuesday. 'No one remembers what happened in Game 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6. We have to be a lot better than we have been. They've come in here and beat us twice. We have that mentality we were the best team at home in the league for a reason, and we have to show that.'

Detroit had a chance to eliminate Tampa Bay at home on Monday night, but Johnson collected two more goals to lead the Lightning to a 5-2 victory. Jason Garrison, Alex Killorn and Cedric Paquette also scored as the league's highest-scoring team in the regular season got untracked after being held in check by Mrazek and the Red Wings for much of the first round.

But Detroit won at Tampa Bay in Games 1 and 5, and the teams have alternated wins in the series. Each team has scored 15 goals, as well.

'I'm not surprised in hindsight that we're here,' Red Wings coach Mike Babcock said. 'I thought we were going to be good in this series. I thought it was going to be competitive contrary to what the experts thought. I thought we were going to be a real tough out and we are, and I also think we're going to win tomorrow. That's just the way I think.'

The Red Wings will be without Niklas Kronwall after the veteran defenseman was suspended for the game by the NHL for charging Tampa Bay forward Nikita Kucherov late in the second period in Game 6. Kronwall knocked off Kucherov's helmet with the huge hit.

No penalty was called and Kucherov took seven shifts in the third, finishing with three assists.

'I thought it was a good hit,' Babcock said. 'Kucherov was leaning back trying to get out of the way. Kroner's foot was on the ice when he made contact.'

The last time Detroit played in a Game 7, it lost 2-1 to Chicago when Kronwall had a shot by Brent Seabrook go off his leg and into the net in overtime in the 2013 Western Conference semifinals. It will be the first Game 7 for Tampa Bay since it lost to Boston in the 2011 Eastern Conference finals.

Jimmy Howard was in goal for the Red Wings for that difficult loss to the Blackhawks, but Babcock has gone with the 23-year-old Mrazek against the Lightning. The Czech goaltender has two shutouts and a 2.30 goals-against average in his first postseason series.

Mrazek had 23 saves in Game 6, including a spectacular stick stop on Brian Boyle in the second period.

Six of the 15 goals allowed by Detroit have gone to Johnson, who is tied with Vladimir Tarasenko of St. Louis for the playoff lead. Stamkos, who was second in the league with 43 goals during the regular season, has yet to score in this postseason.

Babcock said Johnson has been 'the driving force' for the Lightning in the series.

'He's a competitive guy,' Babcock said. 'He's got good speed. He's competitive defensively. He plays 200 feet.'


SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Red Wings at Lightning
Thu, Apr 16 Final 3 to 2

GAME 2
Red Wings at Lightning
Sat, Apr 18 Final 1 to 5

GAME 3
Lightning at Red Wings
Tue, Apr 21 Final 0 to 3

GAME 4
Lightning at Red Wings
Thu, Apr 23 Final 3 to 2

GAME 5
Red Wings at Lightning
Sat, Apr 25 Final 4 to 0

GAME 6
Lightning at Red Wings
Mon, Apr 27 Final 5 to 2

GAME 7
Red Wings at Lightning
Wed, Apr 29 - 7:30PM EDT

[StarDust Bum]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Letdown spot

The Washington Wizards smacked the Toronto Raptors in the mouth, knocking off their higher-seeded opponents in four straight games in the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Wizards covered in all four games, winning by an average margin of 14 points including a 125-94 blowout win in Game 4. That series sweep adds to a winning 9-3 SU stretch going back to the regular season, in which Washington is 9-1-2 ATS.

But all that momentum could be cooling like a pie on a windowsill with the rest of the Eastern Conference playoff picture taking its sweet time. The Wizards are waiting for their Round 2 opponents, which will be either Atlanta – if the Hawks can finish off the Nets – or Cleveland. Atlanta is 2-2 in its series with Brooklyn, so Washington is going to be on the back burner for a few more days. Whoever it is, they’ll face a Wizards team ripe for a letdown after such a long layoff.

Lookahead spot

The Toronto Blue Jays are counting down the days until they can jump back across the border. Toronto opened a 10-game road trip with four straight losses heading into Tuesday night, totaling only 11 runs in that stretch for an average of just 2.75 runs per game. The Jays are hitting .271 for 5.6 runs per home game but managing to hit just .220 away from the Rogers Centre.

This road run takes Toronto from Tampa Bay (where it was swept 0-3) to Boston, and then to Cleveland for four games starting Thursday. The Blue Jays run the risk of looking ahead to a return home on Monday and a huge AL East showdown with the New York Yankees.

Schedule spot

NFL odds come out earlier and earlier every year. And while it may not be the sharpest play to tie up your money on games in November and December, you can find some solid value playing early spreads for the first few weeks of the schedule. Like San Francisco’s cross-country hike to Pittsburgh in Week 2.

The Niners have been fade bait since falling apart midway through last year and offseason issues along with the shuffling of head coaches has them dropping further out of favor with football bettors. San Francisco is in Heinz Field as a 2.5-point underdog for an early 1 p.m. ET kickoff – a 10 a.m. start back in the Bay Area - and a tough schedule spot early into the new season.

[StarDust Bum]

History on Lightning's side with Game 7 on tap

The home team is 92-65 (.586) in Game 7's in the history of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look to make it 93 wins for the home team and close out the Detroit Red Wings in Game 7 Wednesday evening. The Lightning are presently priced at -185.

Earlier this week, the Washington Capitals became the latest home team to close out a seventh game on home ice with a 2-1 victory over the New York Islanders.

[StarDust Bum]

Recapping Tuesday's Rated Games.......

MLB goes 7 - 2........+18.61 Units DOUBLE PLAYS 3 - 0 / TRIPLE PLAYS 2 - 0 / GRAND SLAM WITH HOUSTON A NICE DOG WINNER AT +145

NBA splits 2 - 2


APRIL RATED PLAYS:


MLB


*****...........................32 - 26..................+ 5.80
DOUBLE PLAY.................36 - 39..................- 11.14
TRIPLE PLAY...................24 - 23..................- 4.57
GRAND SLAM..................18 - 18..................- 3.83




NBA PLAYOFFS


*****..................................5 - 9
double play...........................12 - 10
triple play.............................5 - 7
slam dunk.............................5 - 4


NHL PLAYOFFS


*****.............................. 10 - 8 ........,..... + 2.61
double play........................10 - 8 - 3 ..........+ 2.92
triple play..........................5 - 10............... - 15.36
hat trick.............................6 - 3.............. + 10.68

[StarDust Bum]

Team Open Line Movements Current Moneyline Halftime Scores

7:05 PM EDT
523 BROOKLYN NETS 200 200 +375
524 ATLANTA HAWKS -8 -9 -05 / -9 / -9 -06 -9 -470
TV: TNT, DTV: 245
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9:35 PM EDT
527 PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS 191.5 190 / 189.5 / 189.5o11 190 +195
FREE
528 MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES -4.5 -05 -4.5 / -5 / -5.5 -5.5 -15 -230 HOT PICK
POR-SG-Wesley Matthews-OUT | MEM-G-Mike Conley-OUT | TV: TNT, DTV: 245
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[StarDust Bum]

Team Pitcher Open Line Movements Current Runline Scores

12:35 PM EDT
951 MILWAUKEE BREWERS (R) Garza, M 7.5o15 7.5o15 / 8u20 / 7.5 7.5u25 +1.5(-215)
FREE
952 CINCINNATI REDS (R) Lorenzen, M -152 -108 / -115 / -117 -122 -1.5(+185) HOT PICK
Overnight Pitching Change: Cincinnati - M. Lorenzen for Undecided CIN | MIL-CF-Carlos Gomez-OUT | CIN-1B-Joey Votto-Doubtful | TV: FS-Wisconsin, DTV: 669
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7:10 PM EDT
953 WASHINGTON NATIONALS (R) Zimmermann, J -120 -125 / -121 / -119 -117 -1.5(+145)
954 ATLANTA BRAVES (L) Wood, A 7u15 7o13 / 7 / 7u15 7o15 +1.5(-165)
TV: MASN, SportsSouth, DTV: 640, 646
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7:10 PM EDT
955 NEW YORK METS (R) Colon, B 7.5o15 -105 / -113 / -109 -108 -1.5(+150)
956 MIAMI MARLINS (R) Latos, M -115 7.5o15 / 7.5u15 7.5u20 +1.5(-170)
TV: FS-Florida, SNY, DTV: 639, 654
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8:05 PM EDT
957 PITTSBURGH PIRATES (R) Cole, G -114 -114 / -115 / -117 -121 -1.5(+145)
958 CHICAGO CUBS (R) Hendricks, K 7u20 7u20 / 7o20 7.5u15 +1.5(-165)
TV: CSN-Chicago, ROOT-Pittsburgh, DTV: 659, 665
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8:15 PM EDT
959 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (R) Harang, A 7o09 7u15 / 7u25 / 7u15 7u15 +1.5(-135)
960 ST LOUIS CARDINALS (R) Martinez, C -173 -192 / -195 / -200 -188 -1.5(+115)
TV: ESPN, FS-Midwest, DTV: 206, 671
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9:40 PM EDT
961 COLORADO ROCKIES (R) Lyles, J 9u18 9u08 / 9o05 / 9 9u15 +1.5(-190)
962 ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (R) Collmenter, J -111 -117 / -119 / -120 -117 -1.5(+160)
TV: FS-Arizona, ROOT-Rocky Mountain, DTV: 683, 686
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10:10 PM EDT
963 SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (R) Vogelsong, R 7o05 7o15 / 7u22 / 7u25 7u15 +1.5(-135)
964 LOS ANGELES DODGERS (R) Greinke, Z -180 -180 / -190 -195 -1.5(+115)
LAD-1B-Adrian Gonzalez-Doubtful | TV: NBC Bay, SportsNet LA
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1:05 PM EDT
965 TAMPA BAY RAYS (L) Smyly, D 7.5u20 7.5u20 7.5u15 +1.5(-175)
966 NEW YORK YANKEES (R) Pineda, M -160 -160 / -140 / -134 -140 -1.5(+155)
Overnight Pitching Change: NY Yankees - M. Pineda for Undecided NYY | TV: SunSports, YES, DTV: 631, 653
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1:10 PM EDT
967 DETROIT TIGERS (R) Greene, S -115 -115 / -111 / -109 -106 -1.5(+150)
968 MINNESOTA TWINS (R) Hughes, P 8.5o15 8.5o21 / 8.5o20 / 8.5o25 9u20 +1.5(-170)
TV: FS-Detroit, DTV: 663
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6:10 PM EDT
969 KANSAS CITY ROYALS (R) Ventura, Y 7o20 7o20 / 7o15 7 +1.5(-205)
970 CLEVELAND INDIANS (R) Salazar, D -120 -120 / -121 / -120 -119 -1.5(+175)
TV: FS-Kansas City, SportsTime Ohio, DTV: 662, 672
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6:10 PM EDT
971 TORONTO BLUE JAYS (R) Dickey, R 9u20 9u25 / 9u30 / 8.5 8.5o20 +1.5(-190)
972 BOSTON RED SOX (R) Porcello, R -125 -127 / -123 / -127 -128 -1.5(+160)
TV: NESN, DTV: 628
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2:05 PM EDT
973 CHICAGO WHITE SOX (R) Samardzija, J 8u20 +101 / +100 / -104 -105 +1.5(-230)
974 BALTIMORE ORIOLES (R) Jimenez, U -120 8u20 -1.5(+190)
Time-change to 02:05pm EDT | TV: MASN2, DTV: 641
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8:05 PM EDT
975 SEATTLE MARINERS (R) Hernandez, F -170 -175 / -170 / -163 -159 -1.5(-105)
976 TEXAS RANGERS (L) Rodriguez, W 7.5o15 7.5o15 / 7.5o16 7.5o15 +1.5(-115)
TEX-P-Yu Darvish-OUT | TV: FS-Southwest, ROOT-Northwest, DTV: 676, 687
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10:05 PM EDT
977 LOS ANGELES ANGELS (R) Shoemaker, M 7.5u15 7.5u15 +1.5(-210)
978 OAKLAND ATHLETICS (R) Hahn, J -120 -109 / -114 / -115 -116 -1.5(+180)
TV: CSN-California, FS-West, DTV: 692, 698
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3:40 PM EDT
979 HOUSTON ASTROS (L) Keuchel, D 6.5o15 6.5o25 / 6.5o15 / 6.5o20 6.5o25 +1.5(-235)
980 SAN DIEGO PADRES (R) Cashner, A -115 -125 / -111 / -109 -110 -1.5(+195)
TV: FS-San Diego, ROOT-Southwest, DTV: 674, 694
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[StarDust Bum]

Team Open Line Movements Current Puck Line Scores

7:35 PM EDT
31 DETROIT RED WINGS 5o35 5o35 5o25 +1.5(-190)
FREE
32 TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING -175 -175 / -182 -185 -1.5(+161) HOT PICK
DET-G-Petr Mrazek-Probable | TAM-G-Ben Bishop-Probable | TV: NBCS, DTV: 220
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[StarDust Bum]

MLB EARLY STARTS:

Wednesday, April 29

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Milwaukee - 12:35 PM ET Milwaukee +111 500
Cincinnati - Under 7.5 500 *****

Tampa Bay - 1:05 PM ET NY Yankees -139 500 DOUBLE PLAY
NY Yankees - Over 7.5 500

Detroit - 1:10 PM ET Detroit -103 500
Minnesota - Under 8.5 500

Chi. White Sox - 2:05 PM ET Chi. White Sox -108 500 *****
Baltimore - Under 8 500

Houston - 3:40 PM ET Houston +102 500 TRIPLE PLAY
San Diego - Under 6.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY

GOOD LUCK WITH THE EARLY GAMES

[StarDust Bum]

MLB EVENING GAMES:

Wednesday, April 29

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Washington - 7:10 PM ET Atlanta +107 500 *****
Atlanta - Over 7 500

NY Mets - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -105 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Miami - Over 7.5 500

Seattle - 8:05 PM ET Seattle -162 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Texas - Over 7.5 500

Pittsburgh - 8:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -108 500
Chi. Cubs - Over 7 500

Philadelphia - 8:15 PM ET St. Louis -189 500 *****
St. Louis - Under 7 500

Colorado - 9:40 PM ET Colorado +104 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Arizona - Over 9 500

LA Angels - 10:05 PM ET LA Angels +107 500
Oakland - Over 7.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

San Francisco - 10:10 PM ET LA Dodgers -194 500 GRAND SLAM
LA Dodgers - Over 7 500

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, April 29

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Brooklyn - 7:00 PM ET Brooklyn +9 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Atlanta - Over 200.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Portland - 9:30 PM ET Memphis -6 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Memphis - Under 189 500 DOUBLE PLAY

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, April 29

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Detroit - 7:30 PM ET Tampa Bay -182 500 HAT TRICK
Tampa Bay - Over 5 500 DOUBLE PLAY