Tweet
Arlington :
Arlington Analysis for Saturday, June 12
Race 1: PRECOCIOUS KAT was a daylight winner in her local debut, an optional claimer that was originally scheduled for turf. Good tactical speed should have him situated perfectly once again. Can make it two in a row. TELLER LINE is a high-percentage winner who probably owns the best early speed. Tired a bit in the mud in her local debut. Could be much tougher after getting a race over the track. MINI BRUSH moves from turf to dirt. Late runner should find the pace to her liking. Finished second in her first two local starts. Can better that today.
Race 2: ONLY YOU drops to what appears to be the lowest level of his career for his local debut. Versatile runner should be facing many with speed. Will try to run them down late. NIKOBE is in the midst of a good year. Won one of six races while finishing second four times. He’s one of many with speed and he is moving up in class but he’s hot enough right now to leave them in his dust. TRUE HOPE won last at this level. His first race since getting claimed by this barn. Should be setting in the ideal spot early. Figures to make his move in the stretch.
Race 3: CAPTAIN NICHOLAS didn’t handle the yielding turf or the company in last. Might find the same course condition today but he is dropping in class. His pedigree suggests that he should be able to get the distance. RED MOUNTAIN had three tries at this 12 furlong distance, without finishing in the money, but he’s in the hands of one of the top trainers in the country right now. Continued improvement is a strong possibility. COVERING GROUND has been hinting that he would like more real estate. Gets his wish in this one. Stretches to 12 furlongs. Might finally be able to make good use of his late move. PONTICIELLO has been slowing coming around while getting acclimated to the northern hemisphere. Took three months after winning his last but has been working sufficiently. Might be able to surprise.
Race 4: EXCELLENT PAYBACK drops into maiden claimers while shipping in from a tougher meet. Showed some early zip, with first time blinkers, in last but tired badly late. That shouldn’t be quite the same case against this easier group. Can take it all the way. STEADY GRIND was eased in last but did display good speed for six furlongs. Turns back to a one-turn mile. Could be ready to surprise. BILL HEINZ raced very well in his two previous ventures into maiden claimers. Has speed and the rail. Might lead all the way.
Race 5: ALLSPICE has always shown some ability but she pulled it all together in last when she got up for a narrow victory in the Grade 3 Sixty Sails, at this distance. Makes her first start in six weeks but she’s kept fit with useful five-furlong drills. Meets easier in this spot. Will be very hard to beat. QUEST FOR TRUTH won eight of her 20 races, including three of five locally. Pedigree says she’ll handle the extra real estate. Pace will set up. Could provide a mild surprise. OGGI has been claimed from her last three races. Hasn’t shown a lot this year but she is another bred to love the extra distance. Could come around.
Race 6: METCALFE tired, in the mud, in his career debut but it turned out that he bled in the race. Gets Lasix for this one. Might be able to carry his speed all the way. DEPLOY weakened a bit in his lone start but he’s had two very good workouts since. Could be a major player throughout. SNUG AS A BUG has a long series of works leading into his debut. He’s not as fashionably bred as some in here but his trainer boasts a very strong win percentage (43%) with first timers. GOLDEN HERITAGE is another debuting for a trainer with a great win percentage with his first times.
Race 7: FITZROYAL finished fifth in his local debut but he was blocked in the stretch and checked and still only lost by less than two lengths. Guessing he’ll be far tougher with a clean trip. TRUE GENIUS finished behind top choice in last but that was his first mediocre effort on this track. Good tracking speed should have him perfectly positioned. Expect far more. ROCK COUNTY drops into claimers, possibly for the first time. He’s two-for-two on off tracks so would probably love it if it rained. Will probably go right for the lead. DID HE BITEYOU has been very consistent lately. Just missed in last after fighting for the lead throughout. Holds a realistic chance in this wide open field.
Race 8: HE’S HAMMERED makes his first start in a year and a half but he’s been working well for a solid layoff trainer. In the past he was a closer. The pace should set up well in this one. Can make his return a winning one. DEER POWER finished second in three of his four starts as a graduate. He’s been in against some very tough winners. Could finally be the best of these. CART’S BIG BOY starts for the first time in nearly two years but showed signs of true ability when he was racing. Should be given the benefit of the doubt.
Race 9: CHANCE DANCE improved dramatically after switching to the turf. Versatile runner is equally comfortable going for the lead or coming from off the pace. Like the way she was drawing off in last. Could be ready for these. JULIE’S PRIZE never won on turf but her two grass races against fields tougher than these have been very good. She’s been training well sine her last start. Talented filly will be one of the main contenders. HAIL HILLARY finished second, at over 40-1, in the Grade 3 Pucker Up here last year. Daylight winner over an easier field at Churchill in last should be a decent price in this spot. Might surprise. New Zealand import MODENA BAY is riding a two-race win streak. Meets her toughest field in this country but have to like what she’s done so far. Could extend her streak to three. BERET was favored in her first start of the year but she lost her rider when she stumbled at the start. Raced well here in the past. Deserves another chance.
Race 10: POWER didn’t show much in his last turf race but it was also his career debut. Graduated in last in a race that was switched from the turf to the main track. This field didn’t come up too tough. Her first start against winners, on turf or the main track, could be a winning one. COPY RUNNER displayed far better speed when switched to the turf for last race. Led for all but the last few jumps. Might not get caught with the turn back to a mile. HUNTING HILLBILLY didn’t handle stakes company in last but she’s been right there against similar o these in her previous races. Comes off a nine-week freshening. This trainer wins with about 29% of those returning from similar vacations. Will be tough. ELEVEN OCLOCK ROCK tries turf for the first time but is bred to handle any surface. Can make an impact in her first start for top-notch outfit.
Featuring Ron :
G.L.
***MMM***
:cool: :cool: :cool:
Race 1: PRECOCIOUS KAT was a daylight winner in her local debut, an optional claimer that was originally scheduled for turf. Good tactical speed should have him situated perfectly once again. Can make it two in a row. TELLER LINE is a high-percentage winner who probably owns the best early speed. Tired a bit in the mud in her local debut. Could be much tougher after getting a race over the track. MINI BRUSH moves from turf to dirt. Late runner should find the pace to her liking. Finished second in her first two local starts. Can better that today.
Race 2: ONLY YOU drops to what appears to be the lowest level of his career for his local debut. Versatile runner should be facing many with speed. Will try to run them down late. NIKOBE is in the midst of a good year. Won one of six races while finishing second four times. He’s one of many with speed and he is moving up in class but he’s hot enough right now to leave them in his dust. TRUE HOPE won last at this level. His first race since getting claimed by this barn. Should be setting in the ideal spot early. Figures to make his move in the stretch.
Race 3: CAPTAIN NICHOLAS didn’t handle the yielding turf or the company in last. Might find the same course condition today but he is dropping in class. His pedigree suggests that he should be able to get the distance. RED MOUNTAIN had three tries at this 12 furlong distance, without finishing in the money, but he’s in the hands of one of the top trainers in the country right now. Continued improvement is a strong possibility. COVERING GROUND has been hinting that he would like more real estate. Gets his wish in this one. Stretches to 12 furlongs. Might finally be able to make good use of his late move. PONTICIELLO has been slowing coming around while getting acclimated to the northern hemisphere. Took three months after winning his last but has been working sufficiently. Might be able to surprise.
Race 4: EXCELLENT PAYBACK drops into maiden claimers while shipping in from a tougher meet. Showed some early zip, with first time blinkers, in last but tired badly late. That shouldn’t be quite the same case against this easier group. Can take it all the way. STEADY GRIND was eased in last but did display good speed for six furlongs. Turns back to a one-turn mile. Could be ready to surprise. BILL HEINZ raced very well in his two previous ventures into maiden claimers. Has speed and the rail. Might lead all the way.
Race 5: ALLSPICE has always shown some ability but she pulled it all together in last when she got up for a narrow victory in the Grade 3 Sixty Sails, at this distance. Makes her first start in six weeks but she’s kept fit with useful five-furlong drills. Meets easier in this spot. Will be very hard to beat. QUEST FOR TRUTH won eight of her 20 races, including three of five locally. Pedigree says she’ll handle the extra real estate. Pace will set up. Could provide a mild surprise. OGGI has been claimed from her last three races. Hasn’t shown a lot this year but she is another bred to love the extra distance. Could come around.
Race 6: METCALFE tired, in the mud, in his career debut but it turned out that he bled in the race. Gets Lasix for this one. Might be able to carry his speed all the way. DEPLOY weakened a bit in his lone start but he’s had two very good workouts since. Could be a major player throughout. SNUG AS A BUG has a long series of works leading into his debut. He’s not as fashionably bred as some in here but his trainer boasts a very strong win percentage (43%) with first timers. GOLDEN HERITAGE is another debuting for a trainer with a great win percentage with his first times.
Race 7: FITZROYAL finished fifth in his local debut but he was blocked in the stretch and checked and still only lost by less than two lengths. Guessing he’ll be far tougher with a clean trip. TRUE GENIUS finished behind top choice in last but that was his first mediocre effort on this track. Good tracking speed should have him perfectly positioned. Expect far more. ROCK COUNTY drops into claimers, possibly for the first time. He’s two-for-two on off tracks so would probably love it if it rained. Will probably go right for the lead. DID HE BITEYOU has been very consistent lately. Just missed in last after fighting for the lead throughout. Holds a realistic chance in this wide open field.
Race 8: HE’S HAMMERED makes his first start in a year and a half but he’s been working well for a solid layoff trainer. In the past he was a closer. The pace should set up well in this one. Can make his return a winning one. DEER POWER finished second in three of his four starts as a graduate. He’s been in against some very tough winners. Could finally be the best of these. CART’S BIG BOY starts for the first time in nearly two years but showed signs of true ability when he was racing. Should be given the benefit of the doubt.
Race 9: CHANCE DANCE improved dramatically after switching to the turf. Versatile runner is equally comfortable going for the lead or coming from off the pace. Like the way she was drawing off in last. Could be ready for these. JULIE’S PRIZE never won on turf but her two grass races against fields tougher than these have been very good. She’s been training well sine her last start. Talented filly will be one of the main contenders. HAIL HILLARY finished second, at over 40-1, in the Grade 3 Pucker Up here last year. Daylight winner over an easier field at Churchill in last should be a decent price in this spot. Might surprise. New Zealand import MODENA BAY is riding a two-race win streak. Meets her toughest field in this country but have to like what she’s done so far. Could extend her streak to three. BERET was favored in her first start of the year but she lost her rider when she stumbled at the start. Raced well here in the past. Deserves another chance.
Race 10: POWER didn’t show much in his last turf race but it was also his career debut. Graduated in last in a race that was switched from the turf to the main track. This field didn’t come up too tough. Her first start against winners, on turf or the main track, could be a winning one. COPY RUNNER displayed far better speed when switched to the turf for last race. Led for all but the last few jumps. Might not get caught with the turn back to a mile. HUNTING HILLBILLY didn’t handle stakes company in last but she’s been right there against similar o these in her previous races. Comes off a nine-week freshening. This trainer wins with about 29% of those returning from similar vacations. Will be tough. ELEVEN OCLOCK ROCK tries turf for the first time but is bred to handle any surface. Can make an impact in her first start for top-notch outfit.
Featuring Ron :
G.L.
***MMM***
:cool: :cool: :cool:
Comment