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**MemphisMafia** · 07-26-2004, 05:13 PM

Hope this Helps

NOTICE - ALL READ PLEASE: Please be sure to scroll down to read and study this entire page. The more familiar you are with the reports the better success you will have. A little effort on your end will go a LONG way with these sheets!.

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VERY NEW!: Up or down in class and what percentage!. At the end of Pace Class 1 is a u (for up in class) or d (for or down in class) followed by a 1 2 or 3 meaning over 10% 20% or over 30% change. For example if you see u2 it means that horse is jumping up 20% in class today. If you see a d1 it means that horse is dropping 10% in class today. At the end of Pace Class 2 is a w (for won last race) or c (for claimed in last race).
NEW: Easy Format Report - The Pace Class Rating has broken down into 2 parts Pace Class 1 (early speed) and Pace Class 2 (late speed).

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A great strategy that zooms in on a VERY high % of winners, some at awesome prices too!. This makes for a great plan for playing the DAILY DOUBLE, PICK 3, PICK 4 & PICK 6:
1. eliminate scratched horses first

2. top 2 power (CXP) horses are ( 2 of the horses )

3. the third horse is the highest Speed/Class rated horse of the remaining horses ( 3rd horse )

4. the fourth horse is determined FROM the Remaining horses by the highest power horse with 3 or more handiflags * % $ # @ ~ << >> V ^ : if none then 2 or more handiflags, if still none then 1 or more handiflags, if still none then highest power { give 1/2 a point to - flags and 3/4 a point to ) flag }

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Glossary for the Easy Form/Quick Start Reports:

Handi Flags
F Best Chance First time Starter Winner
f Also a good possible winner as a First Time Starter
p Best Pro Rating
@ Possible Wire to Wire Threat
- Good Closer
# Good Class/Speed
$ and ^ Both Good Flags In Race With Purse under $10,000
^ Also A Good Flag Good In Stakes races
~ Lone Shipper and/or First Time Todays Distance
% Big Longshot Possibility
* Strong Potential Turf Runner
>> Blinkers On
<< Blinkers Off
) First Time Lasix
V Good Value at ML Odds
: Consider using in Exotics
(+,-) After Power Rating +front runner -closer
DSLR is Days Since Last Race
Trip Rating = Best time at today's distance, best 4f-5f workout and post position.

This report is sorted on the Best Overall Rating, the Power Rating!

(All ratings the higher the better)

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Glossary for the Text & RTF Reports:

WinOnly = for fast (dry) tracks

Offtrack = for off tracks (wet, sloppy, muddy, etc)

Horse / - Post position and abbreviated name of Horse
First Character Code @,*,-,?,A-Z_
@ - highest probability WIRE TO WIRE spot play
* - high probability spot play
- - high probability best closer
? - potential maiden 1st or 2nd time starter winner
A thru Z - high probability this horse WILL NOT Win
DSLR - number of days since last race
CXP - POWER RATING - Highest Number is Top Win Selection
this number will change if you select a different paceline
SP - 3 character field
shape flag ( S means this horse is probably in shape )
0-9 number of horses capable of passing from 1/2 to finish
P - Probably peaked p - Possibly peaked
LC# - leaver/closer ( + early speed, - closer, = both, X neither)
Spot Play / Total Point Method Rating - Total Point Number
PR - numerical rating showing tendency to run near the front
S - Spot Play / Total Point Method Rating - Spot Play split number
4fTT - best time for 4 furlongs at this track ( last 10 races )
4fTK - best time for 4 furlongs at any track ( last 10 races )
L*R - a front runner rating ( the higher the number the better the chance
of being on the lead )
!ER! - Exception Rating - does not use speed or class - works well for races
with a purse < $10,000
Class - a Class Rating
AEPS - the average earnings per start for the last 2 yrs
Purse - the highest purse this horse ran for and was within 5 lengths at the
finish ( in the last year )
C*R - a late runner rating ( the higher the number the better the chance of
closing at the finish )
Lpts - longshot points ( based on factors that have produced longshots in the
past)
Sp1 - speed last race
Sp2 - speed prev race
ABC - a late runner rating ( absolute best closer )
TdistTrk - best time this distance at any track ( within last year )
4fW - best 4 furlong workout at any track - ( adjusted times )
5fW - best 5 furlong workout at any track - ( adjusted times )
Overw - best overall workout at any track - (adjusted times )
Late - a late runner rating ( the higher the number the better the chance of
closing at the finish )

The following symbols are picks by, we like to call them Handi-Bots. Little
robotic handicappers that use a different method each to pick horses.

the $ to the right of the S field is a variation of the LC# with
additional points for combinations of factors ( picks a lot of Longshots)

the # to the right of the LC# field is the top points horse
this handi-bot gives 1 or 2 points for being the best 1 or 2 at each
factor on the report and more for some maiden criteria. (this does well
with Maidens )

the ~ to the left of the !ER! field, this picks horses that are
the ONLY horse in the field to have a given factor and meets another
qualifing factor. Example: only shipper in the race

the ! to the right of the !ER! field is the best !ER! horse
(this handi-bot ignores BOTH speed AND class, does best with cheap
claiming races, STAKES races )

the % to the right of the 4FTT field, ONLY picks longshots that
are also picked by one of the other handi-bots. ( few picks but great payoffs)

**misterbo** · 07-26-2004, 07:22 PM

Thanks so much for explaining the charts. A little tough
to comprehend at first glance but with your glossary of symbols
and there meaning a clearer picture is coming into focus.
Am i wrong in looking at the last no. and the ml to pick a good longshot? Taking the 4th at delmar your longshot is the 3rd
highest no. (21) and the ml is 12. Do you look at layoffs as in
no.5 (360) and place it down a notch or two. Again thanks for
taking the time and good luck with your wagers!!!!!!!!

misterbo:D

**MemphisMafia** · 07-26-2004, 07:42 PM

These are a friend of mines :

and hes letting me post for a few days , and I have gleened plenty already from his " handi-flags " , as they are kicking a bit of major butt the past few days . Being ranked as far down as 8th,9th,10th with #^$ beside them (as well as other symbols) many have wired the field @ 18.00/26.00/36.00 and so on .

Its all greek to all of us at the moment , but I am catching on and will be happy to explain as time goes on and I learn more . In his glossary he sez ;

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A great strategy that zooms in on a VERY high % of winners, some at awesome prices too!. This makes for a great plan for playing the DAILY DOUBLE, PICK 3, PICK 4 & PICK 6:
1. eliminate scratched horses first

2. top 2 power (CXP) horses are ( 2 of the horses )

3. the third horse is the highest Speed/Class rated horse of the remaining horses ( 3rd horse )

4. the fourth horse is determined FROM the Remaining horses by the highest power horse with 3 or more handiflags * % $ # @ ~ << >> V ^ : if none then 2 or more handiflags, if still none then 1 or more handiflags, if still none then highest power { give 1/2 a point to - flags and 3/4 a point to ) flag }

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And he is correct so far , but we have only had a couplea days to look at it so far . I will keep my nose to the grindstone and if I cant answer something I will call him . Boxing his top 4 seems to be his best so far , but when I say top 4 use a grain of salt and apply all he says in his notes . Many times the top 4 will consist of his 1st choice / 3rd choice / 6th choice / 8th choice after scratches and applying his memos .

More Later , and Thanks and Lets Cash a Few !

**MemphisMafia** · 07-26-2004, 07:49 PM

Some Examples W/Results :

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* 3 *BRYNES GIRL 27 1.8 1.8 85.6+ 84.00 61.20 5.46 69.28 88.88w 15
1 SHEIKH'NNOTS 19 3.0 2.0 84.7+ 83.95 16.20 5.60 70.65u2 94.45w 15
@ 5 RAISED SOUTH 19 8.0 7.0 83.5+ 84.80 31.20 5.53 63.47u2 85.77 9
6 UNREAL DREAM 13 12.0 9.0 82.9+ 84.00 19.65 4.62 64.21 85.91 0
#^ 2 SECOND SHIFT 16 4.0 4.0 82.4+ 84.30 65.25 5.04 67.43d2 87.33 18
-$: V 4 TRICKY PRINC 184 8.0 4.0 81.8- 83.80 18.60 12.90 69.00d2 0.00w 36
- 7 MISS SANDY 13 8.0 8.0 80.7- 83.00 1.05 12.18 67.80 94.32 6
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[ 2165 ] #3 Drew up lame
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*************************************************

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# @ 1 TRICK SHOT G 17 2.5 2.5 78.7+ 83.99 16.05 4.55 61.23d2 88.93 72
- 9 HERE'S HOGAN 16 3.5 2.5 77.5- 82.64 19.05 9.48 61.80 0.00 16
<< 10 (MISS LEATH 16 20.0 9.0 76.1- 81.85 0.90 11.13 58.20 0.00 6
7 (DECKER CHAP 11 6.0 5.0 74.7- 82.00 17.70 10.85 57.90u3 92.12 3
- 4 A FEW Z'S 9 8.0 7.0 74.4- 82.99 18.15 9.57 59.60 93.99 3
-$% v 2 (GOLDEN LORE 10 8.0 4.0 74.3- 81.78 0.90 4.48 54.40d3 0.00 16
8 TRACTOR REQU 16 8.0 10.0 74.0+ 83.76 30.90 3.92 54.90 0.00 9
?^ - 6 (GO LAUREN 16 6.0 6.0 71.9- 80.38 33.00 11.34 57.10 0.00 19
3 PERLS BEST Y 19 20.0 40.0 69.8- 81.65 0.60 2.80 53.80u1 0.00 0
? 5 (ELSIE ROSE 334 12.0 12.0 67.5- 78.33 0.75 3.57 47.60d3 0.00 20
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[ 1296 ] 3.60-W / 19.80-E / 60.00-T / 154.20-S
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I brought up the 2 in this one for handi-flag reasons

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Its not hard to see why I thought these would play well :

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- @- 6 SSSH IT'SA S 12 6.0 3.0 77.1- 83.18 49.50 12.06 57.44 89.54 18
2 SPECIAL OPS 21 5.0 2.5 77.0+ 81.77 35.10 4.41 59.67 85.97 19
-$^%v 3 LASSERRE 21 10.0 4.0 76.7- 82.14 63.45 9.13 60.90 0.00 19
>> 7 HOBIN 21 4.5 3.5 76.4+ 82.15 0.75 3.64 57.10d3 0.00 18
1 FATHER DOOLE 12 1.4 1.4 76.1+ 82.96 50.40 4.62 60.66 86.16 33
8 (ELITE COVE 12 10.0 20.0 75.2- 80.71 17.70 11.06 56.40 0.00 0
# 5 MR MUDDY MOO 20 8.0 8.0 75.0+ 82.41 0.75 3.15 56.50d2 0.00 42
4 NO TIME SOON 23 20.0 40.0 73.6+ 82.38 0.75 3.57 53.70 0.00 0
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[ 7326 ] 156.00 Exacta & 848.80 Tri

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Why Should this one deserve attention ? But it did get mine ?

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- 7 TOWN HALL 41 2.5 2.5 85.4- 83.06 48.00 12.04 67.60u3 109.87 18
V 3 QUEEN'S SON 29 8.0 4.0 83.9+ 83.02 1.05 4.69 64.05d3 95.35 19
2 PIVOTAL PETE 32 3.0 3.0 82.6+ 83.08 35.40 5.39 69.60d3 0.00 9
8 RED POINT 12 12.0 9.0 82.4+ 82.94 0.90 3.92 62.59u3 89.09 0
6 NAVY FLAG 61 6.0 5.0 82.3- 82.65 16.05 5.18 64.40d2 112.14 9
- 4 RED LAVA 19 12.0 12.0 81.6+ 83.56 60.90 1.63 61.20d3 112.60 12
5 IDLE IDE 21 8.0 10.0 81.4+ 83.08 31.05 4.83 62.70d2 95.10 6
#$:@ 1 MAUK ME 213 4.0 2.0 80.5+ 86.31 31.20 5.74 62.40 0.00 44
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[ 137 ] 18.60 to Win / 179.60 Exatca / 694.40 Tri

************************************************** *

Handi-flags pretty much summed this one up also , and there are many more .

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V 4 MISS CHALICE 13 12.0 6.0 87.6+ 82.83 20.10 5.67 67.67d2 103.77 16
10 DREAM FLEET 19 8.0 4.0 86.8+ 82.68 19.05 5.18 68.17 100.37 0
#$%@ 5 BELLA DE FAT 13 10.0 4.0 86.4+ 85.05 49.95 5.67 69.30d2 0.00 18
>> 3 WILD TUNE 21 6.0 5.0 86.4+ 84.57 1.05 5.11 66.53u1 93.93 0
- - 2 LADY ON TOUR 13 10.0 9.0 85.9- 83.32 1.20 12.67 69.00d2 119.50 16
>> 1 CRYPTOSUMMER 19 15.0 15.0 85.9+ 81.41 20.40 5.11 67.30 0.00 0
<< 11 UNREAL FANT 13 20.0 20.0 85.7- 83.32 1.20 5.53 66.80d2 108.22 6
6 MAGIC LINE 21 3.5 5.5 85.2+ 83.98 61.35 6.51 67.84u1 94.64w 15
9 GLORIOUS RAJ 9 6.0 8.0 84.8+ 83.85 49.20 5.18 68.18 102.28 12
12 UNFORGETTABL 21 4.0 6.0 82.5+ 83.06 31.20 5.39 64.91u1 96.01 9
7 JEBLETTE 20 20.0 40.0 82.4- 82.73 1.05 11.69 62.50d3 0.00 0
8 VELVETRY 13 12.0 24.0 81.9+ 83.15 34.50 5.81 69.80u3 89.20w 9
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[ 3-2-4-11 ] #5 & #6 Scratched (64.80-E) & (265.60-T)

as you can see the top choice hit 3rd , but the other 3 where leading the flags as it where
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Just hours ago @ quarter horses he caught me eye here :

Monday 07-26-2004 ARP Race 1 AN ABOUT DISTANCE MAIDEN CLM 3900 - Dirt EX TRI DD QU
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Handi P Horse DS ML Fair Power Early Trip Late Sloppy Pace Speed
Flags # Name LR Odds Odds Rating Speed Rating Speed Track Class2 Class
__________________________________________________
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3 LEADING KEYS 7 2.5 2.5 85.4+ 0.00 16.35 5.95 67.12 85.32 18
7 JAZZIN LEADE 16 2.0 2.0 85.3- 0.00 1.35 12.09 65.40d1 91.91 19
>> 5 (GG OATUS 7 6.0 5.0 84.7- 0.00 18.60 13.16 64.90 89.59 6
#$^ v 4 DASHERS ALIB 13 4.5 2.2 83.6+ 0.00 50.10 5.39 68.21d1 87.51 39
8 TARAS FIRST 26 10.0 9.0 82.0+ 10.00 34.50 5.46 64.90d1 86.60 18
@ 2 SHAKE N STYL 292 10.0 20.0 79.9- 11.00 16.20 12.74 60.00 0.00 47
6 DE BLAZE FAC 7 15.0 30.0 79.6- 0.00 1.20 5.25 59.70 88.98 0
? F 1 OLYMPIC CAT 0 10.0 10.0 8.1- 0.00 0.00 7.00 8.10 0.00 27

Result .... you guessed it 574 (29.60 to win / 83.40 Exacta / 167.20 Tri , so it goes without saying after a few days of looking at him ....... his flags are there for a very good reason !

**statsman** · 07-27-2004, 02:25 AM

MMM
Will you be posting tomorrow because my free weekend subscription he was offering ended today? Does J still own the site? He owns another one that I would strongly recommend. I was the main stats keeper at the other site for years so I know quite a bit about them. Thanks and keep up all the hard work.

**Kaptain** · 07-28-2004, 09:13 AM

Lady M

Thanks for the Horse Terms and Legends (for Novices

). unfortunately I'm one...This better explains/breaks down what you print out, for the numerous races you do daily:D ....

I made copies of your info, punched 3 holes in em, put em in a binder, have been reading/studying it, so I can dazzle/impress Baby Brother...:cool:

You must remember---"I went to NIGHT school, and therefore I can't read and write in the Daytime"

as always--your Silent Supporter--kmann---aka---Kaptain TOF and 1 of the 3 Wise Men...

before Coverboy (Neil) says it, I'll state from a David Allen Coe song--"you don't have to call me Darling, Darling"

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