Announcement

**MemphisMafia** · 08-01-2004, 01:09 PM

Its My Opinion :

That Bills on to something here :

Bonus Play on St. Louis +135

- Williams & Schmidt
- List Only Williams!!!
- Game goes at 5:05 PM PST., 8:05 PM EST.

Yes, we are all too aware that Schmidt is toeing the rubber for the G-man. We are not about to suggest the Giants ace is overrated or attempt to uncover a chink in his armor, because there isn’t one. But as we have said repeatedly, starting pitching is only one element that determines the outcome of a game. In as much, St. Louis at this price is a “Value 101” play given they hold a major advantage in every other important aspect of this contest. Let us explain.

The Cards soar in on a 12-4 run their last sixteen overall and finished July with a 21-5 (+$1,390) mark!!! This latest streak has propelled the Cardinals to the best record in baseball at 66-37. They also hold the best road record in baseball at an awesome 35-17. And most importantly, the Red Birds are covered in green, ranked No. 2 in our team moneyline standings at +$1,960 overall and No. 1 in our road MLB moneyline standings at a whopping +$1,605.

No team even comes close to matching the Cards road profitability this season. To put the Cardinals road achievements into perspective, the next most profitable road team, Minnesota, sits at +$940 when on the trail. Refer back to the Cardinals +1,605 earnings and this point becomes crystal clear. Moreover, St. Louis is now 20-8 (+1,285) on the road when playing teams with a winning record and 7-2 (+$810) on the road this season when priced as a pup of +125 to +175.

Meanwhile, the Giants come in at a very decent 57-49 overall for +$340 on the year. After being red hot for most of June through about mid-July, San Francisco is, however, in a definite cooling period. They are currently 2-6 their last eight overall and 4-8 their past twelve. The prolific offense we saw from them during that hot streak has been a non-factor of late, producing just 4.0 runs per game their last twelve contests. Compare that to the Cardinals offense, which is putting up 7.0 runs per game their last seven and a whopping 5.8 runs per game on the road for the season.

And while the Giants certainly hold the starting pitching edge today, this has historically been a fantastic spot for Williams. That is not to mention the Cards hold a decisive bullpen edge today. As far as the first point goes, note that Williams is a staggering 39-11 (+$2,380) his last fifty night starts and 54-31 (+$2,320) his last eighty-five starts when the total is set between 7 and 8.5. And one more note about Williams; the Cardinals are 10-1 his last eleven starts.

As far as bullpens go, there is simply no comparison. The Cardinals in fact hold the second best pen ERA in the majors at 3.13 and an even better 2.53 pen ERA when on the road. Their pen has now converted 78% of save opportunities overall and 81% of save opportunities on the road. On the flipside, the Giants bullpen is ranked 25th out of thirty MLB teams with a 4.84 ERA—converting just 64% of save opportunities in 2004. This is the same Giants bullpen that has surrendered 11 runs over the past two days against the Cards. So yes, the Giants hold the starting pitch edge today. But given all the other Cardinal advantages; this line is a complete gift. Play St. Louis.

**MemphisMafia** · 08-01-2004, 03:19 PM

Re: Longshots :

Originally posted by MemphisMafia
Yesterday a lot of these babies came thru , today could be a draught :confused:

Longshots
Sunday, August 1, 2004

Arlington Park 1-No Selection 2-9-Groovin P 3-2-Five Card Monty 4-5-Kip 5-5-Golden Reputashn 6-2-Jim's Basque 7-2-Color By D'or 8-5-Kahok 9-3-Tonith

Calder 1-1-Lieutenant Loreta 2-3-Canavati 4th 8-off 3-3-Talkin Fool 4-7-Wicklow Vamp 5-6-Marching Rhythm 6-8-Oh Peggy Sue 7-1-Poster Boy 8-2-Frisco Frisky 9-6-Cachaca 10-6-Boomer Creek 11-6-Triple Slam 12-10-Eva's Pegasus

Del Mar 1-10-Adios Baby 2-No Selection 3-9-Brother Roy 4-9-Sublet 5-7-Lady Continental 6-12-Unusual Spring 7-2-Equal Rights 8-3-Taste Of Paradise 9-1-Forest Way

Ellis Park 1-5-Imageofhope 2-7-Malfoy 3-No Selection 4-1-Teddy's Pick 5-8-Miss Amber 6-3-Risk It 7-2-Da Mamboking 8-5-Imbrachium 9-5-Hoosyer Kharma 10-4-Sharps 'n Flats

Monmouth Park [*1-6-Azure Ciel* @ 6.80] 2-5-Tactical De Naskra 3-No Selection 4-10-Suave Girl 5-1-Por Favor 6-7-Max A Million 7-5-Gambling Native 8-5-Missbehaviour 9-3-Maidintheshade 10-1-Gipsy Limits

Woodbine 1-2-Wings Of Angels 2-No Selection 3-6-Barbs And Bows 4-2-Crafty Broad 5-1-Tempt Her 6-7-Random Choice 7-3-Always Original 8-7-Moment Of Peace 9-1-Slew The Dragon 10-15-Cielo Moon

Pimlico 1-4-Northeast Blizzard 2-4-Foxs Gold Digger 4th 4-off 3-3-Obscene Prospect 4-3-Woodmans Smile 5-8-Springtime Vision 6-4-No Bettor Love 7-2-Beelzebubba 8-3-Captain Chessie 9-8-Major Price

Saratoga 1-5-Illusionary Magic- 4th 2-off [* 2-7-Miss Park Place*@ 23.40] 3-3-Rakeen's Reward 4-6-Missile Tone 5-2-Parker Run 6-4-Albert E. 7-5-Raffie's Dream 8-7-Penny Dream 9-2-Mayo On The Side 10-7-Random Gold

Santa Rosa 1-1-Wilburs Folley 2-2-Davis 3-6-Bucephalus Cds 5-5-Hardaround 6-4-Golden Buzz 7-6-Onefourtwentyfour 8-4-Don'taskdon'ttell 9-7-Game Day Hero 10-1-New York P D 11-No Selection 12-3-Aly Rally

G.L.

**Luv2Play2** · 08-01-2004, 04:02 PM

Ahhhhhh Haaaaaa

buried deeply in the muck ive found what ive been looking for..
a poster worthy of calling a redbird play.. yes theyve been a
cash cow, i would know... i in know way would post this play as
i wont put my dreaded posting curse on them.. so lets just say im following your call... go redbirds +138

YEE HAA GL

**Luv2Play2** · 08-01-2004, 05:52 PM

DAMN !! >> 2 all posters & plyers

@ BC i reread this post and here is my opology to all .....
in no way did i mean for it to come out the way it did ..

there are many here who work hard and do not deserve the way it sounded ... gl 2 all

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