Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/14

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, April 14

Good Luck on day #104 of 2015!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Klay Thompson had 37 points Monday........in the first half.

-- Nebraska had just under 77,000 fans for its spring football game.

-- Boise State offered a 9th grader a basketball scholarship.

-- Urban Meyer makes more $$$ than 25 of 32 NFL head coaches.

-- Would the Chargers trade Philip Rivers for the #2 pick in the draft?

-- ESPN parted ways with Lou Holtz, meaning college football Saturdays on TV.just got a little better.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) Wonder what New Orleans Pelicans thought about the NBA rescinding Russell Westbrook's 16th technical foul, which allowed him to play Monday night against Portland? Pelicans/Thunder are tied for the last playoff spot.

12) Kris Byant has seven RBI in his first five AAA games; when will the Cubs bring him up? Pretty bovious he is major league-ready.

11) Since the start of 2014 season, lefthanded hitters are 17-144 (.149) against Mets' lefty reliever Jerry Blevins, with six walks and 44 strikeouts.

10) In addition to Urban Meyer making $6.5M a year, he also gets the use of a private jet for 50 hours a year, up from 35 in his last contract.

9) Pepsi replaces Coke as the official soft drink of the NBA; ton of money in this stuff. When I stayed at the Westgate Hotel in Las Vegas last November, they were in midst of switching from Coke to Pepsi and ran out of regular Coke while I was there. No bueno. In my humble opinion, Coke is way better.

8) Speaking of the NBA, I'm probably not renewing my NBA League Pass for next year; the product just isn't good enough to justify the expense. Too many guys taking nights off; good teams rest guys for playoffs, bad teams do not try hard enough to win.

If someone who likes basketball as much as I do doesn't want the League Pass, thats bad news for the NBA- they need to stretch out their schedule to create less back/backs, so players will try to play 82 games again.

7) Ron Baker/Fred Van Vleet are both coming back to Wichita State next year, which means the Shockers will be a preseason top 10 team. Decisions like this make or break programs; it gives Gregg Marshall another year of national TV exposure and more time to recruit their replacements.

6) Stuff like this reminds me of when Rob Evans was coach at Arizona State; he went 18-14 in 2005 with Ike Diogu his best player- they seemed like a team on the rise, but then Diogu left a year early for the NBA, the Sun Devils fell off the cliff and Evans got fired. Had Diogu stayed and ASU made the NCAAs, Evans gets a contract extension and the course of their program is way different.

5) Virginia took a hit with Justin Anderson going to the NBA; Cavaliers will still be good, but they're out of the preseason top 10 now. Tony Bennett has no chance of being fired; they're still a strong program, but they're not going to be a threat to get to the Final Four now.

4) Transfer list for college basketball is now over 450 kids; lot of turnover all over the country. There are 351 D-I teams. Kids don't like to sit on the bench anymore; if they ain't playing, they ain't staying.

3) Tigers' pitcher David Price says that every time he is consistently throwing 95-96 mph, which he doesn't always do, he gets "randomly" tested for drugs before his next start. He doesn't think it is a coincidence.

2) Forget to mention this yesterday; the catch George Springer made Sunday in Arlington was amazing-- it saved the game in extra innings. He robbed the Rangers of a game-winning grand slam and the Astros won three innings later.

1) If you haven't filed your taxes yet, today would be a good day to do it.

[Udog]

How to safely bet the NHL Stanley Cup playoffs

The NHL playoffs, more so than any other sport’s postseason, are about as different from the regular season as you can get.

Teams that dominated during the regular schedule suddenly find themselves on the brink of elimination, and clubs that squeaked into the playoff picture can catch fire and ride a hot goalie all the way to the Stanley Cup.

In order to help hockey bettors navigate the upside-down world of postseason puck, we asked some of Covers Experts’ top handicappers to share their best tips, tactics, and trends when it comes to successfully wagering on the NHL’s second season.

Hot goaltenders

Like pitching in baseball, goaltending can singlehandedly win a playoff series. Year after year, hockey bettors witness incredible performances between the pipes and make a small mint riding these red-hot keepers.

On the other side of the coin, not having a proven No. 1 goalie can quickly put a wrap on the season – no matter how many goals a team can score. Covers Expert Jesse Schule points to the Pittsburgh Penguins, who have been ushered out of the playoffs the past three years thanks to shaky play in the crease.

“When I'm looking to narrow down the field to legitimate Stanley Cup contenders, I always look at the goaltenders first,” agrees Sean Murphy. “Which ones are capable of carrying a team on their shoulders if need be? Who can steal a game, or even a series?”

The Ottawa Senators are hoping rookie sensation Andrew Hammond can step up to the challenge after a breakout campaign. Hammond finished with a 20-1-2 record and a 1.79 GAA, and finished April with a 5-0-1 record and 1.60 GAA heading into the playoffs.

Depth and toughness

Ever watch a hockey player get interviewed about his team’s deep postseason run? More often than not, the guy’s face looks like someone dropped a plate of spaghetti on the floor and then tried to sew it back together.

The NHL playoffs are a grueling challenge of teams’ overall talent and toughness. When a series goes six or seven games, the true depth of a roster is drawn to the surface.

Injuries can spoil an NHL bet faster than a Zdeno Chara slapshot and knowing which teams are healthy, getting healthy, and beat up entering the playoffs is a good way to gauge just where you should put your money.

“Some teams that were banged up earlier this season are healthy now and could perform better than expected, while the opposite could be true of teams suffering through multiple injuries at the moment,” says Doc’s Sports.

Teams that can get production from their third and fourth lines are the ones who survive, while clubs that rely on a few key players to carry the team often find themselves trading hockey sticks for golf clubs. Opponents draw up schemes to shadow and lock down these stars and force role players to beat them.

“It's important to consider depth,” says Murphy. “Which teams can roll four lines and get steady production from their role players? Unlike other sports, the NHL playoffs aren't all about the superstars. It's the grinders that often decide which team is left standing in June.”

Physicality also plays a major role in the outcome of the playoffs, with every hit looked at as an investment. Finesse teams can get worn down over the course of a series while teams that like to lay the lumber excel in the furious pace of the postseason.

“Some teams might not be the fastest and most skilled, but instead they out-work, out-hit, and physically dominate their opponents,” says Schule.

Road Warriors

Another big difference between the NHL playoffs and other sports’ tournaments is the importance - or lack thereof - when it comes to home ice.

In basketball and football, having the crowd on your side is crucial to a championship run. However, in hockey, bettors get great value with road teams in the postseason. Hot home teams like Tampa Bay or Nashville may be good fade bait while tough road clubs, like the New York Rangers, can hold added pop on the road.

“Other than getting the final line change, there is really not much of an edge for the home team,” says Steve Merril. “Obviously, the crowd will be supporting them. But unlike the NBA, it does not influence officials as much, as penalties are normally called evenly and on an alternating makeup basis. NHL playoffs is the one sport where I feel home teams are generally overvalued, especially since travel is not a factor and both teams in a best-of-seven series have the same travel schedule.”

Ben Burns believes each NHL postseason game is unique and doesn't carry as much momentum from one contest to the next. Teams quickly make adjustments, line changes and roster moves based on the game before and can have a completely different feel when they face off next. A high-scoring Game 1 can produce a low-scoring Game 2 with teams tightening up on defense.

Special teams

Referees do tend to let a lot more slide in the postseason compared to regular season action, so it makes it even more important for teams to capitalize on those man-advantages when the whistle does blow.

“It is absolutely imperative to score on the power play, in order to discourage opponents from taking cheap shots at your best players,” says Schule.

Entering the postseason, the Washington Capitals boast the top power-play attack in the league with 60 goals with the man advantage and a 25.3 power-play percentage. At the bottom of the scale, the Anaheim Ducks boast the lowest power-play percentage in the playoffs at 15.7 percent.

As for killing off those penalties, the Minnesota Wild didn’t get burned much with a man in the box ranking second in the NHL with an 86.3 penalty-kill percentage. The Vancouver Canucks and Penguins followed them, killing off 85.7 and 84.8 percent of their penalties, respectively. The New York Islanders have the worst PK among playoff teams at 77.9 percent.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, April 14


Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

Game 913-914
April 14, 2015 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay Rays
(Andriese) 11.585
Toronto Blue Jays
(Norris) 13.860
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto Blue Jays
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto Blue Jays
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto Blue Jays
(-150); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Indians

Game 915-916
April 14, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Quintana) 14.901
Cleveland Indians
(Carrasco) 16.391
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland Indians
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland Indians
-145
7
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland Indians
(-145); Under

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim @ Texas Rangers

Game 917-918
April 14, 2015 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles Angel
(Rucinski) 13.287
Texas Rangers
(Martinez) 14.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Rangers
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles Angel
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Rangers
(-105); Over

Oakland Athletics @ Houston Astros

Game 919-920
April 14, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland Athletics
(Graveman) 13.112
Houston Astros
(Peacock) 16.544
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston Astros
by 3 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland Athletics
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston Astros
(+100); Over

Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox

Game 921-922
April 14, 2015 @ 6:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington Nation
(Strasburg) 13.966
Boston Red Sox
(Masterson) 16.367
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston Red Sox
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston Red Sox
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
Boston Red Sox
(-120); Under

Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves

Game 901-902
April 14, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami Marlins
(Koehler) 15.991
Atlanta Braves
(Cahill) 17.778
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta Braves
by 2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta Braves
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta Braves
(-115); Under

Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Game 923-924
April 14, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit Tigers
(Greene) 13.003
Pittsburgh Pirate
(Burnett) 18.191
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh Pirate
by 5
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh Pirate
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh Pirate
(-115); Under

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets

Game 903-904
April 14, 2015 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia Phil
(Buchanan) 13.368
New York Mets
(Harvey) 14.689
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York Mets
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York Mets
-260
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York Mets
(-260); Under

Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Game 925-926
April 14, 2015 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle Mariners
(Iwakuma) 18.034
Los Angeles Dodge
(Huff) 16.583
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle Mariners
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles Dodge
-125
7
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle Mariners
(+105); Over

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

Game 905-906
April 14, 2015 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati Reds
(Desclafani) 16.568
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 15.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati Reds
by 1
9 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-165
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati Reds
(+145); N/A

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres

Game 907-908
April 14, 2015 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona Diamondba
(Hellickson) 16.583
San Diego Padres
(Despaigne) 15.522
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona Diamondba
by 1
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego Padres
-155
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona Diamondba
(+135); Over

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

Game 909-910
April 14, 2015 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado Rockies
(Bergman) 16.996
San Francisco Gia
(Hudson) 15.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado Rockies
by 1
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco Gia
-165
7
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado Rockies
(+145); Over

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles

Game 911-912
April 14, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York Yankees
(Sabathia) 16.974
Baltimore Orioles
(Gonzalez) 15.402
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York Yankees
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore Orioles
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York Yankees
(+110); Over

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, April 14

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MIAMI (1 - 6) at ATLANTA (6 - 1) - 7:10 PM
TOM KOEHLER (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 23-9 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-8 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-10 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 43-49 (-19.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-0 (+4.9 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

TOM KOEHLER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
KOEHLER is 0-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.357.
His team's record is 1-6 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+3.9 units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. MIAMI since 1997
CAHILL is 2-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.519.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.1 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (3 - 4) at NY METS (4 - 3) - 7:10 PM
DAVID BUCHANAN (R) vs. MATT HARVEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 44-27 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 495-495 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-20 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 301-320 (-91.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
NY METS are 29-46 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

DAVID BUCHANAN vs. NY METS since 1997
BUCHANAN is 0-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.018.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

MATT HARVEY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HARVEY is 4-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.08 and a WHIP of 0.690.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

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CINCINNATI (4 - 3) at CHICAGO CUBS (4 - 2) - 8:05 PM
ANTHONY DESCLAFANI (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 6-22 (-14.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 45-64 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-2 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
ARRIETA is 24-15 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 689-776 (+42.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 500-561 (+35.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1391-1555 (-278.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 150-124 (-49.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 746-727 (-164.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 353-340 (-87.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1334-1468 (-253.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 218-228 (-68.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1020-1154 (-210.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 645-747 (-196.2 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 144-161 (-45.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ANTHONY DESCLAFANI vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DESCLAFANI is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.69 and a WHIP of 1.106.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.2 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
ARRIETA is 2-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 0.750.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.2 units)

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ARIZONA (4 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (4 - 4) - 10:10 PM
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 68-101 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 195-230 (-58.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
ARIZONA is 68-101 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 51-75 (-22.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 24-43 (-19.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 96-71 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 96-71 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 29-14 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 (+1.5 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HELLICKSON is 0-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
DESPAIGNE is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.150.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.7 units)

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COLORADO (5 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 5) - 10:15 PM
CHRISTIAN BERGMAN (R) vs. TIM HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 14-42 (-22.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 148-267 (-64.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
COLORADO is 25-60 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 14-42 (-22.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 25-60 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 15-45 (-27.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 47-75 (-26.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 62-81 (-29.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 103-84 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 103-84 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1024-856 (+116.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 71-54 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 717-706 (+44.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
HUDSON is 291-180 (+54.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 165-73 (+50.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 122-65 (+35.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 279-168 (+58.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 74-31 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CHRISTIAN BERGMAN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
BERGMAN is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

TIM HUDSON vs. COLORADO since 1997
HUDSON is 5-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.228.
His team's record is 9-6 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-9. (-5.7 units)

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NY YANKEES (3 - 4) at BALTIMORE (3 - 4) - 7:05 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 31-42 (-19.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 6-17 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 103-74 (+34.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 16-6 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 51-33 (+19.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 90-66 (+27.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 75-41 (+39.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 44-29 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 46-31 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SABATHIA is 66-27 (+29.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SABATHIA is 20-6 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.123.
His team's record is 24-8 (+11.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 17-13. (+3.4 units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 5-6 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-3. (+4.7 units)

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TAMPA BAY (4 - 3) at TORONTO (4 - 3) - 7:05 PM
MATT ANDRIESE (R) vs. DANIEL NORRIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 81-88 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 21-31 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 51-58 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 42-52 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 558-640 (+14.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
TORONTO is 105-119 (-42.9 Units) against the money line in home games in April games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

MATT ANDRIESE vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

DANIEL NORRIS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (2 - 4) at CLEVELAND (2 - 4) - 7:10 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 99-51 (+38.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 10-3 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 362-362 (+33.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CARRASCO is 7-21 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CARRASCO is 3-13 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
CARRASCO is 7-21 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
CARRASCO is 4-14 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CARRASCO is 2-10 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOSE QUINTANA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
QUINTANA is 3-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.231.
His team's record is 4-5 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.6 units)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
CARRASCO is 2-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.288.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (3 - 4) at TEXAS (3 - 5) - 8:05 PM
DREW RUCINSKI (R) vs. NICK MARTINEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 23-8 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 753-729 (+72.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 22-7 (+13.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 632-613 (+66.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 536-515 (+51.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 54-21 (+24.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 70-100 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 21-43 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 7-20 (-12.0 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 34-51 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 14-36 (-24.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 34-51 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 44-79 (-32.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 45-69 (-19.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 20-34 (-17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

DREW RUCINSKI vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

NICK MARTINEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MARTINEZ is 0-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 0.842.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (4 - 4) at HOUSTON (3 - 4) - 8:10 PM
KENDALL GRAVEMAN (R) vs. ASHER WOJCIECHOWSKI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 92-79 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 42-42 (-18.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 46-44 (-18.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 78-42 (+28.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 109-121 (-41.5 Units) against the money line in home games in April games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

KENDALL GRAVEMAN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

ASHER WOJCIECHOWSKI vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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WASHINGTON (2 - 5) at BOSTON (5 - 2) - 6:10 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. JUSTIN MASTERSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 144-212 (-49.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
STRASBURG is 33-33 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 4-11 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 33-33 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 32-34 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 12-18 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 76-94 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 5-17 (-14.7 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-48 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 68-82 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 53-68 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 24-34 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 32-45 (-18.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. BOSTON since 1997
STRASBURG is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JUSTIN MASTERSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MASTERSON is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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DETROIT (6 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 4) - 7:05 PM
SHANE GREENE (R) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 141-213 (-56.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 40-41 (-17.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 188-150 (+27.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 104-63 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 208-217 (+32.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 27-14 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 104-63 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 66-46 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 44-23 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 358-364 (+50.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DETROIT is 36-22 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
GREENE is 6-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 205-207 (-40.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 165-174 (-38.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 135-146 (-32.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

SHANE GREENE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

A.J. BURNETT vs. DETROIT since 1997
BURNETT is 7-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.88 and a WHIP of 1.447.
His team's record is 9-3 (+6.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (3 - 4) at LA DODGERS (4 - 3) - 10:10 PM
HISASHI IWAKUMA (R) vs. SCOTT BAKER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

HISASHI IWAKUMA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

SCOTT BAKER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BAKER is 3-5 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.96 and a WHIP of 1.638.
His team's record is 5-6 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-8. (-7.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, April 14


National League
Marlins @ Braves
Koehler is 1-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.

Cahill is making first start for Atlanta; he was 0-4, 7.75 in his last seven starts for Arizona, with three of last four going over total.

Miami lost five of last six games with Atlanta; under is 6-2-1 in last nine series games. Marlins lost six of first seven games; Braves won six of first seven, with three of last four games going over total.

Phillies @ Mets
Buchanan is 0-2, 6.60 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Harvey is 1-1, 1.93 in his last three starts; under is 5-2-1 in his last eight.

Mets won seven of last nine games with Philly (over 5-3-1). Under is 4-1-1 in last six Phils games- they've scored 16 runs in 3-4 start. Four of last five Met games went over the total.

Reds @ Cubs
DeSclafani allowed two runs in six IP in his first '15 start; he is 2-2, 5.77 in 14 MLB games, six of which were starts.

Arrieta is 4-0, 1.02 in his last five starts; four of his last six went over.

Home side is 9-2 in last 11 Cincinnati-Cub games; Chicago won six of last eight meetings. Cubs won four of last five games overall. Reds lost three in a row after a 4-0 start- three of their last four games went over.

Diamondbacks @ Padres
Hellickson is 0-5, 6.97 in his last nine starts; over is 6-1-1 in his last eight.

Despaigne is 1-4, 4.35 in his last seven starts; four of his last six went under.

San Diego lost five of last six games with Arizona (over 5-1). Padres won three of last four games, scoring 21 runs- over is 6-2 in their games. Arizona won three of its last four games.

Rockies @ Giants
Bergman is 2-3, 5.85 in his last six starts; over is 6-2-1 in his last nine.

Hudson is 0-5, 6.06 in his last ten starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Road team won six of first seven Colorado (5-2) games. Rockies are 7-4 in last eleven games with the Giants. SF lost its last four games, outscored 19-6.

American League
Bronx @ Baltimore
Sabathia is 0-3, 8.24 in his last four starts; five of his last six went over.

Gonzalez is 1-4, 2.89 in his last five starts; his last seven stayed under. Orioles scored six runs in his last five starts.

Bronx lost five of last seven games at Camden Yards; last four series games went over total. Last six Bronx games went over total. Orioles lost four of last five games; over is 5-1-1 in their first seven games this season.

Rays @ Blue Jays
Andriese is making first MLB start; he was 11-8, 3.77 in 25 AAA starts LY. he has pitched one scoreless inning this season, so this isn't his MLB debut.

Norris is 1-0, 5.00 in two MLB starts- they both went over total.

Road team won seven of last eight Tampa-Toronto games, with Rays winning three of last four; Tampa won four of last five games overall. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Toronto games.

White Sox @ Indians
Quintana is 1-1, 5.03 in his last three starts (over 2-0-1).

Carrasco is 4-3, 1.41 in his last ten starts, nine of which stayed under.

Cleveland won six of last seven games with the White Sox; seven of last eight stayed under the total. Indians lost last three games overall, allowing 25 runs.

Angels @ Rangers
Rucinski is making first MLB start; he's allowed four runs in 9.1 IP in his four MLB appearances- he was 10-6, 3.15 in 26 AA starts LY.

Martinez is 3-1, 1.44 in his last four starts; four of his last five starts at home stayed under the total.

Road team won nine of last ten11 Angel-Ranger games; Angels are 8-3 in those eleven games, with four of last five going over. Angels lost three of last four games overall, giving up 22 runs- four of their last five went over. Texas lost three of its last four games.

A's @ Astros
Graveman allowed eight runs in 3.1 IP in his first MLB start last week.

Peacock is making first '15 start; he is 1-1, 3.94 in his last six starts, with last three at home going over total.

Oakland won three of its last four games in Houston. Three of last four A's-Astros games stayed under. Last six Oakland games went over. Five of first seven Astro games stayed under. Houston lost last three home games. A's are 0-4 when they score less than eight runs.

Interleague
Tigers @ Pirates
Greene is 2-3, 4.94 in his last six starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Burnett is 0-3, 6.75 in his last five starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten.

Tigers won six of first seven games, scoring 50 runs; last four went over the total. Pittsburgh won three of last four games. Home side won last seven Detroit-Pittsburgh games; Pirates won six of last eight series games.

Nationals @ Red Sox
Strasburg is 4-3, 2.29 in his last eight starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Masterson is 2-2, 5.68 in his last five starts; his last three stayed under.

Boston won five of its first seven games this year but lost four of last five games with Washington; seven of last nine series games went over. Nats lost four of last five games; under is 4-2-1 in their games this season.

Mariners @ Dodgers
Iwakuma is 1-4, 8.14 in his last five starts; over is 7-0-1 in his last eight.

Lefty Huff has made 54 MLB starts, but last one was for Bronx in 2013; he was 3-1, 1.85 in 30 relief stints LY (39 IP). His careeer record in majors: 25-28, 5.02, with 439 hits allowed in 382 IP.

Seattle played in extra innings last three days; they're 5-3 in last eight games at Dodger Stadium, but lost last three games overall with LA. Last five Mariner games went over total.

Umpires
-- Mia-Atl-- Under is 17-5 in last 22 O'Nora games.
-- Phil-NY-- Five of last six Marquez games went over total.
-- Cin-Chi-- Over is 15-4-7 in last 26 Emmel games.
-- Az-SD-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Miller games.
-- Col-SF-- Favorites won seven of last eight Gorman games.

-- NY-Balt-- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight Cederstrom games.
-- TB-Tor-- Seven of last ten Blaser games stayed under.
-- LA-Tex-- Underdogs are 6-5 in last eleven LBarrett games.
-- A's-Hst-- Underdogs are 7-7 in last fourteen Tichenor games.

-- Wsh-Bos-- Under is 14-2-1 in last 17 Reynolds games.
-- Det-Pitt-- Underdogs are 13-12 in last 25 Rackley games.
-- Sea-LA-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Gibson games.

[Udog]

MLB

Tuesday, April 14

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Trend Report
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6:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Washington's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. PITTSBURGH
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games at home
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:07 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games

7:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. CLEVELAND
Chi White Sox are 2-13 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Chi White Sox are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
MIAMI vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games

8:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TEXAS
LA Angels are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games on the road
LA Angels are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games when playing Texas
Texas is 3-14 SU in their last 17 games when playing LA Angels
Texas is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games

8:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

8:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. HOUSTON
Oakland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Oakland is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Houston
Houston is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 13 games

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN DIEGO
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona

10:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games at home
LA Dodgers are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games at home

10:15 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Colorado is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


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[Udog]

MLB

Tuesday, April 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MLB betting cheat sheet: A-Rod contributing to Over trend in AL East
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for this week's major-league schedule:

Bullish bullpen

Six relievers, 15 combined appearances, 16.1 total innings, no runs. That is the line of perfection the Kansas City Royals’ bullpen boasts through six games, all wins for Kansas City. More of the same can be expected this week against the Minnesota Twins, who are tied for the fewest runs scored (13) in Major League Baseball.

Beasts of the East

All five teams in the always-entertaining American League East scored at least 28 runs in their first two series of the season. The Toronto Blue Jays crossed the plate 38 times. At the same time, all five gave up at least 27 runs—including 33 allowed by the New York Yankees. The over is a combined 22-6 in games played by AL East Clubs.

Save situations

The San Diego Padres won three in a row to end their four-game series against the San Francisco Giants and newcomer Craig Kimbrel saved two of those victories. He is perfect through four appearances with his team (4.0 innings, 2 hits, 1 walk, 4 strikeouts). But the Atlanta Braves are not yet missing him. Atlanta (5-1 SU, 4-2 O/U) is 4-for-4 in save attempts, three courtesy of free-agent signee Jason Grilli.

Pitching Notes

* Matt Harvey of the New York Mets returned from a lost season because of Tommy John surgery to befuddle the Washington Nationals across six innings in his 2015 debut last Thursday. Harvey surrendered only four hits and one walk while striking out seven. Next up for the hard-throwing righty on Tuesday are the Philadelphia Phillies, whom he dominated two years ago to the tune of a 3-0 record in three starts and a 0.45 ERA in 20 innings.

* Seattle Mariners’ 22-year-old Taijuan Walker is set for what will presumably be his first full season in the majors (he appeared sparingly in 2013 and 2014). But he will not last long if he does not improve upon his first start. Last Friday against the Oakland Athletics, Walker allowed nine runs on nine hits and two walks in 3.1 innings during a 12-0 loss. The righty has to face the high-powered Los Angeles Dodgers in his next start on Wednesday.

Hitting Notes

* Though Sunday’s action, only two American League hitters (with enough at-bats to qualify) are batting better than .500. Both reside on the Detroit Tigers. In addition to Miguel Cabrera (.520, 2 HR, 8 RBI), Jose Iglesias (.526, 2 SB) has also started in fine form for Detroit (6-0 SU, 4-2 O/U)

* Ryan Howard of the Philadelphia Phillies is dealing with some early-season struggles. The slugging southpaw has not yet left the yard and he is not hitting for average, either. Howard is 4-for-23 (.174) with no homers and one RBI. Philadelphia (2-3-1 O/U) scored just 16 runs in its first six outings.

Totals Streak

New York Yankees (5-1 O/U): The Yankees are scoring plenty of runs (31 through six games) but giving up even more early in the season. An apparently-rejuvenated Alex Rodriguez is batting .300 with six RBIs. Next up for New York is a three-game set with the Baltimore Orioles (4-1-1 O/U).

Injury Notes

* Cleveland Indians’ catcher Yan Gomes suffered a sprained knee in this past Saturday’s loss to the Detroit Tigers and an MRI confirmed that he will be out 6-8 weeks. Gomes was off to a 3-for-20 start this season for Cleveland (2-4 SU, 3-3 O/U), but he hit .278 with 21 home runs and 74 RBI in 2014.

* The news is much better for the Washington Nationals (2-4 SU, 1-4-1 O/U), who need an injection of offense after crossing the plate a mere 13 times in their first two series. Jayson Werth (shoulder) has been activated from the disabled list in time to face the Boston Red Sox from Monday through Wednesday.

Weather Watch:

Weather is supposed to cooperate for most games, but there is a 40 percent chance of showers at Camden Yards for Tuesday's New York Yankees-Baltimore Orioles clash.

Umpire Note: N/A


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[Udog]

MLB

Tuesday, April 14


MLB April Overs bring May Unders for baseball bettors

The first week of the 2015 MLB season has been a windfall for Over bettors, who enter Monday’s action with a 53-35 Over/Under count so far this year. That’s a 60.23 percent winning clip for the Over including an incredible 14-0-1 Over/Under record in Sunday’s action on the diamond.

While those early results are intriguing, this pattern of Overs in April is nothing new to seasoned baseball bettors. Over the past 14 MLB campaigns, the opening month of the calendar is the only month of the season to actually lean towards the Over more than the Under.

From 2000 to 2014, MLB regular games played in March and April are a combined 2,677-2,625-248 O/U – playing Over 50.5 percent of the time. That trend flips in May, when teams have gone 2911-3059-312 O/U with a 51 percent Under clip. And they’ve continued to stay below the oddsmakers’ number for the remaining months of the baseball season:

March/April 2000-14: 2677-2625-248 O/U (50.5% Over)
May 2000-14: 2911-3059-312 (51% Under)
June 2000-14: 2789-2944-292 (51% Under)
July 2000-14: 2736-2873-273 (51% Under)
August 2000-14: 2934-3108-306 (51% Under)
September 2000-14: 2799-2902-275 (51% Under)
October 2000-14: 138-189-17 (58% Under)

The last four years (2011-2014), games played in the first month of the season (March/April) have gone 753-717-64 Over/Under, a winning clip of 51 percent for the Over. And in the previous two seasons, games in that same time frame are a profitable 401-358-31 O/U for a winning Over rate of 53 percent. Last year, games in March and April finished 207-176-19 O/U – 54 percent to the Over.

While May has been the annual turning point for MLB totals bettors, the last four years haven't been such a sharp decline from Overs to Under. May has produced a 827-770-90 Over/Under record from 2011-14 (52% Over), with last year boasting a breakeven 199-199-26 O/U mark. However, June 2011-14 has witnessed a noticeable swing in the totals market with games going 722-826-72 O/U - 53 percent Under.

So far in 2015, MLB teams are scoring a combined total of 8.34 runs a game to open the schedule and there are just five teams that have actually gone Under the betting total more often than not in that first week (Cubs, Cardinals, Phillies, Nationals and Astros).

The 2014 MLB season averaged just 8.14 combined runs per game, the lowest scoring rate in the majors since 1969. Scoring in the major leagues has been on the decline over the past 15 years, with pundits pointing to the use of advanced pitcher/hitter analytics, increased roles for relievers and the end of the steroid era which boosted scores in the late 90s/early 2000s.

As pitchers find their form and bullpen roles are settled, those offensive numbers will follow suit as previous seasons and likely decline, taking with it that lean to the Over. Interesting enough, despite the rash in Overs so far in 2015, pitchers are boasting a MLB-wide 3.70 ERA – the lowest collective earned run average since the 1952 season. Last year, pitchers finished with a MLB-wide 3.74 ERA which registered as the lowest ERA since 1988.

[Udog]

MLB

Tuesday, April 14


Hitters' wind when Giants host Rockies Tuesday

According to weather forecasts, wind will blow out to right field at around 18 miles per hour at AT&T Park when the San Francisco Giants take on the Colorado Rockies Tuesday.

The Giants are presently priced at -155 with the total at 7.


Athletics keep cashing Over wagers to start season

The Oakland A's defeated the Houston Astros by a score of 8-1 to extend their streak of cashed Over bets to six Monday. The A's are the top Over play in the bigs with a record of 7-1 Over/Under heading into Tuesday's action.

Oakland has tallied 51 runs through its first eight games - tied for second most in the AL with the Detroit Tigers.

The A's will continue their series with the Houston Astros Tuesday evening. Oddsmakers have tabbed the game with a total of 8.5.

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet

Tuesday, April 14

Miami at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
KOEHLER: MIAMI 59-48 after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span
CAHILL: ATLANTA 24-31 after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games

Philadelphia at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
BUCHANAN: PHILADELPHIA 21-10 revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less
HARVEY: NY METS 5-21 after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival

Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET
DESCLAFANI: CINCINNATI 104-84 after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games
ARRIETA: CHICAGO CUBS 13-32 at home when the total is 7 or less

Arizona at San Diego, 10:10 ET
HELLICKSON: 2-10 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125
DESPAIGNE: SAN DIEGO 38-22 in home games after 2 or more consecutive home games

Colorado at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
BERGMAN: COLORADO 23-55 as a road underdog of +100 or higher
HUDSON: 165-73 TSR in home games

NY Yankees at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
SABATHIA: 26-32 TSR after a game where he did not walk a batter
GONZALEZ: BALTIMORE 51-33 against division opponents

Tampa Bay at Toronto, 7:05 ET
ANDREISE: TAMPA BAY 104-81 off a one run win over a division rival
NORRIS: TORONTO 57-65 when the money line is -100 to -150

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland, 7:10 ET
QUINTANA: CHICAGO WHITE SOX 20-12 after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base
CARRASCO: 3-13 TSR in home games against division opponents

LA Angels at Texas, 8:05 ET
RUCINSKI: LA ANGELS 20-9 in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
MARTINEZ: TEXAS 0-8 in home games after 3 straight games with no home runs

Oakland at Houston, 8:10 ET
GRAVEMAN: OAKLAND 8-15 after a win by 6 runs or more
PEACOCK: HOUSTON 22-17 after a loss by 4 runs or more

Washington at Boston, 6:10 ET
STRASBURG: WASHINGTON 20-46 as a road underdog of +100 or higher
MASTERSON: 48-28 TSR UNDER after a win

Detroit at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
GREENE: 6-0 TSR in road games
BURNETT: PITTSBURGH 30-12 UNDER in home games after 3 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base

Seattle at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
IWAKUMA: SEATTLE 48-37 in road games
HUFF: LA DODGERS 24-30 at home when the total is 7 to 8.5