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**Ripple** · 08-19-2005, 11:45 AM

The Wizard's Simulcast Best Bets for Friday, August 19th, 2005

Introduction
With the advent of full card simulcasting just about everywhere, handicappers are no longer limited to play just one track. When you factor in that horse races are televised directly into homes via cable or satellite dish, opportunities are endless for bettors to watch and wager on a vast array of racetracks. Because of this recent boon, the Wizard's Simulcast Best Bets Sheet was developed for handicappers wishing to play multiple tracks, but don't necessarily have the time or desire to handicap the multitude of races. The Simulcast Best Bets is comprised of all the Crystal Ball selections for every track The Wizard provides full card selections for. In addition, the popular Wizard's Pick of the Day is included in the report. Detailed analysis is provided for each selection contained in the Simulcast Best Bets sheet along with a comprehensive wagering strategy to serve as a guide for you to use so that you may properly bet the race in an effort to maximize profits. As a final point, The Simulcast Best Bets Sheet is not only intended to alert you to the best plays on any given day, but also a tool to assist you with your betting, a wagering guide if you will. Remember, good gambling can sometimes overcome bad handicapping, but good handicapping never compensates for bad gambling! Available Wednesday through Sunday and Monday Holidays.

EVERY EFFORT HAS BEEN MADE TO ENSURE THE ACCURACY OF THE PROGRAM NUMBERS PROVIDED. HOWEVER, IT IS STRONGLY RECOMMENDED THAT YOU VERIFY ALL PROGRAM NUMBERS WITH THE OFFICIAL TRACK PROGRAM PRIOR TO WAGERING!

Index to Approximate Post Times - converted to EST
Time Track Race
1:00 Saratoga 1
1:15 Monmouth Park 1
2:05 Monmouth Park 3
2:36 Saratoga 4
2:37 Ellis Park 3
4:14 Saratoga 7
4:38 Ellis Park 7
6:48 Arlington Park 7
7:30 Del Mar 3
8:15 Arlington Park 10
9:00 Del Mar 6

Arlington Park

Arlington Park Race 7 (6:48)
#2 PURELY CLASSIC (3/1) 5 yo Sky Classic gelding has run well on the turf having finished on the board in 10 of 17 career starts while facing much stronger company. Returned from nearly a year on the sidelines this season making first start since coming under the care of trainer Michael Stidham. Turned in game win at today's mile distance on the lawn at Lone Star in May and came back to miss by a neck his next start. Faded in last but ships to Arlington taking a big drop in class now and should handle these with no problem. Guidry in the irons is a positive sign.

Wagering Strategy: Win bet on #2. Exactas: 2 over 5 - 7 - 9. Reverse for equal amounts. TURF ONLY!

Arlington Park Race 10 (8:15)
#6 NATIONAL PARK (7/2) 6 yo turned in hug effort in first U.S. start last year coming back from long layoff for Bobby Frankel. Was forced back on the sidelines for nearly another year and after one race was moved to the barn of trainer Paul McGee. Has moved forward with each start for new connections and finished good 4th at this mile distance here last out while taking a huge drop in class. Horse obviously has his problems but appears to have regained form now and can find the winner's circle today for first time in a long time while taking yet another major drop in class. Campbell has the call.

Wagering Strategy: Win bet on #6. Exactas: 6 over 1 - 2 - 3. Reverse for equal amounts.

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Del Mar

Del Mar Race 3 (7:30)
#3 THE YELLOW SHEET (3/1) Last year at this meet this mare won over this course and distance when coming off a short layoff. She then stepped up to this class level and lost by less than a length in her next start, also at this trip. She went off form after that, but looked very good when returning from a layoff July 21. In that race she brke a bit slowly from post 1, stalked the pace, but was stuck in traffic for much of the stretch. She only lost by 1-1/4 lengths in a race she probably needed anyway, but the traffic also didn't help her cause. I expect her to be sharper from start to finish today, and she also projects to sit a great stalking trip in a field that has lots of speed signed on. Corey Nakatani was aboard for her last two wins and was also aboard for her return race July 21, and he's about as good as they come on turf.

Wagering Strategy: A win bet on (3)THE YELLOW SHEET; Exacta 3-1, reverse for less; Smaller exactas 3-5, 3-8, reverse each for less.

Del Mar Race 6 (9:00)
#3 CHEROOT (5/2) This steadily improving 4yo has thrived since moving to turf and stretching out to routes. He dueled through a fast pace and won his first such race on June 17 at 8-1 after breaking from an outside post. Stepping up in class to face allowance company on July 23, he again broke from an outside post, sat just off the pace in 2nd, and took over in the stretch, only to get caught in the final yards. He can sit a similar trip today behind probable pacesetter JJ Jake, and he gets a better post than he's had in his last two starts. Flores fits this colt like a glove and remains aboard.

Wagering Strategy: A win bet on (3)CHEROOT; Exacta part-wheel 3 over 5-8-10, reverse for half as much.

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Ellis Park

Ellis Park Race 3 (2:37)
#2 JUST MILITARY (4/1) 2 yo Military colt has flashed good speed in both career starts at Churchill for trainer Merrill Scherer. Has been freshened and expect winning effort from this colt today moving to the turf for which he is well bred to handle for barn that has solid stats going dirt to turf. Will receive second lasix and although moves up to msw company doesn't face as strong as group here that he did in previous two starts. Barn has done well here at Ellis winning nearly 70% of their starts and keeps Mojica aboard who has won at a clip of 26% when riding for this barn.

Wagering Strategy: Win bet on #2. Exactas: 2 over 3 - 4. Reverse for equal amounts.

Ellis Park Race 7 (4:38)
#3 SOPHETTE (9/2) 4 yo filly was claimed by trainer John Fahey in early May of this year at Churchill and scored game win second out for new barn. Beat half the field cutting back to 7f last out after a wide trip and although moves up in class today can surprise. Has been freshened which is a move this barn excels with as is moving their horses to the turf for the first time showing a excellent return. Filly has the breeding to handle the grass and should also benefit from the added ground. Keeps Borel in the irons who has done quite well riding for Fahey winning at a clip of 45% on the year.

Wagering Strategy: Win and place bet on #3. Turf Only!

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Monmouth Park

Monmouth Park Race 1 (1:15)
#3 GENUITY (8/5) It is unusual to see a 3yo filly at this level that is as consistent and tough as Genuity. Second or better in her last 5 tries, she comes off game decisions over Megan Popz and Lady Byar, two fillies that have recently beaten tougher fields. She was taken last out by top claiming trainer Kelly Breen, who continues to win at a 36% clip overall. She went wire to wire last out, but is just as effective as a presser. Go-to rider Elliott takes the call.

Wagering Strategy: A win bet on #3, Trifecta: 3 over 1-6 over ALL.

Monmouth Park Race 3 (2:05)
#6 WINGED PHILLY (5/2) Halo's Image filly has split her time between turf and dirt, however she has looked much better sprinting on the main track. She was not badly beaten in her last start, going a mile on the grass against a 2nd tier allowance field. Today she drops into a claimer for the first time and cuts back to her preferred trip. The speedsters Plain N Fancy and Tri Like The Devil should set a fast enough pace to make her late run effective.

Wagering Strategy: A win bet on #6.

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Saratoga

Saratoga Race 1 (1:00)
#2 KIKI B (5/2) TURF ONLY! While this filly has a strong chance on dirt, I like her chances on turf even better. Since coming off a 6-month layoff to begin her 3yo campaign she?s been much improved, possibly due to normal growth and maturity and possibly due to a trainer change. She wired her field impressively June 17 off the layoff, then returned August 8. In that race she was bet down to 5-1 early before eventually going off at 13-1, and she nearly won, finishing a close 2nd after making a prolonged bid in the stretch. Her last three workouts have all been on turf, and she now gets a chance to race over the grass. Her dam is a half sister to four turf winners and Kiki B?s only prior turf try was a troubled trip against open company. Coa stays.

Wagering Strategy: TURF ONLY!! A win bet on (2)KIKI B; Trifecta: 2 over 5-6-7 over ALL = $15 for a $1 wager

Saratoga Race 4 (2:36)
#1 TOWERING ESCAPE (7/5) TURF OR DIRT. On turf or dirt I like either of these fillies, and if both run it just makes them twice as tough. TOWERING ESCAPE is by tremendous young sire Giant?s Causeway, who?s getting top class runners on both turf and dirt. Dam Rapunzell was stakes placed at age 2 and is a half sister to multiple G1 winner Affirmed Success, who ran great on turf and dirt. Pletcher wins 23% first time out and filly shows four 5F turf works for her debut, so she should certainly handle the grass. J?RAY needed her debut in a dirt sprint and now stretches out. She?s better bred for routes than sprints and Pletcher wins 29% with the sprint-to-route move. Sire was a top turf miler in Europe and 2 of J?ray?s 4 siblings to race on turf won. Baileystays aboard.

Wagering Strategy: TURF OR DIRT: A win bet on (1)ENTRY at even money or better. Cold exacta 1 - 3. No reverse.

Wizard's Pick of the Day for Friday, August 19th, 2005

Making a consistent profit at the races requires both discipline and selecting the right spots on a daily basis. Lack of conviction coupled with a shotgun approach to wagering is often the downfall of many handicappers. The WIZARD offers this product designed to address those problems and help players make money with one select Pick of the Day. The Wizard's Pick of the Day is that one special horse that the Wizard has deemed the best wager of any horse running that day. The Pick of the Day is available 7 days per week and may be found at any racetrack commonly simulcasted throughout the country.

Pick of the Day
Saratoga Race 7, #4 EXCHANGE BAY
Claiming, 1 1/16 Miles, 4yo and up Fillies and Mares
Post Time ( 4:14) ET

(1) FORGOTTEN PROMISE 10/1
(2) SOME IRISH LEGEND 15/1
(3) VERY VERY 5/1
(4) EXCHANGE BAY 7/2
(5) PERFECT ENERGY 12/1
(6) SHOOT THE WAD 30/1
(7) POSITIVELY WILD 4/1
(8) SAVAGE BEAUTY 3/1
(9) OHBEEGEEWHYEN 6/1

Pace Scenario: Like she did last out Forgotten Promise will attempt to dictate the pace as Perfect Energy tries to keep her honest.

Pick of the Day:
# 4 EXCHANGE BAY (TURF ONLY) Facing allowance horses for most of her career, this mare drops in with claimers for the first time since her rousing 4-length win for this same tag back on January 16. She lost by just one length vs. much tougher company in a strong, ?key? race May 12, but then steadied early in a stakes race June 19 and had a bad trip all around. She?s been freshened and pointed to this meet, having won here in the past. She can stalk or rally and is working consistently. Her best race wins this. Cornelio Velasquez up.

Wagering Strategy:
Play #4 EXCHANGE BAY to WIN AND PLACE.

A unit = your base wager. For example, if you are a $2 bettor, one unit would equal $2. These are just suggestions, so please remember to wager within your comfort level. Every effort has been made to ensure the program numbers are correct but please double check before wagering.

**Spearit** · 08-19-2005, 11:54 AM

Thanks Rip- I am not sure of betting any of this but will watch the results. It is a nice write up.

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