EL GUAPPO turns back off of a solid win and with the poor weather that is expected his ability to handle an off track will give him an edge in this spot. GRANITE RIDGE will find the likely pace scenario to be a little too fast for him to be effective, however he will burn some money off of his last effort against weaker. SMART ALERT has had success at this distance in the past however has shown nothing in two tries over this course, likely to show up but not in the top spot. HEARTLESS could round out the top four here by virtue of a small field, he has had some success here in the past but is well past his prime.
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